Special Issue "Solar Forecasting"
A special issue of Energies (ISSN 1996-1073).
Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (15 January 2018)
Prof. Dr. John Boland
Recently, significant advances have been made in solar forecasting on time scales from sub minute right through to several days ahead, using techniques that are specifically suited to each particular time scale. As well as the contributions of individual researchers, two projects, for which the editor has been a member; Task 46 of the International Energy Agency on solar forecasting, and the Australian Solar Energy Forecasting System (ASEFS), have added significantly to the knowledge in the field. Up to now, the work has focused principally on the expected value of solar energy at some future time, given the history up to a specific time, in other words, a point forecast.
The most recent endeavours, though, are aimed at what is alternatively called a probabilistic, interval or density forecast, in other words, putting error bounds on the point forecast. This is for a single location but some researchers have also been adding a spatial dimension. In addition, for risk analysis purposes, the synthetic generation of possible trajectories, also called scenario generation, has attracted interest. It is these topics that are of interest for this Special Edition of the journal.
Prof. Dr. John Boland
Manuscript Submission Information
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- probabilistic forecast
- spatial-temporal forecasting
- solar energy
- synthetic series
- scenario generation
- stochastic processes