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Risks, Volume 5, Issue 1

2017 March - 20 articles

Cover Story: Disability Income Insurance (DII) pays a fixed proportion of salary if you are unable to work for an extended period of time due to sickness or disability. During periods of rising unemployment (economic downturns) we find that DII claim incidence increases in Australia, and that the greatest increases are amongst white-collar, or medium and heavy manual workers, and those with shorter deferment periods. We also find a significant increase in accident-related claims. Our findings lend weight to the hypothesis that moral hazard may have a material impact on DII claim incidence and insurer business in periods of declining economic conditions. View this paper
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Articles (20)

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
5,118 Views
20 Pages

Optimal Time to Enter a Retirement Village

  • Jinhui Zhang,
  • Sachi Purcal and
  • Jiaqin Wei

22 March 2017

We consider the financial planning problem of a retiree wishing to enter a retirement village at a future uncertain date. The date of entry is determined by the retiree’s utility and bequest maximisation problem within the context of uncertain future...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
6,950 Views
29 Pages

16 March 2017

Designing post retirement benefits requires access to appropriate investment instruments to manage the interest rate and longevity risks. Post retirement benefits are increasingly taken as a form of income benefit, either as a pension or an annuity....

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
5,630 Views
11 Pages

Context Moderates Priming Effects on Financial Risk Taking

  • Silvio Aldrovandi,
  • Petko Kusev,
  • Tetiana Hill and
  • Ivo Vlaev

14 March 2017

Previous research has shown that risk preferences are sensitive to the financial domain in which they are framed. In the present paper, we explore whether the effect of negative priming on risk taking is moderated by financial context. A total of 120...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
6,413 Views
18 Pages

14 March 2017

We explore the extent to which claim incidence in Disability Income Insurance (DII) is affected by changes in the unemployment rate in Australia. Using data from 1986 to 2001, we fit a hurdle model to explore the presence and magnitude of the effect...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
5,782 Views
20 Pages

Evaluating Extensions to Coherent Mortality Forecasting Models

  • Syazreen Shair,
  • Sachi Purcal and
  • Nick Parr

10 March 2017

Coherent models were developed recently to forecast the mortality of two or more sub-populations simultaneously and to ensure long-term non-divergent mortality forecasts of sub-populations. This paper evaluates the forecast accuracy of two recently-p...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
5,394 Views
14 Pages

3 March 2017

In the first part of the paper, the positive and negative jumps of NASDAQ daily (log-) returns and three of its stocks are estimated based on the methodology presented by Theodosiadou et al. 2016, where jumps are assumed to be hidden random variables...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
4,804 Views
14 Pages

3 March 2017

This paper considered a dependent discrete-time risk model, in which the insurance risks are represented by a sequence of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables with a common Gamma-like tailed distribution; the financial...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
7,365 Views
15 Pages

28 February 2017

The replicating portfolio approach is a well-established approach carried out by many life insurance companies within their Solvency II framework for the computation of risk capital. In this note,weelaborateononespecificformulationofareplicatingportfo...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
5,330 Views
14 Pages

Distinguishing Log-Concavity from Heavy Tails

  • Søren Asmussen and
  • Jaakko Lehtomaa

7 February 2017

Well-behaved densities are typically log-convex with heavy tails and log-concave with light ones. We discuss a benchmark for distinguishing between the two cases, based on the observation that large values of a sum X 1 + X 2 occur as resu...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
6,838 Views
22 Pages

5 February 2017

Optimal forms of reinsurance policies have been studied for a long time in the actuarial literature. Most existing results are from the insurer’s point of view, aiming at maximizing the expected utility or minimizing the risk of the insurer. However,...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
7,293 Views
13 Pages

27 January 2017

This article considers an economy where risk is insurable, but selection determines the pool of individuals who take it up. First, we demonstrate that the comparative statics of these economies do not necessarily depend on its marginal selection (adv...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
6,269 Views
22 Pages

22 January 2017

Panel data of our interest consist of a moderate number of panels, while the panels contain a small number of observations. An estimator of common breaks in panel means without a boundary issue for this kind of scenario is proposed. In particular, th...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
5,347 Views
22 Pages

22 January 2017

We consider an insurer who faces an external jump-diffusion risk that is negatively correlated with the capital returns in a multidimensional regime switching model. The insurer selects investment and liability ratio policies continuously to maximize...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
5,481 Views
14 Pages

18 January 2017

The regulation on the Belgian occupational pension schemes has been recently changed. The new law allows for employers to choose between two different types of guarantees to offer to their affiliates. In this paper, we address the question arising na...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
11,121 Views
27 Pages

The Effects of Largest Claim and Excess of Loss Reinsurance on a Company’s Ruin Time and Valuation

  • Yuguang Fan,
  • Philip S. Griffin,
  • Ross Maller,
  • Alexander Szimayer and
  • Tiandong Wang

6 January 2017

We compare two types of reinsurance: excess of loss (EOL) and largest claim reinsurance (LCR), each of which transfers the payment of part, or all, of one or more large claims from the primary insurance company (the cedant) to a reinsurer. The primar...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
7,082 Views
21 Pages

On Comparison of Stochastic Reserving Methods with Bootstrapping

  • Liivika Tee,
  • Meelis Käärik and
  • Rauno Viin

4 January 2017

We consider the well-known stochastic reserve estimation methods on the basis of generalized linear models, such as the (over-dispersed) Poisson model, the gamma model and the log-normal model. For the likely variability of the claims reserve, bootst...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
5,174 Views
24 Pages

27 December 2016

In this paper, we approximate the aggregate claims process by using the translated gamma process under the classical risk model assumptions, and we investigate the ultimate ruin probability. We consider optimal reinsurance under the minimum ultimate...

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Risks - ISSN 2227-9091