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15 December 2025

From Stochastic Orders to Volatility Surfaces: Revisiting the One-X Property

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1
Independent Researcher, Long Island City, NY 11101, USA
2
Independent Researcher, Toronto, ON M2N 0G3, Canada
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This article belongs to the Special Issue Stochastic Modelling in Financial Mathematics, 2nd Edition

Abstract

The One-X property, introduced by Zetocha in a 2023 paper, provides a novel stochastic order with direct implications for constructing arbitrage-free implied volatility surfaces. The current work revisits its theoretical foundations and explores its connections with classical stochastic orders, thereby offering a deeper understanding of its mathematical structure and practical significance in calendar-arbitrage-free modeling. We first present an explicit counterexample to a conjecture raised in Zetocha’s previous paper, and then provide a natural and valid enhancement of this conjecture. After discussing the inherent relations between the One-X property and properties such as TP2, RP2, and unimodality of density ratio (introcuded by Glasserman and Pirjol in their 2024 papers), we further explore some sufficient conditions to achieve the One-X property for random variables of certain mixture types that are frequently seen in applications.

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