Abstract
Computing the exact mathematical expression for a quantity defined in terms of a first-passage time random variable for a jump-diffusion process is in general very difficult. In this paper, we consider the following inverse problem: can we find a certain distribution for the size of the jumps that leads to a simple solution of the integro-differential equation satisfied by the quantity of interest, subject to the appropriate boundary conditions? Such distributions are found, in particular, for the mean of the first-passage time for important jump-diffusion processes.
Keywords:
first-passage time; first-passage place; Brownian motion; integro-differential equation; jump size MSC:
60J70; 60J76
1. Introduction
We consider the one-dimensional jump-diffusion process starting at and defined by
where is a standard Brownian motion, is a Poisson process with rate , and is an infinite set of independent random variables that are distributed as the random variable Y having a probability density function , and are independent of the Poisson process. Moreover, and are independent stochastic processes. The continuous part of the jump-diffusion process is a diffusion process with infinitesimal mean and infinitesimal variance .
We define the first-passage time
where . It can be shown (see [1]) that the moment-generating function of , namely
where , satisfies the integro-differential equation (IDE)
for , subject to the boundary condition
We assume that
- The functions and are continuous on , and .
- The density function is bounded and measurable. Moreover it is such that
- The set D is such that the first–passage time is almost surely finite for all , and the boundary condition for is well posed.
Under these assumptions, it can be shown that the integro–differential operator in (4) is the generator of a Feller jump–diffusion, and that (4), (5) admit a unique bounded classical solution (see [1,2]).
Remark 1.
If , Equation (4) reduces to the well-known Kolmogorov backward equation for the function in the case of a one-dimensional diffusion process. Let
where is a real function, and . We assume that is differentiable with respect to t and twice differentiable with respect to x. By the Markov property,
Using Taylor expansion in both variables t and x, and the properties of , we can write that
Now, in a short interval of length , the number of jumps is equal to
so that the probability of at least two jumps is . Hence,
We have
Making use of the above results, we find that
Finally, the probability density function of the first-passage time satisfies the same partial integro-differential equation as . Equation (4) is then obtained by taking the Laplace transform of the above equation with instead of .
Next, the mean of the random variable satisfies (if it exists) the IDE
The boundary condition is if .
Suppose that the complement of the set D is the interval . Sometimes, we are also interested in the first-passage-place probability
We assume that . The function can be obtained by solving the IDE
This time, the boundary conditions are and . If we are looking for instead, then we must have and . Notice that, since we assumed that , we simply have .
First-passage times have applications in numerous fields. Inverse first-passage-time (IFPT) problems have been studied by various authors mainly for pure diffusion processes, but also for jump-diffusion processes. A classical inverse first-passage-time problem consists in trying to find a barrier b such that for a Brownian motion and a positive random variable we can write that ; see [3]. A related problem for killed Brownian motion was studied by Ettinger et al. [4].
A seminal paper on the inverse first-passage problem is by Capocelli and Ricciardi [5], published in 1972, in which the authors posed the problem, providing constructive criteria and examples. In Zucca and Sacerdote [6], the IFPT problem was treated for a Brownian motion. The authors derived explicit and semi-explicit boundary behavior for given first-passage distributions. Cheng et al. [7] studied the existence and uniqueness of solutions to the inverse boundary crossing problem for diffusions processes. Civallero and Zucca [8] considered the IFPT problem in two dimensions. They solved numerically for boundaries corresponding to target distributions. Klump [9] provided a novel Monte Carlo algorithm that in the limit recovers the boundary solving the IFPT problem.
In [10,11], Abundo considered the following problem: suppose that is a one-dimensional diffusion process whose initial value is a random variable, and is a given boundary. Assuming that , can we find a probability distribution for such that the first-passage-time distribution of below has a certain distribution function ? He obtained results that generalized the ones in Jackson et al. [12] who treated the case when is a Wiener process and is a straight line across the origin. See also [13,14] and the references therein. Abundo [15] has also treated a related inverse first-passage-place problem for jump-diffusion processes, and in [16] he extended the IFPT problem to diffusions with stochastic resetting.
The author has published a number of papers on inverse first-passage problems for diffusion processes; see [17,18]. In [19], an inverse first-passage-place problem was studied.
The jump size Y is sometimes assumed to be exponentially or uniformly distributed. This is a simplifying assumption. In practical applications, the distribution of Y is unknown. Moreover, even if we accept this type of distribution as an acceptable approximation for a particular application, calculating the exact mathematical expression for the functions , and/or is very difficult, and the expressions in question are generally very complicated. In [20], Kou and Wang were able to obtain exact and explicit results for quantities associated to first-passage times of jump-diffusion processes when the jump size has an asymmetric double exponential distribution. Kou mentioned in a related paper [21] that this assumption, made in the context of option pricing, aimed to strike a balance between reality and tractability.
The random variable Y can actually be of any type. If it is of discrete type, or of mixed type, the density function will involve one or several Dirac delta functions. When Y is a discrete random variable, instead of its density function, we can use its probability mass function . The IDE (4) will become a difference-differential equation.
Suppose that . Then Equation (4) becomes
Solving this type of equation is also a difficult task. We must take into account the fact that, for at least some of the values of Y, the quantity may belong to the stopping set D, so that .
If Y is a constant equal to (a degenerate random variable), the IDE simplifies to
Again, may or may not belong to D. If for any x, so that , then the above equation is a non-homogeneous second-order linear ordinary differential equation (ODE).
Finally, in the case of a mixed type random variable, the equation satisfied by the function will involve an integral plus at least one term of the form , thus rendering the problem still more difficult to tackle. Similarly for the functions and .
In this paper, we consider the following inverse problem for jump-diffusion processes: can we find a probability density function for which the function , for instance, is of a given simple form?
In the next section, we will try to find simple solutions to Equation (4). Next, in Section 3 and Section 4, the same problem will be studied for the functions and , respectively. In each case, particular density functions leading to simple solutions will be derived. We will conclude this paper with a few remarks in Section 5.
2. The Moment-Generating Function of the First-Passage Time
Let be a one-dimensional standard Brownian motion, and define
It is well known (and can be deduced at once from Equation (4)) that the moment-generating function of satisfies the Kolmogorov backward equation
for , subject to the boundary condition . The solution to Equation (20) that satisfies the boundary condition, and is such that , is
First, we will try to determine whether a jump-diffusion process whose continuous part is Wiener process can have a moment-generating function of the same form as for a certain non-negative jump size distribution, when the set D is the interval and .
We take and (with ), and we assume that , where . Notice that and that for any , as required.
With this choice, Equation (4) becomes, after simplification,
This equation can be rewritten as follows:
where is the moment-generating function of the random variable Y. Since
we must conclude that there is no legitimate random variable for which Equation (22) is satisfied for any . We can however find a valid density function such that Equation (23) is satisfied for a given value of the parameter , provided that the right-hand member of the equation is in the interval .
For example, suppose that and . Then, if , we must find a density function for which
Let us consider the density function
Then, Equation (25) is satisfied if we choose r such that
We find that 1.2564. Thus, with this density function, we have
There are actually many important random variables Y such that Equation (25) is satisfied. For example, Y can have an exponential distribution with parameter 1.
For any fixed value of , Y can also be a constant . We must choose the constant that satisfies the equation
That is,
We can state the following proposition.
Proposition 1.
Assume that
Then, we have that
for any random variable Y such that
where β is a fixed constant.
Next, if is a geometric Brownian motion with infinitesimal mean x and infinitesimal variance , and if we define
we find that
Remember that the origin is a natural boundary for a geometric Brownian motion since it can be expressed as the exponential of a Wiener process.
We will try to find jump-diffusion processes, with and , having the moment-generating function , where , when
We assume that the jumps are non-negative, so that the process cannot attain or cross the origin. The IDE (4) reduces to
That is,
Setting equal to 1, we obtain the following proposition.
Proposition 2.
If , where , and , then we have for any non-negative random variable Y for which
Remark 2.
(i) The jump size can indeed be state-dependent. (ii) For any , we can obtain conditions on the moments of Y that give by using Newton’s binomial theorem.
To conclude this section, we mention that there is a case when the function will not be of the same form as the function defined in Equation (21), but close. Suppose that
where is the Dirac delta function. The jump is negative, but there is no overshoot at the origin. Indeed, with this density function, the first jump of the Poisson process will immediately bring the jump-diffusion process from its current value to zero.
In the case of a standard Brownian motion with jumps, the IDE (4) reduces to
That is,
It is a simple matter to show that the function that satisfies the conditions and for any is
This result can be generalized to any diffusion process with jumps. The function will satisfy an ODE of the same form as that satisfied by , but non-homogeneous:
A particular solution to the above equation is . It follows that
3. The Expected Value of the First-Passage Time
In this section, we consider the first-passage time
In the case of a Wiener process with drift and dispersion parameter , the expected value of is equal to . We look for jump-diffusion processes for which is of the form , where and . With this choice, the IDE (14) becomes
The function satisfies the conditions and .
We assume that the random variable Y is non-negative. If Y can take any negative value, then for any . Therefore, cannot be of the form for any y in Equation (47).
If , the integral in Equation (14) becomes
If we are looking for the moment-generating function , then the integral in Equation (4) must be divided into two parts:
Finding a random variable Y for which Equation (4) is satisfied for a given form of the function then becomes even more challenging.
Proposition 3.
Let Y be a non-negative random variable having expected value
If the right-hand member of the above equation is non-negative, then the function is given by . Moreover, if and are such that
then .
Proof.
These results follow from Equation (47) with and , respectively. □
Remark 3.
(i) In the case when , Equation (50) is easily satisfied for a wide variety of random variables. Moreover, notice that the mean of Y does not depend on the function . (ii) For , the conditions on the moments of Y can become difficult to satisfy.
The second moment of , , satisfies the IDE
For a Wiener process without jumps and with infinitesimal parameters and , we find that . Let us try a solution of the form , where , in the above equation with and . We obtain that
Assume that and . Then, if , Equation (53) is satisfied if and only if
is positive for any . It follows that the condition must be fulfilled.
Next, suppose that the first-passage time is rather defined by
We try to find random variables Y that yield . Substituting this function into Equation (14), we obtain the following proposition.
Proposition 4.
Suppose that the distribution of the random variable Y is x-dependent and that there can be no overshoot. If the moments and of the random variable Y satisfy the condition
then .
Remark 4.
(i) The assumption that Y is x-dependent means that the jump size distribution depends on the current value of the jump-diffusion process. (ii) In general, in the case of jump-diffusion processes, the process can jump over a lower or an upper boundary. But if the process starts at and if Y is uniformly distributed over the interval (for example), then there can be no jump below the boundary at 0 or above the one at d.
Finally, if we take , the IDE (14) simplifies to
Contrary to the case of the moment-generating function , this ODE is not of the same form as the one satisfied by the corresponding function when there are no jumps (that is, ). If is a standard Brownian motion and the complement of D is the interval , we must solve
subject to the boundary conditions . The solution to this simple ODE that satisfies these conditions involves exponential functions. It is therefore very different from .
4. A First-Passage-Place Probability
In this section, we consider the first-passage time defined in Equation (55), and we define the function
That is, we are interested in a first-passage-place probability. The function must satisfy the boundary conditions and , and be strictly increasing with x in . The interval can obviously be generalized to any finite interval . We assume that there can be no overshoot.
If is a standard Brownian motion, the function is equal to x. If we try this solution in the IDE (16), we obtain that
Proposition 5.
Remark 5.
Let us consider the x-dependent discrete random variable defined as follows:
for any . With this function, there is no overshoot possible, and we indeed have . Moreover, the jump-diffusion process will leave the interval at the moment of the first jump of the Poisson process .
Next, we assume that . Then, we find that Equation (16), under the same hypotheses as in Proposition 5, becomes
With the random variable defined in Equation (61), this equation reduces to
which is possible. For example, if , then we could have and .
Now, let us try the function
This function could give the probability if the jump size Y belongs to the interval and if
is positive.
When the jump size Y has the density function , Equation (16) simplifies to
When is a standard Brownian motion, we find that
As in the case of the function , we see that the function is very different from the corresponding function for the pure diffusion process (namely, ).
Finally, when there can be an overshoot, the problem sometimes becomes easy to solve. For example, suppose that the jump size Y is equal to with probability 1/2. Then, we can write that and for every . It follows that the IDE (16) is reduced to a simple non-homogeneous second-order linear ODE:
For a jump-diffusion process whose continuous part is a standard Brownian motion, we easily find that
where .
An important problem when there may be an overshoot of the boundary by the jump-diffusion process is to determine the distribution, or at least the mean, of this overshoot.
5. Discussion
The problem of computing the exact distribution of first-passage times or first-passage places for jump-diffusion processes is a difficult one. It entails solving an integro-differential equation, subject to appropriate boundary conditions. When the random jumps follow a discrete distribution, the IDE becomes a difference-differential equation. This type of equation is also hard to solve explicitly.
In this paper, instead of choosing a well-known distribution for the jump size, such as an exponential or a uniform distribution, and trying to solve the corresponding IDE, we considered the inverse problem: we chose a simple form for the solution of the IDE, and we tried to determine whether there exist distributions for the random jumps that indeed yield this simple form.
First, we treated the problem when the function that we are looking for is the moment-generating function of the first-passage time . Next, we sought simple expressions for as well as for . Finally, we studied the problem of finding explicit solutions to a first-passage-place problem. We obtained several exact solutions for important jump-diffusion processes, in particular when the continuous part is a Wiener process or a geometric Brownian motion.
The inverse first-passage problem that we considered is different from those treated by other authors for diffusion or jump-diffusion processes.
Future work could focus on obtaining explicit results for first-passage problems for two-dimensional jump-diffusion processes, where jumps may occur in both or only one of the two components. In such cases, when the jumps are continuous random variables, one would need to solve a partial integro-differential equation.
Funding
This research was supported by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada.
Institutional Review Board Statement
Not applicable.
Data Availability Statement
The original contributions presented in this study are included in the article. Further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.
Acknowledgments
The author wishes to thank the anonymous reviewers of this paper for their constructive comments.
Conflicts of Interest
The author declares no conflict of interest.
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