Stability Study for an Age-Structured Epidemic Model with Latent Phase, Relapse and Nonlinear Infection Rate
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Preliminaries
2.1. Assumptions and Notations
- The parameters satisfy: Π, μ, α, , and ;
- The function , the nonnegative cone of the Banach space consisting of essentially bounded functions from into .
- The bilinear incidence , where and denotes the transmission rate (see, e.g., [30]), which is extensively used in modeling the transmission of infectious diseases. However, it does not always accurately conform to the complex epidemiological factors influencing the transmission of a disease.
- Saturated incidence rate given by with , where (see, e.g., [31]), This form approaches a saturation threshold as I becomes large, where represents the infection force, and denotes the inhibition effect from the behavioral change in susceptible individuals when their number increases or from the crowding effect of the infective individuals.
2.2. Volterra Formulation
2.3. Well-Posedness
- (i)
- Σ is positively invariant for , i.e., , for and ;
- (ii)
- is point-dissipative and Σ attract all points in .
- (i)
- Positive invariance of Σ. Let , so . Thus, we can have for all , which implies that for all , proving positive invariance.
- (ii)
- Point-dissipativity and attractivity of Σ. For any , we have satisfiesHence as . Therefore, we can easily deduce that the semiflow is point-dissipative and Σ attracts all points in .
- (i)
- ;
- (ii)
- ;
- (iii)
- .
- (i)
- Let and , it follows for all . Hencewhich proves (i).
- (ii)
- Recall the boundary condition . Using the fact that , we can obtainbecause . This is exactly statement (ii).
- (iii)
- Consider the scalar linear equationIts solution satisfies as , and by the comparison principle, we can conclude that for all . Taking the limit inferior yieldswhich proves (iii).
2.4. Asymptotic Smoothness
- (A1)
- ;
- (A2)
- There exists such that has compact closure for each .
- (B1)
- ;
- (B2)
- ;
- (B3)
- ;
- (B4)
- .
2.5. Basic Reproduction Number and Existence of Steady States
- (i)
- (ii)
- Next, in order to find any positive steady state of system (1)–(3), we assume that (i.e., there is a transmission of disease). Notice that since . Then, it followsfrom and , which arises from Assumption 2. Thus, G is monotonically decreasing on . Moreover, by simple calculation, we obtainFor , by L’Hospital rule, we can obtainNotice that, when , it follows that and thus Equation (17) has no positive real root. However, if , it yields which ensures that (17) has a unique positive real root in ), denoted by . Hence, system (1)–(3) has a unique positive steady state .In summary, the following result has been established:
3. Global Stability
3.1. Local Stability of and
- (i)
- The free steady state is locally asymptotically stable if , whereas it is unstable if ;
- (ii)
- The positive steady state is locally asymptotically stable if .
3.2. Global Stability of
3.3. Uniformly Persistence
3.4. Total Trajectory
3.5. Global Stability of
4. Numerical Simulations
4.1. The Model and Initial Data
4.2. Relationship of and Some Key Parameters
4.3. Evolution of the Solutions of System (52)–(54)
4.4. Dynamical Behavior of Under Variation of p and
5. Conclusions
- : transmission rate per susceptible individual.
- : average duration an individual stays in the infected class.
- : probability that a newly infected individual survives the latency period and becomes infectious.
- : fraction of infected individuals who recover.
- : fraction of recovered individuals who relapse.
- The quantityrepresents the total probability that a recovered individual who experiences relapse will eventually become infectious again. The term p corresponds to the fraction of relapsed individuals who become immediately infectious. The remaining fraction re-enters the latent class, and the factor is the probability that a latent individual survives the latency period and progresses to infectiousness. Therefore,gives the probability that a relapsed individual who returns to latency will eventually reach the infectious class. Summing both contributions gives the overall probability of returning to the infectious class after relapse.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Ghanmi, A.; Nabti, A. Stability Study for an Age-Structured Epidemic Model with Latent Phase, Relapse and Nonlinear Infection Rate. Mathematics 2025, 13, 3994. https://doi.org/10.3390/math13243994
Ghanmi A, Nabti A. Stability Study for an Age-Structured Epidemic Model with Latent Phase, Relapse and Nonlinear Infection Rate. Mathematics. 2025; 13(24):3994. https://doi.org/10.3390/math13243994
Chicago/Turabian StyleGhanmi, Abdeljabbar, and Abderrazak Nabti. 2025. "Stability Study for an Age-Structured Epidemic Model with Latent Phase, Relapse and Nonlinear Infection Rate" Mathematics 13, no. 24: 3994. https://doi.org/10.3390/math13243994
APA StyleGhanmi, A., & Nabti, A. (2025). Stability Study for an Age-Structured Epidemic Model with Latent Phase, Relapse and Nonlinear Infection Rate. Mathematics, 13(24), 3994. https://doi.org/10.3390/math13243994

