Abstract
Is it possible to control NPS (non-point source) pollution whose sources, sizes, and origins are difficult to identify? This study provides a positive answer in a non-cooperative n-firm oligopoly model in which the firms determine levels of differentiated goods and abatement technologies. It first derives a Cournot–Nash equilibrium in which the firms maximize their profit and emit pollution under the ambient charge scheme, combining rewards from the total NPS concentration less than a given standard with the penalties above. The effect of the ambient charge is then analytically shown in homogeneous and heterogeneous duopoly and triopoly. Further, possible controllability is numerically examined in the case of .
Keywords:
NPS pollution; effective ambient charge; n-firm Cournot oligopoly; optimal abatement technology; homogeneous firms; heterogeneous firms MSC:
34A34; 34D05; 91A06; 91A10; 91B24
1. Introduction
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) classifies pollution into two significant categories: point-source (PS) pollution and non-point-source (NPS) pollution. PS pollution originates from identifiable and localized sources, such as pipes, ditches, or containers that discharge pollutants into the environment. According to the Clean Water Act, these are discernible and confined conveyances, excluding agricultural storm water and return flows from irrigation. In contrast, NPS pollution is diffuse and more complicated to trace. It arises from multiple sources and typically occurs when runoff from rain or snowmelt carries pollutants like oil, rubber particles, pesticides, and sediment into nearby water bodies. Urban and rural areas alike contribute to NPS pollution: In cities, runoff flows over impervious surfaces, collecting contaminants. In rural areas, it may come from agriculture, deforestation, or abandoned mines. Although the regulator can measure pollutant concentrations in the environment, it cannot easily identify individual sources or their emissions due to the complex and stochastic nature of NPS pollution. Although PS pollution can be regulated by monitoring each firm’s emissions and applying targeted incentives or penalties, NPS pollution lacks such transparency. Conventional environmental policy tools, like emission-based taxes or quotas, do not work effectively for NPS cases. Consequently, managing NPS pollution has become an urgent and challenging environmental issue, leading to the development of various modeling approaches for better prediction and control.
Several modeling strategies have emerged to understand and manage NPS pollution. Empirical models rely on observational data and are relatively simple but do not capture the physical movement of contaminants. Physically based models use mathematical equations to represent pollution processes but require extensive data. Simulation-based optimization models combine environmental simulation with optimization techniques to handle the complexity of NPS regulation. The present study adopts this third approach, integrating theoretical oligopoly models with environmental concerns. It is a variant of the pioneering work of Cournot (1960) []. There are many different variants of oligopolies. One of the most important extensions is the inclusion of environmental issues. In recent decades, more and more attention has been given to environmental policies to control environmental degradation. Although numerous studies have explored regulatory strategies for PS pollution, environmental regulations for NPS pollution have not been well analyzed in the literature.
Segerson (1988) [] proposes ambient-based regulation where taxes or subsidies are imposed depending on whether observed pollution concentrations meet a predetermined standard. Firms then choose their pollution control technologies and output levels accordingly. Later works have examined how such ambient charges affect firm behavior and environmental outcomes in various market structures. Ganguli and Raju (2012) [] investigate a perverse effect: increased ambient charges could sometimes raise the total pollution level in Bertrand duopoly competition. Ishikawa et al. (2019) [] construct an n-firm Bertrand model and show that the ambient charge effect is negative in duopoly and triopoly and that, for , the sign of the effect depends on the number of the firms involved and the degree of substitutability.
On the other hand, in Cournot duopoly settings with homogenous products, Raju and Ganguli (2013) [] show that a higher ambient charge results in a decrease in NPS pollution. Sato (2017) [] also showed that ambient charges are effective policy measures in the same framework. Extensions by Matsumoto et al. (2017) [] explore multi-stage and dynamic oligopoly models to assess the effectiveness of ambient-based policies, revealing that factors such as the number of firms, the degree of product substitutability, and technology heterogeneity significantly influence outcomes. Matsumoto et al. (2020) [] make another extension to consider how much the ambient charge tax can control NPS pollution in a three-stage game. It is shown that the sub-game perfect equilibrium is obtained, in which the optimal tax is determined to maximize the social welfare at the first stage; the profit-maximizing firms adopt the optimal abatement technologies in the second stage and the optimal productions in the third stage.
In an n-firm Cournot model, Matsumoto and Szidarovszky (2021) [] replace the linear demand function with the hyperbolic demand function and obtain that the ambient charge is effective for controlling the total amount of NPS pollution when the average marginal production cost is less than the average emission coefficient. Matsumoto and Szidarovszky (2022) [] assume that the regulator cannot observe the exact concentrations, implying that each firm considers random profit with expectations maximized by minimizing variances or standard deviations. The effects of the environmental tax rate on industry output, prices, and pollution emission levels are analyzed.
Recently, Matsumoto and Szidarovszky (2025) [] considered a two-stage Cournot duopoly model in which the regulator sets an optimal tax rate maximizing social welfare, the firms select abatement technology in the first stage, and the firms determine their output in the second stage. This study extends the ambient charge effect to a Cournot n-firm oligopoly. Each firm maximizes its profit as a bivariable function, with decision variables being the ambient technology and production level. The profit of each firm includes the revenue, the production cost, the ambient charge (or reward), and the technology installment cost. We determine the Cournot equilibrium and show that the ambient charge effectively controls NPS pollution in homogeneous and heterogeneous cases.
This paper is structured as follows: Section 2 determines the equilibrium and shows how the market size affects the optimal ambient technology, output level, and price. Section 3 considers the symmetric case when the firms are homogeneous and verifies the effect of ambient charges on emission concentration. Section 4 analyzes the asymmetric case where the firms are heterogeneous. It is divided into three sub-sections. Section 4.1 and Section 4.2 analytically confirm that the ambient charge is effective in duopoly and triopoly. Section 4.3 exhibits numerical examples that the ambient charge is still effective in the case of . Section 5 offers concluding remarks and further research directions.
2. n-Firm Oligopoly Model
We recapitulate the main structure of the n-firm oligopoly model constructed by [] We then determine the linear price (i.e., inverse demand) function. (As seen in [], the price functions in (2) can be derived by maximizing the following form of utility:
is, from a consumer’s view point, a proxy for the quality of good i because an increase in positively affects the utility level of good k, which is
in which n is the number of differentiated products or the number of firms, is the quantity of good k, is its price, is the substitution parameter measuring the degree of differentiation between the goods, and denotes the maximum price of good k. It is assumed that the production cost function of firm k is linear and has no fixed cost. denotes the marginal production cost. To avoid negative optimal production, we impose the traditional assumption that is positive. We can call this difference the market size of firm k and denote it by . Each firm produces output and emits pollution. It is assumed that one unit of production emits one unit of pollution. Let denote the pollution abatement technology of firm k with a pollution-free technology if and a fully discharged technology if . If firm k believes that the competitors’ outputs will remain unchanged, then its profit is
where is the ambient standard set by a regulator, is the ambient tax rate and is the installation cost of technology. The rate is measured in some monetary unit per emission. It is positive and can be larger than unity (e.g., USD/ton, EUR/kg, etc.). In this study, we assume that to confine our analysis to the case in which the goods are substitutes:
Assumption 1.
.
Firm k strategically selects optimal output and abatement technology levels, and , to maximize its profit. Differentiating (3) with respect to and presents the first-order conditions for interior maxima as follows:
and
where is the output of the rest of the industry. Solving (5) for yields
If , then . Hence, we know that an environmental tax has a deterrent effect on individual emission. The second-order conditions are
where the last inequality holds if .
Using (5), we rewrite the first-order conditions (4) for the optimal output as
or in a vector form as
where
and
Since is invertible, solving (7) yields the Cournot outputs:
where the diagonal and off-diagonal elements of are, respectively,
and
Note that all calculations in this paper are performed with the help of Mathematica, version 14.2. Next, to guarantee for analytical simplicity, we impose the following condition under which the denominators of the above elements are positive, and the second-order conditions are fulfilled:
Assumption 2.
The Cournot equilibrium output of firm k is
where we introduce a new notation, . From (5) and (9), we also obtain the optimal abatement technology of firm k:
The right-hand side of Equation (10) with (9) is expressed in a form that will facilitate later calculations:
Solving (10) for yields a simplified form of the optimal output:
The Cournot output is non-negative if and not greater than the upper bound, , if .
We will search for the parametric conditions under which the optimal level of the abatement technology is positive and not greater than unity. With (11), we solve and for to have
and
These equations are developed as an n-dimensional simultaneous system of linear equations in :
and
where and C are defined as
Solving, respectively, (14) and (15) for yields the maximum and minimum values of denoted as and :
Equations (12) and (14) are alternative forms of and Equations (13) and (15) are alternative forms of . Conditions or hold if or for . Since holds if . We summarize the feasible conditions for the optimal solutions as follows:
Theorem 1.
The optimal productions and optimal abatement technologies satisfy the feasible conditions, and , if the market sizes are in the set, for , as follows:
In the case of duopoly (i.e., ), the set is the diamond-shaped yellow region in Figure 1A, surrounded by the solid red and dotted red lines of and and by the solid blue and dotted blue lines of and Notice that the solid blue and red curves intersect at and so do the dotted blue and red curves at . If the two firms are homogeneous (i.e., ), the feasible region is shrunk to the dotted diagonal between and In the case of triopoly (i.e., ), the feasible region is described by the hexahedron with diamond-shaped faces, as seen in Figure 1B.
Figure 1.
Feasible regions with . (A) . (B) .
From (9) and (10), we have the following:
and
where the corresponding averages are defined as
The following results concerning the optimal decisions among the firms are familiar:
Theorem 2.
Firm with a larger market size than the average produces more output and adopts more efficient abatement technology than the corresponding averages:
3. Ambient Charge Effect: Homogeneous Firms
We now turn the attention to the effects caused by a change in the ambient charge rate on the total amount of NPS pollution. Let us begin with a simple case in which the firms are homogeneous. To this end, we impose the homogeneous assumption in this section:
Assumption 3.
for .
Inserting into (9) and (10) yields the Cournot equilibrium output and optimal abatement technology:
The feasibility condition, , is transformed as
under which the Cournot output is positive and bounded above, as follows:
The total amount of production pollution is the sum of individual pollutions:
To see how a change in the pollution tax rate affects the total amount, we differentiate with respect to and obtain, after arranging the terms, the following form of the derivative:
where is quadratic in :
with
Since the quadratic and constant coefficients of are positive, is convex in and Its discriminant is
Hence, for Therefore, we have the following from (18):
Theorem 3.
Under Assumptions 1, 2, and 3, the ambient charge is effective in controlling the total amount of NPS pollution when the firms are homogeneous:
By continuity, the negative derivative in Theorem 3 implies that the ambient charge is still effective even if the firms are heterogeneous, provided that their heterogeneities are small enough. We will next move to the general heterogeneous firms in the following section.
4. Ambient Charge Effect: Heterogeneous Firms
We remove Assumption 3 and consider the -effect on the total amount of NPS pollution when the firms are heterogeneous. The total amount of production pollution is the sum of the following individual pollutions:
Differentiating with respect to yields the following form
where is a row vector defined as
and in the denominator of (19) is
and the parametric forms of , and are given in Appendix A as they are too long to be presented here. Furthermore, it is demonstrated in the Results A1 and A2 that under Assumptions 1 and 2,
The right-hand side form of (20) is rewritten as the sum of the quadratic polynomials for , as shown below. If we have to have uniformity of notation, should be :
where implies that is convex in and so are in for . We aim to show for , with which the derivative (19) is negative since its denominator and numerator are positive for any . However, the form in (20) is too complex to determine its sign, so we start with the most simplified case in Section 4.1, where the firms are duopoly. We then consider the triopoly firms in Section 4.2 and move to a general oligopoly in Section 4.3 to show, first, that for for each , and secondly that for .
4.1. Duopoly:
We begin with a duopoly case. Substituting into (21) yields
with
The parameters have the following forms:
In this subsection, we will demonstrate first that for and then that for and .
in (22) is quadratic in , and its discriminant is
Using (23) allows us to rewrite as
Here, denotes the discriminant of as follows:
We first focus on :
Lemma 1.
Under Assumptions 1 and 2, for any .
Proof.
With the parameters in (24), the discriminant of is expanded as
where and
Hence, . with is convex in and . Therefore, for any . This completes the proof. □
We now turn to show :
Lemma 2.
for and .
Proof.
As is seen in (25), the discriminant of is quadratic in . Let us denote the right-hand form of (25) by for simplicity. The bracketed part of the quadratic coefficient of is positive because it is factorized, as follows:
where and
Hence, is concave in and due to Lemma 1. Then, the discriminant of with respect to is
where the square-bracketed term in the second line is positive:
Thus, , which then implies for . With , is convex in , and due to Lemma 1. Therefore, the negative discriminant implies for and . This completes the proof. □
The denominator of Equation (19) is positive due to Assumptions 1 and 2. Hence, Lemma 2 immediately yields the following:
Theorem 4.
Given Assumptions 1 and 2, the ambient charge is effective in controlling the total amount of NPS pollution when the market is in duopoly (i.e., ):
4.2. Triopoly:
Substituting into (21) yields
Here, the parameters are
and are quadratic in and , respectively. Their discriminants are
and
Repeating the procedure taken in the case of we will sequentially show the controllability of the ambient charge as follows:
Lemma 3.
Under Assumptions 1 and 2, for any .
Proof.
The discriminant of is expanded as
where , , and, under Assumptions 1 and 2,
Hence, . is convex in and . Therefore, for any . This completes the proof. □
Lemma 4.
Under Assumptions 1 and 2 for and .
Proof.
The discriminant of is rewritten as
where the quadratic coefficient is negative as and is numerically confirmed, as shown below. This term is confirmed to be negative under Assumptions 1 and 2.
where
Meanwhile, the constant term is negative due to Lemma 3. Let be the right-hand side form of the above equation. It is quadratic in , and its discriminant is
where the square-bracketed term is
and
Hence, . Since is concave in and due to Lemma 3, for all . With the negative discriminant and convexity in , for and . This completes the proof. □
Having Lemmas 3 and 4, we now turn the attention to the parametric conditions under which is positive.
Lemma 5.
Under Assumptions 1 and 2, for any and .
Proof.
The discriminant of is quadratic in :
where the quadratic coefficient is negative and the constant term is negative due to Lemma 4. is concave in . Thus, if , then . We show the negative discriminant with three steps:
[i] For notational simplicity, It is concave in and . Its discriminant for is
where
The quadratic coefficient is positive as and
The square-bracketed constant term is also positive:
is convex in . Hence, if its discriminant is negative, then .
[ii] The discriminant of is
The first factor in the form on the right-hand side of the second line is positive, and the square-bracketed factor is also positive:
Hence, , which then implies .
[iii] We now arrive at the main conclusion through the following chain of the results:
This completes the proof. □
With these lemmas for , we arrive at the following result:
Theorem 5.
Given Assumptions 1 and 2, the ambient charge is effective in controlling the total amount of NPS pollution when the market is triopoly:
4.3. Numerical Analysis
Following the same procedure to be used above, we can show the effectiveness of the ambient tax policy for any n. Returning to polynimials in (21), we notice that implies that is convex in for . If its discriminant is negative, then for . With for , it also can be shown that is convex in and its discriminant is negative. Hence, for any . Therefore, we can arrive at our final destination:
However, as the saying goes, “easier said than done”. The proof for the controllability of the ambient charge becomes longer and clumsy as n increases. Instead of repeating the tedious procedure, we graphically confirm the effectiveness of the tax policy in the case of at the expense of mathematical rigor. In graphical analysis, we treat and as variables and the remaining s as being constant only for convenience. To this end, we reformulate the third term of (20):
Accordingly, is rewritten as
where is a constant term and has the following form:
and
To proceed to the graphical analysis, we first specify the values of and , as shown below. Any numbers satisfying and are possible.
Assumption 4.
and .
Polynominal (26) is essentially quadratic in and . Before proceeding to the case of , we graphically examine the case, which we have already analytically considered in Lemma 2. Polynomials (22) and (23) or (26) with lead to
where Assumption 4 specifies the parameter values given in (24) as
Figure 2A illustrates the graph of in which for for . It is suggested that could hold for any . Figure 2A graphically confirms Lemma 2. Furthermore, the derivative in (19) for is approximated as
The maximands of and as well as the corresponding maximum value of are
Figure 2B is the graph of and shows that it is negative over the same domain, and the red point denotes the maximum value, which is negative.
Figure 2.
The ambient charge effect for n = 2. (A) Graph of . (B) Graph of .
We now move on to polynominal (26) with :
and
where parameters and are
It is clear that changing values of and shifts the graph of but does not affect its shape, which depends only on specified values of and . Taking gives rise to a numerical form of :
Notice that this form is essentially the same as (27)Figure 3A illustrates the graph of , in which the zero surface is in orange and the blue graph is located above the zero surface. Hence, we graphically verify the following:
which then leads to the effectiveness of the ambient charge, which is
In addition, Figure 3B illustrates the graph of with and for . That is, Figure 3B is a cross-sectional view of Figure 3A that is cut diagonally. We must emphasize that the effective result is obtained under numerically specified circumstances and does not imply that it holds generally.
Figure 3.
. (A) Heterogeneous: . (B) Homogeneous: .
We now show that , implying for Let be a difference of from . Using (26), has the following form:
where and ,
and
with . Result A2 in Appendix A has already shown that and for any , implying and . In addition,
Hence,
These sign conditions reveal that and have the same structure of polynomials (22) and that is similar to (23). is convex , and , implying for any . Then, applying Lemma 2, we can show that for and , and then for and Finally, for leads to
Only for analytical simplicity, we impose Assumption 4 and use the dependency of the graphical result, , to derive . We emphasize again that is derived based on the numerical result of and is a numerically specified result.
5. Concluding Remarks
This paper develops an n-firm Cournot oligopoly model in which NPS pollution is created as a by-product of production activities and examines whether the ambient charge environmental policy controls NPS pollution. The profit-maximizing firms game-theoretically determine optimal outputs and select optimal abatement technology. Theorem 1 provides the feasibility conditions that ensure a positive output (i.e., ) and an appropriate technology (i.e., ) at a Nash equilibrium. Theorem 2 clarifies the dependency of optimal decisions on the market size and shows that the firm with the larger market size produces more output and more efficient technology than the corresponding market averages. Theorem 3 shows that the ambient charge scheme effectively controls NPS pollution if the firms are homogeneous in the sense that the market sizes are identical. When the firms are heterogeneous, Theorems 4 and 5 analytically demonstrate the effectiveness of the policy for duopoly () and triopoly (). To proceed further, we specify the parameter values and then numerically confirm the policy effectiveness for quadopoly (). Further, using the results in quadopoly can lead to the same result for pentopoly (). In principle, policy effectiveness should be obtained by repeating the procedure performed in duopoly and triopoly at the expense of long and clumsy operations. Although the numerical analysis performed in quadopoly and pentopoly effectively avoids the repetition of complicated operations, the generality of the results is not guaranteed.
There are many ways to proceed from here. Determining the optimal tax rate is not discussed in this study but is an issue that needs to be considered urgently. However, efficient manipulation of complex mathematical expressions is necessary and challenging. A numerical example could be a good starting point. The literature examines the ambient charge policy in Cournot (i.e., quantity) and Bertrand (i.e., price) competition. Comparing Cournot competition with Bertrand competition is a classical problem, as discussed in []. Recently, Asprounds and Fillipiadis (2021) [] investigate the possibility that the Bertrand firm chooses a dirtier (or more inefficient) abatement technology compared to its Cournot rival under the linear demand and cost functions and PS pollution. An interesting direction is to reconsider our results in a Bertrand framework. For further extension, replacing linear functions of demand and cost with nonlinear functions could make the current results more interesting. However, it is also challenging. For another direction, a dynamic extension, including a production delay, is possible in continuous- and discrete-time frameworks.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, A.M.; Methodology, F.S.; Software, A.M.; Validation, F.S.; Formal analysis, A.M.; Writing—original draft, A.M.; Writing—review & editing, F.S. F.S. passed away prior to the publication of this manuscript. The other author has read and agreed to the published version of this manuscript.
Funding
The first author highly acknowledges the financial supports from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C), 20K01566, 24K04789). The usual disclaimers apply.
Data Availability Statement
No new data were created or analyzed in this study.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Appendix A
First, notice that all calculations in this Appendix are carried out with Mathematica, version 14.2. Second, notice that all functions defined below depend only on , and n. Assumptions 1 and 2 restrict the domains of and to
and integer n is greater than or equal to 2. Hence, it is possible to analytically or numerically verify whether these parameter values are positive or negative, even though they have complicated forms.
where the coefficients are defined as
where the coefficients are defined as
and have factorized forms; thus, the following is clear:
Result A1.
Under Assumptions 1 and 2, and for any .
On the other hand, and have rather complicated forms. Nonetheless, it is possible to determine their signs as follows:
Result A2.
Under Assumptions 1 and 2, and for any .
Proof.
(i) We first show the following for :
It is apparent that
and
where
with
and
Therefore,
(ii) We now focus on
In the same way,
and
where
Therefore,
This completes the proof. □
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