Abstract
Agro-industrial facilities host processes and products that are highly sensitive to thermal fluctuations. Given the projected increase in air temperatures in tropical regions due to climate change, improving indoor thermal conditions in these facilities has become critically important. Conventional cooling systems are widely used to maintain adequate indoor temperatures; however, they are associated with high energy consumption. In this context, Ground Source Heat Pump (GSHP) technology emerges as a promising alternative to reduce cooling loads by exchanging heat with the ground. This study evaluates the reductions in cooling energy consumption and the return on investment of a GSHP system integrated with conventional cooling system, considering a prototype agro-industrial room located in two ecotones of the Brazilian Midwest: the Amazon Forest (AF) and Brazilian Savanna (BS). Building energy simulations were performed using EnergyPlus software v. 9 under current climate conditions and climate change scenarios for 2050 and 2080. Initially, the prototype room was conditioned using a conventional HVAC system; subsequently, a GSHP system was integrated to enhance energy efficiency and reduce energy demand. Under current conditions, cooling energy demand in the BS and AF ecotones is projected to increase by 16.5% and 18.3% by 2050, and by 24.5% and 23.5% by 2080, respectively. The payback analysis indicates that the average return on investment improves under future climate scenarios, decreasing from 14.5 years under current conditions to 10.13 years in 2050 and 9.86 years in 2080. The findings contribute to understanding the thermal resilience and economic feasibility of ground-coupled heat exchangers as a sustainable strategy for mitigating climate change impacts in the agro-industrial sector.