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Econometrics, Volume 9, Issue 1

2021 March - 14 articles

Cover Story: Time series of counts enjoy numerous applications in various fields as economics, engineering, and epidemiology. This article considers goodness-of-fit tests for bivariate INAR and bivariate Poisson autoregression models. The test statistics are based on an L2-type distance between two estimators of the probability generating function of the observations: one being entirely nonparametric and the second one being semiparametric computed under the corresponding null hypothesis. The asymptotic distribution of the proposed tests statistics both under the null hypotheses as well as under alternatives is derived. The finite-sample performance of a parametric bootstrap version of the tests is illustrated via a series of Monte Carlo experiments. An application on a real data set of claims counts is provided. View this paper
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Articles (14)

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
6,969 Views
25 Pages

We provide evidence on the least biased ways to identify causal effects in situations where there are multiple outcomes that all depend on the same endogenous regressor and a reasonable but potentially contaminated instrumental variable that is avail...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
3,833 Views
17 Pages

Integration and Disintegration of EMU Government Bond Markets

  • Christian Leschinski,
  • Michelle Voges and
  • Philipp Sibbertsen

It is commonly found that the markets for long-term government bonds of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) countries were integrated prior to the EMU debt crisis. Contrasting this, we show, based on the interrelation between market integration and fra...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
4,379 Views
35 Pages

This paper develops residual-based monitoring procedures for cointegrating polynomial regressions (CPRs), i.e., regression models including deterministic variables and integrated processes, as well as integer powers, of integrated processes as regres...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
4,868 Views
25 Pages

We assess the forecasting performance of the nowcasting model developed at the New York FED. We show that the observation regarding a striking difference in the model’s predictive ability across business cycle phases made earlier in the literature al...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
5,024 Views
20 Pages

Goodness–of–Fit Tests for Bivariate Time Series of Counts

  • Šárka Hudecová,
  • Marie Hušková and
  • Simos G. Meintanis

This article considers goodness-of-fit tests for bivariate INAR and bivariate Poisson autoregression models. The test statistics are based on an L2-type distance between two estimators of the probability generating function of the observations: one b...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
4,893 Views
22 Pages

Econometric studies for global heating have typically used regional or global temperature averages to study its long memory properties. One typical explanation behind the long memory properties of temperature averages is cross-sectional aggregation....

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,241 Views
10 Pages

Hospital Emergency Room Savings via Health Line S24 in Portugal

  • Paula Simões,
  • Sérgio Gomes and
  • Isabel Natário

Hospital emergency departments are often overused by patients that do not really need urgent care. These admissions are one of the major factors contributing to hospital costs, which should not be allowed to compromise the response and effectiveness...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,397 Views
25 Pages

This study proposes a nonlinear cointegrating regression model based on the well-known energy balance climate model. Specifically, I investigate the nonlinear cointegrating regression of the mean of temperature anomaly distributions on total radiativ...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
5,091 Views
27 Pages

This survey paper discusses the Cointegrated Vector AutoRegressive (CVAR) methodology and how it has evolved over the past 30 years. It describes major steps in the econometric development, discusses problems to be solved when confronting theory with...

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Econometrics - ISSN 2225-1146