Unmasking Greenwashing in the Building Materials Industry Through an Evolutionary Game Approach via Prospect Theory
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Prospect Theory
2.2. Greenwashing Behavior
2.3. Collusion Behavior
2.4. Summary of Knowledge Gaps
3. Methodology
3.1. Research Method
3.2. Problem Description
3.3. Model Assumption
3.4. Equilibrium Point Calculation
3.5. Stability Analysis
4. Numerical Simulation
4.1. Impact of Initial Willingness on the Evolutionary Steady State of the System
4.1.1. Impact of Changes in the Initial Willingness of the Building Material Enterprise on System Evolutionary Steady States
4.1.2. Impact of Changes in the Initial Willingness of the Certification Institution on the Evolutionary Steady State of the System
4.2. Impact of the Degree of Marginal Decrease of the Value Function on the Evolutionary Steady State of the System
4.3. Impact of the Loss Aversion Coefficient on the Evolutionary Steady State of the System
5. Discussion
5.1. Impact of the Initial Willingness of the Building Material Enterprise and the Certification Institution on the Evolution Results of the System
5.2. Impact of the Degree of Marginal Decrease of the Value Function on the Strategic Choices of the Building Material Enterprise and the Certification Institution
5.3. Impact of the Loss Aversion Coefficient on the Strategic Choices of the Building Material Enterprise and the Certification Institution
6. Conclusions and Limitations
6.1. Conclusions
- (1)
- In the process of the two-party evolutionary game, there are three ESS points, , , and . Among them, indicates that the building material enterprise chooses greenwashing behavior and that the certification institution chooses collusion. At this time, government regulation is weak, and both parties are dominated by the drive of interest. indicates that the building material enterprise chooses greenwashing behavior and the certification institution chooses noncollusion, which originates from the dual role of reduced profit distribution and increased regulatory pressure. is the optimal stable state; that is, the building material enterprise chooses green behavior, and the certification institution refuses to collude, which needs to meet the strict regulatory conditions and cost‒benefit trade-offs. At the same time, improving the initial willingness of the building material enterprise and the certification institution helps to evolve to the optimal stable state.
- (2)
- The marginal decreasing degree of the value function of perceived profits and losses for decision makers affects the building material enterprise’s strategy choice. When is smaller than the critical value between 0.35 and 0.5, the building material enterprise will eventually choose greenwashing behavior. When is greater than this critical value, the building material enterprise will eventually choose green behavior. In addition, the greater the degree of marginal decrease in the value function of perceived profits and losses for decision makers is, the more it can encourage the building material enterprise to choose green behavior. Therefore, increasing the degree of marginal decrease in the value function of perceived profits and losses for decision makers can help control the green behavior of the building material enterprise. The marginal decreasing degree of the value function of perceived profits and losses for decision makers will not affect the strategy choice of the certification institution but will affect the evolution speed. The smaller the marginal decreasing degree of the value function of perceived profits and losses for decision makers is, the more it can promote the certification institution’s choice of noncollusion. Therefore, reducing the degree of marginal decrease in the value function of perceived profits and losses for decision makers helps to discourage the certification institution from colluding with the building material enterprise.
- (3)
- The loss aversion coefficient does not affect the strategic choices of the building material enterprise or the certification institution. The building material enterprise always chooses green behavior, and the certification institution always chooses noncollusion. However, it affects the evolution speed, and the effect on the building material enterprise is more obvious than the effect on the certification institution. The greater the loss aversion coefficient is, the greater the ability of the building material enterprise to choose green behavior and the certification institution to choose noncollusion. Therefore, increasing the perceived value of losses between the two parties can effectively control the greenwashing behavior of the building material enterprise and prevent collusion between the certification institution and the building material enterprise.
6.2. Management Implications
- (1)
- The government should give priority to the procurement of green building materials that meet the standards through government procurement policies. For example, the Chinese government has further expanded the scope of policy implementation on the basis of the previous government procurement to support green building materials to promote the implementation of building quality improvement policies [106]. The demonstration effect of government procurement creates a stable market demand for green building material enterprises and encourages enterprises to increase investment in green production. At the same time, the government should also regularly audit and review the certification institutions to ensure that the test reports issued by them are true and reliable. For example, China’s National Certification and Accreditation Supervision and Administration Commission has promulgated the “Management Measures for Certification Agencies” since 2018 and strictly supervises the certification activities of certification agencies [107]. By strengthening supervision, this can prevent improper collusion between certification institutions and building material enterprises and maintain the credibility of the certification system.
- (2)
- Enlarge the marginal decreasing degree of the value function of the perceived gains and losses of building material enterprises and reduce the marginal decreasing degree of the value function of the perceived gains and losses of certification institutions. At the level of building material enterprises, the government should publicize the benefits of green building materials production by building material enterprises and negative cases of greenwashing by building material enterprises. At the same time, enterprise executives should improve their green cognition [46] to amplify the marginal decreasing degree of the value function of the perceived gains and losses of building material enterprises to encourage them to choose green behavior. At the level of certification institutions, the government can take measures to strengthen the sense of responsibility of certification institutions and encourage them to disclose building materials testing reports to the public to prevent their collusion with building material enterprises.
- (3)
- Amplify the perceived value of building material enterprises and certification institutions to losses. At the level of building material enterprises, the government should take measures to increase the sampling inspection of building materials and crack down on the greenwashing behavior of building material enterprises to encourage them to actively produce green building materials. At the level of certification institutions, on the one hand, the government can enrich punishment measures. For certification institutions with serious violations, in addition to fines, the government can also directly revoke their qualifications. On the other hand, the government can also strictly supervise the qualifications of the certification body, the certification process, the certification equipment, the qualifications of the certification personnel, and the test report issued to avoid collusion between certification institutions and building material enterprises.
6.3. Limitations and Future Work
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Prospect Theory | Greenwashing Behavior of Building Material Enterprises | Collusion | Evolutionary Game | References |
---|---|---|---|---|
√ | √ | [35] | ||
√ | √ | [63] | ||
√ | √ | [37] | ||
√ | √ | [38] | ||
√ | √ | [73] | ||
√ | √ | [19] | ||
√ | √ | [2] | ||
√ | [7] | |||
√ | [16] | |||
√ | √ | √ | √ | This paper |
Unit | Parameter | Parameter Description | Source |
---|---|---|---|
Building material enterprise | C1 | The cost for the building material enterprise to produce greenwashing building materials is C1, C1 > 0 | [78] |
ΔC1 | The additional costs for the building material enterprise to produce green building materials on the basis of original production (such as the costs for realizing green production and green technology innovation) are ΔC1, ΔC1 > 0 | [7,79,80] | |
ΔC2 | The cost for the building material enterprise to bribe the certification institution to participate in collusion is ΔC2, ΔC1 > ΔC2 | [81] | |
F1 | The government fines for greenwashing behavior of the building material enterprise are F1, F1 > 0 | [82] | |
a | The ratio of the collusion profit distribution is a, 0 < a < 1 | [80,83] | |
m | The degree of greenwashing of the building material enterprise is m, m > 1 (the government fines are positively correlated with the degree of greenwashing) | [84] | |
R1 | The income of the building material enterprise selling building materials is R1, R1 > 0 | [78] | |
Certification institution | F2 | The government fines for collusion of the certification institution are F2, F2 > 0 | [80] |
C2 | The basic costs of the certification institution (including consumables, equipment, testing, report costs) are C2, C2 > 0 | [80] | |
C3 | The additional costs of the certification institution (including the cost of issuing false reports and tampering with detection records) are C3, C3 > 0 | [19] | |
R2 | The certification fee is R2, R2 > 0 when the certification institution chooses not to collude; it will levy certification fees for building materials | [79,80,85] | |
n | The marginal decreasing degree of the value function of perceived profits and losses for the decision makers is n, 0 < n < 1; with the increase in n, decision makers tend to take risks | [86] | |
λ | The loss aversion coefficient is λ, λ ≥ 1; with the increase in λ, decision makers’ aversion to loss increases | [37,87] |
Stable Point | det(J) | tr(J) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 0 | |||||
0 | 0 | |||||
0 | 0 | |||||
0 | 0 | |||||
0 | / | / | 0 | / | 0 |
Certification Institution | |||
Noncollusion | Collusion | ||
Building material enterprise | |||
Greenwashing behavior | |||
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© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
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Li, Z.; Zhang, Y.; Hu, Z.; Zeng, Y.; Dong, X.; Lu, X.; Peng, J.; Zhu, M.; Li, X. Unmasking Greenwashing in the Building Materials Industry Through an Evolutionary Game Approach via Prospect Theory. Systems 2025, 13, 495. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13070495
Li Z, Zhang Y, Hu Z, Zeng Y, Dong X, Lu X, Peng J, Zhu M, Li X. Unmasking Greenwashing in the Building Materials Industry Through an Evolutionary Game Approach via Prospect Theory. Systems. 2025; 13(7):495. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13070495
Chicago/Turabian StyleLi, Zihan, Yi Zhang, Zihan Hu, Yixi Zeng, Xin Dong, Xinbao Lu, Jie Peng, Mingtao Zhu, and Xingwei Li. 2025. "Unmasking Greenwashing in the Building Materials Industry Through an Evolutionary Game Approach via Prospect Theory" Systems 13, no. 7: 495. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13070495
APA StyleLi, Z., Zhang, Y., Hu, Z., Zeng, Y., Dong, X., Lu, X., Peng, J., Zhu, M., & Li, X. (2025). Unmasking Greenwashing in the Building Materials Industry Through an Evolutionary Game Approach via Prospect Theory. Systems, 13(7), 495. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13070495