Predictors of Intensive Care Unit Outcomes in Elderly Patients with Acute Respiratory Failure: A Retrospective Cohort Study
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Design and Setting
2.2. Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria
2.3. Data Collection
2.4. Outcome Measures
2.5. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Patient Characteristics
3.2. ICU Outcomes and Mortality-Associated Factors
3.3. Requirement of IMV and Related Factors
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
ARF | Acute Respiratory Failure |
ICU | Intensive Care Unit |
IMV | Invasive Mechanical Ventilation |
SOFA | Sequential Organ Failure Assessment |
RRT | Renal Replacement Therapy |
APACHE II | Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II |
RIFLE | Risk, Injury, Failure, Loss, And End-Stage Renal Disease Classification |
CHF | Chronic Heart Failure |
GCS | Glasgow Coma Scale |
SpO2 | Peripheral Oxygen Saturation |
FiO2 | Fraction of Inspired Oxygen |
P/F ratio | The Ratio of Partial Arterial Oxygen Pressure to FiO2 |
ROX | The Respiratory Rate–Oxygenation Index |
CRP | C-Reactive Protein |
NIV | Non-Invasive Ventilation |
HFNO | High-Flow Nasal Oxygen |
SD | Standard Deviation |
OR | Odds Ratio |
COPD | Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease |
COVID-19 | Coronavirus Disease-2019 |
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All Patients (n = 244) | Survivors (n = 124) | Non-Survivors (n = 120) | p | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age * | 76 [71–82] | 78 [73–83] | 75 [70–82] | 0.097 |
Gender, n (%) | 0.102 | |||
Female | 94 (38.5) | 54 (43.4) | 40 (33.3) | |
Male | 150 (61.5) | 70 (56.6) | 80 (66.7) | |
APACHE II Score * | 20 [16–27] | 18 [14–22] | 25 [18–30] | <0.001 |
SOFA Score * | 6 [3–9] | 4 [2–6] | 8 [5–11] | <0.001 |
Glasgow Coma Scale * | 13 [8–15] | 14 [12–15] | 10 [6–15] | <0.001 |
Length of ICU stay (day) * | 8 [4–18] | 7 [3–11] | 10 [5–23] | 0.007 |
Length of hospital stay before ICU (day) * | 2 [0–8] | 1 [0–3] | 4 [1–14] | <0.001 |
Respiratory Parameters * | ||||
Respiratory rate (/min) | 23 [20–26] | 22 [20–26] | 23 [20–26] | 0.437 |
FiO2 (%) | 41 [31–60] | 40 [30–50] | 50 [37–70] | <0.001 |
SpO2 (%) | 94 [91–97] | 95 [92–97] | 93 [90–97] | 0.137 |
P/F ratio | 163 [116–232] | 173 [131–240] | 154 [95–220] | <0.001 |
ROX index | 9.56 [6.53–13.5] | 11.11 [7.75–14.6] | 8.6 [5–12.34] | 0.039 |
Reasons for Respiratory Failure, n (%) | ||||
Pneumonia | 153 (62.7) | 60 (48.4) | 93 (77.5) | <0.001 |
Decompensated Heart Failure | 95 (38.9) | 59 (47.6) | 36 (30.0) | 0.005 |
Acute Exacerbation of CRD | 85 (34.8) | 50 (40.3) | 35 (29.2) | 0.067 |
Extrapulmonary Causes | 33 (13.5) | 16 (12.9) | 17 (14.2) | 0.773 |
Malignancy | 21 (8.6) | 4 (3.2) | 17 (14.2) | 0.002 |
Pulmonary Embolism | 20 (8.2) | 9 (7.3) | 11 (9.2) | 0.587 |
Airway compromise due to impaired consciousness | 13 (5.3) | 6 (4.8) | 7 (5.8) | 0.729 |
Pneumonia Etiologies, n (%) | ||||
Gram (−) microorganism | 39 (16) | 13 (10.5) | 26 (21.7) | 0.017 |
Gram (+) microorganism | 14 (5.7) | 4 (3.2) | 10 (8.3) | 0.086 |
Viral | 17 (7.0) | 9 (7.3) | 8 (6.7) | 0.856 |
Fungal | 17 (7.0) | 6 (4.8) | 11 (9.2) | 0.184 |
No isolated pathogen | 70 (28.6) | 28 (21.8) | 42 (35) | 0.022 |
History of Aspiration, n (%) | 37 (15.2) | 17 (13.7) | 20 (16.7) | 0.520 |
Presence of shock at ICU admission, n (%) | 88 (36.2) | 13 (10.6) | 75 (62.5) | <0.001 |
Presence of sepsis at ICU admission, n (%) | 120 (49.2) | 33 (26.6) | 87 (72.5) | <0.001 |
Comorbidities, n (%) | ||||
Cardiac disorders | 179 (73.7) | 89 (72.4) | 90 (75.0) | 0.640 |
Hypertension | 155 (63.8) | 87 (70.7) | 68 (56.7) | 0.023 |
Pulmonary disease | 127 (52.3) | 70 (56.9) | 57 (47.5) | 0.142 |
Endocrinological disease | 82 (33.9) | 43 (35.2) | 39 (32.5) | 0.652 |
Malignancy | 89 (36.6) | 29 (23.6) | 60 (50.0) | <0.001 |
Chronic renal disease | 75 (30.9) | 38 (30.1) | 37 (31.7) | 0.789 |
Neurological disease | 60 (24.7) | 37 (30.1) | 23 (19.2) | 0.049 |
Gastroenterologic disorders | 12 (4.9) | 4 (3.3) | 8 (6.7) | 0.219 |
Rheumatological disease | 5 (2.1) | 3 (2.4) | 2 (1.7) | 1.00 |
Requirement of respiratory support, n (%) | ||||
Invasive mechanical ventilation | 139 (56.9) | 30 (24.4) | 109 (90.8) | <0.001 |
Non-invasive mechanical ventilation | 80 (32.9) | 52 (42.3) | 28 (23.3) | 0.002 |
HFNO | 19 (7.9) | 10 (8.1) | 9 (7.6) | 0.870 |
Nasal oxygen therapy | 53 (23.4) | 48 (38.7) | 9 (7.5) | <0.001 |
RIFLE stage at ICU admission, n (%) | ||||
Risk | 63 (25.9) | 31 (25.2) | 32 (26.7) | 0.795 |
Injury | 28 (11.5) | 13 (10.6) | 15 (12.5) | 0.637 |
Failure | 42 (17.3) | 14 (11.4) | 28 (23.3) | 0.014 |
Loss | 5 (2.1) | 4 (3.3) | 1 (0.8) | 0.370 |
End-stage | 19 (7.8) | 5 (4.1) | 14 (11.7) | 0.027 |
Requirement of RRT, n (%) | 85 (35.1) | 20 (16.3) | 65 (54.6) | <0.001 |
Intermittent hemodialysis | 59 (24.4) | 16 (13.0) | 43 (36.1) | <0.001 |
CRRT | 49 (20.2) | 4 (3.3) | 45 (37.8) | <0.001 |
Nutritional support, n (%) | ||||
Parenteral | 19 (7.9) | 6 (4.9) | 13 (10.9) | 0.080 |
Enteral | 164 (67.5) | 73 (59.3) | 91 (75.8) | 0.006 |
All Patients (n = 244) | Survivors (n = 124) | Non-Survivors (n = 120) | p | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Blood Urea Nitrogen (mg/dL) * | 42 [26–61] | 34 [23–58] | 47 [32–66] | 0.003 |
Creatinine (mg/dL) * | 1.32 [0.85–2.38] | 1.18 [0.83–2.24] | 1.6 [0.87–2.8] | 0.130 |
Sodium (mEq/L) * | 139 [135–142] | 139 [136–142] | 138 [134–142] | 0.121 |
Chloride (mEq/L) * | 102 [96–107] | 101 [98–107] | 103 [97–107] | 0.865 |
Potassium (mEq/L) * | 4.1 [3.6–4.6] | 4.0 [3.6–4.6] | 4.1 [3.6–4.8] | 0.233 |
Calcium (mg/dL) * | 9.1 [8.4–9.6] | 9.1 [8.5–9.6] | 9.2 [8.3–9.7] | 0.880 |
Phosphorus (mg/dL) * | 3.5 [2.8–4.8] | 3.4 [2.8–4.5] | 3.7 [2.8–5.4] | 0.229 |
Magnesium (mg/dL) * | 1.9 [1.8–2.2] | 1.9 [1.7–2.1] | 2.0 [1.8–2.2] | 0.065 |
Alanine transaminase (U/L) * | 21 [12–42] | 16 [11–31] | 26 [14–55] | <0.001 |
Aspartate transaminase (U/L) * | 28 [17–53] | 24 [15–36] | 37 [21–70] | <0.001 |
Total Bilirubin (mg/dL) * | 0.86 [0.6–1.34] | 0.78 [0.54–1.15] | 0.99 [0.64–1.58] | 0.003 |
Albumin (g/dL) * | 2.6 [2.3–3.1] | 2.9 [2.4–3.3] | 2.5 [2.2–2.8] | <0.001 |
Hypoalbuminemia, n (%) | 166 (68.3) | 66 (53.2) | 100 (84) | <0.001 |
D-dimer * | 2.9 [1.6–6.7] | 2.5 [1.6–4.9] | 4.2 [1.6–10.3] | 0.061 |
proBNP * | 7300 [2900–18,500] | 6040 [2300–18,000] | 7900 [3500–34,000] | 0.273 |
Arterial blood gas sampling * | ||||
pH | 7.36 [7.30–7.44] | 7.39 [7.32–7.45] | 7.35 [7.26–7.42] | 0.004 |
PCO2 (mmHg) | 38 [31–49] | 39 [32–52] | 38 [31–46] | 0.271 |
PO2 (mmHg) | 71 [61–87] | 69 [59–84] | 75 [64–91] | 0.091 |
HCO3 (mEq/L) | 22.5 [18.6–27.5] | 25.2 [19.8–28.8] | 20.6 [16.1–25.2] | <0.001 |
Lactate (mmol/L) | 1.7 [1.2–2.5] | 1.5 [1.0–2.0] | 2.1 [1.5–3.0] | <0.001 |
WBC (×103/µL) * | 10.7 [7.5–17.7] | 10.5 [7.7–14.9] | 12.1 [7.0–16.8] | 0.798 |
NLR * | 10.6 [5.8–21.2] | 10.2 [5.6–20.1] | 12.1 [7.0–18.8] | 0.202 |
C-reactive protein (mg/L) * | 98 [38–169] | 83 [28–146] | 124 [71–200] | <0.001 |
Procalcitonin (ng/mL) * | 0.73 [0.26–2.84] | 0.42 [0.16–2.13] | 1.22 [0.36–5.2] | <0.001 |
Adjusted OR [95% CI] | p | |
---|---|---|
APACHE II Score | 0.921 [0.849–1.000] | 0.049 |
SOFA Score | 1.316 [1.089–1.590] | 0.005 |
Pneumonia as a reason for respiratory failure | 1.523 [0.559–4.150] | 0.410 |
Malignancy as a reason for respiratory failure | 1.792 [0.293–10.953] | 0.528 |
Presence of shock at ICU admission | 2.875 [1.046–7.905] | 0.041 |
Requirement of IMV | 9.415 [3.591–24.679] | <0.001 |
Requirement of RRT | 3.039 [1.125–8.206] | 0.028 |
ROX index | 0.950 [0.880–1.025] | 0.187 |
Pneumonia due to Gram-negative bacteria | 1.166 [0.368–3.698] | 0.794 |
CRP | 1.002 [0.998–1.006] | 0.373 |
Length of hospital stay before ICU | 1.015 [0.973–1.059] | 0.476 |
Hypoalbuminemia | 3.647 [1.238–10.742] | 0.019 |
All Patients n = 244 | IMV (−) Group n = 105 | IMV (+) Group n = 139 | p | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age * | 76 [71–82] | 78 [73–84] | 75 [70–81] | 0.042 |
Gender, n (%) | 0.050 | |||
Female | 94 (38.5) | 48 (45.7) | 46 (33.1) | |
Male | 150 (61.5) | 57 (54.3) | 93 (66.9) | |
APACHE II Score * | 20 [16–27] | 17 [14–20] | 25 [18–30] | <0.001 |
SOFA Score * | 6 [3–9] | 4 [2–6] | 8 [5–11] | <0.001 |
Glasgow Coma Scale * | 13 [8–15] | 15 [13–15] | 9 [6–14] | <0.001 |
Length of ICU stay (day) * | 8 [4–18] | 6 [3–8] | 13 [5–27] | <0.001 |
Length of hospital stay before ICU (day) * | 2 [0–8] | 1 [0–3] | 4 [1–13] | <0.001 |
Respiratory Parameters * | ||||
Respiratory rate (/min) | 23 [20–26] | 23 [20–26] | 23 [20–26] | 0.990 |
FiO2 (%) | 41 [31–60] | 37 [30–50] | 50 [37–68] | <0.001 |
SpO2 (%) | 94 [91–97] | 94 [92–97] | 94 [91–97] | 0.868 |
P/F ratio | 163 [116–232] | 188 [140–240] | 153 [95–219] | <0.001 |
ROX index | 9.56 [6.53–13.5] | 11.06 [7.3–15.1] | 8.82 [5.06–12.44] | <0.001 |
Reasons for Respiratory Failure, n (%) | ||||
Pneumonia | 153 (62.7) | 46 (43.8) | 107 (76.9) | <0.001 |
Decompensated Heart Failure | 95 (38.9) | 55 (52.4) | 40 (28.8) | <0.001 |
Acute Exacerbation of CRD | 85 (34.8) | 43 (41.0) | 42 (30.2) | 0.866 |
Extrapulmonary Causes | 33 (13.5) | 12 (11.4) | 21 (15.1) | 0.393 |
Malignancy | 21 (8.6) | 4 (3.8) | 17 (12.2) | 0.019 |
Pulmonary Embolism | 20 (8.2) | 9 (8.6) | 11 (7.9) | 0.089 |
Airway compromise due to impaired consciousness | 13 (5.3) | 5 (4.8) | 8 (5.8) | 0.722 |
Pneumonia Etiologies, n (%) | ||||
Gram (-) microorganism | 39 (16) | 12 (11.4) | 27 (19.4) | 0.087 |
Gram (+) microorganism | 14 (5.7) | 3 (2.9) | 11 (7.9) | 0.90 |
Viral | 17 (7.0) | 3 (2.9) | 14 (10.1) | 0.027 |
Fungal | 17 (7.0) | 5 (4.8) | 12 (8.6) | 0.234 |
No isolated pathogen | 70 (28.6) | 21 (20) | 49 (35.3) | 0.011 |
History of Aspiration, n (%) | 37 (15.2) | 16 (15.2) | 21 (15.1) | 0.996 |
Presence of shock at ICU admission, n (%) | 88 (36.2) | 8 (7.6) | 80 (57.6) | <0.001 |
Presence of sepsis at ICU admission, n (%) | 120 (49.2) | 22 (21.0) | 87 (72.5) | <0.001 |
Comorbidities, n (%) | ||||
Cardiac disorders | 179 (73.7) | 80 (76.2) | 99 (71.2) | 0.435 |
Hypertension | 155 (63.8) | 73 (69.5) | 82 (59.0) | 0.105 |
Pulmonary disease | 127 (52.3) | 60 (57.1) | 67 (48.2) | 0.184 |
Endocrinological disease | 82 (33.9) | 28 (26.7) | 61 (43.9) | 0.005 |
Malignancy | 89 (36.6) | 35 (33.7) | 47 (33.8) | 0.948 |
Chronic renal disease | 75 (30.9) | 38 (36.2) | 37 (26.6) | 0.117 |
Neurological disease | 60 (24.7) | 29 (27.6) | 31 (22.3) | 0.356 |
Gastroenterologic disorders | 12 (4.9) | 5 (4.8) | 7 (5.1) | 0.912 |
Rheumatological disease | 5 (2.1) | 3 (2.9) | 2 (1.4) | 0.655 |
Requirement of respiratory support, n (%) | ||||
Non-invasive mechanical ventilation | 80 (32.9) | 44 (41.9) | 36 (25.9) | 0.009 |
HFNO | 19 (7.9) | 10 (9.5) | 9 (6.5) | 0.397 |
RIFLE stage at ICU admission, n (%) | ||||
Risk | 63 (25.9) | 30 (28.6) | 33 (23.7) | 0.412 |
Injury | 28 (11.5) | 11 (10.5) | 17 (12.2) | 0.656 |
Failure | 42 (17.3) | 12 (11.4) | 30 (21.6) | 0.035 |
Loss | 5 (2.1) | 3 (2.9) | 2 (1.4) | 0.655 |
End-stage | 19 (7.8) | 5 (4.8) | 14 (10.1) | 0.122 |
Requirement of RRT, n (%) | 85 (35.1) | 14 (13.3) | 71 (51.1) | <0.001 |
Intermittent hemodialysis | 59 (24.4) | 13 (12.4) | 46 (33.1) | <0.001 |
CRRT | 49 (20.2) | 1 (1) | 48 (34.5) | <0.001 |
Nutritional support, n (%) | ||||
Parenteral | 19 (7.9) | 4 (3.8) | 15 (10.8) | 0.041 |
Enteral | 164 (67.5) | 54 (51.4) | 110 (79.1) | <0.001 |
All Patients n = 244 | IMV (−) Group n = 105 | IMV (+) Group n = 139 | p | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Blood Urea Nitrogen (mg/dL) | 42 [26–61] | 36 [24–59] | 45 [29–65] | 0.084 |
Creatinine (mg/dL) | 1.32 [0.85–2.38] | 1.29 [0.92–2.25] | 1.42 [0.74–2.73] | 0.938 |
Sodium (mEq/L) | 139 [135–142] | 139 [136–142] | 139 [135–142] | 0.913 |
Chloride (mEq/L) | 102 [96–107] | 101 [97–107] | 103 [98–108] | 0.508 |
Potassium (mEq/L) | 4.1 [3.6–4.6] | 4.1 [3.6–4.7] | 4.0 [3.5–4.6] | 0.652 |
Calcium (mg/dL) | 9.1 [8.4–9.6] | 9.1 [8.5–9.5] | 9.2 [8.3–9.6] | 0.857 |
Phosphorus (mg/dL) | 3.5 [2.8–4.8] | 3.5 [3.0–4.6] | 3.45 [2.6–5.1] | 0.982 |
Magnesium (mg/dL) | 1.9 [1.8–2.2] | 1.9 [1.7–2.2] | 2 [1.8–2.2] | 0.289 |
Alanine transaminase (U/L) | 21 [12–42] | 16 [11–30] | 25 [13–55] | 0.003 |
Aspartate transaminase (U/L) | 28 [17–53] | 23 [13–36] | 33 [19–67] | <0.001 |
Total Bilirubin (mg/dL) | 0.86 [0.6–1.34] | 1.23 [1.12–1.45] | 1.34 [1.2–1.61] | 0.007 |
Albumin (g/dL) | 2.6 [2.3–3.1] | 2.9 [2.5–3.4] | 2.5 [2.2–2.8] | <0.001 |
Hypoalbuminemia, n (%) | 166 (68.3) | 53 (50.5) | 113 (81.3) | <0.001 |
D-dimer | 2.9 [1.6–6.7] | 2.2 [1.2–5.0] | 3.3 [1.8–9.8] | 0.059 |
proBNP | 7300 [2900–18,500] | 6000 [2800–16,000] | 7900 [3500–28,000] | 0.266 |
Arterial blood gas sampling * | ||||
pH | 7.36 [7.30–7.44] | 7.38 [7.32–7.44] | 7.35 [7.27–7.44] | 0.152 |
PCO2 (mmHg) | 38 [31–49] | 39 [32–51] | 38 [31–47] | 0.331 |
PO2 (mmHg) | 71 [61–87] | 68 [58–83] | 75 [65–95] | 0.062 |
HCO3 (mEq/L) | 22.5 [18.6–27.5] | 24.9 [20–28.5] | 20.8 [17.7–25.7] | 0.004 |
Lactate (mmol/L) | 1.7 [1.2–2.5] | 1.4 [1.0–2.1] | 2.0 [1.4–2.9] | <0.001 |
WBC (×103/µL) | 10.7 [7.5–17.7] | 10.3 [7.6–14.5] | 12.1 [7.2–16.0] | 0.335 |
NLR | 10.6 [5.8–21.2] | 10.6 [5.6–20.5] | 10.6 [5.9–22.5] | 0.488 |
C-reactive protein (mg/L) | 98 [38–169] | 78 [27–146] | 122 [66–185] | <0.001 |
Procalcitonin (ng/mL) | 0.73 [0.26–2.84] | 0.45 [0.17–2.12] | 0.97 [0.33–5.2] | <0.001 |
Adjusted OR [95% CI] | p | |
---|---|---|
Age | 0.996 [0.948–1.005] | 0.873 |
Gender | 1.445 [0.657–3.177] | 0.360 |
Pneumonia as a reason for respiratory failure | 2.575 [1.083–6.120] | 0.032 |
Malignancy as a reason for respiratory failure | 2.268 [0.521–9.873] | 0.275 |
P/F ratio | 1.001 [0.996–1.005] | 0.770 |
ROX index | 0.908 [0.839–0.983] | 0.017 |
Pneumonia due to viral etiologies | 2.470 [0.419–14.571] | 0.318 |
No pathogen isolated for pneumonia | 1.852 [0.713–4.809] | 0.206 |
CRP | 0.999 [0.996–1.003] | 0.658 |
Procalcitonin | 1.010 [0.996–1.024] | 0.156 |
Length of hospital stay before ICU | 1.044 [0.998–1.092] | 0.063 |
Hypoalbuminemia | 4.115 [1.743–9.719] | 0.001 |
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Dündar, N.B.; İnci, K.; Pamuk, İ.; Aygencel, G.; Turkoglu, M. Predictors of Intensive Care Unit Outcomes in Elderly Patients with Acute Respiratory Failure: A Retrospective Cohort Study. J. Clin. Med. 2025, 14, 5761. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14165761
Dündar NB, İnci K, Pamuk İ, Aygencel G, Turkoglu M. Predictors of Intensive Care Unit Outcomes in Elderly Patients with Acute Respiratory Failure: A Retrospective Cohort Study. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 2025; 14(16):5761. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14165761
Chicago/Turabian StyleDündar, Nazlıhan Boyacı, Kamil İnci, İrem Pamuk, Gulbin Aygencel, and Melda Turkoglu. 2025. "Predictors of Intensive Care Unit Outcomes in Elderly Patients with Acute Respiratory Failure: A Retrospective Cohort Study" Journal of Clinical Medicine 14, no. 16: 5761. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14165761
APA StyleDündar, N. B., İnci, K., Pamuk, İ., Aygencel, G., & Turkoglu, M. (2025). Predictors of Intensive Care Unit Outcomes in Elderly Patients with Acute Respiratory Failure: A Retrospective Cohort Study. Journal of Clinical Medicine, 14(16), 5761. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14165761