Inside the Playbook: Tactical Signatures of Winning Teams in the NBA
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Sample
2.2. Procedures
2.3. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Play Type | Operational Description |
|---|---|
| Isolation | A situation in which a player attacks one-on-one, usually from a static position, without direct tactical involvement from teammates to create an advantage. |
| Transition | Fast play after regaining possession of the ball, aiming to score before the opposing defense is set. Characterized by speed, verticality, and low structure. |
| Pick-and-Roll Ball Handler | The player with the ball uses a direct screen to create an advantage. Their decisions after the screen (drive, pass, or shot) are analyzed. |
| Pick-and-Roll Man | Player who sets the screen in the pick-and-roll and then rolls to the basket or pops out, looking to exploit mismatches created by the screen. |
| Post-Up | Action in which a player receives the ball near the basket, usually with their back to it, aiming to score through physical play or to attract defensive help. |
| Spot-Up | Shooting action after receiving the ball from a fixed position or with minimal movement, generally in open-space or spacing situations. |
| Hand-Off | Moving pass where the player with the ball hands it off directly to a teammate approaching, creating a dynamic screen-and-pass action and tactical advantage. |
| Cut | Off-ball movement toward the basket, typically to receive in an advantageous position. Includes direct cuts, backdoor cuts, or cuts off screens. |
| Off-Screen | Play in which the offensive player uses off-ball screens to open and receive the ball in a favorable position. Requires coordination and tactical reading. |
| Put-Backs | Immediate offensive action after grabbing an offensive rebound. Considered effective in moments of defensive disorganization. |
| Miscellaneous | Residual category grouping situations not classified under other play types, such as chaotic possessions, forced shots, or unsystematic opponent mistakes. |
| Play Types | Points per Possession | Frequency (%) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cluster 1 | Cluster 2 | Cluster 3 | p-Value (ES) | Cluster 1 | Cluster 2 | Cluster 3 | p-Value (ES) | |
| Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | |||
| Isolation | 0.94 (0.07) | 0.90 (0.07) | 0.86 (0.07) | 0.00 (0.14) a,b,c | 7.19 (2.07) | 6.88 (1.67) | 5.87 (1.61) | 0.00 (0.07) b,c |
| Transition | 1.14 (0.04) | 1.13 (0.04) | 1.11 (0.04) | 0.00 (0.11) b,c | 16.49 (2.06) | 15.84 (1.87) | 16.07 (1.95) | 0.19 |
| Pick-and-roll ball handler | 0.92 (0.05) | 0.90 (0.05) | 0.84 (0.06) | 0.00 (0.26) b,c | 16.02 (2.63) | 17.77 (2.43) | 17.37 (2.55) | 0.00 (0.09) a,b |
| Pick-and-roll man | 1.15 (0.07) | 1.14 (0.07) | 1.10 (0.07) | 0.00 (0.06) b,c | 5.83 (1.24) | 5.81 (1.02) | 5.76 (0.95) | 0.96 |
| Post-up | 0.97 (0.07) | 0.96 (0.07) | 0.92 (0.08) | 0.00 (0.06) b,c | 4.82 (1.88) | 4.08 (1.67) | 3.92 (1.08) | 0.01 (0.05) a,b |
| Spot-up | 1.06 (0.05) | 1.03 (0.04) | 0.98 (0.05) | 0.00 (0.31) a,b,c | 23.31 (2.00) | 23.53 (2.11) | 24.20 (1.87) | 0.13 |
| Hand-off | 0.94 (0.06) | 0.93 (0.07) | 0.90 (0.08) | 0.00 (0.06) b,c | 4.8 (1.46) | 4.89 (1.27) | 5.11 (1.26) | 0.57 |
| Cut | 1.31 (0.06) | 1.29 (0.06) | 1.27 (0.06) | 0.00 (0.09) b | 7.02 (1.39) | 6.84 (1.31) | 6.95 (1.05) | 0.74 |
| Off-screen | 0.99 (0.07) | 0.97 (0.07) | 0.95 (0.08) | 0.08 | 3.83 (1.5) | 4.00 (1.54) | 3.88 (1.15) | 0.79 |
| Put-back | 1.13 (0.06) | 1.11 (0.06) | 1.10 (0.06) | 0.22 | 5.12 (0.74) | 5.25 (0.82) | 5.40 (0.075) | 0.27 |
| Miscellanea | 0.56 (0.05) | 0.55 (0.06) | 0.52 (0.06) | 0.01 (0.05) b,c | 5.43 (0.54) | 5.38 (0.65) | 5.51 (0.55) | 0.63 |
| Play Types | Points per Possession | Frequency (%) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cluster 1 | Cluster 2 | Cluster 3 | p-Value (ES) | Cluster 1 | Cluster 2 | Cluster 3 | p-Value (ES) | |
| Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | |||
| Isolation | 0.94 (0.06) | 0.92 (0.12) | 0.94 (0.18) | 0.84 | 9.33 (2.60) | 9.97 (3.87) | 8.93 (3.56) | 0.49 |
| Transition | 1.15 (0.07) | 1.11 (0.10) | 1.04 (0.15) | 0.01 (0.10) b | 15.14 (2.15) | 15.60 (2.25) | 14.78 (2.87) | 0.42 |
| Pick-and-roll ball handler | 0.91 (0.09) | 0.92 (0.10) | 0.88 (0.14) | 0.38 | 16.71 (4.03) | 17.04 (3.81) | 17.63 (4.60) | 0.76 |
| Pick-and-roll man | 1.13 (0.07) | 1.14 (0.12) | 1.04 (0.23) | 0.06 | 5.59 (0.89) | 5.81 (1.42) | 5.81 (1.84) | 0.92 |
| Post-up | 0.90 (0.12) | 0.99 (0.16) | 0.90 (0.24) | 0.18 | 4.71 (2.22) | 4.68 (2.33) | 4.87 (3.24) | 0.95 |
| Spot-up | 1.10 (0.07) | 1.03 (0.09) | 1.00 (0.13) | 0.02 (0.09) b | 22.15 (3.60) | 23.49 (3.92) | 22.99 (4.52) | 0.67 |
| Hand-off | 0.91 (0.06) | 0.92 (0.22) | 0.90 (0.24) | 0.92 | 4.64 (2.72) | 4.31 (2.18) | 4.33 (1.93) | 0.90 |
| Cut | 1.33 (0.10) | 1.26 (0.14) | 1.28 (0.16) | 0.50 | 7.49 (1.78) | 6.10 (1.67) | 6.26 (1.68) | 0.07 |
| Off-screen | 0.92 (0.14) | 0.96 (0.18) | 0.95 (0.25) | 0.89 | 3.89 (1.68) | 3.09 (1.46) | 3.48 (1.54) | 0.32 |
| Put-back | 1.04 (0.08) | 1.06 (0.14) | 1.06 (0.21) | 0.94 | 4.76 (1.12) | 4.62 (0.98) | 5.41 (1.46) | 0.03 (0.06) b |
| Miscellanea | 0.59 (0.10) | 0.62 (0.15) | 0.51 (0.19) | 0.02 (0.09) c | 5.56 (0.87) | 5.29 (0.89) | 5.44 (0.97) | 0.68 |
| Play Types | Points per Possession | Frequency (%) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RS | PO | p-Value (ES) | RS | PO | p-Value (ES) | |
| Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | |||
| Isolation | 0.94 (0.07) | 0.94 (0.06) | 0.96 | 7.19 (2.07) | 9.33 (2.60) | 0.00 (0.11) |
| Transition | 1.14 (0.04) | 1.15 (0.07) | 0.60 | 16.49 (2.06) | 15.14 (2.15) | 0.06 |
| Pic-and-roll ball handler | 0.92 (0.05) | 0.91 (0.09) | 0.09 | 16.02 (2.63) | 16.71 (4.03) | 0.48 |
| Pick-and-roll man | 1.15 (0.07) | 1.13 (0.07) | 0.62 | 5.83 (1.24) | 5.59 (0.89) | 0.56 |
| Post-up | 0.97 (0.07) | 0.90 (0.12) | 0.03 (0.06) | 4.82 (1.88) | 4.71 (2.22) | 0.86 |
| Spot-up | 1.06 (0.05) | 1.10 (0.07) | 0.02 (0.08) | 23.31 (2.00) | 22.15 (3.60) | 0.14 |
| Hand-off | 0.94 (0.06) | 0.91 (0.06) | 0.14 | 4.8 (1.46) | 4.64 (2.72) | 0.77 |
| Cut | 1.31 (0.06) | 1.33 (0.10) | 0.54 | 7.02 (1.39) | 7.49 (1.78) | 0.34 |
| Off-screen | 0.99 (0.07) | 0.92 (0.14) | 0.01 (0.08) | 3.83 (1.5) | 3.89 (1.68) | 0.90 |
| Put-back | 1.13 (0.06) | 1.04 (0.08) | 0.00 (0.23) | 5.12 (0.74) | 4.76 (1.12) | 0.19 |
| Miscellanea | 0.56 (0.05) | 0.59 (0.10) | 0.10 | 5.43 (0.54) | 5.56 (0.87) | 0.54 |
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García-Rubio, J.; Martínez-Sánchez, A.; López-Sierra, P.; Campos-Redondo, A. Inside the Playbook: Tactical Signatures of Winning Teams in the NBA. Appl. Sci. 2025, 15, 13121. https://doi.org/10.3390/app152413121
García-Rubio J, Martínez-Sánchez A, López-Sierra P, Campos-Redondo A. Inside the Playbook: Tactical Signatures of Winning Teams in the NBA. Applied Sciences. 2025; 15(24):13121. https://doi.org/10.3390/app152413121
Chicago/Turabian StyleGarcía-Rubio, Javier, Almudena Martínez-Sánchez, Pablo López-Sierra, and Amalia Campos-Redondo. 2025. "Inside the Playbook: Tactical Signatures of Winning Teams in the NBA" Applied Sciences 15, no. 24: 13121. https://doi.org/10.3390/app152413121
APA StyleGarcía-Rubio, J., Martínez-Sánchez, A., López-Sierra, P., & Campos-Redondo, A. (2025). Inside the Playbook: Tactical Signatures of Winning Teams in the NBA. Applied Sciences, 15(24), 13121. https://doi.org/10.3390/app152413121

