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21 January 2026

Spatial Cluster of Air Pollutants and Its Association with Life Expectancy, Age-Specific Mortality Risk, and Cause-Specific Mortality Rate: A County-Level Ecological Study Across the USA

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1
Wisdom Lake Academy of Pharmacy, Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Suzhou 215123, China
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Department of Environmental Health, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA
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Department of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA
4
Institute of Systems, Molecular & Integrative Biology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 7BE, UK
This article belongs to the Section Epidemiology

Abstract

Air pollution has been one of the major threats to public health. The study aimed to determine latent patterns of geographical distribution of health-related air pollutants across the USA and to evaluate real-world cumulative effects of these patterns on public health metrics. It was an ecological study using county-level data on the concentrations of 12 air pollutants over 20 years. Latent class analysis was used to identify the common clusters of life expectancy-associated air pollutants based on their concentration characteristics in the final counties studied (n = 699). Multivariate linear regression analyses were then applied to assess the relationship between the LCA-derived clusters and health measurements with confounding adjustment. We found that PM2.5 mass, PM10 speciation, and NONOxNOy (the reactive nitrogen species) were associated with life expectancy and thus were included in LCA. Among five identified clusters, the one with a more severe pollutant profile was associated with a decreasing life expectancy, an increasing mortality risk among middle-aged and elderly populations (≥45 years), and an increasing mortality rate caused by chronic respiratory conditions, cardiovascular diseases, and neoplasms. Our study brings new perspectives on real-world geographical patterns of air pollution to explain health disparities across the USA.

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