3.1. Ozone Concentrations
Ozone levels were initially analysed based on the main statistical indicators as shown in
Table 2. During the study period, 2002–2020, mean ozone concentrations were very similar, around 50 µg m
−3, except at two stations, Valladolid Sur and Michelín 2, which were around 53 and 55 µg m
−3, respectively. Median concentrations differed from average values by approximately 1 µg m
−3. The highest concentration was recorded at Michelín 1, 205 µg m
−3, whereas Valladolid Sur presented the lowest value, 164 µg m
−3. The interquartile range was similar at all stations, about 48 µg m
−3, with the lowest value notably being 44 µg m
−3 at Michelín 2, due to the greater value of the lower quartile. The 95th percentile ranged between 101.0 at Valladolid Sur to 107.0 at Puente del Poniente, Valladolid Sur and Michelín 2. The highest values of the 98th percentiles were also found at those stations, and reached 119–120 µg m
−3, respectively, although no values were below 115 µg m
−3.
The year-to-year comparison for the measuring stations can be analysed from the box and whisker plot of
Figure 2. There are several components in the graph to assess the results obtained. Fifty percent of data are within the vertical box between the lower and upper quartiles. The upper and lower whiskers extend out to the extreme maximum and minimum values below or above 1.5 times the interquartile range from the first and third quartiles. Small squares correspond to outliers. The cross and horizontal lines inside the box represent the median and mean values, respectively. As can be seen from the graphs, the highest average values were obtained in 2018 for all the stations, with values ranging between 54.2 µg m
−3 (Puente del Poniente) and 57.6 µg m
−3 (Valladolid Sur), except at Michelín 2, with 62.2 µg m
−3 in 2002. In general, high concentrations associated to outliers were found in 2003 for most measuring stations, excluding Valladolid Sur. In regard to the lowest mean values, there was no common year, with the lowest being 2003, 2009, 2017 and 2006 at Michelín 1, Michelín 2, Valladolid Sur and Vega Sicilia, respectively, with values between 40.4 and 49.1 µg m
−3. The low number of data recorded in 2002 at Puente del Poniente probably conditioned the low mean value of ozone concentration.
The daily evolution for the study period is depicted in
Figure 3. The figure shows an increase in ozone concentrations in the morning, reaching the highest values from 14:00 to 16:00 GMT, with the maximum being at 15:00 GMT. The daily maximum was reached at a time when temperature and solar radiation presented high values. Mean values ranged between 73.8 and 80.9 µg m
−3 at Puente del Poniente and Valladolid Sur, respectively. This increase during the day is mainly attributed to ozone production due to photochemical reactions in the boundary layer and transport from upper layers depending on solar radiation [
2]. Ozone concentration then decayed until 20:00 GMT, and was followed by steady behaviour. Finally, the concentration decreased until the period 6:00–8:00 GMT, registering a minimum at 7:00 GMT, with mean values ranging between 23.4 µg m
−3 at Puente del Poniente and 32.3 µg m
−3 at Michelín 2. This result could be attributed to the ozone deposition and titration reaction between nitric oxide and ozone at night [
25,
26]. In addition, a slight right skewness of the data pattern can be seen during the day, and which differs to that observed in early morning. The maximum and minimum concentrations found were lower than those obtained for a short period at a measuring station located 32 km from Valladolid to the SE [
26], which is considered a rural station. It is far from sources of precursors that reduce ozone and as expected, higher ozone values were observed.
Figure 2.
Yearly evolution of ozone concentrations at each measuring station in the study period.
Figure 2.
Yearly evolution of ozone concentrations at each measuring station in the study period.
Figure 3.
Hourly evolution of ozone concentrations at each measuring station in the study period.
Figure 3.
Hourly evolution of ozone concentrations at each measuring station in the study period.
The monthly mean pattern over the study period is shown in
Figure 4 on an hourly basis, and is similar to those recorded at Mediterranean locations [
26,
27]. Ozone levels increased during the first months of the year for all the measuring stations, and reached the maximum value in July, which is mainly associated with the photochemical period [
28] characterised by dry and sunny weather conditions. There was a secondary peak in May and June whose origin is not as clear. It might be related to stratospheric–tropospheric interchange, which generally occurs between January and June, the increase in solar radiation and the long-range transport of ozone [
2,
12,
29]. Data variability was higher between April and August, and especially in July with the greatest interquartile range, around 47 µg m
−3. Many outliers were obtained in spring and summer months, except at Valladolid Sur. After also evidencing high values in August, concentrations then decreased until the end of the year. The highest mean monthly ozone concentrations ranged between 66.7 µg m
−3 at Puente del Poniente and 73.8 µg m
−3 at Valladolid Sur. The seasonal variation found in ozone for the measuring stations can be associated to different factors, mainly local conditions within the city. Average mean values for the secondary peak were about 69 µg m
−3 at Michelín 2 and Valladolid Sur, 65 µg m
−3 at Michelín 1 and Vega Sicilia, and 63 µg m
−3 at Puente del Poniente. The lowest levels, around 28 µg m
−3 at Michelín 2 and 24 µg m
−3 for the rest of the stations, were found in December.
Council Directive 97/72/EEC [
30] on air pollution by ozone and Royal Decree-Law 102/2011 [
31] regarding the improvement of air quality establish 180 µg m
−3 as the information threshold based on a one-hour average concentration. During the study period, the threshold mentioned was exceeded only on a few occasions: Puente del Poniente on three occasions in 2003; the same number at Michelín 2, in 2005 and 2013; Vega Sicilia on eight occasions in July and August 2003 and 2005; Michelín 1 exceeded the limit twenty times in 2004, 2005 and 2013. In contrast, Valladolid Sur never surpassed the limit. These results reveal an acceptable level of ozone air quality in regard to the size of the city and its traffic density.
The limit for the protection of human health is 120 µg m
−3 maximum daily value of an 8 h/day mean, and must not be exceeded on an average of more than 25 days per year over three years, as of 2010.
Table 3 contains the number of exceedances for the protection of human health. Results confirm that, in general, the limit was not exceeded at any measuring site. This is particularly important with regard to the air quality of the city and the protection of the population’s health.
Following the same regulations for the protection of vegetation and the calculation procedure [
30], the Accumulated Ozone exposure over a Threshold of 40 parts per billion, AOT40, was obtained for each measuring station in the study period. The limit value between May, June and July must not exceed 18,000 µg m
−3 × h on average in a five-year period from 2010. The results corresponding to each year from 2010 presented in
Table 4 allow us to conclude that the threshold value was not surpassed at any location, yielding the last five-year average, 11,301.4, 10,797.8, 10,069.8, 13,244.8, 10,499.2 µg m
−3 × h at Michelín 1, Michelín 2, Puente del Poniente, Valladolid Sur, and Vega Sicilia, respectively. A positive trend was found from 2010, although the AOT40 in 2020 decreased to values comparable to the averages obtained between 2012–2014.
3.2. Relationship between Ozone and Nitrogen Oxides
Ozone is not emitted directly into the atmosphere but is formed by chemical reactions of precursors such as nitric oxide (NO) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2). Mean NO levels in the study period ranged between 6.9 and 13.5 µg m−3 (maximum up to 499 µg m−3). Mean NO2 levels were within the interval 15.9 to 24.5 µg m−3 (maximum values below 351 µg m−3). Nitrogen oxide concentrations were similar at Vega Sicilia and Puente del Poniente, with mean values around 13 and 23 µg m−3 for NO and NO2, respectively. However, concentrations were lower at Michelín 2 because it is of the industrial type and is located in the suburban area; these were NO with 6.9 µg m−3 and NO2 with 16.5 µg m−3. Daily evolution of nitrogen oxides showed that maximum concentrations of NO and NO2 were recorded in the morning, 8:00 GMT, and at night, 20:00 GMT. The highest hourly average of NO concentrations ranged between 14.6 and 27.7 µg m−3, and were recorded in the morning at Michelín 2 and Vega Sicilia, respectively. The interval at night ranged from 7.5 to 23.3 µg m−3 for the same measuring stations. The highest hourly mean NO2 concentrations in the morning were between 21.2 and 32.5 µg m−3, and were obtained at Michelín 2 and Puente del Poniente, respectively. At night, those concentrations were 20.8 and 40.3 µg m−3, respectively.
The relationship between concurrent values of ozone and those compounds were established by a linear regression of the monthly averages. The Pearson correlation coefficients for each measuring station are shown in
Table 5. The correlation between O
3 and NO
2 is negative, with values of the correlation coefficients greater than −0.6, prominent amongst which is Valladolid Sur with −0.7426. However, the relationship between O
3 and NO for each station presented slightly lower correlation coefficient values, above −0.4, with the highest coefficient at Valladolid Sur, −0.5455. Results showed that ozone is negatively correlated with nitrogen oxides. These correlations were attributed to the fact that the high ozone concentration was linked to the low level of nitrogen oxides as they are its precursors involved in photochemical reactions [
32]. Differences found in the correlation coefficients between stations were therefore not very high but might be influenced by local conditions and by the fact that nitrogen oxides have decreased over the last few years.
3.4. Ozone Concentration Trend
A further analysis of the monthly values for the mean and main percentiles (50th, 95th and 98th) was performed using a harmonic model from September 2002 to September 2020 (from September 2013 for Valladolid Sur). Equation (2) provides an analysis of ozone concentration trends. The coefficients of determination of the multiple regression and the b coefficient which represents the time variation of the ozone concentration per month over the study period are presented in
Table 7 for each station.
Figure 5 only depicts the temporal evolution of the 95th and 98th percentiles of the ozone concentrations. Experimental and modelled values are represented in addition to the linear fit. The results showed coefficients of determination higher than 80% at most stations and indicators, except at Michelín 1 and Michelín 2, although they were not below 70%. There was a significant relationship between variables, with a 95% confidence level. In general, increasing interannual rates were found for the mean, except at Michelín 2 and Valladolid Sur, which evidenced the opposite. Trend values of the mean concentration of ozone associated to the b parameter ranged from 0.029 µg m
−3 month
−1 at Michelín 1 to 0.041 µg m
−3 month
−1 at Puente del Poniente. The decreasing trend value in Michelín 2 was much lower, −0.006 µg m
−3 month
−1, and −0.010 µg m
−3 month
−1 at Valladolid Sur. The 50th percentile increased at a similar rate at Michelín 1 and Vega Sicilia, 0.035 and 0.039, µg m
−3 month
−1, was slightly higher at Puente del Poniente, 0.054 µg m
−3 month
−1, and was nearly steady at Michelín 2, −0.002 µg m
−3 month
−1, and Valladolid Sur, 0.004 µg m
−3 month
−1. A decreasing trend was found for the 95th and 98th percentiles. The b values associated to the 95th percentiles were insignificant at Michelín 1, Puente del Poniente and Vega Sicilia. However, they were −0.056 and −0.048 µg m
−3 month
−1 at Michelín 2 and Valladolid Sur. The same behaviour was seen for the 98th percentile, −0.073 and −0.053 µg m
−3 month
−1, respectively. These results concur with research using monitoring data from the United Kingdom, which have revealed that maximum ozone concentrations have decreased by around 30% over the last decade. Reports for other sites in Europe and North America have also been consistent with the decrease in peak values. Nevertheless, in contrast, the increase in the yearly mean concentration, 0.1 ppb year
−1, was also confirmed [
39,
40,
41].
The long-term trends are different mainly for the stations that are further outside the city, such as Valladolid Sur and Michelín 2 regarding the high percentiles, 95th and 98th, with a significant decrease compared to that for the other measuring stations. In general, the combination of regional and local effects around the stations conditioned the results, thereby evidencing their importance in the generation, reduction and transport of ozone. Moreover, results indicated that emission control measures could prove effective in reducing high ozone concentrations [
42,
43].
Table 7.
Coefficients of determination (%) and b (µg m−3 month−1) of the multiple regression fit in the study period for each measuring station.
Table 7.
Coefficients of determination (%) and b (µg m−3 month−1) of the multiple regression fit in the study period for each measuring station.
| Michelín 1 | Michelín 2 | Puente Poniente | Valladolid Sur | Vega Sicilia |
---|
R2 | b | R2 | b | R2 | b | R2 | b | R2 | b |
---|
Mean | 79.5 | 0.029 | 77.9 | −0.006 | 88.2 | 0.041 | 82.6 | −0.010 | 86.9 | 0.034 |
50th percentile | 75.7 | 0.035 | 71.6 | −0.002 | 83.6 | 0.054 | 74.6 | 0.004 | 82.1 | 0.039 |
95th percentile | 74.2 | −0.003 | 80.1 | −0.056 | 86.5 | 0.004 | 89.0 | −0.048 | 86.9 | −0.007 |
98th percentile | 74.1 | −0.017 | 79.7 | −0.073 | 85.0 | −0.021 | 90.4 | −0.053 | 85.6 | −0.021 |
Figure 5.
Evolution of the monthly ozone concentrations of the 50th percentile (P50) and 98th percentile (P98) in the study period.
Figure 5.
Evolution of the monthly ozone concentrations of the 50th percentile (P50) and 98th percentile (P98) in the study period.
A similar procedure was applied for the maximum daily 8 h average of ozone, but with using t as the time in consecutive days and ω the frequency 2π/365.242 (rad day
−1) and was also analysed for each station. The evolution of this indicator in the study period is shown in
Figure 6. Although the coefficients of determination were between 57.8 and 64.6% for Michelín 2 and Puente del Poniente, respectively, they were statistically significant at a 95% confidence level. The trend was negative for Michelín 2 (−0.001 µg m
−3 day
−1) and Valladolid Sur (−0.0004 µg m
−3 day
−1). However, ozone concentrations increased for the rest of the stations. The trend value was greater for the measuring station located further inside the city, Puente del Poniente, around 0.0009 µg m
−3 day
−1, and a less strong increase, up to 0.0005 µg m
−3 day
−1, was obtained for Michelín 1 and Vega Sicilia.