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Article

Integration of National Forest Inventory and Nationwide Airborne Laser Scanning Data to Improve Forest Yield Predictions in North-Western Spain

by
Alís Novo-Fernández
1,
Marcos Barrio-Anta
2,
Carmen Recondo
3,4,
Asunción Cámara-Obregón
2 and
Carlos A. López-Sánchez
2,*
1
Department of Organisms and Systems Biology, University of Oviedo, 33071 Oviedo, Asturias, Spain
2
GIS-Forest Research Group, Department of Organisms and Systems Biology, University of Oviedo, Polytechnic School of Mieres, 33600 Mieres, Asturias, Spain
3
Remote Sensing Applications Research Group (RSApps), Area of Cartographic, Geodesic and Photogrammetric Engineering, Department of Mining Exploitation and Prospecting, University of Oviedo, Gonzalo Gutiérrez Quirós s/n, 33600 Mieres, Asturias, Spain
4
Institute of Natural Resources and Territorial Planning (INDUROT), University of Oviedo, Gonzalo Gutiérrez Quirós s/n, 33600 Mieres, Asturias, Spain
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Remote Sens. 2019, 11(14), 1693; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11141693
Submission received: 30 May 2019 / Revised: 12 July 2019 / Accepted: 14 July 2019 / Published: 17 July 2019
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Lidar Remote Sensing of Forest Structure, Biomass and Dynamics)
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Abstract

:
The prediction of growing stock volume is one of the commonest applications of remote sensing to support the sustainable management of forest ecosystems. In this study, we used data from the 4th Spanish National Forest Inventory (SNFI-4) and from the 1st nationwide Airborne Laser Scanning (ALS) survey to develop predictive yield models for the three major commercial tree forest species (Eucalyptus globulus, Pinus pinaster and Pinus radiata) grown in north-western Spain. Integration of both types of data required prior harmonization because of differences in timing of data acquisition and difficulties in accurately geolocating the SNFI plots. The harmonised data from 477 E. globulus, 760 P. pinaster and 191 P. radiata plots were used to develop predictive models for total over bark volume, mean volume increment and total aboveground biomass by relating SNFI stand variables to metrics derived from the ALS data. The multiple linear regression methods and several machine learning techniques (k-nearest neighbour, random trees, random forest and the ensemble method) were compared. The study findings confirmed that multiple linear regression is outperformed by machine learning techniques. More specifically, the findings suggest that the random forest and the ensemble method slightly outperform the other techniques. The resulting stand level relative RMSEs for predicting total over bark volume, annual increase in total volume and total aboveground biomass ranged from 30.8–38.3%, 34.2–41.9% and 31.7–38.3% respectively. Although the predictions can be considered accurate, more precise geolocation of the SNFI plots and coincide temporarily with the ALS data would have enabled use of a much larger and robust field database to improve the overall accuracy of estimation.

Graphical Abstract

1. Introduction

Information about timber resources and how these vary over time is both economically and environmentally important and is essential for landowners, enterprises, forest managers and researchers. Moreover, local, regional or global estimates of volume and biomass are fundamental for analyzing forest productivity, estimating biomass and carbon stocks and evaluating the ecosystem response to climatic change and anthropogenic influences [1].
Forest field inventory based on measuring diameter at breast height (dbh) and total height (h) of trees in numerous sample plots remains the most commonly used method of estimating timber and forest biomass stocks for forest management [2]. The individual tree model predictions are often aggregated at the plot level and used as training and/or accuracy assessment data for remote sensing-based applications or aggregated at the plot level and then added or averaged over plots to produce large area estimates [3]. Although this method is accurate, it is very expensive and often faces serious operational difficulties [4]. Some available public databases such as the National Forest Inventories do not always provided information about the plots at the level of detail required for forest management purposes. However, in recent decades, the combined use of these databases and the semi-automatic capture of forest state variables by various remote sensing techniques has substantially increased the amount of data available for stand level prediction purposes [5]. Remote sensing systems have proved to be an effective option for overcoming the above-mentioned limitations and enabling forest data to be obtained in large areas with a more reasonable effort [6] and even in areas not previously sampled [1]. Among these systems, Airborne Laser Scanning (ALS), an active remote sensing methodology which transmits pulses of laser light towards the ground, is recognized to be an accurate, efficient and cost-effective approach to predicting forest variables such as stand height, volume and biomass [4,7,8]. In a practical applications of ALS data, georeferenced plots are first used to develop empirical models of the relationships between field measurements and ALS-derived metrics, and the models are then applied to the entire area of interest, thus predicting the forest attributes on the basis of ALS metrics alone [1]. Although positioning accuracy may not be critical in some forest studies, it is of key importance when developing predictive models from very high-resolution remotely sensed data [9]. Accurate geographical co-registration of ALS data and field plots is necessary for the accurate prediction of stand properties, otherwise the laser-derived metrics will be subject to errors [10].
Since the early studies by Maclean and Krabill [11] and Nelson et al. [12], which first used ALS data for volume and biomass estimation [13], many efforts have been made to use this technology for predicting forest yields [14,15,16]. Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) has frequently been used to estimate the empirical model parameters (e.g., [17,18]). The simplicity and clarity of the resulting model are the main advantages of the technique, while the probability of selecting highly correlated predictors with little physical justification and the non-fulfilment of the assumptions of normality, homoscedasticity, independence and linearity are the main drawbacks [19]. In order to overcome the limitations of MLR, much attention has been given in recent years to non-parametric machine learning techniques [19,20,21]. The power of machine learning techniques is based on the fact that they do not depend on any a priori assumption about the data; however, they yield models that are usually complex and the role of the variables selected from the models may be difficult to understand [22].
Models developed using ALS data can be trained with data from existing NFI plots, allowing the development of accurate empirical yield models for predicting variables such as volume or biomass with errors lower than 25% and 27% respectively, as observed in Nordic countries [2]. So far, this methodology has been used in very few countries: Austria [23], Denmark [24] and Sweden [2]. In Spain, two public organizations have collected both ALS and NFI data and made them available to be downloaded free of charge by any interested party. Thus, the Spanish National Forest Inventory (SNFI), carried out by the Ministerio de Agricultura, Pesca, Alimentación y Medio Ambiente (MAPAMA), is the most important public database providing information about forest use, structure and yield of all forests around the country. Moreover, ALS data, which cover the whole country, have been compiled by the PNOA-LiDAR project of the Instituto Geográfico Nacional (IGN) since 2008 with multipurpose objectives, e.g., obtaining digital elevation, surface or hydrographic models, and automatic detection of terrain modifications. Despite the availability of this very valuable information, very few studies have used both types of information together (e.g., [4,25,26]), mainly because of the following important challenges: (i) differences in time of acquisition of both types of data in most regions, and (ii) problems associated with the precise geolocation of SNFI plots.
Northwestern Spain (encompassing the regions of Galicia, Asturias and Cantabria) is one of the most productive forest areas in Europe, and the major commercial forest species, grown in intensive forest plantations to produce panelboard, sawlog and pulpwood, are Eucalyptus globulus Labill, Pinus pinaster Ait. and Pinus radiata D. Don [27]. Together the three regions of NW Spain contribute about 58% of the timber harvesting (42% of coniferous and 79% of hardwoods) carried out annually in Spain [28]. Due to the economic importance of the timber, methods of quantifying the wood/biomass have become important for all agents involved in forest management and conservation. Therefore, the main objective of this study was to generate a high-resolution raster database with information about key forest yield variables such as total over bark volume (m3/ha) and total aboveground biomass (t/ha). Secondary objectives -necessary to achieve the first objective- include the following: (i) development of a procedure to harmonize the SNFI and the ALS data; (ii) selection of the best empirical models of relationships between field measures and ALS-derived metrics, by comparing a parametric technique (MLR) and several well-known non-parametric machine learning regression techniques; and (iii) to generate spatially-continuous maps of yield variables.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Study Area

Three of the most productive regions in Spain (Galicia, Asturias and Cantabria), covering a total area 45,499 km2, were chosen for this study. Galicia is divided into four provinces (A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra), while Asturias and Cantabria are both single-province regions (Figure 1). This is important as province is the basic unit used in the SNFI to elaborate and present the data. The study area forms part of the European Atlantic Bio-geographical Region, except for south-eastern Galicia, which belongs to the Mediterranean Bio-geographical Region [29]. Forests occupy an area of 21,190 km2 [28] which represents 46.5% of the total surface area of the study area. Considering the area occupied, Eucalyptus globulus is the dominant forest species (22.5%) followed by Pinus pinaster (20.2%), Quercus robur (15.5%), Quercus pyrenaica (8%), Castanea sativa (8%), Pinus radiata (7.5%) and Fagus sylvatica (5.7%) [30].

2.2. Data Collection

Two different sources of data were used in this study: national forest inventory and nationwide airborne laser scanning data, both of which were obtained free of charge from different Spanish Governmental organizations.

2.2.1. SNFI Data

The field data used in this study were obtained from the Fourth Spanish National Forest Inventory (SNFI-4), in Galicia [31], Asturias [32] and Cantabria [33] in different surveys carried out between 2008 and 2012. The SNFI operates on a ten-year cycle and the sampling plots are established at the intersections of a 1×1 km UTM grid. Different field plots of variable radius, depending on the dbh of the trees, were sampled: a radius of 25 m for trees with dbh ≥ 42.5 cm, a radius of 15 m for trees with dbh ≥ 22.5 cm, a radius of 10 m for trees with dbh ≥ 12.5 cm and a radius of 5 m for trees with a dbh ≥ 7.5 cm. Trees with 2.5 ≤ dbh ≤ 7.5 cm were counted but not measured. For more details about the SNFI data, see Alberdi et al. [34].
Plots were selected according to the species composition, including pure stands (basal area ≥ 80% of the total basal area within the plot) of the three major commercial tree forest species grown in the area. Following this criterion, a total of 1428 field plots were used in this study (Figure 1). In total, 760 plots were dominated by P. pinaster, 191 by P. radiata and 477 by E. globulus. Stand-related variables such as the number of stems per hectare, basal area, dominant height (mean height of the 100 thickest trees per hectare), mean stand height, quadratic mean diameter, dominant diameter, total over bark volume and annual increase volume were calculated from tree measurements and by using appropriate expansion factors. An expansion factor can be defined as the relationship between the reference area (1 ha) and the area of subplots by adjusting the values of the number of sampled trees to a per hectare value [5].
The stand level species-specific allometric models developed for the same ecoregion by Castaño-Santamaría et al. [35] were used to estimate total aboveground biomass per plot.
Table 1 includes the summary statistics of the stand-related yield variables considered for the three forest species in the study area.
The distribution of the species under study and the classification of vegetation types were determined using the Spanish Forest Map (Figure 1) (scale 1:25,000, minimum mapping unit of 1 ha), developed in coordination with the SNFI-4.

2.2.2. ALS Data

The ALS data used in the study area were collected during different flights between 2009 and 2012 for the PNOA-LiDAR project. The point cloud was captured with up to four returns measured per pulse and a mean density of 0.5 points/m2 and vertical RMSE ≤ 0.20 m. Square ALS tiles of area 2 × 2 km in LASer (LAS) binary files were obtained from the National Geographic Information Centre (CNIG) (data available at http://centrodedescargas.cnig.es/CentroDescargas/buscadorCatalogo.do?codFamilia=LIDAR#, last accessed on 4 October 2018). A total of 13,396 LAS files were required in order to cover the study area. The ALS data were extracted using several processing programmes implemented in the FUSION/LDV software [36]. After separating the first and last returns and eliminating the possible outliers from the point cloud, a Digital Terrain Model (DTM) of cell size 5 m was generated. The “GridMetrics” program was used to compute metrics for ALS returns within 25 m grid cells, defining a grid cell size related to the size of the ground plot according to Canadian specifications [37]. The ALS metrics were computed by considering the first returns and all returns independently. A predefined threshold of between 2 and 50 m above ground level was used in order to compute canopy cover metrics. In total, 36 ALS metrics widely used as effective variables for volume or biomass estimations (e.g., [38,39,40]) were computed as independent variables for developing the empirical yield models (Table 2). Note that all these metrics were subsequently calculated for the SNFI plots using the “ClipData” and “CloudMetrics” programs; the normalized ALS point cloud was clipped with the limits of each field plot (25 m radius) thus creating an independent file per plot.

2.2.3. Harmonization of SNFI and ALS Data

The plot positioning procedures used in the SNFI-4 were applied by using handheld GPS equipment, which has an expected average accuracy of approximately 3–5 m [25]. In this respect, Gobakken and Næsset [10] observed that larger plot sizes (300–400 m2) compensate for errors in locating plots sampled for estimation of biophysical properties from ALS data. Thus, as the plot size used in the SNFI is around 1964 m2, for positioning errors of 5 and 10 m (much larger than the theoretical error), the areas overlapping a plot in a correct position and a plot located in an altered position are 84.3% and 74.7% respectively [25]. Although this may suggest that SNFI plot positioning is not difficult, practical errors will actually be much higher than theoretical errors. Thus, for example, Murgaš et al. [41] reported that up to 10% of the plots had positioning errors of 20 m or more within inventories of selected management units in Slovakia. As revisiting SNFI plots to capture more accurate coordinates is very costly and time-consuming, Spanish authorities are planning to capture new coordinates with errors less than 1 m in the next re-measurement of SNFI plots [26,42], thus making it easier to combine the field plot data with the information provided by remote sensing systems [34].
Another important problem related to the combined use of SNFI and ALS data is the difference in the time of data acquisition in some provinces (Table 3). This generates a new problem as some plots may be disturbed (cutting operations, wind damage, etc.) during the time between the laser scanning and the field inventory. Thus, prior to using both sources of data together, we developed a three-step process aimed at harmonizing the different types of data.
We first carried out a forward or backward projection of the stand yield variables obtained from the SNFI to the same date as the ALS data, in order to correct the effect of the different years of ALS and SNFI surveys. Thus, stand total volume was projected by using the tree volume increment values available from the SNFI. For updating total aboveground biomass, we relied on the strong well-known relationship between stand volume and stand biomass (e.g., [43,44]) and we thus developed total stand volume-to-total stand aboveground biomass models to estimate biomass from the projected stand volume.
Secondly, with the aim of using dominant height to eliminate incorrectly georeferenced or disturbed plots, when necessary, we projected the values of this variable obtained from the SNFI plots forwards or backwards (between 1 and 3 years) to the same date when the ALS data were acquired. Site quality equations are essential to enable this important step to be carried out, and information about stand age and site index are also required. Stand age is required to enable the growth stage of the plot to be determined, and stand age and site index are used in site quality equations to determine the height growth rate. Site quality equations have already been published for the species in the region [45,46,47]. However, obtaining stand age and site index proved very challenging because the SNFI does not collect such data. To resolve this problem, we developed specific models for each species in order to predict stand age for each SNFI plot, and we used the spatially continuous site index maps recently developed for the three species in the ecoregion [48,49,50] to estimate the site index values. In order to project dominant height of SNFI plots to the date of the ALS survey, the following three steps were therefore undertaken for each SNFI plot: (i) estimation of site index, (ii) prediction of stand age and (iii) calculation of the dominant height growth ratio.
Finally, we compared the dominant height of the SNFI-4 plots projected to the ALS date and the 95th height percentile (h95) of the point cloud obtained using the laser scanning survey. Following the procedure used by Nilsson et al. [2] in Sweden, plots with differences in the upper 3 m of the dominant height were removed. Once this step was carried out, we relied on effective elimination of plots that were poorly geolocated or disturbed in the period between the laser scanning and the field work. As a result of this refinement process, 477 E. globulus plots (22.0% of total available plots), 760 P. pinaster plots (37.4%) and 191 P. radiata plots (30.8%) were used to develop predictive models of total over bark volume, mean volume increment and total aboveground biomass relating SNFI stand variables to metrics derived from the ALS data.

2.3. Data Analysis

2.3.1. Regression Techniques

We compared the performance of several regression techniques, including novel machine learning methods, for estimating stand level forest yield variables: (i) the parametric Multiple Linear Regression technique (MLR), and the non-parametric techniques (ii) k-Nearest Neighbour (kNN), (iii) Regression Trees (RT) with M5P trees used as the basic regression technique for developing this ensemble (base level algorithm), (iv) Random Forest (RF), and (v) the Ensemble Method (EM) with the metaclassifier Stacking Multiple Classifiers.
The parametric MLR technique is the most commonly used approach in this type of study [51]. Moreover, the model produced is easy to understand and is widely used in most scientific disciplines. However, unlike non-parametric approaches, MLR relies on certain assumptions such as the fundamental least squares assumption of independence and equal distribution of errors with zero mean and constant variance, which can be violated by various factors, including non-normality of variables, multicollinearity of variables and heteroscedasticity of error variance.
Nearest Neighbour (NN), a well-known machine learning technique used in remote sensing [52], makes predictions by using the information about the neighbours of the instance to be regressed [53]. The NN depends on a parameter, usually called k, which determines the number of neighbours used by the algorithm. The technique is therefore usually called kNN when more than one neighbour is used. Although the idea behind this type of technique is quite intuitive, the resulting model is not easy to interpret because the results depend on a training set.
Regression Trees (RT) using M5P as the basic regression technique are ordinary decision trees with linear regression models at the leaves that predict the value of observations that reach the leaves [54,55]. The nodes of the tree represent variables and branches represent split values. Model tree induction algorithms are derived from the divide-and-conquer decision tree methodology. Unlike classification trees, which choose the attribute and its splitting value for each node to maximize the information gain, model trees choose these to minimize the intra-subset variation in the class values down each branch and maximize the expected error reduction (standard deviation reduction). As the tree structure divides the sample space into regions and a linear regression model is found for each, the tree is somewhat open to interpretation.
Random Forest (RF), first proposed by Breiman [56], is a widely used non-parametric classification and regression approach consisting of an ensemble of decision trees. The success of this technique is based on the use of numerous trees developed with different independent variables that are randomly selected from the complete original set of variables. The randomized sampling leads to greater stability and better accuracy than a single decision tree approach [57]. The final regression estimate for each sample is obtained as a weighted mean value of the estimates of a large number of individual trees [56]. The number of predictors included in the trees and the number of trees are established by the user. This non-parametric approach is relatively insensitive to the number of input data and the multicollinearity of the data [58].
Stacking (sometimes called stacked generalization) is an Ensemble Method (EM) that allows several different types of prediction algorithms to be combined in a single algorithm [59]. This EM involves training a learning algorithm to combine the predictions of several other learning algorithms. In addition to selecting multiple sub-models, stacking enables specification of another model (meta-classifier) to learn how to best combine the predictions from the sub-models (base classifiers). Because a meta model is used to combine the predictions of sub-models, this technique is sometimes called blending, as in blending predictions together. Stacking typically performs better than any single one of the trained models [60].
WEKA open source software [61] was used to implement all of the techniques compared in this study. Thus, linear regression was used for MLR, IBk for kNN and M5P for RT, while RF was used to construct a forest of random trees and Stacking was used to develop the EM.

2.3.2. Feature Selection and Parametrization

A feature set describing a data instance might range in size from two to several hundred features. The representative quality of a feature set greatly influences the effectiveness of ML algorithms. Feature selection has three benefits: (i) learning and classification times are reduced by decreasing the number of features, (ii) the accuracy of classification is improved by removal of irrelevant or redundant features, (iii) the degree of overfitting in the training dataset is reduced (i.e., Valbuena et al., [62]). The number and type of features used to train the ML algorithm should therefore be carefully selected, in a process known as feature selection. Feature selection algorithms are broadly categorized in the filter or wrapper model.
In this study we used the search algorithms included in Wrapper methods to select the subsample of variables as this usually produces the best results [63]. This feature selection process selects the subsample of variables using a learning algorithm as part of the evaluation function. In the present study, the goodness of the fit was evaluated by the root mean square error (RMSE) obtained with a training set.
The different optimal parameters for each regression technique were configured using the CVParameterSelection method implemented in the WEKA software [64], and parameter selection was performed by cross-validation for the selected classifiers: (i) LinearRegression was used to fit the MLR model with no attribute selection; (ii) IBk was used to fit the kNN model by setting the number of neighbours to between 1 and 50; (iii) M5P was used to fit the RT by setting the minimum number of instances to allow at a leaf node between 0 to 50 and maximum depth of unlimited tree; (iv) RandomForest was used to fit the RF model by setting the number of trees to 1500, the number of features selected in each split to between 0 and 10 and the maximum depth of unlimited tree; and (v) Stacking was used to develop the EM to demonstrate the ability to improve predictive performance by combining four of the above base classifiers (MLR, kNN, RT and RF) by setting the meta-classifier as the MLR method for learning how to best combine the predictions.

2.3.3. Performance Evaluation

Several approaches can be used to train models and test data sets for validation of supervised learning algorithms. We used the common method of k-fold cross validation. In this process, the data set is divided into k subsets. Each time, one of the k subsets is used as the test set and the other k-1 subsets form the training set. Error statistics are calculated across all k trials. This provides a good indication of how well the classifier will perform with unseen data. We considered a set of a 10-fold cross-validation (i.e., models were fitting using 90% of the data for training and the remaining 10% for model evaluation) and computed several standard performance metrics to compare the regression techniques. Thus, we calculated three goodness-of-fit statistics: the pseudo-coefficient of determination (R2), the bias, the absolute values of mean error (MAE) and the relative root mean squared error (rRMSE). We also used the paired t-test (corrected), based on Student’s t-criterion, to detect any significant differences in the results caused by the five approaches considered (α = 0.05). All of the values represent the mean and the standard deviation of 100 model runs (i.e., 10-fold cross-validation repeated 10 times using the training datasets).
Selected fitted models were also compared for each dependent variable on the basic of graphical analysis of observed against predicted values of the dependent variable.

3. Results

As a result of the feature selection process, an optimal subset size of between 9 and 17 (of the 36) variables was selected by the Wrapper method (Figure 2). The results indicated that the features for estimating TV, AITV and AGB by the different regression techniques evaluated can be classified into two different groups. In order of decreasing importance, the first group comprises a combination of height metrics (height percentiles and central trend metrics) and the second group comprises the canopy cover metrics, with an average relative importance of variables of >38% and <5% respectively.
The goodness-of-fit statistics yielded by the different regression methods used to model total volume, TV (m3/ha), annual increase in total volume, AITV (m3/ha year), and total aboveground biomass, AGB (t/ha), for the major commercial tree species in north-western Spain are shown in Table 4.
The best results for the goodness-of-fit statistics are summarised as follows: (i) for TV and E. globulus the RF model yielded R2 = 0.83 and RMSE = 64.33 m3/ha; for P. pinaster the EM model yielded R2 = 0.74 and RMSE = 61.63 m3/ha; and for P. radiata the RF model yielded R2 = 0.79 and RMSE = 66.52 m3/ha. (ii) for AITV and E. globulus the EM model yielded R2 = 0.68 and RMSE = 5.77 m3/ha; for P. pinaster the EM model yielded R2 = 0.56 and RMSE = 3.86 m3/ha; and for P. radiata the RF model yielded R2 = 0.69 and RMSE = 4.35 m3/ha. (iii) for AGB and E. globulus the RF model yielded R2 = 0.82 and RMSE = 44.29 m3/ha; for P. pinaster the EM model yielded R2 = 0.74 and RMSE = 35.26 m3/ha, and for P. radiata the RF model yielded R2 = 0.80 and RMSE = 35.04 m3/ha. The goodness-of-fit statistics of the fitted models were highest for E. globulus with all the approaches used. Regarding the variables to be modelled, AITV always yielded the poorest goodness-of-fit statistics (Table 4).
The MAE values obtained were used for graphical analysis of performance between the regression techniques. The comparison was summarized in histograms showing the relative positions (percentile rank) for each technique (Figure 3). Qualitatively, the MLR and kNN technique produced the best and worst results respectively. Nevertheless, the EM and RF technique generally produced the best results.
The results of the paired t-test (corrected) based on Student’s t-criterion indicated significant differences in the results produced by the five approaches considered (α = 0.05) for the E. globulus and P. pinaster models, for which the best estimates were obtained with EM and RF, thus confirming the idea previously outlined in Figure 3. However, for P. radiata, there were no significant differences between the different approaches for any of the dependent variables (Table 4).
Graphical analysis of observed against predicted values of TV, AITV and AGB, estimated with each respective best technique, is shown in Figure 4. The linear model fitted to the scatter plot did not reveal any important problems related to heteroscedasticity or lack of normality, although there appeared to be a slight tendency towards underestimation of high values of TV, AITV and AGB (Figure 4).
The spatial distribution of the total aboveground biomass resulting from the application of the best modelling technique for the three major commercial tree species (E. globulus, P. pinaster and P. radiata) grown in forests across north-western Spain is presented in Figure 5 The high spatial resolution of the maps reveals how the forest develops into fragmented environments, as a consequence of the smallholding structure. We also observed that E. globulus is mainly concentrated on the coast and P. radiata appears mainly in the interior areas of most provinces, but is almost non-existent in those located to the south (Pontevedra and Ourense); P. pinaster is distributed indistinctly both on the coast and in interior areas.
Finally, average values per hectare and total ALS-based wall-to-wall predictions for TV, AITV and AGB for the three species occupying areas greater or equal to 70% according Spanish Forest Map were generated per province by applying the best model developed in this study (Figure 6). Both volume and biomass productivity were higher in the coastal provinces (Asturias, Cantabria, A Coruña and Pontevedra) than in the interior areas (Lugo and Ourense) (Figure 6). Regarding the timber and forest biomass stocks for the different species, for E. globulus and P. pinaster, forest production was higher on the north central coast and on the west coast (Asturias, Pontevedra and A Coruña) and lower in the interior regions (Ourense and Lugo) and Cantabria. However, P. radiata forest production is higher on the northeast coast (Cantabria) of the study area than in the other provinces, where there are no significant differences. In global terms, the timber and forest biomass stocks of E. globulus were highest in the province of A Coruña (NW).

4. Discussion

The study findings show that total over bark volume and total aboveground biomass yields for the three major commercial tree species (E. globulus, P. pinaster and P. radiata) grown in north-western Spain can be modelling using previously harmonized (by the proposed procedure) SNFI and ALS data, with a precision comparable to that obtained in other studies published in the relevant international literature.
Several non-parametric methods were tested: the k-Nearest Neighbour method [65]; Regression Trees [54], with M5P trees as the base level algorithm; the Random Forest method [56]; and the Ensemble Method (EM), with a metaclassifier stacking multiple classifiers [59]. Multiple Linear Regression [51] was also carried out to compare how it performs relative to non-parametric methods for estimating forest yield variables at stand level. There were statistically significant differences for validation in performance between the non-parametric methods and Multiple Linear Regression based on the results of the paired t-test (corrected) with Student’s t-criterion (α = 0.05). On the other hand, there were no differences between the use of R2 and RMSE for validation. There is some variation in the magnitude of the errors (slight differences in terms of MAE and RMSE for validation) in the models analyzed, but very large errors are unlikely to have occurred. The results obtained for the averaged models show that RF and EM are the most robust techniques in the case of E. globulus, while EM is most robust for P. pinaster and RF for P. radiata. Both of these methods are well known and frequently used in the field of remote sensing, especially in forestry applications [2,6,66,67].
The R2 yielded by the TV, AITV and AGB models for the three forest species considered and the different regression techniques ranged from 0.71 to 0.83, from 0.51 to 0.69, and from 0.71 to 0.82 respectively. The rRMSE values ranged from 30.71% to 40.81%, from 34.24% to 44.09%, and from 31.59% to 42.28% respectively (Table 4).
The study findings showed that the most important features for estimating TV, AITV and AGB by the different modelling techniques evaluated correspond to a combination of height metrics (height percentiles and central trend metrics), which are more sensitive to changes in both the vertical arrangement of canopy elements and the degree of canopy openness [68,69]. This pattern is consistent with those observed in other studies in relation to the prevalence of height variables (especially high percentiles) as key elements for extracting information from LiDAR data [19,38,70]. Analysis of the relative importance of the variables indicated a normal distribution skewed towards the top of the tree canopy profile of E. globulus and P. pinaster plantations (h95 and h80 percentiles), together with the symmetrical normal distribution of canopy elements in P. radiata plantations (h75 and h50 percentiles); these results are consistent with the observations of Teobaldelli et al. [8]. According to the results obtained for other pure coniferous forests [38,71,72,73], the set of models confirmed that the combination of height and canopy cover metrics represents a sufficient and concise quantitative description of a homogeneous vertical structure of the species analyzed.
In this study considerably better goodness-of-fit statistics were obtained than in previous studies carried out with the same type of data in Spain (Spanish NFI and laser pulse density of 0.5 points/m2). For example, the AGB models used by Jiménez et al. [4] in Galicia yielded R2 values of 0.55, 0.60–0.65 and 0.62, and rRMSE values of 64.52%, 46.92–57.71% and 48.31%, for Eucalyptus spp., P. pinaster and P. radiata respectively. The AGB model used by Lekuona-Zuazo et al. [74] in Bizcaia yielded R2 = 0.67 and rRMSE = 32.66% in P. radiata forests. The TV and IATV models used by Tomé Morán et al. [75] in Murcia yielded rRMSE values of respectively 47.2% and 44.4% for P. halepensis forests and rRMSE values of respectively 45.8% and 43.9% for mixed stands of pines (P. nigra, P. halepensis and P. pinaster). We only found one study [26], carried out in La Rioja, which reported values in the same range as those obtained in the present study (R2 = 0.75 and rRMSE = 26.1–32.3 for P. sylvestris).
Considering the study area, although similar studies have been conducted in the region of Galicia, all these were carried out using research plots rather than SNFI. Thus, for pure P. radiata forests, the TV models used by González-Ferreiro et al. [76] yielded R2 = 0.69 and rRMSE = 30% for 0.5 points/m2, and R2 = 0.79 and rRMSE = 25% for 8 points/m2; the AGB models used by the same authors yielded R2 = 0.75 and rRMSE = 26.8% for 0.5 points/m2, and R2 = 0.80 and rRMSE = 23.7% for 8 points/m2. In a later study of pure E. globulus stands, the AGB model used by González-Ferreiro et al. [77] yielded R2 = 0.63–0.83 and rRMSE = 28.3–19.2% for 0.5 points/m2, and R2 = 0.76–0.86 and rRMSE = 22.8–17.6% for 4 points/m2. The TV model used by Gonçalves-Seco et al. [78] for E. globulus forests yielded R2 = 0.81 for a density of 4 points/m2. García-Gutiérrez et al. [79] reported R2 values of 0.66–0.70 and 0.64–0.79 for TV models fitted to LiDAR data sets of respectively 0.5 and 8 points/m2, and for AGB models, R2 values of 0.64–0.74 for 0.5 points/m2, 0.63–0.84 for 0.5 and 4 points/m2, and 0.61–0.77 for a laser pulse density of 8 points/m2, in P. radiata and E. globulus.
Local studies carried out in other regions of Spain produced slightly higher results to those outlined above, but most of the studies were carried out with higher pulse density and research plots. For example, the TV model used by Navarro et al. [80] in Madrid yielded R2 = 0.79 and rRMSE = 25.6% for a laser pulse density of 2.96 points/m2 in research plots of P. pinaster forests. Domingo et al. [81] in Aragon reported that the AGB model yielded R2 values of 0.78–0.87 for 1.5 points/m2 for research plots of Pinus halepensis. The results obtained in Extremadura by Guerra-Hernández et al. [38] for AGB model yielded R2 = 0.57–0.74 and rRMSE = 25.9–33.1% in pure Pinus pinea forests for a laser pulse density of 0.5 points/m2 and plots belonging to the Extremadura Forest Service, and Hernando et al. [82] estimated the AGB yield R2 = 0.64 and rRMSE = 16.72% for 1.15 pulses m2 in research plots of Pinus sylvestris-dominated forest located in Spain.
The present study findings were also similar to those obtained in Northern European countries, such as Finland, where the TV model used by Järnstedt et al. [83] yielded rRMSE = 31.3% for a laser pulse density of 0.5–2 points/m2 in specifically measured field data of Finnish forests and Kotivuori et al. [84] yielded rRMSE = 27.8% for nationwide and ranged from 22.9% to 31.8% for regional TV models for (0.5–1 points/m2) in nine Finnish Forest Centre inventory projects situated in various parts of Finland; or in Denmark, where the AGB model used by Nord-Larsen & Schumacher [24] yielded R2 = 0.78 and rRMSE = 33.1% and their TV model yielded R2 = 0.83 and rRMSE = 38.5% for a laser pulse density of 0.5 points/m2 in NFI plots of coniferous forests. However, the rRMSE values obtained are slightly lower than those reported by Nilsson et al. [2] in Sweden for the TV model (rRMSE = 18.9–22.5%) and NFI plots of Picea abies, P. sylvestris and Betula spp. with a laser pulse density of 0.5–1 points/m2.
Slightly higher values were also obtained in other countries outside of Europe, probably as a consequence of the use of higher density LiDAR data and research plots, which provide greater precision in the geolocation of plots and coincide temporarily with the ALS data. Thus, Stephens et al. [85] reported that their AGB model yielded R2 = 0.81 and rRMSE = 22% for a laser pulse density of 3 points/m2 in P. radiata, Pseudotsuga menziesii and Eucalyptus spp. forests in New Zealand. The AGB model used by Gleason & Im [21] yielded an rRMSE = 18.1–32.4% for a laser pulse density of 12.7 points/m2 in coniferous and deciduous forests in New York state (USA); and the TV model used by Görgens et al. [39] yielded R2 values of 0.88–0.90 and rRMSE values of 12.6% to 26.9% for a laser pulse density of 5 points/m2 in forests of Eucalyptus grandis and Eucalyptus urophylla in Sao Paulo (Brazil).
After comparing our results for the study area with those obtained in the previously mentioned studies, we can conclude the following: (i) our results produced similar results than those obtained studies carried out in large scale with data obtained from SFNI plots and ALS data with the same pulse density, and (ii) the accuracy of our results was slightly lower to those of studies developed in smalls scale using research plots data and a higher pulse density. Although our predictions can be considered accurate, more precise geolocation of the SNFI plots and coincide temporarily with the ALS data would have enabled use of a much larger and robust field database to improve the overall accuracy of estimation.

5. Conclusions

This paper presents a procedure to harmonize the 4th Spanish National Forest Inventory (SNFI-4) and the 1st nationwide Airborne Laser Scanning (ALS) data and a comparison between common regression techniques in machine learning and the MLR-based methods for estimating forest variables to predict yield estimations for E. globulus, P. pinaster and P. radiata in north-western Spain. The results showed that Random Forest and Ensemble Method statistically out-performed the other techniques. Nevertheless, the results confirmed recently reported findings, as machine learning techniques produced better results than those produced by the parametric MLR technique.
Accurate positioning of field plots and coincident timing of NFI and ALS data are key points when developing predictive models for stand properties from remote sensing data, and therefore both conditions are desirable. Nevertheless, ideal conditions are often not met and approaches that integrate both data sources are required. Despite some difficulties, we have demonstrated that is possible to integrate both types of publicly available data in Spain and to combine them in order to generate an accurate raster database of yield predictions for Spanish forests. These predictions can, of course, be improved by increasing the accuracy of SNFI plot positioning as is being accomplished by the Spanish Government. This will be a key element in using the SNFI database together with the large amount of remote sensing data available nowadays.

Author Contributions

A.N.-F., M.B.-A. and C.A.L.-S. conceived, designed and performed the experiments and wrote the manuscript. C.R. and A.C.-O. reviewed drafts of the manuscript.

Funding

The research was partially supported by the Hunosa Chair at the University of Oviedo (Project Reference SV-17-HUNOSA-1).

Acknowledgments

Special thanks to Christine Francis for revising the English of the manuscript. We also thank the anonymous referees for their valuable and very constructive comments and suggestions.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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Figure 1. Location of the study area and National Forest Inventory plots and Spanish Forest Map polygons dominated by the three major commercial tree forest species (Eucalyptus globulus, Pinus pinaster and Pinus radiata) in in north-western Spain.
Figure 1. Location of the study area and National Forest Inventory plots and Spanish Forest Map polygons dominated by the three major commercial tree forest species (Eucalyptus globulus, Pinus pinaster and Pinus radiata) in in north-western Spain.
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Figure 2. Variables included in the models (VIM), for the best techniques, including type and variable importance for E. globulus (column 1), P. pinaster (column 2) and P. radiata (column 3). To ensure that values of variable importance are expressed on comparable scales for each of the response variable, the scores of all the predictors selected were normalized so that they added up to a unitary value (normalized importance), or they were expressed as relative values: Relative importance = (VIM−VIMmin)/(VIMmax−VIMmin).
Figure 2. Variables included in the models (VIM), for the best techniques, including type and variable importance for E. globulus (column 1), P. pinaster (column 2) and P. radiata (column 3). To ensure that values of variable importance are expressed on comparable scales for each of the response variable, the scores of all the predictors selected were normalized so that they added up to a unitary value (normalized importance), or they were expressed as relative values: Relative importance = (VIM−VIMmin)/(VIMmax−VIMmin).
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Figure 3. Absolute frequency of relative position achieved (percentile rank) by each technique with the best parameterization for total volume (m3/ha), annual increase in total volume (m3/ha year) and total aboveground biomass (t/ha) in E. globulus (row 1), P. pinaster (row 2) and P. radiata (row 3).
Figure 3. Absolute frequency of relative position achieved (percentile rank) by each technique with the best parameterization for total volume (m3/ha), annual increase in total volume (m3/ha year) and total aboveground biomass (t/ha) in E. globulus (row 1), P. pinaster (row 2) and P. radiata (row 3).
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Figure 4. Plot-level predicted against observed values for the best techniques for total volume (m3/ha), annual increase in total volume (m3/ha year) and total aboveground biomass (t/ha) in E. globulus (row 1), P. pinaster (row 2) and P. radiata (row 3). The solid line represents the linear model fitted to the scatter plot of data and the dashed line represents the line of slope equal to 1.
Figure 4. Plot-level predicted against observed values for the best techniques for total volume (m3/ha), annual increase in total volume (m3/ha year) and total aboveground biomass (t/ha) in E. globulus (row 1), P. pinaster (row 2) and P. radiata (row 3). The solid line represents the linear model fitted to the scatter plot of data and the dashed line represents the line of slope equal to 1.
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Figure 5. Spatial distribution of the total aboveground biomass (t/ha) in north-western Spain (bottom). Top: Map details (25-m spatial resolution) for TV (m3/ha), AITV (m3/ha year) and AGB (t/ha) in E. globulus (row 1), P. pinaster (row 2) and P. radiata (row 3).
Figure 5. Spatial distribution of the total aboveground biomass (t/ha) in north-western Spain (bottom). Top: Map details (25-m spatial resolution) for TV (m3/ha), AITV (m3/ha year) and AGB (t/ha) in E. globulus (row 1), P. pinaster (row 2) and P. radiata (row 3).
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Figure 6. Graphs showing the average and standard deviation (error bars) values per hectare (top) and total (bottom) of the ALS-based wall-to-wall predictions per province for total volume (TV), annual increase in total volume (AITV) and total aboveground biomass (AGB), for the three forest species studied. Results were obtained by applying the best model obtained in this study and the species distribution provided by the Spanish Forest Map.
Figure 6. Graphs showing the average and standard deviation (error bars) values per hectare (top) and total (bottom) of the ALS-based wall-to-wall predictions per province for total volume (TV), annual increase in total volume (AITV) and total aboveground biomass (AGB), for the three forest species studied. Results were obtained by applying the best model obtained in this study and the species distribution provided by the Spanish Forest Map.
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Table
Table 1. Descriptive statistics of total volume (TV), annual increase in total volume (AITV) and total aboveground biomass (AGB), extracted from the SNFI-4 plots with the dominant species equal to or greater than 80% of the total basal area of the final plots used after the harmonization procedure.
Table 1. Descriptive statistics of total volume (TV), annual increase in total volume (AITV) and total aboveground biomass (AGB), extracted from the SNFI-4 plots with the dominant species equal to or greater than 80% of the total basal area of the final plots used after the harmonization procedure.
SpeciesNº PlotsTV (m3/ha)AITV (m3/ha Year)AGB (t/ha)
MeanMinMaxStdMeanMinMaxStdMeanMinMaxStd
E. globulus477209.521.50812.69155.1516.840.4550.4810.19140.171.37570.33106.24
P. pinaster760162.410.98567.55120.949.190.1027.455.8091.570.44325.6268.78
P. radiata191178.171.29611.77145.1411.880.2935.197.7996.890.75334.2779.14
Table
Table 2. Summary of Airborne Laser Scanning (ALS) metrics extracted for each plot.
Table 2. Summary of Airborne Laser Scanning (ALS) metrics extracted for each plot.
ALS MetricsDescription
Height metricsMetrics expressing the central trend in ALS height distributionhmeanmean
hmodemode
Metrics expressing the dispersion of ALS height distributionhSDstandard deviation
hVARvariance
hAADabsolute average deviation
hIQinterquartile range
hCVcoefficient of variation
hmax, hminmaximum and minimum
Metrics expressing the shape of ALS height distributionhSkwskewness
hKurtkurtosis
CRRcanopy relief ratio ((mean height−min height)/(max height−min height))
Percentiles of the ALS height distributionh01, h20,… h95, h991th,5th, 10th, 20th, 25th, 30th, 40th, 50th, 60th, 70th, 75th, 80th, 90th, 95th, 99th percentiles
Canopy cover metricsFixed height break threshold (HBT)CCpercentage of first returns above 2.00 m/total all returns
PARA2percentage of all returns above 2.00 m/total all returns
ARA2/TFRratio between all returns above 2.00 m and total of first returns
Variable HBTPFRAMpercentage of first returns above mean/total all returns
PARAMpercentage of all returns above mean/total all returns
PARAMOpercentage of all returns above mode/total all returns
PFRAMOpercentage of first returns above mode/total all returns
ARAM/TFRratio between all returns above mean and total of first returns
ARAMO/TFRratio between all returns above mode and total of first returns
Table
Table 3. Dates of SNFI-4 and ALS surveys carried out in the different provinces in the study area.
Table 3. Dates of SNFI-4 and ALS surveys carried out in the different provinces in the study area.
ProvinceSNFI-4 (Year)ALS (Year)
A Coruña2008–20092010
Lugo20092009–2010
Ourense20092009
Pontevedra20092009–2010
Asturias2009–20102012
Cantabria20122010–2012
Table
Table 4. Summary of the goodness-of-fit statistics yielded by regression methods for total volume, TV (m3/ha), annual increase in total volume, AITV (m3/ha year), and total aboveground biomass, AGB (t/ha), for the major commercial tree species in north-western Spain. Methods included Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), k-Nearest Neighbour (kNN), Regression Trees (RT), Random Forest (RF) and the Ensemble method (EM). All values represent the mean and standard deviation (std) of 100 model runs (i.e., 10 replicates, each with 10-fold cross validation). The performance of the regression methods was compared by using different statistics based on the model errors (mean field values were considered as true values): coefficient of determination (R2), bias (Bias), the relative root mean square error (rRMSE); and a paired t-test (corrected) based on Student’s t-criterion (α = 0.05); significantly differences are indicated in bold type.
Table 4. Summary of the goodness-of-fit statistics yielded by regression methods for total volume, TV (m3/ha), annual increase in total volume, AITV (m3/ha year), and total aboveground biomass, AGB (t/ha), for the major commercial tree species in north-western Spain. Methods included Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), k-Nearest Neighbour (kNN), Regression Trees (RT), Random Forest (RF) and the Ensemble method (EM). All values represent the mean and standard deviation (std) of 100 model runs (i.e., 10 replicates, each with 10-fold cross validation). The performance of the regression methods was compared by using different statistics based on the model errors (mean field values were considered as true values): coefficient of determination (R2), bias (Bias), the relative root mean square error (rRMSE); and a paired t-test (corrected) based on Student’s t-criterion (α = 0.05); significantly differences are indicated in bold type.
SpeciesStatisticsVariableMLRkNNRTRFEM
MeanStdMeanStdMeanStdMeanStdMeanStd
Eucalyptus globulusR2TV0.800.020.780.030.810.030.830.030.820.03
AITV0.670.050.650.050.660.050.670.050.680.05
AGB0.790.030.770.040.810.030.820.030.820.03
BiasTV−0.080.01−12.081.58−1.860.23−2.300.27−0.760.09
AITV0.010.00−0.380.050.000.000.000.000.010.00
AGB−0.180.02−7.000.92−1.170.15−1.360.16−0.430.05
rRMSE (%)TV33.163.9935.234.7831.783.7730.713.5530.813.46
AITV35.034.1935.574.5235.214.5234.594.0034.243.94
AGB34.754.4436.915.0032.794.0531.593.7631.713.65
Pinus pinasterR2TV0.720.030.710.030.730.030.730.030.740.03
AITV0.530.050.540.050.510.060.550.050.560.05
AGB0.720.030.710.040.720.030.730.030.740.03
BiasTV−0.010.00−4.010.420.490.050.360.03−0.020.00
AITV0.000.00−0.130.01−0.010.000.030.000.010.00
AGB−0.130.01−1.520.160.180.020.250.02−0.020.00
rRMSE (%)TV39.053.6239.884.0838.393.6838.173.6237.953.53
AITV43.034.1742.884.2544.094.0942.333.7941.953.91
AGB39.583.5640.214.0539.443.6739.003.6538.513.57
Pinus radiataR2TV0.750.060.760.050.750.060.790.050.780.05
AITV0.630.090.650.070.620.080.690.060.670.06
AGB0.770.070.780.050.770.060.800.050.790.06
BiasTV1.160.25−5.451.200.520.120.030.00−1.010.19
AITV0.000.00−0.070.010.140.030.020.00−0.100.02
AGB−0.740.16−7.141.83−0.860.20−0.850.19−0.470.10
rRMSE (%)TV40.818.8340.298.6540.1810.5837.237.3238.357.19
AITV39.608.6339.117.7040.438.1436.676.3237.506.52
AGB40.619.5442.2811.0240.869.6738.278.7739.028.71

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Novo-Fernández, A.; Barrio-Anta, M.; Recondo, C.; Cámara-Obregón, A.; López-Sánchez, C.A. Integration of National Forest Inventory and Nationwide Airborne Laser Scanning Data to Improve Forest Yield Predictions in North-Western Spain. Remote Sens. 2019, 11, 1693. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11141693

AMA Style

Novo-Fernández A, Barrio-Anta M, Recondo C, Cámara-Obregón A, López-Sánchez CA. Integration of National Forest Inventory and Nationwide Airborne Laser Scanning Data to Improve Forest Yield Predictions in North-Western Spain. Remote Sensing. 2019; 11(14):1693. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11141693

Chicago/Turabian Style

Novo-Fernández, Alís, Marcos Barrio-Anta, Carmen Recondo, Asunción Cámara-Obregón, and Carlos A. López-Sánchez. 2019. "Integration of National Forest Inventory and Nationwide Airborne Laser Scanning Data to Improve Forest Yield Predictions in North-Western Spain" Remote Sensing 11, no. 14: 1693. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11141693

APA Style

Novo-Fernández, A., Barrio-Anta, M., Recondo, C., Cámara-Obregón, A., & López-Sánchez, C. A. (2019). Integration of National Forest Inventory and Nationwide Airborne Laser Scanning Data to Improve Forest Yield Predictions in North-Western Spain. Remote Sensing, 11(14), 1693. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11141693

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