4.2. Main Results
This sub-section presents the results of the nonmonotonic relationship between the audit quality and ESG performance of insurance companies in the MENAT region. The main findings are presented in the following
Table 7. Two models indicate that the fixed effect model could be the appropriate estimator for this study because it controls unobserved heterogeneity between units and increases the validity of the findings.
More specifically, Model (1) presents the monotonic (linear) relationship between audit quality and ESG performance, while Model (2) reflects the nonmonotonic link between the two variables. Specifically, the results indicate that in Model 1, the coefficient of the audit quality (AQ) variable has a negative and statistically significant effect on ESG performance. These results are consistent with those obtained by [
1,
15]. Specifically, the negative impact of audit quality on ESG performance of insurance companies may be since high-quality auditors impose stricter demands of disclosure and compliance. This greater level of stringency generally leads to the removal of tokenistic or “greenwashing” exercises that create artificially inflated ESG ratings. That is, a higher-quality audit reveals real defects in environmental, social, and governance practices, and thus ESG performance seems to fall.
In Model 2, though, it is seen that the nonmonotonic relationship between audit quality and ESG performance has emerged. It transitions from positive to negative. From a statistical view, the coefficient of the variable audit quality (AQ) at first positively and significantly influences ESG performance at 1%. After reaching the inflection point of 0.571, however, it turns negative and significant at 1%, admitting the validity of Hypothesis 1. Certainly, the U-shaped relation test proposed by [
35] to detect the presence of a nonmonotonic nexus between audit quality (AQ) and ESG performance is employed (see
Table 7). More precisely, such nonlinear interaction between audit quality and ESG performance implies a threshold effect. It is only at the intermediate level that stronger audit quality increases the credibility and transparency of nonfinancial information, which then encourages insurance companies to strengthen their ESG practices in line with stakeholder demands, confirming Hypothesis 1(a). These outcomes are consistent with those obtained by [
12,
13,
14]. After a point, however, excessively onerous auditor burdens may induce excessively high compliance costs, channeling resources away from ESG investment into rigid regulation and inhibiting managerial discretion. Thus, the initial beneficial effect is negative, creating a trade-off between increasing control and long-term performance, proving the validity of Hypothesis 1(b) (see
Figure 1). These results are like those found by [
1,
2,
3,
4,
5,
6,
7,
8,
9,
10,
11,
12,
13,
14,
15].
Furthermore, control variables significantly influence ESG performance. More precisely, the loans variable has a positive and statistically significant effect on ESG performance at 1% in model (2). This positive effect can be traced back to the discipline and incentive function of debt. Indeed, creditors will demand more transparency, better governance, and good risk management to reduce default probabilities. These constraints drive insurance companies to construct improved environmental, social, and governance processes in a bid to raise their profile, procure improved terms of finance, and reduce their cost of capital. Debt is thus an external mechanism of governance that drives insurers to create more robust ESG strategies.
Similarly, the coefficient of the ROE variable is positive and significant at the 1% level in both models. A high return on equity (ROE) is advantageous to the ESG performance of insurance companies as it measures a higher capacity to generate internal resources. These resources can be used to finance sustainability activities such as green innovation, employee development, or better governance approaches. In addition, more successful companies try to promote their reputation and meet stakeholder expectations, and this encourages them to spend more money on ESG activities. In this manner, profitability becomes a strategic enabler of sustainable performance.
In addition, the coefficient on the size variable is positive and significant at 1% for both models. This indicates that larger companies tend to have greater financial, human, and technological capacities that they can allocate to sustainable activities. They are also under more pressure from regulators, institutional investors, and the media to adopt better environmental, social, and governance practices to sustain their reputation and legitimacy. Thus, size is a simultaneous investment capability strength and pressure factor for quality institutions with positive effects on ESG performance.
Finally, the macroeconomic variables carry positive and statistically significant signs. In fact, the GDP growth variable coefficient has a positive effect on ESG performance. This indicates that an increase in GDP is a sign of a favorable macroeconomic state in which corporations have greater financial resources and investment opportunities. In such a high-growth environment, corporations are more motivated to invest in green activities (social inclusion, emissions cut, green innovation) as they have better leeway to include these costs without compromising profitability. Moreover, a growing economy initiates social and regulatory demands for sustainable behavior, with firms being forced to strengthen their governance and openness. Economic forces, therefore, create a virtuous cycle where economic prosperity and ESG performance evolve concomitantly. In addition,
The positive effect of inflation on the ESG performance of firms under this criterion is that with the general rise in prices, the issues of purchasing power, sustainability, and market stability become more delicate for consumers, investors, and regulators. In this regard, companies are encouraged to strengthen their governance and transparency policies to maintain stakeholders’ confidence unbroken. In addition, inflation contributes to energy and raw material costs, which encourages firms to invest in more sustainable and more efficient solutions (green technologies, energy efficiency, responsible management of resources) to reduce their price risk exposure. Concurrently, social pressures linked to inflation (social responsibility, working conditions, inequality) encourage firms to develop their social and inclusive component, which seems to improve their ESG performance.
4.3. Robustness Checks
4.3.1. Alternative Dependent Variable
Following [
1,
2,
14], I replace the broad ESG dependent variable with its three dimensions: environmental (ESGE), social (ESGS), and governance (ESGG). They are all more precise in explaining some aspects related to a firm’s sustainability and responsibility. In this way, we will be able to further examine the nonlinear impact of audit quality on each dimension.
The findings are consistent with those based on previous findings, showing that there is evidence supporting the existence of a nonlinear relationship between audit quality and each component of ESG (
Table 8). More specifically, we can point to the presence of a nonlinear relationship between audit quality (AQ) and environmental performance (ESGE). At an economic level, this means that, firstly, high audit quality improves transparency, information reliability, and internal discipline in insurance companies. Credible external auditors raise the credibility of nonfinancial reports and encourage management to invest more in the environment (carbon footprint reduction, green investments, management of climate risk). This positive effect is explained by institutional theory and stakeholder theory, that better governance guarantees legitimacy and compliance with regulatory and social pressures. In this sense, hypothesis H1(a) holds true. Above a certain point, however (equal to 0.632), overly high audit quality may impose excessive costs and compliance burden. In MENAT region insurance companies, this would result in over-constraining, increased risk aversion, and inefficient capital allocation, diverting investment from environmental projects into compliance with auditors’ formal requirements. That is, the effect turns negative because of excessive control, placing stringent constraints on strategic flexibility and hindering environmental innovation, thus substantiating the admission of hypothesis H1(b). Such a relationship describes an inverted U-shaped one where audit quality is best to some extent but then becomes counterintuitive, and therefore, hypothesis H1’s validity (see model (1)).
Also, in Model (2), nonmonotone dependence between audit quality and social performance (ESGS) existed. It varies from positive to an optimal threshold value of 0.549 and then becomes negative. In short, initially, high audit quality promotes transparency, standards compliance, and good governance, stimulating insurance companies in the MENAT region to expand their social commitments (working conditions, inclusion, and employee and customer protection). In this sense, auditing is a means of discipline to connect social practices to the expectations of stakeholders and regulators. This result confirms hypothesis H1(a). However, if audit quality is too high, it can generate too much compliance cost and organizational rigidity, limiting firms from investing in social action (wellness programs, training, social inclusion). Furthermore, over-supervision has the potential to have managers focus on strict rule-following rather than effective social action. The result is thus adverse since excessive control reduces flexibility and diverts resources toward projects with social worth. The outcome, therefore, validates hypothesis H1(b). Briefly, the relationship is of an inverted U-shape and nonlinear: audit quality improves social performance initially but becomes counterproductive at some point because of its rigidity and cost, hence acceptance of Hypothesis H1.
Finally, it appears that the impact of audit quality and governance (ESGG) performance (AQ) is not linear. There is an optimal audit quality level, 0.478, below which audit quality improves governance performance, but above which audit quality degrades overall performance. Thus, the validity of Hypothesis H1 is established. In fact, initially, high audit quality increases financial disclosure, reduces information asymmetries, and increases the monitoring of the management. This increases governance by reducing opportunism and increasing stakeholder trust. Neutral auditors provide credibility, which puts pressure on boards to practice good governance. This supports Hypothesis H1(a). But excessive audit quality, in turn, can lead to excessive bureaucracy, auditor reliance, and compliance costs that are out of proportion. For insurance companies in the MENAT region, this rigidity can compromise the strategic role of boards as well as their ability to make locally appropriate decisions. Governance can accordingly become less effective since focus has shifted away from strategic management and toward formal compliance. Hypothesis H1(b) is thus accepted. Generally, the interaction is of the inverse U-type: audit quality triggers governance up to a point where it is harmful, suppressing flexibility and decision-making effectiveness.
4.3.2. Alternative Independent Variable
To explore further the impact of audit quality on ESG performance, the curvilinear impact of three proxies of audit quality on ESG performance is tested. The three proxies are three, i.e., Audit committee size (ACS), Audit committee independence (ACI), Audit committee meeting (ACM). The results obtained further validate the presence of a nonlinear relationship between the different dimensions of audit quality and ESG performance, further validating hypothesis H1 (
Table 9).
4.3.3. Endogeneity
To explore potential endogeneity, the study employs the System Generalized Method of Moments (SGMM) technique [
36]. The SGMM approach presents several notable benefits. Foremost among them is its capability to mitigate issues such as omitted variable bias, inaccuracies in measurement, dynamic variations within panels, and potential endogeneity linking independent variables to the error term. This methodological framework is especially pertinent in contexts where the time aspect of a panel is somewhat restricted. Our analysis, for instance, considers a temporal dimension (T) of 6, contrasting with a cross-sectional dimension (N) of 31. Additionally, the evaluation of second-order autocorrelation, as performed by [
37], produced nonsignificant results for the AR model (2), suggesting that autocorrelation is not present. This outcome indicates a well-specified model, implying that a singular offset for the insurance performance variable suffices. Furthermore, the robustness of the GMM approach within the system can be enhanced by suitably conditioning the values at times t − 1 and t − 2 for the difference equation, along with a single lag in the level equation. The reliability of the instruments utilized is supported by Hansen’s J statistics, which assesses the limitations on over-identification.
Furthermore, the paper examined the curvilinearity between audit quality and insurance ESG performance in the MENAT region to derive additional insights. Equation (2) of the dynamic model is as follows:
After solving the endogeneity problem using the system GMM method, the nonlinear nexus between audit quality and ESG performance is still found (
Table 10). The positive and significant coefficient on the lagged ESG performance variable indicates a dynamic persistence in firms’ sustainability behavior. This suggests that insurance companies with strong ESG performance in the previous year are likely to sustain or enhance their ESG efforts in the following year. Such persistence may be driven by long-term strategic commitments, reputational considerations, or regulatory expectations. It also reflects the cumulative nature of ESG investment, where past actions create momentum for future performance. However, the optimal level of audit quality has become 0.49. It has slightly decreased by 0.027 compared to the results of the first regression, where its optimal level was estimated at 0.517 (see
Table 7, Model 2). This reflects the presence of adjustment costs related to audit quality.