Abstract
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the major causes of cancer-related death. Although the burden of alcohol- and NASH-related HCC is growing, chronic viral hepatitis (HBV and HCV) remains a major cause of HCC development worldwide. The pathophysiology of viral-related HCC includes liver inflammation, oxidative stress, and deregulation of cell signaling pathways. HBV is particularly oncogenic because, contrary to HCV, integrates in the cell DNA and persists despite virological suppression by nucleotide analogues. Surveillance by six-month ultrasound is recommended in patients with cirrhosis and in “high-risk” patients with chronic HBV infection. Antiviral therapy reduces the risks of development and recurrence of HCC; however, patients with advanced chronic liver disease remain at risk of HCC despite virological suppression/cure and should therefore continue surveillance. Multiple scores have been developed in patients with chronic hepatitis B to predict the risk of HCC development and may be used to stratify individual patient’s risk. In patients with HCV-related liver disease who achieve sustained virological response by direct acting antivirals, there is a strong need for markers/scores to predict long-term risk of HCC. In this review, we discuss the most recent advances regarding viral-related HCC.
1. Introduction
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most frequent type of primary liver cancer and the second most frequent cause of cancer-related death worldwide [1]. In approximately 90% of patients, HCC is associated with cirrhosis [1]. Although the burden of alcohol- and NASH-related HCC is growing [2], chronic viral hepatitis remains a major cause of liver cancers worldwide [3,4].
In this review, we discuss the current knowledge regarding mechanisms of viral-related carcinogenesis, risk factors, and epidemiology of viral-related HCC, and strategies for surveillance in patients at risk (first section). We will also discuss how antiviral therapy reduces the risk of HCC in patients with chronic viral hepatitis and include specific consideration regarding the emerging field of immunotherapy in these patients (second section).
2. Viral Hepatitis and HCC: Epidemiology and Risk Factors
Epidemiology of HCC is significantly changing [5]. In the traditional “high-risk” areas (i.e., south-east Asia), incidence and mortality are progressively decreasing. By contrast, both incidence and mortality are increasing in North America and in some (but not all) European countries [6]. These trends likely reflect different exposure to “traditional” (i.e., HBV) and “new” (i.e., non-alcoholic fatty liver disease) risk factors and difference in surveillance [7]. In our region (Italy), recent studies based on the ITA.LI.CA database clearly demonstrate that the number of viral-related HCC not only is significantly and progressively decreasing since the late 1990s, but is also expected to further decrease in the next future [8,9].
Numerous non-viral related factors such as alcohol-related liver disease, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), diabetes, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are becoming progressively more relevant for the development of end-stage liver disease and HCC [1,10]. However, chronic hepatitis C (HCV) and chronic hepatitis B (HBV) viruses remain of primary importance [6].
The European Association for the Study of Liver (EASL) guidelines recommend vaccination against hepatitis B in all new-born and high-risk populations to reduce the spread of HBV infection [4]. In fact, chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB) is the major risk factor associated to development of HCC worldwide and, importantly, HCC may arise in patients with HBV chronic infection without cirrhosis [11]. In one recent study including 8539 patients from the Veterans Administration, 317 developed HCC, of whom 30 (9.5%) did not have any evidence of cirrhosis at time of HCC diagnosis [12]. Compared to HCC patients with cirrhosis, these patients were more likely to be African American or Asian, have a family history of HCC, and hypertension, which suggests that these factors may be helpful to select patients with CHB without cirrhosis at higher risk in whom to consider for surveillance.
Additional and synergistic risk factors for development of HCC in CHB are patient-related (male sex, older age, Asian or African ethnicity, history of HCC within the family), viral-related (high viral replication, HBV genotype, longer duration of infection, co-infection with HDV, HCV or HIV), clinical-related (presence of cirrhosis), or environment-related (exposure to aflatoxin, history of alcohol abuse and smoking) [1,4]. Treatment with nucleotides analogues (NA) and suppression of HBV replication is the most important factor in determining the reduction in HCC risk (see below) [13,14,15]. In patients receiving NA, older age, cirrhosis, male sex, platelets number, liver stiffness, and diabetes are additional risk factors that are associated with increased risk for HCC and may be considered to stratify patient’s risk [16,17,18]. The Cirrhosis, Age, Male sex, Diabetes (CAMD) score was created to estimate the risk of HCC in Asian patients treated with continuous NA therapy (tenofovir or entecavir) [19].
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is another leading cause of chronic liver disease. Prior to introduction of direct acting antiviral therapy (DAAs) therapy [20], there were approximately 71 million chronically infected individuals worldwide [21]. Achievement of sustained virologic response (i.e., virological cure, SVR) is associated with a significant reduction in the risk of HCC [3]. A previous meta-analysis including data from cohorts treated with interferon-based therapy demonstrated a reduction by more than 70% in the risk of HCC occurrence after SVR, regardless the severity of baseline liver fibrosis [22]. Remarkably, there was a significant reduction also in patients with cirrhosis though these patients remained at significant risk (<1.5% [0.3–2.4%]) [23,24]. The development of the new DAAs has changed the scenario of HCV-related HCC and numerous independent studies confirmed that patients who achieve SVR after DAAs have a significantly reduced risk of HCC [25,26] (see below).
Additional factors that may influence the risk of residual HCC in patients with HCV infection (both active and treated patients) are older age, male sex, Hispanic ethnicity, diabetes and obesity, smoking, HCV genotype 3, alcohol abuse, and coinfection with HIV or HBV [27,28,29]. There are increasing data indicating that a combination of such factors may improve risk stratification and help to identify patients who remain at risk of HCC despite SVR (see below).
Hepatitis E virus (HEV), particularly genotype 3 and 4, is being increasingly recognized as a potential cause for liver disease and cirrhosis in immunocompromised patients [30]. Preliminary data suggest that HEV-driven hepatic carcinogenesis is rare. However, with the increasing knowledge regarding complex clinical manifestations of HEV chronic infection and potential mechanisms of HEV-driven cell transformation, the question arises as to whether these patients are at increased risk of HCC [31]. Further studies on laboratory and clinical aspects of HEV-driven HCC are expected.
3. Viral-Related Hepatic Carcinogenesis
Hepatic carcinogenesis is a complex process in which genetic predisposition, cellular microenvironment, immune cells, and viruses play different but synergistic roles [32]. Three main mechanisms are involved in the development of HCC: persistent liver inflammation, oxidative stress, and deregulation of cell signaling pathways [32]. In general, oncogenic viruses do not lead to development of cancer per se, instead it is the interaction with host factors (i.e., dysregulation of the immune system) that leads to preneoplastic conditions and then cancer [33]. Chronic inflammation due to viral infection leads to a progressive alteration of immune cells, which causes an increased release ROS and proinflammatory cytokines within the liver niche and finally determines the remodeling of liver microenvironment [34]. Recently, it has also been suggested that alterations of hemostasis, particularly of platelets, could have a role in hepatocarcinogenesis [35,36]. Additional mechanisms that promote the induction of HCC in patients with HBV, HCV, and HBV-HDV infection are discussed below (Table 1) [37,38,39,40,41,42,43].
Table 1.
Mechanisms of hepatic carcinogenesis in patients with chronic viral infection.
3.1. HBV
HBV is a partially double-stranded circular DNA virus and is able to integrate in hepatic cell’s DNA, thus leading to chromosomal rearrangements, genomic instability, and mutagenesis in proto-oncogenes and tumor suppressors [44]. This appears the main mechanism through which HBV may result in HCC in the absence of cirrhosis.
In patients with cirrhosis, development of HBV-associated HCC is multifactorial. Firstly, the X protein, expressed in the HBV genome, interacts with nuclear transcription factors and signal transduction pathways such as Raf, c-Jun, MAPK, NFκB, Jak-Stat, FAK, and protein kinase C pathways, as well as Src-dependent and phosphatiylinositol-3 kinase signaling cascades [45,46].
HBx causes hypermethylation or global hypomethylation of the DNA, leading to the silencing of tumor suppressor genes and chromosomal instability [47]. Moreover, it exerts both anti-apoptotic [48,49] and pro-apoptotic activity [50] and may increase the expression of TERT and telomerase activity [51]. Finally, the HBx protein is involved in the dysregulation of IGF-II11. All these processes result in uncontrolled cell growth and malignant transformation.
Among the most relevant deregulated pathways, the Wnt/FZD/β-catenin, PI3K/Akt/mTOR, insulin receptor substrate 1 (IRS1)/insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF), and the Ras/Raf/mitogen-activated protein kinases (MAPK) pathways are the most important [40]. WNT is a stem cell regulator that, when binding with FZD and LRP, inhibits the destruction of β-catenin, which translocates to the nucleus and forms a transcriptionally active complex with the T-cell-specific transcription factor/lymphoid enhancer-binding factor (TCF/LEF). This results in the expression of WNT target genes, which, in turn, lead to uncontrolled liver cell proliferation and survival and, finally, to HCC development [52,53]. The upregulation of PI3K/AKT and Ras/ERK1/2 brings about the same effect of WNT activation through the overexpression of cyclin D1 and the activation of c-Myc and NFκB [54,55,56]. Finally, HBV exposes hepatocytes to FasL increasing apoptosis and the resulting compensatory regeneration, which may determine HCC [57,58,59]. HBV infection in Asian countries is frequently associated with aflatoxin exposure; in that case, HBV-related carcinogenesis is specifically characterized by development of mutations in the gatekeeper p53 tumor suppressor gene [60].
3.2. HDV
Processes such as immune response modification, epigenetic changes, or oxidative stress in the ER may also be related to HDV infection. In fact, HDV acts on the same pathways mentioned before (TGF-β, Smad3, STAT3, NFκβ), promoting cell survival, cell growth, and malignant transformation [61,62,63]. Furthermore, HDV evades IFN-α mediated immune response promoting cell survival [64].
3.3. HCV
Unlike HBV, HCV cannot integrate into human genome. Three major mechanisms are involved in HCV-related hepatocarcinogenesis: chronic inflammation, deregulation of immune response, and altered function of antigen-presenting cells [65].
The interaction between viral protein NS5A and cellular components [66] alters two main cellular functions such as protein synthesis (because activity of endoplasmic reticulum is shifted towards the synthesis of viral rather than cellular proteins) [67] and lipogenesis (which leads to accumulation of free fatty acid within the cytosolic space) [68]. In a vicious cycle, the function of endoplasmic reticulum is further damaged by the oxidative stress due to the accumulation of long chain fatty acids and cholesterol in the infected cells, which finally leads to activation of NFkB pathway [69,70]. Downstream to NFkB, there are the same pathways described for HBV-related carcinogenesis [65]: TERT, β-catenin, p53, Rb, chromatin remodeling/epigenetic modifications, hepatocyte differentiation, PI3K-mTOR pathway, and NRF2-kelck-like ECH-associated protein (KEAP), cancer stem cells, angiogenesis and RTKs. On top of that, HCV core and NS3 proteins can determine an increase of inflammatory cytokines, such as IFN-β, IL-1β, IL-6, TNF-α that may lead to malignant evolution [71,72].
4. Surveillance in Patients at Risk
Surveillance with six-month abdominal ultrasound is recommended in patients at risk for HCC [1]. This includes patients with cirrhosis, independent of etiology, and selected patients with chronic HBV infection (Asian males hepatitis B carriers over the age of 40s, Asian female hepatitis B carriers over the age of 50s and hepatitis B carriers with a family history of HCC) [1,4]. There is no advantage with a more intense screening strategy (i.e., every three months) [73], not even in patients at high risk for HCC [74]. By contrast, the prolongation of time interval from six months to one year is associated with a significantly increased risk of late diagnosis and death [75].
There is an ongoing debate regarding surveillance in patients with advanced liver fibrosis (F3). According to the EASL guidelines, ultrasound surveillance may be recommended in these patients based on the evaluation of individual risk factors [1]. By contrast, American guidelines do not recommend screening in F3, but only in patients with cirrhosis [76].
The incidence of HCC differs according to chronic liver disease etiology, clinical, pathological, and epidemiologic factors, and geographical distribution. Therefore, the identification of a single score system to predict the development of HCC is challenging.
The HCC risk scores for CHB are differentiated between treated and untreated patients. The majority of them are developed in Asian populations, but some are also validated in Caucasian cohorts (Table 2).
Among untreated patients, the first risk score to be proposed was the GAG-HCC score, whose formula is: 16 × sex (male = 1; female = 0) + age (in years) + 3 × HBV DNA levels (copies/mL in log) + 19 × core promoter mutations (mutant = 1; wild-type = 0) + 30 × cirrhosis (presence = 1; absence = 0). The score hazard ratio for the development of HCC is 1.07 (95% CI 1.05–1.08, p < 0.001), indicating that the risk of HCC development increases by 7% per one-point increase in GAG-HCC score [77]. The second was the CU-HCC score that included age (<50 or >50), albumin (≤35 or >35 g/L), bilirubin (> 18 or ≤18 umol/L), HBV DNA (≤4, 4–6 or >6 log), and cirrhosis (yes or no) to stratify patients into three groups (total score < 5, between 5 and 19, and >19) with progressively increasing risk of HCC (none in the first group, 26.8% in the second group, and 31.4% in the third group). Interestingly, the negative predictive value for “low risk” group by the CU-HCC score was 97.8%, indicating that HCC surveillance in this group may be interrupted [78]. A third score by Yang et al., called the REACH B score [79], includes age, male sex, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), HBeAg positivity, and HBV-DNA levels. The authors identified three distinct groups (≤5, 6–11, and ≥12) with significantly different risk of HCC (0.2, 3.3, and 47.4%, respectively). Finally, the RSW-HCC is another simple score elaborated in 538 patients with CHB and then validated in 3353 subjects from the REACH-B, GAG-HCC, and CU-HCC cohorts. This score includes age, gender, cirrhosis, and levels of AFP (between 4.1 and 20 microg/mL vs. >20 microg/mL). An RWS-HCC score > 4.5 indicates a significant risk of development of HCC over the next ten years with a sensitivity of 88.1% and a specificity of 83% [80].
PAGE-B score was the first score to be developed in Caucasian patients (treated) and includes age, gender, and platelet count. This score distinguishes three groups with a five years cumulative HCC incidence of 0, 3–4, and 16–17%, respectively. Importantly, this score has a 100% NPV in patients at low risk, thus potentially being useful to identify patients therefore not eligible for surveillance [81]. Recently, the REAL-B score was developed in a cohort of 8048 CHB. It includes male gender, alcohol use, cirrhosis, age, diabetes, AFP and platelet count to divide patients in three categories with an annual incidence rate of 0.09, 0.9, and 5.8% respectively [82].
Few risk scores are available in patients with chronic hepatitis C infection. In 2016, the ANRS CO12 CirVir, a study based on a multicenter cohort of 1323 CHC-related cirrhosis patients, proposed a risk score based on five variables to predict the development of HCC (age > 50 years, low platelet count, GGT > ULN, past excessive alcohol intake and absence of SVR) [83]. A Japanese study in 2020 proposed an even more simplified scoring system (0–2 points) based on level of AFP and age, with a 0.3, 6.2, and 18.3% incidence of HCC in patients with 0, 1, and 2 points, respectively. However, this score lacks an external validation [84]. Additional evidence is accumulating regarding how to identify patients who remain at higher risk of HCC after the achievement of SVR (see below). While it is unlikely that patients with cirrhosis can stop screening after virological cure, these scores may be helpful to identify patients with less advanced fibrosis (F2–F3) and with no additional risk factors (i.e., alcohol) in who the achievement of SBR abolishes the risk of future cancer.
Table 2.
Published scores for the evaluation of HCC risk in patients with chronic HBV.
Table 2.
Published scores for the evaluation of HCC risk in patients with chronic HBV.
| Name (Ref.) | Use of Antiviral Treatment | Patients (Number and Ethnicity) | Variables Included in the Score | Risk Categories (Scores) | Incidence of HCC According to Risk Category | NPV (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAG-HCC [77] | No | 820 Asian and Caucasian | Age, gender, HBV-DNA, cirrhosis |
| Not available | 99% at 10 year |
| CU-HCC [78] | No | 1055 Asian and Caucasian | Age, HBV-DNA, cirrhosis, bilirubin, albumin |
| 5 and 10-years HCC-free survival rates:
| 97% at 10 year |
| RSW-HCC [80] | No | 538 Asian and Caucasian | Gender, cirrhosis, aFP |
| Not available | 98.8% at 10 year |
| PAGE-B [81] | Entecavir/ tenofovir | 1325 Asian and Caucasian | Age, gender, platelet count |
|
| 100% 5 year |
| REAL-B [82] | Yes (not specified) | 5365 Ethnicity not available | Age, gender, alcohol use, cirrhosis, alpha-fetoprotein, platelet count, diabetes |
|
| Not available |
Legend: HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma, NPV: negative predictive value; AFP: alpha-fetoprotein.
In HBsAg-positive patients with cirrhosis, HDV infection increases the risk of HCC and liver-related mortality two- and three-fold, respectively [85,86]. A recent systemic review with meta-analysis found that the risk of HCC was two-fold higher in 6099 HBV/HDV co-infected patients than in 57,620 chronic HBV mono-infected patients [87]. Importantly, the magnitude of effect did not differ after adjustment for study design and quality, publication year and duration of follow-up, thus suggesting that the increase of HCC risk in HDV patients is real and significant [87]. Regarding risk factors, cirrhosis, HDV-RNA positivity, age > 50 years old, male gender, and BMI are independently predictive of HCC development in patients with CHB treated with NAs. Interestingly, in the subgroup of those with cirrhosis, HDV-RNA positivity remains independently predictive of HCC [88].
Whether specific strategies based on such risk factors may improve the detection of HCC in patients with HBV/HDV chronic infection is unclear. Among current guidelines for the management of HBV, some but not all recommend systematic screening for HCC in HDV patients. In fact, while the American Association for the Study of the Liver Guidelines indicate that HBsAg-positive patients with HDV coinfection should receive screening, independently of cirrhosis [89], European [4] and Asiatic [90] guidelines are not as stringent and favor an individualized approach. Incorporating new host factors such as positivity of HDV status in assessing the risk of HCC is an important area for future research [91]. In fact, pending authorization by the Medicine Agencies, new treatments for HDV will soon become available [92] and hopefully will help reduce the burden of HDV-associated HCC.
In conclusion, all patients with cirrhosis should undergo HCC surveillance regardless etiology of liver disease, sex, age, and origin. Whether and how ultrasound screening should be extended to patients without cirrhosis but with advanced liver fibrosis (F3) requires further investigation.
6. Immunotherapy in HCC: Does Viral Etiology Play a Role?
In the pivotal SHARP trial, as well as in subsequent HCC trials with check points inhibitors, patients with HCV-related HCC had the best survival gain [130]. Immunotherapy is now gaining continued attraction in treatment of different types of cancers [131]. Immune checkpoint molecules are central in maintaining immune tolerance and programmed cell death 1 (PD-1) and cytotoxic-T-lymphocyte-associated protein 4 (CTLA-4) have strongly emerged in immuno-oncology for their role as therapeutically actionable drivers of immune escape [132].
The combination of the immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) atezolizumab (an anti-PD-L1 antibody) and the anti-VEGFA antibody bevacizumab has produced superior results when compared with sorafenib in patients with advanced-stage HCC, setting a new first-line benchmark median overall survival (OS) duration of 19 months, thus appearing as a breakthrough in the management of this disease [133]. Similarly, the anti-PD-1 antibody sintilimab combined with a bevacizumab biosimilar (IBI305) has been reported to improve OS in Chinese patients with advanced-stage hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated HCC relative to sorafenib [134].
One of the key principles of immunotherapy is the recognition of tumor antigens by the immune system as foreign [135]. Indeed, in the tumor microenvironment, the expression of PD-L1 in antigen-presenting cells and tumor cells is up-regulated with chronic exposure to antigens like HBV accelerating the oncogenic processes.
In the case of viral-driven HCC, the recognition of viral-related antigens or the antigens derived from the viral-induced mutations could then serve as a basis for immunotherapy.
Hepatitis viral infection disrupts normal signaling pathways; leads to sustained hepatic inflammation, fibrosis, and aberrant hepatocyte regeneration; and exerts complex biological effects on the tumor microenvironment (TME).
It is still controversial whether there is a difference in clinical response rate for immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) between HBV- and HCV-associated HCC. Some reported that responses occurred regardless of HCC etiology, while some others demonstrated that clinical activity was observed predominantly in uninfected or HCV-infected cohorts [136].
In a recent metanalysis of the recent published manuscripts regarding ICIs in HCC, although immunotherapy improved survival in the overall population (hazard ratio (HR) 0.77; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.63–0.94), survival was superior in the arm of patients with HBV-related HCC (n = 574; p = 0.0008) and HCV-related HCC (n = 345; p = 0.04), but not in patients with non-viral HCC (n = 737; p = 0.39). Patients with viral etiology (HBV or HCV infection) of liver damage and HCC showed a benefit from checkpoint inhibition (HR 0.64; 95% CI 0.48–0.94) compared with patients with HCC of a non-viral etiology [137].
The microenvironment of HBV-related HCC has a strong immunosuppressive environment, which is reversed by anti-PD1 drugs. These mechanisms may explain the impact that the presence of an HBV infection had on the efficacy of ICIs. However, unlike HBV-related HCC, the function of HCV-specific CD8 +T cells did not recover after a PD-1/PD-L blockade. Mean-while, patients with HCC and chronic HCV infections were rich in Tregs and had an upregulated expression of CTLA-4 and other immunosuppressive molecules. CTLA-4 is preferentially upregulated in PD- 1 + T cells, suggesting that antigenic stimulation induces the expression of negative co-stimulatory signals that cumulatively contribute to treatment resistance. This might explain the negative interaction between the presence of HCV infection and ICI treatment efficacy in patients with HCC [138].
7. Conclusions and Future Directions
Epidemiology of HCC is changing and alcohol and NASH-related HCC are increasing. However, chronic viral infection due to HBV ± HDV and HCV are still a major cause of HCC worldwide. In patients with chronic viral hepatitis, antiviral therapy significantly reduces the risk of HCC, independent of baseline severity of liver disease. However, patients with cirrhosis remain at risk of HCC and must continue surveillance. In patients at risk, particularly those with cirrhosis, screening for HCC by six-month ultrasound is recommended and improves survival. In patients with chronic HBV infection, multiple scores have been validated to predict the individual patient’s risk and identify patients in whom surveillance may be discontinued. In the future, improvement in risk stratification in patients with HCV who achieve SVR by DAA is expected and may help to identify patients at higher risk in whom surveillance must be continued despite virological cure. The role of immunotherapy in patients with viral-related HCC is being explored, but first results appear promising for the treatment of viral-related HCC.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, F.P.R., A.Z. and F.F.; Writing—original draft preparation, F.P.R., A.Z., E.P., S.B. and B.P.; Writing—review and editing, F.P.R., A.Z., P.B. and F.F.; Supervision, F.F. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This research received no external funding.
Institutional Review Board Statement
Not applicable.
Informed Consent Statement
Not applicable.
Data Availability Statement
Not applicable.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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