Search Results (120)

Today’s rapidly increasing number and performance of Remotely Piloted Aircraft Systems (RPASs) and sensors allows for an innovative approach in monitoring, mitigating, and responding to natural disasters and risks. At present, there are 100s of different RPAS platforms and smaller and more affordable payload sensors. As natural disasters pose ever increasing risks to society and the environment, it is imperative that these RPASs are utilized effectively. In order to exploit these advances, this study presents the development and validation of a Natural Disaster Information System (NDIS), a geospatial decision-support framework for RPAS-based natural hazard missions. The system integrates a global geohazard database with specifications of geophysical sensors and RPAS platforms to automate mission planning in a generalized form. NDIS v1.0 uses decision tree algorithms to select suitable sensors and platforms based on hazard type, distance to infrastructure, and survey feasibility. NDIS v2.0 introduces a Random Forest method and a Critical Path Method (CPM) to further optimize task sequencing and mission timing. The latest version, NDIS v3.8.3, implements a staggered decision workflow that sequentially maps hazard type and disaster stage to appropriate survey methods, sensor payloads, and compatible RPAS using rule-based and threshold-based filtering. RPAS selection considers payload capacity and range thresholds, adjusted dynamically by proximity, and ranks candidate platforms using hazard- and sensor-specific endurance criteria. The system is implemented using ArcGIS Pro 3.4.0, ArcGIS Experience Builder (2025 cloud release), and Azure Web App Services (Python 3.10 runtime). NDIS supports both batch processing and interactive real-time queries through a web-based user interface. Additional features include a statistical overview dashboard to help users interpret dataset distribution, and a crowdsourced input module that enables community-contributed hazard data via ArcGIS Survey123. NDIS is presented and validated in, for example, applications related to volcanic hazards in Indonesia. These capabilities make NDIS a scalable, adaptable, and operationally meaningful tool for multi-hazard monitoring and remote sensing mission planning. Full article

Volcanic gas emissions, particularly sulfur dioxide (SO₂), are crucial for volcano monitoring. SO₂ has a significant impact on air quality, the climate, and human health, making it a critical component of volcano monitoring programs. Additionally, SO₂ can be used to assess the state of a volcano and the progression of an individual eruption and can serve as a proxy for volcanic ash. The Tajogaite La Palma (Spain) eruption in 2021 emitted large amounts of SO₂ over 85 days, with the plume reaching Central Europe. In this study, we present the results achieved by monitoring Tajogaite SO₂ emissions from 19 September to 31 October 2021 at different acquisition times (i.e., 10:00 UTC, 12:00 UTC, 14:00 UTC, and 16:00 UTC). An optimized configuration of the Robust Satellite Technique (RST) approach, tailored to volcanic SO₂ detection and exploiting the Spinning Enhanced Visible and InfraRed Imager (SEVIRI) channel at an 8.7 µm wavelength, was used. The results, assessed by means of a performance evaluation compared with masks drawn from the EUMETSAT Volcanic Ash RGB, show that the RST product identified volcanic SO₂ plumes on approximately 81% of eruption days, with a very low false-positive rate (2% and 0.3% for the mid/low and high-confidence-level RST products, respectively), a weighted precision of ~79%, and an F1-score of ~54%. In addition, the comparison with the Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) S5P Product Algorithm Laboratory (S5P-PAL) L3 grid Daily SO₂ CBR product shows that RST-SEVIRI detections were mostly associated with SO₂ plumes having a column density greater than 0.4 Dobson Units (DU). This study gives rise to some interesting scenarios regarding the near-real-time monitoring of volcanic SO₂ by means of the Flexible Combined Imager (FCI) aboard the Meteosat Third-Generation (MTG) satellites, offering improved instrumental features compared with the SEVIRI. Full article

Understanding the dispersion of volcanic sulphur dioxide (SO₂) plumes is crucial for assessing their environmental and climatic impacts. This study integrates satellite-based and reanalysis datasets to simulate as well as visualise the dispersion patterns of volcanic SO₂ under diverse atmospheric conditions. By incorporating data from the MERRA-2 (Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2), CALIPSO (Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations), and OMI (Ozone Monitoring Instrument) datasets, we are able to provide comprehensive insights into the vertical and horizontal trajectories of SO₂ plumes. The methodology involves modelling SO₂ dispersion across various atmospheric pressure surfaces, incorporating wind directions, wind speeds, and vertical column mass densities. This approach allows us to trace the evolution of SO₂ plumes from their source through varying meteorological conditions, capturing detailed vertical distributions and plume paths. Combining these datasets allows for a comprehensive analysis of both natural and human-induced factors affecting SO₂ dispersion. Visual and statistical interpretations in the paper reveal overall SO₂ concentrations, first injection dates, and dissipation patterns detected across altitudes of up to ±20 km in the stratosphere. This work highlights the significance of combining satellite-based and global atmospheric reanalysis datasets to validate and enhance the accuracy of plume dispersion models while having a general agreement that OMI daily data and MERRA-2 reanalysis hourly data are capable of accurately accounting for SO₂ plume dispersion patterns under varying meteorological conditions. Full article

In recent years, numerous satellite-based systems have been developed to monitor and study volcanic activity from space. This progress reflects the growing demand for accurate and timely monitoring to reduce volcanic risk. Observing volcanoes from a satellite perspective provides key advantages, enabling continuous data acquisition and near-real-time assessment of volcanic activity. Multispectral sensors operating across various regions of the electromagnetic spectrum can detect thermal anomalies associated with lava flows, pyroclastic flows, ash plumes, and volcanic gases. Traditional hotspot detection techniques based on fixed thresholds often miss subtle anomalies on a global scale. In contrast, advanced machine learning algorithms offer a data-driven alternative. We designed and implemented the V-STAR application (Volcanic Satellite Thermal Anomalies Recognition) on Google Earth Engine (GEE) to leverage cloud computing for processing large geospatial datasets in real time. It employs supervised machine learning, specifically Random Forests, to adapt to evolving volcanic conditions. This enhances the accuracy and responsiveness of volcanic monitoring, offering valuable insights into potential eruptive behavior. Here, we present V-STAR as a robust and accessible tool that integrates satellite data and advanced analytics. Through its intuitive interface, V-STAR provides a comprehensive visualization of key volcanic features. The resulting analyses reveal hidden patterns in thermal data, contributing to improved disaster risk reduction strategies associated with volcanic hazards. Full article

Aerospace engines ingest small particles when operating in a particulate-rich environment, such as sandstorms, atmospheric pollution, and volcanic ash clouds. These micron particles enter their cooling channels, leading to film-cooling hole blockage and thus thermal damage to turbine blades made of nickel-based single-crystal superalloy materials. This work studied the collision and deposition mechanisms between the micron particles and structure surface. A combined theoretical and numerical study was conducted to investigate the effect of deposits on particle collision and deposition. Finite element models of deposits with flat and rough surfaces were generated and analyzed for comparison. The results show that the normal restitution coefficient is much lower when a micron particle impacts a deposit compared to that of particle collisions with DD3 nickel-based single-crystal wall surfaces. The critical deposition velocity of a micron particle is much higher for particle–deposit collisions than for particle–wall collision. The critical deposition velocity decreases with the increase in particle size. When micron particles deposit on the wall surface of the structure, early-stage particle–wall collision becomes particle–deposit collision when the height of the deposits is greater than twice the particle diameter. For contact between particles and rough surface deposits, surfaces with a shorter correlation length, representing a higher density of asperities and a steeper surface, have a much longer contact time but a lower contact area. The coefficient of restitution of the particle reduces as the surface roughness of the deposits increase. The characteristic length of the roughness has little effect on the rebounding rotation velocity of the particle. Full article

Satellite imagery provides a rich source of information that serves as a comprehensive and synoptic tool for the continuous monitoring of active volcanoes, including those in remote and inaccessible areas. The huge influx of such data requires the development of automated systems for efficient processing and interpretation. Early warning systems, designed to process satellite imagery to identify signs of impending eruptions and monitor eruptive activity in near real-time, are essential for hazard assessment and risk mitigation. Here, we propose a machine learning approach for the automatic classification of pixels in SEVIRI images to detect and characterize the eruptive activity of a volcano. In particular, we exploit a semi-supervised GAN (SGAN) model that retrieves the presence of thermal anomalies, volcanic ash plumes, and meteorological clouds in each SEVIRI pixel, allowing time series plots to be obtained showing the evolution of volcanic activity. The SGAN model was trained and tested using the huge amount of data available on Mount Etna (Italy). Then, it was applied to other volcanoes, specifically, Stromboli (Italy), Tajogaite (Spain), and Nyiragongo (Democratic Republic of the Congo), to assess the model’s ability to generalize. The validation of the model was performed through a visual comparison between the classification results and the corresponding SEVIRI images. Moreover, we evaluate the model performance by calculating three different metrics, namely the precision (correctness of positive predictions), the recall (ability to find all the positive instances), and the F1-score (general model’s accuracy), finding an average accuracy of 0.9. Our approach can be extended to other geostationary satellite data and applied worldwide to characterize volcanic activity, allowing the monitoring of even remote volcanoes that are difficult to reach from the ground. Full article

The DC global electric circuit, GEC, was conceived by C.T.R. Wilson more than a century ago. Powered by thunderstorms and electrified shower clouds, an electric current I ~1 kA flows up into the ionosphere, maintaining the ionospheric potential V ~250 kV with respect to the Earth’s surface. The circuit is formed by the current I, flowing through the ionosphere all around the world, down through the atmosphere remote from the current sources (J ~2 pA/m² through a resistance R ~250 Ω), through the land and sea surface, and up to the thunderstorms as point discharge currents. This maintains a downward electric field E of magnitude ~130 V/m at the Earth’s surface away from thunderstorms and a charge Q ~−6.10⁵ C on the Earth’s surface. The theoretical modelling of ionospheric currents and the miniscule geomagnetic field perturbations (ΔB ~0.1 nT) which they cause, as derived by Denisenko and colleagues in recent years, are reviewed. The time constant of the GEC, τ = RC, where C is the capacitance of the global circuit capacitor, is estimated via three different methods to be ~7 to 12 min. The influence of stratus clouds in determining the value of τ is shown to be significant. Sudden excitations of the GEC by volcanic lightning in Iceland in 2011 and near the Tonga eruption in 2022 enable τ to be determined, from experimental observations, as ~10 min and 8 min, respectively. It has been suggested that seismic activity, or earthquake precursors, could produce large enough electric fields in the ionosphere to cause detectable effects, either by enhanced radon emission or by enhanced thermal emission from the earthquake region; a review of the quantitative estimates of these mechanisms shows that they are unlikely to produce sufficiently large effects to be detectable. Finally, some possible links between the topics discussed and human health are considered briefly. Full article

Sulfur dioxide (SO₂) is sourced by degassing magma in the shallow crust; hence its monitoring provides information on the rates of magma ascent in the feeding conduit and the style and intensity of eruption, ultimately contributing to volcano monitoring and hazard assessment. Here, we present a new algorithm to extract SO₂ data from the TROPOMI imaging spectrometer aboard the Sentinel-5 Precursor satellite, which delivers atmospheric column measurements of sulfur dioxide and other gases with an unprecedented spatial resolution and daily revisit time. Specifically, we automatically extract the volcanic clouds by introducing a two-step approach. Firstly, we used the Simple Non-Iterative Clustering segmentation method, which is an object-based image analysis approach; secondly, the K-means unsupervised machine learning technique is applied to the segmented images, allowing a further and better clustering to distinguish the SO₂. We implemented this algorithm in the open-source Google Earth Engine computing platform, which provides TROPOMI imagery collection adjusted in terms of quality parameters. As case studies, we chose three volcanoes: Mount Etna (Italy), Taal (Philippines) and Sangay (Ecuador); we calculated sulfur dioxide mass values from 2018 to date, focusing on a few paroxysmal events. Our results are compared with data available in the literature and with Level 2 TROPOMI imagery, where a mask is provided to identify SO₂, finding an optimal agreement. This work paves the way to the release of SO₂ flux time series with reduced delay and improved calculation time, hence contributing to a rapid response to volcanic unrest/eruption at volcanoes worldwide. Full article

The study of the Earth’s ionosphere is a topic that has increased in relevance over the past few decades. The ability to predict the ionosphere’s behavior, as well as to mitigate the effects of its rapid changes, is a matter of primary importance in satellite communications, positioning, and navigation applications at present. Ionosphere perturbations can be produced by geomagnetic storms correlated with the solar activity or by earthquakes, volcanic activities, and so on. The monitoring of space weather is achieved through analyzing the Vertical Total Electron Content (VTEC) and its anomalies by means of time series, maps, and other derived parameters. In this study, we outline a strategy to estimate the VTEC in real-time, its rate of change, and the corresponding Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) based on dual-frequency GNSS Doppler observations. We describe how to compute these parameters from GNSS data for a regional network using Adjusted Spherical Harmonic Analysis (ASHA) applied to a local model. The proposed method was tested to study ionospheric anomalies for two seismic events: the 2015 Nepal and 2023 Turkey earthquakes. In both cases, anomalies were detected in the maps of the differential VTEC (DTEC), differential VTEC rate, and SNR of the VTEC produced close to the earthquake zone. The robustness of the results is strongly related to the availability of a dense Ionosphere Pierce Point (IPP) cloud on the ionospheric layer and surrounding the studied area. At present, the distribution of Continuously Operating Reference Stations (CORSs) around the world is insufficiently dense and homogeneous in certain regions (e.g., the oceans). Robustness can be improved by increasing the number of CORSs and developing new models involving measurements over ocean surfaces. Full article

This study analyses the wide-band algorithm, Cloud-J v.8.0, from the point of view of the validity of the choice of wide spectral intervals to accelerate the calculations of photolysis rates in the lower and middle atmosphere, considering the features of solar radiation propagation, and to assess the influence of the processes of reflection and scattering on molecules, aerosols, and clouds. The results show that the calculations performed using Cloud-J v.8.0 are in agreement with the data obtained using the high-resolution LibRadtran model. The study also considers the factors influencing the propagation of the solar flux through the atmosphere in Cloud-J v.8.0, which occurs following theoretical concepts. It is shown that the presence of cloud layers can increase photolysis rates by up to 40% in the above-cloud layer and decrease them by up to 20% below the cloud layer. The presence of volcanic aerosol can increase the photolysis rates in the upper part of the layer and above it by up to 75% and decrease them by up to 75% in the underlying atmosphere. Rayleigh scattering can both enhance photolysis rates in the troposphere and reduce them at large zenith angles. Thus, Cloud-J offers a robust method for modelling atmospheric photodissociation processes with high computational efficiency. Full article

We used WRF-Chem to simulate ash transport from eruptions of Chile’s Calbuco volcano on 22–23 April 2015. Massive ash and SO₂ ejections reached the upper troposphere, and particulates transported over South America were observed over Argentina, Uruguay, and Brazil via satellite and surface data. Numerical simulations with the coupled Weather Research and Forecasting–Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model from 22 to 27 April covered eruptions and particle propagation. Chemical and aerosol parameters utilized the GOCART (Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport) model, while the meteorological conditions came from NCEP-FNL reanalysis. In WRF-Chem, we implemented a more efficient methodology to determine the Eruption Source Parameters (ESP). This permitted each simulation to consider a sequence of eruptions and a time varying ESP, such as the eruption height and mass and the SO₂ eruption rate. We used two simulations (GCTS1 and GCTS2) differing in the ash mass fraction in the finest bins (0–15.6 µm) by 2.4% and 16.5%, respectively, to assess model efficiency in representing plume intensity and propagation. Analysis of the active synoptic components revealed their impact on particle transport and the Andes’ role as a natural barrier. We evaluated and compared the simulated Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) with VIIRS Deep Blue Level 3 data and SO₂ data from Ozone Mapper and Profiler Suite (OMPS) Limb Profiler (LP), both of which are sensors onboard the Suomi National Polar Partnership (NPP) spacecraft. The model successfully reproduced ash and SO₂ transport, effectively representing influencing synoptic systems. Both simulations showed similar propagation patterns, with GCTS1 yielding better results when compared with AOD retrievals. These results indicate the necessity of specifying lower mass fraction in the finest bins. Comparison with VIIRS Brightness Temperature Difference data confirmed the model’s efficiency in representing particle transport. Overestimation of SO₂ may stem from emission inputs. This study demonstrates the feasibility of our implementation of the WRF-Chem model to reproduce ash and SO₂ patterns after a multi-eruption event. This enables further studies into aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions and atmospheric behavior following volcanic eruptions. Full article

The global, near-real-time monitoring of volcano thermal activity has become feasible through thermal infrared sensors on various satellite platforms, which enable accurate estimations of volcanic emissions. Specifically, these sensors facilitate reliable estimation of Volcanic Radiative Power (VRP), representing the heat radiated during volcanic activity. A critical factor influencing VRP estimates is the identification of hotspots in satellite imagery, typically based on intensity. Different satellite sensors employ unique algorithms due to their distinct characteristics. Integrating data from multiple satellite sources, each with different spatial and spectral resolutions, offers a more comprehensive analysis than using individual data sources alone. We introduce an innovative Remote Sensing Data Fusion (RSDF) algorithm, developed within a Cloud Computing environment that provides scalable, on-demand computing resources and services via the internet, to monitor VRP locally using data from various multispectral satellite sensors: the polar-orbiting Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), the Sea and Land Surface Temperature Radiometer (SLSTR), and the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), along with the geostationary Spinning Enhanced Visible and InfraRed Imager (SEVIRI). We describe and demonstrate the operation of this algorithm through the analysis of recent eruptive activities at the Etna and Stromboli volcanoes. The RSDF algorithm, leveraging both spatial and intensity features, demonstrates heightened sensitivity in detecting high-temperature volcanic features, thereby improving VRP monitoring compared to conventional pre-processed products available online. The overall accuracy increased significantly, with the omission rate dropping from 75.5% to 3.7% and the false detection rate decreasing from 11.0% to 4.3%. The proposed multi-sensor approach markedly enhances the ability to monitor and analyze volcanic activity. Full article

Space-based atmospheric backscatter lidars provide critical information about the vertical distribution of clouds and aerosols, thereby improving our understanding of the climate system. They are additionally useful for detecting hazards to aviation and human health, such as volcanic plumes and man-made pollution events. The Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP, 2006–2023), Cloud-Aerosol Transport System (CATS, 2015–2017), and Advanced Topographic Laser Altimeter System (ATLAS 2018–present) are three such lidars that operated within the past 20 years. The signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) for these lidars is significantly lower in daytime data compared with nighttime data due to the solar background signal increasing the detector response noise. Averaging horizontally across profiles has been the standard way to increase SNR, but this comes at the expense of resolution. Modern, deep learning-based denoising algorithms can be applied to improve the SNR without coarsening resolution. This paper describes how one such model architecture, Dense Dense U-Net (DDUNet), was trained to denoise CATS 1064 nm raw signal data (photon counts) using artificially noised nighttime data. Simulated CATS daytime 1064 nm data were then created to assess the model’s performance. The denoised simulated data increased the daytime SNR by a factor of 2.5 (on average) and decreased minimum detectable backscatter (MDB) to ~$7.3\times {10}^{-4}$ km⁻¹sr⁻¹, which is lower than the CALIOP 1064 nm night MDB value of $8.6\times {10}^{-4}$ km⁻¹sr⁻¹. Layer detection was performed on simulated 2 km horizontal resolution denoised and 60 km averaged data. Despite the finer resolution input, the denoised layers had more true positives, fewer false positives, and an overall Jaccard Index of 0.54 versus 0.44 when compared to the layers detected on averaged data. Layer detection was also performed on a full month of denoised daytime CATS data (Aug. 2015) to detect layers for comparison with CATS standard Level 2 (L2) product layers. The detection on the denoised data yielded 2.33 times more, higher-quality bins within detected layers at 2.7–33 times finer resolution than the CATS L2 products. Full article

The recovery and re-calibration of a dataset of vertical aerosol extinction profiles of the 1963/64 stratospheric aerosol layer measured by a searchlight at 32° N in New Mexico, US, is reported. The recovered dataset consists of 105 aerosol extinction profiles at 550 nm that cover the period from December 1963 to December 1964. It is a unique record of the portion of the aerosol cloud from the March 1963 Agung volcanic eruption that was transported into the Northern Hemisphere subtropics. The data-recovery methodology involved re-digitizing the 105 original aerosol extinction profiles from individual Figures within a research report, followed by the re-calibration. It involves inverting the original equation used to compute the aerosol extinction profile to retrieve the corresponding normalized detector response profile. The re-calibration of the original aerosol extinction profiles used Rayleigh extinction profiles calculated from local soundings. Rayleigh and aerosol slant transmission corrections are applied using the MODTRAN code in transmission mode. Also, a best-estimate aerosol phase function was calculated from observations and applied to the entire column. The tropospheric aerosol phase function from an AERONET station in the vicinity of the searchlight location was applied between 2.76 to 11.7 km. The stratospheric phase function, applied for a 12.2 to 35.2 km altitude range, is calculated from particle-size distributions measured by a high-altitude aircraft in the vicinity of the searchlight in early 1964. The original error estimate was updated considering unaccounted errors. Both the re-calibrated aerosol extinction profiles and the re-calibrated stratospheric aerosol optical depth magnitudes showed higher magnitudes than the original aerosol extinction profiles and the original stratospheric aerosol optical depth, respectively. However, the magnitudes of the re-calibrated variables show a reasonable agreement with other contemporary observations. The re-calibrated stratospheric aerosol optical depth demonstrated its consistency with the tropics-to-pole decreasing trend, associated with the major volcanic eruption stratospheric aerosol pattern when compared to the time-coincident stratospheric aerosol optical depth lidar observations at Lexington at 42° N. Full article

Volcanic clouds pose significant threats to air traffic, human health, and economic activity, making early detection and monitoring crucial. Accurate determination of eruptive source parameters is crucial for forecasting and implementing preventive measures. This review article aims to identify the most common remote sensing methods for monitoring volcanic clouds. To achieve this, we conducted a systematic literature review of scientific articles indexed in the Web of Science database published between 2010 and 2022, using multiple query strings across all fields. The articles were reviewed based on research topics, remote sensing methods, practical applications, case studies, and outcomes using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Our study found that satellite-based remote sensing approaches are the most cost-efficient and accessible, allowing for the monitoring of volcanic clouds at various spatial scales. Brightness temperature difference is the most commonly used method for detecting volcanic clouds at a specified temperature threshold. Approaches that apply machine learning techniques help overcome the limitations of traditional methods. Despite the constraints imposed by spatial and temporal resolution and optical limitations of sensors, multiplatform approaches can overcome these limitations and improve accuracy. This study explores various techniques for monitoring volcanic clouds, identifies research gaps, and lays the foundation for future research. Full article