Search Results (5,030)

As lakes contribute significant amounts of methane (CH₄) to the atmosphere, they account for a significant share of the global greenhouse gases (GHGs) budget. Since lakes are ecosystems where physical and biological processes influencing CH₄ formation are concentrated, the study focuses on atmospheric CH₄ column concentrations over lake areas. This study aims to analyze the temporal variation in atmospheric CH₄ column concentrations (XCH₄) over Lake Eğirdir and Lake Burdur in Türkiye in 2023 and 2025 as well as the relationship between XCH₄ and environmental parameters such as Water Surface Temperature (WST), Normalized Difference Chlorophyll Index (NDCI), and Floating Algae Index (FAI). The temporal variability of XCH₄ observed over both lakes showed statistically significant positive correlations with lake-area-averaged WST, NDCI, and FAI (Pearson r = 0.49–0.65, p < 0.01). This outcome indicates consistent temporal patterns between XCH₄ and environmental conditions at the lake scale. Furthermore, time-series graphs show that monthly average XCH₄ values in both lakes reached their highest levels during the summer and autumn months. During these periods, XCH₄ concentrations exceeded 1860 ppb in Lake Eğirdir and 1900 ppb in Lake Burdur. The areas of land use/land cover (LULC) classes surrounding the lakes were evaluated together with XCH₄, and relatively higher XCH₄ values were observed over agricultural areas, which constitute the dominant class in the basins of both lakes. The distribution of XCH₄ throughout the lake depth showed higher values in the shallow and mid-depth zones and lower values in the deeper areas beyond 20 m, indicating that the distribution of XCH₄ varies throughout lake depth. The results obtained underline the importance of remote sensing data in monitoring XCH₄ in lake ecosystems. Full article

Under the “dual carbon” strategy and green energy transition, traditional static accounting models have coarse temporal granularity. These models cannot meet the needs of fine-grained management and dynamic control for industrial parks. Therefore, it is urgent to develop high-resolution dynamic accounting systems and analyze model uncertainty. This study first defines the carbon source structure and establishes the accounting boundary for industrial parks. Second, it proposes dynamic accounting methods for both direct and indirect carbon emissions. Third, the study develops an uncertainty analysis model that considers parameter variability and error propagation. Finally, the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method are validated through a case study of a typical industrial park in Sichuan Province, China. The results indicate that the overall uncertainty of carbon emissions in the park is 28.9%, with electricity consumption identified as the primary driver of uncertainty (Spearman correlation coefficient of 0.986). The proposed framework effectively captures real-time emission fluctuations, providing a scientific basis for fine-grained carbon management. Full article

Background: Walking cadence is commonly adjusted in sport and rehabilitation, yet its effects on spatiotemporal gait parameters and regional plantar pressure distribution under controlled speed conditions remain incompletely characterized. Therefore, this study aimed to determine whether imposed cadence increases at a constant walking speed would (i) systematically reduce temporal gait parameters while preserving inter-limb symmetry and (ii) be associated with region-specific increases in forefoot plantar loading, representing the primary novel contribution of this work. Methods: Fifty-two adults walked at three imposed cadences (110, 120, 130 steps·min⁻¹) while maintaining a fixed treadmill speed of 1.39 m·s⁻¹ via auditory biofeedback. Spatiotemporal parameters were recorded with an OptoGait system, and plantar pressure distribution was measured using in-shoe pressure insoles. Normally distributed variables were analyzed using repeated-measures ANOVA, whereas plantar pressure metrics were assessed using the Friedman test, followed by Wilcoxon signed-rank post-hoc comparisons with false discovery rate (FDR) correction. Associations between temporal parameters and plantar loading metrics (peak pressure, pressure–time integral) were examined using Spearman’s rank correlation with FDR correction (α = 0.05). Results: Increasing cadence produced progressive reductions in gait cycle duration (~8–10%), contact time (~7–8%), and step time (all p < 0.01), while inter-limb symmetry indices remained below 2% across conditions. Peak plantar pressure increased significantly in several forefoot regions with increasing cadence (all p_FDR < 0.05), whereas changes in the first ray were less consistent across conditions. Regional forefoot pressure–time integral also increased modestly with higher cadence (p_FDR < 0.01). Spearman’s correlations revealed moderate negative associations between temporal gait parameters and global plantar loading metrics (ρ = −0.38 to −0.46, all p_FDR < 0.05). Conclusions: At a constant walking speed, increasing cadence systematically shortens temporal gait components and is associated with small but consistent region-specific increases in forefoot plantar loading. These findings highlight cadence as a key temporal constraint shaping plantar loading patterns during steady-state walking and support the existence of concurrent temporal–mechanical adaptations. Full article

Identifying critical infrastructure in transportation networks requires metrics that can capture both the topological structure and how demand is redistributed during disruptions. Conventional graph-theoretic approaches fail to jointly quantify these vulnerabilities. This study presents a computational framework for edge-criticality assessment based on the Fused Unbalanced Gromov–Wasserstein (FUGW) distance, incorporating both structural similarity and demand characteristics of network nodes in an optimal transport tool. The three hyperparameters that influence FUGW accuracy—fusion weight, entropic regularization, and marginal penalties—were tuned using Bayesian optimization. This ensures the rankings remain accurate, stable, and reproducible under temporal variability and demand shifts. We apply the framework to a benchmark transportation network evaluated across four diurnal periods, capturing dynamic congestion and shifting demand patterns. Systematic variation in the fusion parameter shows seven consistently critical edges whose rankings remain stable across analytical configurations. It can be concluded from the results that monotonic scaling with increasing feature emphasis, strong cross-hyperparameter correlation, and low temporal variability confirm the robustness of the inferred criticality hierarchy. These edges represent both structural bridges and demand concentration points, offering α indicators of network vulnerability. These findings demonstrate that FUGW provides a solid and scalable method of assessing transportation vulnerabilities. It helps support clear decisions on maintenance planning, redundancy, and resilience investments. Full article

We present the design and characterization of a fully automated free-standing liquid crystal (FSLC) film holder, enabling remote and precise control of liquid crystal (LC) volume release, wiping speed, and temperature. Using 4-octyl-4′-cyanobiphenyl (8CB) as a test material, we systematically investigated the influence of formation parameters on the resulting film thickness and temporal evolution. Thickness measurements performed by monitoring the difference in optical path lengths of two arms of a standard optical intensity autocorrelation setup reveal that the wiping speed is the dominant factor determining both the initial film thickness and the subsequent annealing dynamics, while temperature becomes relevant only at the highest wiping speeds. Faster wiping speeds consistently produce thinner and more uniform FSLC films on the order of 3 µm, due to reduced LC mass deposition. Time-resolved optical and X-ray scattering measurements confirm the presence of an annealing phase following film formation, which can last for between 1 s and 10 min time scales, until a stable smectic configuration is reached. The holder provides a reliable and fully remote tool for generating high-quality FSLC films at rates up to 1 Hz, suitable for optical to hard X-ray experiments where direct access to the sample environment is limited. Full article

The V/G criterion is a critical indicator for monitoring dynamic changes during Czochralski silicon single crystal (Cz-SSC) growth. However, the inability to measure it in real time forces reliance on offline feedback for process regulation, leading to imprecise control and compromised crystal quality. To overcome this limitation, this paper proposes a novel soft sensor modeling framework that integrates both mechanism-based knowledge and data-driven learning for the real-time prediction of the crystal quality parameter, specifically the V/G value (the ratio of growth rate to axial temperature gradient). The proposed approach constructs a hybrid prediction model by combining a data-driven sub-model with a physics-informed mechanism sub-model. The data-driven component is developed using an attention-based dynamic stacked enhanced autoencoder (AD-SEAE) network, where the SEAE structure introduces layer-wise reconstruction operations to mitigate information loss during hierarchical feature extraction. Furthermore, an attention mechanism is incorporated to dynamically weigh historical and current samples, thereby enhancing the temporal representation of process dynamics. In addition, a robust ensemble approach is achieved by fusing the outputs of two subsidiary models using an adaptive weighting strategy based on prediction accuracy, thereby enabling more reliable V/G predictions under varying operational conditions. Experimental validation using actual industrial Cz-SSC production data demonstrates that the proposed method achieves high-prediction accuracy and effectively supports real-time process optimization and quality monitoring. Full article

Reciprocating compressors, which serve as core equipment in the petrochemical and natural gas transmission sectors, operate under prolonged variable loads and high-frequency impact conditions. Critical components, such as valves and piston rings, are prone to failure. Existing fault diagnosis methods suffer from inadequate spatio-temporal feature extraction and neglect spatio-temporal correlations. To address this, this paper proposes a spatio-temporal feature fusion-based fault diagnosis method for reciprocating compressors. This method constructs a spatio-temporal feature fusion model (STFFM) comprising three principal modules: First, a spatio-temporal feature extraction module employing a multi-layered stacked bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU) with batch normalisation to uncover temporal dependencies in long-term sequence data. A graph structure is constructed via k-nearest neighbours (KNN), and an enhanced graph isomorphism network (GIN) is integrated to capture spatial domain fault information variations. Second, the spatio-temporal bidirectional attention-gated fusion module employs a bidirectional multi-head attention mechanism to enhance temporal and spatial features. It incorporates a cross-modal gated update mechanism and learnable weight parameters to dynamically retain the highly discriminative features. Third, the classification output module enhances the model’s generalisation capability through multi-layer fully connected layers and regularisation design. Research findings demonstrate that this approach effectively integrates spatio-temporal coupled fault features, achieving an average accuracy of 99.14% on an experimental dataset. This provides an effective technical pathway for the precise identification of faults in the critical components of reciprocating compressors. Full article

Mining-induced seismicity presents significant challenges to the safety and operational continuity of underground mines, particularly in deep and highly stressed environments. This study proposes a methodological framework for seismic risk evaluation inspired by predictive-maintenance principles and applied to a high-resolution microseismic catalog from a Chilean underground mine. Using a combination of data filtering and correlation analyses, we identify the seismic parameters that control the most variability in the dataset: moment magnitude, frequency corner, and both dynamic and static stresses. Based on this, we perform a Principal Component Analysis (PCA), which clearly demonstrates the physical interconnection between the selected parameters, thereby helping to better characterize the seismic events and the mining environment. Using these results, a PCA-based risk map is constructed, enabling the delineation of zones with different levels of seismic risk. Additionally, a temporal tracking of potentially hazardous seismicity is included. The proposed methodology demonstrates that microseismic behavior can be effectively represented in a reduced-dimension space, offering a promising foundation for predictive and data-driven risk-assessment tools capable of supporting real-time decision-making in underground mining operations. Full article

During rotary tillage operations, the draft force is jointly affected by operating parameters and soil conditions, exhibiting pronounced nonlinearity, time-varying behavior, and historical dependence, which all impose higher requirements on tractor operating parameter matching and traction performance analysis. A draft force prediction method that is based on a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network jointly optimized by a genetic algorithm (GA) and the bald eagle search (BES) algorithm, termed GABES-LSTM, is proposed to address the limited prediction accuracy and stability of traditional empirical models and single data-driven approaches under complex field conditions. First, on the basis of the mechanical characteristics of rotary tillage operations, a time-series mathematical description of draft force is established, and the prediction problem is formulated as a multi-input single-output nonlinear temporal mapping driven by operating parameters such as travel speed, rotary speed, and tillage depth. Subsequently, an LSTM-based draft force prediction model is constructed, in which GA is employed for global hyperparameter search and BES is integrated for local fine-grained optimization, thereby improving the effectiveness of model parameter optimization. Finally, a dataset is established using measured field rotary tillage data to train and test the proposed model, and comparative analyses are conducted against LSTM, GA-LSTM, and BES-LSTM models. Experimental results indicate that the GABES-LSTM model outperforms the comparison models in terms of mean absolute percentage error, mean relative error, relative analysis error, and coefficient of determination, effectively capturing the dynamic variation characteristics of draft force during rotary tillage operations while maintaining stable prediction performance under repeated experimental conditions. This method provides effective data support for draft force prediction analysis and operating parameter adjustment during rotary tillage operations. Full article

Length-based stock assessment methods are widely applied in data-limited fisheries, yet the effects of how length-frequency data are temporally grouped prior to analysis remain poorly examined. Temporal grouping is routinely used to increase sample size and approximate equilibrium conditions, but it may also alter the size structure presented to assessment models and bias inference. In this study, we evaluate how alternative temporal grouping schemes influence stock status inference within a single length-based framework, using the length-based spawning potential ratio (LBSPR) model as a diagnostic tool. Using a 30-year length-frequency dataset from a tropical purse seine fishery in the Northeast Atlantic as an illustrative case, we applied LBSPR under four practice-relevant temporal grouping schemes: full-period pooling, a broad regime-based scheme, decadal blocks, and five-year blocks. Life history parameters and model settings were held constant across schemes to isolate the effect of temporal grouping. A sensitivity analysis of biological parameters was conducted for the finest temporal scheme to contextualise robustness. Results show that temporal grouping alone can substantially alter the inferred status of the illustrative case. The fully pooled scheme produced an apparently favourable status signal, whereas finer temporal groupings revealed extended periods of inferred reproductive depletion, followed by a more recent recovery. Sensitivity analyses indicate that, while biological parameter uncertainty influences the magnitude of estimates, it does not overturn the dominant effect of temporal grouping on inferred status patterns. This study demonstrates that temporal grouping is not a neutral preprocessing step but a structural decision with the potential to conceal or reveal exploitation signals in length-based assessments. We argue that temporal grouping should be treated as an explicit sensitivity dimension in data-limited assessment workflows. By shifting attention from stock-specific outcomes to data-structuring choices, this work provides practical guidance for improving transparency and robustness in length-based stock status inference. Full article

Camellia oleifera, a woody oil crop unique to China, plays a crucial role in alleviating the global pressure of edible oil supply and maintaining ecological security. However, it remains challenging to accurately forecast Camellia oleifera yield in complex landscapes using only remote sensing data. The aim of this study is to develop an interpretable deep learning model, namely Shapley Additive Explanations–guided Attention–long short-term memory (SALSTM), for estimating Camellia oleifera yield by integrating an improved spectral bloom index and environmental parameters. The study area is located in Hengyang City in Hunan Province. Sentinel-2 imagery, meteorological observation from 2019 to 2023, and topographic data were collected. First, an improved spectral bloom index (ISBI) was constructed as a proxy for flowering density, while average temperature, precipitation, accumulated temperature, and wind speed were selected to represent environmental regulation variables. Second, a SALSTM model was designed to capture temporal dynamics from multi-source inputs, in which the LSTM module extracts time-dependent information and an attention mechanism assigns time-step-wise weights. Feature-level importance derived from SHAP analysis was incorporated as a guiding prior to inform attention distribution across variable dimensions, thereby enhancing model transparency. Third, model performance was evaluated using root mean square error (RMSE) and coefficient of determination (R²). The result show that the constructed SALSTM model achieved strong predictive performance in predicting Camellia oleifera yield in Hengyang City (RMSE = 0.5738 t/ha, R² = 0.7943). Feature importance analysis results reveal that ISBI weight > 0.26, followed by average temperature and precipitation from flowering to fruit stages, these features are closely associated with C. oleifera yield. Spatially, high-yield zones were mainly concentrated in the central–southern hilly regions throughout 2019–2023, In contrast, low-yield zones were predominantly distributed in the northern and western mountainous areas. Temporally, yield hotspots exhibited a gradual increasing while low-yield zones showed mild fluctuations. This framework provides an effective and transferable approach for remote sensing-based yield estimation of flowering and fruit-bearing crops in complex landscapes. Full article

This paper introduces an iceberg-based digital risk twin (DRT) framework for the health monitoring of complex engineering systems. The proposed model transforms multidimensional sensor and contextual data into a structured, interpretable three-dimensional geometry that captures both observable and latent risk components. Each monitored parameter is represented as a vertical geometric sheet whose height encodes a normalized risk level, producing an evolving iceberg structure in which the visible and submerged regions distinguish emergent anomalies from latent degradation. A formal mathematical formulation is developed, defining the mappings from the risk vector to geometric height functions, spatial layout, and surface composition. The resulting parametric representation provides both analytical tractability and intuitive visualization. A case study involving an aircraft fuel system demonstrates the capacity of the DRT to reveal dominant risk drivers, parameter asymmetries, and temporal trends not easily observable in traditional time-series analysis. The model is shown to integrate naturally into AI-enabled health management pipelines, providing an interpretable intermediary layer between raw data streams and advanced diagnostic or predictive algorithms. Owing to its modular structure and domain-agnostic formulation, the DRT approach is applicable beyond aviation, including power grids, rail systems, and industrial equipment monitoring. The results indicate that the iceberg representation offers a promising foundation for enhancing explainability, situational awareness, and decision support in the monitoring of complex engineering systems. Full article

Background: Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) is a pervasive psychiatric condition. Electroencephalography (EEG) is employed to detect MDD-specific neural patterns because it is non-invasive and temporally precise. However, manual interpretation of EEG signals is labor-intensive and subjective. This problem was addressed by proposing machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) methods. Although DL methods are promising for MDD detection, they face limitations, including high model complexity, overfitting due to subject-specific noise, excessive channel requirements, and limited interpretability. Methods: To address these challenges, we propose MS-MDDNet, a new lightweight CNN model specifically designed for EEG-based MDD detection, along with an ensemble-like method built on it. The architecture of MS-MDDNet incorporates spatial, temporal, and depth-wise separable convolutions, along with average pooling, to enhance discriminative feature extraction while maintaining computational efficiency with a small number of learnable parameters. Results: The method was evaluated using 10-fold Cross-Subjects Cross-Validation (CS-CV), which mitigates the risks of overfitting associated with subject-specific noise, thereby contributing to generalization robustness. Across three public datasets, the proposed method achieved performance comparable to state-of-the-art approaches while maintaining lower computational complexity. It achieved a 9% improvement on the MODMA dataset, with an accuracy of 99.33%, whereas on MUMTAZ and PRED + CT it achieved accuracies of 98.59% and 96.61%, respectively. Conclusions: The predictions of the proposed method are interpretable, with interpretability achieved through correlation analysis between gamma energy and learned features. This makes it a valuable tool for assisting clinicians and individuals in diagnosing MDD with confidence, thereby enhancing transparency in decision-making and promoting clinical credibility. Full article

This paper presents an analytical model for the hereditary vibrations of a coupled circular plate system interconnected by viscoelastic creep layers. The system is represented as a discrete-continuous chain of thin, isotropic plates with time-dependent material properties. Based on the theory of hereditary viscoelasticity and D’Alembert’s principle, a system of partial integro-differential equations is derived and reduced to ordinary integro-differential equations using Bernoulli’s method and Laplace transforms. Analytical expressions for natural frequencies, mode shapes, and time-dependent response functions are obtained. The results reveal the emergence of multi-frequency vibration regimes, with modal families remaining temporally uncoupled. This enables the identification of resonance conditions and dynamic absorption phenomena. The fractional parameter serves as a tunable damping factor: lower values result in prolonged oscillations, while higher values cause rapid decay. Increasing the kinetic stiffness of the coupling layers raises vibration frequencies and enhances sensitivity to hereditary effects. This interplay provides deeper insight into dynamic behavior control. The model is applicable to multilayered structures in aerospace, civil engineering, and microsystems, where long-term loading and time-dependent material behavior are critical. The proposed framework offers a powerful tool for designing systems with tailored dynamic responses and improved stability. Full article

The increasing share of heavy and high-sulfur crude oils in refinery feed slates worldwide highlights the need for models of delayed coking units (DCUs) that are both physically meaningful and computationally efficient. In this study, we develop and calibrate a simplified yet dynamic one-dimensional model of an industrial coke drum intended for integration into digital twin frameworks. The model includes a three-phase representation of the drum contents, a temperature-dependent global kinetic scheme for vacuum residue cracking, and lumped descriptions of heat transfer and phase holdups. Only three physically interpretable parameters—the kinetic scaling factors for distillate and coke formation and an effective wall temperature—were calibrated using routinely measured plant data, namely the overhead vapor and drum head temperatures and the final coke bed height. The calibrated model reproduces the temporal evolution of the top head and overhead temperatures and the final bed height with mean relative errors of a few percent, while capturing the more complex bottom-head temperature dynamics qualitatively. Scenario simulations illustrate how the coking severity (represented here by the effective wall temperature) affects the coke yield, bed growth, and cycle duration. Overall, the results indicate that low-order dynamic models can provide a practical balance between physical fidelity and computational speed, making them suitable as mechanistic cores for digital twins and optimization tools in delayed coking operations. Full article