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Keywords = solar micro-grid

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22 pages, 4835 KB  
Article
Techno-Economic Analysis of Offshore DC Microgrids
by Alamgir Hossain, Michael Negnevitsky, Xiaolin Wang, Evan Franklin, Waqas Hassan and Pooyan Alinaghi Hosseinabadi
Energies 2026, 19(9), 2108; https://doi.org/10.3390/en19092108 - 27 Apr 2026
Viewed by 148
Abstract
Offshore industries depend solely on diesel-based power generation systems or mainland grids, which are expensive and carbon-intensive. The demand for renewable energy-based offshore DC microgrids (MGs) has significantly increased due to rising fuel prices, high costs of fuel transportation and storage, extreme operation [...] Read more.
Offshore industries depend solely on diesel-based power generation systems or mainland grids, which are expensive and carbon-intensive. The demand for renewable energy-based offshore DC microgrids (MGs) has significantly increased due to rising fuel prices, high costs of fuel transportation and storage, extreme operation and maintenance expenses, and associated carbon emissions. This research study optimises the size of an offshore DC MG that integrates wave, solar, energy storage, and diesel, utilising real-world data from a specific geographical location (latitude −33.525587 and longitude 114.772211), thereby accurately representing the availability of renewable energy sources. An algorithm is designed to optimise the utilisation of highly variable renewable sources via battery-based energy management, resulting in optimal energy dispatch. Utilising economic performance metrics, such as levelised cost of energy (LCoE) and net present value (NPV), this research aims to minimise the energy, operating, and greenhouse gas emission costs while maximising the economic feasibility of the system. A sensitivity analysis is performed to determine the impact of fuel prices, discount rates, and system lifespans on the feasibility of the system. The findings demonstrate that the proposed renewable-based offshore DC MG can substantially reduce fuel consumption (93%), operational expenses (77.56%), and carbon emissions (89.50%) compared with a diesel-only system for offshore platforms, while improving the sustainability and reliability of power supply for aquaculture and marine activities. In addition, the proposed renewable-energy-based offshore DC MG achieves a lower LCoE (0.5649 $/kWh) and a higher NPV (2.987 × 104 $) than a conventional diesel-based power generation system for offshore industries. The results provide a decision-making framework for the design and implementation of renewable energy-based offshore DC MGs. Full article
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28 pages, 7429 KB  
Article
Nash Bargaining-Based Cooperative Dispatch of Electric–Thermal–Hydrogen Multi-Microgrids Under Wind–Solar Uncertainty
by Wenyuan Yang, Tongwei Wu, Xiaojuan Wu and Jiangping Hu
Mathematics 2026, 14(9), 1465; https://doi.org/10.3390/math14091465 - 27 Apr 2026
Viewed by 162
Abstract
This paper proposes a collaborative optimal scheduling strategy based on asymmetric Nash bargaining for the integrated electricity–heat–hydrogen multi-microgrid system, which can minimize the overall system operation cost while guaranteeing the dynamic fairness of multi-microgrids energy transactions with full consideration of wind–solar uncertainty. First, [...] Read more.
This paper proposes a collaborative optimal scheduling strategy based on asymmetric Nash bargaining for the integrated electricity–heat–hydrogen multi-microgrid system, which can minimize the overall system operation cost while guaranteeing the dynamic fairness of multi-microgrids energy transactions with full consideration of wind–solar uncertainty. First, a scenario generation method based on temporally correlated Latin hypercube sampling and Wasserstein probability distance-based scenario reduction is adopted to construct representative wind–solar uncertainty scenarios, which effectively mitigates the operational risks arising from wind and solar power output fluctuations in the coordinated dispatch of multi-microgrids. Then, an asymmetric Nash bargaining-based cooperative game model for energy trading is established, with each microgrid’s optimal independent operation cost as the negotiation breakdown point. The alternating direction method of multipliers is used for a distributed solution to obtain the optimal scheme that balances total system cost and trading fairness. Simulation results verify that the proposed strategy can effectively suppress operation risks from renewable uncertainty, significantly cut total system cost by 36.85%, and fully ensure trading fairness among multi-microgrid entities, with favorable engineering application value. Full article
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38 pages, 6298 KB  
Article
Robust Event-Triggered Load Frequency Control for Sustainable Islanded Microgrids Using Adaptive Balloon Crested Porcupine Optimizer
by Mohamed I. A. Elrefaei, Abdullah M. Shaheen, Ahmed M. El-Sawy and Ahmed A. Zaki Diab
Sustainability 2026, 18(9), 4291; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18094291 - 26 Apr 2026
Viewed by 740
Abstract
The increasing integration of intermittent renewable energy sources (RESs) into islanded Hybrid Power Systems (HPSs) is a critical step towards global energy sustainability; however, it poses significant challenges to frequency stability owing to low system inertia and stochastic power fluctuations. To address these [...] Read more.
The increasing integration of intermittent renewable energy sources (RESs) into islanded Hybrid Power Systems (HPSs) is a critical step towards global energy sustainability; however, it poses significant challenges to frequency stability owing to low system inertia and stochastic power fluctuations. To address these challenges and enable higher penetration of green energy, this study proposes a novel and robust Load Frequency Control (LFC) strategy based on the Crested Porcupine Optimizer (CPO). A customized Mode-Dependent Adaptive Balloon (MDAB) controller is developed, wherein the virtual control gain is dynamically tuned based on the real-time operating modes and disturbance severity. Furthermore, to optimize communication resources and mitigate actuator wear in networked microgrids, an intelligent event-triggered (ET) mechanism is seamlessly integrated into the adaptive logic. The proposed control framework is rigorously validated through comprehensive nonlinear simulations and comparative analyses with state-of-the-art metaheuristic algorithms (GTO, GWO, JAYA, and GO). The evaluation encompasses step load disturbances, severe parametric uncertainties (+25%), realistic 24-h diurnal cycles with solar cloud shading and wind turbulence, and extended practical constraints, including Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) integration and Internet of Things (IoT) communication delays. The results demonstrate the superiority of the CPO-tuned framework, which achieved the fastest transient recovery (settling time of 3.4367 s) and the lowest absolute Integral Absolute Error (IAE). Additionally, the proposed ET-based strategy not only reduced the communication burden but also improved the overall control performance by 37% in terms of IAE compared with continuous approaches. By inherently filtering measurement noise, mitigating control signal chattering, and maintaining resilience under nonideal latency, the proposed architecture offers a highly robust and resource-efficient solution that directly guarantees the operational sustainability and reliability of modern smart microgrids. Full article
44 pages, 10834 KB  
Article
ANN-MILP Hybrid Techniques for the Integration Challenge, Power Management of the EV Charging Station with Solar-Based Grid System, and BESS
by Km Puja Bharti, Haroon Ashfaq, Rajeev Kumar and Rajveer Singh
Energies 2026, 19(8), 1988; https://doi.org/10.3390/en19081988 - 20 Apr 2026
Viewed by 210
Abstract
Smart power management practices are needed for a sustainable EV charging infrastructure due to the fast use of renewable energy resources. An innovative power management structure for a small grid-connected solar PV system-based AC and DC charging station, combined with a backup purpose [...] Read more.
Smart power management practices are needed for a sustainable EV charging infrastructure due to the fast use of renewable energy resources. An innovative power management structure for a small grid-connected solar PV system-based AC and DC charging station, combined with a backup purpose battery energy system (BESS), is demonstrated in this paper’s study. The sustainability transition is associated with integrating renewable energy resources with a battery storage system, providing a helpful solution for managing large power-demanding entities (EV, microgrid, etc.). In this study, a solar PV system takes 500 datasets (based on data availability or to prevent overfitting) of PV voltage, solar irradiance, and air temperature, and the performance of controlling for the maximum power point tracker by training these datasets using Levenberg–Marquardt (LM), which was implemented in the ANN toolbox and created this technique in MATLAB 2016 or Simulink. Also, using this technique for the estimation and forecasting of the datasets of solar PV systems and EVs obtains better results for achieving further targets. To enhance decision-making capability through optimized technique, we have to find it before forecasting PV power generation and EV datasets throughout the day (24 h). The optimized power flows among solar PV power generation, EV charging demand (including AC charging and DC fast charging), the BESS, and the utility/small grid under several priority operating scenarios. A famous technique for optimization, mixed-integer linear programming (MILP), is applied. In this technique, the objective function is used for the solution of problem formation and compliance with system constraints such as the power balancing equation, charging/discharging limits, SOC limits, and grid export/import exchange limits: basically, equality, inequality, and bounds limits. Optimized results show that the coordinated power flow operations are consented to by EV users, by prioritizing some key points, such as solar PV use at the maximum, reducing the grid power dependency, and the first power flow towards EV charging demand. The verified MILP-based solutions boost the maximum utilization of renewable energy resources, feasible EV charging demand, and scaling power flow among these entities. The key contribution of this study is suitable for different powered EV charging stations based on both AC and DC, with different ratings of EVs (including fast and slow charging). Most solar PV-based generation supports the EVCS and backup for ranking-wise BESS, and grid support for the EVCS. Also, the key contribution of hybrid techniques in this article is divided into two stages: in the first stage, an artificial neural network (ANN) is utilized for estimating the PV voltage at the maximum point and forecasting, while in the second stage, mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) employs optimal power management. Full article
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38 pages, 4837 KB  
Review
Renewable Energy Applications Across Engineering Disciplines: A Comprehensive Review
by Mustafa Sacid Endiz, Atıl Emre Coşgun, Hasan Demir, Mehmet Zahid Erel, İsmail Çalıkuşu, Elif Bahar Kılınç, Aslı Taş, Mualla Keten Gökkuş and Göksel Gökkuş
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(8), 3949; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16083949 - 18 Apr 2026
Viewed by 297
Abstract
Renewable energy technologies are becoming more and more relevant in a variety of engineering fields as a result of the move toward low-carbon, sustainable energy systems. Although research has historically concentrated on power generation, it now covers a broad range of applications, including [...] Read more.
Renewable energy technologies are becoming more and more relevant in a variety of engineering fields as a result of the move toward low-carbon, sustainable energy systems. Although research has historically concentrated on power generation, it now covers a broad range of applications, including precision agriculture, smart grids, energy storage, healthcare devices, and sustainable buildings. However, existing review studies are often limited to single disciplines or specific technologies, lacking a unified cross-disciplinary perspective that captures the interconnected nature of modern renewable energy systems. This gap motivates the need for a comprehensive review that bridges multiple engineering domains. This review provides a comprehensive synthesis of literature on renewable energy applications in electrical and electronics, computer, environmental, biomedical, architectural, and agricultural engineering. In electrical and electronics engineering, the use of renewable energy sources is largely based on the efficient generation of electricity from natural resources such as solar, wind, and ocean energy. Computer engineering contributes through artificial intelligence (AI), Internet of Things (IoT) architectures, digital twins, and cybersecurity solutions, optimizing energy management. Environmental engineering emphasizes life cycle assessment, carbon footprint reduction, and circular economy strategies. In biomedical engineering, energy harvesting and self-powered devices illustrate micro-scale applications of renewable energy. Architectural engineering integrates renewable systems through building-integrated photovoltaics, net-zero energy designs, and smart building management, while agricultural engineering uses solar-powered irrigation, biomass utilization, agrivoltaic systems, and other sustainable practices. To support a low-carbon future with integrated and sustainable engineering solutions, this study not only highlights innovations within individual fields but also showcases how different disciplines can connect and work together. Overall, the review offers a novel cross-disciplinary framework that advances the understanding of renewable energy systems beyond isolated applications and provides direction for future integrative research. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Electrical, Electronics and Communications Engineering)
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22 pages, 3712 KB  
Article
Research on Multi-Time-Scale Optimal Control Strategy for Microgrids with Explicit Consideration of Uncertainties
by Dantian Zhong, Huaze Sun, Duxin Sun, Hainan Liu and Jinjie Yang
Energies 2026, 19(8), 1960; https://doi.org/10.3390/en19081960 - 18 Apr 2026
Viewed by 154
Abstract
Distributed generation (DG) exhibits inherent volatility and intermittency, and its grid-integration expansion presents formidable challenges to microgrid regulation and control. Conventional control strategies often neglect the uncertainties associated with renewable energy generation and the coordinated management of flexible resources. This paper proposes a [...] Read more.
Distributed generation (DG) exhibits inherent volatility and intermittency, and its grid-integration expansion presents formidable challenges to microgrid regulation and control. Conventional control strategies often neglect the uncertainties associated with renewable energy generation and the coordinated management of flexible resources. This paper proposes a multi-time-scale optimal control strategy for microgrids that explicitly accounts for uncertainty. The strategy integrates a collaborative scheduling framework for assets, including electric vehicles (EVs) and energy storage systems, alongside a stochastic optimization model for microgrids that comprehensively incorporates uncertainties from wind and solar power generation, EV operations, and load forecasting errors. The improved Archimedean chaotic adaptive whale optimization algorithm is utilized to solve the optimal scheduling model, while the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) technique is employed to address uncertainty-related problems in the optimization process. Case study results demonstrate that, in comparison with traditional optimal scheduling strategies, the proposed approach more effectively mitigates uncertainties in real-world operations, reduces microgrid operational risks, achieves a significant reduction in scheduling costs, and concurrently fulfills the dual objectives of microgrid economic efficiency and operational security. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Novel Energy Management Approaches in Microgrid Systems, 2nd Edition)
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34 pages, 26358 KB  
Article
Multi-Objective Sizing of a Run-of-River Hydro–PV–Battery–Diesel Microgrid Under Seasonal River-Flow Variability Using MOPSO
by Yining Chen, Rovick P. Tarife, Jared Jan A. Abayan, Sophia Mae M. Gascon and Yosuke Nakanishi
Electricity 2026, 7(2), 36; https://doi.org/10.3390/electricity7020036 - 9 Apr 2026
Viewed by 294
Abstract
Hybrid hydro–solar microgrids offer a practical electrification option for remote and weak-grid communities by combining run-of-river hydropower with photovoltaic generation. However, their performance depends strongly on coordinated decisions across three layers: (i) system sizing and architecture, (ii) turbine selection and rating under variable [...] Read more.
Hybrid hydro–solar microgrids offer a practical electrification option for remote and weak-grid communities by combining run-of-river hydropower with photovoltaic generation. However, their performance depends strongly on coordinated decisions across three layers: (i) system sizing and architecture, (ii) turbine selection and rating under variable river flow, and (iii) operational energy dispatch under time-varying solar resource and demand. This paper develops an optimization-driven planning framework for a run-of-river hydro–PV microgrid that co-optimizes component capacities and turbine-related design choices while enforcing time-series operational feasibility. Physics-based component models translate river discharge into hydroelectric output via turbine efficiency characteristics and operating limits, and compute PV generation and storage trajectories under dispatch and state-of-charge constraints. The planning problem is formulated as a multi-objective optimization that quantifies trade-offs among life-cycle cost, supply reliability (e.g., unmet-load metrics), and sustainability indicators (e.g., diesel-free operation or emissions when backup generation is present). A Pareto-optimal set of designs is obtained using a population-based multi-objective algorithm, and representative knee-point (balanced) solutions are selected to illustrate how turbine choice and dispatch strategy interact with seasonal hydrology and solar variability. The proposed approach supports transparent and robust design decisions for hybrid hydro–solar microgrids. Full article
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23 pages, 5012 KB  
Article
Field Evaluation of Temperature and Wind-Speed Sensor Performance Under Natural Icing Conditions for Power Meteorological Monitoring
by Hualong Zheng and Xiaoyu Liu
Sensors 2026, 26(8), 2312; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26082312 - 9 Apr 2026
Viewed by 392
Abstract
Micro-meteorological monitoring systems have been widely deployed in power grids, providing essential data to support the prevention and mitigation of ice- and wind-related disasters. However, understanding of the associated error mechanisms and quantitative evaluations under freezing rain and snow remains limited, particularly in [...] Read more.
Micro-meteorological monitoring systems have been widely deployed in power grids, providing essential data to support the prevention and mitigation of ice- and wind-related disasters. However, understanding of the associated error mechanisms and quantitative evaluations under freezing rain and snow remains limited, particularly in complex field environments. This study presents a field-based quantitative assessment of two key variables, air temperature and wind speed, based on comparative observations collected over multiple winter icing cycles. We analyze the coupled effects of low temperature, ice accretion, and solar radiation on temperature measurements through multi-configuration sensor comparison, and characterize the dynamic response of cup anemometers under icing conditions using cross-correlation lag analysis. Results show that temperature error is dominated by sensor installation configuration and solar radiation. Under weak solar radiation, unshielded sensors tend to record lower temperatures than a standard Stevenson screen, but once radiation exceeds 200 W/m2, they warm rapidly and exhibit maximum positive biases of ~8–10 °C. Ice accretion further induces a cold bias of ~1 °C and a response lag of 5–18 min, while suppressing the rapid warming driven by shortwave radiation. For wind measurements, cup anemometers show clear underestimation during ice accretion, with the error increasing nonlinearly with ice thickness to ~20% before freezing-induced failure occurs. These findings provide a basis for improved sensor deployment and interpretation of field monitoring data in cold, humid, and icing-prone environments, although the quantitative results are site-dependent. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensors for Climate Observation and Environment Monitoring)
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26 pages, 4223 KB  
Article
Overvoltage Elimination via Distributed Backstepping-Controlled Converters in Near-Zero-Energy Buildings Under Excess Solar Power to Improve Distribution Network Reliability
by J. Dionísio Barros, Luis Rocha, A. Moisés and J. Fernando Silva
Energies 2026, 19(8), 1832; https://doi.org/10.3390/en19081832 - 8 Apr 2026
Viewed by 313
Abstract
This work uses battery-coupled power electronic converter systems and distributed backstepping controllers to improve the reliability of electrical distribution networks. The motivation is to prevent blackouts such as the 28 April 2025 outage in Spain, Portugal, and the south of France. It is [...] Read more.
This work uses battery-coupled power electronic converter systems and distributed backstepping controllers to improve the reliability of electrical distribution networks. The motivation is to prevent blackouts such as the 28 April 2025 outage in Spain, Portugal, and the south of France. It is now accepted that a rapid rise in solar power injections caused AC overvoltage above grid code limits, triggering photovoltaic (PV) park disconnections as overvoltage self-protection. This case study considers near-Zero-Energy Buildings (nZEBs) connected to the Madeira Island isolated microgrid, where PV power installation is increasing excessively. The main university facility will be upgraded as an nZEB, using roughly 3000 m2 of unshaded rooftops plus coverable parking areas to install PV panels. Optimizing the profits/energy cost ratio, a PV power system of around 560 kW can be planned, and the Battery Storage System (BSS) energy capacity can be estimated. The BSS is connected to the university nZEB via backstepping-controlled multilevel converters to manage PV and BSS, enabling the building to contribute to voltage and frequency regulation. Distributed multilevel converters inject renewable energy into the medium-voltage network, regulating active and reactive power to prevent overvoltages shutting down the PV inverters. This removes sustained overvoltage and maximizes PV penetration while augmenting AC grid reliability and resilience. When there is excess solar power and reactive power is insufficient to reduce voltage, controllers slightly curtail PV active power to eliminate overvoltage, maintaining operation with minimal revenue loss while preventing long interruptions, thereby improving grid reliability and power quality. Full article
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14 pages, 6712 KB  
Article
Smart Superhydrophobic Surfaces with Reversible Thermochromism for On-Demand Photothermal Anti-Icing
by Shengqi Lu, Junjie Huang, Liming Liu and Yanli Wang
Coatings 2026, 16(4), 429; https://doi.org/10.3390/coatings16040429 - 3 Apr 2026
Viewed by 423
Abstract
Photothermal superhydrophobic surfaces represent a promising solution for passive anti-icing; however, the persistent high solar absorption of static black coatings often leads to undesirable overheating under non-icing conditions. To address this limitation, we developed a smart superhydrophobic polydimethylsiloxane (PDMS) surface embedded with thermochromic [...] Read more.
Photothermal superhydrophobic surfaces represent a promising solution for passive anti-icing; however, the persistent high solar absorption of static black coatings often leads to undesirable overheating under non-icing conditions. To address this limitation, we developed a smart superhydrophobic polydimethylsiloxane (PDMS) surface embedded with thermochromic capsules (TC) (S-PDMS/TC) featuring reversible thermochromic capability via a facile combination of spin-coating and femtosecond laser ablation. The resulting hierarchical micro-grid structure acts as a sacrificial layer, shielding fragile nanostructures against mechanical abrasion, while endowing the surface with robust superhydrophobicity (contact angle > 155°). Uniquely, S-PDMS/TC exhibits an adaptive color transition from pale yellow to deep black when the temperature drops below 5 °C. This response enables on-demand photothermal enhancement, significantly boosting solar absorption in freezing environments while minimizing heat absorption at room temperature. Consequently, S-PDMS/TC demonstrates superior anti-icing performance, extending the freezing time to 310 s and reducing ice adhesion strength to 40.4 kPa. Notably, during photothermal de-icing, the meltwater exhibits spontaneous dewetting behavior driven by the replenishment of the air cushion, effectively preventing secondary icing. This work presents a mechanically durable and intelligent strategy for ice protection, successfully balancing efficient de-icing with thermal management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Developments in Anti-Icing Coatings for Cold Environments)
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22 pages, 3205 KB  
Article
Low-Voltage Planning for Rural Electrification in Developing Countries: A Comparison of LVAC and LVDC Microgrids—A Case Study in Cambodia
by Chhith Chhlonh, Marie-Cécile Alvarez-Herault, Vannak Vai and Bertrand Raison
Electricity 2026, 7(2), 32; https://doi.org/10.3390/electricity7020032 - 2 Apr 2026
Viewed by 354
Abstract
This paper aims to define the optimal microgrid topology for rural electrification based on the lowest total cost by comparing LVAC and LVDC microgrids across three different scenarios. An LVAC radial topology is first designed using mixed-integer linear programming for phase balancing and [...] Read more.
This paper aims to define the optimal microgrid topology for rural electrification based on the lowest total cost by comparing LVAC and LVDC microgrids across three different scenarios. An LVAC radial topology is first designed using mixed-integer linear programming for phase balancing and the shortest path for connections, then implemented with a genetic algorithm to allocate and size solar home systems, forming an LVAC microgrid. Next, an LVDC topology is then derived from the LVAC structure and integrated with solar home systems under three scenarios: (1) using the same solar home system sizes, locations, and quantities as the LVAC microgrid; (2) using a genetic algorithm to re-determine solar home system sizes and locations, forming an LVDC microgrid; and (3) clustering the LVDC topology into nano-grids, each defined by genetic algorithm for solar home system sizing and placement and connected to the main feeder via bi-directional converters. Finally, all LVAC and LVDC scenarios are simulated over a 30-year planning horizon for analysis. A non-electrified village located in Cambodia has been selected for a case study to validate the proposed methods. The results have been obtained and provide a comparison of performance indicators (i.e., costs, energy production, losses, CO2 emissions, and autonomous energy) among the microgrids (LVAC and LVDC). The LVAC microgrid produced lower total energy losses than the LVDC microgrid in all scenarios. However, when considering environmental impact, LVDC Scenario 2 is preferable. Based on the total cost results, the LVAC microgrid is considered more economical than the LVDC microgrid in each scenario in this study. Full article
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30 pages, 3196 KB  
Article
Sustainable Day-Ahead Scheduling Optimization of a Wind–Solar Coupled Hydrogen DC Microgrid with Hybrid Energy Storage Considering Electrolyzer Lifetime
by Haining Wang, Xingyi Xie, Meiqin Mao, Jing Liu, Jinzhong Li, Peng Zhang, Yuguang Xie and Yingying Cheng
Sustainability 2026, 18(7), 3435; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18073435 - 1 Apr 2026
Viewed by 338
Abstract
Wind–solar coupled hydrogen production DC microgrids have significant potential for improving renewable energy utilization and reducing the cost of hydrogen production. However, the randomness of wind–solar power causes frequent electrolyzer start–stop operations, accelerating lifetime degradation, while a single energy storage system cannot simultaneously [...] Read more.
Wind–solar coupled hydrogen production DC microgrids have significant potential for improving renewable energy utilization and reducing the cost of hydrogen production. However, the randomness of wind–solar power causes frequent electrolyzer start–stop operations, accelerating lifetime degradation, while a single energy storage system cannot simultaneously suppress power fluctuations and regulate energy. Therefore, this study proposes a two-stage day-ahead energy scheduling optimization framework. A DBSCAN–K-means hybrid clustering method generates representative wind–solar power scenarios. A supercapacitor-based strategy mitigates high-frequency power fluctuations using empirical mode decomposition. Furthermore, a dual-scenario-driven electrolyzer scheduling strategy adapted to different wind–solar output conditions is developed, where power allocation is determined by battery state-of-charge and electrolyzer operating states, enabling stepwise power compensation and dynamic operating-state optimization. Case studies comparing wind–solar-only supply, a conventional strategy, and the proposed strategy demonstrate that the proposed strategy balances hydrogen production and economic objectives, and reduces annual electrolyzer start–stop cycles by 73%, thereby prolonging electrolyzer lifetime. Furthermore, the proposed framework enhances renewable energy utilization, reduces curtailment, and lowers lifecycle costs, thereby contributing to the development of sustainable hydrogen production systems. Full article
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23 pages, 1867 KB  
Article
A Stable Rolling Forecast for Renewable Energy Generation Based on a Neural Ordinary Differential Equation
by Dain Kim and Seon Han Choi
Mathematics 2026, 14(7), 1173; https://doi.org/10.3390/math14071173 - 1 Apr 2026
Viewed by 386
Abstract
Accurate and long-horizon forecasting is essential for reliable planning of solar and wind power generation. Most existing models rely on high-resolution meteorological data, which are often unavailable in practical microgrid environments. This study proposes SNORF, a solar–wind neural ordinary differential equation model that [...] Read more.
Accurate and long-horizon forecasting is essential for reliable planning of solar and wind power generation. Most existing models rely on high-resolution meteorological data, which are often unavailable in practical microgrid environments. This study proposes SNORF, a solar–wind neural ordinary differential equation model that uses only basic meteorological variables such as solar radiation, cloud cover, and wind speed together with lagged generation values. However, reliance on lagged generation inherently limits the effective forecasting horizon of conventional models. To address this limitation, SNORF extends the forecasting horizon while maintaining accuracy and stability through a rolling forecasting framework with a bounded input-dependent drift function and repeated Euler integration that promotes smooth hidden-state dynamics. SNORF supports both deterministic point forecasting and probabilistic forecasting through quantile-based loss functions. Experiments on solar and wind power datasets show that SNORF consistently outperforms representative time-series forecasting models. For solar forecasting, SNORF reduces RMSE and MAE by 15.35% and 16.93% on average compared with baseline models. For wind forecasting, the improvements reach 44.77% in RMSE and 52.85% in MAE on average. Furthermore, when evaluated under the official protocol of the 2024 IEEE Hybrid Energy Forecasting and Trading Competition, SNORF achieves a top 4% ranking using only the officially provided basic weather dataset, demonstrating its practical applicability to renewable energy forecasting in microgrids and virtual power plants. Full article
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23 pages, 284 KB  
Article
Resilience of Electricity Transition Strategies in Israel Under Deep Uncertainty
by Helyette Geman and Steve Ohana
Energies 2026, 19(7), 1682; https://doi.org/10.3390/en19071682 - 30 Mar 2026
Viewed by 441
Abstract
Electricity systems increasingly operate under deep uncertainty driven by geopolitical risk, volatile fuel markets, trade fragmentation, security threats, and technological change. Under such conditions, cost-optimal planning based on assumed trajectories may lead to fragile outcomes, particularly for small and geopolitically exposed systems such [...] Read more.
Electricity systems increasingly operate under deep uncertainty driven by geopolitical risk, volatile fuel markets, trade fragmentation, security threats, and technological change. Under such conditions, cost-optimal planning based on assumed trajectories may lead to fragile outcomes, particularly for small and geopolitically exposed systems such as Israel’s. This paper assesses the resilience of alternative electricity transition strategies for Israel using a qualitative robustness framework inspired by Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty and scenario-based energy security analysis. Six policy-relevant strategies are evaluated across structurally distinct stress scenarios. Resilience is assessed along three dimensions: security of supply, dependency exposure, and economic vulnerability, using anchored qualitative scoring and dominance rules. The results indicate that gas-centric strategies exhibit limited robustness, while strategies combining solar deployment with adaptive gas management, smart grids, microgrids, and domestic clean-technology capabilities achieve higher resilience across a wide range of futures. The paper contributes a structured qualitative approach to resilience assessment and offers policy-relevant insights for electricity transitions under deep uncertainty. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Economic and Policy Tools for Sustainable Energy Transitions)
32 pages, 3465 KB  
Article
Economic Analysis and Policy Reform Strategies for Decentralized Solar PV in Rural Electrification
by Hameedullah Zaheb, Ahmad Reshad Bakhtiary, Milad Ahmad Abdullah, Mikaeel Ahmadi, Nisar Ahmad Rahmany, Obaidullah Obaidi and Atsushi Yona
Sustainability 2026, 18(7), 3275; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18073275 - 27 Mar 2026
Viewed by 455
Abstract
Electrification is vital for economic growth, poverty reduction, and improved quality of life. Over 80% of Afghanistan’s rural population lacks electricity. Despite increasing interest in decentralized energy systems, there remains a lack of site-specific studies that jointly assess the technical, economic, and policy [...] Read more.
Electrification is vital for economic growth, poverty reduction, and improved quality of life. Over 80% of Afghanistan’s rural population lacks electricity. Despite increasing interest in decentralized energy systems, there remains a lack of site-specific studies that jointly assess the technical, economic, and policy feasibility of decentralized solar PV for rural electrification in Afghanistan. This study addresses that gap through a mixed-method case study of Syahgel, Ghazni, combining a household survey of 30 households, PVsyst-based system sizing, economic evaluation, and policy analysis. The study compares multi-tier Solar Home Systems (SHSs) with a community microgrid under local demand and affordability conditions. The results show that SHSs, with entry-level costs starting from USD 95, are more suitable for small, dispersed settlements, while microgrids remain relevant for larger or more concentrated communities. Financing mechanisms, including subsidies and interest-free loans, can improve affordability by up to 75%, while electrification can reduce annual fuelwood expenditure by approximately USD 51.5 per household and generate broader health, educational, and livelihood benefits. The findings highlight the need for integrated policy reform, targeted financial support, and context-sensitive system design to support sustainable and inclusive rural electrification in Afghanistan. Full article
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