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33 pages, 3887 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Patterns, Driving Factors, and Low-Carbon Mitigation of Land-Use Carbon Emissions in the Tarim Basin Oasis Urban Agglomeration (Arid Northwest China)
by Yuying Wang and Jiangling Hu
Sustainability 2026, 18(14), 6982; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18146982 - 8 Jul 2026
Abstract
Against the backdrop of global climate change and carbon neutrality strategies, land use carbon emissions have become a prominent topic amid regional efforts toward low-carbon transformation. However, existing studies on land-use carbon emissions have predominantly focused on humid and economically developed regions, while [...] Read more.
Against the backdrop of global climate change and carbon neutrality strategies, land use carbon emissions have become a prominent topic amid regional efforts toward low-carbon transformation. However, existing studies on land-use carbon emissions have predominantly focused on humid and economically developed regions, while the unique carbon metabolism pathways of arid oasis–desert ecosystems, which are characterized by extremely low environmental carrying capacity and high sensitivity to land-use disturbance, remain largely unexplored. This study takes the oasis urban cluster in the Tarim Basin in southern Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region as the research object. This region belongs to a typical oasis–desert composite ecosystem, with a simple structure and low environmental carrying capacity (reflected by sparse vegetation cover <20%, annual precipitation <100 mm, extremely limited water resources, and high sensitivity to land disturbance). Its carbon metabolism pathway (i.e., the dynamic balance between carbon sources and sinks induced by land-use change) is fundamentally different from that in humid areas, and thus merits dedicated investigation. This study selects the period from 2000 to 2020 as the research period, which completely covers the acceleration period of urbanization and agricultural expansion in the Tarim Basin oasis urban cluster since the advancement of China’s Western Development Initiative. The data have a temporal resolution of 5 years (samples in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2020) and a spatial resolution of 30 m for land use and prefecture level for socio-economic indicators. Based on this, to fill the above-mentioned research gap, a research framework integrating the carbon emission coefficient accounting method, landscape pattern index, spatial autocorrelation analysis and geographic detector is adopted. Specifically, this study aims to systematically quantify the spatio-temporal evolution of land use carbon emissions and identify the most robust driving factors in the Tarim Basin oasis urban cluster by integrating multiple models, an approach that has not been previously applied to arid oasis regions. The research results show: (1) Based on the carbon emission coefficient method, total carbon emissions increased from 1.4455 million tons to 22.364 million tons, following a ‘slow-then-fast’ trajectory. In terms of temporal evolution, the study period can be further divided into three sub-stages: 2000–2005 (slow diffusion, with emission center skewed toward the northern energy-intensive zone), 2005–2015 (rapid restructuring, characterized by a ‘unipolar surge’ in Aksu and spread to the central oasis belt), and 2015–2020 (high-intensity stabilization, forming a cross-regional emission belt). Meanwhile, the land use structure has undergone a significant transformation. Construction land and cultivated land have continued to expand, while ecological land has significantly shrunk, resulting in a complex transformation pattern of oasis–desert ecotone. (2) The overall landscape became increasingly fragmented and diversified, the integrity of ecological space was damaged, and the regional carbon sink function was weakened. (3) The spatial autocorrelation analysis indicates that the spatial distribution of carbon emissions shows a heterogeneous pattern, forming a high-emission concentration area centered around Aksu-Bayingol. However, the global Moran’s I index is negative (such as −0.171 in 2020, p > 0.05), suggesting that carbon emissions have not formed a significant spatial clustering. (4) Carbon emissions are dominated by human and economic factors, and the interaction of factors is significant. The geographic detector identifies population density (average q value 0.904) and the proportion of construction land (average q value 0.858) as the key determinants of spatial variation in carbon emissions, reflecting the sensitive response of the human-nature system of arid zones to the urbanization process. These findings not only clarify the spatio-temporal features and driving forces of land use carbon emissions in the Tarim Basin oasis urban cluster, but also provide a replicable analytical framework for carbon-emission research in other arid and semi-arid regions worldwide. Based on these findings, we discuss the unique driving mechanisms of carbon emissions in arid regions, conclude that construction land expansion and population density are the dominant factors, and recommend a three-tier zoning governance system (carbon source control zone, carbon sink enhancement zone, coordinated development zone) for low-carbon spatial planning in arid areas. Full article
27 pages, 1077 KB  
Review
Advances in Resilience Assessment and Adaptive Strategies for Watershed Non-Point Source Pollution Systems Under Climate Change
by Bao-Ling Liu, Chun-Xue Yang, Shao-Peng Yu, Chuan-Qi Shi and Jian-Lin Rong
Sustainability 2026, 18(13), 6917; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18136917 - 7 Jul 2026
Viewed by 294
Abstract
The changing climate raises the level of hydroclimatic non-stationarity and export of pollutants at the event scale in agricultural, mixed-land-use, and urbanizing watersheds. In this review, there is an emphasis on nitrogen, phosphorus, and sediment; however, selective references are made to pesticides, pathogens, [...] Read more.
The changing climate raises the level of hydroclimatic non-stationarity and export of pollutants at the event scale in agricultural, mixed-land-use, and urbanizing watersheds. In this review, there is an emphasis on nitrogen, phosphorus, and sediment; however, selective references are made to pesticides, pathogens, microplastics, and wet-weather mixed-source processes when characteristics similar to event-driven transport, threshold exceedance, and adaptive control are identified. Drawing on a structured literature search of studies published from 2000 to December 2025, this narrative review synthesizes evidence from 138 selected references on how extreme rainfall, drought–rewetting, warming, and freeze–thaw processes alter source activation, hydrological connectivity, biogeochemical processing, and receiving-water hazards. Our resilience assessment is based on resistance, recovery, robustness, and persistence, which we interpret using exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. It is shown that standard average-load and fixed-baseline measurements may not detect short pollution pulses, cross-scenario failure, and long-term drift; operational measurement must thus involve event thresholds, recovery trajectories, tail-risk measures, and propagation of uncertainty. Extrapolation, interpretability, data demand, and applicability for data-sparse basins are used to compare process-based, data-driven, and hybrid models. Adaptation options are associated with measurable triggers as part of a monitoring–trigger–action cycle with location-specific instructions for monsoon-agricultural, cold-region, semi-arid and urban systems. The novel aspect of this framework is the integration of mechanism-based evidence, quantitative resilience indicators, model uncertainty, and adaptive governance into one decision-focused workflow. This sustainability-oriented framework advances long-term watershed management by linking water-quality protection and resilient development. Full article
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29 pages, 5467 KB  
Article
Ecological Vulnerability Assessment and Prediction in the Middle Reach of the West Liaohe River Basin
by Chunhui Xu, Cheng Han, Qixin Liu and Yinghui Ye
Land 2026, 15(7), 1221; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15071221 - 7 Jul 2026
Viewed by 63
Abstract
The middle reaches of the West Liaohe River Basin, a typical semi-arid to semi-humid transition and agro-pastoral ecotone in northern China, exhibit high ecological sensitivity, low resilience, and pronounced fragility. Despite growing concerns, existing studies in this region lack a comprehensive assessment paradigm [...] Read more.
The middle reaches of the West Liaohe River Basin, a typical semi-arid to semi-humid transition and agro-pastoral ecotone in northern China, exhibit high ecological sensitivity, low resilience, and pronounced fragility. Despite growing concerns, existing studies in this region lack a comprehensive assessment paradigm that effectively couples inherent ecological attributes with nonlinear predictive modeling. To fill this gap, we developed an integrative framework that innovatively combined the SRP conceptual model with a stacking ensemble learning technique. This coupling is methodologically novel because it moves beyond linear assumptions, enables the detection of complex nonlinear response surfaces, and establishes a seamless analytical chain from historical evaluation to future projection. By selecting 13 indicators, including topography, climate, soil, vegetation, and socio-economic factors, the weight was determined by the comprehensive application of the analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method, and the ecological fragility of the middle reaches of the West Liaohe River Basin from 2000 to 2020 was evaluated at multiple scales. The spatial differentiation driving factors were analyzed using a geographic detector. Therefore, an Ensemble Learning Regression model was used to simulate and predict the ecological fragility pattern in 2030. The results show that from 2000 to 2020, the ecological fragility of the study area showed a decreasing trend overall, with the Ecological Vulnerability Synthetical Index (EVSI) decreasing from 3.48 to 2.68, and the spatial pattern gradually shifting from “high in the northwest, low in the southeast” to “overall stability, local optimization.” The spatial agglomeration of ecological fragility gradually weakened, indicating that high-fragility areas tend to disperse and low-fragility areas expand in contiguous areas, and the ecosystem structure tends to develop towards equilibrium. The driving mechanism shows an evolution characteristic from “soil erosion dominated” to “biological abundance dominated,” with the impact of climate factors first increasing and then stabilizing, and the direct pressure from human activities continuously weakening. Under the assumption that historical trends continue, the ensemble learning model projects that by 2030, the ecological vulnerability pattern will be dominated by Mild and Moderate levels, with the area of extremely vulnerable regions significantly reduced to 0.36%. This study verified the applicability of the SRP model in transitional river basins, and the constructed “evaluation-driving mechanism-prediction” framework can provide a scientific basis for the ecological protection and adaptive management of the West Liaohe River Basin and provide a methodological reference for ecological fragility research in similar areas. However, limitations persist: the indicator system and weight assignment are subject to inherent subjectivity, and the 2030 scenario projection based on the Stacking ensemble learning model relies on the BAU (Business-As-Usual) assumption, which fails to account for abrupt climate extremes or major policy shifts. Future studies should incorporate multi-scenario constraints to reduce predictive uncertainty. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Dynamic Monitoring and Sustainable Management of Land Resources)
26 pages, 16894 KB  
Article
Future Climate-Driven Changes in Carbon Stocks in the Yellow River Basin of China
by Xia Fang, Liangzhong Cao, Ziwei Pei, Shihua Zhu and Yuhong He
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(13), 2205; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18132205 - 5 Jul 2026
Viewed by 190
Abstract
Carbon storage dynamics in dryland and semi-arid ecosystems remain a major uncertainty in global carbon cycle assessments, particularly in regions like the Yellow River Basin (YRB). Using the Arid Ecosystem Model (AEM), we simulated the spatiotemporal evolution of four major carbon pools—total carbon [...] Read more.
Carbon storage dynamics in dryland and semi-arid ecosystems remain a major uncertainty in global carbon cycle assessments, particularly in regions like the Yellow River Basin (YRB). Using the Arid Ecosystem Model (AEM), we simulated the spatiotemporal evolution of four major carbon pools—total carbon (TOTC), vegetation carbon (VEGC), soil organic carbon (SOC), and litter carbon (LTRC)—from 1981 to 2060 under factorial climate scenarios. During 1981–2020, TOTC increased by 0.09 Pg C (+3.54%), driven by gains in VEGC (+0.03 Pg C, +21.43%) and SOC (+0.06 Pg C, +2.78%). LTRC showed minimal net change but was highly sensitive to interannual variability. From 2021 to 2060, under the high-emission SSP5 scenario, TOTC is projected to increase by 0.114 Pg C (+4.81%), with VEGC contributing most of the gain (+23.87%). CO2_only simulations showed similar increases, underscoring the dominant role of CO2 fertilization. In contrast, warming and precipitation alone produced weaker and more variable effects. Spatially, upper YRB regions are expected to maintain strong sink capacity, while the Loess Plateau and central-western subregions remain vulnerable to warming and moisture decline. LTRC exhibited the highest variability across scenarios (−18% to +22%), highlighting its role as a sensitive indicator of sink stability. These findings emphasize the need to account for nonlinear climate–carbon interactions and regional heterogeneity. Region-specific, adaptive strategies that integrate ecological restoration and climate adaptation will be critical to enhancing carbon sinks and supporting China’s carbon neutrality targets in the Yellow River Basin. Full article
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21 pages, 7846 KB  
Article
An Improved TVPDI for Spatiotemporal Drought Dynamics Analysis in Xinjiang, China
by Mingyang Lyu, Yilin Chen, Yin Ouyang and Zhen’an Yang
Land 2026, 15(7), 1204; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15071204 - 5 Jul 2026
Viewed by 113
Abstract
The Temperature-Vegetation-Precipitation Drought Index (TVPDI) performs poorly in complex terrain due to Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) saturation and land surface temperature (LST) retrieval inaccuracies. To address this, we adopted an improved TVPDI (ITVPDI) by incorporating Leaf Area Index (LAI) and the land [...] Read more.
The Temperature-Vegetation-Precipitation Drought Index (TVPDI) performs poorly in complex terrain due to Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) saturation and land surface temperature (LST) retrieval inaccuracies. To address this, we adopted an improved TVPDI (ITVPDI) by incorporating Leaf Area Index (LAI) and the land surface–air temperature difference (LST−T). By using multi-source data from 2000 to 2022 in Xinjiang, China, we validated ITVPDI and analyzed drought dynamics. Results show: (1) ITVPDI correlates better with solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) (r = 0.17) and the moisture index (MI) (r = 0.22) than the traditional TVPDI, demonstrating superior performance in densely vegetated and topographically complex areas. (2) Drought frequency ranked as follows: severe (31.55%) > moderate (29.04%) > extreme (23.44%) > mild (15.94%). Mild and moderate droughts occurred in Northern Xinjiang and the Tianshan Mountains, while severe and extreme droughts clustered around the Tarim Basin and Eastern Xinjiang desert margins. As drought intensity increases, its center of gravity shifts “from north to south” and “from mountains to basins.” (3) ITVPDI showed a slight upward trend over the 23-year period, with autumn experiencing the most severe drought (mean ITVPDI = 0.293). (4) A mean Hurst index of 0.468 indicates weak anti-persistence, suggesting the current wetting trend may reverse, and increasing future drought risk. The ITVPDI proves to be a robust tool for drought monitoring in arid and semi-arid regions with complex terrain. This study provides crucial scientific support for regional water resource allocation, precision irrigation, and collaborative drought resistance and disaster mitigation in Northwest China. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Soils and Land Management Under Climate Change (Second Edition))
26 pages, 5068 KB  
Article
Machine Learning-Based Hydrological Drought Prediction Integrating Teleconnections and Hydrological Memory in a Semi-Arid Basin, Algeria
by Okan Mert Katipoğlu, Mohammed Achite, Veysi Kartal, Mehmet Ali Çelik and Kusum Pandey
Atmosphere 2026, 17(7), 670; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17070670 - 4 Jul 2026
Viewed by 221
Abstract
Hydrological drought forecasting in semi-arid basins is challenging due to the combined influence of meteorological forcing, large-scale atmospheric teleconnections, and basin memory processes, which are rarely jointly analysed within a leakage-free predictive framework. This study addresses this gap by evaluating gradient-boosted trees and [...] Read more.
Hydrological drought forecasting in semi-arid basins is challenging due to the combined influence of meteorological forcing, large-scale atmospheric teleconnections, and basin memory processes, which are rarely jointly analysed within a leakage-free predictive framework. This study addresses this gap by evaluating gradient-boosted trees and neural forecasting models for one-month-ahead prediction of the Standardized Runoff Index (SRI) in two sub-basins of the Wadi Sahaouat Basin, Algeria. The models include gradient-boosted regression trees (GBRT), A-N-BEATS, A-N-HiTS, and TiDE, representing distinct forecasting architectures. Predictors consist of the Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI), seven teleconnection indices (NAO, AO, EAWR, SCAND, MEI, SOI, WeMO), and their one- to three-month lags. Two scenarios are tested: Scenario 1 uses SPI and teleconnection lags only, while Scenario 2 additionally includes lagged SRI values (SRI_lag1–3) to represent hydrological memory. A train-only Variance Inflation Factor (VIF > 10) procedure is applied to remove multicollinearity without data leakage. In Basin 1, SRI lags were excluded due to strong collinearity with SPI lags (r = 0.984), resulting in identical inputs for both scenarios. In Basin 2, SRI lags were retained to assess their predictive contribution. GBRT achieved the best overall performance across both basins and scenarios, with mean RMSE, NSE, and KGE values of 0.0682, 0.9907, and 0.8945, respectively. TiDE ranked second overall, with a mean RMSE of 0.1166, followed by A-N-HiTS in third place with a mean RMSE of 0.1203 and A-N-BEATS with the weakest overall performance, with a mean RMSE of 0.2159. These results indicate that gradient-boosted trees remain highly competitive with neural models for small monthly hydrological datasets and that the value of hydrological memory is basin-dependent and varies according to its independence from concurrent meteorological forcing. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Machine Learning for Hydrological Prediction and Water Management)
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25 pages, 3217 KB  
Article
Soil Property Responses to Agricultural Management in the Hetao Plain and Yellow River Floodplain, China
by Nana Guo, Huawei Pi and Sisi Li
Agriculture 2026, 16(13), 1453; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture16131453 - 2 Jul 2026
Viewed by 221
Abstract
Insufficient information is available regarding how land management categories influence soil properties in the Hetao Plain (HPYR) and the floodplain of the Yellow River (FPYR), two major agricultural regions of the Yellow River Basin located in arid to semi-arid and warm-temperate monsoon climatic [...] Read more.
Insufficient information is available regarding how land management categories influence soil properties in the Hetao Plain (HPYR) and the floodplain of the Yellow River (FPYR), two major agricultural regions of the Yellow River Basin located in arid to semi-arid and warm-temperate monsoon climatic zones, respectively. This study aimed to elucidate the chemical properties of cultivated land soils across the Yellow River agricultural zones. Soil organic matter (SOM), total nitrogen (TN), pH, and selected physical properties were quantified together with their associations with soil type, crop rotation, irrigation, and tillage. Marked differences in chemical properties were observed between the two regions. FPYR soils showed higher SOM and TN levels and lower pH than HPYR soils. The coefficient of variation in SOM was substantially greater in the HPYR than that in the FPYR, indicating stronger heterogeneity in the arid region. Semivariogram analysis revealed that TN exhibited significant positive spatial autocorrelation (Moran’s I = 0.511, p < 0.05) in the HPYR. Thus, soil properties in the Yellow River Basin reflect the combined influence of regional environmental context and local management practices. This observational study may inform region-specific management strategies that can improve soil quality and nutrient balance. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Agricultural Soils)
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23 pages, 12961 KB  
Article
Spatial Evaluation of Groundwater Recharge Potential Using GIS and the Analytical Hierarchy Process: The Case of the Oued Cherrat Basin (Morocco)
by Oumaima Zerdeb, Allal Labriki, Yasmina Bouchatta, Karima Labriki, Mohamed Sadiki, Raja Moussaoui, Soukaina El Idrissi, Amal Saidi and Saïd Chakiri
Limnol. Rev. 2026, 26(3), 33; https://doi.org/10.3390/limnolrev26030033 - 2 Jul 2026
Viewed by 110
Abstract
In arid and semi-arid regions, groundwater recharge is a key process controlling the sustainability of subsurface water resources. This study aims to assess and map the groundwater recharge potential of the Oued Cherrat watershed (Morocco) using an integrated approach combining Geographic Information Systems [...] Read more.
In arid and semi-arid regions, groundwater recharge is a key process controlling the sustainability of subsurface water resources. This study aims to assess and map the groundwater recharge potential of the Oued Cherrat watershed (Morocco) using an integrated approach combining Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Six controlling factors were considered: lithology, lineament density, drainage network density, slope, land use/land cover derived from the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and rainfall. The relative weights of these factors were determined through pairwise comparisons using the Saaty fundamental scale, and the consistency of the judgments was verified (CR < 0.1). The reclassified thematic layers were integrated into a GIS-based weighted overlay model to generate the groundwater recharge potential map. Five recharge classes were identified, ranging from very low to very high. The results show that areas with moderate recharge potential are the most widespread (approximately 37% of the watershed), while high and very high potential zones account for about 25% of the total area. These zones are mainly associated with permeable lithologies, high densities of structural discontinuities, gentle slopes, and low drainage density. In contrast, low to very low recharge potential areas are related to low-permeability formations, steep slopes, and dense drainage networks. The resulting recharge potential map provides a useful decision-support tool for sustainable groundwater management and for identifying priority areas for aquifer protection and artificial recharge planning in the Oued Cherrat watershed. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Water Management in the Age of Climate Change)
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24 pages, 24876 KB  
Article
Spatio-Temporal Patterns, Driving Mechanisms, and Multi-Scenario Projections of Expansion in the Ningxia Yellow River Urban Agglomeration
by Ting Shao and Xianglong Tang
Sustainability 2026, 18(13), 6674; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18136674 - 1 Jul 2026
Viewed by 205
Abstract
The Ningxia Yellow River Urban Agglomeration, located in the ecologically fragile arid and semi-arid zone of the upper Yellow River, serves as a critical spatial carrier for maintaining the ecological security of the Yellow River Basin and supporting the regional economy and population [...] Read more.
The Ningxia Yellow River Urban Agglomeration, located in the ecologically fragile arid and semi-arid zone of the upper Yellow River, serves as a critical spatial carrier for maintaining the ecological security of the Yellow River Basin and supporting the regional economy and population agglomeration in Ningxia. Driven by rapid urbanization, intensified human–land conflicts have induced widespread ecological degradation and unbalanced water–soil resource allocation across the region. Based on land use data from 2010, 2015, 2020 and 2023, we applied the land use transition matrix, land use dynamic degree and standard deviational ellipse to characterize the spatiotemporal patterns of spatial expansion of the Ningxia Yellow River Urban Agglomeration over the past decade. The Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model was further employed to predict the land use demand and spatial distribution of the study area under diverse scenarios in 2035. The research results reveal three key findings. First, grassland, cropland and unused land constitute the dominant land use types across the study region, jointly occupying more than 90% of the total territorial area. Over the past decade, regional land use has undergone noticeable changes: grassland area has continuously declined, cropland and built-up land have sustained steady expansion, and water areas have experienced a mild reduction. Land use conversions mainly occur among grassland, cropland and built-up land. Second, driving factors vary substantially in their spatial contributions to the expansion of different land use types. The spatial growth of cropland and built-up land is comprehensively shaped by terrain conditions, economic development and transportation location superiority. In comparison, the distribution and dynamic changes in forestland, grassland and water areas are predominantly restricted by natural elements, including precipitation, temperature and soil characteristics. Third, multi-scenario simulation results verify that differentiated territorial spatial planning and regulatory policies profoundly affect the evolutionary trajectory of regional territorial patterns. The natural development scenario experienced the most intensive expansion of built-up land, with a newly increased area of 181.11 km2. The ecological protection scenario can effectively curb the loss of ecological land and minimize the shrinkage of grassland resources. The cropland protection scenario is conducive to stabilizing cropland scale to the greatest extent and restraining the disorderly sprawl of urban land. The sustainable development scenario realizes coordinated and balanced changes in all land use types and delivers mutually beneficial progress between regional ecological conservation and socioeconomic development. Full article
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13 pages, 2304 KB  
Article
Taxonomic Validation and Southern Range Expansion of Campsomeriella whitelyi (Kirby, 1889) (Hymenoptera: Scoliidae: Campsomerini) in Agricultural Landscapes of North-Central Chile
by Macarena González-Dossi, Fermín M. Alfaro, Elizabeth V. Villalobos and Jaime Pizarro-Araya
Insects 2026, 17(7), 674; https://doi.org/10.3390/insects17070674 - 28 Jun 2026
Viewed by 259
Abstract
The family Scoliidae is composed of parasitoid wasps of notable ecological and agronomic importance, particularly for their role in the natural control of soil-dwelling beetle larvae within agroecosystems. This study provides the first record of Campsomeriella whitelyi (Kirby, 1889) in Chile, a species [...] Read more.
The family Scoliidae is composed of parasitoid wasps of notable ecological and agronomic importance, particularly for their role in the natural control of soil-dwelling beetle larvae within agroecosystems. This study provides the first record of Campsomeriella whitelyi (Kirby, 1889) in Chile, a species originally described from the Tambo Valley, Arequipa, Peru. The specimens analyzed, previously identified as Campsomeris servillei (Guérin-Méneville, 1831), were found to correspond to Campsomeriella whitelyi, whose known distribution in Chile was restricted to the extreme north. Their identity was confirmed through morphological analysis, which revealed the presence of a distinct yellow band on the fourth abdominal tergite and an elongated posterior tibial spur—diagnostic characters consistent with the original description of the species. This record from the Coquimbo Region represents the southernmost known expansion of the species. Specimens were collected between 2017 and 2025 in horticultural and rainfed agroecosystems associated with the Elqui River Basin (Coquimbo Region, Chile), using entomological nets in targeted sampling efforts. The edaphoclimatic conditions of the area—characterized by light-textured soils, winter humidity, and a high availability of hosts—appear to have favored the establishment of this wasp in a previously unreported environment. Through MaxEnt modeling, areas of high environmental suitability were identified in Chile’s Norte Chico region. From an agronomic perspective, this finding opens opportunities to incorporate Campsomeriella whitelyi as a functional component in integrated pest management (IPM) programs, particularly in the biological control of Scarabaeidae (Coleoptera) larvae that affect root, bulb, and minor fruit crops. Its adaptation to semi-arid agricultural environments suggests potential resilience under climate change scenarios, as well as a low impact on non-target species. This study contributes to applied entomology and functional conservation, promoting the integration of beneficial Hymenoptera into sustainable agricultural systems of north-central Chile. Full article
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18 pages, 9058 KB  
Article
Rain Erosivity Factor (R) and Topographic Factor (LS) of the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) in a Semi-Desert Area
by Lorena Ceballos-Pérez, Juvenal Villanueva-Maldonado, Erick Dante Mattos-Villarroel, Víktor Iván Rodríguez-Abdalá, Remberto Sandoval-Aréchiga and Carlos Francisco Bautista-Capetillo
Earth 2026, 7(4), 105; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7040105 - 25 Jun 2026
Viewed by 244
Abstract
Water erosion is a critical degradation process that reduces fertility and agricultural sustainability, especially in semi-arid regions. The Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) allows for the quantification of this phenomenon using factors such as rainfall erosivity (R) and topography (length-slope, LS). In this [...] Read more.
Water erosion is a critical degradation process that reduces fertility and agricultural sustainability, especially in semi-arid regions. The Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) allows for the quantification of this phenomenon using factors such as rainfall erosivity (R) and topography (length-slope, LS). In this study, both factors were estimated and analyzed in the Cañitas sub-basin, located in the semi-desert area of the state of Zacatecas, Mexico, characterized by irregular precipitation and limited data availability. The objective of this study is to estimate and analyze the R factor and LS factor to evaluate their influence on soil water erosion processes. Records from five meteorological stations (1986–2022) were used, along with the Modified Fournier Index (MFI) and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) tools, generating spatial maps of rainfall erosivity and topography. An average R factor of 81.69 MJ∙mm/ha∙h∙year was estimated, consistent with the values obtained using the MFI. The LS factor shows that the northwestern area of the study zone has the most extensive and steepest slopes (up to 20). This study analyzes the R and LS factors to identify areas vulnerable to water erosion and to understand the influence of climate and topography in a semi-arid region, which can serve as a reference for planning conservation actions and managing watersheds in semi-arid areas with high climatic variability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Water Management in the Age of Climate Change)
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7 pages, 1913 KB  
Proceeding Paper
Deep Learning Approach for Monthly Streamflow Prediction in Yamula Reservoir Watershed in Türkiye
by Arshya Razavi Nematollahi, Mete Celik and Filiz Dadaser-Celik
Environ. Earth Sci. Proc. 2026, 44(1), 19; https://doi.org/10.3390/eesp2026044019 - 23 Jun 2026
Viewed by 120
Abstract
Data-driven models can be used to understand basin-wide hydrological processes and generate predictions for future conditions, particularly in cases of scarce data availability related to basin characteristics. Although they have long been applied in hydrological modeling, there is still limited information regarding their [...] Read more.
Data-driven models can be used to understand basin-wide hydrological processes and generate predictions for future conditions, particularly in cases of scarce data availability related to basin characteristics. Although they have long been applied in hydrological modeling, there is still limited information regarding their ability to produce reliable long-term projections under climate change conditions. This study evaluates the long-term predictive performance of data-driven models by employing a hybrid deep learning architecture combining Wavelet Transform (WT) and Deep Neural Network (DNN). The dataset used in this study was obtained from the Yamula Reservoir Basin, a semi-arid agricultural basin in Türkiye. Monthly streamflow was simulated based on climate projection data from the HadGEM2-ES model under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Results showed that the WT–DNN framework was successful in learning the system dynamics and reproducing observed streamflow behavior. The model produced continuous projections for the future period; however, these projections should be interpreted with caution due to the increasing uncertainty associated with long-term climate forcing and the sensitivity of data-driven approaches to shifts in climatic and hydrological regimes. Full article
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6 pages, 2225 KB  
Proceeding Paper
Reconstructing the Natural Hydrological Regime of the Egirdir Lake Basin Using SWAT: Assessing the Effects of Irrigation and Reservoir Regulation
by Filiz Dadaser Celik and Meltem Kacikoc
Environ. Earth Sci. Proc. 2026, 44(1), 16; https://doi.org/10.3390/eesp2026044016 - 22 Jun 2026
Viewed by 97
Abstract
Reservoir construction and agricultural irrigation have substantially altered the natural hydrological regimes of many Mediterranean watersheds. This study aims to reconstruct the natural flow conditions of the Egirdir Lake Basin (Türkiye) and quantify the impacts of irrigation and reservoir operations on water inflows [...] Read more.
Reservoir construction and agricultural irrigation have substantially altered the natural hydrological regimes of many Mediterranean watersheds. This study aims to reconstruct the natural flow conditions of the Egirdir Lake Basin (Türkiye) and quantify the impacts of irrigation and reservoir operations on water inflows to Egirdir Lake using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). The SWAT model consisted of 14 subbasins and 274 hydrologic response units (HRUs) and initially calibrated and validated using naturalized flow data provided by the State Hydraulic Works (DSI) for the period from 1990 to 2014. The same model structure and parameters were then applied to simulate a regulated condition representing the combined effects of irrigation and reservoir operation. Results showed a considerable reduction in annual streamflows under the regulated condition. This study demonstrated the significant impact of irrigation water use and reservoir operation on the hydrological dynamics of semi-arid basins. Full article
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22 pages, 27018 KB  
Project Report
Regional Assessment of Groundwater Flow of Natural and Predicted Resources of Fresh and Low-Mineralized Waters in Southern and Western Kazakhstan
by Dinara Adenova, Janay Sagin, Malis Absametov, Yermek Murtazin and Vladimir Smolyar
Water 2026, 18(12), 1520; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18121520 - 20 Jun 2026
Viewed by 357
Abstract
Groundwater flow is an integral part of the Earth’s water cycle and plays a key role in assessing groundwater resource potential, characterizing the upper limit of possible groundwater withdrawal over a long period without depletion. The objective of this study is a comprehensive [...] Read more.
Groundwater flow is an integral part of the Earth’s water cycle and plays a key role in assessing groundwater resource potential, characterizing the upper limit of possible groundwater withdrawal over a long period without depletion. The objective of this study is a comprehensive regional assessment of groundwater flow and the natural and predicted resources of fresh and low-mineralized groundwater in Southern and Western Kazakhstan. This assessment is based on an analysis of hydrogeological conditions and water balance, taking into account climate variability and anthropogenic load, to justify sustainable water resources management in arid territories. This article provides a regional assessment and mapping of groundwater flow, taking into account climate and anthropogenic changes in Kazakhstan, to refine the predicted resources of fresh and low-mineralized groundwater. The basin balance calculation results indicate that in arid and semi-arid regions, the decline in groundwater recharge by the 2050s will generally not exceed 10%. The average layer of groundwater flow of renewable groundwater resources in the Kazakhstan part of the Zhaiyk-Caspian water management basin (WMB) is estimated at 33.4 mm/year, and the average modulus of groundwater flow is 1.06 L/s per 1 km2. The average layer of groundwater flow of renewable groundwater resources in the Kazakhstan part of the Aral-Surdarya water management basin (WMB) is estimated at 14.8 mm/year, and the average modulus of groundwater flow is 0.47 L/s per 1 km2. The average layer of groundwater flow of renewable groundwater resources in the Kazakhstan part of the Shu-Talas water management basin (WMB) is estimated at 26.5 mm/year, and the average modulus of groundwater flow is 0.84 L/s per 1 km2. For mountainous and folded regions, the average layer of groundwater flow of renewable groundwater resources in the Balkhash-Alakol water management basin (WMB) system is estimated at 70.7 mm/year, and the average modulus of groundwater flow is 2.24 L/s per 1 km2. For intermontane and foothill basins, the average layer of groundwater flow of renewable groundwater resources in the Balkhash-Alakol water management basin (WMB) is estimated at 54.3 mm/year, and the average modulus of groundwater flow is 1.72 L/s per km2. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Human Impact on Groundwater Environment, 2nd Edition)
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39 pages, 17485 KB  
Article
A SMAP-Anchored Sentinel-1 Change Detection Method for 100 m Surface Soil Moisture Mapping with Vegetation-Conditioned Constraints
by Yunjia Wang, Hao Sun, Haoyu Pei, Jinhua Gao, Zhenheng Xu, Yuxin Wang and Dan Wu
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(12), 2045; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18122045 - 20 Jun 2026
Viewed by 244
Abstract
High-resolution surface soil moisture (SM) is needed for local hydrological and agricultural applications, but reliable retrieval at 100 m remains challenging. Within this broader methodological context, radiometer-constrained SAR change detection remains a practical and interpretable option for high-resolution soil moisture retrieval. It uses [...] Read more.
High-resolution surface soil moisture (SM) is needed for local hydrological and agricultural applications, but reliable retrieval at 100 m remains challenging. Within this broader methodological context, radiometer-constrained SAR change detection remains a practical and interpretable option for high-resolution soil moisture retrieval. It uses SAR-derived temporal changes to describe fine-scale wetting and drying processes, while passive microwave observations provide volumetric moisture references. This study proposes an improved SMAP-anchored Sentinel-1 change-detection framework (ISSF) for 100 m SM mapping. ISSF addresses these limitations by fitting NDVI-binned upper-envelope samples with a nonlinear quadratic function to normalize the vegetation-dependent backscatter-change range and by using multi-year SMAP dry/wet quantiles to scale the normalized relative wetness into volumetric SM. ISSF was evaluated using in situ measurements, a near-concurrent airborne reference, SMAP-based products, and direct transfer to OzNet. In the Shandian River Basin, ISSF achieved R = 0.549 and ubRMSE = 0.062 m3 m−3 at the point scale. Relative to three benchmark change-detection methods, ISSF increased R by 11–53% and reduced ubRMSE by 7–15%. For the airborne-referenced event, ISSF showed R = 0.635 and ubRMSE = 0.027 m3 m−3. Under direct transfer to OzNet, ISSF achieved mean R = 0.55 and mean ubRMSE = 0.05 m3 m−3. These results indicate that ISSF provides a practical and interpretable approach for 100 m soil moisture mapping in semi-arid regions with sparse to moderate vegetation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Remote Sensing in Agriculture and Vegetation)
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