Search Results (47)

Accurately hindcasting waves in semi-enclosed, fetch-limited basins remains challenging for reanalysis models, which tend to underestimate storm peaks near the coast. We developed interpretable ML models for Rijeka Bay (northern Adriatic) using only wind observations from two land-based wind stations to predict buoy H_m0 measurements spanning 2009–2011 (testing) and 2019–2021 (training and validation). The tested tree-based models included Random Forest, XGBoost, and Explainable Boosting Machine. This study introduces a novel approach in the literature by employing weighted schemes and feature engineering to enhance the predictive performance of interpretable, low-complexity machine learning models in hindcasting waves. Representing wind direction as sine–cosine components generally reduced RMSE and BIAS relative to traditional speed–direction inputs, while an exponential sample weight scheme that emphasized storm waves halved extreme H_m0 underprediction without inflating overall RMSE. The best-performing model, a Random Forest model, achieved an RMSE of 0.096 m and a correlation of 0.855 on the unseen test set—30% lower overall RMSE and 50% lower extreme wave RMSE than the MEDSEA and COEXMED hindcasts. Additionally, the underprediction was reduced by 90% compared to these reanalysis models. The method offers a computationally lightweight, transferable supplement to numerical wave guidance for coastal engineering and harbor operations. Full article

A FEM model of Shallow Wave Equations (SWE-FEM) is studied, taking into account the variable bathymetry of semi-enclosed sea basins. The model, with a spatially varying Coriolis term, is implemented for the description of combined refraction–diffraction effects, from which the eigenperiods and eigenmodes of extended geographical sea areas are calculated by means of a low-order FEM scheme. The model is applied to the western Mediterranean basin, illustrating its versatility to easily include the effects of geographical characteristics like islands and other coastal features. The calculated resonant frequencies and modes depend on the domain size and characteristics as well as the location of the open sea boundary, and it is shown to provide results compatible with tide measurements at several stations in the coastal region of France. The calculation of the natural oscillation modes in the western Mediterranean basin, bounded by open boundaries at the Strait of Gibraltar and the Strait of Sicily, reveals a natural period of around 6 h corresponding to the quarter-diurnal tidal components, which are stationary and of roughly constant amplitude on the northern coast of the basin and on the west coast of Corsica (France). On the east coast of Corsica, on the other hand, these components are of very low amplitude and in phase opposition. The semi-diurnal tidal components observed on the same tide gauges north of the basin and west of Corsica are also quasi-stationary although they are not resonant. Resonant oscillations are also observed at lower periods, especially at a period of around 3 h at the Sète station. This period corresponds to a higher-order natural mode of the western Mediterranean basin, but this resonance seems to be essentially linked to the presence of the Gulf of Lion, whose shallowness and the width of the shelf at this point induce a resonance. Other oscillations are also observed at lower periods (T = 1.5 h at station Fos-sur-Mer, T = 45 min in the Toulon harbour station), due to more local forcing. Full article

Global mean sea level has been rising steadily since the early 1990s, yet regional sea level changes exhibit complex spatial variability that frequently contrasts with global trends. Investigating sea level variations in semi-enclosed basins such as the Black Sea is crucial for elucidating regional responses to climate change and characterizing its unique spatiotemporal evolution patterns. In this study, we employ satellite altimetry (SA) data to study sea level changes, spatial variability, and seasonal patterns in the Black Sea over eight distinct time periods with temporally correlated noise, and our results show good consistency with existing studies. The results show that sea level changes are non-linear over time and exhibit spatial variability in the Black Sea. The estimated sea level trend fluctuates over brief intervals, but extended time series provide reduced uncertainty in the trend and more precise estimation over a 28-year time series. The annual amplitude and phase derived from virtual altimetry data (1993–2020) exhibit a distinct seasonal pattern, with peak sea levels typically occurring between November and February. Furthermore, to reduce the uncertainty induced by noise in the sea surface height (SSH) time series, principal component analysis (PCA) was utilized to denoise the SSH data from 1993 to 2020, yielding a sea level trend of 1.76 ± 0.56 mm/yr. Denoising reduced the trend uncertainty by 57%, decreased the root mean square error of the SSH series by 5.06 mm, and decreased the annual amplitude by 23.35%. Full article

The Mediterranean Sea, a semi-enclosed basin at mid-latitudes, is experiencing significant environmental changes driven by global warming. This study examines recent shifts in fish species composition within Spanish Mediterranean waters, focusing on the potential tropicalization of marine communities. Using an updated dataset derived from the Spanish marine fishes checklist, we analyzed newly recorded species across two Spanish demarcations: the Levantine-Balearic (LEBA) and the Strait of Gibraltar and Alboran Sea (ESAL). A total of 25 new records (including 23 new species) were reported, with 15 new records in LEBA and 10 new records in ESAL and also including 2 new species recorded occurring in both demarcations. To assess changes in species’ thermal preferences, we compared the mean temperature of newly recorded species with that of previously established species in each demarcation using the Mann–Whitney U test. While no significant differences were found in LEBA, a marked increase of up to 6.08 °C in thermal preference was observed in ESAL. These findings suggest that tropicalization is occurring unevenly across the Spanish Mediterranean, with the Alboran Sea and Strait of Gibraltar being particularly affected. The complex oceanography of the Alboran Sea, coupled with extreme weather events and biological invasions, may exacerbate these shifts. Full article

In this paper, the barotropic circulation in the gulfs of the Patras and Corinth system in Greece is numerically studied. This semi-enclosed hydrodynamic system is simulated as a unified basin, based on 3D simulations using the MIKE 3 Flow Model FM (HD). The wind and tide-induced flow, as well as their combined action, were examined in the whole basin of the system. Based on the numerically predicted results, salient features of the flow were highlighted, while different energetic zones concerning the hydrodynamic response of the system were specified. The tide propagation was studied in detail showing an increase in tidal amplitude up to 85% at the western entrance of the Gulf of Corinth. In addition, geophysical flow characteristics, surface eddies, and the current field as well as the vertical and horizontal structure of the flow in the gulfs’ system were calculated. Moreover, the effect of wind and tide on the exchange flowrate between the two gulfs and the response of the basin after a wind break were studied for typical wind speeds and directions. Full article

This study investigates the effects on hard-bottom macro-zoobenthic communities of converting a mariculture plant into an Integrated Multi-Trophic Aquaculture (IMTA) system. This study was conducted from 2018 to 2021 in the semi-enclosed Mar Grande basin of Taranto (northern Ionian Sea), on a facility located 600 m off the coastline, with a production capacity of 100 tons per year of seabass (Dicentrarchus labrax) and seabream (Sparus aurata). The results from seasonal sampling performed in a treatment site, where bioremediators (filter-feeding invertebrates such as sponges, polychaetes, mussels, and macroalgae) were deployed, and a control site without bioremediators were compared. Before the IMTA installation, the hard substrates under the cages were sparsely inhabited, with significant sediment coverage. By 2021, the treatment site exhibited revitalized and more diverse macro-zoobenthic communities, with species richness increasing from 83 taxa in 2018 to 104 taxa, including notable growth in sponges, annelids, mollusks, and bryozoans. In contrast, the control site showed no substantial changes in biodiversity over the same period. Biodiversity indices, including Shannon and Margalef indices, improved significantly at the treatment site, particularly during summer months, highlighting a more resilient and balanced benthic environment. Taxonomic distinctness (delta+) and multivariate analyses (PERMANOVA, PCO) confirmed significant spatial and temporal shifts in community structure at the treatment site, driven by IMTA implementation. SIMPER analysis identified key taxa contributing to these changes, which played a pivotal role in structuring the community. The emergence of filter feeders, predators, and omnivores at the treatment site suggests enhanced nutrient cycling and trophic complexity, while the decline in opportunistic species further supports improved environmental conditions. These findings demonstrate the potential of IMTA to promote recovery and sustainable mariculture practices, also offering a comprehensive understanding of its positive effects on hard-bottom benthic community dynamics. Full article

The Mar Piccolo is a transitional water system located in Taranto city (Southern Italy); it is a semi-enclosed basin affected by severe pollution issues due to the presence of various industrial, agricultural and other anthropic activities that require careful monitoring and management. The pollution levels reached over time have harmed marine biodiversity and human health, repeatedly requiring timely actions for its mitigation. Characterization methodologies and techniques today play a fundamental role in supporting the decision-making phase, processing large quantities of data and identifying complex patterns and correlations. An approach focused on gaining detailed knowledge of complex environmental contexts through clustering map techniques enables highly precise results, capturing even the smallest variations in the features of the study object and strongly correlating them with possible sources of pollution. The use of these techniques improves the precision of the analyses and can significantly contribute to improving the understanding of the environmental state in the Mar Piccolo area. This study addresses the issue of pollution in Mar Piccolo due to marine litter, which has led to the formation of synanthropic habitats on the seabed. It also highlights the value of clustering maps and other characterization techniques for achieving detailed insights at various levels of analysis. Data processing through the proposed methodology can generate very detailed mapping useful for planning precision reclamation interventions that also include species conservation actions, as well as a better understanding of how synanthropic habitats are distributed and evolve. In summary, this study demonstrates how it is possible to improve the precision of data processing, providing crucial details for the management and conservation of highly threatened marine ecosystems. Full article

The summer of 2024 witnessed record-high sea surface temperatures (SST) across the Aegean, Ionian, and Cretan Seas (AICS), following unprecedented air heatwaves over the sea under a long-term warming trend of 0.46 °C/decade for the mean atmospheric temperature (1982–2024). The respective mean SST trend for the same period is even steeper, increasing by 0.59 °C/decade. With mean summer surface waters surpassing 28 °C, particularly in the Ionian Sea, the southern Cretan, and northern Aegean basins, this summer marked the warmest ocean conditions over the past four decades. Despite a relatively lower number of marine heatwaves (MHWs) compared to previous warm years, the duration and cumulative intensity of these events in 2024 were the highest on record, reaching nearly twice the levels seen in 2018, which was the warmest until now. Intense MHWs were recorded, especially in the northern Aegean, with extensive biological consequences to ecosystems like the Thermaikos Gulf, a recognized MHW hotspot. The strong downward atmospheric heat fluxes in the summer of 2024, following an interannual increasing four-decade trend, contributed to the extreme warming of the water masses together with other met-ocean conditions such as lateral exchanges and vertical processes. The high temperatures were not limited to the surface but extended to depths of 50 m in some regions, indicating a deep and widespread warming of the upper ocean. Mechanisms typically mitigating SST rises, such as the Black Sea water (BSW) inflow and coastal upwelling over the eastern Aegean Sea, were weaker in 2024. Cooler water influx from the BSW decreased, as indicated by satellite-derived chlorophyll-a concentrations, while upwelled waters from depths of 40 to 80 m at certain areas showed elevated temperatures, likely limiting their cooling effects on the surface. Prolonged warming of ocean waters in a semi-enclosed basin such as the Mediterranean and its marginal sea sub-basins can have substantial physical, biological, and socioeconomic impacts on the AICS. This research highlights the urgent need for targeted monitoring and mitigation strategies to address the growing impact of MHWs in the region. Full article

The Arabian Gulf, a semi-enclosed basin in the Middle East, connects to the Indian Ocean through the Strait of Hormuz and is surrounded by seven arid countries. This study examines the water cycle of the Gulf and its surrounding areas using data from the GRACE and GRACE Follow-On missions, along with ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis data, from 05/2002 to 05/2017 and from 07/2018 to 12/2023. Our findings reveal a persistent water deficit due to high evaporation rates, averaging 370 ± 3 km³/year, greatly surpassing precipitation, which accounts for only 15% of the evaporative loss. Continental runoff provides one-fifth of the needed water, while the remaining deficit, approximately 274 ± 10 km³/year, is balanced by net inflow of saltwater from the Indian Ocean. Seasonal variations show the lowest net inflow of 26 ± 49 km³/year in March and the highest of 586 ± 53 km³/year in November, driven by net evaporation, continental input, and changes in the Gulf’s water budget. This study highlights the complex hydrological dynamics influenced by climate patterns and provides a baseline for future research in the region, which will be needed to quantify the expected changes in the hydrological cycle due to climate change. Full article

Based on the WAVEWATCH III wave model, China’s National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center has developed an operational global ocean wave forecasting system that covers the Arctic region. In this study, in situ buoy observations and satellite remote sensing data were used to perform a detailed evaluation of the system’s forecasting results for 2022, with a focus on China’s offshore and global ocean waters, so as to comprehensively understand the model’s forecasting performance. The study results showed the following: In China’s coastal waters, the model had a high forecasting accuracy for significant wave heights. The model tended to underestimate the significant wave heights in autumn and winter and overestimate them in spring and summer. In addition, the model slightly underestimated low (below 1 m) wave heights, while overestimating them in other ranges. In terms of spatial distribution, negative deviations and high scatter indexes were observed in the forecasting of significant wave heights in semi-enclosed sea areas such as the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea, and Beibu Gulf, with the largest negative deviation occurring near Liaodong Bay of the Bohai Sea (−0.18 m). There was a slight positive deviation (0.01 m) in the East China Sea, while the South China Sea exhibited a more significant positive deviation (0.17 m). The model showed a trend of underestimation for the forecasting of the mean wave period in China’s coastal waters. In the global oceanic waters, the forecasting results of the model were found to have obvious positive deviations for most regions, with negative deviations mainly occurring on the east coast and in relatively closed basins. There were latitude differences in the forecasting deviations of the model: specifically, the most significant positive deviations occurred in the Southern Ocean, with smaller positive deviations toward the north, while a slight negative deviation was observed in the Arctic waters. Overall, the global wave model has high reliability and can meet the current operational forecasting needs. In the future, the accuracy and performance of ocean wave forecasting can be further improved by adjusting the parameterization scheme, replacing the wind fields with more accurate ones, adopting spherical multiple-cell grids, and data assimilation. Full article

A coupled numerical approach that combines the WRF model and the Mike 3 (DHI) hydrodynamic model was developed and applied in two semi-enclosed basins in the Ionian Sea (Italy) to assess the wind-driven current. To gain a better understanding of how the sea current field can vary depending on meteorological data forcing, three different scenario were set up. The sensitivity of the sea current pattern was investigated as a function of the type of meteorological forcing and appreciating the differences in the results. The aims of this study are threefold. Firstly, we wish to define an ad hoc procedure to join the model-computed meteorological parameters in the hydrodynamic model. Secondly, we will investigate the feedback from the Mar Piccolo and Mar Grande basins in the Ionian Sea using fully coupled simulations and an uncoupled system where the atmospheric parameters are derived from a ground station. Finally, we will evaluate the results achieved by applying two scenarios of typical meteorological conditions to the study site. The model results highlighted the variability of sea currents depending on meteorological forcing. Full article

The Thermaikos Gulf (TG) is a semi-enclosed, river-influenced, marine system situated in the eastern Mediterranean Sea, sustaining both urban coastal regions and ecologically preserved natural areas. Facing a plethora of environmental and anthropogenic pressures, the TG serves as a critical nexus where human activities intersect with marine ecosystems. The quality and health of the TG’s marine environment are tightly linked to the socioeconomic activities of the coastal communities comprising approximately 1.5 million inhabitants. The main features of the TG’s environmental dynamics and ecological status have been scrutinized by dedicated research endeavors during the last 50 years. This review synthesizes the seminal findings of these investigations, offering an evaluation of their contribution to research, their present collective impact, and their trajectory toward the future. A severe deterioration of the TG’s environmental quality was detected in the 1970s and 1980s when the treatment of urban wastewater was completely absent. A steady trend of recovery was observed after the 1990s; however, so far, the goal of a “good environmental state” mandated by national legislation and European directives has not been achieved. A clear reduction in research was detected after 2010, associated with the recession of the Greek economy, following the “golden period” for research in the TG from the mid-1990s until the late 2000s. The most important research gaps and uncertainties are discussed, while specific targeted recommendations for the improvement of monitoring and understanding of the physical, biochemical, and ecological state of the gulf are provided: (i) increase in permanent observational stations (temporally and spatially); (ii) inclusion of all major environmental parameters; (iii) monitoring of the quantity and quality of all land-originated freshwater discharges; (iv) monitoring and management of important aspects of the marine environment that have received minimal attention in the past (e.g., coastal erosion, plastic pollution); (v) development of accurate prediction tools (e.g., numerical techniques) to support first-level responders and efficient management; (vi) establishment of a supervising public entity that would support the holistic overview and management of the entire TG. These suggestions are directed at overcoming the existing uncertainties in the knowledge of the TG, safeguarding its ecological integrity and its role as a crucial link to marine biodiversity and sustainability in the Mediterranean basin. Full article

The Oceans from Space V Symposium, held in Venice, Italy, on 24–27 October 2022, devoted special sessions to sea level rise, as described by a series of satellite altimeters, and to remediations of consequent calamities in vulnerable mediterranean seas. It emerged that various aspects of climate change can be modelled in time as a Single Exponential Event (SEE), with a similar trend (a 54–year e–folding time) for CO₂ concentration in the Earth’s atmosphere, global average sea surface temperature, and global average sea level. The sea level rise record, combining tide gauges data starting in 1850, as well as more recent altimeter data, for the last 30 years, is already 25 cm above historical values. If the curve continues to follow the exponential growth of the simple SEE model, it will reach about 40 cm by the year 2050, 1 m by 2100, and 2.5 m by 2150. As a result, dramatic impacts would be expected for most coastal areas in the next century. Decisive remediations, based on geo-engineering at the basin scale, are possible for semi-enclosed seas, such as the Mediterranean and Black Seas. Damming the Strait of Gibraltar would provide an alternative to the conclusion that coastal sites such as the City of Venice are inevitably doomed. Full article

The hydrodynamics and sediment transport at the microtidal harbour of La Spezia Arsenale (Liguria, Italy) were studied through a numerical approach, with the objective of providing useful information for: (1) the understanding of the hydro-morphodynamics of microtidal harbour settings and (2) the operation management and planning for the Arsenale, the pivotal harbour for the Italian Navy. Three different scenarios were used to parametrically gain knowledge on the role of extreme (100-year return period) meteomarine forcing. FUNWAVE and Delft3D were used to simulate, respectively, the wave propagation from the open sea toward the Arsenale and the influence of two freshwater streams on the basin circulation. The first scenario was aimed at understanding the effect of wind waves and swell on the basin dynamics; the second scenario was set up to inspect the role of the rivers’ discharges on the Arsenale hydro-morphodynamics; the third scenario combined all of the above forcings. All the simulations also included the tidal forcing and were run under two different wind directions. We found that the hydrodynamics inside the Arsenale were mainly influenced by the tide and the wind; the former caused the water to enter/exit the basin during the flood/ebb phases, respectively, and the latter influenced the circulation cell, whose sense of rotation depended on the wind direction. In addition, the discharge of the Lagora stream, debouching into the sea close to the Arsenale entrance, partially entered the basin and created an eddy whenever its direction was opposite to that of the wind-forced circulation cell, while the Caporacca stream, flowing directly into the Arsenale, mainly fed the dominant circulation without altering it. On the other hand, the morphodynamics were strongly affected by the rivers’ discharges, which were solely responsible for the supply of sediment to the basin. Also, the major influence on the sediment transport was exerted by the rivers and the wind forcing. Small sedimentation rates were observed in the Arsenale close to the rivers’ mouths, particularly after the occurrence of the rivers’ discharges, while no siltation due to waves took place. This study evaluated for the first time the influence of freshwater streams flowing nearby/into the Arsenale, representative of semi-enclosed microtidal ports located in the vicinity of rivers. It was found that the contribution of the rivers to the hydro-morphodynamics of the Arsenale cannot be neglected; indeed, it represents one of the main forcings of the harbour dynamics and should, therefore, be considered from a management viewpoint. Full article

Nowadays, overexploitation and climate change are among the major threats to fish production all over the world. In this study, we focused our attention on the Adriatic Sea (AS), a shallow semi-enclosed sub-basin showing the highest exploitation level and warming trend over the last decades within the Mediterranean Sea. We investigated the life history traits and population dynamics of the cold-water species whiting (Merlangius merlangus, Gadidae) 30 years apart, which is one of the main commercial species in the Northern AS. The AS represents its southern limit of distribution, in accordance with the thermal preference of this cold-water species. Fish samples were collected monthly using a commercial bottom trawl within the periods 1990–1991 and 2020–2021. The historical comparison highlighted a recent reduction in large specimens (>25 cm total length, TL), which was not associated with trunked age structures, therefore indicating a decrease in growth performance over a period of 30 years (L_∞90–91 = 29.5 cm TL; L_∞20–21 = 22.8 cm TL). The current size at first sexual maturity was achieved within the first year of life, at around 16 cm TL for males and 17 cm TL for females. In the AS, whiting spawns in batches from December to March, showing a reproductive investment (gonadosomatic index) one order of magnitude higher in females than in males. Potential fecundity (F) ranged from 46,144 to 424,298, with it being heavily dependent on fish size. We hypothesize that the decreased growth performance might be related to a metabolic constraint, possibly related to the increased temperature and its consequences. Moreover, considering the detrimental effects of size reduction on reproductive potential, these findings suggest a potential endangerment situation for the long-term maintenance of whiting and cold-related species in the AS, which should be accounted for in setting management strategies. Full article