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Keywords = residential power systems

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18 pages, 1156 KiB  
Review
Increased Velocity (INVELOX) Wind Delivery System: A Review of Performance Enhancement Advances
by Anesu Godfrey Chitura, Patrick Mukumba and Ngwarai Shambira
Wind 2025, 5(3), 19; https://doi.org/10.3390/wind5030019 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 94
Abstract
Residential areas are characterized by closely packed buildings which disturb wind flow resulting in low wind speeds (below 2 m/s) with a high turbulence intensity (above 20%). In order to interface between off-the-shelf wind turbines and low-quality wind, the Increased velocity (INVELOX) wind [...] Read more.
Residential areas are characterized by closely packed buildings which disturb wind flow resulting in low wind speeds (below 2 m/s) with a high turbulence intensity (above 20%). In order to interface between off-the-shelf wind turbines and low-quality wind, the Increased velocity (INVELOX) wind delivery system is an attractive wind augmentation option for such regions. The INVELOX setup can harness more energy than conventional bare wind turbines under the same incident wind conditions. However, these systems also have drawbacks and challenges that they face in their operation, which amplify the need to review, understand, and expose gaps and flaws in pursuit of increased power production in low wind quality environments. This paper seeks to review and simplify the advances done by various scholars towards improving the INVELOX delivery system. It provides the mathematical foundation on which these advances are rooted and gives an understanding of how the improvements better the geometric properties of INVELOX. The article concludes by proposing future research directions. Full article
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25 pages, 2100 KiB  
Article
Flexible Demand Side Management in Smart Cities: Integrating Diverse User Profiles and Multiple Objectives
by Nuno Souza e Silva and Paulo Ferrão
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4107; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154107 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 223
Abstract
Demand Side Management (DSM) plays a crucial role in modern energy systems, enabling more efficient use of energy resources and contributing to the sustainability of the power grid. This study examines DSM strategies within a multi-environment context encompassing residential, commercial, and industrial sectors, [...] Read more.
Demand Side Management (DSM) plays a crucial role in modern energy systems, enabling more efficient use of energy resources and contributing to the sustainability of the power grid. This study examines DSM strategies within a multi-environment context encompassing residential, commercial, and industrial sectors, with a focus on diverse appliance types that exhibit distinct operational characteristics and user preferences. Initially, a single-objective optimization approach using Genetic Algorithms (GAs) is employed to minimize the total energy cost under a real Time-of-Use (ToU) pricing scheme. This heuristic method allows for the effective scheduling of appliance operations while factoring in their unique characteristics such as power consumption, usage duration, and user-defined operational flexibility. This study extends the optimization problem to a multi-objective framework that incorporates the minimization of CO2 emissions under a real annual energy mix while also accounting for user discomfort. The Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) is utilized for this purpose, providing a Pareto-optimal set of solutions that balances these competing objectives. The inclusion of multiple objectives ensures a comprehensive assessment of DSM strategies, aiming to reduce environmental impact and enhance user satisfaction. Additionally, this study monitors the Peak-to-Average Ratio (PAR) to evaluate the impact of DSM strategies on load balancing and grid stability. It also analyzes the impact of considering different periods of the year with the associated ToU hourly schedule and CO2 emissions hourly profile. A key innovation of this research is the integration of detailed, category-specific metrics that enable the disaggregation of costs, emissions, and user discomfort across residential, commercial, and industrial appliances. This granularity enables stakeholders to implement tailored strategies that align with specific operational goals and regulatory compliance. Also, the emphasis on a user discomfort indicator allows us to explore the flexibility available in such DSM mechanisms. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed multi-objective optimization approach in achieving significant cost savings that may reach 20% for industrial applications, while the order of magnitude of the trade-offs involved in terms of emissions reduction, improvement in discomfort, and PAR reduction is quantified for different frameworks. The outcomes not only underscore the efficacy of applying advanced optimization frameworks to real-world problems but also point to pathways for future research in smart energy management. This comprehensive analysis highlights the potential of advanced DSM techniques to enhance the sustainability and resilience of energy systems while also offering valuable policy implications. Full article
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23 pages, 2593 KiB  
Article
Preliminary Comparison of Ammonia- and Natural Gas-Fueled Micro-Gas Turbine Systems in Heat-Driven CHP for a Small Residential Community
by Mateusz Proniewicz, Karolina Petela, Christine Mounaïm-Rousselle, Mirko R. Bothien, Andrea Gruber, Yong Fan, Minhyeok Lee and Andrzej Szlęk
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4103; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154103 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 267
Abstract
This research considers a preliminary comparative technical evaluation of two micro-gas turbine (MGT) systems in combined heat and power (CHP) mode (100 kWe), aimed at supplying heat to a residential community of 15 average-sized buildings located in Central Europe over a year. Two [...] Read more.
This research considers a preliminary comparative technical evaluation of two micro-gas turbine (MGT) systems in combined heat and power (CHP) mode (100 kWe), aimed at supplying heat to a residential community of 15 average-sized buildings located in Central Europe over a year. Two systems were modelled in Ebsilon 15 software: a natural gas case (benchmark) and an ammonia-fueled case, both based on the same on-design parameters. Off-design simulations evaluated performance over variable ambient temperatures and loads. Idealized, unrecuperated cycles were adopted to isolate the thermodynamic impact of the fuel switch under complete combustion assumption. Under these assumptions, the study shows that the ammonia system produces more electrical energy and less excess heat, yielding marginally higher electrical efficiency and EUF (26.05% and 77.63%) than the natural gas system (24.59% and 77.55%), highlighting ammonia’s utilization potential in such a context. Future research should target validating ammonia combustion and emission profiles across the turbine load range, and updating the thermodynamic model with a recuperator and SCR accounting for realistic pressure losses. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Clean and Efficient Use of Energy: 3rd Edition)
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18 pages, 1482 KiB  
Article
Optimizing Power Sharing and Demand Reduction in Distributed Energy Resources for Apartments Through Tenant Incentivization
by Janak Nambiar, Samson Yu, Jag Makam and Hieu Trinh
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4073; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154073 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 155
Abstract
The increasing demand for electricity in multi-tenanted residential areas has placed unforeseen strain on sub-transformers, particularly in dense urban environments. This strain compromises overall grid performance and challenges utilities with shifting and rising peak demand periods. This study presents a novel approach to [...] Read more.
The increasing demand for electricity in multi-tenanted residential areas has placed unforeseen strain on sub-transformers, particularly in dense urban environments. This strain compromises overall grid performance and challenges utilities with shifting and rising peak demand periods. This study presents a novel approach to enhance the operation of a virtual power plant (VPP) comprising a microgrid (MG) integrated with renewable energy sources (RESs) and energy storage systems (ESSs). By employing an advanced monitoring and control system, the proposed topology enables efficient energy management and demand-side control within apartment complexes. The system supports controlled electricity distribution, reducing the likelihood of unpredictable demand spikes and alleviating stress on local infrastructure during peak periods. Additionally, the model capitalizes on the large number of tenancies to distribute electricity effectively, leveraging locally available RESs and ESSs behind the sub-transformer. The proposed research provides a systematic framework for managing electricity demand and optimizing resource utilization, contributing to grid reliability and a transition toward a more sustainable, decentralized energy system. Full article
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22 pages, 2738 KiB  
Article
Mitigation of Solar PV Impact in Four-Wire LV Radial Distribution Feeders Through Reactive Power Management Using STATCOMs
by Obaidur Rahman, Duane Robinson and Sean Elphick
Electronics 2025, 14(15), 3063; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14153063 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 196
Abstract
Australia has the highest per capita penetration of rooftop solar PV systems in the world. Integration of these systems has led to reverse power flow and associated voltage rise problems in residential low-voltage (LV) distribution networks. Furthermore, random, uncontrolled connection of single-phase solar [...] Read more.
Australia has the highest per capita penetration of rooftop solar PV systems in the world. Integration of these systems has led to reverse power flow and associated voltage rise problems in residential low-voltage (LV) distribution networks. Furthermore, random, uncontrolled connection of single-phase solar systems can exacerbate voltage unbalance in these networks. This paper investigates the application of a Static Synchronous Compensator (STATCOM) for the improvement of voltage regulation in four-wire LV distribution feeders through reactive power management as a means of mitigating voltage regulation and unbalance challenges. To demonstrate the performance of the STATCOM with varying loads and PV output, a Q-V droop curve is applied to specify the level of reactive power injection/absorption required to maintain appropriate voltage regulation. A practical four-wire feeder from New South Wales, Australia, has been used as a case study network to analyse improvements in system performance through the use of the STATCOM. The outcomes indicate that the STATCOM has a high degree of efficacy in mitigating voltage regulation and unbalance excursions. In addition, compared to other solutions identified in the existing literature, the STATCOM-based solution requires no sophisticated communication infrastructure. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Power Electronics and Renewable Energy System)
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12 pages, 1285 KiB  
Article
Investigation of Humidity Regulation and Heart Rate Variability in Indoor Environments with Larix kaempferi Wood Interiors
by Su-Yeon Lee, Yoon-Seong Chang, Chang-Deuk Eom, Oh-Won Kwon and Chun-Young Park
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8392; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158392 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 190
Abstract
Wood, as a natural material that stores carbon, is gaining increasing attention and has potential for use in interior architectural applications. Given the long indoor stay time characteristic of modern society, it is important to scientifically understand the effects of indoor wood application [...] Read more.
Wood, as a natural material that stores carbon, is gaining increasing attention and has potential for use in interior architectural applications. Given the long indoor stay time characteristic of modern society, it is important to scientifically understand the effects of indoor wood application on the occupants. In this study, three residential buildings with an identical area and structure were constructed with different degrees of wood coverage (0%, 45%, 90%) using Larix kaempferi. Subsequently, indoor air quality (IAQ) evaluations and relative humidity measurements were conducted to assess the physical and chemical changes in each environment. The IAQ in wooden and non-wooden environments met the recommended IAQ standards established in South Korea. The results of the 8-month observation showed that, the higher the wood coverage ratio, the more the indoor humidity fluctuations were alleviated, and, in the case of the 90% wood coverage ratio condition, the humidity was maintained 5.2% lower in the summer and 10.9% higher in the winter compared to the 0% condition. To further assess the physiological responses induced by the wooden environment, the heart rate variability (HRV) was measured and compared for 26 participants exposed to each environment for two hours. In environments with a 0% and 90% degree of wood coverage, no statistically significant differences were found in the participants’ HRV indicators. But, in the group exposed to the 45% wooden environment, the results showed an increase in HRV indicators, natural logarithm of high frequency power (lnHF): 4.87 → 5.40 (p < 0.05), and standard deviation of normal-to-normal intervals (SDNN): 30.57 → 38.48 (p < 0.05), which are known indicators of parasympathetic nervous system activation. Full article
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26 pages, 4627 KiB  
Article
A Low-Voltage Back-to-Back Converter Interface for Prosumers in a Multifrequency Power Transfer Environment
by Zaid Ali, Hamed Athari and David Raisz
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8340; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158340 - 26 Jul 2025
Viewed by 234
Abstract
The research demonstrates, through simulation and laboratory validation, the development of a low-voltage DC-link (LVDC) back-to-back converter system that enables multi-frequency power transfer. The system operates in two distinct modes, which include a three-phase grid-connected converter transferring fundamental and 5th and 7th harmonic [...] Read more.
The research demonstrates, through simulation and laboratory validation, the development of a low-voltage DC-link (LVDC) back-to-back converter system that enables multi-frequency power transfer. The system operates in two distinct modes, which include a three-phase grid-connected converter transferring fundamental and 5th and 7th harmonic power to a three-phase residential inverter supplying a clean 50 Hz load and another mode that uses a DC–DC buck–boost converter to integrate a battery storage unit for single-phase load supply. The system allows independent control of each harmonic component and maintains a clean sinusoidal voltage at the load side through DC-link isolation. The LVDC link functions as a frequency-selective barrier to suppress non-standard harmonic signals on the load side, effectively isolating the multi-frequency power grid from standard-frequency household loads. The proposed solution fills the gap between the multi-frequency power systems and the single-frequency loads because it allows the transfer of total multi-frequency grid power to the traditional household loads with pure fundamental frequency. Experimental results and simulation outcomes demonstrate that the system achieves high efficiency, robust harmonic isolation, and dynamic adaptability when load conditions change. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Power Electronics: Control and Applications)
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34 pages, 1593 KiB  
Article
Enhancing Radial Distribution System Performance Through Optimal Allocation and Sizing of Photovoltaic and Wind Turbine Distribution Generation Units with Rüppell’s Fox Optimizer
by Yacine Bouali and Basem Alamri
Mathematics 2025, 13(15), 2399; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13152399 - 25 Jul 2025
Viewed by 233
Abstract
Renewable energy sources are being progressively incorporated into modern power grids to increase sustainability, stability, and resilience. To ensure that residential, commercial, and industrial customers have a dependable and efficient power supply, the transmission system must deliver electricity to end-users via the distribution [...] Read more.
Renewable energy sources are being progressively incorporated into modern power grids to increase sustainability, stability, and resilience. To ensure that residential, commercial, and industrial customers have a dependable and efficient power supply, the transmission system must deliver electricity to end-users via the distribution network. To improve the performance of the distribution system, this study employs distributed generator (DG) units and focuses on determining their optimal placement, sizing, and power factor. A novel metaheuristic algorithm, referred to as Rüppell’s fox optimizer (RFO), is proposed to address this optimization problem under various scenarios. In the first scenario, where the DG operates at unity power factor, it is modeled as a photovoltaic system. In the second and third scenarios, the DG is modeled as a wind turbine system with fixed and optimal power factors, respectively. The performance of the proposed RFO algorithm is benchmarked against five well-known metaheuristic techniques to validate its effectiveness and competitiveness. Simulations are conducted on the IEEE 33-bus and IEEE 69-bus radial distribution test systems to demonstrate the applicability and robustness of the proposed approach. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Mathematical Methods Applied in Power Systems, 2nd Edition)
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23 pages, 7106 KiB  
Article
A Simulation-Based Comparative Study of Advanced Control Strategies for Residential Air Conditioning Systems
by Jonadri Bundo, Donald Selmanaj, Genci Sharko, Stefan Svensson and Orion Zavalani
Eng 2025, 6(8), 170; https://doi.org/10.3390/eng6080170 - 24 Jul 2025
Viewed by 296
Abstract
This study presents a simulation-based evaluation of advanced control strategies for residential air conditioning systems, including On–Off, PI, and Model Predictive Control (MPC) approaches. A black-box system model was identified using an ARX(2,2,0) structure, achieving over 90% prediction accuracy (FIT) for indoor temperature [...] Read more.
This study presents a simulation-based evaluation of advanced control strategies for residential air conditioning systems, including On–Off, PI, and Model Predictive Control (MPC) approaches. A black-box system model was identified using an ARX(2,2,0) structure, achieving over 90% prediction accuracy (FIT) for indoor temperature and power consumption. Six controllers were implemented and benchmarked in a high-fidelity Simscape environment under a realistic 48-h summer temperature profile. The proposed MPC scheme, particularly when incorporating outdoor temperature gradient logic, reduced energy consumption by up to 30% compared to conventional PI control while maintaining indoor thermal comfort within the acceptable range. This virtual design workflow shortens the development cycle by deferring climatic chamber testing to the final validation phase. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Chemical, Civil and Environmental Engineering)
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26 pages, 3405 KiB  
Article
Digital Twins for Intelligent Vehicle-to-Grid Systems: A Multi-Physics EV Model for AI-Based Energy Management
by Michela Costa and Gianluca Del Papa
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8214; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158214 - 23 Jul 2025
Viewed by 300
Abstract
This paper presents a high-fidelity multi-physics dynamic model for electric vehicles, serving as a fundamental building block for intelligent vehicle-to-grid (V2G) integration systems. The model accurately captures complex vehicle dynamics of the powertrain, battery, and regenerative braking, enabling precise energy consumption evaluation, including [...] Read more.
This paper presents a high-fidelity multi-physics dynamic model for electric vehicles, serving as a fundamental building block for intelligent vehicle-to-grid (V2G) integration systems. The model accurately captures complex vehicle dynamics of the powertrain, battery, and regenerative braking, enabling precise energy consumption evaluation, including in AI-driven V2G scenarios. Validated using real-world data from a Citroën Ami operating on urban routes in Naples, Italy, it achieved exceptional accuracy with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.28% for dynamic state of charge prediction. This robust framework provides an essential foundation for AI-driven digital twin technologies in V2G applications, significantly advancing sustainable transportation and smart grid integration through predictive simulation. Its versatility supports diverse fleet applications, from residential energy management and coordinated charging optimization to commercial car sharing operations, leveraging backup power during peak demand or grid outages, so to maximize distributed battery storage utilization. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Applications of Artificial Intelligence in the Novel Power System)
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29 pages, 9145 KiB  
Article
Ultra-Short-Term Forecasting-Based Optimization for Proactive Home Energy Management
by Siqi Liu, Zhiyuan Xie, Zhengwei Hu, Kaisa Zhang, Weidong Gao and Xuewen Liu
Energies 2025, 18(15), 3936; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18153936 - 23 Jul 2025
Viewed by 217
Abstract
With the increasing integration of renewable energy and smart technologies in residential energy systems, proactive household energy management (HEM) have become critical for reducing costs, enhancing grid stability, and achieving sustainability goals. This study proposes a ultra-short-term forecasting-driven proactive energy consumption optimization strategy [...] Read more.
With the increasing integration of renewable energy and smart technologies in residential energy systems, proactive household energy management (HEM) have become critical for reducing costs, enhancing grid stability, and achieving sustainability goals. This study proposes a ultra-short-term forecasting-driven proactive energy consumption optimization strategy that integrates advanced forecasting models with multi-objective scheduling algorithms. By leveraging deep learning techniques like Graph Attention Network (GAT) architectures, the system predicts ultra-short-term household load profiles with high accuracy, addressing the volatility of residential energy use. Then, based on the predicted data, a comprehensive consideration of electricity costs, user comfort, carbon emission pricing, and grid load balance indicators is undertaken. This study proposes an enhanced mixed-integer optimization algorithm to collaboratively optimize multiple objective functions, thereby refining appliance scheduling, energy storage utilization, and grid interaction. Case studies demonstrate that integrating photovoltaic (PV) power generation forecasting and load forecasting models into a home energy management system, and adjusting the original power usage schedule based on predicted PV output and water heater demand, can effectively reduce electricity costs and carbon emissions without compromising user engagement in optimization. This approach helps promote energy-saving and low-carbon electricity consumption habits among users. Full article
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32 pages, 10028 KiB  
Article
Natural Gas Heating in Serbian and Czech Towns: The Role of Urban Topologies and Building Typologies
by Dejan Brkić, Zoran Stajić and Dragana Temeljkovski Novaković
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(7), 284; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9070284 - 21 Jul 2025
Viewed by 461
Abstract
This article presents an analysis on natural gas heating in residential areas, focusing on two primary systems: (1) local heating, where piped gas is delivered directly to individual dwellings equipped with autonomous gas boilers, and (2) district heating, where gas or an alternative [...] Read more.
This article presents an analysis on natural gas heating in residential areas, focusing on two primary systems: (1) local heating, where piped gas is delivered directly to individual dwellings equipped with autonomous gas boilers, and (2) district heating, where gas or an alternative fuel powers a central heating plant, and the generated heat is distributed to buildings via a thermal network. The choice between these systems should first consider safety and environmental factors, followed by the urban characteristics of the settlement. In particular, building typology—such as size, function, and spatial configuration—and urban topology, referring to the relative positioning of buildings, play a crucial role. For example, very tall buildings often exclude the use of piped gas due to safety concerns, whereas in other cases, economic efficiency becomes the determining factor. To support decision-making, a comparative cost analysis is conducted, assessing the required infrastructure for both systems, including pipelines, boilers, and associated components. The study identifies representative residential building types in selected urban areas of Serbia and Czechia that are suitable for either heating approach. Additionally, the article examines the broader energy context in both countries, with emphasis on recent developments in the natural gas sector and their implications for urban heating strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Urban Building Energy Analysis)
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20 pages, 6510 KiB  
Article
Research on the Operating Performance of a Combined Heat and Power System Integrated with Solar PV/T and Air-Source Heat Pump in Residential Buildings
by Haoran Ning, Fu Liang, Huaxin Wu, Zeguo Qiu, Zhipeng Fan and Bingxin Xu
Buildings 2025, 15(14), 2564; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15142564 - 20 Jul 2025
Viewed by 365
Abstract
Global building energy consumption is significantly increasing. Utilizing renewable energy sources may be an effective approach to achieving low-carbon and energy-efficient buildings. A combined system incorporating solar photovoltaic–thermal (PV/T) components with an air-source heat pump (ASHP) was studied for simultaneous heating and power [...] Read more.
Global building energy consumption is significantly increasing. Utilizing renewable energy sources may be an effective approach to achieving low-carbon and energy-efficient buildings. A combined system incorporating solar photovoltaic–thermal (PV/T) components with an air-source heat pump (ASHP) was studied for simultaneous heating and power generation in a real residential building. The back panel of the PV/T component featured a novel polygonal Freon circulation channel design. A prototype of the combined heating and power supply system was constructed and tested in Fuzhou City, China. The results indicate that the average coefficient of performance (COP) of the system is 4.66 when the ASHP operates independently. When the PV/T component is integrated with the ASHP, the average COP increases to 5.37. On sunny days, the daily average thermal output of 32 PV/T components reaches 24 kW, while the daily average electricity generation is 64 kW·h. On cloudy days, the average daily power generation is 15.6 kW·h; however, the residual power stored in the battery from the previous day could be utilized to ensure the energy demand in the system. Compared to conventional photovoltaic (PV) systems, the overall energy utilization efficiency improves from 5.68% to 17.76%. The hot water temperature stored in the tank can reach 46.8 °C, satisfying typical household hot water requirements. In comparison to standard PV modules, the system achieves an average cooling efficiency of 45.02%. The variation rate of the system’s thermal loss coefficient is relatively low at 5.07%. The optimal water tank capacity for the system is determined to be 450 L. This system demonstrates significant potential for providing efficient combined heat and power supply for buildings, offering considerable economic and environmental benefits, thereby serving as a reference for the future development of low-carbon and energy-saving building technologies. Full article
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18 pages, 3631 KiB  
Article
Analysis of Implementing Hydrogen Storage for Surplus Energy from PV Systems in Polish Households
by Piotr Olczak and Dominika Matuszewska
Energies 2025, 18(14), 3674; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18143674 - 11 Jul 2025
Viewed by 304
Abstract
One of the methods for mitigating the duck curve phenomenon in photovoltaic (PV) energy systems is storing surplus energy in the form of hydrogen. However, there is a lack of studies focused on residential PV systems that assess the impact of hydrogen storage [...] Read more.
One of the methods for mitigating the duck curve phenomenon in photovoltaic (PV) energy systems is storing surplus energy in the form of hydrogen. However, there is a lack of studies focused on residential PV systems that assess the impact of hydrogen storage on the reduction of energy flow imbalance to and from the national grid. This study presents an analysis of hydrogen energy storage based on real-world data from a household PV installation. Using simulation methods grounded in actual electricity consumption and hourly PV production data, the research identified the storage requirements, including the required operating hours and the capacity of the hydrogen tank. The analysis was based on a 1 kW electrolyzer and a fuel cell, representing the smallest and most basic commercially available units, and included a sensitivity analysis. At the household level—represented by a single-family home with an annual energy consumption and PV production of approximately 4–5 MWh over a two-year period—hydrogen storage enabled the production of 49.8 kg and 44.6 kg of hydrogen in the first and second years, respectively. This corresponded to the use of 3303 kWh of PV-generated electricity and an increase in self-consumption from 30% to 64%. Hydrogen storage helped to smooth out peak energy flows from the PV system, decreasing the imbalance from 5.73 kWh to 4.42 kWh. However, while it greatly improves self-consumption, its capacity to mitigate power flow imbalance further is constrained; substantial improvements would necessitate a much larger electrolyzer proportional in size to the PV system’s output. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Challenges and Opportunities in the Global Clean Energy Transition)
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18 pages, 1685 KiB  
Article
Forecasting Residential EV Charging Pile Capacity in Urban Power Systems: A Cointegration–BiLSTM Hybrid Approach
by Siqiong Dai, Liang Yuan, Jiayi Zhong, Xubin Liu and Zhangjie Liu
Sustainability 2025, 17(14), 6356; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146356 - 11 Jul 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 249
Abstract
The rapid proliferation of electric vehicles necessitates accurate forecasting of charging pile capacity for urban power system planning, yet existing methods for medium- to long-term prediction lack effective mechanisms to capture complex multi-factor relationships. To address this gap, a hybrid cointegration–BiLSTM framework is [...] Read more.
The rapid proliferation of electric vehicles necessitates accurate forecasting of charging pile capacity for urban power system planning, yet existing methods for medium- to long-term prediction lack effective mechanisms to capture complex multi-factor relationships. To address this gap, a hybrid cointegration–BiLSTM framework is proposed for medium- to long-term load forecasting. Cointegration theory is leveraged to identify long-term equilibrium relationships between EV charging capacity and socioeconomic factors, effectively mitigating spurious regression risks. The extracted cointegration features and error correction terms are integrated into a bidirectional LSTM network to capture complex temporal dependencies. Validation using data from 14 cities in Hunan Province demonstrated that cointegration analysis surpassed linear correlation methods in feature preprocessing effectiveness, while the proposed model achieved enhanced forecasting accuracy relative to conventional temporal convolutional networks, support vector machines, and gated recurrent units. Furthermore, a 49% reduction in MAE and RMSE was observed when ECT-enhanced features were adopted instead of unenhanced groups, confirming the critical role of comprehensive feature engineering. Compared with the GRU baseline, the BiLSTM model yielded a 26% decrease in MAE and a 24% decrease in RMSE. The robustness of the model was confirmed through five-fold cross-validation, with ECT-enhanced features yielding optimal results. This approach provides a scientifically grounded framework for EV charging infrastructure planning, with potential extensions to photovoltaic capacity forecasting. Full article
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