Search Results (253)

Accurate air temperature and precipitation data are fundamental for environmental and socioeconomic applications in Brazil. However, the observational network managed by the National Institute of Meteorology, suffers from spatial gaps, necessitating the use of gridded datasets. This study provides a rigorous comparative assessment of three prominent gridded products—the station-interpolated dataset of Brazilian Daily Weather Gridded Data (BR-DWGD), the satellite-gauge blended product MERGE, and the ERA5-Land Reanalysis dataset—against station data. We evaluate the performance of the institutionally supported MERGE and ERA5-Land products as viable alternatives to the interpolated dataset. Daily data for maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin), and total precipitation were selected from 1994 to 2024 and analyzed using statistical metrics. The interpolated product showed the highest fidelity to observations, especially for temperature. For precipitation, the MERGE product demonstrated the best performance, achieving higher correlation and lower error than both the interpolated dataset and the poorly performing ERA5-Land. For temperature, ERA5-Land proved to be an excellent alternative for minimum temperature, but exhibited significant regional biases for maximum temperature and a tendency to underestimate heat extremes. We conclude that MERGE is the most robust alternative for precipitation studies in Brazil. ERA5-Land is a highly reliable source for minimum temperature, but its direct use for maximum temperature requires caution. Full article

The COVID-19 pandemic led to an unprecedented slowdown in global economic and transportation activities, offering a unique opportunity to assess the relationship between human activity and atmospheric pollution. This study analyzes global variations in major air pollutants and meteorological conditions during the pandemic period using multi-satellite and reanalysis datasets. Nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) data were obtained from the OMI sensor aboard NASA’s Aura satellite, while carbon monoxide (CO) observations were taken from the MOPITT instrument on Terra. Reanalysis products from MERRA-2 were used to assess CO, sulfur dioxide (SO₂), black carbon (BC), organic carbon (OC), and key meteorological variables, including temperature, precipitation, evaporation, wind speed, and direction. Average concentrations of pollutants for April, May, and June 2020, representing the lockdown phase, were compared with the average values of the same months during 2017–2019, representing pre-pandemic conditions. The difference between these multi-year means was used to quantify spatial changes in pollutant levels. Results reveal widespread reductions in NO₂, CO, SO₂, and BC concentrations across major industrial and urban regions worldwide, consistent with decreased anthropogenic activity during lockdowns. Meteorological analysis indicates that the observed reductions were not primarily driven by short-term weather variability, confirming that the declines are largely attributable to reduced emissions. Unlike most previous studies, which examined local or regional air-quality changes, this work provides a consistent global-scale assessment using harmonized multi-sensor datasets and uniform temporal baselines. These findings highlight the strong influence of human activities on atmospheric composition and demonstrate how large-scale behavioral and economic shifts can rapidly alter air quality on a global scale. The results also provide valuable baseline information for understanding emission–climate interactions and for guiding post-pandemic strategies aimed at sustainable air-quality management. Full article

FY-4B/GIIRS (Geostationary Interferometric Infrared Sounder) is a new-generation infrared hyperspectral atmospheric vertical sounder onboard a Chinese geostationary meteorological satellite. Its observations with high spatial and temporal resolution play an important role in high-impact weather forecasts. The GIIRS data assimilation module is developed in the GSI (Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation) assimilation system. Super Typhoon Doksuri in 2023 (No. 5) is taken as an example based on this module in this paper. Firstly, the sensitivity of analysis fields to five data thinning schemes at four daily assimilation times from 22 to 28 July 2023 is analyzed: the wavelet transform modulus maxima (WTMM) scheme, the grid-distance schemes of 30 km, 60 km, and 120 km in the GSI assimilation system, and a center field of view (FOV) scheme. Taking the ERA5 reanalysis fields as true, it is found that the mean error of temperature and humidity analysis for the WTMM scheme is the smallest, followed by the 120 km thinning scheme. Subsequently, a 72 h cycling assimilation and forecast experiments are conducted for the WTMM and 120 km thinning schemes. It is found that the root mean square error (RMSE) profiles of temperature and humidity forecast fields with no thinning scheme are the largest at all pressure levels and forecast times. The temperature forecast error decreases after data thinning at altitudes below 300 hPa. Since the WTMM scheme has assimilated more observations than the 120 km scheme, the accuracy of its temperature and humidity forecast fields gradually increases with the forecast time. In terms of typhoon track and intensity forecast, the typhoon intensities are underestimated before landfall and overestimated after landfall for all thinning schemes. As the forecast time increases, the advantage of the WTMM is increasingly evident, with both the forecast intensity and track being closest to the actual observations. Similarly, the forecasted 24 h accumulated precipitation over land is overestimated after typhoon landfall compared with the IMERG Final precipitation products. The location of precipitation simulated by no thinning scheme is more westward overall. The forecast accuracy of the locations and intensities of severe precipitation cores and the typhoon’s outer spiral rain bands over the South China Sea has been improved after thinning. The Equitable Threat Scores (ETSs) of the WTMM thinning scheme are the highest for most precipitation intensity thresholds. Full article

Real-time precipitation monitoring through satellite remote sensing represents a critical technological frontier for operational hydrology in data-scarce mountainous regions. Following a comprehensive evaluation of reanalysis precipitation products in the downstream Yarlung Zangpo watershed, this investigation advances understanding by systematically assessing eight satellite-based precipitation retrieval algorithms against ground truth observations from 18 meteorological stations (2014–2022). Multi-temporal performance analysis employed statistical metrics including correlation analysis, root mean square error, mean absolute error, and bias assessment to characterize algorithm reliability across annual, monthly, and seasonal scales. Representative monthly spatial analysis (January, April, July) and comprehensive 12 month × 18 station heatmap visualization revealed pronounced seasonal performance variations and elevation-dependent error patterns. Satellite retrieval algorithms demonstrated systematic underestimation tendencies, with observational precipitation averaging 2358 mm/yr, substantially exceeding remote sensing estimates across six of eight products. IMERG_EarlyRun and IMERG_LateRun achieved optimal performance with annual correlation coefficients of 0.41/0.37 and minimal bias (relative bias: −3.0%/1.4%), substantially outperforming other products. Unexpectedly, IMERG_FinalRun exhibited severe deterioration (correlation: 0.37, relative bias: −73.8%) compared to Early/Late Run products despite comprehensive gauge adjustment, indicating critical limitations of statistical correction procedures in data-sparse mountainous environments. Temporal analysis revealed substantial year-to-year performance variability across all products, with algorithm accuracy strongly modulated by annual precipitation characteristics and underlying meteorological conditions. Station-level assessment demonstrated that 100% of stations showed underestimation for IMERG_FinalRun versus balanced patterns for IMERG_EarlyRun/LateRun (53% underestimation, 47% overestimation), confirming systematic gauge-adjustment failures. Supplementary terrain–precipitation analysis indicated GSMaP_MVK_G shows superior spatial pattern representation, while IMERG_LateRun excels in capturing temporal variations, suggesting multi-product integration strategies for comprehensive monitoring. Comparative assessment with previous reanalysis evaluation establishes that satellite products offer superior real-time availability but exhibit greater temporal variability compared to model-based approaches’ consistent performance. IMERG_EarlyRun and IMERG_LateRun are recommended for operational real-time applications, GSMaP_MVK_G for terrain-sensitive spatial analysis, and reanalysis products for seasonal assessment, while IMERG_FinalRun and FY2 require substantial improvement before deployment in high-altitude watershed management systems. Full article

Dry climate regions face heightened risks of flooding and infrastructure damage even with minimal rainfall. Climate change is intensifying this vulnerability by increasing the duration, frequency, and intensity of precipitation events in areas that have historically experienced arid conditions. As a result, accurate precipitation estimation in these regions is critical for effective planning, risk mitigation, and infrastructure resilience. This study evaluates the performance of five satellite- and model-based precipitation products by comparing them against in situ rain gauge observations in a dry-climate region: The fifth generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis (ERA5) (analyzing maximum and minimum precipitation rates separately), the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications version 2 (MERRA2), the Western Land Data Assimilation System (WLDAS), and the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG). The analysis focuses on both average daily rainfall and extreme precipitation events, with particular attention to precipitation magnitude and the accuracy of event detection, using a combination of statistical metrics—including bias ratio, mean error, and correlation coefficient—as well as contingency statistics such as probability of detection, false alarm rate, missed precipitation fraction, and false precipitation fraction. The study area is Palm Desert, a mountainous, arid, and urban region in Southern California, which exemplifies the challenges faced by dry regions under changing climate conditions. Among the products assessed, WLDAS ranked highest in measuring total precipitation and extreme rainfall amounts but performed the worst in detecting the occurrence of both average and extreme rainfall events. In contrast, IMERG and ERA5-MIN demonstrated the strongest ability to detect the timing of precipitation, though they were less accurate in estimating the magnitude of rainfall per event. Overall, this study provides valuable insights into the reliability and limitations of different precipitation estimation products in dry regions, where even small amounts of rainfall can have disproportionately large impacts on infrastructure and public safety. Full article

Precipitable water vapor (PWV) is an important component of atmospheric spatial parameters and plays a vital role in meteorological studies. In this study, PWV retrieval by real-time precise point positioning (PPP) technique is validated by using global navigation satellite system (GNSS) observations and four real-time products from different analysis centers, which are Centre National d’Etudes Spatiales (CNES), Internation GNSS Service (IGS), Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA), and Wuhan University (WHU). To comparatively analyze the performance of each scenario, the single-system (GPS/Galileo/BDS3), and multi-system (GPS + Galileo + BDS) PPP techniques are applied for zenith tropospheric delay (ZTD) and PWV retrieval. Then, the ZTD and PWV are evaluated by comparison with the IGS final ZTD product, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) data, and radiosondes observations provided by the University of Wyoming. Experimental results demonstrate that the root mean squares error (RMS) of ZTD differences from multi-system solutions are below 11 mm with respect to the four-product series and the RMS of PWV differences are below 3.5 mm. As for single-system solution, the IGS real-time products lead to the worst accuracy compared with the other products. Besides the scenario of BDS3 observations with IGS real-time products, the RMS of ZTD differences from the GPS-only and Galileo-only solutions are all less than 15 mm compared to the four-product series, as well as the RMS of PWV differences is under 5 mm, which meets the accuracy requirement for GNSS atmosphere sounding. Full article

High Mountain Asia (25–40° N, 70–100° E) plays a critical role in sustaining water resources for nearly two billion people; however, the accurate estimation of precipitation remains challenging. Numerous gridded products have been developed, yet their performance across the region remains uncertain and is often analyzed only over small areas or short periods. This study provides a comprehensive evaluation of five major gridded precipitation datasets (ERA5, HARv2, GPCC, APHRODITE, and PERSIANN-CDR) over 1983–2007 throughout the entire domain through spatial intercomparison, validation against ground stations, and assessment against observed river discharge. Results show that reanalysis products (ERA5, HARv2) better capture spatial precipitation patterns, particularly along the Himalayas and Kunlun range, with HARv2 more accurately representing elevation-dependent gradients. Gauge-based (GPCC, APHRODITE) and satellite-derived (PERSIANN-CDR) datasets exhibit smoother fields and weaker orographic responses. In catchment-scale evaluations, reanalysis shows a superior performance, with ERA5 achieving the lowest bias, highest Kling–Gupta Efficiency, and best water-balance consistency. GPCC and PERSIANN-CDR underestimate discharge, and APHRODITE performs worst overall. No single dataset is optimal for all applications. Gauge-based datasets and PERSIANN-CDR are suitable for localized climatology in well-instrumented areas, while reanalysis products offer the best compromise between spatial realism and hydrological consistency for large-scale modelling in high-altitude regions where observations are limited. Full article

The Tensift River Basin, part of the Mediterranean region, faces significant agricultural losses due to increasing drought frequency and severity, impacting up to 15% of the national GDP. The increasing climate crisis demands our immediate attention and proactive adaptation measures, including the enhancement of early-warning tools to support timely and informed responses. To this end, our study aims to achieve the following goals: (1) evaluate satellite and reanalysis products against in situ observations using statistical metrics; (2) identify the best probability distribution for calculating drought indices using goodness-of-fit testing; (3) compare the performances of the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Standardized Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) at different aggregation timescales by comparing index-based and reported (i.e., impact-based) drought events using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Our findings indicate that CHIRPS and ERA5-Land datasets perform well compared to in situ measurements for drought monitoring in the Tensift River Basin. Pearson Type 3 was identified as the optimal distribution for SPI calculation, while log-logistic was confirmed for SPEI. We also explored the effect of using the Thornthwaite method and the Hargreaves method when computing the SPEI. These results can serve as a basis for drought monitoring, modeling, and forecasting, to support decision-makers in the sustainable management of water resources. Full article

Satellite and reanalysis rainfall estimates (SREs) are valuable alternatives to gauge data in data-scarce regions; however, their reliability in areas with complex terrain and variable precipitation remains uncertain. This study evaluated six SREs (CHIRPS v2, ERA5, ERA5-Land, IMERG v07, MSWEP v2.8, and TRMM 3B42) against gauge observations over the period 2005 to 2019. The evaluation was conducted using multiple statistical, categorical, and distributional metrics at daily to seasonal timescales. Terrain-based classification and rainfall intensity categories were used to explore the influence of topography and event magnitude on product performance. The accuracy of SREs improves with temporal aggregation, the monthly scale offering the highest reliability for water resource management. However, their tendency to overestimate light and underestimate heavy daily rainfall requires careful bias adjustment in flood and extreme event analysis. MSWEP, CHIRPS, and IMERG provided balanced and consistent performance across all metrics, rainfall intensities, and terrain zones. Notably, ERA5 and ERA5-Land consistently overestimated average rainfall. All SREs identified dry days well, and their performance declined with increasing intensity. No significant performance variation was observed across different altitudes. This study provides valuable insights into the selection of rainfall products, supporting climate and hydrological studies in data-scarce areas of the Ethiopian highlands. Full article

Climate change and water scarcity are major threats to the sustainability of wheat production in Mediterranean regions. Thus, timely and reliable water demand assessments are crucial to drive decisions on crop management strategies that are useful for agricultural adaptation to climate change challenges. Although the AquaCrop model is widely used to infer crop yields, it requires continuous field-based observations (mainly soil water content and crop coverage). Often, these areas suffer from a scarcity of in situ data, suggesting the need for remote sensing and model-based decision support. In this framework, this research intends to compare the performance of the AquaCrop model using four different input combinations, with one employing ERA5-Land and crop cover retrieved by satellite images exclusively. A field experiment was conducted on durum wheat (highly sensitive to water stress and playing a strategic role in national food security) in northwest Tunisia during the growing season of 2024–2025, where meteorological variables, green Canopy Cover (gCC), Soil Water Content (SWC), and final yields (biological and grain) were monitored. The AquaCrop model was applied. Four model input combinations were evaluated. In situ meteorological data or ERA5-Land (E5L) reanalysis were combined with either measured-gCC (measured-gCC) or Sentinel-2 NDVI-derived gCC (NDVI-gCC). The results showed that E5L reproduced temperature with RMSE < 2.4 °C (NSE > 0.72) and ETo with RMSE equal to 0.57 mm d⁻¹ (NSE = 0.79), while precipitation presented larger discrepancies (RMSE = 4.14 mm d⁻¹, NSE = 0.58). Sentinel-2 effectively captured gCC dynamics (RMSE = 15.65%, NSE = 0.73) and improved AquaCrop perfomance (RMSE = 5.29%, NSE = 0.93). Across all combinations, AquaCrop reproduced yields within acceptable deviations. The simulated biological yield ranged from 9.7 to 11.0 t ha⁻¹ compared to the observed 10.3 t ha⁻¹, while grain yield ranged from 3.0 to 3.5 t ha⁻¹ against the observed 3.3 t ha⁻¹. As expected, the best agreement with measured yield data was obtained using in situ meteorological data and measured-gCC, even if the use of in situ meteorological data coupled with NDVI-gCC, or E5L-based meteorological data coupled with NDVI-gCC, produced realistic estimates. These results highlight that the application of AquaCrop employing E5L and Sentinel-2 inputs is a feasible alternative for crop monitoring in data-scarce environments. Full article

This study examined the influence of climate variability on vegetation dynamics in Mongolia from 2000 to 2024, using ERA5-Land reanalysis data together with the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Gross Primary Productivity (GPP) indicators. The results show a statistically significant mean annual air temperature increase of 0.94 °C, with the most pronounced warming occurring in March (>1.5 °C/10 years). Annual precipitation increased by 32 mm (~13%), mainly in the northern and eastern regions. At the same time, the maximum NDVI increased at a rate of 0.025 units/10 years, particularly in the north and east, while no change or slight decline was observed in the central steppes during May–June. During the study period, the average annual GPP increased by 38%, from 0.25 to 0.35 kgCm⁻², with the highest gains observed in northern forests and eastern steppes. Correlation analysis revealed that NDVI is most sensitive to temperature in early spring (r = 0.31) and to precipitation in summer (r = 0.45–0.50). GPP primarily is driven by temperature in spring (r = 0.68) and by precipitation during summer (r = 0.30). The results of this study indicate that vegetation productivity in Mongolia is sensitive to seasonal climate variability, with temperature being the primary factor influencing spring growth and precipitation controlling summer growth. Full article

Estimating global radiation (GR) is crucial for assessing solar energy potential, understanding surface energy balance, and forecasting agricultural production. However, several regions require additional monitoring and sparse sensor networks. The ERA5-ECMWF reanalysis is a viable alternative for estimating meteorological elements in unmonitored areas. This study aimed to train an artificial neural network (ANN) model to estimate GR based on ERA5 data and map its distribution in the study area. We utilized GR data from 32 automatic weather stations of the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology in Mato Grosso, Brazil, for model training. The model input consisted of ERA5 air temperature, precipitation data, and top-of-atmosphere solar radiation (R₀) calculated from the latitude and day of the year. The calibrated model demonstrated high accuracy, with Nash–Sutcliffe and Kling–Gupta efficiency indices exceeding 0.99. This enabled the generation of historical time series and maps of GR spatial distribution in the study area. The results demonstrate that—as input for the ANN—ERA5 data enables precise and accurate estimation of GR distribution, even in locations without meteorological stations. Full article

Monitoring groundwater dynamics and basin-scale water budget closure is critical for sustainable water resource management, especially in regions facing climate stress and overexploitation. This study examines the temporal variability of total water storage and groundwater trends in Türkiye’s Kızılırmak River Basin by integrating GRACE/GRACE-FO satellite gravimetry, GLDAS-Noah land surface model outputs, ERA5-Land reanalysis products, and local meteorological observations. Groundwater storage anomalies (GWSAs) were derived from the difference between GRACE-based total water storage anomalies (TWSAs) and GLDAS-modeled surface storage components, revealing a long-term groundwater depletion trend of −9.55 ± 2.6 cm between 2002 and 2024. To investigate the hydrological drivers of these changes, lagged correlation analyses were performed between GRACE TWSA and ERA5-Land variables (precipitation, evapotranspiration, runoff, soil moisture, and temperature), showing time-shifted responses from −3 to +3 months. The strongest correlations were found with soil moisture (CC = 0.82 at lag −1), temperature (CC = −0.70 at lag −3), and runoff (CC = 0.71 at lag 0). A moderate correlation between GRACE TWSA and ERA5-based water storage closure (CC = 0.54) indicates partial alignment. These findings underscore the value of satellite gravimetry in tracking subsurface water changes and support its role in basin-scale hydrological assessments. Full article

Reliable precipitation estimates are critical for climate analysis and ecosystem management in regions with complex topography and limited ground-based observations. Bolivia, where the Andes, inter-Andean valleys, and Amazonian lowlands converge, presents sharp climatic heterogeneity that challenges both satellite retrievals and reanalysis products. This study evaluated three widely used datasets, MSWEP V2.2, CHIRPS V2, and ERA5-Land, against monthly station records from 1980 to 2022 to identify the most reliable precipitation estimations for hydrological and climate applications in five distinct regions. We applied a robust validation framework that integrates continuous and categorical performance metrics into a Combined Accuracy Index (CAI), providing a balanced measure of magnitude and event detection skill. Additionally, we implemented a conservative trend analysis with explicit correction for serial autocorrelation to ensure reliable identification of long-term changes. The results showed that MSWEP V2.2 consistently outperforms CHIRPS V2 and ERA5-Land across most regions, achieving the highest combined skill. In the Altiplano, MSWEP reached a CAI of 0.91, compared to CHIRPS (0.80) AND ERA5-Land (0.68). In the Valles region, MSWEP also led with 0.85, outperforming CHIRPS (0.79) and ERA5-Land (0.51). By contrast, CHIRPS V2 performed better in the Llanos (0.85) relative to MSWEP (0.82) and ERA5-Land (0.79). In the Chaco, MSWEP and CHIRPS performed similarly (0.80 and 0.81, respectively), while ERA5-Land scored 0.70. In the Amazonian lowlands, all three products performed well, with MSWEP ranking first (0.93), followed by ERA5-Land (0.88) and CHIRPS (0.86). ERA5-Land systematically overestimated precipitation across Bolivia, with annual biases above 36 mm month⁻¹. Trend analysis revealed significant precipitation declines, particularly in the Llanos (MSWEP: −0.88 mm year⁻¹; CHIRPS: −1.19 mm year⁻¹; ERA5-Land: −0.90 mm year⁻¹), while changes in the Altiplano, Valles and Amazonia were weaker or nonsignificant. These findings highlight MSWEP V2.2 as the most reliable dataset for Bolivia. The methodological framework proposed here offers a transferable approach to validate gridded products in other data-scarce and environmentally diverse regions. Full article

Reliable precipitation inputs are essential for hydrological modeling, yet global precipitation products often exhibit substantial discrepancies that introduce significant uncertainties into streamflow simulations and projections. In this study, we assessed the relative contribution of precipitation dataset uncertainty to discharge simulations and projections, in comparison with uncertainties from model structure, model parameters, and climate projections, in the Liujiang catchment, southwest China. Three widely used satellite-based products (CHIRPS, PERSIANN, and IMERG) and one reanalysis dataset (ERA5) were combined with three hydrological models of varying structural complexity to simulate streamflow. Using an ANOVA-based variance decomposition framework, we quantified the contributions of different uncertainty sources under both historical and future climate conditions. Results showed that precipitation input uncertainty dominates discharge simulations during the calibration period, contributing over 60% of total variance particularly at high flows, while interactions among precipitation, model structure, and parameters govern low-flow simulations. Under future climate scenarios, climate projection uncertainty overwhelmingly dominates discharge predictions with 50–80% of uncertainty contribution, yet precipitation products still contribute significantly across time scales. The compensation of precipitation biases by hydrological models can cause parameter values to deviate from their true physical meaning. This deviation may further amplify the differences in discharge projections driven by different precipitation products under future climate conditions and increase the overall uncertainty of streamflow projections. Overall, this study introduced an integrated approach to simultaneously assess precipitation uncertainty across flow regimes and future climate scenarios. These results emphasized the necessity of using ensemble approaches that incorporate multiple precipitation products in hydrological forecasting and impact studies, particularly in data-scarce regions reliant on global datasets. Full article