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20 pages, 4377 KiB  
Article
The Impact of Energy Communities Virtual Islanding on the Integration of Renewables in Distribution Power Systems
by Andrea Bonfiglio, Sergio Bruno, Alice La Fata, Maria Martino, Renato Procopio and Angelo Velini
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4084; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154084 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 113
Abstract
In power distribution networks, the growing integration of renewable energy sources (RESs) presents a challenge for the electricity system and its operators, who need to make the energy sector more flexible and resilient. In this context, this paper proposes a novel flexibilization service [...] Read more.
In power distribution networks, the growing integration of renewable energy sources (RESs) presents a challenge for the electricity system and its operators, who need to make the energy sector more flexible and resilient. In this context, this paper proposes a novel flexibilization service for the distribution system leveraging the role of renewable energy communities (RECs), an emerging entity with the potential to facilitate the sustainable energy transition through Virtual Islanding operation. The concept of Virtual Islanding is investigated in the paper and a methodology for its validation is developed. Its effectiveness is then assessed using an IEEE-standard 33-node network with significant penetration of RESs, considering the presence of multiple RECs to prove its benefits on electrical distribution networks. The results showcase the advantages of the VI paradigm both from technical and sustainability viewpoint. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section F1: Electrical Power System)
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24 pages, 2710 KiB  
Article
Spatial and Economic-Based Clustering of Greek Irrigation Water Organizations: A Data-Driven Framework for Sustainable Water Pricing and Policy Reform
by Dimitrios Tsagkoudis, Eleni Zafeiriou and Konstantinos Spinthiropoulos
Water 2025, 17(15), 2242; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152242 - 28 Jul 2025
Viewed by 324
Abstract
This study employs k-means clustering to analyze local organizations responsible for land improvement in Greece, identifying four distinct groups with consistent geographic patterns but divergent financial and operational characteristics. By integrating unsupervised machine learning with spatial analysis, the research offers a novel perspective [...] Read more.
This study employs k-means clustering to analyze local organizations responsible for land improvement in Greece, identifying four distinct groups with consistent geographic patterns but divergent financial and operational characteristics. By integrating unsupervised machine learning with spatial analysis, the research offers a novel perspective on irrigation water pricing and cost recovery. The findings reveal that organizations located on islands, despite high water costs due to limited rainfall and geographic isolation, tend to achieve relatively strong financial performance, indicating the presence of adaptive mechanisms that could inform broader policy strategies. In contrast, organizations managing extensive irrigable land or large volumes of water frequently show poor cost recovery, challenging assumptions about economies of scale and revealing inefficiencies in pricing or governance structures. The spatial coherence of the clusters underscores the importance of geography in shaping institutional outcomes, reaffirming that environmental and locational factors can offer greater explanatory power than algorithmic models alone. This highlights the need for water management policies that move beyond uniform national strategies and instead reflect regional climatic, infrastructural, and economic variability. The study suggests several policy directions, including targeted infrastructure investment, locally calibrated water pricing models, and performance benchmarking based on successful organizational practices. Although grounded in the Greek context, the methodology and insights are transferable to other European and Mediterranean regions facing similar water governance challenges. Recognizing the limitations of the current analysis—including gaps in data consistency and the exclusion of socio-environmental indicators—the study advocates for future research incorporating broader variables and international comparative approaches. Ultimately, it supports a hybrid policy framework that combines data-driven analysis with spatial intelligence to promote sustainability, equity, and financial viability in agricultural water management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Balancing Competing Demands for Sustainable Water Development)
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18 pages, 889 KiB  
Article
Dynamic Leader Election and Model-Free Reinforcement Learning for Coordinated Voltage and Reactive Power Containment Control in Offshore Island AC Microgrids
by Xiaolu Ye, Zhanshan Wang, Qiufu Wang and Shuran Wang
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(8), 1432; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081432 - 27 Jul 2025
Viewed by 161
Abstract
Island microgrids are essential for the exploitation and utilization of offshore renewable energy resources. However, voltage regulation and accurate reactive power sharing remain significant technical challenges that need to be addressed. To tackle these issues, this paper proposes an algorithm that integrates a [...] Read more.
Island microgrids are essential for the exploitation and utilization of offshore renewable energy resources. However, voltage regulation and accurate reactive power sharing remain significant technical challenges that need to be addressed. To tackle these issues, this paper proposes an algorithm that integrates a dynamic leader election (DLE) mechanism and model-free reinforcement learning (RL). The algorithm aims to address the issue of fixed leaders restricting reactive power flow between buses during heavy load variations in island microgrids, while also overcoming the challenge of obtaining model parameters such as resistance and inductance in practical microgrids. First, we establish a voltage containment control and reactive power error model for island alternating current (AC) microgrids and construct a corresponding value function based on this error model. Second, a dynamic leader election algorithm is designed to address the issue of fixed leaders restricting reactive power flow between buses due to preset voltage limits under unknown or heavy load conditions. The algorithm adaptively selects leaders based on bus load, allowing the voltage limits to adjust accordingly and regulating reactive power flow. Then, to address the difficulty of accurately acquiring parameters such as resistance and inductance in microgrid lines, a model-free reinforcement learning method is introduced. This method relies on real-time measurements of voltage and reactive power data, without requiring specific model parameters. Ultimately, simulation experiments on offshore island microgrids are conducted to validate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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25 pages, 4048 KiB  
Article
Grid Stability and Wind Energy Integration Analysis on the Transmission Grid Expansion Planned in La Palma (Canary Islands)
by Raúl Peña, Antonio Colmenar-Santos and Enrique Rosales-Asensio
Processes 2025, 13(8), 2374; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13082374 - 26 Jul 2025
Viewed by 443
Abstract
Island electrical networks often face stability and resilience issues due to their weakly meshed structure, which lowers system inertia and compromises supply continuity. This challenge is further intensified by the increasing integration of renewable energy sources, promoted by decarbonization goals, whose intermittent and [...] Read more.
Island electrical networks often face stability and resilience issues due to their weakly meshed structure, which lowers system inertia and compromises supply continuity. This challenge is further intensified by the increasing integration of renewable energy sources, promoted by decarbonization goals, whose intermittent and variable nature complicates grid stability management. To address this, Red Eléctrica de España—the transmission system operator of Spain—has planned several improvements in the Canary Islands, including the installation of new wind farms and a second transmission circuit on the island of La Palma. This new infrastructure will complement the existing one and ensure system stability in the event of N-1 contingencies. This article evaluates the stability of the island’s electrical network through dynamic simulations conducted in PSS®E, analyzing four distinct fault scenarios across three different grid configurations (current, short-term upgrade and long-term upgrade with wind integration). Generator models are based on standard dynamic parameters (WECC) and calibrated load factors using real data from the day of peak demand in 2021. Results confirm that the planned developments ensure stable system operation under severe contingencies, while the integration of wind power leads to a 33% reduction in diesel generation, contributing to improved environmental and operational performance. Full article
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21 pages, 3463 KiB  
Article
Research on Adaptive Bidirectional Droop Control Strategy for Hybrid AC-DC Microgrid in Islanding Mode
by Can Ding, Ruihua Zhao, Hongrong Zhang and Wenhui Chen
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8248; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158248 - 24 Jul 2025
Viewed by 162
Abstract
The interlinking converter, an important device in a hybrid AC-DC microgrid, undertakes the task of power distribution between the AC sub-microgrid and DC sub-microgrid. To address the limitations of traditional bidirectional droop control in islanding mode, particularly the lack of consideration for regulation [...] Read more.
The interlinking converter, an important device in a hybrid AC-DC microgrid, undertakes the task of power distribution between the AC sub-microgrid and DC sub-microgrid. To address the limitations of traditional bidirectional droop control in islanding mode, particularly the lack of consideration for regulation priority between AC frequency and DC voltage, this paper proposes an adaptive bidirectional droop control strategy. By introducing an adaptive weight coefficient based on normalized AC frequency and DC voltage, the strategy prioritizes regulating larger deviations in AC frequency or DC voltage. Interlinking converter action thresholds are set to avoid unnecessary frequent starts and stops. Finally, a hybrid AC-DC microgrid system in islanding mode is established in the Matlab/Simulink R2020a simulation platform to verify the effectiveness of the proposed control strategy. Full article
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31 pages, 4584 KiB  
Article
A Discrete-Event Based Power Management System Framework for AC Microgrids
by Paolo C. Erazo Huera, Thamiris B. de Paula, João M. T. do Amaral, Thiago M. Tuxi, Gustavo S. Viana, Emanuel L. van Emmerik and Robson F. S. Dias
Energies 2025, 18(15), 3964; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18153964 - 24 Jul 2025
Viewed by 290
Abstract
This paper presents a practical framework for the design and real-time implementation of a Power Management System (PMS) for microgrids based on Supervisory Control Theory (SCT) for discrete-event systems. A detailed step-by-step methodology is provided, which covers the entire process from defining discrete [...] Read more.
This paper presents a practical framework for the design and real-time implementation of a Power Management System (PMS) for microgrids based on Supervisory Control Theory (SCT) for discrete-event systems. A detailed step-by-step methodology is provided, which covers the entire process from defining discrete events, modeling microgrid components, synthesizing supervisory controllers, and realizing them in MATLAB (R2024b) Stateflow. This methodology is applied to a case study, where a decentralized supervisor controller is designed for a microgrid containing a Battery Energy Storage System (BESS), a generator set (Genset), a wind and a solar generation system, critical loads, and noncritical loads. Unlike previous works based on SCT, the proposed PMS addresses the following functionalities: (i) grid-connected and islanded operation; (ii) peak shaving; (iii) voltage support; (iv) load shedding. Finally, a CHIL testing is employed to validate the synthesized SCT-based PMS. Full article
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21 pages, 13986 KiB  
Article
Seismic Response Analysis of Nuclear Island Structures Considering Complex Soil–Pile–Structure Dynamic Interaction
by Xunqiang Yin, Junkai Zhang, Min Zhao and Weilong Yang
Buildings 2025, 15(15), 2620; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15152620 - 24 Jul 2025
Viewed by 320
Abstract
Seismic responses of Nuclear Island (NI) structures have great significance in the foundation adaptability analysis and the seismic design of equipment. However, with the increasing complexity of nuclear power site conditions, establishing a reasonable and effective soil–pile–structure dynamic interaction model has become the [...] Read more.
Seismic responses of Nuclear Island (NI) structures have great significance in the foundation adaptability analysis and the seismic design of equipment. However, with the increasing complexity of nuclear power site conditions, establishing a reasonable and effective soil–pile–structure dynamic interaction model has become the key technical problem that needs to be solved. In this study, a pseudo three-dimensional soil–pile–structure dynamic interaction model considering soil nonlinearity and heterogeneity is developed for seismic response analysis of NI structures. Specifically, the nonlinearity of the near-field soil is described via the equivalent linear method, the radiation damping effect of half space is simulated through viscous boundary, and the displacement/stress conditions at lateral boundaries of the heterogeneous site are derived from free-field response analysis. Meanwhile, an equivalent stiffness–mass principle is established to simplify NI superstructures, while pile group effects are incorporated via a node-coupling scheme within the finite-element framework. Two validation examples are presented to demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed model. Finally, seismic response analysis of two typical NI structure of reactor types (CPR1000 and AP1000) based on the actual complex site conditions in China is also presented to study the effect of radiation damping, soil conditions, and pile foundation. Key findings demonstrate the necessity of integrating SSI effects and nonlinear characteristics of non-rock foundations. While the rock-socketed pile exhibits superior performance compared to the CFG pile alternative; this advantage is offset by higher costs and construction complexity. The research findings can serve as a valuable reference for the foundation adaptability analysis and optimizing the design of equipment under the similar complex condition of the soil site. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Dynamic Response of Civil Engineering Structures under Seismic Loads)
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27 pages, 18522 KiB  
Article
Summer Cooling Effect of Rivers in the Yangtze Basin, China: Magnitude, Threshold and Mechanisms
by Pan Xiong, Dongjie Guan, Yanli Su and Shuying Zeng
Land 2025, 14(8), 1511; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081511 - 22 Jul 2025
Viewed by 249
Abstract
Under the dual pressures of global climate warming and rapid urbanization, the Yangtze River Basin, as the world’s largest urban agglomeration, is facing intensifying thermal environmental stress. Although river ecosystems demonstrate significant thermal regulation functions, their spatial thresholds of cooling effects and multiscale [...] Read more.
Under the dual pressures of global climate warming and rapid urbanization, the Yangtze River Basin, as the world’s largest urban agglomeration, is facing intensifying thermal environmental stress. Although river ecosystems demonstrate significant thermal regulation functions, their spatial thresholds of cooling effects and multiscale driving mechanisms have remained to be systematically elucidated. This study retrieved land surface temperature (LST) using the split window algorithm and quantitatively analyzed the changes in the river cold island effect and its driving mechanisms in the Yangtze River Basin by combining multi-ring buffer analysis and the optimal parameter-based geographical detector model. The results showed that (1) forest land is the main land use type in the Yangtze River Basin, with built-up land having the largest area increase. Affected by natural, socioeconomic, and meteorological factors, the summer temperatures displayed a spatial pattern of “higher in the east than the west, warmer in the south than the north”. (2) There are significant differences in the cooling magnitude among different land types. Forest land has the maximum daytime cooling distance (589 m), while construction land has the strongest cooling magnitude (1.72 °C). The cooling effect magnitude is most pronounced in upstream areas of the basin, reaching 0.96 °C. At the urban agglomeration scale, the Chengdu–Chongqing urban agglomeration shows the greatest temperature reduction of 0.90 °C. (3) Elevation consistently demonstrates the highest explanatory power for LST spatial variability. Interaction analysis shows that the interaction between socioeconomic factors and elevation is generally the strongest. This study provides important spatial decision support for formulating basin-scale ecological thermal regulation strategies based on refined spatial layout optimization, hierarchical management and control, and a “natural–societal” dual-dimensional synergistic regulation system. Full article
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21 pages, 10456 KiB  
Article
Experimental Validation of a Modular Skid for Hydrogen Production in a Hybrid Microgrid
by Gustavo Teodoro Bustamante, Jamil Haddad, Bruno Pinto Braga Guimaraes, Ronny Francis Ribeiro Junior, Frederico de Oliveira Assuncao, Erik Leandro Bonaldi, Luiz Eduardo Borges-da-Silva, Fabio Monteiro Steiner, Jaime Jose de Oliveira Junior and Claudio Inacio de Almeida Costa
Energies 2025, 18(15), 3910; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18153910 - 22 Jul 2025
Viewed by 272
Abstract
This article presents the development, integration, and experimental validation of a modular microgrid for sustainable hydrogen production, addressing global electricity demand and environmental challenges. The system was designed for initial validation in a thermoelectric power plant environment, with scalability to other applications. Centered [...] Read more.
This article presents the development, integration, and experimental validation of a modular microgrid for sustainable hydrogen production, addressing global electricity demand and environmental challenges. The system was designed for initial validation in a thermoelectric power plant environment, with scalability to other applications. Centered on a six-compartment skid, it integrates photovoltaic generation, battery storage, and a liquefied petroleum gas generator to emulate typical cogeneration conditions, together with a high-purity proton exchange membrane electrolyzer. A supervisory control module ensures real-time monitoring and energy flow management, following international safety standards. The study also explores the incorporation of blockchain technology to certify the renewable origin of hydrogen, enhancing traceability and transparency in the green hydrogen market. The experimental results confirm the system’s technical feasibility, demonstrating stable hydrogen production, efficient energy management, and islanded-mode operation with preserved grid stability. These findings highlight the strategic role of hydrogen as an energy vector in the transition to a cleaner energy matrix and support the proposed architecture as a replicable model for industrial facilities seeking to combine hydrogen production with advanced microgrid technologies. Future work will address large-scale validation and performance optimization, including advanced energy management algorithms to ensure economic viability and sustainability in diverse industrial contexts. Full article
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17 pages, 3088 KiB  
Article
Optimal Distribution Planning of Solar Plants and Storage in a Power Grid with High Penetration of Renewables
by Pere Colet, Benjamín A. Carreras, José Miguel Reynolds-Barredo and Damià Gomila
Energies 2025, 18(15), 3891; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18153891 - 22 Jul 2025
Viewed by 179
Abstract
Integrating variable renewable energy sources such as solar power into existing power grids presents major planning and reliability challenges. This study introduces an approach to optimize the placement of solar plants and allocation of storage in grids with high share of these variable [...] Read more.
Integrating variable renewable energy sources such as solar power into existing power grids presents major planning and reliability challenges. This study introduces an approach to optimize the placement of solar plants and allocation of storage in grids with high share of these variable energy sources by using a simulation framework that captures system-wide emergent behaviors. Unlike traditional engineering models focused on detailed component-level dynamics, a modified ORNL-PSERC-Alaska model based on self-organized criticality is used to reproduce the statistical features of blackouts, including cascading failures and long-range correlations. A distinctive feature of this approach is the explicit inclusion of key ingredients that shape these statistics, such as the transmission grid structure, generation and consumer buses, power flow balance, periodic dispatches, system failures, secular demand growth, demand fluctuations, and variability of renewable energy sources. When applied to the Balearic Islands grid, this method identifies generation and storage layouts that minimize storage requirements while maintaining reliability levels comparable to conventional power systems. The results offer a complementary systems-level perspective for planning resilient and efficient renewable energy integration. Full article
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22 pages, 10488 KiB  
Article
Morphological and Functional Evolution of Amorphous AlN Thin Films Deposited by RF-Magnetron Sputtering
by Maria-Iulia Zai, Ioana Lalau, Marina Manica, Lucia Chiriacescu, Vlad-Andrei Antohe, Cristina C. Gheorghiu, Sorina Iftimie, Ovidiu Toma, Mirela Petruta Suchea and Ștefan Antohe
Surfaces 2025, 8(3), 51; https://doi.org/10.3390/surfaces8030051 - 17 Jul 2025
Viewed by 320
Abstract
Aluminum nitride (AlN) thin films were deposited on SiO2 substrates by RF-magnetron sputtering at varying powers (110–140 W) and subsequently subjected to thermal annealing at 450 °C under nitrogen atmosphere. A comprehensive multi-technique investigation—including X-ray reflectometry (XRR), X-ray diffraction (XRD), scanning electron [...] Read more.
Aluminum nitride (AlN) thin films were deposited on SiO2 substrates by RF-magnetron sputtering at varying powers (110–140 W) and subsequently subjected to thermal annealing at 450 °C under nitrogen atmosphere. A comprehensive multi-technique investigation—including X-ray reflectometry (XRR), X-ray diffraction (XRD), scanning electron microscopy (SEM), atomic force microscopy (AFM), optical profilometry, spectroscopic ellipsometry (SE), and electrical measurements—was performed to explore the physical structure, morphology, and optical and electrical properties of the films. The analysis of the film structure by XRR revealed that increasing sputtering power resulted in thicker, denser AlN layers, while thermal treatment promoted densification by reducing density gradients but also induced surface roughening and the formation of island-like morphologies. Optical studies confirmed excellent transparency (>80% transmittance in the near-infrared region) and demonstrated the tunability of the refractive index with sputtering power, critical for optoelectronic applications. The electrical characterization of Au/AlN/Al sandwich structures revealed a transition from Ohmic to trap-controlled space charge limited current (SCLC) behavior under forward bias—a transport mechanism frequently present in a material with very low mobility, such as AlN—while Schottky conduction dominated under reverse bias. The systematic correlation between deposition parameters, thermal treatment, and the resulting physical properties offers valuable pathways to engineer AlN thin films for next-generation optoelectronic and high-frequency device applications. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Surface Engineering of Thin Films)
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22 pages, 3162 KiB  
Article
Assessing Mangrove Forest Recovery in the British Virgin Islands After Hurricanes Irma and Maria with Sentinel-2 Imagery and Google Earth Engine
by Michael R. Routhier, Gregg E. Moore, Barrett N. Rock, Stanley Glidden, Matthew Duckett and Susan Zaluski
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(14), 2485; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17142485 - 17 Jul 2025
Viewed by 856
Abstract
Mangroves form the dominant coastal plant community of low-energy tropical intertidal habitats and provide critical ecosystem services to humans and the environment. However, more frequent and increasingly powerful hurricanes and storm surges are creating additional pressure on the natural resilience of these threatened [...] Read more.
Mangroves form the dominant coastal plant community of low-energy tropical intertidal habitats and provide critical ecosystem services to humans and the environment. However, more frequent and increasingly powerful hurricanes and storm surges are creating additional pressure on the natural resilience of these threatened coastal ecosystems. Advances in remote sensing techniques and approaches are critical to providing robust quantitative monitoring of post-storm mangrove forest recovery to better prioritize the often-limited resources available for the restoration of these storm-damaged habitats. Here, we build on previously utilized spatial and temporal ranges of European Space Agency (ESA) Sentinel satellite imagery to monitor and map the recovery of the mangrove forests of the British Virgin Islands (BVI) since the occurrence of back-to-back category 5 hurricanes, Irma and Maria, on September 6 and 19 of 2017, respectively. Pre- to post-storm changes in coastal mangrove forest health were assessed annually using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and moisture stress index (MSI) from 2016 to 2023 using Google Earth Engine. Results reveal a steady trajectory towards forest health recovery on many of the Territory’s islands since the storms’ impacts in 2017. However, some mangrove patches are slower to recover, such as those on the islands of Virgin Gorda and Jost Van Dyke, and, in some cases, have shown a continued decline (e.g., Prickly Pear Island). Our work also uses a linear ANCOVA model to assess a variety of geospatial, environmental, and anthropogenic drivers for mangrove recovery as a function of NDVI pre-storm and post-storm conditions. The model suggests that roughly 58% of the variability in the 7-year difference (2016 to 2023) in NDVI may be related by a positive linear relationship with the variable of population within 0.5 km and a negative linear relationship with the variables of northwest aspect vs. southwest aspect, island size, temperature, and slope. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing in Mangroves IV)
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23 pages, 2079 KiB  
Article
Offshore Energy Island for Sustainable Water Desalination—Case Study of KSA
by Muhnad Almasoudi, Hassan Hemida and Soroosh Sharifi
Sustainability 2025, 17(14), 6498; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146498 - 16 Jul 2025
Viewed by 452
Abstract
This study identifies the optimal location for an offshore energy island to supply sustainable power to desalination plants along the Red Sea coast. As demand for clean energy in water production grows, integrating renewables into desalination systems becomes increasingly essential. A decision-making framework [...] Read more.
This study identifies the optimal location for an offshore energy island to supply sustainable power to desalination plants along the Red Sea coast. As demand for clean energy in water production grows, integrating renewables into desalination systems becomes increasingly essential. A decision-making framework was developed to assess site feasibility based on renewable energy potential (solar, wind, and wave), marine traffic, site suitability, planned developments, and proximity to desalination facilities. Data was sourced from platforms such as Windguru and RETScreen, and spatial analysis was conducted using Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA). Results indicate that the central Red Sea region offers the most favorable conditions, combining high renewable resource availability with existing infrastructure. The estimated regional desalination energy demand of 2.1 million kW can be met using available renewable sources. Integrating these sources is expected to reduce local CO2 emissions by up to 43.17% and global desalination-related emissions by 9.5%. Spatial constraints for offshore installations were also identified, with land-based solar energy proposed as a complementary solution. The study underscores the need for further research into wave energy potential in the Red Sea, due to limited real-time data and the absence of a dedicated wave energy atlas. Full article
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30 pages, 4318 KiB  
Article
AI-Enhanced Photovoltaic Power Prediction Under Cross-Continental Dust Events and Air Composition Variability in the Mediterranean Region
by Pavlos Nikolaidis
Energies 2025, 18(14), 3731; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18143731 - 15 Jul 2025
Viewed by 221
Abstract
Accurate short-term forecasting of photovoltaic power generation is vital for the operational stability of isolated energy systems, especially in regions with increasing renewable energy penetration. This study presents a novel AI-based forecasting framework applied to the island of Cyprus. Using machine learning methods, [...] Read more.
Accurate short-term forecasting of photovoltaic power generation is vital for the operational stability of isolated energy systems, especially in regions with increasing renewable energy penetration. This study presents a novel AI-based forecasting framework applied to the island of Cyprus. Using machine learning methods, particularly regression trees, the proposed approach evaluates the impact of key environmental variables on PV performance, with an emphasis on atmospheric dust transport and air composition variability. A distinguishing feature of this work is the integration of cross-continental dust events and diverse atmospheric parameters into a structured forecasting model. A new clustering methodology is introduced to classify these inputs and analyze their correlation with PV output, enabling improved feature selection for model training. Importantly, all input parameters are sourced from publicly accessible, internet-based platforms, facilitating wide reproducibility and operational application. The obtained results demonstrate that incorporating dust deposition and air composition features significantly enhances forecasting accuracy, particularly during severe dust episodes. This research not only fills a notable gap in the PV forecasting literature but also provides a scalable model for other dust-prone regions transitioning to high levels of solar energy integration. Full article
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28 pages, 1051 KiB  
Article
Probabilistic Load-Shedding Strategy for Frequency Regulation in Microgrids Under Uncertainties
by Wesley Peres, Raphael Paulo Braga Poubel and Rafael Alipio
Symmetry 2025, 17(7), 1125; https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17071125 - 14 Jul 2025
Viewed by 298
Abstract
This paper proposes a novel integer-mixed probabilistic optimal power flow (IM-POPF) strategy for frequency regulation in islanded microgrids under uncertain operating conditions. Existing load-shedding approaches face critical limitations: continuous frameworks fail to reflect the discrete nature of actual load disconnections, while deterministic models [...] Read more.
This paper proposes a novel integer-mixed probabilistic optimal power flow (IM-POPF) strategy for frequency regulation in islanded microgrids under uncertain operating conditions. Existing load-shedding approaches face critical limitations: continuous frameworks fail to reflect the discrete nature of actual load disconnections, while deterministic models inadequately capture the stochastic behavior of renewable generation and load variations. The proposed approach formulates load shedding as an integer optimization problem where variables are categorized as integer (load disconnection decisions at specific nodes) and continuous (voltages, power generation, and steady-state frequency), better reflecting practical power system operations. The key innovation combines integer load-shedding optimization with efficient uncertainty propagation through Unscented Transformation, eliminating the computational burden of Monte Carlo simulations while maintaining accuracy. Load and renewable uncertainties are modeled as normally distributed variables, and probabilistic constraints ensure operational limits compliance with predefined confidence levels. The methodology integrates Differential Evolution metaheuristics with Unscented Transformation for uncertainty propagation, requiring only 137 deterministic evaluations compared to 5000 for Monte Carlo methods. Validation on an IEEE 33-bus radial distribution system configured as an islanded microgrid demonstrates significant advantages over conventional approaches. Results show 36.5-fold computational efficiency improvement while achieving 95.28% confidence level compliance for frequency limits, compared to only 50% for deterministic methods. The integer formulation requires minimal additional load shedding (21.265%) compared to continuous approaches (20.682%), while better aligning with the discrete nature of real-world operational decisions. The proposed IM-POPF framework successfully minimizes total load shedding while maintaining frequency stability under uncertain conditions, providing a computationally efficient solution for real-time microgrid operation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Symmetry and Distributed Power System)
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