Search Results (922)

Amidst global climate change, carbon emissions across the edible vegetable oil supply chain are critical for sustainable development. This paper systematically reviews the existing literature, employing life cycle assessment (LCA) to analyze key factors influencing carbon footprints at stages including cultivation, processing, and transportation. It reveals the differential impacts of fertilizer application, energy structures, and regional policies. Unlike previous reviews that focus on single crops or regions, this study uniquely integrates global data across major edible oils, identifying three critical gaps: methodological inconsistency (60% of studies deviate from the requirements and guidelines for LCA); data imbalance (80% concentrated on soybean/rapeseed); weak policy-technical linkage. Key findings: fertilizer emissions dominate cultivation (40–60% of total footprint), while renewable energy substitution in processing reduces emissions by 35%. Future efforts should prioritize multidisciplinary integration, enhanced data infrastructure, and policy scenario analysis to provide scientific insights for the low-carbon transformation of the global edible oil industry. Full article

For a long time, the explanation of the various determinants of oil price fluctuations and their impact on economic activity has been based on the supply and demand mechanism. However, with various volatile changes in the international situation in recent years, such as threats to public health and an increase in regional conflicts, special attention has been paid to the geopolitical context as an additional driver of oil price fluctuations. This study examines the relationship between oil price changes and GDP growth and other macroeconomic variables from the perspective of the vulnerability of oil-importing and oil-exporting countries to unexpected oil price shocks, driven by tense geopolitical events, in three European countries (Norway, Germany, and Poland). We apply the Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model and orthogonalized impulse response functions, based on quarterly data, in regard to two samples: the first spans 1995Q1–2019Q4 (pre-2020 sample), with relatively gradual changes in oil prices, and the second spans 1995Q1–2024Q2 (whole sample), with sudden fluctuations in oil prices due to geopolitical developments. A key finding of this research is that vulnerability to unpredictable oil price shocks related to geopolitical tensions is higher than in regard to expected gradual changes in oil prices, both in oil-importing and oil-exporting countries. Different causality patterns and stronger responses in regard to GDP growth during the period, including in regard to tense geopolitical events in comparison to the pre-2020 sample, lead to the belief that economies are not more resilient to oil price shocks as has been suggested by some studies, which referred to periods that were not driven by geopolitical events. Our research also suggests that countries implementing policies to reduce oil dependency and promote investment in alternative energy sources are better equipped to mitigate the adverse effects of oil price shocks. Full article

Fuel price increases have long been a contentious issue in Indonesia, sparking intense public and political debates. This study examines how digital media, particularly Kompas.com and Tempo.co, shape public discourse on fuel price hikes through mediatization. Using discourse network analysis, this study compares the political narratives surrounding fuel price increases during the administrations of Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (2013) and Joko Widodo (2022). The findings reveal a shift in dominant discourse—opposition to price hikes was prominent in both periods, with government authority and economic justification emphasized in 2013, whereas concerns over rising living costs and social unrest dominated in 2022. This study highlights how mediatization has transformed policymaking from deliberative discussions into fragmented media battles, where digital platforms amplify competing narratives rather than facilitating consensus. Kompas.com predominantly featured counter-discourses, while Tempo.co exhibited stronger pro-government narratives in 2013. This study suggests that while digital media plays a crucial role in shaping policy perceptions, it does not necessarily translate into policy influence. It contributes to the broader understanding of the media’s role in policy debates. It underscores the need for more strategic government communication to manage public expectations and mitigate political unrest surrounding fuel price adjustments. Full article

This paper examines the changing role of emissions trading systems (ETSs) within the macro-financial framework of energy markets, emphasizing price dynamics and systemic spillovers. Utilizing monthly data from seven ETS jurisdictions spanning January 2021 to December 2024 (N = 287 observations after log transformation and first differencing), which includes four auction-based markets (United States, Canada, United Kingdom, South Korea), two secondary markets (China, New Zealand), and a government-set fixed-price scheme (Germany), this research estimates a panel vector autoregression (PVAR) employing a Common Correlated Effects (CCE) model and augments it with machine learning analysis utilizing XGBoost and explainable AI methodologies. The PVAR-CEE reveals numerous unexpected findings related to carbon markets: ETS returns exhibit persistence with an autoregressive coefficient of −0.137 after a four-month lag, while increasing inflation results in rising ETS after the same period. Furthermore, ETSs generate spillover effects in the real economy, as elevated ETSs today forecast a 0.125-point reduction in unemployment one month later and a 0.0173 increase in inflation after two months. Impulse response analysis indicates that exogenous shocks, including Brent oil prices, policy uncertainty, and financial volatility, are swiftly assimilated by ETS pricing, with effects dissipating completely within three to eight months. XGBoost models ascertain that policy uncertainty and Brent oil prices are the most significant predictors of one-month-ahead ETSs, whereas ESG factors are relevant only beyond certain thresholds and in conditions of low policy uncertainty. These findings establish ETS markets as dynamic transmitters of macroeconomic signals, influencing energy management, labor changes, and sustainable finance under carbon pricing frameworks. Full article

Urban areas are responsible for most of Europe’s energy demand and emissions and urgently require building retrofits to meet climate neutrality goals. This study evaluates the energy efficiency potential of three public school buildings in western Macedonia, Greece—a cold-climate region with high heating needs. The buildings, constructed between 1986 and 2003, exhibited poor insulation, outdated electromechanical systems, and inefficient lighting, resulting in high oil consumption and low energy ratings. A robust methodology is applied, combining detailed on-site energy audits, thermophysical diagnostics based on U-value calculations, and a techno-economic assessment utilizing Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and SWOT analysis. The study evaluates a series of retrofit measures, including ceiling insulation, high-efficiency lighting replacements, and boiler modernization, against both technical performance criteria and financial viability. Results indicate that ceiling insulation and lighting system upgrades yield positive economic returns, while wall and floor insulation measures remain financially unattractive without external subsidies. The findings are further validated through sensitivity analysis and policy scenario modeling, revealing how targeted investments, especially when supported by public funding schemes, can maximize energy savings and emissions reductions. The study concludes that selective implementation of cost-effective measures, supported by public grants, can achieve energy targets, improve indoor environments, and serve as a replicable model of targeted retrofits across the region, though reliance on external funding and high upfront costs pose challenges. Full article

Chile is among the leading global exporters of pulp and paper, supported by extensive plantations of Pinus radiata and Eucalyptus spp. This review synthesizes recent progress in the valorization of forestry biomass in Chile, including both established practices and emerging bio-based applications. It highlights advances in lignin utilization, nanocellulose production, hemicellulose processing, and tannin extraction, as well as developments in thermochemical conversion technologies, including torrefaction, pyrolysis, and gasification. Special attention is given to non-timber forest products and essential oils due to their potential bioactivity. Sustainability perspectives, including Life Cycle Assessments, national policy instruments such as the Circular Economy Roadmap and Extended Producer Responsibility (REP) Law, are integrated to provide context. Barriers to technology transfer and industrial implementation are also discussed. This work contributes to understanding how forestry biomass can support Chile’s transition toward a circular bioeconomy. Full article

Background: Adolescence is characterized by physical and psychosocial changes. This implies modifying or implementing correct nutritional habits at an early age, which would have an impact on a healthy adult life. Objectives: The FFQ of dietary patterns has not been estimated in the population of adolescents. Therefore, conducting a pilot, cross-sectional, comparative, and correlational study, we sought to identify frequently consumed foods in an adolescent population. Methods: As part of the methodology, a Food Frequency Questionnaire (FFQ) was given to a non-probability convenience sample of 178 subjects aged 14 to 19 years to evaluate the most frequently consumed foods. Results: This study showed that the diet of Mexican adolescents was characterized with little variability in the foods consumed: 28.20% of the population had a good consumption of milk (1 to 5 serving/day), 16.50% of sugars, and 16% of cereals, while only less than 15% had a good consumption of source animal foods, fruits and vegetables, oils, and fat. Conclusions: Mexican adolescents have demonstrated that their diet is poorly varied. Adolescence is an important period in life that can define habitual dietary intake, and therefore, it is crucial to promote healthy eating at this age. Further research and appropriate public policies are needed. Full article

As investment portfolios become increasingly diversified and financial asset risks grow more complex, accurately forecasting the risk of multiple asset classes through mathematical modeling and identifying their heterogeneity has emerged as a critical topic in financial research. This study examines the volatility and tail risk of gold, crude oil, Bitcoin, and selected stock markets. Methodologically, we propose two improved Value at Risk (VaR) forecasting models that combine the autoregressive (AR) model, Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) model, Extreme Value Theory (EVT), skewed heavy-tailed distributions, and a rolling window estimation approach. The model’s performance is evaluated using the Kupiec test and the Christoffersen test, both of which indicate that traditional VaR models have become inadequate under current complex risk conditions. The proposed models demonstrate superior accuracy in predicting VaR and are applicable to a wide range of financial assets. Empirical results reveal that Bitcoin and the Chinese stock market exhibit no leverage effect, indicating distinct risk profiles. Among the assets analyzed, Bitcoin and crude oil are associated with the highest levels of risk, gold with the lowest, and stock markets occupy an intermediate position. The findings offer practical implications for asset allocation and policy design. Full article

Energy security is a global and strategic issue that is vital to national economic and social development. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has profoundly changed the world’s energy trade structure and brought great challenges to global energy security, especially to the European Union (EU). Under this background, this study tries to construct a conceptual framework for energy security from trade and selects the EU as a case to analyze its energy security evolution at both the regional and national scales. The findings of this paper are as follows. (1) In the context of energy transition, oil and gas remain pivotal components due to their longstanding historical presence. However, they are also the most susceptible elements within the EU’s energy system. (2) The level of oil security within the EU is higher than that of natural gas. The level of oil security in member countries varies considerably, with significant geographic disparities. Aside from the exception of the Netherlands and Denmark, the majority of member countries exhibit a consistently low level of natural gas security. (3) From 1991 to 2021, the EU’s energy security pattern underwent significant changes, exhibiting a general downward trend due to the increased utilization of natural gas. In light of the aforementioned research outcomes, this paper seeks to offer policy recommendations for the enhancement of the EU’s energy security. Full article

Livestock farming is a vital component of global food security, yet it remains a major contributor to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, particularly methane (CH₄), which has a global warming potential 28 times greater than carbon dioxide (CO₂). This review provides a comprehensive synthesis of current knowledge surrounding the sources, biological mechanisms, and mitigation strategies related to CH₄ emissions from ruminant livestock. We first explore the process of methanogenesis within the rumen, detailing the role of methanogenic archaea and the environmental factors influencing CH₄ production. A thorough assessment of both direct and indirect methods used to quantify CH₄ emissions is presented, including in vitro techniques (e.g., syringe method, batch culture, RUSITEC), in vivo techniques (e.g., respiration chambers, Greenfeed, laser CH₄ detectors), and statistical modeling approaches. The advantages and limitations of each method are critically analyzed in terms of accuracy, cost, feasibility, and applicability to different farming systems. We then examine a wide range of mitigation strategies, organized into four core pillars: (1) animal and feed management (e.g., genetic selection, pasture quality improvement), (2) diet formulation (e.g., feed additives such as oils, tannins, saponins, and seaweed), (3) rumen manipulation (e.g., probiotics, ionophores, defaunation, vaccination), and (4) manure management practices and policy-level interventions. These strategies are evaluated not only for their environmental impact but also for their economic and practical viability in diverse livestock systems. By integrating technological innovations with sustainable agricultural practices, this review highlights pathways to reduce CH₄ emissions while maintaining animal productivity. It aims to support decision-makers, researchers, and livestock producers in the global effort to transition toward climate-smart, low-emission livestock farming. Full article

Indonesia’s dependence on fossil fuel exports, particularly coal and crude oil, presents a dual challenge: sustaining economic growth while addressing rising CO₂ emissions. Despite significant attention to domestic energy consumption, the environmental implications of export activities remain underexplored. This study examines the dynamic relationship between energy exports, crude oil prices, and CO₂ emissions in Indonesia using a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model with annual data from 2002 to 2022. The analysis incorporates Impulse Response Functions (IRFs) and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) to trace short- and long-term interactions among variables. Findings reveal that coal exports are strongly persistent and positively linked to past emission levels, while oil exports respond negatively to both coal and emission shocks—suggesting internal trade-offs. CO₂ emissions are primarily self-driven yet increasingly influenced by oil export fluctuations over time. Crude oil prices, in contrast, have limited impact on domestic emissions. This study contributes a novel export-based perspective to Indonesia’s emission profile and demonstrates the value of dynamic modeling in policy analysis. Results underscore the importance of integrated strategies that balance trade objectives with climate commitments, offering evidence-based insights for refining Indonesia’s nationally determined contributions (NDCs) and sustainable energy policies. Full article

Rising population, combined with declining home food production, in Arab nations has resulted in increased food imports that intensifies their dependence on international markets for vital food supplies. These nations face challenges in achieving food security because crude oil price volatility creates difficulties in managing the expenses of imported food products. This research calculates the income and price elasticities of imported food demand to understand consumer behavior changes in response to income and price variations, which helps to explain their impact on regional food security. To our knowledge, this research presents the first analysis of imported food consumption patterns across Arab countries according to their income brackets. This study employs the static Almost Ideal Demand System model to examine food import data spanning from 1961 to 2020. The majority of imported food categories demonstrate inelastic price and income demand, which means that their essential food consumption remains stable despite cost fluctuations. The need for imports makes Arab nations vulnerable to external price changes, which endangers their food security. This research demonstrates why governments must implement policies through subsidies and taxation to reduce price volatility risks while ensuring food stability, which will lead to sustained food security for these nations. Full article

In this study, we selected the production processes and main products of three typical chemical enterprises in Shanghai, namely SH Petrochemical (part of the oil-refining sector), SK Ethylene, and HS Chlor-Alkali, to quantitatively assess the synergistic effects across technology, policy, and emission mechanisms. The localized air pollutant levels and greenhouse gas emissions of the three enterprises were calculated. The synergistic effects between the end-of-pipe emission reductions for air pollutants and greenhouse gas emissions were analyzed using the pollutant reduction synergistic and cross-elasticity coefficients, including technology comparisons (e.g., acrylonitrile gas incineration (AOGI) technology vs. traditional flare). Based on these data, we used the SimaPro software and the CML-IA model to conduct a life cycle environmental impact assessment regarding the production and upstream processes of their unit products. By combining the life cycle method and the scenario simulation method, we predicted the trends in the environmental impacts of the three chemical enterprises after the implementation of low-carbon development policies in the chemical industry in 2030. We also quantified the synergistic effects of localized air pollutant and greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reductions within the low-carbon development scenario by using cross-elasticity coefficients based on life cycle environmental impacts. The research results show that, for every ton of air pollutant reduced through end-of-pipe treatment measures, the HS Chlor-Alkali enterprise would increase its maximum CO₂ emissions, amounting to about 80 tons. For SK Ethylene, the synergistic coefficient for VOC reduction and CO₂ emissions when using AOGI thermal incineration technology is superior to that for traditional flare thermal incineration. The activities of the three enterprises had an impact on several environmental indicators, particularly the fossil fuel resource depletion potential, accounting for 69.48%, 53.94%, and 34.23% of their total environmental impact loads, respectively. The scenario simulations indicate that, in a low-carbon development scenario, the overall environmental impact loads of SH Petrochemical (refining sector), SK Ethylene, and HS Chlor-Alkali would decrease by 3~5%. This result suggests that optimizing the upstream power structure, using “green hydrogen” instead of “grey hydrogen” in hydrogenation units within refining enterprises, and reducing the consumption of electricity and steam in the production processes of ethylene and chlor-alkali are effective measures in reducing carbon emissions in the chemical industry. The quantification of the synergies based on life cycle environmental impacts revealed that there are relatively strong synergies for air pollutant and GHG emission reductions in the oil-refining industry, while the chlor-alkali industry has the weakest synergies. Full article

This study presents a comprehensive analysis of carbon emission trends and their driving factors at Shanghai Port, with a particular focus on the decoupling relationship between port economic development and carbon emissions, as well as forecasting the timeline for achieving the port’s carbon peak. The findings reveal distinct temporal patterns in emission growth: from 2009 to 2012, Shanghai Port experienced steady increases in carbon emissions, while from 2020 to 2023, it witnessed accelerated growth, primarily driven by fuel oil consumption. Using the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) decomposition model, the study identifies operational revenue as the most significant contributor to carbon emission growth, while economic intensity emerges as the strongest inhibiting factor. Notably, the carbon-promoting effects of energy structure and efficiency improvements substantially outweigh the emission reductions achieved through enhanced economic intensity. The Tapio decoupling analysis indicates that during 2010–2023, neither operational revenue nor port cargo throughput capacity achieved stable decoupling from carbon emissions at Shanghai Port. Operational revenue exhibited alternating patterns of strong and weak decoupling, while cargo throughput showed more pronounced fluctuations, cycling through phases of decoupling and negative decoupling. Scenario-based predictions using the GRU-LSTM hybrid model provide critical insights: under the baseline scenario, Shanghai Port is projected to fail to achieve a carbon peak by 2035. However, both the low-carbon and enhanced mitigation scenarios project a carbon peak around 2026, with the enhanced scenario enabling earlier attainment of the target. These findings offer valuable theoretical foundations for formulating Shanghai Port’s carbon peak strategy and provide practical guidance for emission management and policy development at ports. The methodological framework and empirical results presented in this study may serve as a reference for other major ports pursuing similar decarbonization goals. Full article

The global climate crisis necessitates the urgent implementation of sustainable practices and carbon emission reduction strategies across all sectors. Transport, as a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions, requires transitional technologies to bridge the gap between fossil fuel dependency and renewable energy systems. Natural gas, recognised as the cleanest fossil-derived fuel with approximately half the CO₂ emissions of coal and 75% of oil, presents a potential transitional solution through Natural Gas Vehicles (NGVs). This manuscript presents several distinctive contributions that advance the understanding of Natural Gas Vehicles within the contemporary energy transition landscape while synthesising updated emission performance data. Specifically, the feasibility and sustainability of NGVs are investigated within the energy transition framework by systematically incorporating recent technological developments and environmental, economic, and infrastructure considerations in comparison to conventional vehicles (diesel and petrol) and unconventional alternatives (electric and hydrogen-fuelled). The analysis reveals that NGVs can reduce CO₂ emissions by approximately 25% compared to petrol vehicles on a well-to-wheel basis, with significant reductions in NO_x and particulate matter. However, these environmental benefits depend heavily on the source and type of natural gas used (CNG or LNG), while economic viability hinges largely on governmental policies and infrastructure development. The findings suggest that NGVs can serve as an effective transitional technology in the transport sector’s sustainability pathway, particularly in regions with established natural gas infrastructure, but require supportive policy frameworks to overcome implementation barriers. Full article