Search Results (391)

This study aimed at proposing a predictive model for real-time monitoring of epidemic dynamics at the municipal scale in Lombardy region, in northern Italy, leveraging Emergency Medical Services (EMS) dispatch data and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) methodologies. Unlike traditional epidemiological models that rely on official diagnoses and offer limited spatial granularity, our approach uses EMS call data (rapidly collected, geo-referenced, and unbiased by institutional delays) as an early proxy for outbreak detection. The model integrates spatial filtering and machine learning (random forest classifier) to categorize municipalities into five epidemic scenarios: from no diffusion to active spread with increasing trends. Developed in collaboration with the Lombardy EMS agency (AREU), the system is designed for operational applicability, emphasizing simplicity, speed, and interpretability. Despite the complexity of the phenomenon and the use of a five-class output, the model shows promising predictive capacity, particularly for identifying outbreak-free areas. Performance is affected by changing epidemic dynamics, such as those induced by widespread vaccination, yet remains informative for early warning. The framework supports health decision-makers with timely, localized insights, offering a scalable tool for epidemic preparedness and response. Full article

The Sonora Estuarine Biocultural Corridor (CBES) is made up of six coastal wetlands with mangrove forest, internationally certified as Ramsar Sites. Four are part of indigenous territories whose inhabitants have serious development lags and low water security. Five are within one or more of six irrigation districts of national relevance. The objective is to learn about the socio-environmental problems of the CBES, focused on the issue of water, as well as community proposals for solutions. Intercultural, mixed methodology approach. Prospecting visits were carried out in the six estuaries of the CBES, and 84 semi-structured interviews were conducted with experts from all social sectors who know the problems of the CBES in three (out of six) estuaries associated with indigenous territories. The main problem is centered on the issue of water: they receive contaminated water from agroindustry, aquaculture, and the municipal service; the fresh water of the rivers is almost nil, rainfall has decreased while the heat increases, and marine and terrestrial biodiversity decreases. This affects the food and economic security of the local population and generates conflicts between the different productive activities. A multisectoral organization that integrates the six estuaries would improve community wellbeing and, in turn, climate resilience. Full article

The establishment and management of nature reserves play a crucial role in protecting biodiversity and supporting sustainable agriculture. This study focuses on 2538 nature reserves in 22 provinces, 5 autonomous regions and 4 municipalities directly under the central government in mainland China. Integrating GIS spatial statistics, imbalance index, and geodetector models, we reveal critical insights: (1) Pronounced spatial inequity is observed, where a small number of eastern provinces dominate the total reserve count, highlighting significant regional disparities in ecological resource allocation. The sparse kernel density in western regions, indicating sparse reserve coverage. The Standard Deviation Ellipse highlights directional dispersion and human-ecological conflicts in high-density zones. (2) Key sustainability indicators driving reserve distribution include: total water resources, water resources per capita, forest area. (3) The spatial distribution of China’s nature reserves, along with factors such as altitude, river distribution, and transportation infrastructure, plays a crucial role in their development. This research provides theoretical support for the scientific planning and policy-making of nature reserves in China and offers practical guidance for optimizing and adjusting sustainable agricultural development. The study emphasizes the vital functions of nature reserves in maintaining ecosystem balance, enhancing regional climate resilience, and serving as biodiversity reservoirs. This research offers strategic insights for integrating nature reserve spatial planning with sustainable agricultural development policies, providing a scientific basis for optimizing the eco-agricultural interface in China. Full article

Market-oriented ecological restoration is vital for advancing ecological civilization and promoting harmonious human–nature relationships. However, the precise implementation pathway remains unclear. Few studies specifically address challenges that arise during ecological restoration implementation. Ensuring the smooth and effective implementation and landing of ecological restoration projects harmonizes ecological and economic objectives at the regional scale and fosters sustainable development in the region. Based on the policies of market-oriented ecological restoration collected from various Chinese provinces, and through multi-level institutional analysis, the policy measures are categorized into three phases: early, middle, and late. For each phase, we summarize the challenges encountered in implementing market-oriented ecological restoration projects. Finally, by the method of constructing theoretical models, we propose sustainable countermeasures based on multiple theoretical models. The results show (1) China’s ecological restoration sector is experiencing rapid growth, and market-oriented policies in China, multiple Chinese provinces, and municipalities have enacted successive market-oriented ecological restoration policies, and the outlook for ecological restoration marketization in China remains highly promising. (2) The implementation process of current market-oriented ecological restoration projects confronts and encounters several challenges. These include the absence of project screening and evaluation mechanisms, limited investment and financing channels, ill-defined approval processes, ambiguous delineation of departmental responsibilities, insufficient industry incentives, and the absence of effective operational and management mechanisms. (3) To address the identified challenges, taking forest ecological restoration as an example, theoretical models should be developed encompassing six critical dimensions: the aspects of the mechanism, mode, approval process, management system, industrial chain, and platform. This aims to provide sustainable pathways for the effective implementation of market-oriented forest ecological restoration projects. Full article

Improving forest carbon sink efficiency (FCSE) is the key to mitigating climate change and achieving sustainable forest resource management in China. However, current research on FCSE remains predominantly focused on static perspectives and singular linear effects. Based on panel data from 30 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in China from 2008 to 2022, this study integrated the super-efficiency Slack-Based Measure (SBM)-Malmquist–Luenberger (ML) model, spatial autocorrelation analysis, and dynamic fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) to reveal the spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics of FCSE and the multi-factor synergistic driving mechanism. The results showed that (1) the average value of the FCSE in China was 1.1. Technological progress (with an average technological change of 1.21) is the core growth driver, but the imbalance of technological efficiency change (EC) among regions restricts long-term sustainability. (2) The spatial distribution exhibited a U-shaped gradient pattern of “eastern—southwestern”, and the synergy effect between nature and economy is significant. (3) The dynamic fsQCA identified three sustainable improvement paths: the “precipitation–economy” collaborative type, the multi-factor co-creation type, and “precipitation–industry-driven” type; precipitation was the universal core condition. (4) Regional differences exist in path application; the eastern part depends on economic coordination, the central part is suitable for industry driving, and the western part requires multi-factor linkage. By introducing a dynamic configuration perspective, analyzing FCSE’s spatiotemporal drivers. We propose a sustainable ‘Nature–Society–Management’ interaction framework and region-specific policy strategies, offering both theoretical and practical tools for sustainable forestry policy design. Full article

Urban green spaces play a critical role in promoting health, well-being and social inclusion. However, many such spaces remain underutilized by women due to perceived safety risks and inadequate infrastructure. The aim of this study is to understand the level of accessibility of these areas for women of different ages, considering their diverse needs related to physical activity and the sense of safety in public space. This research investigates the behavioural experiences of women in Zielona Góra, Poland, focusing on municipal parks and forests. A mixed-methods approach was applied, including on-site observations, in-depth interviews, online surveys and scenario modelling using Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs), involving 204 women aged 15–85. The results show that 48% of respondents avoid green areas due to barriers such as poor lighting, fear of wild animals or unpredictable individuals and insufficient infrastructure. Women preferred afternoon visits and valued the presence of others for increased safety. The five most frequented parks were identified based on accessibility and infrastructure quality. Scenario simulations confirmed that even single targeted interventions could improve perceived safety and increase usage. This study highlights the need for inclusive urban design that addresses the specific experiences and requirements of women in public green spaces. Full article

Wildfires represent an increasing global concern, threatening ecosystems, human settlements, and economies. Chile, characterized by diverse climatic zones and extensive forested areas, has been particularly vulnerable to wildfire events over recent decades. In this context, real, long-term data are essential to understand wildfire dynamics and to design effective early warning and prevention systems. This paper introduces a unique dataset containing detailed wildfire occurrence and damage information across Chilean municipalities from 1985 to 2024. Derived from official records by the National Forestry Corporation of Chile CONAF, this dataset encompasses key variables such as the number of fires, total burned area, estimated material damages, and the number of affected individuals. It provides an invaluable resource for researchers and policymakers aiming to improve fire risk assessments, model fire behavior, and develop AI-driven early detection systems. The temporal span of nearly four decades offers opportunities for longitudinal analyses, the study of climate change impacts on fire regimes, and the evaluation of historical prevention strategies. Furthermore, by presenting a complete spatial coverage at the municipal level, it allows fine-grained assessments of regional vulnerabilities and resilience. Full article

Urban green spaces (UGS) supply a wide range of ecosystem services (ESs), which are key to mitigation and adaptation to climate changes. In this study, we focus on two ESs, i.e., greenhouse gas sequestration by terrestrial ecosystems and mitigating the heat island effect through vegetation, as defined by the Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services. The purpose is to support municipalities with characteristics similar to those of the municipality investigated in this study with a rough assessment of ESs through freely available data. The ES delivery capacity assessment relies on the adoption of two indicators: (i) increased carbon storage in forests and (ii) the Heat Island Mitigation Index (HIMI). We applied the method to the UGS of the municipality of Sassari (Italy) and found that the potential amount of carbon storage is 42,052.7 t, while the value of HIMI provided by the green spaces in the homogeneous territorial areas is 67.73%. The methodological approach adopted in this study is potentially applicable in Italian as well as Mediterranean small to medium municipalities to integrate the quantitative assessment of ESs in local planning tools. The novelty of this study lies in the applied practical approach, which is implementable by public bodies lacking data and resources, to assessing prima facie the need for operational climate adaptation and mitigation strategies. Full article

Early-season crop mapping plays a critical role in yield estimation, agricultural management, and policy-making. However, most existing methods assign a uniform earliest identification time across provincial or broader extents, overlooking spatial heterogeneity in crop phenology and environmental conditions. This often results in delayed detection or reduced mapping accuracy. To address this issue, we proposed a zonal-based early-season mapping framework for winter wheat by integrating phenological and environmental factors. Aggregation zones across Shandong Province were delineated using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) based on factors such as start of season, end of season, temperature, slope, and others. On this basis, early-season winter wheat identification was conducted for each zone individually. Training samples were generated using the Time-Weighted Dynamic Time Warping (TWDTW) method. Time-series datasets derived from Sentinel-1/2 imagery (2021–2022) were processed on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, followed by feature selection and classification using the Random Forest (RF) algorithm. Results indicated that Shandong Province was divided into four zones (A–D), with Zone D (southwestern Shandong) achieving the earliest mapping by early December with an overall accuracy (OA) of 97.0%. Other zones reached optimal timing between late December and late January, all with OA above 95%. The zonal strategy improved OA by 3.6% compared to the non-zonal approach, demonstrated a high correlation with official municipal-level statistics (R² = 0.97), and surpassed the ChinaWheat10 and ChinaWheatMap10 datasets in terms of crop differentiation and boundary delineation. Historical validation using 2017–2018 data from Liaocheng City, a prefecture-level city in Shandong Province, achieved an OA of 0.98 and an F₁ score of 0.96, further confirming the temporal robustness of the proposed approach. This zonal strategy significantly enhances the accuracy and timeliness of early-season winter wheat mapping at a large scale. Full article

Contemporary metropolises, particularly those in the Global South, grapple with the complex challenge of balancing urban development with environmental conservation. In such contexts, forest remnants often face constant threats from illegal urban encroachment and insufficiently defined boundaries, which undermine conservation efforts and hinder effective legal enforcement. This study explores cost-efficient, geographic-information-technology-driven solutions to improve the management of conservation units and incorporate them into cities’ multipurpose land cadastres. By employing tools such as a remotely piloted aircraft, total stations, and GNSS receivers, this work highlights the pivotal role of geotechnologies in safeguarding the urban natural heritage. These technologies not only address the pressures of urban expansion but also enable continuous monitoring and impact assessment through geographical information systems (GISs). To illustrate these applications, this study examines a case study from Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, the Darke de Mattos Municipal Park, to demonstrate how accurate geographic data can significantly enhance planning and management efforts while maintaining cost-effectiveness. Full article

This study presents the long-term performance evaluation of a full-scale hybrid membrane bioreactor (MBR)–nanofiltration (NF) system for the treatment of high-strength municipal landfill leachate from the Istanbul–Şile Kömürcüoda facility. Over a 16-month operational period, influent and effluent samples were analyzed for key parameters, including chemical oxygen demand (COD), ammonium nitrogen (NH₄⁺-N), total phosphorus (TP), suspended solids (SS), and temperature. The MBR unit consistently achieved high removal efficiencies for COD and NH₄⁺-N (93.5% and 98.6%, respectively), while the NF stage provided effective polishing, particularly for phosphorus, maintaining a TP removal above 95%. Seasonal analysis revealed that the biological performance peaked during spring, likely due to optimal microbial conditions. To support intelligent control strategies, artificial neural network (ANN) models were developed to predict effluent COD and NH₄⁺-N concentrations using influent and operational parameters. The best-performing ANN models achieved R² values of 0.861 and 0.796, respectively. The model’s robustness was validated through RMSE, MAE, and 95% confidence intervals. Additionally, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Random Forest algorithms were employed to determine the parameter importance and nonlinear interactions. The findings demonstrate that the integration of hybrid membrane systems with AI-based modeling can enhance treatment efficiency and forecasting capabilities for landfill leachate management, offering a resilient and data-driven approach to sustainable operation. Full article

Analyzing the population’s access to ecosystem services offered by urban greening constitutes a measure of environmental justice, as it directly affects the quality of life and health of the population living in cities. This article is committed to proposing a geoenvironmental model in a geographic information system (GIS), envisaged to estimate the share of urban forests and green spaces in territorial planning units (TPUs), corresponding to neighborhoods of a pilot city, using high-spatial-resolution images of the China–Brazil Earth Resources Satellite (CBERS-4A) and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). These data were combined by means of a Boolean analysis with social vulnerability indicators assessed from census data related to income, education, housing, and sanitation. This model ultimately aims to identify priority areas for urban afforestation in the context of environmental justice and is thus targeted to improve the inhabitants’ quality of life. The municipality of Goiânia, the capital of Goiás state, located in the Brazilian Central–West Region, was chosen as the study area for this experiment. Goiânia presents 19.5% of its urban territory (82.36 km²) covered by vegetation. The analyses indicate an inequity in the distribution of urban forest patches and green areas in this town, where 7.8% of the total TPUs have low priority, 28.2% have moderate to low priority, 42.2% have moderate to high priority, and 21.8% have high priority for urban afforestation. This urban greening imbalance is particularly observed in its most urbanized central nuclei, associated with a peripheralization of social vulnerability. These findings are meant to support initiatives towards sound territorial planning processes designed to promote more sustainable and equal development to ensure environmental justice and combat climate change. Full article

Forest growing stock volume (GSV) is a fundamental indicator for assessing the status of forest resources. It reflects forest carbon storage levels and serves as a key metric for evaluating the carbon sequestration capacity of forest ecosystems, thereby playing a crucial role in supporting national “dual-carbon” objectives. Traditional allometric models typically estimate GSV using tree species, diameter at breast height (DBH), and canopy height. However, at larger spatial scales, these models often neglect stand density, resulting in substantial estimation errors in regions characterized by significant density variability. To enhance the accuracy of large-scale GSV estimation, this study incorporates high-resolution, spatially continuous forest structural parameters—including dominant tree species, stand density, canopy height, and DBH—extracted through the synergistic utilization of active (e.g., Sentinel-1 SAR, ICESat-2 photon data) and passive (e.g., Landsat-8 OLI, Sentinel-2 MSI) multi-source remote sensing data. Within an allometric modeling framework, stand density is introduced as an additional explanatory variable. Subsequently, GSV is modeled in a stratified manner according to tree species across distinct ecological zones within Kunming City. The results indicate that: (1) the total estimated GSV of Kunming City in 2020, based on remote sensing imagery and second-class forest inventory data collected in the same year, was 1.01 × 10⁸ m³, which closely aligns with contemporaneous statistical records. The model yielded an R² of 0.727, an RMSE of 537.566 m³, and a MAE of 239.767 m³, indicating a high level of overall accuracy when validated against official ground-based inventory plots organized by provincial and municipal forestry authorities; (2) the incorporation of the dynamic stand density parameter significantly improved model performance, which elevated R² from 0.565 to 0.727 and significantly reduced RMSE. This result confirms that stand density is a critical explanatory factor; and (3) GSV exhibited pronounced spatial heterogeneity across both tree species and administrative regions, underscoring the spatial structural variability of forests within the study area. Full article

Extreme weather events and rising temperatures pose significant risks, not only in urban areas but also in metropolitan forests, that affect the well-being of the people who visit them. City forests are considered one of the best bets for mitigating high temperatures within civic areas. Such areas modulate microclimates in contemporary cities, offering environmental, social, and economic advantages. Therefore, comprehending the intricate relationships between municipal forests and the climatic changes of various destinations is crucial for attaining healthier and more sustainable city environments for people. In this research, the thermal comfort index (Modified Temperature–Humidity Index (MTHI)) has been analysed using Landsat images of six urban forests in London during July 2022, when the area first experienced record-breaking temperatures of over 40 °C. Our results show a significant growth in the MTHI that goes from 2.5 (slightly hot) under normal conditions to 3.4 (hot) during the heat wave period. This situation intensifies the environmental discomfort for visitors and highlights the necessity to enhance their adaptability to future temperature increases. In turn, it was found that the places most affected by heat waves are those that have grass cover or that have small associated buildings. Conversely, forested regions or those with lakes and/or ponds exhibit lower temperatures, which results in enhanced resilience. These findings are noteworthy in their concentration on one of the UK’s most severe heat waves and illustrate the efficacy of integrating spectral measurements with statistical analyses to formulate customized regional initiatives. Therefore, the results reported will allow the implementation of new planning and adaptation policies such as incorporating thermal comfort into planning processes, improving green and blue amenities, increasing tree densities that are resilient to rising temperatures, and increasing environmental comfort conditions in metropolitan forests. Finally, the applicability of this approach in similar urban contexts is highlighted. Full article

Portugal’s increasing wildfire frequency has led to home destruction, large areas burned, ecological damage, and economic loss, emphasizing the need for effective fire exposure assessments. This study builds on a Canadian approach to wildfire exposure and evaluates wildfire exposure in the Portuguese municipality of Mafra, using artificial territories (AT) as a proxy for the wildland–urban interface (WUI) and integrates land use land cover (LULC) data with a neighborhood analysis to map exposure at the municipal scale. Fire exposure was assessed for three fire transmission distances: radiant heat (RH, <30 m), short-range spotting (SRS, <100 m), and longer-range spotting (LRS, 100–500 m) using fine resolution (5 m) LULC data. Results revealed that while AT generally exhibited lower exposure (<16% “very high” exposure), adjacent hazardous LULC subtypes significantly increase wildfire hazard, with up to 51% of LULC subtypes classified as “very high exposure”. Field validation confirmed the accuracy of exposure maps, supporting their use in wildfire risk reduction strategies. This cost-effective, scalable approach offers actionable insights for forest and land managers, civil protection agencies, and policymakers, aiding in fuel management prioritization, community preparedness, and the design of evacuation planning. The methodology is adaptable to other fire-prone regions, particularly mediterranean landscapes. Full article