Search Results (282)

This study develops a statistical and technological framework to analyze extreme rainfall in Colima, Mexico, by integrating historical precipitation records, probabilistic modeling, and spatial visualization. Using data from CONAGUA meteorological stations, we identify high-intensity rainfall events and model their recurrence using the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution to estimate key return periods. The results support flood-risk assessment and territorial planning in Colima. Spatial interpolation was performed in Python (version 3.13), and QGIS (version 3.38) produces exceedance maps that illustrate geographic variations in rainfall intensity across the state. These exceedance maps reveal a consistent spatial pattern, with the northern and western areas of Colima experiencing the highest frequencies of extreme events. Based on these results, the integration of real-time sensor technologies and satellite observations may improve flood monitoring and risk management frameworks. Full article

Early spring frost is a major meteorological hazard during the Apple Flowering period. To improve frost event prediction, this study proposes a hybrid 1D-CNN-BiLSTM-Attention model, with its core novelty lying in the integrated dual attention mechanism (Self-attention and Cross-variable Attention) and hybrid architecture. The 1D-CNN extracts extreme points and mutation features from meteorological factors, while BiLSTM captures long-term patterns such as cold wave accumulation. The dual attention mechanisms dynamically weight key frost precursors (low temperature, high humidity, calm wind), aiming to enhance the model’s focus on critical information. Using 1997–2016 data from Luochuan (four variables: Ground Surface Temperature (GST), Air Temperature (TEM), Wind Speed (WS), Relative Humidity (RH)), a segmented interpolation method increased temporal resolution to 4 h, and an adaptive Savitzky–Golay Filter reduced noise. For frost classification, Recall, Precision, and F1-score were higher than those of baseline models, and the model showed good agreement with the actual frost events in Luochuan on 6, 9, and 10 April 2013. The 4 h lead time could provide growers with timely guidance to take mitigation measures, alleviating potential losses. This research may offer modest technical references for frost prediction during the Apple Flowering period in similar regions. Full article

FY-4B/GIIRS (Geostationary Interferometric Infrared Sounder) is a new-generation infrared hyperspectral atmospheric vertical sounder onboard a Chinese geostationary meteorological satellite. Its observations with high spatial and temporal resolution play an important role in high-impact weather forecasts. The GIIRS data assimilation module is developed in the GSI (Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation) assimilation system. Super Typhoon Doksuri in 2023 (No. 5) is taken as an example based on this module in this paper. Firstly, the sensitivity of analysis fields to five data thinning schemes at four daily assimilation times from 22 to 28 July 2023 is analyzed: the wavelet transform modulus maxima (WTMM) scheme, the grid-distance schemes of 30 km, 60 km, and 120 km in the GSI assimilation system, and a center field of view (FOV) scheme. Taking the ERA5 reanalysis fields as true, it is found that the mean error of temperature and humidity analysis for the WTMM scheme is the smallest, followed by the 120 km thinning scheme. Subsequently, a 72 h cycling assimilation and forecast experiments are conducted for the WTMM and 120 km thinning schemes. It is found that the root mean square error (RMSE) profiles of temperature and humidity forecast fields with no thinning scheme are the largest at all pressure levels and forecast times. The temperature forecast error decreases after data thinning at altitudes below 300 hPa. Since the WTMM scheme has assimilated more observations than the 120 km scheme, the accuracy of its temperature and humidity forecast fields gradually increases with the forecast time. In terms of typhoon track and intensity forecast, the typhoon intensities are underestimated before landfall and overestimated after landfall for all thinning schemes. As the forecast time increases, the advantage of the WTMM is increasingly evident, with both the forecast intensity and track being closest to the actual observations. Similarly, the forecasted 24 h accumulated precipitation over land is overestimated after typhoon landfall compared with the IMERG Final precipitation products. The location of precipitation simulated by no thinning scheme is more westward overall. The forecast accuracy of the locations and intensities of severe precipitation cores and the typhoon’s outer spiral rain bands over the South China Sea has been improved after thinning. The Equitable Threat Scores (ETSs) of the WTMM thinning scheme are the highest for most precipitation intensity thresholds. Full article

Wind power forecasting is critical to renewable energy generation, as accurate predictions are essential for the efficient and reliable operation of power systems. However, wind power output is inherently unstable and is strongly affected by meteorological factors such as wind speed, wind direction, and atmospheric pressure. Weather conditions and wind power data are recorded by sensors installed in wind turbines, which may be damaged or malfunction during extreme or sudden weather events. Such failures can lead to inaccurate, incomplete, or missing data, thereby degrading data quality and, consequently, forecasting performance. To address these challenges, we propose a method that integrates a pre-trained large-scale language model (LLM) with the spatiotemporal characteristics of wind power networks, aiming to capture both meteorological variability and the complexity of wind farm terrain. Specifically, we design a spatiotemporal graph neural network based on multi-view maps as an encoder. The resulting embedded spatiotemporal map sequences are aligned with textual representations, concatenated with prompt embeddings, and then fed into a frozen LLM to predict future wind turbine power generation sequences. In addition, to mitigate anomalies and missing values caused by sensor malfunctions, we introduce a novel frequency-domain learning-based interpolation method that enhances data correlations and effectively reconstructs missing observations. Experiments conducted on real-world wind power datasets demonstrate that the proposed approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods, achieving root mean square errors of 17.776 kW and 50.029 kW for 24-h and 48-h forecasts, respectively. These results indicate substantial improvements in both accuracy and robustness, highlighting the strong practical potential of the proposed method for wind power forecasting in the renewable energy industry. Full article

Climate change induces widespread effects on crop production, influencing multiple developmental stages and associated agronomic outcomes. Using long-term meteorological data from Jilin Province, Northeast China, this study examined temporal and spatial variations in climatic conditions through trend analysis, Mann–Kendall tests, and inverse distance weighting interpolation. A fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model was applied to classify maize cultivation suitability into four levels across major production areas, with Level I representing the most suitable regions, Level II highly suitable regions, Level III moderately suitable regions, and Level IV low suitable regions. Changes in suitable areas were analyzed before and after abrupt climatic shifts. From 1976 to 2020, Jilin Province experienced a significant rise in annual mean temperature, a marked decline in sunshine duration, and a slight increase in precipitation. The area of Level I suitability remained stable, while Level II expanded to approximately 1.3 times its original area. Conversely, Level III and IV areas decreased by 4.59% and 28.77%, respectively, compared with the pre-transition period. Spatially, the most suitable maize cultivation areas shifted from central to northern and eastern Jilin due to climatic warming. Although rising temperatures enhanced thermal conditions for maize production, reduced sunshine and variable precipitation constrained further expansion. These findings provide a scientific basis for optimizing maize variety selection and cropping structure in high-latitude regions, supporting yield improvement and sustainable development of the maize industry under a changing climate. Full article

The weighted mean temperature (T_m) is a critical parameter for converting zenith wet delay (ZWD) to precipitable water vapor (PWV) in Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) meteorology. Unlike conventional approaches, this study develops a novel high-precision atmospheric Tm grid model with enhanced spatiotemporal resolution through the incorporation of hourly near-surface temperature lapse rates (NSTLR). The core methodology encompasses two principal components: regional estimation of hourly NSTLR variations and establishment of a corresponding Tm grid model. Validation was conducted using ERA5 reanalysis datasets and in situ measurements from 109 meteorological stations across Shandong Province and Sichuan Province, China. Compared with no environmental lapse rate (ELR) correction and constant ELR correction, the accuracy of the constructed Tm grid model improved by 31.59% and 11.51%, respectively. Notably, in high-altitude areas, the improvements were even more substantial, reaching 58.65% and 21.28%, respectively. Therefore, the Tm model constructed in this study has significant practical significance for building ground-based meteorological observation systems, especially for regions with significant terrain variations. Full article

Cities are major sources of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions, making the study of intra-urban CO₂ concentration patterns an emerging research priority. However, limited data availability and the complexity of urban environments have impeded detailed spatiotemporal analyses at the city scale. To address these challenges, an analysis supported by multi-source data and GeoAI methods is carried out to examine the spatial distribution, vertical variation, temporal dynamics, and driving factors of CO₂ concentrations in urban areas. We combined OCO-2 satellite-derived XCO₂ data (2014–2024) with ground-based measurements from the Shanghai Tower (August 2024 to March 2025), alongside meteorological and socioeconomic variables. The analysis employed spatial interpolation (inverse distance weighting), nonparametric testing (Mann–Whitney U test), time series decomposition, ordinary least squares (OLS) regression, and machine learning techniques including random forest and SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis. Results reveal that CO₂ concentrations are significantly higher in central urban districts compared to suburban areas, with notable spatial heterogeneity. Elevated levels were detected near ports and ferry routes, with airports and industrial emissions identified as principal contributors. Vertically, CO₂ concentrations decline with increasing altitude but exhibit a peak at mid-level heights. Temporally, a pronounced seasonal pattern was observed, characterized by higher concentrations in winter and lower levels in summer. Both OLS regression and machine learning models highlight proximity to emission sources, wind speed, and temperature as key determinants of spatial CO₂ variability, with these factors collectively explaining 67% of the variance in OLS models. This study demonstrates how multi-source data and advanced methods can capture the spatial, vertical, and seasonal dynamics and driving factors of urban CO₂ concentrations, offering insights for policy, planning, and mitigation. Full article

Air quality is a key priority in environmental policy agendas worldwide, yet rapid urban growth in developing countries disproportionately affects urban air quality. In sub-Saharan Africa, the spatial and temporal dynamics of key pollutants remain underexplored. This knowledge gap limits the ability to understand how pollution hotspots emerge, how they shift over time, and how they interact with the broader planetary processes such as climate change. This study analysed the spatial distribution of ozone (O₃) and carbon monoxide (CO) hotspots in Diepkloof and Klieprivier townships, Johannesburg, South Africa, using data from 2019 to 2023 obtained from air quality monitoring stations. Spatial patterns were mapped using Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) interpolation in a Geographic Information System (GIS), and meteorological influences were assessed through multiple linear regression. Results showed distinct spatial trends: Diepkloof experienced a decrease in O₃ from 23 ppb to 16 ppb, whereas Klieprivier remained stable but exhibited marked seasonal variation, peaking at 30 ppb in spring. Wind speed, wind direction, and humidity were significant predictors (p < 0.05) of both CO and O₃. In Klieprivier, meteorological factors explained 54.2% of O₃ variability, with temperature being the strongest predictor. These findings provide valuable insight into pollutant behaviour in urban townships and highlight the importance of integrating spatial analysis with meteorological modelling for targeted air quality management. Full article

Reference evapotranspiration (ET₀) is a fundamental variable for irrigation scheduling and water management. Conventional estimation methods, such as the FAO-56 Penman–Monteith equation, are of limited use in developing regions where meteorological data are scarce. This study evaluates the potential of machine learning (ML) approaches to estimate ET₀ in Paraguay, using only geographical and temporal predictors—latitude, longitude, altitude, and month. Five algorithms were tested: artificial neural networks (ANNs), k-nearest neighbors (KNN), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems (ANFISs). The framework consisted of ET₀ calculation, baseline model testing (ML techniques), ensemble modeling, leave-one-station-out validation, and spatial interpolation by inverse distance weighting. ANFIS achieved the highest prediction accuracy (R² = 0.950, RMSE = 0.289 mm day⁻¹, MAE = 0.202 mm day⁻¹), while RF and XGB showed stable and reliable performance across all stations. Spatial maps highlighted strong seasonal variability, with higher ET₀ values in the Chaco region in summer and lower values in winter. These results confirm that ML algorithms can generate robust ET₀ estimates under data-constrained conditions, and provide scalable and cost-effective solutions for irrigation management and agricultural planning in Paraguay. Full article

Addressing the challenges posed by sparse ground meteorological stations and the insufficient resolution and accuracy of reanalysis and satellite precipitation products, this study establishes a multi-source environmental feature system that precisely matches the target precipitation data resolution (1 km × 1 km). Based on this foundation, it innovatively proposes a Random Forest-based Dual-Spectrum Adaptive Threshold algorithm (RF-DSAT) for key factor screening and subsequently integrates Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) to construct a Spatiotemporally Coupled Bias Correction Model for multi-source data (CGBCM). Furthermore, by integrating these technological components, it presents an Artificial Intelligence-driven Multi-source data Precipitation Downscaling method (AIMPD), capable of downscaling precipitation fields from 0.1° × 0.1° to high-precision 1 km × 1 km resolution. Taking the bend region of the Yellow River Basin in China as a case study, AIMPD demonstrates superior performance compared to bicubic interpolation, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), CNN, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, achieving improvements of approximately 1.73% to 40% in Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE). It exhibits exceptional accuracy, particularly in extreme precipitation downscaling, while significantly enhancing computational efficiency, thereby offering novel insights for global precipitation downscaling research. Full article

The global pursuit of sustainable development amplifies renewable energy’s strategic importance, positioning wind power as a vital modern grid component. Accurate wind forecasting is essential to counter inherent volatility, enabling robust grid operations, security protocols, and optimization strategies. Such predictive precision directly governs wind energy systems’ stability and sustainability. This research introduces a novel spatio-temporal hybrid model integrating convolutional neural networks (CNN), bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM), and graph convolutional networks (GCN) to extract temporal patterns and meteorological dynamics (wind speed, direction, temperature) across 134 wind turbines. Building upon conventional methods, our architecture captures turbine spatio-temporal correlations while assimilating multivariate meteorological characteristics. Addressing data integrity compromises from equipment failures and extreme weather-which undermine data-driven models-we implement Wasserstein GAN (WGAN) for generative missing-value interpolation. Validation across severe data loss scenarios (30–90% missing values) demonstrates the model’s enhanced predictive capacity. Rigorous benchmarking confirms significant accuracy improvements and reduced forecasting errors. Full article

The concentration characteristics of SO₂, NO₂, O₃, and CO in the marine atmosphere are of great significance for understanding air–sea interactions and regional atmospheric chemical processes. However, due to the challenging conditions of marine monitoring, long-term continuous observational data remain scarce. To address this gap, this study proposes a Transfer Learning–Convolutional Neural Network (TL-CNN) model that integrates ERA5 meteorological data, EAC4 atmospheric composition reanalysis data, and ground-based observations through multi-source data fusion. During data preprocessing, the Data Interpolating Empirical Orthogonal Function (DINEOF), inverse distance weighting (IDW) spatial interpolation, and Gaussian filtering methods were employed to improve data continuity and consistency. Using ERA5 meteorological variables as inputs and EAC4 pollutant concentrations as training targets, a CNN-based inversion framework was constructed. Results show that the CNN model achieved an average coefficient of determination (R²) exceeding 0.80 on the pretraining test set, significantly outperforming random forest and deep neural networks, particularly in reproducing nearshore gradients and regional spatial distributions. After incorporating transfer learning and fine-tuning with station observations, the model inversion results reached an average R² of 0.72 against site measurements, effectively correcting systematic biases in the reanalysis data. Among the pollutants, the inversion of SO₂ performed relatively poorly, mainly because emission reduction trends from anthropogenic sources were not sufficiently represented in the reanalysis dataset. Overall, the TL-CNN model provides more accurate pollutant concentration fields for offshore regions with limited observations, offering strong support for marine atmospheric environment studies and assessments of marine ecological effects. It also demonstrates the potential of combining deep learning and transfer learning in atmospheric chemistry research. Full article

Excessive energy consumption of communication protocols in IoT/IIoT systems constitutes one of the key constraints for the operational longevity of remote sensor nodes, where radio transmission often incurs higher energy costs than data acquisition or local computation. Previous studies have remained fragmented, typically focusing on selected technologies or specific layers of the communication stack, which has hindered the development of comparable quantitative metrics across protocols. The aim of this study is to design and validate a unified evaluation framework enabling consistent assessment of both wired and wireless protocols in terms of energy efficiency, reliability, and maintenance costs. The proposed approach employs three complementary research methods: laboratory measurements on physical hardware, profiling of SBC devices, and simulations conducted in the COOJA/Powertrace environment. A Unified Comparative Method was developed, incorporating bilinear interpolation and weighted normalization, with its robustness confirmed by a Spearman rank correlation coefficient exceeding 0.9. The analysis demonstrates that MQTT-SN and CoAP (non-confirmable mode) exhibit the highest energy efficiency, whereas HTTP/3 and AMQP incur the greatest energy overhead. Results are consolidated in the ICoPEP matrix, which links protocol characteristics to four representative RS-IoT scenarios: unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), ocean buoys, meteorological stations, and urban sensor networks. The framework provides well-grounded engineering guidelines that may extend node lifetime by up to 35% through the adoption of lightweight protocol stacks and optimized sampling intervals. The principal contribution of this work is the development of a reproducible, technology-agnostic tool for comparative assessment of IoT/IIoT communication protocols. The proposed framework addresses a significant research gap in the literature and establishes a foundation for further research into the design of highly energy-efficient and reliable IoT/IIoT infrastructures, supporting scalable and long-term deployments in diverse application environments. Full article

Karst aquifers are critical yet vulnerable water resources in semi-arid Mediterranean regions, where structural complexity, nonlinearity, and delayed hydrological responses pose significant modeling challenges under increasing climatic and anthropogenic pressures. This study examines the Jebel Zaghouan aquifer in northeastern Tunisia, aiming to simulate its natural discharge dynamics prior to intensive exploitation (1915–1944). Given the fragmented nature of historical datasets, meteorological inputs (rainfall, temperature, and pressure) were reconstructed using a data recovery process combining linear interpolation and statistical distribution fitting. The hyperparameters of the artificial neural network (ANN) model were optimized through a Bayesian search. Three deep learning architectures—Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)—were trained to model spring discharge. Model performance was evaluated using Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE′), Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), and R² metrics. Hydrodynamic characterization revealed moderate variability and delayed discharge response, while isotopic analyses (δ¹⁸O, δ²H, ³H, ¹⁴C) confirmed a dual recharge regime from both modern and older waters. LSTM outperformed other models at the weekly scale (KGE′ = 0.62; NSE = 0.48; R² = 0.68), effectively capturing memory effects. This study demonstrates the value of combining historical data rescue, ANN modeling, and hydrogeological insight to support sustainable groundwater management in data-scarce karst systems. Full article

Climate change substantially affects water resources and agriculture, highlighting the critical importance of assessing land suitability for surface irrigation. This study was initiated with the objective of assessing the present and future land suitability for surface irrigation in the Gardulla Zone of Southern Ethiopia, utilizing meteorological, topography, soil, land cover, and proximity data. The analytic hierarchy process and weighted overlay analysis were employed to assign factor weights, while future climate projections were downscaled via a statistical downscaling model (SDSM4.2) under the shared socio-economic pathways (i.e., SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) scenarios. Irrigation suitability mapping was performed via inverse distance-weighted interpolation. The results revealed that 8% of the area is highly suitable, 54.3% is moderately suitable, 30% is marginally suitable, and 2.3% is unsuitable under current climate conditions. In the future periods, under both SSP scenarios, highly suitable land increases (up to 9.7% and 10.3% by 2050s and 10.8% and 13.5% by the 2080s under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, respectively), whereas unsuitable land decreases (down to 0.6% by 2080s under SSP5.8.5). In terms of area, highly to moderately suitable land expanded by 1357.6–6867.7 ha, depending on the scenario and timeframe. The study concludes that climate change is expected to affect the suitability of land for surface irrigation potential in the study area and similar hydroclimatic settings, highlighting the need for forward-looking policies and adaptation options. Therefore, it is recommended to promote climate-smart irrigation systems by integrating site-specific suitability mapping into regional land-use planning and prioritizing investment in small-scale, community-managed surface irrigation schemes that reduce water losses and ensure long-term agricultural sustainability. Full article