Search Results (466)

The integration of Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) into Building Information Modeling (BIM) processes is becoming increasingly important for enhancing the environmental performance of construction projects. This scoping review examines how LCA methods and environmental data are currently integrated into BIM workflows, focusing on automation, data standardization, and visualization strategies. We selected 43 peer-reviewed studies (January 2010–May 2025) via structured searches in five major academic databases. The review identifies five main types of BIM–LCA integration workflows; the most common approach involves exporting quantity data from BIM models to external LCA tools. More recent studies explore the use of artificial intelligence for improving automation and accuracy in data mapping between BIM objects and LCA databases. Key challenges include inconsistent levels of data granularity, a lack of harmonized EPD formats, and limited interoperability between BIM and LCA software environments. Visualization methods such as color-coded 3D models are used to support early-stage decision-making, although uncertainty representation remains limited. To address these issues, future research should focus on standardizing EPD data structures, enriching BIM objects with validated environmental information, and developing explainable AI solutions for automated classification and matching. These advancements would improve the reliability and usability of LCA in BIM-based design, contributing to more informed decisions in sustainable construction. Full article

Evaluating risk in complex systems relies heavily on human auditors whose subjective assessments can be compromised by knowledge gaps and varying interpretations. This subjectivity often results in inconsistent risk evaluations, even among auditors examining identical systems, owing to differing pattern recognition processes. In this study, we propose a causality model that can improve the comprehension of risk levels by breaking down the risk factors and creating a layout of risk events and consequences in the system. To do so, the initial step is to define the risk event blocks, each comprising two distinct components: the agent and transfer mechanism. Next, we construct a causal map that outlines all risk event blocks and their logical connections, leading to the final consequential risk. Finally, we assess the overall risk based on the cause-and-effect structure. We conducted real-world illustrative examples comparing risk-level assessments with traditional experience-based auditor judgments to evaluate our proposed model. This new methodology offers several key benefits: it clarifies complex risk factors, reduces reliance on subjective judgment, and helps bridge the gap between subjective and objective uncertainty. The illustrative examples demonstrate the potential value of the model by revealing discrepancies in risk levels compared to traditional assessments. Full article

Skipjack tuna constitutes a crucial fishery resource in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean (WCPO) purse seine fishery, with high economic value and exploitation potential. It also serves as an essential subject for studying the interaction between fishery resource dynamics and marine ecosystems, as its resource abundance is significantly influenced by marine environmental factors. Skipjack tuna can be categorized into unassociated schools and associated schools, with the latter being predominant. Overfishing of the associated schools can adversely affect population health and the ecological environment. In-depth exploration of the spatial distribution responses of these two fish schools to environmental variables is significant for the rational development and utilization of tuna resources and for enhancing the sustainability of fishery resources. In sparsely sampled and complex marine environments, geographic similarity methods effectively predict tuna resources by quantifying local fishing ground environmental similarities. This study introduces geographical similarity theory. This study focused on 1° × 1° fishery data (2004–2021) released by the Western and Central Pacific Fisheries Commission (WCPFC) combined with relevant marine environmental data. We employed Geographical Convergent Cross Mapping (GCCM) to explore significant environmental factors influencing catch and variations in causal intensity and employed a Geographically Optimal Similarity (GOS) model to predict the spatial distribution of catch for the two types of tuna schools. The research findings indicate that the following: (1) Sea surface temperature (SST), sea surface salinity (SSS), and net primary productivity (NPP) are key factors in GCCM model analysis, significantly influencing the catch of two fish schools. (2) The GOS model exhibits higher prediction accuracy and stability compared to the Generalized Additive Model (GAM) and the Basic Configuration Similarity (BCS) model. R² values reaching 0.656 and 0.649 for the two types of schools, respectively, suggest that the geographical similarity method has certain applicability and application potential in the spatial prediction of fishery resources. (3) Uncertainty analysis revealed more stable predictions for unassociated schools, with 72.65% of the results falling within the low-uncertainty range (0.00–0.25), compared to 52.65% for associated schools. This study, based on geographical similarity theory, elucidates differential spatial responses of distinct schools to environmental factors and provides a novel approach for fishing ground prediction. It also provides a scientific basis for the dynamic assessment and rational exploitation and utilization of skipjack tuna resources in the Pacific Ocean. Full article

The spatial distribution of ephemeral and perennial dryland plant species is increasingly modified and restricted by ever-changing climates and development expansion. At the interface of biodiversity conservation and developmental planning in desert landscapes is the growing need for adaptable tools in identifying and monitoring these ecologically fragile plant assemblages, habitats, and, often, heritage sites. This study evaluates usage of Sentinel-2 time series composite imagery to discriminate vegetation assemblages in a hyper-arid landscape. Spatial predictor spaces were compared to classify different vegetation communities: spectral components (PCs), vegetation indices (VIs), and their combination. Further, the uncertainty in discriminating field-verified vegetation assemblages is assessed using Shannon entropy and intensity analysis. Lastly, the intensity analysis helped to decipher and quantify class transitions between maps from different spatial predictors. We mapped plant assemblages in 2022 from combined PCs and VIs at an overall accuracy of 82.71% (95% CI: 81.08, 84.28). A high overall accuracy did not directly translate to high class prediction probabilities. Prediction by spectral components, with comparably lower accuracy (80.32, 95% CI: 78.60, 81.96), showed lower class uncertainty. Class disagreement or transition between classification models was mainly contributed by class exchange (a component of spatial allocation) and less so from quantity disagreement. Different artefacts of vegetation classes are associated with the predictor space—spectral components versus vegetation indices. This study contributes insights into using feature extraction (VIs) versus feature selection (PCs) for pixel-based classification of plant assemblages. Emphasising the ecologically sensitive vegetation in desert landscapes, the study contributes uncertainty considerations in translating optical satellite imagery to vegetation maps of arid landscapes. These are perceived to inform and support vegetation map creation and interpretation for operational management and conservation of plant biodiversity and habitats in such landscapes. Full article

Although measurements of urban shrinkage in China have received much attention, most have relied on statistical yearbook data based on political–administrative city boundaries, and remote-sensing-based quantification is mainly one-dimensional. This has caused problems in incorporating rural areas and spatiotemporal inconsistencies, as well as an inadequate understanding, which has subsequently resulted in an inaccurate shrinkage identification. This study merely utilized the latest multisensory and time-series remote sensing data, including nighttime light, land use, and population grids, to quantify the spatiotemporal patterns of multidimensional shrinkage based on the county-level urban entity mapping of Yangtze River Delta urban agglomerations (YRD-UAs) from 2003 to 2023. County-level urban entities were acquired from a pioneering mapping effort that utilized city-specific commuting distance and land use maps. The results demonstrated that urban entities in 215 counties grew at a generally slowing pace. The degree of economic, population, and space shrinkage was mainly slight, and the shrinking trajectory was dominated by temporary shrinkage. Most counties experienced population shrinkage in their coastal-oriented distribution, whereas economic shrinkage affected the fewest counties, with the lowest spatial clustering occurring northward. Population shrinkage also displayed the highest spatial autocorrelation, but its agglomeration weakened against space shrinkage clustering. This study concluded that the exclusive utilization of remote sensing products to measure urban-entity-based multidimensional shrinkage reduced the uncertainty associated with rural area inclusion and resulted in satisfactory assessment accuracy. The spatiotemporal patterns of multidimensional shrinkage suggested strengthening ecological land allocation within urban entities across the entire region, implementing polycentric development strategies in the north, as well as enhancing county-level economic governance in the northwest. This study presents a spatiotemporally comparable methodology for quantifying the multidimensional shrinking of county-level urban entities at a large scale and contributes to further optimizing the developments of YRD-UAs. Full article

In water-scarce regions such as Jordan, accurate tracking of water flows is critical for informed water management. This study applied the Water Accounting Plus (WA+) framework using open-source remote sensing data from the FAO WaPOR portal to develop agricultural water accounting (AWA) for the Amman–Zarqa Basin (AZB) during 2014–2022. Inflows, outflows, and water consumption were quantified using WaPOR and other open datasets. The results showed a strong correlation between WaPOR precipitation (P) and rainfall station data, while comparisons with other remote sensing sources were weaker. WaPOR evapotranspiration (ET) values were generally lower than those from alternative datasets. To improve classification accuracy, a correction of the WaPOR-derived land cover map was performed. The revised map achieved a producer’s accuracy of 15.9% and a user’s accuracy of 86.6% for irrigated areas. Additionally, ET values over irrigated zones were adjusted, resulting in a fivefold improvement in estimates. These corrections significantly enhanced the reliability of key AWA indicators such as basin closure, ET fraction, and managed fraction. The findings demonstrate that the accuracy of P and ET data strongly affects AWA outputs, particularly the estimation of percolation and beneficial water use. Therefore, calibrating remote sensing data is essential to ensure reliable water accounting, especially in agricultural settings where data uncertainty can lead to misleading conclusions. This study recommends the use of open-source datasets such as WaPOR—combined with field validation and calibration—to improve agricultural water resource assessments and support decision making at basin and national levels. Full article

Understanding and mapping forest fire vulnerability is essential for informed landscape management and disaster risk reduction, especially in the context of increasing anthropogenic and climatic pressures. This study aims to model and spatially predict forest fire vulnerability across Romania using two machine learning algorithms: MaxEnt and XGBoost. We integrated forest fire occurrence data from 2006 to 2024 with a suite of climatic, topographic, ecological, and anthropogenic predictors at a 250 m spatial resolution. MaxEnt, based on presence-only data, achieved moderate predictive performance (AUC = 0.758), while XGBoost, trained on presence–absence data, delivered higher classification accuracy (AUC = 0.988). Both models revealed that the impact of environmental variables on forest fire occurrence is complex and heterogeneous, with the most influential predictors being the Fire Weather Index, forest fuel type, elevation, and distance to human proximity features. The resulting vulnerability and uncertainty maps revealed hotspots in Sub-Carpathian and lowland regions, especially in Mehedinți, Gorj, Dolj, and Olt counties. These patterns reflect historical fire data and highlight the role of transitional agro-forested landscapes. This study delivers a replicable, data-driven approach to wildfire risk modelling, supporting proactive management and emphasising the importance of integrating vulnerability assessments into planning and climate adaptation strategies. Full article

Lung-cancer incidence is projected to rise by 50% by 2035, underscoring the need for accurate yet accessible risk-stratification tools. We trained a Bayesian neural network on 300 annotated chest-CT scans from the public LIDC–IDRI cohort, integrating clinical metadata. Hamiltonian Monte-Carlo sampling (10 000 posterior draws) captured parameter uncertainty; performance was assessed with stratified five-fold cross-validation and on three independent multi-centre cohorts. On the locked internal test set, the model achieved 99.0% accuracy, AUC = 0.990 and macro-F1 = 0.987. External validation across 824 scans yielded a mean AUC of 0.933 and an expected calibration error $<0.034$, while eliminating false positives for benign nodules and providing voxel-level uncertainty maps. Uncertainty-aware Bayesian deep learning delivers state-of-the-art, well-calibrated lung-cancer risk predictions from a single CT scan, supporting personalised screening intervals and safe deployment in clinical workflows. Full article

This study presents a systematic literature review on the mathematical modeling of resilient and viable supply chains, grounded in the PRISMA methodology and applied to a curated corpus of 235 peer-reviewed scientific articles published between 2011 and 2025. The search strategy was implemented across four major academic databases (Scopus and Web of Science) using Boolean operators to capture intersections among the core concepts of supply chains, resilience, viability, and advanced optimization techniques. The screening process involved a double manual assessment of titles, abstracts, and full texts, based on inclusion criteria centered on the presence of formal mathematical models, computational approaches, and thematic relevance. As a result of the selection process, six thematic categories were identified, clustering the literature according to their analytical objectives and methodological approaches: viability-oriented modeling, resilient supply chain optimization, agile and digitally enabled supply chains, logistics optimization and network configuration, uncertainty modeling, and immune system-inspired approaches. These categories were validated through a bibliometric analysis and a thematic map that visually represents the density and centrality of core research topics. Descriptive analysis revealed a significant increase in scientific output starting in 2020, driven by post-pandemic concerns and the accelerated digitalization of logistics operations. At the methodological level, a high degree of diversity in modeling techniques was observed, with an emphasis on mixed-integer linear programming (MILP), robust optimization, multi-objective modeling, and the increasing use of bio-inspired algorithms, artificial intelligence, and simulation frameworks. The results confirm a paradigm shift toward integrative frameworks that combine robustness, adaptability, and Industry 4.0 technologies, as well as a growing interest in biological metaphors applied to resilient system design. Finally, the review identifies research gaps related to the formal integration of viability under disruptive scenarios, the operationalization of immune-inspired models in logistics environments, and the need for hybrid approaches that jointly address resilience, agility, and sustainability. Full article

Soil texture, defined by the proportions of sand, silt, and clay particles in the soil, is one of the most essential physical properties of soil. High-resolution soil texture data can provide critical parameter support for soil hydrological modeling, agricultural production management, and ecosystem assessment. In digital soil mapping, previous studies often predicted the sand, silt, and clay contents in soil and then indirectly calculated soil texture. Currently, approaches that directly map soil texture by classification modeling are gaining increasing attention due to the decreased error from data conversion, but few studies have systematically compared these two methods yet. In this study, we comprehensively assessed the performance of direct and indirect predicting soil texture using four machine learning algorithms (e.g., extreme gradient boosting, random forest, gradient boosting decision tree, and extremely randomized tree) with 190 covariates from the Digital Elevation Model, Sentinel-1/2 satellite images, and classification maps and generated a 10 m resolution soil texture map based on 405 topsoil (0–20 cm) sample data collected in Suichuan County, China. The results showed that compared with indirect predictions, direct predictions improved overall accuracy (OA) by 20.57–44.19% and the Kappa coefficient (Kappa) by 0.220–0.402. Among the models used, the XGB model achieved the highest accuracy (OA: 0.948; Kappa: 0.931) and the lowest uncertainty (confusion index: 0.052). The direct prediction map (nine classes recorded) exhibited more detailed and diverse spatial distribution patterns than the indirect prediction map (six classes recorded), aligning better with the actual environment. Based on accuracy validation and spatial distribution, the performance of the XGB model was best during direct prediction. The Shapley additive explanation from the XGB model revealed that the normalized height and stream power indices were the most significant factors driving the soil texture in the study area. Our results provide a reference for future studies on soil texture mapping using machine learning models. Full article

With the increasing penetration of renewable energy, power grids face significant challenges in balancing fluctuating renewable generation with flexible demand-side resources. Industrial loads, characterized by substantial consumption and high adjustability, provide critical flexibility to address these challenges; however, existing methods for quantifying their response potential lack sufficient accuracy and comprehensive uncertainty characterization. This study proposes an integrated quantitative assessment framework combining Seasonal-Trend decomposition using Loess (STL), load-step feature extraction, and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR). Historical industrial load data are first decomposed using STL to isolate trend and periodic patterns, while mathematically defined load-step indicators quantify intrinsic adjustability. Concurrently, a multi-dimensional willingness index reflecting past response behaviors and participation records comprehensively characterizes user response capabilities and inclinations. A GPR-based nonlinear mapping between extracted load features and response potential enables precise quantification and robust uncertainty estimation. Case studies verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach, achieving an assessment accuracy of 91.4% and improved confidence interval characterization compared to traditional methods. These findings demonstrate the framework’s significant capability in supporting precise flexibility utilization, thereby enhancing operational stability in power grids with high renewable energy penetration. Full article

Sparse borehole sampling at contaminated sites results in sparse and unevenly distributed data on soil pollutants. Traditional interpolation methods may obscure local variations in soil contamination when applied to such sparse data, thus reducing the interpolation accuracy. We propose an adaptive graph convolutional network with spatial autocorrelation (ASI-GCN) model to overcome this challenge. The ASI-GCN model effectively constrains pollutant concentration transfer while capturing subtle spatial variations, improving soil pollution characterization accuracy. We tested our model at a coking plant using 215 soil samples from 15 boreholes, evaluating its robustness with three pollutants of varying volatility: arsenic (As, non-volatile), benzo(a)pyrene (BaP, semi-volatile), and benzene (Ben, volatile). Leave-one-out cross-validation demonstrates that the ASI-GCN_RC_G model (ASI-GCN with residual connections) achieves the highest prediction accuracy. Specifically, the R for As, BaP, and Ben are 0.728, 0.825, and 0.781, respectively, outperforming traditional models by 58.8% (vs. IDW), 45.82% (vs. OK), and 53.78% (vs. IDW). Meanwhile, their RMSE drop by 36.56% (vs. Bayesian_K), 38.02% (vs. Bayesian_K), and 35.96% (vs. IDW), further confirming the model’s superior precision. Beyond accuracy, Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis reveals that most predicted areas exhibit low uncertainty, with only a few high-pollution hotspots exhibiting relatively high uncertainty. Further analysis revealed the significant influence of pollutant volatility on vertical migration patterns. Non-volatile As was primarily distributed in the fill and silty sand layers, and semi-volatile BaP concentrated in the silty sand layer. At the same time, volatile Ben was predominantly found in the clay and fine sand layers. By integrating spatial autocorrelation with deep graph representation, ASI-GCN redefines sparse data 3D mapping, offering a transformative tool for precise environmental governance and human health assessment. Full article

As technological progress and population growth continue to drive rising energy demand, renewable energy has emerged as a key focus of the global energy transition due to its environmental sustainability. However, in suitability assessments and site selection for green energy projects such as photovoltaic (PV) power generation, key criteria such as supply–demand balance and land price are often inadequately considered, despite their direct impact on decision outcomes. Moreover, excessive reliance on expert judgment for weighting, along with the neglect of inter-criterion relationships, introduces uncertainty. Combined with the presence of ill-posed problems, these issues limit the practical value of the evaluation results. This study integrates economic cost–benefit analysis into the evaluation criteria system alongside climatic and geographical criteria, constructing a set of 11 spatial indicators, including global horizontal irradiation (GHI), land prices, and regional power demand, to support PV site selection. Furthermore, a comprehensive evaluation framework is proposed that combines geographic information systems (GIS), multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA), fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE), and machine learning (ML). The framework enables the collaborative optimization of expert-constrained and data-driven criteria weighting. A national suitability zoning map for PV power plants was developed and validated against actual construction cases. The results demonstrate that the proposed methodology outperforms traditional approaches, achieving a 0.1178 improvement in weight determination compared to expert-based methods, producing a photovoltaic suitability map that more accurately reflects actual construction trends, thereby providing better and more effective support for PV site planning. Full article

The Orbiting Carbon Observatory-3 (OCO-3) mission provides a new perspective for studying atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO₂). Here we assess the potentiality of OCO-3 satellite acquisitions to analyse and monitor the CO₂ emissions from Mt. Etna volcano. While OCO-3 data are well-suited for gas analysis on a regional spatial scale, they have not yet been widely utilised for studying volcanic carbon dioxide emissions. The Snapshot Area Map (SAM) acquisition mode enables the capture of targeted snapshots over volcanic regions, allowing for the measurement of CO₂ concentrations in the vicinity of volcanic structures. In this work, we analyse 62 OCO-3 images acquired between 2020 and 2023, focusing on measurements within a 20 km radius of Mt. Etna’s summit, where the main craters are located. Atmospheric CO₂ concentrations are examined as a function of distance from the summit, and assuming a linear decreasing trend, the angular coefficient is computed. Lower angular coefficient values may indicate a stronger volcanic CO₂ contribution. Considering both the number of sampled pixels in each OCO-3 snapshot and the associated uncertainties in the angular coefficient calculation, we identify five days with potentially significant CO₂ emissions from Mt. Etna, likely associated with specific volcanic activity phases. The eruptive activity on these five days is further investigated, revealing a possible correlation between elevated gas emissions and intense volcanic phenomena, such as lava fountains. This assessment is supported by thermal activity analyses using SEVIRI, MODIS, and VIIRS satellite data. Full article

With advancements in cloud computing and machine learning algorithms, an increasing number of cropland datasets have been developed, including the China land-cover dataset (CLCD) and GlobeLand30 (GLC). The unique climatic conditions of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) introduce significant differences and uncertainties to these datasets. Here, we used a quantitative and visual integrated assessment approach to assess the accuracy and spatial consistency of five cropland datasets around 2020 in the TP, namely the CLCD, GLC30, land-use remote sensing monitoring dataset in China (CNLUCC), Global Land Analysis and Discovery (GLAD), and global land-cover product with a fine classification system (GLC_FCS). We analyzed the impact of terrain, climate, population, and vegetation indices on cropland spatial consistency using structural equation modeling (SEM). In this study, the GLAD cropland area had the highest fit with the national land survey (R² = 0.88). County-level analysis revealed that the CLCD and GLC_FCS underestimated cropland areas in high-elevation counties, whereas the GLC and CNLUCC tended to overestimate cropland areas on the TP. Considering overall accuracy, GLC and GLAD performed the best with scores of 0.76 and 0.75, respectively. In contrast, CLCD (0.640), GLC_FCS (0.640), and CNLUCC (0.620) exhibited poor overall accuracy. This study highlights the significantly low spatial consistency of croplands on the TP, with only 10.60% consistency in high and complete agreement. The results showed substantial differences in spatial accuracy among zones, with relatively higher consistency observed in low-altitude zones and notably poorer accuracy in zones with sparse or fragmented cropland. The SEM results indicated that elevation and slope directly influenced cropland consistency, whereas temperature and precipitation indirectly affected cropland consistency by influencing vegetation indices. This study provides a valuable reference for implementing cropland datasets and future cropland mapping studies on the TP region. Full article