Search Results (5,966)

Spatiotemporal heterogeneity of land-use multifunction (LUMF) is crucial for the preservation and management of large-scale national cultural parks in alleviating potential human-land conflicts. Using 28 multidimensional indicators across economic, social, and environmental dimensions, this study established an LUMF index system for the Long March National Cultural Park of China (CLMNCP). LUMF values for 77 prefecture-level cities were quantified from 2008 to 2023, and their spatiotemporal heterogeneity was examined using a spatial autocorrelation model. Subsequently, the Optimal Parameters-based GeoDetector (OPGD) model was applied to identify key driving factors. The main findings are as follows: (1) From 2008 to 2023, the total, economic (EF), social (SF), and environmental (EnF) functions in the CLMNCP exhibited a consistent upward trend. (2) Significant spatial heterogeneity characterized the trade-offs and synergies among these functions. The EF-EnF interaction displayed a concave synergistic relationship, while the EF-SF and SF-EnF interactions showed convex, fluctuating patterns during their transitions between trade-off and synergy. (3) The primary drivers varied across function pairs. The EF-SF synergy was predominantly influenced by agricultural production, resource supply, and cultural service factors. The EF-EnF interaction was mainly shaped by natural conditions and environmental improvement factors. In contrast, the SF-EnF interaction was primarily driven by economic development, cultural services, and resource supply. These findings support functional zoning and targeted management of large-scale national cultural park to balance development and conservation while reducing human-land conflicts. Full article

Under global climate change, analyzing carbon storage dynamics and their drivers is essential for understanding regional carbon sink capacity. Human activities and land-use change have substantially affected regional carbon storage. However, in China, most existing studies emphasize specific driving pathways, and integrated analyses of the combined effects of climate, natural, human, and landscape factors remain limited. This study aims at clarifying the integrated mechanisms by which multiple driving factors influence regional carbon storage. The InVEST model was used to analyze the carbon storage spatiotemporal changes. OPGD was then applied to evaluate the explanatory power of driving factors and their interactions, quantifying their contributions to carbon storage spatial patterns. Based on PLS-SEM, the direct and indirect effects of LULC, climate, natural, human, and landscape factors were quantified to elucidate the driving pathways of carbon storage. This study focuses on Shaanxi Province, which is a key ecological restoration region in the core area of the Loess Plateau. The main results are as follows: (1) From 2000 to 2020, carbon storage in Shaanxi Province showed a continuous increasing trend, rising from 2.97 × 10¹⁰ Mg C to 3.03 × 10¹⁰ Mg C. (2) LULC was identified as the most important direct and predominantly negative driving factor of carbon storage. (3) Natural factors had a strong positive influence on carbon storage, among which slope and NDVI exhibited the highest explanatory power; in contrast, climate factors showed weaker but still positive effects. (4) Human activities affected carbon storage through both direct and indirect pathways associated with LULC, with positive effects driven by landscape factors and negative effects driven by natural factors, while climate factors exhibited mixed but weak effects. Overall, carbon storage dynamics in Shaanxi Province reflect a hierarchical and path-dependent process shaped by the combined effects of natural constraints, human activities, and policy guidance through LULC pathways, providing important evidence for systematically understanding the driving structure and pathways of regional carbon storage. These findings highlight the importance of aligning land-use policies with regional biophysical constraints to enhance carbon sequestration efficiency. Full article

Wildfires are a major natural hazard causing extensive ecological damage and endangering human survival. Previous studies on wildfires in China have mostly focused on specific regions or individual drivers, with limited systematic assessments at the long-term and national scales. The spatiotemporal patterns of wildfires and their multiple driving mechanisms under China’s diverse climatic regimes remain insufficiently understood. To bridge this gap, we combined MCD64A1 burned area data (2001–2023) with multi-source natural (meteorological, vegetation, and topographic) and anthropogenic factors, using random forest models at both the national and regional scales to examine the spatiotemporal patterns, dominant drivers, and response mechanisms of wildfires in China. The results revealed that: (1) Spatially, wildfires were concentrated in northeastern and southern China, which accounted for 86.20% of the total burned area. Temporally, northern wildfires were primarily a spring-dominated fire regime, with peak activity in March and April, whereas southern wildfires were winter-dominated, peaking in February. (2) At the national scale, elevation was the key topographic factor influencing wildfire occurrence (relative importance = 0.49), with low-elevation and gentle-slope areas being more fire-prone. At the regional scale, the driving factors exhibit spatial differentiation, forming a spatial pattern of topography-dominated and climate-dominated. (3) Partial dependence plot analysis revealed nonlinear and threshold responses. Fire probability increases rapidly when the soil moisture is below 20 mm, while extremely high land surface temperatures in arid regions suppress fire occurrence due to fuel limitations. This study enhances the understanding of spatially heterogeneous wildfire drivers in China and provides a scientific basis for region-specific wildfire prevention and management strategies. Full article

The Navel Orangeworm (Amyelois transitella Walker, 1863), a primary pest of nut crops native to North America, poses a significant potential threat to China’s agricultural biosecurity, yet its potential distribution dynamics under climate change remain unquantified. This study utilized the Biomod2 ensemble model platform to predict habitat suitability under current and future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). We evaluated the prediction accuracy of the ensemble model using calibration data, with TSS = 0.898 and AUC = 0.978, while spatially stratified cross-validation confirmed moderate spatial transferability to novel environments (median validation AUC = 0.60–0.75). The model identified thermal factors—Temperature Seasonality (Bio4) and the Mean Temperature of the Wettest Quarter (Bio8)—as the dominant drivers of distribution. While currently climatically suitable habitats are primarily confined to the tropical and subtropical regions of southern China, projections indicate a complex spatial shift driven by future warming: optimal southern habitats will undergo a net contraction due to heat stress, whereas low and moderately suitable areas will expand northward into key temperate agricultural areas. These results highlight that climate change will substantially alter the spatial topology of the pest’s climatic envelope, providing a critical scientific baseline of climatic suitability. These projections do not equate to realized invasion risk, which is further constrained by host availability, land use, irrigation, and human transport, offering a conservative framework for prioritizing early surveillance and optimizing quarantine measures. Full article

Balancing ecological conservation with agricultural production in protected areas remains a critical challenge, particularly regarding the nexus of food, water, land, and ecosystems (FWLE). Yet, the spatiotemporal trade-offs, synergies, and underlying drivers within the FWLE remain poorly understood. Focusing on the Henan Funiu Mountain National Nature Reserve (HFMNNR), we quantified water yield (WY), habitat quality (HQ), and food production (FP) using the InVEST model and statistical yearbook data. The XGBoost-SHAP framework was applied to dissect the key drivers and mechanisms governing the FWLE system. Results indicate a significant increasing trend in FP (2000–2020), contrasting with the unimodal (increase-then-decline) trajectories of HQ and WY. Pronounced trade-offs were identified between HQ and WY, and between HQ and FP. Topographic and vegetative factors predominated in shaping the spatial patterns of HQ and FP, whereas climatic factors dictated WY distribution. Specifically, HQ declined when NDVI fell below 0.87, population density surpassed 0.01, or slope was gentler than 7°. WY was constrained when precipitation dropped below 947 mm, actual evapotranspiration exceeded 752 mm, or temperature ranged between 12.5–16.2 °C. FP was suppressed under conditions of slopes > 7°, NDVI within 0–0.61 or 0.61–0.86, or DEM > 373 m. These findings underscore the necessity of spatially explicit management strategies grounded in spatial heterogeneity. We advocate for a multi-objective governance framework centered on HQ to harmonize production and ecological functions. Our findings provide critical insights for formulating policies aimed at sustainably managing protected areas facing similar ecological-production conflicts. Full article

Latitudinal gradients are widely recognized as a key macro-environmental driver shaping microbial biogeographic patterns; however, the spatial organization of sediment archaeal communities in estuarine ecosystems and the mechanisms underlying their assembly remain insufficiently understood. This study is based on sediment samples collected from three representative estuarine regions spanning distinct latitudes along the Chinese coastline—the North China Sea (NCS), East China Sea (ECS), and South China Sea (SCS). Based on 16S rRNA high-throughput sequencing, combined with null-model inference and molecular ecological network (MEN) analyses, we characterized latitudinal patterns in archaeal community distributions, assembly processes, and cross-regional interaction architectures. The results showed that archaeal communities exhibited obvious spatial segregation across three regions, with both community richness and network complexity increasing significantly toward lower latitudes. Nitrate (NO₃⁻), ferric iron (Fe³⁺), and dissolved oxygen (DO) were identified as key environmental factors governing archaeal community structure. Notably, archaeal community assembly processes exhibited a clear latitudinal gradient: deterministic processes, particularly environmental filtering, were more obvious at lower latitudes, whereas the contributions of stochastic processes—including dispersal limitation and ecological drift—increased markedly at higher latitudes. A MEN analysis further revealed that archaeal networks at lower latitudes exhibited higher connectivity, modularity, and stability, suggesting that interspecific interactions may enhance ecosystem resistance to environmental disturbance under more stable environmental conditions. Overall, this study demonstrates that macro-environmental gradients jointly shape archaeal biogeographic patterns via multiple pathways, including modulation of environmental filtering, dispersal dynamics, and cross-regional interactions. These findings deepened our understanding of the stable mechanisms governing the diversity and biogeographical distribution of archaea in estuarine systems. Full article

Objectives: Clinical trials are essential for therapeutic innovation in rheumatology. A recent decline in clinical trial activity in Hungary has highlighted the need to better understand patient experiences and motivations. This study assessed patient satisfaction and motivation in clinical trials, compared these with routine specialist care, and evaluated healthcare professionals’ motivations. Methods: In this single-center, cross-sectional study, 129 patients completed self-administered questionnaires (61 trial participants and 68 receiving routine care) primarily using a 6-point Likert scale; additionally, 21 healthcare professionals rated their motivations on a Visual Analog Scale (VAS 0–10). Categorical variables were analyzed using chi-square or Fisher’s exact tests, and continuous variables using paired two-tailed t-tests. Results: The main drivers of trial participation were physician recommendations (100%) and trust in the treating physician (100%). Access to novel therapies (98%), closer monitoring (83%), and additional diagnostic procedures (95%) were also significant motivators. Trial participants reported significantly higher satisfaction compared with routine care in terms of consultation time (97% vs. 36%, p < 0.001), staff availability (95% vs. 41, p < 0.001), assistance (93% vs. 36%, p < 0.001), and visit organization (98% vs. 34%; p < 0.001). Overall satisfaction with routine care remained high in both groups. In the control group, fears of disease worsening and the burden of frequent visits were key deterrents. Among healthcare professionals, access to innovative treatments was the strongest motivator, while administrative workload and documentation demands were the primary barriers. Conclusions: Clinical trial participation is associated with high patient satisfaction, driven by physician–patient trust and structured, personalized care. Reducing administrative burdens may be crucial for sustaining clinical research in academic settings. Full article

Nighttime light (NTL), a crucial indicator of human activity intensity, has not been systematically analyzed for its interactive mechanisms with air pollution and climate change. This study first investigates the spatiotemporal evolution of China’s total nighttime light (TNTL) and average nighttime light (ANTL), alongside key indicators of meteorological parameters and air pollution, at the grid scale from 2000 to 2023. We then employ prefecture-level city data and a geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model to quantify the spatiotemporally heterogeneous associations of temperature (TMP), precipitation (PRE), fine particulate matter (PM_2.5), ozone (O₃), land use (LUL), topography, and socioeconomic factors with NTL. The results indicate that (1) China’s NTL exhibits a significant overall upward trend, with areas of increase or significant increase comprising 92.04% of the total study area. TNTL growth demonstrates regional heterogeneity, expanding by a factor of 4.91 in East China and 2.65 in Northeast China; (2) meteorological and air pollution indicators display spatiotemporal non-stationarity, with the synergistic effect between O₃ and PRE being the strongest; (3) among NTL drivers, LUL contributes most significantly (0.44), followed by TMP (0.14) > PM_2.5 (−0.33 × 10⁻¹) > O₃ (0.17 × 10⁻¹) > PRE (−0.33 × 10⁻⁶); (4) TMP and PRE may primarily influence NTL by altering ecological conditions and nighttime activity patterns. TMP shows a strong positive correlation with NTL in the junction zone of South, East, and Central China, whereas PRE predominantly exerts a negative influence; (5) air pollution exhibits distinct spatiotemporal effects: high PM_2.5 and O₃ generally correspond to lower NTL, though positive correlations persist in some areas due to industrial structures, highlighting the need for integrated policies that balance air quality management with sustainable urban planning; (6) the 2013 “Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan” significantly strengthened the negative correlation between PM_2.5 and NTL in North China. However, O₃ concentrations increased by 28.9% after 2017, underscoring the challenge of coordinating VOC and NOx controls for long-term atmospheric sustainability. Full article

Land use practices are a key driver of soil nitrogen (N) dynamics, yet their influence on N accumulation within distinct soil organic matter (SOM) fractions remains insufficiently understood. This study aimed to elucidate the responses of N accrual in different SOM fractions to contrasting land uses. To achieve this purpose, soil samples were collected from seven representative land uses: forest, pasture, corn plantation, sugarcane plantation, cassava plantation, orchard, and abandoned land. Subsequently, soil samples were fractionated into free particulate SOM (fSOM), occluded light SOM (oSOM), weakly bound form SOM (wSOM), and strongly bound form SOM (sSOM) fractions, and N contents were quantified for each fraction. The results showed pronounced land use effects on both the magnitude and distribution of N among SOM fractions. The forest land use consistently promoted greater N accumulation in fSOM (0.15 g N kg⁻¹ soil), oSOM (0.14 g N kg⁻¹ soil), and wSOM fractions (0.29 g N kg⁻¹ soil), reflecting high organic inputs and low disturbance intensity. The pasture land use exhibited the highest N accumulation in the sSOM fraction (1.01 g N kg⁻¹ soil), indicating enhanced stabilization of N through strong organo-mineral associations. Intensively managed croplands and abandoned land generally displayed lower N storage across SOM fractions. Overall, these findings highlight the critical role of land use in regulating N partitioning and stabilization within SOM fractions and underscore the importance of low-disturbance, perennial vegetation systems for improving long-term soil N retention. Full article

The inflation rate has shown an upward trend globally, specifically after COVID-19, and the economies of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) are not an exception. A heightened inflation in the modern globalized world is indeed undesirable due to its enormous adverse consequences on all sectors of the economy. However, the true determinants of the inflation rate, particularly in the case of GCC economies, are not well-explored. Accordingly, this research paper attempts to see whether the inflation rate in GCC economies is driven by internal factors or global factors. This paper focuses on data for the period 1998 to 2023 and applies the PMG-ARDL methodology for the estimation. The results confirmed that money supply, oil prices, GDP, and global supply chain pressure are the key inflationary drivers in the long run. In contrast, trade openness has reduced the inflation rate in the long run, which is consistent with the prediction of Romer’s hypothesis. In the short run, we found that real GDP and trade openness are the main driving forces behind the heightened inflation rate. Furthermore, the causality findings indicated several unidirectional and bidirectional relationships among the variables under consideration. Our results are robust to alternative econometric estimators and hence offer valuable policy implications for the consideration of policymakers. Full article

With the intensification of human activities and climate variability, balancing ecosystem service (ES) supply and demand is critical for regional sustainable development. Existing studies predominantly focus on linear driving effects and lack integrated quantitative frameworks that link the spatiotemporal dynamics of ES supply–demand relationships (ESSDRs) with their nonlinear driving mechanisms, and few have systematically quantified the critical thresholds of driving factors and their interactive effects. To address these research gaps, this study quantified the supply, demand, and supply–demand ratios of four key ESs (food production [FP], carbon sequestration [CS], water yield [WY], and soil retention [SR]) in the Yellow River Basin of Henan Province (2000–2020) using the InVEST model and multi-source data. An analytical framework integrating the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model and Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) was established to identify dominant drivers, reveal nonlinear response patterns, and quantify critical thresholds. The results showed that FP and CS supply increased continuously, while WY and SR supply slightly declined; CS and WY demand grew faster than supply, leading to expanding deficits, whereas FP and SR maintained relative balance. Spatially, FP/CS surpluses concentrated in eastern plains and southwestern forests, WY deficits occurred in the northwest, and SR balance prevailed in most regions. Dominant drivers differed by ES type—arable land proportion (FP), population density (CS), precipitation (WY), and slope (SR)—all exhibiting distinct threshold effects (e.g., arable land proportion >0.6, slope >3°). These findings provide novel insights into ESSDR spatial heterogeneity and threshold-based regulation, offering a scientific basis for differentiated ecological management and sustainable spatial planning in the Yellow River Basin and similar ecologically vulnerable regions. Full article

Despite pressure to scale green building (GB) adoption in Indonesia, many government building projects underperform against their initial intended design, creating a compliance gap between the design and construction phases and reducing the GB rating and its potential benefits. This study investigated the barriers and drivers affecting the Indonesian government’s GB projects’ compliance using a systems thinking (ST) approach. A causal loop diagram (CLD) was constructed from stakeholder interviews and literature scoping, followed by semi-qualitative analysis, combining systems archetype identification, eigenvector centrality (EC), and influence mapping to propose potential leverage points as a basis for policy analysis of the current regulatory scenario. Key findings show that knowledge development, sustained stakeholder integration, project documentation readiness, and government support reinforce GB compliance, but are undermined by financial constraints. CLD analysis identified that the more sustainable factors, including regulation alignment, capacity building, and enhancing collaboration, should become a focus of interventions in the system, instead of focusing solely on the provision of funding. This study presents a novel exploration of the GB adoption problem in an Indonesian governmental context through a comprehensive and systems approach. Further research might require narrowing the system boundaries, broadening the literature and stakeholder validation, and performing quantitative modelling to test intervention scenarios to support rigorous decision-making processes. Full article

Understanding the drivers of understory vegetation diversity in plantation forests is critical for ecosystem management, yet traditional analytical methods are often constrained by assumptions of normality, linearity, and independence among variables. This study used the geographical detector (GeoDetector) method to quantify the independent and interactive effects of environmental factors on understory plant diversity in Pinus tabuliformis plantations. We established 36 standard plots at the Shihe Forest Farm in the Zhongtiao Mountains of Shanxi Province, China. A total of 25 environmental factors, encompassing stand structure, topography, soil physical properties, and soil chemical properties, were examined as potential drivers of shrub-layer and herb-layer diversity. The results identified distinct key drivers for different vegetation layers. Shrub-layer diversity was primarily influenced by regeneration potential, aspect, soil non-capillary porosity, and total soil nitrogen. In contrast, herb-layer diversity was mainly driven by forest type, slope, soil non-capillary porosity, and the soil nitrogen-to-phosphorus ratio. Factor interactions were widespread, with nonlinear enhancement and bivariate enhancement being the dominant types. The combined effect of interacting factors was consistently stronger than that of any single factor alone. Compared to conventional statistical methods, GeoDetector does not rely on linear assumptions and is unaffected by multicollinearity. This allows for more effective identification of drivers that have low independent explanatory power yet high ecological importance, as well as their interactive effects. This study demonstrates that vegetation diversity in P. tabuliformis plantations results from the synergistic effects of multiple factors. The findings provide a theoretical basis for managing and enhancing understory biodiversity in plantation ecosystems. Furthermore, they offer a novel and effective analytical framework for investigating the environmental driving mechanisms of understory vegetation diversity. Full article

The coupling coordination between Urbanization Quality (UQ) and Water Ecological Carrying Capacity (WECC) represents a critical nexus for sustainable regional development within the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB). Focusing on 16 cities in Hubei Province over the period 2020–2024, this study constructed comprehensive indicator systems for UQ and WECC, Spatial Autocorrelation Analysis and Key Factor Analysis are then applied to analyze spatiotemporal evolution, identify key influencing factors. The results reveal that: (1) Both UQ and WECC demonstrated upward trajectories, with UQ increasing from 0.369 to 0.409, although WECC exhibited fluctuating patterns; (2) Spatial analysis identified pronounced “core–periphery” clustering effects with Wuhan as the dominant center, confirmed by the positive Global Moran’s I; (3) Hubei’s CCD advanced from 0.626 to 0.661, progressing toward initially coordinated stages, with Wuhan pioneering this transition, while 81.25% of cities remained at the moderately coordinated stage; (4) Grey relational analysis identified aquatic biological resources as the principal constraint, with piscivore biomass ratios and pension insurance participation rates (γ = 0.752) emerging as key biophysical and socioeconomic drivers, respectively. These findings provide empirical evidence for targeted interventions promoting balanced urban–water ecological development in the YREB, while contributing a novel analytical framework for examining UQ-WECC interactions in rapidly urbanizing regions globally. Full article

Maternal vaccination against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) represents a major advance in early-life infection prevention. Although clinical efficacy and early real-world effectiveness are well established, sustained population-level impact depends on equitable uptake. This review synthesizes determinants influencing maternal RSV vaccination within the evolving dual-strategy landscape that includes both maternal vaccination and infant monoclonal antibody prophylaxis. A structured narrative review was conducted following PRISMA principles. PubMed/MEDLINE and Google Scholar were searched for studies published between January 2022 and February 2026. Eligible studies examined behavioral, interpersonal, structural, economic, and policy determinants of maternal RSV vaccination uptake, as well as early implementation and modelling evidence. Findings were integrated within a multilevel analytical framework. Maternal uptake is shaped by interacting determinants across individual, healthcare provider, and health system domains. Key drivers include perceived infant disease severity, vaccine safety confidence, perceived effectiveness, and prior antenatal vaccination behavior. Healthcare provider recommendation consistently emerges as the strongest facilitator. Coverage variability reflects differences in reimbursement, antenatal care integration, and national policy endorsement. The coexistence of maternal vaccination and infant monoclonal antibody strategies introduces additional comparative decision-making complexity. Early implementation data indicate heterogeneous uptake and socioeconomic gradients, while modelling demonstrates sensitivity to coverage, timing, epidemiology, and cost. Translating biological efficacy into sustained public health benefit requires coordinated behavioral, structural, and policy strategies, strong provider engagement, and context-sensitive implementation frameworks to ensure equitable coverage. Full article