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Keywords = ionosphere modeling

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21 pages, 2555 KB  
Article
Enhancing PPP-B2b Performance with Regional Atmospheric Augmentation
by Qing Zhao, Shuguo Pan, Wang Gao, Xianlu Tao, Hao Liu, Zeyu Zhang and Qiang Wang
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(21), 3522; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17213522 - 23 Oct 2025
Abstract
Currently, the PPP-B2b service faces challenges such as long convergence times and re-convergence issues after signal interruptions due to the lack of high-precision atmospheric enhancement. To address this, this study develops a multi-frequency uncombined Precise Point Positioning (PPP) model that accounts for Clock [...] Read more.
Currently, the PPP-B2b service faces challenges such as long convergence times and re-convergence issues after signal interruptions due to the lack of high-precision atmospheric enhancement. To address this, this study develops a multi-frequency uncombined Precise Point Positioning (PPP) model that accounts for Clock Constant Bias (CCB) based on PPP-B2b products, extracting atmospheric delays from reference stations and performing regional modeling. Considering the spatiotemporal characteristics of the ionosphere, a stochastic model for enhancement information that varies with time and satellite elevation is established. The performance of atmospheric-enhanced PPP-B2b is validated on the user end. Results demonstrate that zenith wet delay (ZWD) and ionospheric modeling generally achieve centimeter-level accuracy. However, during certain periods, ionospheric modeling errors are significant. By adjusting the stochastic model, approximately 98% of modeling errors can be enveloped. With atmospheric constraints, both convergence speed and positioning accuracy of PPP-B2b are significantly improved. Using thresholds of 30 cm horizontally and 40 cm vertically, the convergence times for horizontal and vertical components are approximately (16.7, 21.3) min for single BDS-3 and (3.8, 5.0) min for the dual-system combination, respectively. In contrast, with atmospheric constraints applied, convergence thresholds are met almost at the first epoch. Within one minute, single BDS-3 and the dual-system combination achieve accuracies better than (0.15, 0.3) m and (0.1, 0.2) m horizontally and vertically, respectively. Furthermore, even under high-elevation cutoff conditions, stable and rapid high-precision positioning remains achievable through atmospheric enhancement. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Satellite Missions for Earth and Planetary Exploration)
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19 pages, 2127 KB  
Article
User-Side Long-Baseline Undifferenced Network RTK Positioning Under Geomagnetic Storm Conditions Using a Power Spectral Density-Constrained Ionospheric Delay Model
by Yixi Wang, Huizhong Zhu, Qi Xu, Jun Li, Chuanfeng Song and Bo Li
Sensors 2025, 25(20), 6433; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25206433 - 17 Oct 2025
Viewed by 363
Abstract
To address the problem of the degraded positioning accuracy of the long-baseline undifferenced network RTK (URTK) under extreme space weather conditions, herein, we propose a user-side atmospheric delay estimation strategy based on the undifferenced network RTK concept to enhance positioning performance in geomagnetic [...] Read more.
To address the problem of the degraded positioning accuracy of the long-baseline undifferenced network RTK (URTK) under extreme space weather conditions, herein, we propose a user-side atmospheric delay estimation strategy based on the undifferenced network RTK concept to enhance positioning performance in geomagnetic storm environments. First, an ambiguity-resolution model that jointly estimates atmospheric error parameters is used to fix the carrier-phase integer ambiguities for long-baseline reference stations. The accurately fixed inter-station ambiguities are then linearly transformed to recover station-specific undifferenced integer ambiguities; undifferenced observation errors at each reference station are computed to generate corresponding undifferenced correction terms. Lastly, recognizing that ionospheric delays vary sharply during geomagnetic storms and can severely compromise the availability of regional undifferenced correction models, we estimate the residual atmospheric parameters on the user side after applying regional corrections. Experimental results show that the server side is not significantly impacted during geomagnetic storms and can continue operating normally. On the user side, augmenting the solution with atmospheric parameter estimation effectively improves positioning availability. Under strong geomagnetic storms, the proposed mode improves user-station positioning accuracy by 63.7%, 60.7%, and 64.4% in the east (E), north (N), and up (U) components, respectively, relative to the conventional user-side solution; under moderate storm conditions, the corresponding improvements are 16.7%, 10.0%, and 11.1%. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in GNSS Signal Processing and Navigation—Second Edition)
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16 pages, 2928 KB  
Article
PIC Modeling of Ionospheric Plasma Diagnostics by Hemispherical Probes: Study of the LAP-CSES at Magnetic Conjugates
by Nadia Imtiaz, Saeed Ur Rehman, Liu Chao, Rui Yan and Richard Marchand
Plasma 2025, 8(4), 39; https://doi.org/10.3390/plasma8040039 - 30 Sep 2025
Viewed by 369
Abstract
We present three dimensional particle-in-cell simulations of current-voltage characteristics of the hemispherical Langmuir probe (LAP), onboard the China Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellite (CSES). Using realistic plasma parameters and background magnetic fields obtained from the International Reference Ionosphere (IRI) and International Geomagnetic Reference Field (IGRF) models, [...] Read more.
We present three dimensional particle-in-cell simulations of current-voltage characteristics of the hemispherical Langmuir probe (LAP), onboard the China Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellite (CSES). Using realistic plasma parameters and background magnetic fields obtained from the International Reference Ionosphere (IRI) and International Geomagnetic Reference Field (IGRF) models, we simulate probe–plasma interactions at three locations: the equatorial region and two magnetically conjugate mid-latitude sites: Millstone Hill (Northern Hemisphere) and Rothera (Southern Hemisphere). The simulations, performed using the PTetra PIC code, incorporate realistic LAP geometry and spacecraft motion in the ionospheric plasma. Simulated current voltage characteristics or I–V curves are compared against in-situ LAP measurements from CSES Orbit-026610, with Pearson’s correlation coefficients used to assess agreement. Our findings indicate how plasma temperature, density, and magnetization affect sheath structure and probe floating potential. The study highlights the significance of kinetic modeling in enhancing diagnostic accuracy, particularly in variable sheath regimes where classic analytical models such as the Orbital-Motion-Limited (OML) theory may be inadequate. Full article
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21 pages, 1584 KB  
Article
Ionospheric Information-Assisted Spoofing Detection Technique and Performance Evaluation for Dual-Frequency GNSS Receiver
by Zhenyang Wu, Haixuan Fu, Xiaoxuan Xu, Yuhao Xiao, Yimin Ma, Ziheng Zhou and Hong Li
Electronics 2025, 14(19), 3865; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14193865 - 29 Sep 2025
Viewed by 336
Abstract
Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) spoofing, which manipulates PVT solutions through false measurements, increasingly threatens GNSS reliability and user safety. However, most existing simulator-based spoofers, constrained by their inability to access real-time ionospheric information (e.g., Global Ionosphere Maps, GIMs) from external sources, struggle [...] Read more.
Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) spoofing, which manipulates PVT solutions through false measurements, increasingly threatens GNSS reliability and user safety. However, most existing simulator-based spoofers, constrained by their inability to access real-time ionospheric information (e.g., Global Ionosphere Maps, GIMs) from external sources, struggle to replicate authentic total electron content (TEC) along each signal propagation path accurately and in a timely manner. In contrast, widespread dual-frequency (DF) receivers with access to the internet can validate local TEC measurements against external references, establishing a pivotal spoofing detection distinction. Here, we propose an Ionospheric Information-Assisted Spoofing Detection Technique (IIA-SDT), exploiting the inherent consistency between TEC values derived from DF pseudo-range measurements and external references in spoofing-free scenarios. Spoofing probably disrupts this consistency: in simulator-based full-channel spoofing where all channels are spoofed, the inaccuracies of the offline ionospheric model used by the spoofer inevitably cause TEC mismatches; in partial-channel spoofing where the spoofer fails to control all channels, an unintended PVT deviation is induced, which also causes TEC deviations due to the spatial variation of the ionosphere. Basic principles and theoretical analysis of the proposed IIA-SDT are elaborated in the paper. Simulations using ionospheric data collected from 2023 to 2024 at a typical mid-latitude location are conducted to evaluate IIA-SDT performance under various parameter configurations. With a window length of 5 s and satellite number of 8, the annual average detection probability approximates 75% at a false alarm rate of 1×103, with observable temporal variations. Field experiments across multiple scenarios further validate the spoofing detection capability of the proposed method. Full article
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21 pages, 9610 KB  
Article
Global Ionosphere Total Electron Content Prediction Based on Bidirectional Denoising Wavelet Transform Convolution
by Liwei Sun, Guoming Yuan, Huijun Le, Xingyue Yao, Shijia Li and Haijun Liu
Atmosphere 2025, 16(10), 1139; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16101139 - 28 Sep 2025
Viewed by 268
Abstract
The Denoising Wavelet Transform Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory Network (DWTConvLSTM) is a novel ionospheric total electron content (TEC) spatiotemporal prediction model proposed in 2025 that can simultaneously consider high-frequency and low-frequency features while suppressing noise. However, it also has flaws as it only [...] Read more.
The Denoising Wavelet Transform Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory Network (DWTConvLSTM) is a novel ionospheric total electron content (TEC) spatiotemporal prediction model proposed in 2025 that can simultaneously consider high-frequency and low-frequency features while suppressing noise. However, it also has flaws as it only considers unidirectional temporal features in spatiotemporal prediction. To address this issue, this paper adopts a bidirectional structure and designs a bidirectional DWTConvLSTM model that can simultaneously extract bidirectional spatiotemporal features from TEC maps. Furthermore, we integrate a lightweight attention mechanism called Convolutional Additive Self-Attention (CASA) to enhance important features and attenuate unimportant ones. The final model was named CASA-BiDWTConvLSTM. We validated the effectiveness of each improvement through ablation experiments. Then, a comprehensive comparison was performed on the 11-year Global Ionospheric Maps (GIMs) dataset, involving the proposed CASA-BiDWTConvLSTM model and several other state-of-the-art models such as C1PG, ConvGRU, ConvLSTM, and PredRNN. In this experiment, the dataset was partitioned into 7 years for training, 2 years for validation, and the final 2 years for testing. The experimental results indicate that the RMSE of CASA-BiDWTConvLSTM is lower than those of C1PG, ConvGRU, ConvLSTM, and PredRNN. Specifically, the decreases in RMSE during high solar activity years are 24.84%, 16.57%, 13.50%, and 10.29%, respectively, while the decreases during low solar activity years are 26.11%, 16.83%, 11.68%, and 7.04%, respectively. In addition, this article also verified the effectiveness of CASA-BiDWTConvLSTM from spatial and temporal perspectives, as well as on four geomagnetic storms. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Techniques, Instruments, and Modeling)
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18 pages, 1617 KB  
Article
Generation of Klobuchar Coefficients Based on IGS GIM for Regionally Optimized Ionospheric Correction in GNSS Positioning
by Kwan-Dong Park, Ei-Ju Sim, Byung-Kyu Choi, Jong-Kyun Chung, Dong-Hyo Sohn, Junseok Hong, Hyung Keun Lee, Jeongrae Kim and Eunseong Son
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(19), 3265; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17193265 - 23 Sep 2025
Viewed by 438
Abstract
A practical methodology for estimating regionally optimized Klobuchar coefficients using only International GNSS Service (IGS) Global Ionosphere Map (GIM) data is proposed. The method preserves computational simplicity, enabling near-real-time corrections suitable for accurate GNSS positioning. Utilizing both slant and vertical total electron content [...] Read more.
A practical methodology for estimating regionally optimized Klobuchar coefficients using only International GNSS Service (IGS) Global Ionosphere Map (GIM) data is proposed. The method preserves computational simplicity, enabling near-real-time corrections suitable for accurate GNSS positioning. Utilizing both slant and vertical total electron content (STEC and VTEC) values extracted from GIM as inputs to estimate eight Klobuchar coefficients, robust parameter sets were obtained. Root mean square error (RMSE) analysis was used to compare these models to the standard Klobuchar model. Comprehensive performance evaluations using STEC-derived parameters, encompassing both seasonal and spatial analyses across South Korea, demonstrated significant reductions in ionospheric delay errors, with improvements reaching up to 57% compared to the conventional Klobuchar model. The far less computationally intensive VTEC-based model was applied over a wider region with 120 grid points. Continuous testing of this model over an entire year confirmed consistent enhancements in correction accuracy every day, demonstrating stable performance throughout the period. The developed regional Klobuchar models were further validated indirectly through satellite positioning performance, demonstrating daily RMSE improvements over the standard Klobuchar model ranging from 17.3% to 44.6%. Full article
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27 pages, 16753 KB  
Article
A 1°-Resolution Global Ionospheric TEC Modeling Method Based on a Dual-Branch Input Convolutional Neural Network
by Nian Liu, Yibin Yao and Liang Zhang
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(17), 3095; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17173095 - 5 Sep 2025
Viewed by 1057
Abstract
Total Electron Content (TEC) is a fundamental parameter characterizing the electron density distribution in the ionosphere. Traditional global TEC modeling approaches predominantly rely on mathematical methods (such as spherical harmonic function fitting), often resulting in models suffering from excessive smoothing and low accuracy. [...] Read more.
Total Electron Content (TEC) is a fundamental parameter characterizing the electron density distribution in the ionosphere. Traditional global TEC modeling approaches predominantly rely on mathematical methods (such as spherical harmonic function fitting), often resulting in models suffering from excessive smoothing and low accuracy. While the 1° high-resolution global TEC model released by MIT offers improved temporal-spatial resolution, it exhibits regions of data gaps. Existing ionospheric image completion methods frequently employ Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), which suffer from drawbacks such as complex model structures and lengthy training times. We propose a novel high-resolution global ionospheric TEC modeling method based on a Dual-Branch Convolutional Neural Network (DB-CNN) designed for the completion and restoration of incomplete 1°-resolution ionospheric TEC images. The novel model utilizes a dual-branch input structure: the background field, generated using the International Reference Ionosphere (IRI) model TEC maps, and the observation field, consisting of global incomplete TEC maps coupled with their corresponding mask maps. An asymmetric dual-branch parallel encoder, feature fusion, and residual decoder framework enables precise reconstruction of missing regions, ultimately generating a complete global ionospheric TEC map. Experimental results demonstrate that the model achieves Root Mean Square Errors (RMSE) of 0.30 TECU and 1.65 TECU in the observed and unobserved regions, respectively, in simulated data experiments. For measured experiments, the RMSE values are 1.39 TECU and 1.93 TECU in the observed and unobserved regions. Validation results utilizing Jason-3 altimeter-measured VTEC demonstrate that the model achieves stable reconstruction performance across all four seasons and various time periods. In key-day comparisons, its STD and RMSE consistently outperform those of the CODE global ionospheric model (GIM). Furthermore, a long-term evaluation from 2021 to 2024 reveals that, compared to the CODE model, the DB-CNN achieves average reductions of 38.2% in STD and 23.5% in RMSE. This study provides a novel dual-branch input convolutional neural network-based method for constructing 1°-resolution global ionospheric products, offering significant application value for enhancing GNSS positioning accuracy and space weather monitoring capabilities. Full article
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21 pages, 3735 KB  
Article
Estimating Ionospheric Phase Scintillation Indices in the Polar Region from 1 Hz GNSS Observations Using Machine Learning
by Zhuojun Han, Ruimin Jin, Longjiang Chen, Weimin Zhen, Huaiyun Peng, Huiyun Yang, Mingyue Gu, Xiang Cui and Guangwang Ji
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(17), 3073; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17173073 - 3 Sep 2025
Viewed by 1013
Abstract
Ionospheric scintillation represents a disturbance phenomenon induced by irregular electron density variations, predominantly occurring in equatorial, auroral, and polar regions, thereby posing significant threats to Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) performance. Polar regions in particular confront distinctive challenges, including the sparse deployment of [...] Read more.
Ionospheric scintillation represents a disturbance phenomenon induced by irregular electron density variations, predominantly occurring in equatorial, auroral, and polar regions, thereby posing significant threats to Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) performance. Polar regions in particular confront distinctive challenges, including the sparse deployment of dedicated ionospheric scintillation monitoring receiver (ISMR) equipment, the limited availability of strong scintillation samples, severely imbalanced training datasets, and the insufficient sensitivity of conventional Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to intense scintillation events. To address these challenges, this study proposes a modeling framework that integrates residual neural networks (ResNet) with the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique for Regression with Gaussian Noise (SMOGN). The proposed model incorporates multi-source disturbance features to accurately estimate phase scintillation indices (σφ) in polar regions. The methodology was implemented and validated across multiple polar observation stations in Canada. Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) interpretability analysis reveals that the rate of total electron content index (ROTI) features contribute up to 64.09% of the predictive weight. The experimental results demonstrate a substantial performance enhancement compared with conventional DNN models, with root mean square error (RMSE) values ranging from 0.0078 to 0.038 for daytime samples in 2024, and an average coefficient of determination (R2) consistently exceeding 0.89. The coefficient of determination for the Pseudo-Random Noise (PRN) path estimation results can reach 0.91. The model has good estimation results at different latitudes and is able to accurately capture the distribution characteristics of the local strong scintillation structures and their evolution patterns. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Remote Sensing)
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16 pages, 12472 KB  
Article
Modeling and Accuracy Evaluation of Ionospheric VTEC Across China Utilizing CMONOC GPS/GLONASS Observations
by Fu-Ying Zhu and Chen Zhou
Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 988; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080988 - 20 Aug 2025
Viewed by 608
Abstract
Accurate estimation of the regional ionospheric model (RIM) is essential for Total electron content and high-precision applications of the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS). Utilizing dual-frequency observations from over 250 Crustal Movement Observation Network of China (CMONOC) monitoring stations, which are equipped with [...] Read more.
Accurate estimation of the regional ionospheric model (RIM) is essential for Total electron content and high-precision applications of the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS). Utilizing dual-frequency observations from over 250 Crustal Movement Observation Network of China (CMONOC) monitoring stations, which are equipped with both GPS and GLONASS receivers, this study investigates the Vertical Total Electron Content (VTEC) estimation models over the China region and evaluates the estimation accuracy under both GPS-only and GPS+GLONASS configurations. Results indicate that, over the Chinese region, the spherical harmonic reginal ionospheric model (G_SH RIM) and polynomial function reginal ionospheric model (G_Poly RIM) based on single GPS observations demonstrate comparable accuracy with highly consistent spatiotemporal distribution characteristics, showing grid mean deviations of 1.60 TECu and 1.62 TECu, respectively. The combined GPS+GLONASS observation-based RIMs (GR_SH RIM and GR_Poly RIM) significantly improve the TEC modeling accuracy in the Chinese peripheral regions, though the overall average accuracy decreases compared to single-GPS models. Specifically, GR_SH RIM and GR_Poly RIM exhibit mean deviations of 2.15 TECu and 2.32 TECu, respectively. A preliminary analysis reveals that the reduced accuracy is primarily due to the systematic errors introduced by imprecise differential code biases (DCBs) of GLONASS satellites. These findings can provide valuable references for multi-GNSS regional ionospheric estimation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advanced GNSS for Ionospheric Sounding and Disturbances Monitoring)
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23 pages, 14727 KB  
Article
A Novel Method for Single-Station Lightning Distance Estimation Based on the Physical Time Reversal
by Yingcheng Zhao, Zheng Sun, Yantao Duan, Hailin Chen, Yicheng Liu and Lihua Shi
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2734; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152734 - 7 Aug 2025
Viewed by 403
Abstract
A single-station lightning location has the obvious advantages of low cost and convenience in lightning monitoring and warning. To address the critical challenge of distance estimation accuracy in this technology, we propose a novel physical time-reversal (PTR) method to utilize the full wave [...] Read more.
A single-station lightning location has the obvious advantages of low cost and convenience in lightning monitoring and warning. To address the critical challenge of distance estimation accuracy in this technology, we propose a novel physical time-reversal (PTR) method to utilize the full wave information of both the ground wave and the sky wave in the detected signal. First, we improved the numerical model for accurately calculating the lightning sferics signals in the complex propagation environment of the Earth–ionosphere waveguide using the measured International Reference Ionosphere 2020. Subsequently, the sferics signal with multipath effect is transformed by time reversal and back propagated in the numerical model. Furthermore, a broadening factor reflecting the waveform dispersion in the back propagation is defined as the single-station focusing criterion to determine the optimal lightning propagation distance, considering the multipath effect and the focus of the PTR process. The experimental results demonstrate that the average root mean square error (RMSE) and the mean relative error (MRE) of the PTR method for the lightning distance estimation in the numerical simulation within the range of 100–1200 km are 5.517 km and 1.21%, respectively, and the average RMSE and the MRE for the natural lightning strikes to the Canton Tower from the measured data in the range of 181.643–1152.834 km are 9.251 km and 2.07%, respectively. Moreover, the correlation coefficients of the detection results are all as high as 0.999. These results indicate that the PTR method significantly outperforms the traditional ionospheric reflection method, demonstrating that it is able to perform a more accurate single-station lightning distance estimation by utilizing the compensation mechanism of the multipath effect on the sferics. The implementation of the proposed method has significant application value for improving the accuracy of single-station lightning location. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Remote Sensing)
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18 pages, 5296 KB  
Article
Grid-Search-Optimized, Gated Recurrent Unit-Based Prediction Model for Ionospheric Total Electron Content
by Shuo Zhou, Ziyi Yang, Qiao Yu and Jian Wang
Technologies 2025, 13(8), 347; https://doi.org/10.3390/technologies13080347 - 7 Aug 2025
Viewed by 516
Abstract
Accurately predicting the ionosphere’s Total Electron Content (TEC) is significant for ensuring the regular operation of satellite navigation and communication systems and space weather prediction. To further improve the accuracy of TEC prediction, this paper proposes a TEC prediction model based on the [...] Read more.
Accurately predicting the ionosphere’s Total Electron Content (TEC) is significant for ensuring the regular operation of satellite navigation and communication systems and space weather prediction. To further improve the accuracy of TEC prediction, this paper proposes a TEC prediction model based on the grid-optimized Gate Recurrent Unit (GRU). This model has the following main features: (1) it uses statistical learning methods to interpolate the missing data of TEC observations; (2) it constructs a sliding time window by using the multi-dimensional time series features of two types of solar activity indices to support modeling; (3) It adopts grid search combined with optimization of network depth, time step length, and other hyperparameters to significantly enhance the model’s ability to extract the characteristics of the ionospheric 11-year cycle and seasonal variations. Taking the EGLIN station as an example, the proposed model is verified. The experimental results show that the root mean square error of the GRU model during the period from 2019 to 2020 was 0.78 TECU, which was significantly lower than those of the CCIR, URSI, and statistical machine learning models. Compared with the other three models, the RMSE error of the GRU model was reduced by 72.73%, 72.64%, and 57.38%, respectively. The above research verifies the advantages of the proposed model in predicting TEC and provides a new idea for ionospheric modeling. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental Technology)
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16 pages, 2036 KB  
Article
Investigating a Characteristic Time Lag in the Ionospheric F-Region’s Response to Solar Flares
by Aisling N. O’Hare, Susanna Bekker, Harry J. Greatorex and Ryan O. Milligan
Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 937; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080937 - 5 Aug 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 775
Abstract
X-ray and EUV solar flare emission cause increases in the Earth’s dayside ionospheric electron density. While the response of the lower ionosphere to X-rays is well studied, the delay between EUV flare emission and the response of the ionospheric F-region has not been [...] Read more.
X-ray and EUV solar flare emission cause increases in the Earth’s dayside ionospheric electron density. While the response of the lower ionosphere to X-rays is well studied, the delay between EUV flare emission and the response of the ionospheric F-region has not been investigated. Here, we calculate the delays between incident He II 304 Å emission, and the TEC response for 10 powerful solar flares, all of which exhibit delays under 1 min. We assess these delays in relation to multiple solar and geophysical factors, and find a strong negative correlation (∼−0.85) between delay and He II flux change and a moderate negative correlation (∼−0.55) with rate of increase in He II flux. Additionally, flare magnitude and the X-ray-to-He II flux ratio at peak He II emission show strong negative correlations with delay (∼−0.80 and ∼−0.75, respectively). We also identify longer delays for flares occurring closer to the summer solstice. These results may have applications in upper-ionospheric recombination rate calculations, atmospheric modelling, and other solar–terrestrial studies. We highlight the importance of incident EUV and X-ray flux parameters on the response time of the ionospheric electron content, and these findings may also have implications for mitigating disruptions in communication and navigation systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Feature Papers in Upper Atmosphere (2nd Edition))
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18 pages, 12319 KB  
Article
The Poleward Shift of the Equatorial Ionization Anomaly During the Main Phase of the Superstorm on 10 May 2024
by Di Bai, Yijun Fu, Chunyong Yang, Kedeng Zhang and Yongqiang Cui
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2616; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152616 - 28 Jul 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 567
Abstract
On 10 May 2024, a super geomagnetic storm with a minimum Dst index of less than −400 nT occurred. It has attracted a significant amount of attention in the literature. Using total electron content (TEC) observations from a global navigation satellite system (GNSS), [...] Read more.
On 10 May 2024, a super geomagnetic storm with a minimum Dst index of less than −400 nT occurred. It has attracted a significant amount of attention in the literature. Using total electron content (TEC) observations from a global navigation satellite system (GNSS), in situ electron density data from the Swarm satellite, and corresponding simulations from the thermosphere–ionosphere–electrodynamics general circulation model (TIEGCM), the dynamic poleward shift of the equatorial ionization anomaly (EIA) during the main phase of the super geomagnetic storm has been explored. The results show that the EIA crests moved poleward from ±15° magnetic latitude (MLat) to ±20° MLat at around 19.6 UT, to ±25° MLat at 21.2 UT, and to ±31° MLat at 22.7 UT. This poleward shift was primarily driven by the enhanced eastward electric field, neutral winds, and ambipolar diffusion. Storm-induced meridional winds can move ionospheric plasma upward/downward along geomagnetic field lines, causing the poleward movement of EIA crests, with minor contributions from zonal winds. Ambipolar diffusion contributes/prevents the formation of EIA crests at most EIA latitudes/the equatorward edge. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Ionosphere Monitoring with Remote Sensing (3rd Edition))
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9 pages, 2733 KB  
Data Descriptor
Investigating Mid-Latitude Lower Ionospheric Responses to Energetic Electron Precipitation: A Case Study
by Aleksandra Kolarski, Vladimir A. Srećković, Zoran R. Mijić and Filip Arnaut
Data 2025, 10(8), 121; https://doi.org/10.3390/data10080121 - 26 Jul 2025
Viewed by 529
Abstract
Localized ionization enhancements (LIEs) in altitude range corresponding to the D-region ionosphere, disrupting Very-Low-Frequency (VLF) signal propagation. This case study focuses on Lightning-induced Electron Precipitation (LEP), analyzing amplitude and phase variations in VLF signals recorded in Belgrade, Serbia, from worldwide transmitters. Due to [...] Read more.
Localized ionization enhancements (LIEs) in altitude range corresponding to the D-region ionosphere, disrupting Very-Low-Frequency (VLF) signal propagation. This case study focuses on Lightning-induced Electron Precipitation (LEP), analyzing amplitude and phase variations in VLF signals recorded in Belgrade, Serbia, from worldwide transmitters. Due to the localized, transient nature of Energetic Electron Precipitation (EEP) events and the path-dependence of VLF responses, research relies on event-specific case studies to model reflection height and sharpness via numerical simulations. Findings show LIEs are typically under 1000 × 500 km, with varying internal structure. Accumulated case studies and corresponding data across diverse conditions contribute to a broader understanding of ionospheric dynamics and space weather effects. These findings enhance regional modeling, support aerosol–electricity climate research, and underscore the value of VLF-based ionospheric monitoring and collaboration in Europe. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Spatial Data Science and Digital Earth)
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22 pages, 6640 KB  
Article
IonoBench: Evaluating Spatiotemporal Models for Ionospheric Forecasting Under Solar-Balanced and Storm-Aware Conditions
by Mert Can Turkmen, Yee Hui Lee and Eng Leong Tan
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2557; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152557 - 23 Jul 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 518
Abstract
Accurate modeling of ionospheric variability is critical for space weather forecasting and GNSS applications. While machine learning approaches have shown promise, progress is hindered by the absence of standardized benchmarking practices and narrow test periods. In this paper, we take the first step [...] Read more.
Accurate modeling of ionospheric variability is critical for space weather forecasting and GNSS applications. While machine learning approaches have shown promise, progress is hindered by the absence of standardized benchmarking practices and narrow test periods. In this paper, we take the first step toward fostering rigorous and reproducible evaluation of AI models for ionospheric forecasting by introducing IonoBench: a benchmarking framework that employs a stratified data split, balancing solar intensity across subsets while preserving 16 high-impact geomagnetic storms (Dst ≤ 100 nT) for targeted stress testing. Using this framework, we benchmark a field-specific model (DCNN) against state-of-the-art spatiotemporal architectures (SwinLSTM and SimVPv2) using the climatological IRI 2020 model as a baseline reference. DCNN, though effective under quiet conditions, exhibits significant degradation during elevated solar and storm activity. SimVPv2 consistently provides the best performance, with superior evaluation metrics and stable error distributions. Compared to the C1PG baseline (the CODE 1-day forecast product), SimVPv2 achieves a notable RMSE reduction up to 32.1% across various subsets under diverse solar conditions. The reported results highlight the value of cross-domain architectural transfer and comprehensive evaluation frameworks in ionospheric modeling. With IonoBench, we aim to provide an open-source foundation for reproducible comparisons, supporting more meticulous model evaluation and helping to bridge the gap between ionospheric research and modern spatiotemporal deep learning. Full article
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