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Search Results (434)

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Keywords = fuzzy integrated assessment model

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21 pages, 6998 KiB  
Article
Sampling Method Based on Fuzzy Membership for Computing Negative Sample Credibility and Its Applications
by Zhijie Ning and Yongbo Tie
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(14), 7646; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15147646 - 8 Jul 2025
Viewed by 126
Abstract
Current sampling methods do not provide effective quantitative assessment mechanisms for evaluating the intrinsic credibility of negative samples. This impedes the systematic quantification of the effect of misselection of geologically predisposed areas (i.e., potential landslide zones) as negative samples on the accuracy of [...] Read more.
Current sampling methods do not provide effective quantitative assessment mechanisms for evaluating the intrinsic credibility of negative samples. This impedes the systematic quantification of the effect of misselection of geologically predisposed areas (i.e., potential landslide zones) as negative samples on the accuracy of landslide susceptibility evaluation models. To overcome this challenge, this study proposes a fuzzy membership-based sampling method for assessing negative sample credibility in the Liangshan Yi Autonomous Prefecture, where credibility is defined as the confidence level of stable nonlandslide samples. Subsequently, negative samples were sampled across stratified credibility thresholds to construct a frequency ratio–random forest coupled model. The influence of negative sample credibility on model performance was then systematically evaluated using various metrics, including the F1-score (metrics for evaluating classification performance), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and actual landslide distribution ratio (landslide proportion) in high-susceptibility zones. The results are as follows: (1) Increasing the credibility threshold progressively improves model precision while inducing systematic overestimation bias in regional susceptibility assessment; (2) Integrated analysis of model performance and landslide distribution characteristics (where recall, F1-score, and AUC values initially increase then decrease) confirms the optimal effectiveness when selecting negative samples within a credibility threshold range of 0.7–1.0. This study innovatively achieves quantitative optimization of negative samples and provides a universal solution for improving the performance of diverse models reliant on negative sampling strategies. Full article
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22 pages, 2953 KiB  
Article
Risk Assessment Model for Railway Track Maintenance Operations Based on Combined Weights and Nonlinear FCE
by Rui Luan and Rengkui Liu
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(13), 7614; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15137614 - 7 Jul 2025
Viewed by 267
Abstract
Current risk assessment in railway track maintenance operations faces challenges (low spatiotemporal accuracy, limited adaptability to various scenarios, and tendency of linear fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) methods to underestimate high-risk factors). To address these, this study proposes a novel risk assessment model that [...] Read more.
Current risk assessment in railway track maintenance operations faces challenges (low spatiotemporal accuracy, limited adaptability to various scenarios, and tendency of linear fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) methods to underestimate high-risk factors). To address these, this study proposes a novel risk assessment model that integrates subjective–objective weighting techniques with a nonlinear FCE approach. By incorporating spatiotemporal information, the model enables precise localization of risk occurrence in individual maintenance operations. A comprehensive risk index system is constructed across four dimensions: human, equipment, environment, and management. The game theory combined weighting method, integrating the G1 method and entropy weight method, is employed; it balances expert judgment with data-driven analysis. A cloud model is introduced to generate risk membership matrices, accounting for the fuzziness and randomness of risk data. The nonlinear FCE framework enhances the influence of high-risk factors. Risk levels are determined using the combined weights, membership matrices, and the maximum membership principle. A case study on the Lanzhou–Xinjiang Railway demonstrates that the proposed model achieves higher consistency with actual risk conditions than conventional methods, improving assessment accuracy and reliability. This model offers a practical and effective tool for risk prevention and control in railway maintenance operations. Full article
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20 pages, 2078 KiB  
Article
Holistically Green and Sustainable Pathway Prioritisation for Chemical Process Plant Systems via a FAHP–TOPSIS Framework
by Daniel Li, Mohamed Galal Hassan-Sayed, Nuno Bimbo, Zhaomin Li and Ihab M. T. Shigidi
Processes 2025, 13(7), 2068; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13072068 - 30 Jun 2025
Viewed by 319
Abstract
Multi-criteria Decision Making (MCDM) presents a novel approach towards truly holistic green sustainability, particularly within the context of chemical process plants (CPPs). ASPEN Plus v12.0 was utilised for two representative CPP cases: isopropanol (IPA) production via isopropyl acetate, and green ammonia (NH3 [...] Read more.
Multi-criteria Decision Making (MCDM) presents a novel approach towards truly holistic green sustainability, particularly within the context of chemical process plants (CPPs). ASPEN Plus v12.0 was utilised for two representative CPP cases: isopropanol (IPA) production via isopropyl acetate, and green ammonia (NH3) production. An integrated Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) and Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) was modelled in MATLAB v24.1 to prioritise the holistically green and sustainable pathways. Life cycle assessments (LCAs) were employed to select the pathways, and the most suitable sub-criteria per the four criteria are as follows: social, economic, environmental, and technical. In descending order of optimality, the pathways were ranked as follows for green NH3 and IPA, respectively: Hydropower (HPEA) > Wind Turbine (WGEA) > Biomass Gasification (BGEA)/Solar Photovoltaic (PVEA) > Nuclear High Temperature (NTEA), and Propylene Indirect Hydration (IAH) > Direct Propylene Hydration (PH) > Acetone Hydrogenation (AH). Sensitivity analysis evaluated the FAHP–TOPSIS framework to be overall robust. However, there are potential uncertainties within and/or among sub-criteria, particularly in the social dimension, due to software and data limitations. Future research would seek to integrate FAHP with VIKOR and the Preference Ranking Organization Method for Enrichment Evaluation (PROMETHEE-II). Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Chemical Processes and Systems)
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17 pages, 3775 KiB  
Article
Suitability Evaluation of Site-Level CO2 Geo-Storage in Saline Aquifers of Ying–Qiong Basin, South China Sea
by Jin Liao, Cai Li, Qihui Yang, Aixia Sun, Guangze Song, Joaquin Couchot, Aohan Jin and Quanrong Wang
Energies 2025, 18(13), 3388; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18133388 - 27 Jun 2025
Viewed by 216
Abstract
CO2 geo-storage is a promising approach in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and controlling global temperature rise. Although numerous studies have reported that offshore saline aquifers have greater storage potential and safety, current suitability evaluation models for CO2 geo-storage primarily focus on [...] Read more.
CO2 geo-storage is a promising approach in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and controlling global temperature rise. Although numerous studies have reported that offshore saline aquifers have greater storage potential and safety, current suitability evaluation models for CO2 geo-storage primarily focus on onshore saline aquifers, and site-level evaluations for offshore CO2 geo-storage remain unreported. In this study, we propose a framework to evaluate the site-level offshore CO2 geo-storage suitability with a multi-tiered indicator system, which considers three types of factors: engineering geology, storage potential, and socio-economy. Compared to the onshore CO2 geo-storage suitability evaluation models, the proposed indicator system considers the unique conditions of offshore CO2 geo-storage, including water depth, offshore distance, and distance from drilling platforms. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation (FCE) methods were integrated and applied to the analysis of the Ying–Qiong Basin, South China Sea. The results indicated that the average suitability score in the Yinggehai Basin (0.762) was higher than that in the Qiongdongnan Basin (0.691). This difference was attributed to more extensive fault development in the Qiongdongnan Basin, suggesting that the Yinggehai Basin is more suitable for CO2 geo-storage. In addition, the DF-I reservoir in the Yinggehai Basin and the BD-A reservoir in the Qiongdongnan Basin were selected as the optimal CO2 geo-storage targets for the two sub-basins, with storage potentials of 1.09 × 108 t and 2.40 × 107 t, respectively. This study advances the methodology for assessing site-level potential of CO2 geo-storage in offshore saline aquifers and provides valuable insights for engineering applications and decision-making in future CO2 geo-storage projects in the Ying–Qiong Basin. Full article
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23 pages, 6326 KiB  
Article
Suitability and Potential Evaluation of Carbon Dioxide Geological Storage: Case Study of Dezhou Subdepression
by Zhizheng Liu, Lin Ye, Hao Liu, Chao Jia, Henghua Zhu, Zeyu Li and Huafeng Liu
Sustainability 2025, 17(13), 5860; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17135860 - 25 Jun 2025
Viewed by 226
Abstract
Under the dual-carbon policy framework, geological CO2 storage, particularly in saline aquifers, is pivotal to achieving national emission reduction targets. However, selecting geologically favorable storage sites demands quantitative assessment of complex geological factors—a task hindered by subjective traditional methods. To address this, [...] Read more.
Under the dual-carbon policy framework, geological CO2 storage, particularly in saline aquifers, is pivotal to achieving national emission reduction targets. However, selecting geologically favorable storage sites demands quantitative assessment of complex geological factors—a task hindered by subjective traditional methods. To address this, the study employs an integrated approach combining multi-criteria decision analysis (Analytic Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation) with multiphase flow simulations to investigate the Dezhou Subdepression in Shandong Province. The results indicate that the Dezhou Subdepression is moderately favorable for CO2 geological storage, characterized by geologically optimal burial depth and favorable reservoir conditions. When the injection pressure increases from 1.1 times the original Group pressure (1.1P) to 1.5 times the original Group pressure (1.5P), the lateral migration distance of CO2 expands by 240%, and the total storage capacity increases by approximately 275%. However, under 1.5P conditions, the CO2 plume reaches the model boundary within 6.3 years, underscoring the increased risk of CO2 leakage under high-pressure injection scenarios. This study provides strategic insights for policymakers and supports strategic planning for a CO2 storage pilot project in the Dezhou Subdepression. It also serves as a reference framework for future assessments of CO2 geological storage potential. Full article
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22 pages, 5083 KiB  
Article
Intelligent Mobile-Assisted Language Learning: A Deep Learning Approach for Pronunciation Analysis and Personalized Feedback
by Fengqin Liu, Korawit Orkphol, Natthapon Pannurat, Thanat Sooknuan, Thanin Muangpool, Sanya Kuankid and Montri Phothisonothai
Inventions 2025, 10(4), 46; https://doi.org/10.3390/inventions10040046 - 24 Jun 2025
Viewed by 473
Abstract
This paper introduces an innovative mobile-assisted language-learning (MALL) system that harnesses deep learning technology to analyze pronunciation patterns and deliver real-time, personalized feedback. Drawing inspiration from how the human brain processes speech through neural pathways, our system analyzes multiple speech features using spectrograms, [...] Read more.
This paper introduces an innovative mobile-assisted language-learning (MALL) system that harnesses deep learning technology to analyze pronunciation patterns and deliver real-time, personalized feedback. Drawing inspiration from how the human brain processes speech through neural pathways, our system analyzes multiple speech features using spectrograms, mel-frequency cepstral coefficients (MFCCs), and formant frequencies in a manner that mirrors the auditory cortex’s interpretation of sound. The core of our approach utilizes a convolutional neural network (CNN) to classify pronunciation patterns from user-recorded speech. To enhance the assessment accuracy and provide nuanced feedback, we integrated a fuzzy inference system (FIS) that helps learners identify and correct specific pronunciation errors. The experimental results demonstrate that our multi-feature model achieved 82.41% to 90.52% accuracies in accent classification across diverse linguistic contexts. The user testing revealed statistically significant improvements in pronunciation skills, where learners showed a 5–20% enhancement in accuracy after using the system. The proposed MALL system offers a portable, accessible solution for language learners while establishing a foundation for future research in multilingual functionality and mobile platform optimization. By combining advanced speech analysis with intuitive feedback mechanisms, this system addresses a critical challenge in language acquisition and promotes more effective self-directed learning. Full article
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25 pages, 1643 KiB  
Article
Vulnerability Assessment Framework for Physical Protection Systems Integrating Complex Networks and Fuzzy Petri Nets
by Si Chen, Ziming Wang, Bo Jin, Xin Tong and Hua Jin
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(13), 7062; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15137062 - 23 Jun 2025
Viewed by 202
Abstract
Modern physical protection systems (PPSs) play a pivotal role in safeguarding critical infrastructure and maintaining public safety. Yet increasingly complex system architectures and evolving threat landscapes pose significant vulnerability challenges to PPSs. Conventional vulnerability assessment methods predominantly rely on expert knowledge or single-path [...] Read more.
Modern physical protection systems (PPSs) play a pivotal role in safeguarding critical infrastructure and maintaining public safety. Yet increasingly complex system architectures and evolving threat landscapes pose significant vulnerability challenges to PPSs. Conventional vulnerability assessment methods predominantly rely on expert knowledge or single-path analysis, which inadequately captures complex inter-component relationships and the impact of uncertainties on PPS vulnerabilities. To bridge this gap, this paper introduces a hybrid analytical framework synergizing complex network theory with fuzzy Petri net (FPN). The proposed method operates through two integrated phases: (1) constructing topological models of PPS using complex network theory to characterize component interrelationships, and (2) incorporating FPN to establish vulnerability propagation models that simulate cascading effects and quantify overall system vulnerability. Compared with conventional methods, the proposed approach demonstrates superior effectiveness in identifying critical vulnerability points within the system, providing a scientifically grounded foundation for enhancing PPS security and implementing risk control measures. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Petri Net-Based Specifications: From Theory to Applications)
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14 pages, 11409 KiB  
Article
Automatic Parallel Parking System Design with Fuzzy Control and LiDAR Detection
by Jung-Shan Lin, Hao-Jheng Wu and Jeih-Weih Hung
Electronics 2025, 14(13), 2520; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14132520 - 21 Jun 2025
Viewed by 279
Abstract
This paper presents a self-driving system for automatic parallel parking, integrating obstacle avoidance for enhanced safety. The vehicle platform employs three primary sensors—a web camera, a Zed depth camera, and LiDAR—to perceive its surroundings, including sidewalks and potential obstacles. By processing camera and [...] Read more.
This paper presents a self-driving system for automatic parallel parking, integrating obstacle avoidance for enhanced safety. The vehicle platform employs three primary sensors—a web camera, a Zed depth camera, and LiDAR—to perceive its surroundings, including sidewalks and potential obstacles. By processing camera and LiDAR data, the system determines the vehicle’s position and assesses parking space availability, with LiDAR also aiding in malfunction detection. The system operates in three stages: parking space identification, path planning using geometric circles, and fine-tuning with fuzzy control if misalignment is detected. Experimental results, evaluated visually in a model-scale setup, confirm the system’s ability to achieve smooth and reliable parallel parking maneuvers. Quantitative performance metrics, such as precise parking accuracy or total execution time, were not recorded in this study but will be included in future work to further support the system’s effectiveness. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Research on Deep Learning and Human-Robot Collaboration)
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11 pages, 1110 KiB  
Proceeding Paper
Evaluation Index for Healing Gardens in Computer-Aided Design
by Cheng-Kai Weng, Chao-Feng Lai and Wei-Chieh Yeh
Eng. Proc. 2025, 98(1), 17; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025098017 - 19 Jun 2025
Viewed by 389
Abstract
We developed an evaluation index model for healing gardens designed using computer-aided design. The landscape therapy theory, innovative methodologies such as the fuzzy Delphi method, and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) were integrated into the model. Three core design indices for healing gardens—somatosensory [...] Read more.
We developed an evaluation index model for healing gardens designed using computer-aided design. The landscape therapy theory, innovative methodologies such as the fuzzy Delphi method, and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) were integrated into the model. Three core design indices for healing gardens—somatosensory elements, visual components, and physical activity features—were identified and analyzed using the developed index model in this study. Plant diversity was identified as the most significant factor, followed by modeling aesthetics, color variety, plant healing properties, spatial recreational features, sensory richness, unobstructed circulation, and barrier-free design. While the developed evaluation index model has limitations, it is a novel and systematic model based on innovative computing methods to assess and enhance contemporary healing garden design. Full article
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24 pages, 2597 KiB  
Article
Fuzzy Optimization and Life Cycle Assessment for Sustainable Supply Chain Design: Applications in the Dairy Industry
by Pablo Flores-Siguenza, Victor Lopez-Sanchez, Julio Mosquera-Gutierres, Juan Llivisaca-Villazhañay, Marlon Moscoso-Martínez and Rodrigo Guamán
Sustainability 2025, 17(12), 5634; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17125634 - 19 Jun 2025
Viewed by 405
Abstract
The increasing emphasis on integrating sustainability into corporate operations has prompted supply chain managers to incorporate not only economic objectives but also environmental and social considerations into their network designs. This study presents a structured six-stage methodology to develop a fuzzy multi-objective optimization [...] Read more.
The increasing emphasis on integrating sustainability into corporate operations has prompted supply chain managers to incorporate not only economic objectives but also environmental and social considerations into their network designs. This study presents a structured six-stage methodology to develop a fuzzy multi-objective optimization model for the sustainable design of a multi-level, multi-product forward supply chain network. The model incorporates two conflicting objectives: minimizing total network costs and reducing environmental impact. To quantify environmental performance, a comprehensive life cycle assessment is conducted in accordance with the ISO 14040 standard and the ReCiPe 2016 method, focusing on three impact categories: human health, resources, and ecosystems. To address uncertainty in demand and production costs, fuzzy mixed-integer linear programming is employed. The model is validated and applied to a real-world case study of a dairy small-to-medium enterprise in Ecuador. Using the epsilon-constraint method, a Pareto frontier is generated to illustrate the trade-offs between the economic and environmental objectives. This research provides a robust decision-making tool for uncertain environments and advances knowledge on the integration of life cycle assessment with supply chain optimization and network design methodologies for sustainable development. Full article
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25 pages, 7055 KiB  
Article
A Game-Theoretic Combination Weighting–TOPSIS Integrated Model for Sustainable Floodplain Risk Assessment Under Multi-Return-Period Scenarios
by Xuejing Ruan, Hai Sun, Qiwei Yu, Wenchi Shou and Jun Wang
Sustainability 2025, 17(12), 5622; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17125622 - 18 Jun 2025
Viewed by 373
Abstract
Global climate change has altered precipitation patterns, leading to an increased frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events and introducing greater uncertainty to flood risk in river basins. Traditional assessments often rely on static indicators and single-design scenarios, failing to reflect the dynamic [...] Read more.
Global climate change has altered precipitation patterns, leading to an increased frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events and introducing greater uncertainty to flood risk in river basins. Traditional assessments often rely on static indicators and single-design scenarios, failing to reflect the dynamic evolution of floods under varying intensities. Additionally, oversimplified topographic representations compromise the accuracy of high-risk-zone identification, limiting the effectiveness of precision flood management. To address these limitations, this study constructs multi-return-period flood scenarios and applies a coupled 1D/2D hydrodynamic model to analyze the spatial evolution of flood hazards and extract refined hazard indicators. A multi-source weighting framework is proposed by integrating the triangular fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (TFAHP) and the entropy weight method–criteria importance through intercriteria correlation (EWM-CRITIC), with game-theoretic strategies employed to achieve optimal balance among different weighting sources. These are combined with the technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS) to develop a continuous flood risk assessment model. The approach is applied to the Georges River Basin in Australia. The findings support data-driven flood risk management strategies that benefit policymakers, urban planners, and emergency services, while also empowering local communities to better prepare for and respond to flood risks. By promoting resilient, inclusive, and sustainable urban development, this research directly contributes to the achievement of United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 11 (Sustainable Cities and Communities). Full article
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20 pages, 13323 KiB  
Article
Dynamic Weight Model Predictive Control for Longitudinal Adaptive Cruise Systems in Electric Vehicles
by Wentian Wei, Lan Li, Qiyuan Li, Song Zhang, Chaoqun Fan and Lizhe Liang
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(12), 6715; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15126715 - 16 Jun 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 485
Abstract
This paper proposes a dynamic weight model predictive control (DWMPC) strategy for adaptive cruise control (ACC) in pure electric vehicles, aiming to enhance robustness, energy efficiency, and ride comfort under complex traffic conditions. Unlike conventional MPC with static weights, the proposed method integrates [...] Read more.
This paper proposes a dynamic weight model predictive control (DWMPC) strategy for adaptive cruise control (ACC) in pure electric vehicles, aiming to enhance robustness, energy efficiency, and ride comfort under complex traffic conditions. Unlike conventional MPC with static weights, the proposed method integrates a fuzzy inference system that evaluates driving urgency based on real-time spacing and velocity errors. The resulting emergency coefficient is mapped through a nonlinear function to dynamically adjust the velocity tracking weight in the MPC cost function. Additionally, a four-mode coordination mechanism adaptively modifies acceleration and jerk penalties according to risk levels, enabling balanced responses between safety and comfort. A composite performance evaluation index (PEI) is formulated to quantitatively assess energy consumption, ride comfort, spacing accuracy, and emergency responsiveness. Simulation results under WLTC and typical urban driving scenarios demonstrate that DWMPC outperforms fixed-weight MPC and PI controllers, reducing energy consumption by 6.5%, jerk by 42.9%, and response time by 41.8% while improving coordination in speed tracking, inter-vehicle distance regulation, and energy-efficient control. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Transportation and Future Mobility)
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26 pages, 6854 KiB  
Article
An Improved Wavelet Soft-Threshold Function Integrated with SVMD Dual-Parameter Joint Denoising for Ancient Building Deformation Monitoring
by Jiaxing Zhao, Houzeng Han, Yang Deng, Youqiang Dong, Jian Wang and Wenjin Chen
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(12), 2057; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17122057 - 14 Jun 2025
Viewed by 406
Abstract
In deformation monitoring, complex environments, such as seismic excitation, often lead to noise during signal acquisition and transmission processing. This study integrates sequential variational mode decomposition (SVMD), a dual-parameter (DP) model, and an improved wavelet threshold function (IWT), presenting a denoising method termed [...] Read more.
In deformation monitoring, complex environments, such as seismic excitation, often lead to noise during signal acquisition and transmission processing. This study integrates sequential variational mode decomposition (SVMD), a dual-parameter (DP) model, and an improved wavelet threshold function (IWT), presenting a denoising method termed SVMD-DP-IWT. Initially, SVMD decomposes the signal to obtain intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Subsequently, the DP parameters are determined using fuzzy entropy. Finally, the noisy IMFs denoised by IWT and the signal IMFs are used for signal reconstruction. Both simulated and engineering measurements validate the performance of the proposed method in mitigating noise. In simulation experiments, compared to wavelet soft-threshold function (WST) with the sqtwolog threshold, the root-mean-square error (RMSE) of SVMD-Dual-CC-WST (sqtwolog threshold), SVMD-DP-IWT (sqtwolog threshold), and SVMD-DP-IWT (minimaxi threshold) improved by 51.44%, 52.13%, and 52.49%, respectively. Global navigation satellite system (GNSS) vibration monitoring was conducted outdoors, and the accelerometer vibration monitoring experiment was performed on a pseudo-classical building in a multi-functional shaking table laboratory. GNSS displacement data and acceleration data were collected, and analyses of the acceleration signal characteristics were performed. SVMD-DP-IWT (sqtwolog) and SVMD-DP-IWT (minimaxi) effectively retain key vibration signal features during the denoising process. The proposed method significantly preserves vibration features during noise reduction of an ancient building in deformation monitoring, which is crucial for damage assessment. Full article
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19 pages, 3584 KiB  
Article
Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Optimization of Reservoir Operations Under Climate Variability in the Chao Phraya River Basin
by Luksanaree Maneechot, Jackson Hian-Wui Chang, Kai He, Maochuan Hu, Wan Abd Al Qadr Imad Wan-Mohtar, Zul Ilham, Carlos García Castro and Yong Jie Wong
Water 2025, 17(12), 1740; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17121740 - 9 Jun 2025
Viewed by 422
Abstract
Reservoir operations play a pivotal role in shaping the flow regime of the Chao Phraya River Basin (CPRB), where two major reservoirs exert substantial hydrological influence. Despite ongoing efforts to manage water resources effectively, current operational strategies often lack the adaptability required to [...] Read more.
Reservoir operations play a pivotal role in shaping the flow regime of the Chao Phraya River Basin (CPRB), where two major reservoirs exert substantial hydrological influence. Despite ongoing efforts to manage water resources effectively, current operational strategies often lack the adaptability required to address the compounded uncertainties of climate change and increasing water demands. This research addresses this critical gap by developing an optimization model for reservoir operation that explicitly incorporates climate variability. An Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) was employed using four fundamental inputs: reservoir inflow, storage, rainfall, and water demands. Daily resolution data from 2000 to 2012 were used, with 2005–2012 selected for training due to the inclusion of multiple extreme hydrological events, including the 2011 flood, which enriched the model’s learning capability. The period 2000–2004 was reserved for testing to independently assess model generalizability. Eight types of membership functions (MFs) were tested to determine the most suitable configuration, with the trapezoidal MF selected for its favorable performance. The optimized models achieved Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) values of 0.43 and 0.47, R2 values of 0.59 and 0.50, and RMSE values of 77.64 and 89.32 for Bhumibol and Sirikit Dams, respectively. The model enables the evaluation of both dam operations and climate change impacts on downstream discharges. Key findings highlight the importance of adaptive reservoir management by identifying optimal water release timings and corresponding daily release-storage ratios. The proposed approach contributes a novel, data-driven framework that enhances decision-making for integrated water resources management under changing climatic conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydraulics and Hydrodynamics)
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30 pages, 6725 KiB  
Article
Habitat Suitability Dynamics of Yellow River Delta Nature Reserves for Rare Waterbirds
by Hongli Wang, Yunyi Chi, Yujie Zhong and Qiang Wang
Sustainability 2025, 17(12), 5326; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17125326 - 9 Jun 2025
Viewed by 605
Abstract
Coastal wetland degradation continues to threaten the stability and ecological function of rare waterbird habitats, highlighting the need for a multi-species, long-term habitat assessment framework. This study examines the YRDNR using an integrated approach that combines MaxEnt and HSI models, high-resolution Land Use/Land [...] Read more.
Coastal wetland degradation continues to threaten the stability and ecological function of rare waterbird habitats, highlighting the need for a multi-species, long-term habitat assessment framework. This study examines the YRDNR using an integrated approach that combines MaxEnt and HSI models, high-resolution Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) data, and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation to assess habitat dynamics for five rare waterbird species from 2005 to 2024. The key findings include the following: (1) The total wetland area first declined, then increased, with natural wetlands decreasing and artificial wetlands expanding. (2) Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) emerged as the primary factor influencing habitat suitability, with species-specific environmental responses. (3) Habitats for Ciconia boyciana, Larus saundersi, Grus japonensis, and Numenius madagascariensis declined and then recovered, while the Cygnus olor’s habitat steadily expanded. Habitat fragmentation increased for Larus saundersi and Numenius madagascariensis, while patch size and connectivity improved for Ciconia boyciana, Grus japonensis, and Cygnus olor. (4) Overall, the suitable habitat area of rare waterbird increased, accompanied by a structural shift from natural to artificial wetlands. The proposed framework supports the long-term monitoring and precise management of coastal wetlands, offering valuable insights for global waterbird conservation and sustainable wetland governance. Full article
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