Search Results (268)

Understanding the impacts of climate change on species’ geographic distributions is fundamental for biodiversity conservation and resource management. As a key plant group for ecological restoration and windbreak and sand fixation in arid and semi-arid ares in China’s Three Northern Regions (Northeast, North, and Northwest China), Caragana spp. exhibit distribution patterns whose regulatory mechanisms by environmental factors remain unclear, with a long-term lack of climatic explanations influencing their spatial distribution. This study integrated 2373 occurrence records of 44 Caragana species in China’s Three Northern Regions with four major environmental variable categories. Using the Biomod2 ensemble model, current and future climate scenario-based suitable habitats for Caragana spp. were predicted. This study innovatively combined quantitative analyses with Kira’s thermal indexes (warmth index, coldness index) and Wenduo Xu’s humidity index (HI) to elucidate species-specific relationships between distribution patterns and hydrothermal climatic constraints. The main results showed that (1) compared to other environmental factors, climate is the key factor affecting the distribution of Caragana spp. (2) The current distribution centroid of Caragana spp. is located in Alxa Left Banner, Inner Mongolia. In future scenarios, the majority of centroids will shift toward lower latitudes. (3) The suitable habitats for Caragana spp. will expand overall under future climate scenarios. High-stress scenarios exhibit greater spatial changes than low-stress scenarios. (4) Hydrothermal requirements varied significantly among species in China’s Three Northern Regions, and 44 Caragana species can be classified into five distinct types based on warmth index (WI) and humidity index (HI). The research findings will provide critical practical guidance for ecological initiatives such as the Three-North Shelterbelt Program and the restoration and management of degraded ecosystems in arid and semi-arid regions under global climate change. Full article

The Mediterranean region, identified by scientists as a ‘climate hot spot’, is experiencing warmer and drier conditions, along with an increase in the intensity and frequency of extreme weather events. One such extreme phenomena is droughts. The recent wildfires in this region are a concerning consequence of this phenomenon, causing severe environmental damage and transforming natural landscapes. However, droughts involve a two-way interaction: On the one hand, climate change and various human activities, such as urbanization and deforestation, influence the development and severity of droughts. On the other hand, droughts have a significant impact on various sectors, including ecology, agriculture, and the local economy. This study investigates drought dynamics in four Mediterranean countries, Greece, France, Italy, and Spain, each of which has experienced severe wildfire events in recent years. Using satellite-based Earth observation data, we monitored drought conditions across these regions over a five-year period that includes the dates of major wildfires. To support this analysis, we derived and assessed key indices: the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), and Normalized Difference Drought Index (NDDI). High-resolution satellite imagery processed within the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform enabled the spatial and temporal analysis of these indicators. Our findings reveal that, in all four study areas, peak drought conditions, as reflected in elevated NDDI values, were observed in the months leading up to wildfire outbreaks. This pattern underscores the potential of satellite-derived indices for identifying regional drought patterns and providing early signals of heightened fire risk. The application of GEE offered significant advantages, as it allows efficient handling of long-term and large-scale datasets and facilitates comprehensive spatial analysis. Our methodological framework contributes to a deeper understanding of regional drought variability and its links to extreme events; thus, it could be a valuable tool for supporting the development of adaptive management strategies. Ultimately, such approaches are vital for enhancing resilience, guiding water resource planning, and implementing early warning systems in fire-prone Mediterranean landscapes. Full article

This study presents a cost-effective, carbon-negative construction material for affordable housing, developed entirely from locally available agricultural wastes: rice husk ash, wood ash, and rice straw—materials often problematic to dispose of in many African regions. Rice husk ash provides high amorphous silica, acting as a strong pozzolanic agent. Wood ash contributes calcium oxide and alkalis to serve as a reactive binder, while rice straw functions as a lightweight organic filler, enhancing thermal insulation and indoor climate comfort. These materials undergo natural pozzolanic reactions with water, eliminating the need for Portland cement—a major global source of anthropogenic CO₂ emissions (~900 kg CO₂/ton cement). This process is inherently carbon-negative, not only avoiding emissions from cement production but also capturing atmospheric CO₂ during lime carbonation in the hardening phase. Field trials in Kenya confirmed the composite’s sufficient structural strength for low-cost housing, with added benefits including termite resistance and suitability for unskilled laborers. In a collaboration between the University of Tartu and Kenyatta University, a semi-automatic mixing and casting system was developed, enabling fast, low-labor construction of full-scale houses. This innovation aligns with Kenya’s Big Four development agenda and supports sustainable rural development, post-disaster reconstruction, and climate mitigation through scalable, eco-friendly building solutions. Full article

Our research explores the dynamic relationship between CO₂ emissions and four major influencing factors: foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth (GDP), renewable energy consumption (REN) and population (POP) in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and three large Asian countries—China, India and Pakistan, collectively referred to as LACs (larger Asian countries), from 1990 to 2022. The study has three main objectives: (1) to assess the short-run and long-run effects of GDP, FDI, REN and POP on CO₂ emissions; (2) to compare the adjustment speeds and environmental policy responsiveness between ASEAN and LAC regions; and (3) to evaluate the role of renewable energy in mitigating environmental degradation. Against the backdrop of increasing environmental challenges and divergent development paths in Asia, this research contributes to the literature by applying a dynamic heterogeneous panel autoregressive distributed lag (panel ARDL) model. Unlike traditional static panel models, the panel ARDL model captures both long-run equilibrium relationships and short-run adjustments, allowing for country-specific dynamics. The results reveal a significant long-run cointegration among the variables. The error correction term (ECT) indicates a faster adjustment to equilibrium in LACs (−1.18) than ASEAN (−0.37), suggesting LACs respond more swiftly to long-run disequilibria in emissions-related dynamics. This may reflect more responsive policy mechanisms, stronger institutional capacities or more aggressive environmental interventions in LACs. In contrast, the slower adjustment in ASEAN highlights potential structural rigidities or delays in implementing effective policy responses, emphasizing the need for enhanced regulatory frameworks and targeted climate strategies to improve policy intervention efficiency. Results show that GDP and FDI increase emissions in both regions, while REN reduces them. POP is insignificant in ASEAN but increases emissions in LACs. These results provide insights into the relative effectiveness of policy instruments in accelerating the transition to a low-carbon economy, highlighting the need for differentiated strategies that align with each country’s institutional capacity, development stage and energy structure. Full article

Water scarcity, exacerbated by climate change, population growth, and competing sectoral demands, poses a major threat to agricultural sustainability, particularly in irrigated regions such as the Nile Delta in Egypt. Addressing this challenge requires innovative approaches to evaluate irrigation performance despite the limitations in ground data availability. Traditional assessment methods are often costly, labor-intensive, and reliant on field data, limiting their scalability, especially in data-scarce regions. This paper addresses this gap by presenting a comprehensive and scalable framework that employs publicly accessible satellite data to map crop types and subsequently assess irrigation performance without the need for ground truthing. The framework consists of two parts: First, crop mapping, which was conducted seasonally between 2015 and 2020 for the four primary crops in the Nile Delta (rice, maize, wheat, and clover). The WaPOR v2 Land Cover Classification layer was used as a substitute for ground truth data to label the Landsat-8 images for training the random forest algorithm. The crop maps generated at 30 m resolution had moderate to high accuracy, with overall accuracy ranging from 0.77 to 0.80 in summer and 0.87–0.95 in winter. The estimated crop areas aligned well with national agricultural statistics. Second, based on the mapped crops, three irrigation performance indicators—adequacy, reliability, and equity—were calculated and compared with their established standards. The results reveal a good level of equity, with values consistently below 10%, and a relatively reliable water supply, as indicated by the reliability indicator (0.02–0.08). Average summer adequacy ranged from 0.4 to 0.63, indicating insufficient supply, whereas winter values (1.3 to 1.7) reflected a surplus. A noticeable improvement gradient was observed for all indicators toward the north of the delta, while areas located in the delta’s new lands consistently displayed unfavorable conditions in all indicators. This approach facilitates the identification of regions where agricultural performance falls short of its potential, thereby offering valuable insights into where and how irrigation systems can be strategically improved to enhance overall performance sustainably. Full article

Food security constitutes a fundamental pillar of future sustainable development. A systematic evaluation of the impact of urban expansion on food security is critical to advancing the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), particularly “Zero Hunger” (SDG 2). Drawing on bibliographic data from the Web of Science Core Collection, this study employs the bibliometrix package in R to conduct a comprehensive bibliometric analysis of the literature on the “urban expansion–food security” nexus spanning from 1982 to 2024. The analysis focuses on knowledge production, collaborative structures, and thematic research trends. The results indicate the following: (1) The publication trajectory in this field exhibits a generally increasing trend with three distinct phases: an incubation period (1982–2000), a development phase (2001–2014), and a phase of rapid growth (2015–2024). Land Use Policy stands out as the most influential journal in the domain, with an average citation rate of 43.5 per article. (2) China and the United States are the leading contributors in terms of publication output, with 3491 and 1359 articles, respectively. However, their international collaboration rates remain relatively modest (0.19 and 0.35) and considerably lower than those observed for the United Kingdom (0.84) and Germany (0.76), suggesting significant potential for enhanced global research cooperation. (3) The major research hotspots cluster around four core areas: urban expansion and land use dynamics, agricultural systems and food security, environmental and climate change, and socio-economic and policy drivers. These focal areas reflect a high degree of interdisciplinary integration, particularly involving land system science, agroecology, and socio-economic studies. Collectively, the field has established a relatively robust academic network and coherent knowledge framework. Nonetheless, it still confronts several limitations, including geographical imbalances, fragmented research scales, and methodological heterogeneity. Future efforts should emphasize cross-regional, interdisciplinary, and multi-scalar integration to strengthen the systematic understanding of urban expansion–food security interactions, thereby informing global strategies for sustainable development. Full article

Driven by the urgent need to mitigate climate change and achieve net-zero emissions, carbon pricing has emerged as a critical policy tool in major economies worldwide. This study compares carbon pricing in the EU, China, Canada, and Singapore, evaluating effectiveness in emission reductions, with the EU ranking first with high carbon prices, road market coverage, and strict penalties, based on carbon price per capita. Conversely, Singapore’s position as fourth in carbon price per capita among these four most mature carbon markets, Singapore has a high GDP per capita and lower carbon prices. Canada’s fragmented provincial policies and China’s limited market coverage, despite being the top global emitter. Our analysis reveals three critical success factors: (1) higher carbon prices per capita are essential for carbon reduction, (2) the necessity of penalties on carbon price per capita from EUR 20–EUR 100, and (3) expanded market coverage maximizes impact. To address global disparities, we propose a Uniform Carbon Pricing Mechanism under the Global Carbon Resilience Framework (GCRF), based on carbon price per capita tiered pricing: EUR 100/t (developed), EUR 30–50 (developing), and EUR 5–15 (least-developed countries). This balanced system supports vulnerable regions while cutting emissions, proving that fair carbon pricing is crucial for climate goals and economic stability. Full article

Soil saline–alkaline stress and water stress, exacerbated by anthropogenic activities and climate change, are major drivers of wetland vegetation degradation, severely affecting the function of wetland ecosystems. In this study, we conducted a simulation experiment with three water levels and four saline–alkaline concentration levels as stress factors to assess eight key functional traits of Phragmites australis and Bolboschoenus planiculmis, dominant species in the salt marsh wetlands in the western region of Jilin province, China. The study aimed to evaluate how these factors influence the functional traits of P. australis and B. planiculmis. Our results showed that the leaf area, root biomass, and clonal biomass of P. australis significantly increased, and the leaf area of B. planiculmis significantly decreased under low and medium saline–alkaline concentration treatments, while the plant height, ramet number, and aboveground biomass of P. australis and the root biomass, clonal biomass, and clonal/belowground biomass ratio of B. planiculmis were significantly reduced and the ratio of belowground to aboveground biomass of B. planiculmis significantly increased under high saline–alkaline concentration treatment. The combination of drought conditions with medium and high saline–alkaline treatments significantly reduced leaf area, ramet number, and clonal biomass in both species. The interaction between flooding water level and medium and high saline–alkaline treatments significantly suppressed the plant height, root biomass, and aboveground biomass of both species, with the number of ramets having the greatest contribution. These findings suggest that the effects of water levels and saline–alkaline stress on the functional traits of P. australis and B. planiculmis are species-specific, and the ramet number–plant height–root biomass (RHR) strategy may serve as an adaptive mechanism for wetland clones to environmental changes. This strategy could be useful for predicting plant productivity in saline–alkaline wetlands. Full article

Desert ecosystems play a critical role in global climate regulation. Current research reveals a relative lack of research regarding desert ecosystem service (ES) supply and demand. Therefore, we selected the Ulanbuh desert, one of the eight major deserts in China, as study area. Using specialized models, we quantify the supply and demand of four ES, including water yield (Wy), soil conservation (Sc), windbreak and sand fixation (Ws), and carbon sequestration (Cs), from 1985 to 2020. Univariate linear regression analysis and panel data analysis (PDA) were used to examine trends in desert ES supply–demand ratio (ESDR) and its determinants. The findings indicated that ES supply presented increases in Sc and Cs, and decline in Ws from 1985 to 2020. Demand patterns showed a growth trend for Wy and Cs. ESDR revealed that Sc, Ws, and Cs show an excess of supply over demand and are in a decreasing trend, while Wy displays a supply deficit relative to demand with no significant change. The comprehensive ESDR decreased over the study period, with a supply-deficit status emerging in the southwestern area. Natural factors (NDVI and precipitation) and socio-economic factors (GDP and population density) served as the main factors affecting the comprehensive ESDR. This research provides a novel perspective for desert ecosystems management and conservation, emphasizing the necessity of incorporating the ES supply and demand balance into regional development policies to achieve sustainable development in arid regions. Full article

This study investigates how inclusive leadership, mentorship, and digital tools shape conflict prevention and social cohesion within the Greek public sector. Employing a cross-sectional quantitative design, data were collected from 203 employees across municipalities, ministries, regional, and decentralized administrations. The survey instrument captured four dimensions: leadership and mediation for social cohesion, mentorship for the empowerment of vulnerable groups, use of digital tools, and the perceived social impact of inadequate conflict management. Data were analyzed using Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) to test direct and indirect effects, evaluate the explanatory and predictive power of the model, and explore the mediation mechanisms linking leadership, mentorship, and digital tools to social cohesion. The results demonstrate that both leadership and mentorship are positively perceived and significantly interrelated, jointly enhancing workplace cohesion and trust. Mentorship emerged as a critical predictor of digital tool adoption, highlighting its role as a bridge for digital inclusion and organizational innovation. In contrast, digital tools, despite their high importance in the model, remain underutilized and require further investment in training and integration. Poor conflict management is perceived as a major organizational risk, strongly linked to increased stress, diminished trust, and a deteriorated workplace climate. These findings highlight the value of integrating mentorship and inclusive leadership with mediation and digital technologies, supporting the development of hybrid strategies for conflict management. The study enriches theoretical debates on organizational resilience and social cohesion, while offering practical recommendations for modernizing public administration through participatory leadership, targeted mentoring programs, and the thoughtful adoption of digital solutions. Full article

Enterocytozoon bieneusi and Giardia duodenalis are major zoonotic pathogens that often cause diarrhea in immunocompromised humans or animals. Beef cattle are important reservoirs for these two pathogens. Yunnan Province is a major region for beef cattle farming, and its suitable climatic conditions facilitate the transmission of the pathogens. However, research on the prevalence and distribution of E. bieneusi and G. duodenalis in beef cattle in Yunnan remains understudied. This study collected 529 fecal samples from seven beef cattle breeds in four regions in Yunnan Province for an epidemiological survey. Nested PCR combined with sequencing was used to detect E. bieneusi and G. duodenalis, and the sequencing results were analyzed to determine genotypes or assemblage types. Our results demonstrate that the prevalence rates of E. bieneusi and G. duodenalis were 3.0% (16/529) and 3.6% (19/529), respectively. The study identified four genotypes of E. bieneusi, including I (n = 8), J (n = 4), BEB8 (n = 3), and BEB4 (n = 1). Both assemblages E (n = 18) and A (n = 1) were identified among G. duodenalis-positive animals. Phylogenetic analysis revealed that the E. bieneusi genotypes detected in this study belong to Group 2. In conclusion, these findings indicate that although the overall prevalence is relatively low compared to other regions, the presence of zoonotic Group 2 genotypes and assemblage A highlights the potential risk of cross-species transmission. Moreover, the results provide foundational data to support the development of region-specific surveillance and control strategies for bovine giardiasis and microsporidiosis, and emphasize the importance of the One Health approach in managing parasitic infections in livestock populations. Full article

South American coffee producers face growing challenges due to external trade dependencies and climate-induced disruptions. This study investigates the role of export market diversification as a sustainability strategy for four major regional exporters of roasted non-decaffeinated coffee: Brazil, Colombia, Peru, and Ecuador. A quantitative and comparative methodology was applied over a ten-year period using the Herfindahl–Hirschman Index (HHI) to evaluate export market concentration and the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) Index—including its normalized variant—to assess international competitiveness by destination. The results reveal substantial disparities: Brazil and Colombia exhibit moderate to high diversification and relative competitiveness in select markets, while Peru and Ecuador remain dependent on a few strategic buyers, with limited or declining comparative advantages. The findings emphasize that sustained export performance in the coffee sector requires not only a broader destination portfolio but also improved positioning through trade agreements, infrastructure development, and climate-resilient innovation. This study concludes with a strategic proposal based on three pillars—commercial, logistical, and technological—to support structural transformation and enhance the long-term sustainability of the coffee trade in South America. Full article

Water management is a long-standing source of dispute between the riparian states of Karnataka and Tamil Nadu. Recently, these disputes have intensified due to impacts from climate change and Bangalore’s rapid growth to megacity status. Despite well-defined national water governance instruments, competition between state actors and limited access to reliable hydrometric data have led to a fragmented regulatory regime, allowing unchecked exploitation of surface and groundwater resources. Meanwhile, subsidised energy for groundwater pumping incentivises the unsustainable irrigation of high-value, water-intensive crops, resulting in overextraction and harm to aquatic ecosystems. Here, we employ a water–energy–food–environment (WEFE) nexus approach to examine the socio-political, economic, and environmental factors driving unsustainable irrigation practices in the Cauvery River Basin (CRB) of Southern India. Our methodology integrates spatially explicit analysis using digitised irrigation census data, theoretical energy modelling, and crop water demand simulations to assess groundwater use patterns and energy consumption for irrigation and their links with governance and economic growth. We analyse spatio-temporal irrigation patterns across the whole basin (about 85,000 km²) and reveal the correlation between energy access and groundwater extraction. Our study highlights four key findings. First, groundwater pumping during the Rabi (short-rain) season consumes 24 times more energy than during the Kharif (long-rain) season, despite irrigating 40% less land. Second, the increasing depth of borewells, driven by falling water table levels, is a major factor in rising energy consumption. Third, energy input is highest in regions dominated by paddy cultivation. Fourth, water pumping in the Cauvery region accounts for about 16% of India’s agricultural energy use, despite covering only 4% of the country’s net irrigated area. Our study reinforces the existing literature advocating for holistic, catchment-wide planning, aligned with all UN Sustainable Development Goals. Full article

Glacial hazards pose significant threats to millions globally, especially with rapid climate warming drawing increased attention. Understanding past glacial hazards on both global and regional scales is crucial for early warning systems. This study quantified glacier and glacial lake changes on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) over recent decades and analyzed the spatial and temporal distribution of major glacial hazards. It also focused on glacial lakes that have experienced outburst events by reconstructing long-term data for 48 lakes. Key findings include: (1) TP glaciers have generally shrunk, with glacier area decreasing from 57,100 km² in the first inventory to 44,400 km² in the second, primarily in the middle and eastern Himalayas between 5000 and 6000 m. Meanwhile, the number of glacial lakes increased from 14,487 in 1990 to 16,385 in 2020, expanding towards higher elevations and glacier melt zones. (2) Since 1900, 283 glacial hazards have occurred, including 97 glacier surges, 36 glacier-related slope failures, and 150 glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs). Hazard frequency increased post-2000, especially in the Karakoram and eastern Himalayas, during June to September. (3) Changes in glacier numbers contribute most to hazard frequency (11.56%), followed by July’s temperature change (10.24%). Slope and June’s temperature changes combined have the highest interaction effect (37.59%). (4) Of the 48 lakes studied, four disappeared after outbursts, 38 remained stable, and six expanded. These insights aid in monitoring, early warnings, and disaster management. Full article

The exposure to elevated levels of ozone contributes to respiratory diseases and ecosystem degradation. Mediterranean countries are among those most affected by high ozone concentrations, which are generally overestimated by chemistry transport models underscoring the importance of improving the accuracy of air quality modelling. This study introduces an enhanced Mediterranean dry deposition description within the LOTOS-EUROS model framework, focusing on refining key vegetation parameters for the Mediterranean climate zone, with the goal to better estimate deposition and connected concentration values. Adjustments were made to the vegetation type dependent Jarvis functions for temperature and vapour pressure deficit, as well as to the maximum stomatal conductance across four land use types: arable land, crops, deciduous broadleaf forest, and coniferous evergreen forest. The model’s baseline run showed a widespread overestimation of ozone. Adjustments to the dry deposition routines reduced this overestimation, but the model simulation incorporating all changes still showed elevated ozone levels. Both runs displayed moderate spatial correlation with observations from 117 rural background monitoring stations, and most stations exhibited a temporal correlation between 0.5 and 0.8. An improved RMSE and bias were noted at the majority of the stations (114 out of 117) for the model simulation incorporating all changes. The monthly analysis indicated consistent overestimation at two Portuguese sites beginning in March. The model effectively tracked temporal changes overall. However, the diurnal analysis revealed site-specific differences: an overestimation at the station closest to highly populated areas at night, while rural stations aligned better with observed values. These results highlight the benefits of region-specific model adaptations and lay the groundwork for further advancements, such as incorporating detailed vegetation classifications and seasonal variations. Full article