Search Results (625)

Forests play a crucial role in storing excess carbon released into the atmosphere. By mitigating climate change, forest carbon stocks play a vital role in achieving green transitions. However, limited information is available regarding the factors that affect forest carbon stocks. The primary objective of this analysis is to investigate the impact of green agricultural technologies and bioenergy on forest carbon stocks. The empirical investigation was conducted using the method of moments quantile regression (MMQR) technique. Results using the MMQR approach indicate that bioenergy is beneficial in augmenting forest carbon stores at all levels. A 1% increase in bioenergy is associated with an increase in forest carbon stocks ranging from 3.100 at the 10th quantile to 1.599 at the 90th quantile. In the context of developing economies, similar findings are observed; however, in developed economies, bioenergy only fosters forest carbon stocks at lower and middle quantiles. In contrast, green agricultural technologies have an adverse effect on forest carbon stocks. Green agricultural technologies have a significant negative impact on forest carbon stocks, particularly between the 10th and 80th quantiles, with their influence declining in magnitude from −2.398 to −0.619. This negative connection is observed in both developed and developing countries at most quantiles, except for higher quantiles in developed economies. Gross domestic product (GDP) has an adverse effect on forest carbon stores only in developing countries, whereas human capital diminishes forest carbon stocks in both developed and developing nations. Governments should provide support for the creators of bioenergy and agroforestry technologies so that forest carbon stocks can be increased. Full article

In the context of worsening climate change and biodiversity loss, forest carbon offset projects are viewed as important nature-based solutions to mitigate these trends. However, there is limited evidence on whether these projects provide net benefits for biodiversity conservation. This study uses a staggered difference-in-differences model with balanced panel data from 128 counties in Sichuan Province, China, spanning from 2000 to 2020, to examine whether these projects bring biodiversity conservation co-benefits. The results show that the implementation of forest carbon offset projects leads to a 55.1% decrease in the ecosystem service value of forest biodiversity, with the negative impact particularly pronounced in areas facing agricultural land use and livestock pressures. The dynamic effect tests indicate that the benefits of biodiversity conservation generally begin to decline significantly 5 years after project implementation. Additional analyses show that although projects certified under biodiversity conservation standards also exhibit negative effects, the magnitude of decline is substantially smaller compared to uncertified projects, and certified projects achieve greater carbon stock gains. Heterogeneity analysis demonstrates that projects employing native tree species show significant positive effects. Moreover, spatial econometric results demonstrate significant negative spillover effects within an 80 km radius surrounding the project sites, with the effect attenuating over distance. To maximize the potential of forest carbon offset projects in addressing both climate change and biodiversity loss, it is important to mitigate the negative impacts on biodiversity within and beyond project boundaries and to enhance the continuous monitoring of projects that have been certified for biodiversity conservation. Full article

Ecosystem services—the benefits humans derive from nature—are foundational to environmental sustainability and economic well-being, with carbon sequestration and storage standing out as critical regulating services in the fight against climate change. This study presents a comprehensive financial valuation of the carbon sequestration, storage and product substitution ecosystem services provided by the Hungarian forest-based sector. Using a multi-scenario framework, four complementary valuation concepts are assessed: total carbon storage (biomass, soil, and harvested wood products), annual net sequestration, emissions avoided through material and energy substitution, and marketable carbon value under voluntary carbon market (VCM) and EU Carbon Removal Certification Framework (CRCF) mechanisms. Data sources include the National Forestry Database, the Hungarian Greenhouse Gas Inventory, and national estimates on substitution effects and soil carbon stocks. The total carbon stock of Hungarian forests is estimated at 1289 million tons of CO₂ eq, corresponding to a theoretical climate liability value of over EUR 64 billion. Annual sequestration is valued at approximately 380 million EUR/year, while avoided emissions contribute an additional 453 million EUR/year in mitigation benefits. A comparative analysis of two mutually exclusive crediting strategies—improved forest management projects (IFMs) avoiding final harvesting versus long-term carbon storage through the use of harvested wood products—reveals that intensified harvesting for durable wood use offers higher revenue potential (up to 90 million EUR/year) than non-harvesting IFM scenarios. These findings highlight the dual role of forests as both carbon sinks and sources of climate-smart materials and call for policy frameworks that integrate substitution benefits and long-term storage opportunities in support of effective climate and bioeconomy strategies. Full article

Accurate assessments of aboveground biomass (AGB) stocks and their changes in extensive Miombo forests are challenging due to the lack of site-specific allometric equations (AEs). Terrestrial Laser Scanning (TLS) is a non-destructive method that enables the calibration of AEs and has recently been validated by the IPCC guidelines for carbon accounting within the REDD+ framework. TLS surveys were carried out in five non-contiguous 1-ha plots in two study sites in the wet Miombo forest of Katanga, in the Democratic Republic Congo. Local wood densities (WD) were determined from wood cores taken from 619 trees on the sites. After a careful checking of Quantitative Structure Models (QSMs) output, the individual volumes of 213 trees derived from TLS data processing were converted to AGB using WD. Four AEs were calibrated using different predictors, and all presented strong performance metrics (e.g., R² ranging from 90 to 93%), low relative bias and relative individual mean error (11.73 to 16.34%). Multivariate analyses performed on plot floristic and structural data showed a strong contrast in terms of composition and structure between sites and between plots within sites. Even though the whole variability of the biome has not been sampled, we were thus able to confirm the transposability of results within the wet Miombo forests through two cross-validation approaches. The AGB predictions obtained with our best AE were also compared with AEs found in the literature. Overall, an underestimation of tree AGB varying from −35.04 to −19.97% was observed when AEs from the literature were used for predicting AGB in the Miombo of Katanga. Full article

Investigating land cover patterns, changes in carbon stocks, and forecasting future conditions are essential for formulating regional sustainable development strategies and enhancing ecological and environmental quality. This study centers on Guiyang, a mountainous urban area in southwestern China, to analyze the dynamic changes in land cover and their effects on carbon stocks from 2000 to 2035. A carbon stocks assessment framework was developed using a cellular automaton-based artificial neural network model (CA-ANN), the InVEST model, and the geographical detector model to predict future land cover changes and identify the primary drivers of variations in carbon stocks. The results indicate that (1) from 2000 to 2020, impervious surfaces expanded significantly, increasing by 199.73 km². Compared to 2020, impervious surfaces are projected to increase by 1.06 km², 13.54 km², and 34.97 km² in 2025, 2030, and 2035, respectively, leading to further reductions in grassland and forest areas. (2) Over time, carbon stocks in Guiyang exhibited a general decreasing trend; spatially, carbon stocks were higher in the western and northern regions and lower in the central and southern regions. (3) The level of greenness, measured by the normalized vegetation index (NDVI), significantly influenced the spatial variation of carbon stocks in Guiyang. Changes in carbon stocks resulted from the combined effects of multiple factors, with the annual average temperature and NDVI being the most influential. These findings provide a scientific basis for advancing low-carbon development and constructing an ecological civilization in Guiyang. Full article

Mangrove forests are widely recognized for their effectiveness as carbon sinks and serve as critical ecosystems for mitigating the effects of climate change. Current research lacks comprehensive, large-scale carbon storage datasets for wetland ecosystems, particularly across Mexico and other understudied regions worldwide. Therefore, the objective of this study was to develop a high spatial resolution map of carbon stocks, encompassing both aboveground and belowground components, within the Marismas Nacionales system, which is the largest mangrove complex in northeastern Pacific Mexico. Our approach integrates primary field data collected during 2023–2024 and incorporates some historical plot measurements (2011–present) to enhance spatial coverage. These were combined with contemporary remote sensing data, including Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, and LiDAR, analyzed using Random Forest algorithms. Our spatial models achieved strong predictive accuracy (R² = 0.94–0.95), effectively resolving fine-scale variations driven by canopy structure, hydrologic regime, and spectral heterogeneity. The application of Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA) revealed the presence of carbon “hotspots,” which encompass 33% of the total area but contribute to 46% of the overall carbon stocks, amounting to 21.5 Tg C. Notably, elevated concentrations of carbon stocks are observed in the central regions, including the Agua Brava Lagoon and at the southern portion of the study area, where pristine mangrove stands thrive. Also, our analysis reveals that 74.6% of these carbon hotspots fall within existing protected areas, demonstrating relatively effective—though incomplete—conservation coverage across the Marismas Nacionales wetlands. We further identified important cold spots and ecotones that represent priority areas for rehabilitation and adaptive management. These findings establish a transferable framework for enhancing national carbon accounting while advancing nature-based solutions that support both climate mitigation and adaptation goals. Full article

Coastal blue carbon ecosystems (traditional types such as mangroves, salt marshes, and seagrass meadows; emerging types such as tidal flats and mariculture) play pivotal roles in capturing and storing atmospheric carbon dioxide. Reliable assessment of the spatial and temporal variation and the carbon storage potential holds immense promise for mitigating climate change. Although previous field surveys and regional assessments have improved the understanding of individual habitats, most studies remain site-specific and short-term; comprehensive, multi-decadal assessments that integrate all major coastal blue carbon systems at the national scale are still scarce for China. In this study, we integrated 30 m Landsat imagery (1992–2022), processed on Google Earth Engine with a random forest classifier; province-specific, literature-derived carbon density data with quantified uncertainty (mean ± standard deviation); and the InVEST model to track coastal China’s mangroves, salt marshes, tidal flats, and mariculture to quantify their associated carbon stocks. Then the GeoDetector was applied to distinguish the natural and anthropogenic drivers of carbon stock change. Results showed rapid and divergent land use change over the past three decades, with mariculture expanded by 44%, becoming the dominant blue carbon land use; whereas tidal flats declined by 39%, mangroves and salt marshes exhibited fluctuating upward trends. National blue carbon stock rose markedly from 74 Mt C in 1992 to 194 Mt C in 2022, with Liaoning, Shandong, and Fujian holding the largest provincial stock; Jiangsu and Guangdong showed higher increasing trends. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) was the primary driver of spatial variability in carbon stock change (q = 0.63), followed by precipitation and temperature. Synergistic interactions were also detected, e.g., NDVI and precipitation, enhancing the effects beyond those of single factors, which indicates that a wetter climate may boost NDVI’s carbon sequestration. These findings highlight the urgency of strengthening ecological red lines, scaling climate-smart restoration of mangroves and salt marshes, and promoting low-impact mariculture. Our workflow and driver diagnostics provide a transferable template for blue carbon monitoring and evidence-based coastal management frameworks. Full article

Understanding the detailed spatiotemporal variations in soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks is essential for assessing soil carbon sequestration potential. However, most existing studies predominantly focus on topsoil SOC stocks, leaving significant knowledge gaps regarding critical zones, depth-dependent variations, and key influencing factors associated with deeper SOC stock dynamics. This study adopted a comprehensive methodology that integrates random forest modeling, equal-area soil profile analysis, and space-for-time substitution to predict depth-specific SOC stock dynamics under climate warming in Northeast China’s forest ecosystems. By combining these techniques, the approach effectively addresses existing research limitations and provides robust projections of soil carbon changes across various depth intervals. The analysis utilized 63 comprehensive soil profiles and 12 environmental predictors encompassing climatic, topographic, biological, and soil property variables. The model’s predictive accuracy was assessed using 10-fold cross-validation with four evaluation metrics: MAE, RMSE, R², and LCCC, ensuring comprehensive performance evaluation. Validation results demonstrated the model’s robust predictive capability across all soil layers, achieving high accuracy with minimized MAE and RMSE values while maintaining elevated R² and LCCC scores. Three-dimensional spatial projections revealed distinct SOC distribution patterns, with higher stocks concentrated in central regions and lower stocks prevalent in northern areas. Under simulated warming conditions (1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 4 °C increases), both topsoil (0–30 cm) and deep-layer (100 cm) SOC stocks exhibited consistent declining trends, with the most pronounced reductions observed under the 4 °C warming scenario. Additionally, the study identified mean annual temperature (MAT) and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) as dominant environmental drivers controlling three-dimensional SOC spatial variability. These findings underscore the importance of depth-resolved SOC stock assessments and suggest that precise three-dimensional mapping of SOC distribution under various climate change projections can inform more effective land management strategies, ultimately enhancing regional soil carbon storage capacity in forest ecosystems. Full article

Mangrove forests are vital blue carbon (BC) ecosystems that significantly contribute to climate change mitigation through carbon sequestration. Accurate, scalable, and cost-effective methods for estimating carbon stocks in these environments are essential for conservation planning. In this study, we assessed the potential of drones, also known as unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), for estimating above-ground biomass (AGB) and BC in Avicennia marina stands by integrating drone-based canopy measurements with field-measured tree heights. Using structure-from-motion (SfM) photogrammetry and a consumer-grade drone, we generated a canopy height model and extracted structural parameters from individual trees in the Melgonze mangrove patch, southern Iran. Field-measured tree heights served to validate drone-derived estimates and calibrate an allometric model tailored for A. marina. While drone-based heights differed significantly from field measurements (p < 0.001), the resulting AGB and BC estimates showed no significant difference (p > 0.05), demonstrating that crown area (CA) and model formulation effectively compensate for height inaccuracies. This study confirms that drones can provide reliable estimates of BC through non-invasive means—eliminating the need to harvest, cut, or physically disturb individual trees—supporting their application in mangrove monitoring and ecosystem service assessments, even under challenging field conditions. Full article

Accurate estimation of forest aboveground carbon stock (AGC) is critical for climate change mitigation and ecological management. This study develops a high-resolution AGC estimation workflow for the Pinglu Canal basin, integrating Sentinel-2, Sentinel-1, ALOS PALSAR, and SRTM data with field survey measurements. Feature selection via Recursive Feature Elimination and modeling with a Random Forest algorithm—optimized through hyperparameter tuning—yielded high predictive accuracy under the ALL data combination (R² = 0.818, RMSE = 11.126 tC/ha), enabling the generation of a 10 m-resolution AGC map. The total AGC in 2024 was estimated at 2.26 × 10⁶ tC. To evaluate human-induced changes, we established a baseline scenario based on historical AGC trends (2002–2021) and climate data. Comparisons revealed that afforestation and vegetation restoration during canal construction led to higher AGC values than projected under natural conditions. This positive deviation highlights the effectiveness of targeted ecological interventions in mitigating carbon loss and promoting forest recovery. Our results demonstrate a cost-effective, scalable method for AGC mapping using freely accessible remote sensing data and machine learning. The findings also provide insights into balancing large-scale infrastructure development with ecosystem conservation. Full article

Dissolved oxygen (DO) is a fundamental water quality parameter that directly determines aquaculture productivity. China contributes 57% of the global aquaculture production, with the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA) serving as a key contributor. However, this region faces significant environmental challenges due to increasing intensive stocking densities and outdated management practices, while also grappling with the systematic monitoring limitations of large-scale operations. To address these challenges, in this study, a random forest-based model was developed for DO concentration retrieval (R² = 0.82) using Landsat 8/9 OLI imagery. The Lindeman, Merenda, and Gold (LMG) algorithm was applied to field data collected from four cities—Foshan, Hong Kong, Huizhou, and Zhongshan—to identify key environmental drivers to the changes in DO concentration in these cities. This study also employed satellite imagery from multiple periods to analyze the spatiotemporal distribution and trends of DO concentrations over the past decade, aiming to enhance understanding of DO variability. The results indicate that the average DO concentration in fishponds across the GBA was 7.44 mg/L with a statistically insignificant upward trend. Spatially, the DO levels remained slightly lower than those in other waters. The primary environmental factor influencing DO variations was the pH levels, while the relationship between natural factors such as the temperature and DO concentration was significantly hidden by aquaculture management practices. The further analysis of fishpond water quality parameters across land uses revealed that fishponds with lower DO concentrations (7.293 mg/L) are often located in areas with intensive human intervention, particularly in highly urbanized regions. The approach proposed in this study provides an operational method for large-scale DO monitoring in aquaculture systems, enabling the qualification of anthropogenic influences on water quality dynamics. It also offers scalable solutions for the development of adaptive management strategies, thereby supporting the sustainable management of aquaculture environments. Full article

In the context of accelerating global climate change, the accurate quantification of forest carbon sequestration at the regional scale is of critical importance to estimate carbon budgets and formulate targeted ecological policies. This study systematically investigated the spatiotemporal dynamics and driving mechanisms of arbor forest carbon stocks between 2016 and 2020 in Yunnan Province, China. Based on the “One Map” forest resource inventory, the continuous biomass expansion factor (CBEF) method, standard deviational ellipse (SDE) analysis, and multiple linear regression (MLR) modeling, the results showed the following. (1) Arbor forest carbon stocks steadily increased from 832.13 Mt to 938.84 Mt, and carbon density increased from 41.92 to 42.32 t C·hm⁻². Carbon stocks displayed a dual high pattern in the northwest and southwest, with lower values in the central and eastern regions. (2) The spatial centroid of carbon stocks shifted 4.8 km eastward, driven primarily by afforestation efforts in central and eastern Yunnan. (3) The MLR results revealed that precipitation and economic development were significant positive drivers, whereas temperature, elevation, and anthropogenic disturbances were major limiting factors. A negative correlation to afforestation area indicated a diminished need for new plantations as forest quality and quantity improved. These results provided a theoretical foundation for spatially differentiated carbon sequestration strategies in Yunnan, providing key insights for reinforcing ecological security in Southwest China and enhancing national carbon neutrality objectives. Full article

Monoculture plantation systems face increasing challenges in sustaining ecosystem multifunctionality (EMF) under intensive management and climate change, with long-term functional trajectories remaining poorly understood. Although biodiversity–EMF relationships are well-documented in natural forests, the drivers of multifunctionality in managed plantations, particularly age-dependent dynamics, require further investigation. This study examines how stand development influences EMF in Castanopsis hystrix L. plantations, a dominant subtropical timber species in China, by assessing six ecosystem functions (carbon stocks, wood production, nutrient cycling, decomposition, symbiosis, and water regulation) of six forest ages (6, 10, 15, 25, 30, and 34 years). The results demonstrate substantial age-dependent functional enhancement, with carbon stocks and wood production increasing by 467% and 2016% in mature stand (34 year) relative to younger stand (6 year). Nutrient cycling and water regulation showed intermediate gains (6% and 23%). Structural equation modeling identified plant diversity and microbial community composition as direct primary drivers. Tree biomass profiles emerged as the strongest biological predictors of EMF (p < 0.01), exceeding abiotic factors. These findings highlight that C. hystrix plantations can achieve high multifunctionality through stand maturation facilitated by synergistic interactions between plants and microbes. Conservation of understory vegetation and soil biodiversity represents a critical strategy for sustaining EMF, providing a science-based framework for climate-resilient plantation management in subtropical regions. Full article

New Zealand’s Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) enables growers to earn payments by accumulating carbon units as their forests increase in carbon stock. For forests of less than 100 hectares, growers use predefined lookup tables (LUTs) to estimate carbon stock changes based on forest age. Using a combination of growth models and productivity surfaces, underpinned by data from 1360 growth plots, the objective of this study was to provide draft updates for the Exotic Hardwoods LUTs. The updated LUTs were based on growth rates of three Eucalyptus species, E. fastigata, E. regnans, and E. nitens, which comprise a major proportion of the Exotic Hardwoods forest type in New Zealand. Carbon tables were first derived for each species. Then, a draft LUT was generated for New Zealand’s North Island, using a weighted average of the species-specific tables based on the relative importance of the species, while the E. nitens table was used for the South Island where this is the predominant Eucalyptus species. Carbon stock predictions at ages 30 and 50 years were 820 and 1340 tonnes CO₂ ha⁻¹ for the North Island, and slightly higher at 958 and 1609 tonnes CO₂ ha⁻¹ for the South Island. Regional variation was significant, with the highest predicted carbon in Southland (1691 tonnes CO₂ ha⁻¹ at age 50) and lowest in Hawke’s Bay/Southern North Island (1292 tonnes CO₂ ha⁻¹). Predictions closely matched the current Exotic Hardwood LUT to age 20 years but exceeded it by up to 45% at age 35. Growth and carbon sequestration rates were similar to other established Eucalyptus species and slightly higher than Acacia species, though further research is recommended. These findings suggest that the three Eucalyptus species studied here could serve as the default species for a revised Exotic Hardwoods LUT and that the current national tables could be regionalised. However, the government may consider factors other than the technical considerations outlined here when updating the LUTs. Full article

The increasing pace of climate-driven changes in forest ecosystems calls for reliable remote sensing techniques for quantifying above-ground carbon storage. In this article, we compare the methodology and results of traditional field surveys, mobile laser scanning, optical drone imaging and photogrammetry, and both drone-based and light aircraft-based aerial laser scanning to determine forest stand parameters, which are suitable to estimate carbon stock. Measurements were conducted at four designated sampling points established during a large-scale project in deciduous and coniferous tree stands of the Dudles Forest, Hungary. The results of the surveys were first compared spatially and quantitatively, followed by a summary of the advantages and disadvantages of each method. The mobile laser scanner proved to be the most accurate, while optical surveying—enhanced with a new diameter measurement methodology based on detecting stem positions from the photogrammetric point cloud and measuring the diameter directly on the orthorectified images—also delivered promising results. Aerial laser scanning was the least accurate but provided coverage over large areas. Based on the results, we recommend adapting our carbon stock estimation methodology primarily to mobile laser scanning surveys combined with aerial laser scanned data. Full article