Search Results (1,142)

Flood susceptibility in Pakistan is strongly influenced by hydro-climatic variability, land-surface conditions, topography, and recurrent floodplain exposure; however, national-scale studies often lack a comprehensive assessment that captures both spatial patterns and temporal flood-risk dynamics within a single framework. This study is one of Pakistan’s first national efforts to address the gap between flood risk assessment and prioritization through a unified geospatial assessment. This study assesses flood susceptibility across Pakistan for 2002, 2012, and 2022 using a GIS-based AHP approach by integrating climatic, environmental, topographic, hydrological, soil, LULC, and anthropogenic indicators. The study results were further analyzed through district-level assessments, risk change analysis, persistence mapping, LULC exposure assessments, and the Comprehensive Flood Risk Priority Index (FRPI). The results show that high and very high flood susceptibility zones are primarily concentrated along the Indus River corridor, lower floodplains, and coastal Sindh, accounting for more than 7% of the total land area of Pakistan. Persistent flood hotspots are identified in Rann of Kutch (66.6%), Jacobabad (65.0%), and Jafarabad (61.1%), indicating strong temporal stability of flood-prone conditions. LULC exposure analysis reveals that cropland is the dominant exposed class, with the highest district-level exposure observed in Badin (17.1%) and Larkana (10.1%). The FRPI further identifies priority flood-risk zones where susceptibility, persistence, risk change, and exposure converge, with the highest FRPI values observed in Jacobabad (0.742), Rann of Kutch (0.738), and Badin (0.711). Model validation demonstrates strong predictive performance, with susceptibility ROC-AUC values ranging from 0.85 to 0.87 and FRPI AUC reaching 0.85. The proposed framework provides a robust decision-support tool for targeted flood-risk management and climate-resilient land-use planning in Pakistan. Full article

Floodplain wetlands are globally important ecosystems, yet altered hydrological regimes increasingly disrupt the balance between woody and non-woody vegetation. In Australia’s regulated Murray–Darling Basin, it remains unclear whether woody plant encroachment represents a persistent shift toward terrestrialisation or a dynamic process that can be periodically reversed by flooding. This study quantified long-term patterns of woody-vegetation encroachment and retreat across 32,000 ha of mapped wetlands in the mid-Murrumbidgee River floodplain from 1988 to 2023, and assessed how hydrological variability and floodplain connectivity mediate these dynamics. Using open, analysis-ready Earth observation data from Digital Earth Australia (DEA) within the Open Data Cube (ODC) framework, we combined DEA Land Cover for transition mapping, Water Observations for hydrological masking, Landsat surface reflectance for Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI)-based spectral plausibility testing, and the Wetlands Insight Tool for qualitative temporal context. Woody-vegetation dynamics were strongly non-linear and closely linked to alternating drought and flood phases. During the Millennium Drought (2001–2009), mapped woody-cover decline exceeded 50% of wetland area in some sub-regions, whereas the post-drought recovery interval (2008–2013) produced encroachment exceeding 40% in the most affected areas. Across the full 35-year record, mean encroachment rates ranged from 85 to 250 ha yr⁻¹ among sub-regions, summing to approximately 865 ha yr⁻¹ of woody expansion across the floodplain, while retreat rates were lower overall (approximately 634 ha yr⁻¹), resulting in a net expansion of woody cover. Local hydrological connectivity strongly mediated these responses: infrequently inundated wetlands showed persistent terrestrialisation, whereas more frequently inundated, better-connected wetlands experienced periodic flood-driven retreat. Landsat-derived EVI broadly supported the mapped transitions, indicating general consistency with canopy greening and canopy decline, supporting the ecological plausibility of the detected changes. This open DEA–ODC workflow provides a transparent, transferable framework for operational wetland monitoring and demonstrates that maintaining natural flood frequency, duration, and connectivity is essential for sustaining the resilience of regulated floodplain systems. Full article

The Dniester Delta is one of the Earth’s biodiversity hotspots and is home to many fish species of conservation and economic value. This unique complex of aquatic and semi-aquatic wetland habitats is also essential for the diversity of Dniester River and Black Sea ichthyofauna due to its role as a natural safe buffer and as a shelter, feeding, reproduction, and smooth transitional area for numerous fish species. Climate change is causing constant sea level rises in the Black Sea, which is anticipated to impact the vital ecosystems and related biodiversity in the Dniester Delta and other lower flooding areas, including the key ecological taxonomic group of fish. From this sea water rise risk assessment study of a total of 41 fish species, 6 were found to be under very high risk in the studied areas, 12 under high risk, 17 under moderate risk, and 6 under low risk. Positive ecological feedback in fish can stimulate environmental change and is expected to be responsible for changes within the Dniester Delta region complex of ecosystems in the context of sea level rise in the Black Sea, in addition to the diverse matrix of aquatic and semi-aquatic ecosystems in the near Dniester River and Black Sea. Full article

The Yellow River floodplain relies on plantations for ecological restoration, yet the key factors influencing soil microbial communities remain poorly elucidated. In this study, we investigated soil microbial communities under four representative stand types (Populus tomentosa monoculture (PP), Salix matsudana monoculture (PS), Populus tomentosa-Robinia pseudoacacia mixed plantation (MPR), and Salix matsudana-Populus tomentosa mixed plantation (MSP)) in this region. Using high-throughput sequencing, we compared the soil microbial community composition and diversity across stands, and combined soil physicochemical measurements to evaluate the relationships between community variation and soil factors. The results indicated that soil physicochemical properties differed significantly among stand types, except for available phosphorus. Bacterial α-diversity was highest in MPR, whereas fungal α-diversity was highest in MSP. Variation in microbial community structure (β-diversity) was primarily explained by soil organic carbon, total nitrogen, pH, water content, and electrical conductivity, as indicated by redundancy analysis and Mantel tests. The dominant bacterial phyla were Acidobacteriota, Pseudomonadota (formerly Proteobacteria), and Actinomycetota, while the dominant fungal phyla were Ascomycota, Basidiomycota, and Mortierellomycota. These findings demonstrate significant variation in soil microbial communities among plantation types and highlight the important role of soil physicochemical properties in shaping microbial community composition. Full article

Multiple factors such as global climate warming and environmental degradation have increased natural disaster frequencies, threatening the safety of citizens’ lives and properties seriously. Existing literature primarily focuses on livelihood diversification, resilience, and vulnerability in flood-prone areas, with limited research systematically examining farmers’ livelihood risks and management strategies across multiple dimensions. To address this gap, this study advances the understanding of multidimensional livelihood risks by systematically identifying the key risk perceptions and management strategy choices of farmers, thereby providing empirical evidence essential for designing targeted interventions and sustainable adaptation policies in flood-prone regions. Specifically, this study employs an unordered multinomial logistic model to examine farmers’ risk management strategy choices, drawing on a field survey of 540 farmers from floodplain areas in Sichuan Province, China. The analysis systematically covers four livelihood risk dimensions (health, environmental, financial, social) and five management strategies (expansion, adjustment-oriented, contraction, aid-oriented, dependency-based). The results indicate that: (1) The most significant livelihood risk is environmental, and the most commonly selected risk management strategy is adjustment-oriented management; (2) When farmers face health risks, they tend to adopt dependency-based management strategy; in dealing with financial and social risks, farmers perceive no significant difference in the selection of the five management strategies. Accordingly, targeted strategies are proposed: insurance and information for environmental risks, medical security for health, employment training for social, and income diversification for financial risks. Full article

The relationship between water and sediment in the lower reaches of the Yellow River is uncoordinated, leading to frequent floods. In this area, the floodplain is situated below the main channel and embankment foundations, increasing the likelihood of overbank flooding. Ecological protective forests serve as a nature-based mitigation measure by reducing flow velocities along embankments and lowering the risk of structural failure during near-bank flood events. To assess the role of ecological protective forests, laboratory experiments were conducted, and field data informed parameterization and geometry selection. A total of 24 scenarios were designed, combining four forest arrangements (A1, A2, A3, and A4), two submergence degrees (H₀/H = 0.5 and 1.0), and three water and sediment conditions. Results show that sediment deposition increases with vegetation density. Under constant vegetation density and embankment-aligned flow, a larger along-flow to cross-flow spacing ratio promoted deposition upstream, whereas a smaller ratio extended deposition further downstream. Deposition thickness was greater under fully submerged conditions than under semi-submerged conditions. Among the arrangements, sediment deposition effectiveness followed the order A1 > A2 > A4 > A3, with arrangement A1 providing the strongest promotion of deposition. Under varying flow–sediment conditions, the A1 arrangement enhanced sediment deposition by 6.8% to 20.6%. Flow structure was also modified: under semi-submerged conditions, the vertical profile of longitudinal velocity approximated a logarithmic distribution, whereas full submergence produced a different profile due to combined drag from tree trunks and canopy. Vertical sediment concentration profiles were similar under both submerged states, with minimum values near the water surface and maximum concentrations near the bottom. These changes confirm that ecological protective forests contributed to reducing flow velocity and diminishing sediment transport capacity. Full article

The floodplains of the Paraná and Paraguay rivers form the Chaco wetland, one of the most species-rich plant ecosystems in Argentina. Because wild grasses can serve as reservoirs of fungal species that cause disease and mycotoxin contamination of cereal crops, we examined asymptomatic, wild grasses from the Chaco wetlands for the presence of the genus Fusarium, which includes multiple species that cause agriculturally important diseases and/or mycotoxin contamination of crops. We focused our efforts on the identification and characterization of the multispecies lineage known as the Fusarium fujikuroi species complex (FFSC). Using morphological traits and partial DNA sequences of the TEF1 gene, we determined that 58 isolates recovered from the grasses were members of FFSC. Fifty of the isolates were identified as one of six FFSC species, including the economically important plant pathogenic species F. proliferatum, F. subglutinans, and F. verticillioides. To our knowledge, two of the species, F. anthophilum and F. pseudocircinatum, have not been reported previously in Argentina. Our analyses also indicated that eight of the FFSC isolates were a novel species, herein described as Fusarium varsavskyanum. A polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assay and genome sequence data indicate that each isolate of F. varsavskyanum isolate had only one mating type idiomorph (MAT1-1 or MAT1-2), which suggests that the fungus is heterothallic. Genome sequence analysis indicated that F. varsavskyanum has the genetic potential to produce, (i) the emerging mycotoxins fusaric acid and beauvericin (or enniatins); (ii) the pigments bikaverin, carotenoids, and fusarubin; and (iii) the plant hormones auxins, cytokinins, and gibberellins. Thus, asymptomatic grasses from the Chaco wetland can harbor Fusarium species that in some agroecosystems can cause economically important diseases and/or mycotoxin contamination of crops. It remains to be determined whether the genotypes of Fusarium species that occur on the wetland grasses, including F. varsavskyanum genotypes, can negatively impact agriculture. Full article

Tropical wetlands are highly sensitive to climatic and anthropogenic disturbances, and their macrophyte communities provide valuable information about environmental conditions and habitat structure. This study evaluated the relationship between aquatic macrophyte richness, community composition, and habitat vulnerability to climate change in aquatic ecosystems of the San Luis rural district, Barrancabermeja municipality (Santander, Colombia). Macrophyte communities were characterized at 47 monitoring sites distributed across six mesohabitats: floodplain depressions, swamp, wetland, artificial ponds, naturalized ponds, and stream riparian zones. A total of 63 species belonging to 30 families and 51 genera were recorded. Contrary to theoretical expectations, correlation analyses showed no significant relationship between macrophyte species richness and habitat vulnerability indices (Spearman ρ = −0.118, p = 0.428; Pearson r = −0.069, p = 0.646). However, species richness differed significantly among mesohabitats (Kruskal–Wallis, p < 0.05), indicating strong spatial heterogeneity in aquatic plant distribution. In addition, multivariate analyses using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) revealed that macrophyte community composition was strongly structured by local anthropogenic activities, including livestock farming, oil palm cultivation, and wastewater inputs. Floodplain depressions and artificial ponds were dominated by disturbance-tolerant and eutrophication-resistant species such as Urochloa plantaginea and Salvinia minima, reflecting higher levels of environmental pressure. These results demonstrate that macrophyte community composition, rather than species richness alone, is a more reliable indicator of habitat conditions and anthropogenic disturbance in tropical wetland systems. Overall, this study highlights that taxonomic richness is not a robust predictor of climate-related vulnerability in highly disturbed wetlands and emphasizes the importance of considering species composition and environmental context when assessing ecosystem conditions. Full article

Flooding is one of the most common and destructive natural disasters worldwide, and projections indicate that its intensity will increase across various climate regions during this century. South Sudan is particularly vulnerable due to a combination of factors, including hydrological releases from Lake Victoria, local rainfall patterns, and wetland retention dynamics. These factors raise important questions regarding the hydrological connectivity between Lake Victoria and the Nile system. This study examined how upstream hydrological conditions impact flood dynamics in South Sudan’s flood-prone regions, specifically in the states of Jonglei and Unity along the River Nile. To statistically estimate flood propagation lag time from Lake Victoria to the Sudd wetland, we used Cyclone Global Navigation Satellite System (CYGNSS) remote sensing data and water-level altimetry from both Lake Victoria and the River Nile at Mangalla. The analytical methods included moving block bootstrap (MBB) cross-correlation and Gaussian process (GP) modeling. Furthermore, we validated the event-based propagation and inundation patterns using flood event reports from the Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM). The findings indicate that the statistical propagation signals took approximately 106 days during the wet season (95% confidence interval [CI]: 60–150 days) and 134 days during the dry season (95% CI: 75–195 days) for the downstream water level response to reach the River Nile at Mangalla, and 3–4 weeks to reach the adjacent floodplains downstream. Residual stationarity diagnostics showed augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) statistics below −7 across the analyzed propagation pathways, indicating statistically stationary lag-adjusted residual behavior. Consistent temporal correspondence between inferred flood arrival windows and independently reported DTM flood-impact periods provides cautious support for the hydrological plausibility of the estimated propagation structure. Full article

Shallow eutrophic lakes recover from nutrient loading on time scales ranging from less than one year to many decades, yet whether this range is set by the lake or by the biological response group has rarely been quantified within a single monitoring framework. We assembled a five-year (2020–2025) quarterly monitoring panel from three shallow Yangtze-floodplain lakes (Lake Changhu, Lake Liangzihu, and Lake Honghu; 15 stations, 21 quarters) and applied a panel mixed-effect distributed lag model (PME-DLM) to estimate the lag-response windows of phytoplankton and benthic macroinvertebrate densities against five water-quality drivers. Cross-lake consistency was tested with a station-resampled bootstrap, and the contributions of water quality, season, and lake identity to community variation were resolved by three-table variation partitioning. The PME-DLM resolved a 3-month temperature window for phytoplankton and 9–15 month chlorophyll a and temperature windows for benthic communities, while total nitrogen and total phosphorus were non-significant in either group. Cross-lake bootstrap intervals on window width overlapped substantially across the three lakes, whereas cross-group differences in window centre and shape were an order of magnitude greater. Variation partitioning further showed a mirror-image structure in which phytoplankton variation was dominated by the pure water-quality fraction (12.2%) and benthic variation by the water-quality × season joint fraction (5.8%). Within the resolution of this five-year, three-lake panel, group-level differences in lag-response time scale were more apparent than lake-level differences and provide a quantitative basis for matching restoration assessment cadence to pelagic versus benthic recovery. Full article

The aim of this study was to critically assess the usefulness of pollution indicators in monitoring riverside soils (fluvisols) for heavy metal content. A novel methodological approach was used, comparing areas located inside and outside flood embankments, which allowed for a precise determination of the impact of fluvial and anthropogenic processes on heavy metal accumulation. The experimental logic validated the usefulness of four indicators: the Individual Pollutant Index (PI), the Background Enrichment Factor (PIN), the Potential Ecological Risk (RI), and the Pollution Load Index (PLI). Comparative analysis revealed that soils within the embankment zone have higher metal concentrations, resulting from the continuous deposition of alluvial material, which often contains industrial and municipal pollutants. The vertical distribution of pollutants in fluvisols was shown to be closely related to sediment dynamics and soil properties (clay fraction, organic matter, redox conditions). Validation of the indicators revealed their varying sensitivity. The study revealed the limitations of the PLI, which, due to its summary nature, did not account for significant variability in contamination within the soil profile. Consequently, the PI, PIN, and RI indices were shown to be the most effective tools in assessing the actual degree of soil contamination by fluvisols in the middle Oder Valley. The study results emphasise the need for the selective selection of indicators in environmental monitoring. This comparative approach provides a reliable method for assessing the effectiveness of floodplain management strategies under exposure to chemical pressure. Full article

Natural climate variations and human activities have significantly altered the river–lake hydrological regimes in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, leading to substantial changes in the inundation patterns of the Dongting Lake wetland, which in turn profoundly affect the spatial distribution and landscape patterns of wetland vegetation. Determining the response mechanisms and appropriate thresholds of wetland landscape patterns to hydrological rhythm changes is of great importance for maintaining the health of wetland ecosystems and optimizing the ecological operation of water conservancy projects. Based on long-term measured water level data (1992–2023) and multi-temporal Landsat remote sensing images (1997–2022), combined with a digital elevation model (DEM), this study systematically analyzed the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of the inundation processes in Dongting Lake before and after the operation of the Three Gorges Project (TGP) and their driving mechanisms on the plant landscape patterns of the floodplain wetland. The results show that after the TGP operation, the inundation pattern of Dongting Lake exhibited a drying trend, with a significant decline in annual mean water level (the largest drop of approximately 0.7 m in East Dongting Lake) and a marked reduction in the lake-wide average inundation duration (T) and inundation frequency (F). From 1997 to 2022, the total area of wetland vegetation in Dongting Lake showed a significant expansion trend, and the succession of the landscape pattern experienced a nonlinear process of stability, fragmentation, and recovery. The stepwise regression model revealed that the three elements of the inundation process explained more than 80% of the landscape pattern variation, among which inundation frequency (F) and inundation duration (T) were the core driving factors. Specifically, inundation frequency primarily regulated landscape diversity (SHDI) and contagion (CONTAG) through an environmental filtering effect, while maximum inundation depth (H) mainly maintained the physical connectivity (COHESION) of the landscape. Furthermore, the study quantified the stable hydrological range of the Dongting Lake wetland ecosystem: when the inundation frequency is maintained at 0.40–0.50 and the annual inundation duration is controlled at 4–5 months, the wetland landscape is in an optimal structural state. Once the warning thresholds are breached (e.g., F < 0.35 or T < 90 days), it may trigger the rapid expansion of cultivated poplar forests under combined hydrological and anthropogenic influences, leading to severe habitat fragmentation. These findings deepen the understanding of the response mechanisms of vegetation landscape patterns in large lake wetlands under altered hydrological rhythms. Full article

Compound extreme climate events have become increasingly frequent under climate change and may alter terrestrial carbon cycling through different atmospheric and soil pathways. Focusing on the Dongting Lake Eco-Economic Zone, this study identified three types of compound extreme events during 2003–2024: atmospheric compound hot–dry events (ACHDs), soil compound hot–dry events (SCHDs), and drought-to-rewetting events (DRWs). We then examined their associations with monthly anomalies of net primary production (NPP), heterotrophic respiration (RH), and net ecosystem exchange (NEE) under different land cover backgrounds. The results showed that ACHDs and SCHDs both increased significantly, whereas DRWs exhibited a slight decreasing trend and a more scattered spatial distribution. During the same period, regional NPP increased significantly, RH decreased slightly, and NEE became more negative, indicating an overall strengthening of net carbon uptake. Different event types were associated with contrasting carbon flux response pathways: ACHDs were mainly associated with reduced NPP and slightly increased RH, thereby shifting NEE toward more positive values and weakening regional net carbon uptake, whereas SCHDs and DRWs were more strongly associated with reduced RH and more negative NEE. In addition, the event–carbon relationships differed among land cover types, with cropland, built-up land, and sparsely vegetated surfaces showing higher sensitivity to ACHDs, whereas the responses to SCHDs and DRWs varied markedly among forest, grassland, wetland, and open water classes. These results highlight that compound atmospheric and soil extremes influence regional carbon cycling through distinct component-specific pathways, and that land use background is an important factor associated with differences in carbon flux sensitivity in humid lake–floodplain systems. Full article

Forests are among the most biodiverse terrestrial ecosystems, in which small mammals play an important ecological role. Their presence is influenced by various habitat parameters, including vegetation structure, microclimate, food resources, and human-driven forest management practices. The aim of our study was to assess rodent diversity across different forests, with a particular focus on forest stand age and forest plant communities. For this purpose, we analyzed 17 years of forest rodent monitoring data across five forest plant communities. This study represents the first long-term monitoring results of small mammals in managed forests of continental Croatia. Trapping was conducted as part of routine rodent monitoring in state-owned forests, incorporating data collected from various research projects. The results showed that lowland forests, particularly floodplain oak forests, exhibited higher biodiversity compared to other forest plant communities. In addition, younger stands exhibited higher species richness than older stands. Canonical correspondence analysis (CCA) indicated that Microtus species were associated with lowland forests and younger stands. Overall, the findings demonstrate that both forest plant communities and stand age play important roles in shaping rodent diversity in continental Croatian forests. The obtained data provide a basis for optimizing forest management practices in continental forests. Full article

Deltas are highly susceptible to biological invasions because of strong hydrological connectivity, frequent disturbance, and intense human use. Here, we synthesise coordinated monitoring observations and literature evidence on invasive alien plant species (IAS) recorded in four Black Sea riparian protected areas located across five countries, surveyed under the IASON/IASON+ initiatives (Danube Delta, Nestos Delta and Lake Vistonida, Kızılırmak Delta, Chorokhi Delta and Kolkheti National Park). Across the study sites, 17 IAS were documented, mainly represented by taxa native to North America and characterised by high propagule production and/or strong vegetative regeneration. Woody riparian invaders (e.g., Amorpha fruticosa, Robinia pseudoacacia, Acer negundo, Gleditsia triacanthos and Ailanthus altissima) exploited nutrient-rich floodplain soils and disturbances. In contrast, annual weeds (e.g., Ambrosia artemisiifolia, Sicyos angulatus and Xanthium orientale) remained associated with disturbed habitat edges. Aquatic dominance was confined to the Danube Delta, where Elodea nuttallii and Elodea canadensis formed dense submerged stands. Species were assigned to broad range expansion categories (slowly, moderately and rapidly spreading species) based on project observations and supporting records. We discuss shared invasion syndromes linked to reproductive and dispersal traits and outline management implications for Black Sea deltas, emphasising pathway prevention, early detection and rapid response for localised taxa, and sustained control combined with restoration for dominant invaders. Full article