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Keywords = expressway traffic flow

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22 pages, 3872 KB  
Article
Research on Tunnel Traffic Flow Prediction Model Based on Graph Neural Networks
by Yang Yang, Zhuozhuo Bai, Zhi Chen, Xiaoxue Cao, Zhitao Chen and Guo Chen
Electronics 2026, 15(12), 2571; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics15122571 - 10 Jun 2026
Viewed by 146
Abstract
To address the complex spatiotemporal dependencies and dynamically evolving spatial relationships in tunnel traffic flow prediction, a macro–micro collaborative two-stage prediction method is proposed. The Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) is first employed to optimize the GRU model for predicting incoming traffic flow at [...] Read more.
To address the complex spatiotemporal dependencies and dynamically evolving spatial relationships in tunnel traffic flow prediction, a macro–micro collaborative two-stage prediction method is proposed. The Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) is first employed to optimize the GRU model for predicting incoming traffic flow at the tunnel entrance, providing reliable macro-level input for subsequent modeling. Based on this, a spatiotemporal graph structure is constructed, and an FSE-ST-GCN model integrating an adaptive adjacency matrix with spatial and channel attention mechanisms is developed to capture dynamic spatial dependencies and enhance key feature representation. Experiments are conducted using real-world traffic flow data collected from the Shizuizi Tunnel on the Jilin–Caoshi Expressway. The results show that the proposed method outperforms baseline models in terms of MAE, RMSE, and MAPE, achieving superior prediction accuracy and stability. This work provides effective technical support for refined tunnel traffic management and lighting control. Full article
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21 pages, 14369 KB  
Article
Before–After Evaluation of a Pacemaker System in a Highway Tunnel Using Spatiotemporal Traffic Flow Patterns and Fundamental Diagram Analysis
by Young Jo and Sukki Lee
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(12), 5750; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16125750 - 8 Jun 2026
Viewed by 165
Abstract
Phantom congestion in highway tunnels reduces operational efficiency and destabilizes traffic flow. In this study, the effects of a pacemaker system (PMS) on traffic operation in the Geumnam Tunnel on the Seoul–Yangyang Expressway were evaluated using a before–after analysis based on long-term vehicle [...] Read more.
Phantom congestion in highway tunnels reduces operational efficiency and destabilizes traffic flow. In this study, the effects of a pacemaker system (PMS) on traffic operation in the Geumnam Tunnel on the Seoul–Yangyang Expressway were evaluated using a before–after analysis based on long-term vehicle detection system (VDS) data. Unlike past studies, this study provides an integrated empirical evaluation by jointly examining changes in spatiotemporal traffic flow, traffic capacity, and speed improvement at different level of service. The analyses were conducted using data from five VDS detectors installed upstream and downstream from the tunnel. After PMS installation, (i) increased average and 25th-percentile speeds at most detector locations and decreased speed standard deviation were observed near the tunnel exit and downstream sections, (ii) the maximum traffic volume increased from 1661 to 1765 veh/h/lane, and (iii) the mean speed and 25th-percentile speed increased by 6.5%, indicating speed-reduction alleviation among low-speed vehicles. Thus, the PMS increases vehicle speed, reduces speed variability, and enhances traffic flow stability and processing capability. These findings provide empirical evidence for the operational effectiveness of a PMS as a practical tool for mitigating phantom congestion in highway tunnel sections, reducing speed differences between vehicles, and improving traffic stream stability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Transportation and Future Mobility)
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27 pages, 14954 KB  
Article
Assessing the Impact of Local Traffic Carbon Emissions on Urban Road Surface Temperature at the Road-Segment Scale
by Maopeng Sun, Wen Liu, Xiaoming Li, Shiyan Hong and Renzhong Guo
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(12), 1887; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18121887 - 8 Jun 2026
Viewed by 280
Abstract
Urbanization and rapid economic growth have exacerbated urban heat effects, increasing the frequency of heat-related disasters and intensifying human health risks. Urban traffic generates substantial carbon emissions and associated heat, which significantly alter roadside thermal environments and impact human activities. Numerous previous studies [...] Read more.
Urbanization and rapid economic growth have exacerbated urban heat effects, increasing the frequency of heat-related disasters and intensifying human health risks. Urban traffic generates substantial carbon emissions and associated heat, which significantly alter roadside thermal environments and impact human activities. Numerous previous studies have investigated urban thermal environments and their influencing mechanisms. However, the relationships between road-level traffic carbon emission (TCE) and road surface temperature (RST) remain insufficiently explored. In this study, roadway segment-based TCE and RST were acquired by integrating hourly traffic flow information, localized vehicle carbon emission factors, high-resolution Landsat-8 remote sensing datasets, and the road network. Three commonly used linear regression models and an improved Random Forest (RF) model were utilized to assess the impact of TCE on RST for different grades of roads. The study showed that carbon emissions from road traffic exhibit a locally focused distribution pattern in space. Compared to other grades of roads, higher levels of TCE were observed in urban main roads. In summer, roads (e.g., minor arterials) with lower grades tended to have a higher thermal risk, with freeways having the lowest TCE and urban expressways experiencing the greatest TCE fluctuations. An improved RF model integrating the spatial weight matrix and Gaussian process could more efficiently identify the nonlinear effects of TCE on RST. The contributions of TCE to summer RST were 0.4, 0.37, 0.54, and 0.56 for freeways, urban expressways, main roads, and minor arterials, respectively. The relative impact of road TCE with lower grades on RST becomes more significant, while the impact of surrounding buildings and green areas tends to decrease. Our findings provide valuable insights for reducing urban carbon emissions and thermal risks. Full article
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20 pages, 5683 KB  
Article
Research on the Development and Application of New Eco-Friendly Noise Barrier Materials Based on Recycled Waste
by Tong Yu, Huanbin Song, Baolong Ma, Haiyang Sun, Hongxuan Qi, Jianghua Wang, Xiang Yan and Yulu Teng
Sustainability 2026, 18(11), 5332; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18115332 - 26 May 2026
Viewed by 458
Abstract
Traffic noise adversely affects residents near expressways, calling for sustainable noise mitigation solutions. This study developed three eco-friendly sound-absorbing panels from sand, industrial slag, and microporous ceramics. By optimizing aggregate gradation, the influence of porosity and flow resistivity on absorption coefficients was analyzed [...] Read more.
Traffic noise adversely affects residents near expressways, calling for sustainable noise mitigation solutions. This study developed three eco-friendly sound-absorbing panels from sand, industrial slag, and microporous ceramics. By optimizing aggregate gradation, the influence of porosity and flow resistivity on absorption coefficients was analyzed to determine optimal mix ratios. The panels were integrated into perforated metal noise barriers and evaluated through reverberation room and sound insulation tests. Field simulations using SoundPLAN for a residential project in Taizhou validated real-world performance. Results showed that slag panels achieved a Noise Reduction Coefficient (NRC) of 0.70, while sand and ceramic panels both reached 0.55. All configurations maintained a weighted sound reduction index (Rw) of 25–26 dB. Empirical simulations confirmed that a 2.5 m high barrier keeps noise levels within the 60 dB limit. Compared with traditional glass wool, these inorganic panels offer comparable noise reduction, superior non-combustibility, and better weather resistance, making them effective for frequency-specific noise control in urban engineering applications. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Research on Sustainable Waste Treatment and Technology)
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20 pages, 405 KB  
Article
A Geospatial Dynamic Warning Distance Model for Road Disaster Risks in Mixed-Traffic Flow Considering Vehicle Response Heterogeneity
by Yanbin Hu, Wenhui Zhou, Yi Li and Hongzhi Miao
ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2026, 15(5), 224; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi15050224 - 21 May 2026
Viewed by 317
Abstract
Road disasters such as subsidence and bridge failures pose severe threats to traffic safety. Existing warning distance calculation methods typically assume homogeneous traffic flow and overlook the spatial heterogeneity of vehicle responses across different vehicle types, limiting their applicability for geospatial early warning [...] Read more.
Road disasters such as subsidence and bridge failures pose severe threats to traffic safety. Existing warning distance calculation methods typically assume homogeneous traffic flow and overlook the spatial heterogeneity of vehicle responses across different vehicle types, limiting their applicability for geospatial early warning systems. This paper proposes a dynamic warning distance model that integrates mixed-traffic flow composition—comprising human-driven vehicles (HDVs), Level 2 advanced driver-assistance system vehicles (ADASVs), and automated vehicles (AVs) of Level 3 and above—within a geospatial risk propagation framework. The model introduces vehicle-type weighting coefficients to quantify response differences, incorporates interaction delays calibrated through SUMO microsimulations, and accounts for cascading reaction delays caused by abrupt HDV braking. The methodology is illustrated using a counterfactual reconstruction of the 2024 Meizhou–Dapu Expressway collapse in China (52 fatalities). Based on reconstructed traffic conditions (80% HDVs, 15% ADASVs, 5% AVs; average speed 27.5 m/s; flow 1800 veh/h), the calculated dynamic warning distance is 153 m, which is 12% shorter than the speed-matched conventional stopping sight distance of 174 m (computed under consistent wet-pavement assumptions). Sensitivity analyses reveal that warning distance decreases substantially with increasing AV penetration (to 42 m in AV-dominated scenarios, a potential reduction of up to 74% compared with the HDV-dominated baseline, provided that residual HDVs are supported by V2X-based alerting) and varies monotonically with traffic flow, demonstrating the model’s adaptive capability. The proposed framework provides a theoretical foundation for adaptive geospatial disaster warning strategies and offers practical guidance for infrastructure development in the era of mixed-traffic automation. Full article
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18 pages, 4887 KB  
Article
Enhancing Expressway Traffic State Perception: A Novel BAS-Optimized PSO-BP Fusion Model with Tensor Completion
by Jiacheng Yin, Xiaofei Guo, Wei Bai, Lijing Ma and Li Tang
Sensors 2026, 26(10), 2998; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26102998 - 10 May 2026
Viewed by 371
Abstract
With the continuous expansion of the expressway network and the rapid growth of traffic demand, traditional single-source traffic detection data is limited in spatial–temporal coverage and accuracy, which can hardly support the refined operation and management of intelligent expressways. Existing data preprocessing methods [...] Read more.
With the continuous expansion of the expressway network and the rapid growth of traffic demand, traditional single-source traffic detection data is limited in spatial–temporal coverage and accuracy, which can hardly support the refined operation and management of intelligent expressways. Existing data preprocessing methods often fail to fully capture global spatiotemporal features, and traditional PSO-BP neural networks are prone to local optima. To address these issues, this study investigates multi-source traffic data fusion using ETC-DSRC and RTMS microwave data from the Jiangsu section of the G50 Shanghai-Chongqing Expressway. The HaLRTC tensor completion algorithm is adopted to repair missing and abnormal data, fully mining the spatial–temporal correlation characteristics of traffic flow. The beetle antennae search (BAS) mechanism is introduced into the particle swarm optimization (PSO) process to improve particle search behavior and population diversity. On this basis, a BAS-optimized PSO-BP neural network, referred to as BSO-BP in this study, is constructed for multi-source traffic data fusion. In this model, the improved PSO algorithm is used to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of the backpropagation (BP) neural network, thereby improving the global search capability and convergence stability of the fusion model. Taking the average road speed as the fusion target, MAE, RMSE and MAPE are used for accuracy verification. The results show that the proposed model has significantly higher accuracy than single-source data methods and BP, PSO-BP, and GA-PSO-BP models, and can reflect the real traffic state of road sections more accurately. Full article
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15 pages, 952 KB  
Article
Composite Spatiotemporal Traffic Instability Metric for Early Congestion Detection in Underground Expressways
by Choongheon Yang and Chunjoo Yoon
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(9), 4286; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16094286 - 28 Apr 2026
Viewed by 378
Abstract
Traffic flow in long underground expressways is expected to exhibit amplified spatiotemporal variability due to confined geometry, longitudinal gradients, limited recovery space, and heterogeneous vehicle interactions. As these facilities remain at the planning stage, empirical field data are unavailable, necessitating simulation-based methodological development. [...] Read more.
Traffic flow in long underground expressways is expected to exhibit amplified spatiotemporal variability due to confined geometry, longitudinal gradients, limited recovery space, and heterogeneous vehicle interactions. As these facilities remain at the planning stage, empirical field data are unavailable, necessitating simulation-based methodological development. Conventional performance indicators (average speed) primarily reflect macroscopic deterioration after congestion has materialized and are therefore insufficient for capturing early variability transitions. This study proposes a composite Spatiotemporal Variability Metric (STVM) designed to quantify instability-related variability dynamics and enable early congestion detection in confined expressway environments. The metric structure was established through the synthesis of prior traffic flow instability research and systematic evaluation of 72 predesigned microscopic simulation scenarios representing diverse geometric and operational conditions. STVM integrates six mechanism-informed components: short-term speed and density fluctuations, heavy-vehicle proportion, sectional saturation level, ramp interference intensity, and exit discharge efficiency. Comparative analyses against average speed demonstrated that variability escalation measured by STVM consistently precedes observable speed degradation by 5–20 min. Internal contribution analyses using correlation, regression, and random forest modeling further confirmed the dominant structural roles of fluctuation- and saturation-related components in governing variability escalation. These findings confirm the usefulness of the STVM in analyzing transition dynamics and supporting real-time ITS-based monitoring in confined expressway systems. Full article
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24 pages, 2957 KB  
Article
DK-VCA Net: A Topography-Aware Dual-Decomposition Framework for Mountain Traffic Flow Forecasting
by Chuanhe Shi, Shuai Fu, Zhen Zeng, Nan Zheng, Haizhou Cheng and Xu Lei
Information 2026, 17(5), 407; https://doi.org/10.3390/info17050407 - 24 Apr 2026
Viewed by 290
Abstract
Traffic flow prediction is important for traffic management and safety control in mountainous areas. In these environments, traffic flow is affected by complex terrain, changing weather, and mixed vehicle types, so the resulting time series often show strong fluctuation and poor stability. Many [...] Read more.
Traffic flow prediction is important for traffic management and safety control in mountainous areas. In these environments, traffic flow is affected by complex terrain, changing weather, and mixed vehicle types, so the resulting time series often show strong fluctuation and poor stability. Many existing prediction models were developed for urban roads or flat highways, and their performance is therefore limited in mountainous scenarios. To address this problem, this paper proposes a hybrid model called DK-VCA Net. The model combines adaptive signal decomposition with a terrain-aware deep learning structure to separate useful traffic variation from complex noise. It also integrates traffic flow, speed, slope, and weather information to better describe mountain traffic conditions. The proposed method is evaluated using real traffic data collected at 5 min intervals from detection stations on the Guibi Expressway in Guizhou Province, China, during September 2020. Experimental results show that DK-VCA Net achieves better prediction accuracy than several representative baseline models, including 1D-CNN, LSTM, Transformer, STWave, and Mamba. Across the 15 min, 30 min, and 60 min forecasting tasks, the proposed model reduces the average RMSE by 14.8% compared with the conventional 1D-CNN model and by 8.9% compared with the baseline Transformer model. The ablation study further proves the effectiveness of the decomposition strategy, terrain-related features, and the attention mechanism. The results show that the proposed method is effective for traffic flow prediction in the studied mountainous highway scenario. Full article
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27 pages, 1486 KB  
Review
ETC-Enabled Intelligent Expressway: From Toll Collection to Vehicle–Road–Cloud Integration
by Ruifa Luo, Yizhe Wang, Xiaoguang Yang, Yue Qian and Song Hu
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(8), 3815; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16083815 - 14 Apr 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 707
Abstract
Following China’s completion of the removal of provincial boundary toll stations and expressway network integration reform, a large number of electronic toll collection (ETC) gantries were deployed along expressway mainlines nationwide, transforming these facilities from dedicated toll terminals into pervasive traffic-sensing infrastructure covering [...] Read more.
Following China’s completion of the removal of provincial boundary toll stations and expressway network integration reform, a large number of electronic toll collection (ETC) gantries were deployed along expressway mainlines nationwide, transforming these facilities from dedicated toll terminals into pervasive traffic-sensing infrastructure covering the entire road network. However, the data value and technological potential embedded in this major infrastructure transformation have not yet been systematically reviewed. This paper adopts a narrative review methodology, incorporating 71 publications identified through multi-database systematic searches. The review is organized along the functional upgrade path of ETC gantries, covering the progression from toll terminals to traffic sensing nodes, multi-source fusion hubs, and finally vehicle–road–cloud cooperative control nodes, and synthesizes research progress in expressway traffic sensing, multi-source data fusion, safety operations, and emerging applications. The review reveals that ETC data have enabled a diverse methodological repertoire spanning travel time estimation, traffic flow prediction, origin–destination (OD) matrix inference, toll plaza safety analysis, dynamic pricing strategies, and environmental impact assessment. Nevertheless, a single ETC data source suffers from inherent limitations: spatial–temporal resolution constrained by gantry spacing and real-time capability limited by transmission latency. This fundamental contradiction constitutes the core driving force behind multi-source data fusion and vehicle–road–cloud integration technologies. The paper further argues that establishing a closed-loop pipeline integrating sensing, fusion, decision, and control and anchored on ETC gantry nodes represents the key direction for realizing intelligent expressway transformation. Full article
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24 pages, 2814 KB  
Article
Variable Speed Limit Control for Freeways: A Multi-Objective Optimization Strategy for Balancing the Emission Reduction in Carbon Monoxide and Hydrocarbons with Traffic Operation Efficiency
by Yan Liu, Feifan Guo and Yin Teng
Sustainability 2026, 18(7), 3389; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18073389 - 31 Mar 2026
Viewed by 489
Abstract
As highway traffic demand continues to rise, research on balancing CO + HC emissions and traffic efficiency through variable speed limit (VSL) systems has become a critical topic. However, existing research has primarily focused on homogeneous road segments and connected autonomous driving scenarios, [...] Read more.
As highway traffic demand continues to rise, research on balancing CO + HC emissions and traffic efficiency through variable speed limit (VSL) systems has become a critical topic. However, existing research has primarily focused on homogeneous road segments and connected autonomous driving scenarios, resulting in a gap in alignment with the operational requirements of actual road segments. To this end, this study focuses on heterogeneous highway sections as the core scenario. Based on the modified Greenshields model and the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-II), it proposes a zoned VSL strategy optimized for dual objectives of traffic efficiency and CO + HC emissions. The case study results from the Qin-Nan section of the G75 Lanhai Expressway demonstrate that this strategy, through zonal differentiated speed limit setting, effectively enhances traffic flow stability and continuity. It achieves a synergistic increase in both traffic flow and vehicle speed while simultaneously curbing the progression of congestion during high-traffic scenarios. Additionally, this strategy achieves a cumulative reduction in CO + HC emissions of approximately 9.5% while maintaining traffic efficiency. It offers new insights for optimizing speed limit schemes on expressways under environmental considerations, demonstrating significant practical engineering value. Full article
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20 pages, 2758 KB  
Article
A Dynamic Risk Assessment System for Expressway Lane-Changing: Integrating Bayesian Networks and Markov Chains Under High-Density Traffic
by Quantao Yang and Peikun Li
Systems 2026, 14(3), 306; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems14030306 - 15 Mar 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 601
Abstract
In high-density expressway environments, lane-changing (LC) maneuvers act as stochastic perturbations that compromise the hydrodynamic stability of traffic flow, leading to safety hazards and operational delays. While existing literature has extensively modeled crash severity in static complex environments (e.g., tunnels and mountainous terrains), [...] Read more.
In high-density expressway environments, lane-changing (LC) maneuvers act as stochastic perturbations that compromise the hydrodynamic stability of traffic flow, leading to safety hazards and operational delays. While existing literature has extensively modeled crash severity in static complex environments (e.g., tunnels and mountainous terrains), there remains a critical deficiency in quantifying the dynamic, systemic risks induced by LC maneuvers under saturation conditions. To address this gap, this study proposes a novel Systemic Risk Assessment Framework. First, a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is employed to decode the latent state transitions of following vehicles, quantifying the systemic consequence of LC maneuvers as “operational delay” based on traffic wave theory. Second, a Bayesian Network (BN) is constructed to infer the causal probability of risk, integrating geometric proxies such as insertion angle with kinematic variables. Validated with real-world trajectory data, the model achieves high accuracy in identifying risk accumulation precursors. This research contributes to the field of transportation systems by shifting the risk paradigm from static collision prediction to dynamic system reliability analysis, offering theoretical support for Connected and Autonomous Vehicle (CAV) decision logic. Full article
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26 pages, 1121 KB  
Article
A Queuing-Network-Based Optimization Model for EV Charging Station Configuration in Highway Service Areas
by Hongwu Li, Bin Zhao, Zhihong Yao and Yangsheng Jiang
Modelling 2026, 7(2), 46; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling7020046 - 27 Feb 2026
Viewed by 1469
Abstract
This paper addresses the optimization of electric vehicle (EV) charging facility configuration on highways by proposing a collaborative planning method that integrates driver anxiety psychology, mixed traffic flow dynamics, and service area queuing characteristics. By abstracting the road travel and service area replenishment [...] Read more.
This paper addresses the optimization of electric vehicle (EV) charging facility configuration on highways by proposing a collaborative planning method that integrates driver anxiety psychology, mixed traffic flow dynamics, and service area queuing characteristics. By abstracting the road travel and service area replenishment processes into an integrated queuing network, a system analysis framework is constructed to characterize the coupling relationship of “facility supply, traffic assignment, and state feedback.” On this basis, a bi-level optimization model is established with the objective of minimizing the generalized total social cost. The upper level makes decisions on the coordinated quantities of fixed charging piles and mobile charging vehicles, while the lower level describes the stochastic user equilibrium behavior of drivers under the influence of real-time congestion and anxiety. To tackle the high-dimensional nonlinear nature of the model, an efficient solution algorithm based on simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation (SPSA) is designed. A case study of the Nei-Yi Expressway demonstrates that compared with the traditional peak demand proportional allocation method, the proposed approach can better balance construction costs, operation and dispatching costs, and user travel experience under limited investment, significantly reducing waiting times and psychological anxiety costs. It provides theoretical methods and decision support for planning a resilient energy replenishment network that achieves “fixed facilities ensuring base load and mobile resources responding to peak demands.” Full article
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31 pages, 6983 KB  
Article
Multi-Agent Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient-Based Coordinated Control for Urban Expressway Entrance–Arterial Interfaces
by Shunchao Wang, Zhigang Wu and Wangzi Yu
Systems 2026, 14(3), 231; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems14030231 - 25 Feb 2026
Viewed by 536
Abstract
Coordinated control of ramp metering, variable speed limits, and intersection signals is critical for mitigating congestion and enhancing efficiency at urban expressway–arterial interfaces. Existing strategies often operate in isolation, leading to fragmented responses and limited adaptability under heterogeneous traffic demands. This study develops [...] Read more.
Coordinated control of ramp metering, variable speed limits, and intersection signals is critical for mitigating congestion and enhancing efficiency at urban expressway–arterial interfaces. Existing strategies often operate in isolation, leading to fragmented responses and limited adaptability under heterogeneous traffic demands. This study develops a multi-agent reinforcement learning framework based on MADDPG to achieve cooperative decision-making across heterogeneous controllers. An asynchronous control cycle mechanism is designed to accommodate different temporal requirements of ramp meters, speed limits, and signal controllers, ensuring practical feasibility in real-time operations. A conflict-aware reward design further embeds density regulation, speed harmonization, and spillback prevention to stabilize flow dynamics. Simulation experiments on a calibrated urban network demonstrate that the proposed framework delays congestion onset, reduces shockwave propagation, and improves throughput compared with classical benchmarks. In particular, at the mainline merge, average travel time is reduced to 13.56 s (62.4% of VSL-only); at the ramp, occupancy is lowered to 6.4% (40.6% of ALINEA); and at the signalized approach, average delay decreases to 85.71 s (62.7% of actuated control). These results highlight the scalability and deployment potential of the proposed cooperative control approach for system-level traffic management in mixed traffic environments. Full article
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16 pages, 801 KB  
Article
Traffic Simulation-Based Sensitivity Analysis of Long Underground Expressways
by Choongheon Yang and Chunjoo Yoon
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(3), 1249; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16031249 - 26 Jan 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 554
Abstract
Long underground expressways have emerged as an alternative to surface highways in densely urbanized areas; however, their enclosed geometry, extended length, and steep longitudinal gradients introduce traffic-flow dynamics distinct from those of surface roads. This study investigates the combined and interaction effects of [...] Read more.
Long underground expressways have emerged as an alternative to surface highways in densely urbanized areas; however, their enclosed geometry, extended length, and steep longitudinal gradients introduce traffic-flow dynamics distinct from those of surface roads. This study investigates the combined and interaction effects of traffic volume, heavy-vehicle ratio, longitudinal gradient, lane number, and lane-changing policy on traffic performance in long underground expressways using microscopic traffic simulation. A hypothetical 20 km underground expressway network was evaluated under 72 systematically designed scenarios. Weighted average speed and throughput were analyzed using nonparametric statistics, generalized linear models with interaction terms, and machine learning-based sensitivity analysis. While traffic volume and heavy-vehicle ratio were confirmed as dominant determinants of performance, a key contribution of this study is the identification of the density-dependent role of lane-changing policies. Under moderate traffic density, permissive lane-changing improves efficiency by enabling vehicles to bypass localized disturbances caused by heavy vehicles and longitudinal gradients, thereby enhancing capacity utilization. In contrast, under high-density conditions, permissive lane-changing amplifies lane-change conflicts and shockwave propagation within the confined underground environment, accelerating traffic instability and performance breakdown. These adverse effects are further intensified by steep uphill gradients. The findings demonstrate that lane-changing policies on long underground expressways should be designed in a context-sensitive manner, balancing efficiency and stability across traffic states. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Transportation and Future Mobility)
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25 pages, 6071 KB  
Article
Prediction of Rear-End Collision Risk in Urban Expressway Diverging Areas Under Rainy Weather Conditions
by Xiaomei Xia, Tianyi Zhang, Jiao Yao, Pujie Wang, Chenke Zhu and Chenqiang Zhu
Systems 2026, 14(1), 56; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems14010056 - 6 Jan 2026
Viewed by 574
Abstract
To mitigate the frequent occurrence of rear-end collisions on urban expressways under rainy weather conditions, firstly, accident risk levels were classified using traffic conflict indicators. Secondly, three machine learning models were employed to predict the accident severity across different scenarios. Furthermore, key influencing [...] Read more.
To mitigate the frequent occurrence of rear-end collisions on urban expressways under rainy weather conditions, firstly, accident risk levels were classified using traffic conflict indicators. Secondly, three machine learning models were employed to predict the accident severity across different scenarios. Furthermore, key influencing factors of rear-end collisions were identified and analyzed based on SHAP values. Case studies were conducted by simulating vehicle trajectory data under light, moderate, and heavy rain scenarios, using an open urban expressway dataset and car-following parameters for rainy conditions. Next, the Modified Time-to-Collision (MTTC) metric was calculated. Risk thresholds for low-, medium-, and high-risk levels were established for each rainfall category using percentile-based cumulative distribution analysis. Finally, real-time risk prediction under the three rainfall scenarios was conducted using XGBoost, LightGBM, and Random Forest models. The model performances were evaluated in terms of accuracy, recall, precision, and AUC. Overall, the study finds that the LightGBM model achieves the highest predictive capability, with AUC values exceeding 0.78 under all weather conditions. Moreover, the study concludes that factors ranked by SHAP values reveal that the minimum distance has the greatest influence in light rain scenarios. As rainfall intensity increases, the influences of minimum headway time and average vehicle speed are found to grow, highlighting an interaction pattern characterized by “speed-distance-flow” coupling. Full article
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