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Search Results (923)

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Keywords = exponential stability

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16 pages, 2720 KB  
Article
Shale Oil T2 Spectrum Inversion Method Based on Autoencoder and Fourier Transform
by Jun Zhao, Shixiang Jiao, Li Bai, Bing Xie, Yan Chen, Zhenguan Wu and Shaomin Zhang
Geosciences 2025, 15(10), 387; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences15100387 (registering DOI) - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
Accurate inversion of the T2 spectrum of shale oil reservoir fluids is crucial for reservoir evaluation. However, traditional nuclear magnetic resonance inversion methods face challenges in extracting features from multi-exponential decay signals. This study proposed an inversion method that combines autoencoder (AE) [...] Read more.
Accurate inversion of the T2 spectrum of shale oil reservoir fluids is crucial for reservoir evaluation. However, traditional nuclear magnetic resonance inversion methods face challenges in extracting features from multi-exponential decay signals. This study proposed an inversion method that combines autoencoder (AE) and Fourier transform, aiming to enhance the accuracy and stability of T2 spectrum estimation for shale oil reservoirs. The autoencoder is employed to automatically extract deep features from the echo train, while the Fourier transform is used to enhance frequency domain features of multi-exponential decay information. Furthermore, this paper designs a customized weighted loss function based on a self-attention mechanism to focus the model’s learning capability on peak regions, thereby mitigating the negative impact of zero-value regions on model training. Experimental results demonstrate significant improvements in inversion accuracy, noise resistance, and computational efficiency compared to traditional inversion methods. This research provides an efficient and reliable new approach for precise evaluation of the T2 spectrum in shale oil reservoirs. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Geophysics)
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13 pages, 322 KB  
Article
Observer-Based Exponential Stabilization for Time Delay Takagi–Sugeno–Lipschitz Models
by Omar Kahouli, Hamdi Gassara, Lilia El Amraoui and Mohamed Ayari
Mathematics 2025, 13(19), 3170; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13193170 - 3 Oct 2025
Abstract
This paper addresses the problem of observer-based control (OBC) for nonlinear systems with time delay (TD). A novel hybrid modeling framework for nonlinear TD systems is first introduced by synergistically combining TD Takagi–Sugeno (TDTS) fuzzy and Lipschitz approaches. The proposed methodology broadens the [...] Read more.
This paper addresses the problem of observer-based control (OBC) for nonlinear systems with time delay (TD). A novel hybrid modeling framework for nonlinear TD systems is first introduced by synergistically combining TD Takagi–Sugeno (TDTS) fuzzy and Lipschitz approaches. The proposed methodology broadens the range of representable systems by enabling Lipschitz nonlinearities to fulfill dual functions: they may describe essential dynamic behaviors of the system or represent aggregated uncertainties, depending on the specific application. The proposed TDTS–Lipschitz (TDTSL) model class features measurable premise variables while accommodating Lipschitz nonlinearities that may depend on unmeasurable system states. Then, through the construction of an appropriate Lyapunov–Krasovskii (L-K) functional, we derive sufficient conditions to ensure exponential stability of the augmented closed-loop model. Subsequently, through a decoupling methodology, these stability conditions are reformulated as a set of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs). Finally, the proposed OBC design is validated through application to a continuous stirred tank reactor (CSTR) with lumped uncertainties. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Nonlinear Analysis: Theory, Methods and Applications)
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15 pages, 633 KB  
Article
Influence of Truncated M-Fractional Derivative on Soliton Dynamics and Stability Analysis of Fifth-Order KdV Equation Using Improved Modified Extended Tanh Function Method
by Rawan Bossly, Noorah Mshary and Hamdy M. Ahmed
Fractal Fract. 2025, 9(10), 632; https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract9100632 - 28 Sep 2025
Abstract
In this study, we explore the soliton solutions of the truncated M-fractional fifth-order Korteweg–de Vries (KdV) equation by applying the improved modified extended tanh function method (IMETM). Novel analytical solutions are obtained for the proposed system, such as brigh soliton, dark soliton, hyperbolic, [...] Read more.
In this study, we explore the soliton solutions of the truncated M-fractional fifth-order Korteweg–de Vries (KdV) equation by applying the improved modified extended tanh function method (IMETM). Novel analytical solutions are obtained for the proposed system, such as brigh soliton, dark soliton, hyperbolic, exponential, Weierstrass, singular periodic, and Jacobi elliptic periodic solutions. To validate these results, we present detailed graphical representations of selected solutions, demonstrating both their mathematical structure and physical behavior. Furthermore, we conduct a comprehensive linear stability analysis to investigate the stability of these solutions. Our findings reveal that the fractional derivative significantly affects the amplitude, width, and velocity of the solitons, offering new insights into the control and manipulation of soliton dynamics in fractional systems. The novelty of this work lies in extending the IMETM approach to the truncated M-fractional fifth-order KdV equation for the first time, yielding a wide spectrum of exact analytical soliton solutions together with a rigorous stability analysis. This research contributes to the broader understanding of fractional differential equations and their applications in various scientific fields. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Mathematical Physics)
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7 pages, 224 KB  
Article
On Relative Stability for Strongly Mixing Sequences
by Adam Jakubowski and Zbigniew Stanisław Szewczak
Foundations 2025, 5(4), 33; https://doi.org/10.3390/foundations5040033 - 25 Sep 2025
Abstract
We consider a class of strongly mixing sequences with infinite second moment. This class contains important GARCH processes that are applied in econometrics. We show the relative stability for such processes and construct a counterexample. We apply these results and obtain a new [...] Read more.
We consider a class of strongly mixing sequences with infinite second moment. This class contains important GARCH processes that are applied in econometrics. We show the relative stability for such processes and construct a counterexample. We apply these results and obtain a new CLT without the requirement of exponential decay of mixing coefficients, and provide a counterexample to this as well. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Mathematical Sciences)
15 pages, 1327 KB  
Article
Analysis and Prediction of Building Deformation Characteristics Induced by Geological Hazards
by Xuesong Cheng, Qingyu Su, Jingjin Liu, Jibin Sun, Tianyi Luo and Gang Zheng
Buildings 2025, 15(19), 3472; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15193472 - 25 Sep 2025
Abstract
To address the building settlement issues induced by an urban geological hazard in a northern city, this study utilizes settlement monitoring data from 16 high-rise buildings. The non-uniform temporal data were processed using the Akima interpolation method to construct a settlement prediction model [...] Read more.
To address the building settlement issues induced by an urban geological hazard in a northern city, this study utilizes settlement monitoring data from 16 high-rise buildings. The non-uniform temporal data were processed using the Akima interpolation method to construct a settlement prediction model based on a backpropagation (BP) neural network. The model’s predictive performance was validated against traditional approaches, including the hyperbolic and exponential curve methods, and was further employed to estimate the stabilization time of building settlements. Additionally, spatiotemporal characteristics of settlement behavior under the influence of geological hazards were investigated through a comparative analysis of deformation data across the building group. The results demonstrate that the BP neural network model achieves a 58.3% improvement in predictive accuracy compared to traditional empirical methods, effectively capturing the settlement evolution of buildings. The model also provides reliable predictions for the time required for buildings to reach a stable state. The temporal evolution of building settlement exhibits a distinct three-stage pattern: (1) an initial abrupt phase dominated by rapid water and soil loss; (2) a rapid settlement phase primarily driven by the consolidation of sandy and clayey soils; and (3) a slow consolidation phase governed by the prolonged consolidation of cohesive soils. Spatially, building deformations show significant regional heterogeneity, and the existence of potential finger-like preferential pathways for water and soil loss appears to exert a substantial influence on differential settlements. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Building Structures)
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17 pages, 5183 KB  
Article
Multi-Scale Damage Evolution of Soil-Rock Mixtures Under Freeze–Thaw Cycles: Revealed by Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy Testing and Fractal Theory
by Junren Deng, Lei Wang, Guanglin Tian and Hongwei Deng
Fractal Fract. 2025, 9(10), 624; https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract9100624 - 25 Sep 2025
Abstract
The response of the microscopic structure and macroscopic mechanical parameters of SRM under F–T cycles is a key factor affecting the safety and stability of engineering projects in cold regions. In this study, F–T tests, EIS, and uniaxial compression tests were conducted on [...] Read more.
The response of the microscopic structure and macroscopic mechanical parameters of SRM under F–T cycles is a key factor affecting the safety and stability of engineering projects in cold regions. In this study, F–T tests, EIS, and uniaxial compression tests were conducted on SRM. The construct equivalent model of different conductive paths based on EIS was constructed. A peak strength prediction model was developed using characteristic parameters derived from the equivalent models, thereby revealing the mechanism by which F–T cycles influenced both microscopic structure and macroscopic strength. The results showed that with increasing cycles, both RCP and RCPP  exhibited an exponential decreasing trend, whereas CDSRP and Df increased exponentially. Peak strength and peak secant modulus decreased exponentially, but peak strain increased exponentially. The expansion and interconnection of pores with different radii within CPP and CP caused smaller pores to evolve into larger ones while generating new pores, which led to a decline in RCPP and RCP. Moreover, this expansion enlarged the soil–rock contact area by connecting adjacent gas-phase pores and promoted the transformation of CSRPP into DSRPP, enhancing the parallel-plate capacitance effect and resulting in an increase in CDSRP. Moreover, the interconnection increased the roughness of soil–soil and soil–rock contact surfaces, leading to a rising trend in Df. The combined influence of CDSRP and Df yielded a strength prediction model with higher correlation than a single factor, providing more accurate predictions of UCS. However, the increases in CDSRP and Df induced by F–T cycles also contributed to microscopic structure damage and strength deterioration, reducing the load-bearing capacity and ultimately causing a decline in UCS. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Applications of Fractal Analysis in Structural Geology)
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29 pages, 3798 KB  
Article
Hybrid Adaptive MPC with Edge AI for 6-DoF Industrial Robotic Manipulators
by Claudio Urrea
Mathematics 2025, 13(19), 3066; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13193066 - 24 Sep 2025
Viewed by 173
Abstract
Autonomous robotic manipulators in industrial environments face significant challenges, including time-varying payloads, multi-source disturbances, and real-time computational constraints. Traditional model predictive control frameworks degrade by over 40% under model uncertainties, while conventional adaptive techniques exhibit convergence times incompatible with industrial cycles. This work [...] Read more.
Autonomous robotic manipulators in industrial environments face significant challenges, including time-varying payloads, multi-source disturbances, and real-time computational constraints. Traditional model predictive control frameworks degrade by over 40% under model uncertainties, while conventional adaptive techniques exhibit convergence times incompatible with industrial cycles. This work presents a hybrid adaptive model predictive control framework integrating edge artificial intelligence with dual-stage parameter estimation for 6-DoF industrial manipulators. The approach combines recursive least squares with a resource-optimized neural network (three layers, 32 neurons, <500 KB memory) designed for industrial edge deployment. The system employs innovation-based adaptive forgetting factors, providing exponential convergence with mathematically proven Lyapunov-based stability guarantees. Simulation validation using the Fanuc CR-7iA/L manipulator demonstrates superior performance across demanding scenarios, including precision laser cutting and obstacle avoidance. Results show 52% trajectory tracking RMSE reduction (0.022 m to 0.012 m) under 20% payload variations compared to standard MPC, while achieving sub-5 ms edge inference latency with 99.2% reliability. The hybrid estimator achieves 65% faster parameter convergence than classical RLS, with 18% energy efficiency improvement. Statistical significance is confirmed through ANOVA (F = 24.7, p < 0.001) with large effect sizes (Cohen’s d > 1.2). This performance surpasses recent adaptive control methods while maintaining proven stability guarantees. Hardware validation under realistic industrial conditions remains necessary to confirm practical applicability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Computation, Modeling and Algorithms for Control Systems)
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17 pages, 3219 KB  
Article
Stability of the Split-Step θ-Method for Stochastic Pantograph Systems with Markovian Switching and Jumps
by Guangjie Li, Zhipei Hu, Baishu Xu, Zilong Chen and Feiqi Deng
Axioms 2025, 14(10), 718; https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms14100718 - 23 Sep 2025
Viewed by 176
Abstract
This study focuses on analyzing the almost sure exponential stability of the split-step θ-method (SSθ-method) when applied to stochastic pantograph differential equations characterized by Markovian switching and jump processes. Initially, we establish the almost sure exponential stability of [...] Read more.
This study focuses on analyzing the almost sure exponential stability of the split-step θ-method (SSθ-method) when applied to stochastic pantograph differential equations characterized by Markovian switching and jump processes. Initially, we establish the almost sure exponential stability of the system’s trivial solution. Subsequently, under an additional sufficient condition, it is demonstrated that the discrete solutions generated by the SSθ-method also exhibit this stability property. Finally, a computational experiment is conducted to support the theoretical results. Full article
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16 pages, 4578 KB  
Article
Thermal Stability of Color Centers in Lithium Fluoride Crystals Irradiated with Electrons and N, O, Kr, U Ions
by Zhadra Malikova, Zhakyp T. Karipbayev, Abdirash Akilbekov, Alma Dauletbekova, Anatoli I. Popov, Vladimir N. Kuzovkov, Ainash Abdrakhmetova, Alyona Russakova and Muratbek Baizhumanov
Materials 2025, 18(19), 4441; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma18194441 - 23 Sep 2025
Viewed by 222
Abstract
Lithium fluoride (LiF) crystals are widely employed both as optical windows transparent in the ultraviolet spectral region and as efficient personal dosimeters, with their application scope recently expanding into lithium-ion technologies. Moreover, as an alkali halide crystal (AHC), LiF serves as a model [...] Read more.
Lithium fluoride (LiF) crystals are widely employed both as optical windows transparent in the ultraviolet spectral region and as efficient personal dosimeters, with their application scope recently expanding into lithium-ion technologies. Moreover, as an alkali halide crystal (AHC), LiF serves as a model system for studying and simulating radiation effects in solids. This work identifies radiation-induced defects formed in lithium fluoride upon irradiation with swift heavy ion beams (N, O, Kr, U) and intense pulsed electron beams, investigates their thermal stability, and performs computer modeling of annealing processes. The theoretical analysis of existing experimental kinetics for F-centers induced by electron and heavy ion irradiation reveals considerable differences in the activation energies for interstitial migration. A strong correlation between the activation energy Ea and the pre-exponential factor X(Ea) is observed; notably, X(Ea) is no longer constant but closely matches the potential function Ea. Indeed, with increasing irradiation dose, both the migration energy Ea and pre-exponential factor X decrease simultaneously, leading to an effective increase in the defect diffusion rate. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Optical and Photonic Materials)
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19 pages, 2410 KB  
Article
A Study on the Use of Copper Ions for Bacterial Inactivation in Water
by Arzu Teksoy and Melis Ece Özyiğit
Water 2025, 17(19), 2797; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17192797 - 23 Sep 2025
Viewed by 196
Abstract
This study comprehensively evaluated the antimicrobial performance of copper ions against three bacterial species relevant to water systems: E. coli (ATCC 25922), P. aeruginosa (ATCC 27853), and S. epidermidis (ATCC 12228). Disinfection kinetics were determined at three copper concentrations (0.5, 1.5, and 3.3 [...] Read more.
This study comprehensively evaluated the antimicrobial performance of copper ions against three bacterial species relevant to water systems: E. coli (ATCC 25922), P. aeruginosa (ATCC 27853), and S. epidermidis (ATCC 12228). Disinfection kinetics were determined at three copper concentrations (0.5, 1.5, and 3.3 mg/L) using the Gard model. E. coli exhibited the highest susceptibility, with inactivation rate constants of 0.63, 3.27, and 9.83, achieving complete inactivation at 3.3 mg/L. P. aeruginosa was the most resistant, showing values below 1.0 across all concentrations, while S. epidermidis displayed intermediate responses. Selected experiments further examined the influence of growth phase, temperature, and water chemistry. Exponential-phase cells were more sensitive than stationary-phase cultures, and higher temperatures (37 °C vs. 5 °C) significantly enhanced inactivation. Moderate bicarbonate (50 mg/L) improved bacterial removal by stabilizing soluble Cu2+ ions (2.60 lg reduction), whereas elevated calcium and magnesium (Ca2+ 100 mg/L, Mg2+ 50 mg/L) reduced effectiveness (≤2.10 lg reduction) through competitive interactions. In addition to culture-based methods, adenosine triphosphate (ATP) bioluminescence assays and flow cytometry (FCM) provided complementary insights, confirming early metabolic disruption and membrane damage prior to culturability loss in selected experiments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water Quality and Contamination)
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31 pages, 668 KB  
Article
A Novel Moving Average–Exponentiated Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (MA-Exp-EWMA) Control Chart for Detecting Small Shifts
by Jun-Hao Lu and Chang-Yun Lin
Mathematics 2025, 13(18), 3049; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13183049 - 22 Sep 2025
Viewed by 149
Abstract
Process monitoring plays a vital role in ensuring quality stability, and, operational efficiency across fields such as manufacturing, finance, biomedical science, and environmental monitoring. Among statistical tools, control charts are widely adopted for detecting variability and abnormal patterns. Since the introduction of the [...] Read more.
Process monitoring plays a vital role in ensuring quality stability, and, operational efficiency across fields such as manufacturing, finance, biomedical science, and environmental monitoring. Among statistical tools, control charts are widely adopted for detecting variability and abnormal patterns. Since the introduction of the basic X-bar control chart by Shewhart in the 1920s, various improved methods have emerged to address the challenge of identifying small and latent process shifts, including CUSUM, MA, EWMA, and Exp-EWMA control charts. This study introduces a novel control chart—the Moving Average–Exponentiated Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (MA-Exp-EWMA) control chart—combining the smoothing effect of MA and the adaptive weighting of Exp-EWMA. Its goal is to improve the detection of small shifts and gradual changes. Performance is evaluated using average run length (ARL), standard deviation of run length (SDRL), and median run length (MRL). Monte Carlo simulations under different distributions (normal, exponential, gamma, and Student’s t) and parameter settings assess the control chart’s sensitivity under various shift scenarios. Comparisons with existing control charts and an application to real data demonstrate the practical effectiveness of the proposed method in detecting small shifts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Mathematical Modelling and Statistical Methods of Quality Engineering)
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52 pages, 6335 KB  
Article
On Sampling-Times-Independent Identification of Relaxation Time and Frequency Spectra Models of Viscoelastic Materials Using Stress Relaxation Experiment Data
by Anna Stankiewicz, Sławomir Juściński and Marzena Błażewicz-Woźniak
Materials 2025, 18(18), 4403; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma18184403 - 21 Sep 2025
Viewed by 138
Abstract
Viscoelastic relaxation time and frequency spectra are useful for describing, analyzing, comparing, and improving the mechanical properties of materials. The spectra are typically obtained using the stress or oscillatory shear measurements. Over the last 80 years, dozens of mathematical models and algorithms were [...] Read more.
Viscoelastic relaxation time and frequency spectra are useful for describing, analyzing, comparing, and improving the mechanical properties of materials. The spectra are typically obtained using the stress or oscillatory shear measurements. Over the last 80 years, dozens of mathematical models and algorithms were proposed to identify relaxation spectra models using different analytical and numerical tools. Some models and identification algorithms are intended for specific materials, while others are general and can be applied for an arbitrary rheological material. The identified relaxation spectrum model always depends on the identification method applied and on the specific measurements used in the identification process. The stress relaxation experiment data consist of the sampling times used in the experiment and the noise-corrupted relaxation modulus measurements. The aim of this paper is to build a model of the spectrum that asymptotically does not depend on the sampling times used in the experiment as the number of measurements tends to infinity. Broad model classes, determined by a finite series of various basis functions, are assumed for the relaxation spectra approximation. Both orthogonal series expansions based on the Legendre, Laguerre, and Chebyshev functions and non-orthogonal basis functions, like power exponential and modified Bessel functions of the second kind, are considered. It is proved that, even when the true spectrum description is entirely unfamiliar, the approximate sampling-times-independent spectra optimal models can be determined using modulus measurements for appropriately randomly selected sampling times. The recovered spectra models are strongly consistent estimates of the desirable models corresponding to the relaxation modulus models, being optimal for the deterministic integral weighted square error. A complete identification algorithm leading to the relaxation spectra models is presented that requires solving a sequence of weighted least-squares relaxation modulus approximation problems and a random selection of the sampling times. The problems of relaxation spectra identification are ill-posed; solution stability is ensured by applying Tikhonov regularization. Stochastic convergence analysis is conducted and the convergence with an exponential rate is demonstrated. Simulation studies are presented for the Kohlrausch–Williams–Watts spectrum with short relaxation times, the uni- and double-mode Gauss-like spectra with intermediate relaxation times, and the Baumgaertel–Schausberger–Winter spectrum with long relaxation times. Models using spectrum expansions on different basis series are applied. These studies have shown that sampling times randomization provides the sequence of the optimal spectra models that asymptotically converge to sampling-times-independent models. The noise robustness of the identified model was shown both by analytical analysis and numerical studies. Full article
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22 pages, 14549 KB  
Article
Fractional-Order Constitutive Modeling of Shear Creep Damage in Carbonaceous Mud Shale: Experimental Verification of Acoustic Emission Ringing Count Rate Analysis
by Jinpeng Wu, Bin Hu, Jing Li, Xiangyu Zhang, Xin Dai and Kai Cui
Fractal Fract. 2025, 9(9), 610; https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract9090610 - 21 Sep 2025
Viewed by 187
Abstract
To reveal the influence mechanism of shear creep behavior of the weak interlayer (carbonaceous mud shale) from a microscopic perspective, acoustic emission (AE) technology was introduced to conduct shear creep tests to capture micro-fracture acoustic signals and analyze the microscopic damage evolution laws. [...] Read more.
To reveal the influence mechanism of shear creep behavior of the weak interlayer (carbonaceous mud shale) from a microscopic perspective, acoustic emission (AE) technology was introduced to conduct shear creep tests to capture micro-fracture acoustic signals and analyze the microscopic damage evolution laws. The results indicate that, as normal stress increased, shear creep strain decayed exponentially, while the steady state creep rate increased gradually. Additionally, the peak value and cumulative value of the AE ringing count rate also increased gradually. The AE b-value had a staged pattern of “fluctuation adjustment → stable increase → abrupt decline”. The sudden drop in the b-value could serve as a precursor feature of creep failure. The higher the normal stress, the earlier the sudden drop in b-value and the larger the Δb value. The damage variable was defined based on the AE ringing count rate, and a new creep damage model was constructed by combining fractional-order theory. The model can uniformly describe the creep damage law of carbonaceous mud shale under different normal stresses. The reliability of the model was verified through experimental data. The research results provide a theoretical basis for long-term stability analysis of mine slopes containing weak interlayers. Full article
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11 pages, 452 KB  
Article
A Banach Space Leap: Contraction Mapping Solutions for Stochastic Delay Systems
by Fatin Nabila Abd Latiff, Dawn A. Stoner, Kah Lun Wang and Kok Bin Wong
Mathematics 2025, 13(18), 3002; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13183002 - 17 Sep 2025
Viewed by 257
Abstract
We investigate the solvability and stability properties of a class of nonlinear stochastic delay differential equations (SDDEs) driven by Wiener noise and incorporating discrete time delays. The equations are formulated within a Banach space of continuous, adapted sample paths. Under standard Lipschitz and [...] Read more.
We investigate the solvability and stability properties of a class of nonlinear stochastic delay differential equations (SDDEs) driven by Wiener noise and incorporating discrete time delays. The equations are formulated within a Banach space of continuous, adapted sample paths. Under standard Lipschitz and linear growth conditions, we construct a solution operator and prove the existence and uniqueness of strong solutions using a fixed-point argument. Furthermore, we derive exponential mean-square stability via Lyapunov-type techniques and delay-dependent inequalities. This framework provides a unified and flexible approach to SDDE analysis that departs from traditional Hilbert space or semigroup-based methods. We explore a Banach space fixed-point approach to SDDEs with multiplicative noise and discrete delays, providing a novel functional-analytic framework for examining solvability and stability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Fixed Point, Optimization, and Applications: 3rd Edition)
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21 pages, 3665 KB  
Article
Dynamic Fitting Method for Wellbore Multiphase Flow with Exponentially Weighted Parameter Updating
by Yuchen Ji, Xinrui Zhang, Mingchun Wang, Yupei Liu, Tianhao Wang, Zixiao Xing, Guoqing Han and Xiaolong Xiang
Processes 2025, 13(9), 2894; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13092894 - 10 Sep 2025
Viewed by 327
Abstract
Accurate dynamic characterization of wellbore multiphase flow is fundamental for production optimization and real-time control in oil and gas wells. Addressing technical constraints of existing dynamic fitting methods, this study proposes a novel dynamic fitting methodology integrating physical mechanisms with exponentially weighted parameter [...] Read more.
Accurate dynamic characterization of wellbore multiphase flow is fundamental for production optimization and real-time control in oil and gas wells. Addressing technical constraints of existing dynamic fitting methods, this study proposes a novel dynamic fitting methodology integrating physical mechanisms with exponentially weighted parameter updating. The approach leverages multiphase flow theory to target the liquid holdup factor and friction factor as correction parameters for dynamic fitting. It incorporates Particle Swarm Optimization to achieve rapid and accurate fitting and introduces an Exponentially Weighted Moving Average mechanism to dynamically update parameters. By fusing historical data with real-time data, the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average method balances instantaneous responsiveness with long-term stability. Empirical validation using a dataset from Block XX of a Southern China oilfield demonstrates the superior accuracy of the fitting method under low-to-medium frequency data conditions. During data interruptions or anomalous disturbances, the method maintains high accuracy while exhibiting a low mean relative change percentage; it effectively suppressed the non-physical jumps of the fitting coefficients and maintained stable and accurate fitting. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Systems)
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