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15 pages, 3137 KB  
Article
Climate Change and the Escalating Cost of Floods: New Insights from Regional Risk Assessment Perspective
by Andrej Vidmar, Filmon Ghilay Ghebrebimichael and Simon Rusjan
Climate 2025, 13(11), 223; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13110223 - 27 Oct 2025
Viewed by 956
Abstract
Global climate change is expected to alter characteristics of flood events. This study evaluates the rising flood risk and damage potential in the lower Vipava River valley—a transboundary catchment between Slovenia and Italy—under climate scenarios RCP 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5. The area has [...] Read more.
Global climate change is expected to alter characteristics of flood events. This study evaluates the rising flood risk and damage potential in the lower Vipava River valley—a transboundary catchment between Slovenia and Italy—under climate scenarios RCP 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5. The area has experienced multiple floods in recent decades, indicating high vulnerability. Using hydraulic modeling for current and future conditions, flood hazard zones were identified and integrated into the KRPAN model to estimate expected annual damage (EAD). The findings show that EAD escalates from €0.97 million under current conditions to €1.97 million under the most extreme scenario. A 20% rise in flood peaks leads to a 1.4-fold increase in damage, while a 40% rise results in losses that are more than double. Buildings show a 2.5-fold increase in EAD, and water infrastructure EAD rises by a factor of 1.9. These results underscore the substantial economic consequences of climate change on flood risk. The study highlights the urgent need to incorporate climate scenarios into flood risk assessments and spatial planning to support adaptive strategies and reduce future damage. These insights are essential for making informed decisions and achieving long-term resilience. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Disaster Risk Management and Resilience)
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35 pages, 18570 KB  
Review
Research Status and Trends in Universal Robotic Picking End-Effectors for Various Fruits
by Wenjie Gao, Jizhan Liu, Jie Deng, Yong Jiang and Yucheng Jin
Agronomy 2025, 15(10), 2283; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy15102283 - 26 Sep 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2480
Abstract
The land used for fruit cultivation now exceeds 120 million hectares globally, with an annual yield of nearly 940 million tons. Fruit picking, the most labor-intensive task in agricultural production, is gradually shifting toward automation using intelligent robotic systems. As the component in [...] Read more.
The land used for fruit cultivation now exceeds 120 million hectares globally, with an annual yield of nearly 940 million tons. Fruit picking, the most labor-intensive task in agricultural production, is gradually shifting toward automation using intelligent robotic systems. As the component in direct contact with crops, specialized picking end-effectors perform well for certain fruits but lack adaptability to diverse fruit types and canopy structures. This limitation has constrained technological progress and slowed industrial deployment. The diversity of fruit shapes and the wide variation in damage thresholds—2–4 N for strawberries, 15–40 N for apples, and about 180 N for kiwifruit—further highlight the challenge of universal end-effector design. This review examines two major technical pathways: separation mechanisms and grasping strategies. Research has focused on how fruits are detached and how they can be securely held. Recent advances and limitations in both approaches are systematically analyzed. Most prototypes have achieved picking success rates exceeding 80%, with average cycle times reduced to 4–5 s per fruit. However, most designs remain at Technology Readiness Levels (TRLs) 3–5, with only a few reaching TRLs 6–7 in greenhouse trials. A dedicated section also discusses advanced technologies, including tactile sensing, smart materials, and artificial intelligence, which are driving the next generation of picking end-effectors. Finally, challenges and future trends for highly universal agricultural end-effectors are summarized. Humanoid picking hands represent an important direction for the development of universal picking end-effectors. The insights from this review are expected to accelerate the industrialization and large-scale adoption of robotic picking systems. Full article
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19 pages, 11804 KB  
Article
Assessing the Impact of Ammonia Emissions from Mink Farming in Denmark on Human Health and Critical Load Exceedance
by Lise Marie Frohn, Jesper Leth Bak, Jørgen Brandt, Jesper Heile Christensen, Steen Gyldenkærne and Camilla Geels
Atmosphere 2025, 16(8), 966; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080966 - 15 Aug 2025
Viewed by 1641
Abstract
In this study, the objective is to assess the impacts of NH3 emissions from mink farming on human health and nature, which are sensitive to atmospheric nitrogen deposition. The impact-pathway approach is applied to follow the emissions from source to impact on [...] Read more.
In this study, the objective is to assess the impacts of NH3 emissions from mink farming on human health and nature, which are sensitive to atmospheric nitrogen deposition. The impact-pathway approach is applied to follow the emissions from source to impact on human health in Europe (including Denmark) and from source to critical nitrogen load exceedances for NH3-sensitive nature in Denmark. The Danish Eulerian Hemispheric Model (DEHM) is used for modelling the air pollution concentrations in Europe and nitrogen depositions on land and water surfaces in Denmark arising from NH3 emissions from mink farming in Denmark. The Economic Valuation of Air (EVA) pollution model system is applied for deriving the health effects and corresponding socio-economic costs in Denmark and Europe arising from the emissions from mink farming. On a local scale in Denmark, the deposition resulting from the NH3 emissions from mink farming is modelled using the results from the OML-DEP model at a high resolution to derive the critical nitrogen load exceedances for Danish nature areas sensitive to NH3. From the analysis of the impacts through human exposure to the air pollutants PM2.5, NO2, and O3, it is concluded that in total, ~60 premature deaths annually in Europe, including Denmark, can be attributed to the emissions of NH3 to the atmosphere from the mink farming sector in Denmark. This corresponds to annual socio-economic costs on the order of EUR 142 million. From the analysis of critical load exceedances, it is concluded that an exceedance of the critical load of nitrogen deposition of ~14,600 hectares (ha) of NH3-sensitive nature areas in Denmark can be attributed to NH3 emissions from mink farming. The cost for restoring nature areas of this size, damaged by eutrophication from excess nitrogen deposition, is estimated to be ~EUR 110 million. In 2020, the mink sector in Denmark was shut down in connection with the COVID-19 pandemic. All mink were culled by order of the Danish Government, and now in 2025, the process of determining the level of financial compensation to the farmers is still ongoing. The socio-economic costs following the impacts on human health in Europe and nitrogen-sensitive nature in Denmark of NH3 emissions from the now non-existing mink sector can therefore be viewed as socio-economic benefits. In this study, these benefits are compared with the expected level of compensation from the Danish Government to the mink farmers, and the conclusion is that the compensation to the mink farmers breaks even with the benefits from reduced NH3 emissions over a timescale of ~20 years. Full article
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14 pages, 9090 KB  
Article
Effects of Climate Change on the Global Distribution of Trachypteris picta (Coleoptera: Buprestidae)
by Huafeng Liu, Shuangyi Wang, Yunchun Li, Shuangmei Ding, Aimin Shi, Ding Yang and Zhonghua Wei
Insects 2025, 16(8), 802; https://doi.org/10.3390/insects16080802 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 939
Abstract
Trachypteris picta (Pallas, 1773) is a significant pest that can cause serious damage to poplars and willows. To assess the impact of climate change on the suitable habitats of T. picta, this study conducted a comparative analysis of its global suitable habitats [...] Read more.
Trachypteris picta (Pallas, 1773) is a significant pest that can cause serious damage to poplars and willows. To assess the impact of climate change on the suitable habitats of T. picta, this study conducted a comparative analysis of its global suitable habitats using climatic factors, global land use type, and global vegetation from different periods, in combination with the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model. The results indicate that the annual mean temperature (Bio01), mean temperature of the coldest quarter (Bio11), precipitation of the coldest quarter (Bio19), and isothermality (Bio03) are the four most important climate variables determining the distribution of T. picta. Under the current climate conditions, the highly suitable areas are primarily located in southern Europe, covering an area of 2.22 × 106 km2. Under future climate scenarios, the suitable habitat for T. picta is expected to expand and shift towards higher latitudes. In the 2050s, the SSP5-8.5 scenario has the largest suitable area compared to other scenarios, while the SSP2-4.5 scenario has the largest suitable area in the 2090s. In addition, the centroids of the total suitable areas are expected to shift toward higher latitudes under future climate conditions. The results of this study provide valuable data for the monitoring, control, and management of this pest. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Insect Pest and Vector Management)
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21 pages, 1894 KB  
Review
An Overview of CNN-Based Image Analysis in Solar Cells, Photovoltaic Modules, and Power Plants
by Dávid Matusz-Kalász, István Bodnár and Marcell Jobbágy
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(10), 5511; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15105511 - 14 May 2025
Cited by 8 | Viewed by 3536
Abstract
In this paper, we present the latest research results on the analysis of images taken during the condition assessment of solar cells and solar power plants. We aimed to summarize the most recent articles for 2024 and 2025. The annual volume of solar [...] Read more.
In this paper, we present the latest research results on the analysis of images taken during the condition assessment of solar cells and solar power plants. We aimed to summarize the most recent articles for 2024 and 2025. The annual volume of solar panels produced is expected to increase in the future. As imaging condition assessment technologies develop, the convolutional neural network models must follow this trend. In the field of real-time detection, CNN models will play an extremely important role because the faster any potential faults are identified, the quicker the response time during manufacturing and PV plant inspections. As part of CNN implementation in large PV power plants, IR and RGB imaging modes are very useful to detect failure sources. While IR imaging is useful in detecting heating from faults within PV panels or from nearby wiring, RGB imaging can detect mechanical defects such as broken glass planes, discolorations, and delamination. The implementation of these thus provides a higher chance of detecting solar panel damage and PV farms’ performance degradation or possible failure, resulting in a reduction in power generation interruptions. This will also allow faster and more efficient intervention and decision-making by operators in case of problems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Technical Diagnostics and Predictive Maintenance)
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18 pages, 4781 KB  
Article
Projecting Current and Future Habitat Suitability of the Pepper Weevil, Anthonomus eugenii Cano, 1894 (Coleoptera: Curculionidae), in China: Implications for the Pepper Industry
by Qisong Li, Jianxiang Mao, Weifeng Wang, Ruijun Liu, Qiufan Xie, Shiyao Su, Zhong Wang, Yunzhe Song, Yongcong Hong and Pumo Cai
Insects 2025, 16(2), 227; https://doi.org/10.3390/insects16020227 - 19 Feb 2025
Viewed by 1709
Abstract
The pepper weevil, Anthonomus eugenii Cano, 1894 (Coleoptera: Curculionidae), poses a significant threat to pepper cultivation, causing extensive crop damage and economic losses. While numerous studies have addressed its occurrence, biology, and control methods, less attention has been given to how climate change [...] Read more.
The pepper weevil, Anthonomus eugenii Cano, 1894 (Coleoptera: Curculionidae), poses a significant threat to pepper cultivation, causing extensive crop damage and economic losses. While numerous studies have addressed its occurrence, biology, and control methods, less attention has been given to how climate change might alter its distribution. This research utilized the optimized MaxEnt model to project the current and future habitat suitability of the pepper weevil under four distinct climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) for the periods spanning the 2030s to 2090s. Optimal model performance was achieved with a regularization multiplier of two and a feature combination of QHP, yielding high predictive accuracy with mean testing AUC values of 0.921. The analysis identified annual mean temperature (Bio1) and precipitation of the coldest quarter (Bio19) as the primary environmental factors influencing the pest’s distribution. Currently, in China, suitable habitats for A. eugenii encompass an area of 273.74 × 104 km2 or 28.47% of the nation’s territory, predominantly located in central, eastern, southern, and southwestern regions. Future projections suggest that suitable areas are expected to shrink across various scenarios, barring increases in specific instances like SSP126-2050s, SSP245-2070s, and SSP370-2050s, with shifts towards southwestern regions. This investigation deepens our comprehension of agricultural pest dynamics under climate change and supports the formulation of preemptive management strategies to safeguard agricultural productivity. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Insect Pest and Vector Management)
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13 pages, 2027 KB  
Data Descriptor
Global Dataset of Extreme Sea Levels and Coastal Flood Impacts over the 21st Century
by Ebru Kirezci, Ian Young, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Yiqun Chen, Yibo Zhang and Abbas Rajabifard
Data 2025, 10(2), 15; https://doi.org/10.3390/data10020015 - 28 Jan 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 5297
Abstract
A global database of coastal flooding impacts resulting from extreme sea levels is developed for the present day and for the years 2050 and 2100. The database consists of three sub-datasets: the extreme sea levels, the coastal areas flooded by these extreme sea [...] Read more.
A global database of coastal flooding impacts resulting from extreme sea levels is developed for the present day and for the years 2050 and 2100. The database consists of three sub-datasets: the extreme sea levels, the coastal areas flooded by these extreme sea levels, and the resulting socioeconomic implications. The extreme sea levels consider the processes of storm surge, tide levels, breaking wave setup and relative sea level rise. The socioeconomic implications are expressed in terms of Expected Annual Population Affected (EAPA) and Expected Annual Damage (EAD), and presented at the global, regional and national scales. The EAPA and EAD are determined both for existing coastal defence levels and assuming two plausible adaptation scenarios, along with socioeconomic development narratives. All the sub-datasets can be visualized with a Digital Twin platform based on a GIS-based mapping host. This publicly available database provides a first-pass assessment, enabling users to extract and identify global and national coastal hotspots under different projections of sea level rise and socioeconomic developments. Full article
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26 pages, 10277 KB  
Article
Rehabilitation and Strengthening of Damaged Reinforced Concrete Beams Using Carbon Fiber-Reinforced Polymer Laminates and High-Strength Concrete Integrating Recycled Tire Steel Fiber
by Hasan A. Alasmari, Ibrahim A. Sharaky, Ahmed S. Elamary and Ayman El-Zohairy
Fibers 2025, 13(1), 10; https://doi.org/10.3390/fib13010010 - 15 Jan 2025
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2767
Abstract
Currently, millions of tires are consumed annually, which necessitates the efficient disposal of these quantities of spent tires and the development of means to convert them into useful materials. This research deals with the effect of adding the steel fibers extracted from used [...] Read more.
Currently, millions of tires are consumed annually, which necessitates the efficient disposal of these quantities of spent tires and the development of means to convert them into useful materials. This research deals with the effect of adding the steel fibers extracted from used car tires (RSFs) to incorporate them as concrete components to obtain high-strength concrete (HSC). The HSC was used in this paper to strengthen the pre-damaged beams by jacking. In the first phase, twelve beams were subjected to an overload equal to 80% of their total expected bearing capacity to obtain damaged RC beams, while one beam was loaded to failure (reference beam, RB0). In the second phase, the damaged beams were strengthened with HSC jacketing integrating RSFs with three contents (0, 0.25, and 0.5%) or by HSC jacking and bonded CFRP laminates to the bottom surface of the jacket. Moreover, the Abaqus finite element (FE) program was implemented to simulate the upgraded damaged beams. The result ensured enhanced HSC compressive and tensile strengths by 11.6–14.4% and 11.6–20.9% as the RSF % increased from 0 to 0.25 and 0.5%, respectively. Using the HSC jacket with 0, 0.25, and 0.5% RSF to strengthen the RC-damaged beams increased the load capacity by 8.8, 14.5, and 20.1%, respectively compared to RB0. Furthermore, strengthening the damaged RC beams with both HSC jacket and CFRP laminates enhanced their load capacity by 41.9, 45.5, and 50.3% as the HSC integrated 0, 0.25, and 0.5% RSF, respectively, compared to RB0. Finally, the FE model could reveal several aspects related to the behavior of the damaged beams strengthened with jackets and CFRP laminates and the interaction between the different beam components. Full article
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14 pages, 21936 KB  
Article
The Future Migration Direction of Deer and Japanese Yew Is Consistent Under Climate Change
by Xianzhe Wang, Jianan Feng, Yang Hong, Hairong Du, Minghai Zhang and Weiqi Zhang
Forests 2024, 15(11), 1983; https://doi.org/10.3390/f15111983 - 10 Nov 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1221
Abstract
Climate change is becoming an important driver of biodiversity loss by altering the habitat, distribution and interspecific relationships of species. Japanese yew (Taxus cuspidata) is a first class protected plant in China, which has important ecological significance and occupies a certain [...] Read more.
Climate change is becoming an important driver of biodiversity loss by altering the habitat, distribution and interspecific relationships of species. Japanese yew (Taxus cuspidata) is a first class protected plant in China, which has important ecological significance and occupies a certain position in the feeding habit of wapiti (Cervus elaphus) and Siberian roe deer (Capreolus pygargus). Due to human and animal damage, the number of Japanese yew has gradually decreased. Therefore, understanding the potential distribution of Japanese yew and the suitable areas for deer to browse on it under climate change will help to further protect these three species in Northeast China, especially migrate to more suitable areas in different scenarios in the future. From July 2021 to July 2024, we collected the information of species distribution and the variables associated with the species’ ecological limits in Muling National Nature Reserve to cross-reflect the current and future distribution and feeding area of the two species to assess each other’s impacts with Maximum entropy model (MaxEnt). The results showed that under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, feeding pressure, driest quarter precipitation (BIO17) and seasonal temperature variation coefficient (BIO4) were the main variables affecting the distribution of Japanese yew, and the driest quarter precipitation (BIO17) and annual precipitation (BIO12) were the main variables affecting wapiti and Siberian roe deer foraging them. Under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, the suitable area of Japanese yew and the feeding area of the two species of deer gradually decreased from 2041 to 2100. Compared with wapiti, Siberian roe deer has a greater impact on the distribution range of Japanese yew, and the suitable feeding area is wider. It is expected that the potential centroid of Japanese yew, wapiti and Siberian roe deer will migrate to higher latitudes in the future. These findings provide a scientific basis for the reserve to develop relevant measures and plans and effectively protect the three species. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Forest Biodiversity)
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5 pages, 1743 KB  
Proceeding Paper
Evaluating Pipe Burst Flooding Impacts in Urban Environments Using a Hazard-Vulnerability-Risk Approach
by Diego A. Paez and Hailiang Shen
Eng. Proc. 2024, 69(1), 80; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2024069080 - 6 Sep 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 986
Abstract
In this paper, a hazard-vulnerability-risk approach is implemented to assess the impacts of water main break flooding events in an urban setting. The hazard component is evaluated through a combination of estimated burst likelihoods for each water distribution pipe and a two-dimensional flooding [...] Read more.
In this paper, a hazard-vulnerability-risk approach is implemented to assess the impacts of water main break flooding events in an urban setting. The hazard component is evaluated through a combination of estimated burst likelihoods for each water distribution pipe and a two-dimensional flooding model for the city’s overland area. Vulnerability is assessed using the damage curves available in the literature for overland flooding. The output of risk is computed in the form of expected annual losses. The application of the proposed approach and the implemented simulation tools are illustrated through a real-life case study at an undisclosed location. Full article
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23 pages, 2117 KB  
Review
Unravelling Diatoms’ Potential for the Bioremediation of Oil Hydrocarbons in Marine Environments
by J. Paniagua-Michel and Ibrahim M. Banat
Clean Technol. 2024, 6(1), 93-115; https://doi.org/10.3390/cleantechnol6010007 - 17 Jan 2024
Cited by 18 | Viewed by 5728
Abstract
The search for practical solutions to alleviate the destructive impact of petroleum hydrocarbons in marine environments is contributing to the implementation of prospecting strategies for indigenous microorganisms with biodegradative and bioremediation potential. The levels of petroleum contamination entering the marine environment each year [...] Read more.
The search for practical solutions to alleviate the destructive impact of petroleum hydrocarbons in marine environments is contributing to the implementation of prospecting strategies for indigenous microorganisms with biodegradative and bioremediation potential. The levels of petroleum contamination entering the marine environment each year have been estimated at around 1.3 million tonnes, a figure that is expected to increase by 1.9% annually over the next decade. The recent interest in decarbonizing our energy system and accelerating the clean energy transition has created a demand for greener technologies and strategies to find innovative, sustainable, and cost-effective treatments for the marine environment. Diatoms (Bacillariophyta) are one of the most diverse and successful taxa in coastal–marine environments and are a relatively untapped pool of biodiversity for biotechnological applications. Recent reports have revealed the significant presence of diatoms associated with oil spills and petroleum hydrocarbon degradation. Most diatoms can secrete substantial amounts of exopolysaccharides (EPSs) into their environment, which can act as biosurfactants that, in addition to oxygen and other enzymes produced by diatoms, create suitable conditions to enhance hydrocarbon solubility and degradation into less toxic compounds in seawater. Recent reports on the biodegradation of aliphatic and aromatic hydrocarbons by diatoms are indicative of the potential of these taxa to achieve success in the bioremediation of hydrocarbons in marine environments. This review highlights the main attributes and roles that diatoms could play in integrated strategies for biodegradation and bioremediation of petroleum hydrocarbon pollutants and as such represent a green, eco-friendly, and sustainable contribution to mitigate damage to biodiversity and value chains of marine ecosystems. Full article
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20 pages, 11361 KB  
Article
Flood Risk Assessment of Areas under Urbanization in Chongqing, China, by Integrating Multi-Models
by Yuqing Li, Jiangbo Gao, Jie Yin, Lulu Liu, Chuanwei Zhang and Shaohong Wu
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(2), 219; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16020219 - 5 Jan 2024
Cited by 13 | Viewed by 4445
Abstract
In the context of urbanization, frequent flood event have become the most common natural disasters, posing a significant challenge to human society. Considering the effects of urbanization on flood risk is critical for flood risk reduction and reasonable land planning strategies at the [...] Read more.
In the context of urbanization, frequent flood event have become the most common natural disasters, posing a significant challenge to human society. Considering the effects of urbanization on flood risk is critical for flood risk reduction and reasonable land planning strategies at the city scale. This study proposes an integrated approach based on remote sensing data using CA, Markov, and simplified hydrodynamic (FloodMap) models to accurately and effectively assess flood risk under urbanization. Taking Chongqing City as a case study, this paper analyzes the temporal and spatial variations in land use/land cover (LULC) in 2010, 2015, and 2018 and predicts the LULC for 2030, based on historic trends. Flood risk is assessed by combining the hazard, exposure, and modified vulnerability. The results suggest that the area of built-up land will increase significantly from 19.56% in 2018 to 25.21% in 2030. From 2010 to 2030, the area of medium and high inundation depths will increase by 10 and 16 times, respectively. Flood damage varies remarkably according to the LULC and return period. The expected annual damage (EAD) has been estimated to increase from USD 68 million in 2010 to USD 200 million in 2030. Flood risk is proportional to population and is significantly inversely proportional to socioeconomic level. The approach used here can provide a comprehensive understanding of flood risk and is significant for land-use policymaking and the management of flood control facilities. Full article
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15 pages, 2469 KB  
Article
Fatigue Reliability Assessment of RC Beams in Heavy-Haul Railways Based on Point Estimate Method
by Jiarui Shi, Li Song, Chenxing Cui and Zhiwu Yu
Materials 2023, 16(22), 7098; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma16227098 - 9 Nov 2023
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 1351
Abstract
Heavy-haul railways have a high passing frequency of trains with a large axle weight, causing rapid accumulation of fatigue damage in reinforced concrete (RC) bridge structures, which significantly affects the safety of the bridges. To study the fatigue reliability of RC beams in [...] Read more.
Heavy-haul railways have a high passing frequency of trains with a large axle weight, causing rapid accumulation of fatigue damage in reinforced concrete (RC) bridge structures, which significantly affects the safety of the bridges. To study the fatigue reliability of RC beams in heavy-haul railways, the fatigue performance function for RC beams in heavy-haul railways was established, and the fatigue reliability assessment method for bridge structures in heavy-haul railways based on the point estimate method (PEM) was developed. An 8 meter-span plate beam in an existing heavy-haul railway illustrates the method. The train axle weight and dynamic coefficient were considered random variables, and the first four moments of equivalent stress ranges were obtained. The traffic quantity of the heavy-haul railways was investigated, and the fatigue reliability was evaluated using the proposed method. In addition, the effects of annual freight volume and train axle weight on fatigue reliability were discussed. Results indicate that PEM can effectively and accurately evaluate the fatigue reliability of RC beams in heavy-haul railways. In the first 20 years of operation, the fatigue failure probability was less than the limit value specified in the standard. The increase in annual traffic volume and train axle weight will cause a significant increase in fatigue failure probability. The research results of this paper are expected to provide an important basis for the design and maintenance of reinforced concrete bridges for heavy-haul railways in the future. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Construction and Building Materials)
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16 pages, 3078 KB  
Article
Assessing the Suitability of the Flood Defense Policy of Republic of Korea for Risk Reduction in Local Rivers
by Kichul Jung, Heejin An, Sewon Hwang, Seung Beom Seo, Hyemin Park, Chan Park and Jonghyun Yoo
Water 2023, 15(22), 3908; https://doi.org/10.3390/w15223908 - 9 Nov 2023
Cited by 7 | Viewed by 3849
Abstract
This study examines whether the fluvial flood defense system of Korea is appropriate for risk reduction. Using spatial socioeconomic data and remote sensing, we estimated the potential economic damage that can be caused by the flooding of local streams and rivers along the [...] Read more.
This study examines whether the fluvial flood defense system of Korea is appropriate for risk reduction. Using spatial socioeconomic data and remote sensing, we estimated the potential economic damage that can be caused by the flooding of local streams and rivers along the Nakdong River (the longest river in Korea). For the analysis, a river risk map including return periods (50, 80, 100, and 200 years) and spatial inventories (residential, agricultural, industrial assets, and human lives) was employed to determine flood-prone areas and assess the damage within the inundation areas. A quantitative flood analysis was conducted using an object-based method to estimate the expected annual damage. We then compared the estimated damage for each tributary within the designed return periods and found no correlation. Numerous tributaries with low-defense targets were considered high-risk, while those with high-defense targets were assessed as low-risk. The dataset used in this study covered four damage categories. Among them, flood damage to residential assets appeared to have the highest value, whereas flood damage to industrial assets had the lowest value. The results demonstrate that the Korean government needs to tailor its flood defense policy based on quantitative risk assessments to effectively manage flood risks, especially given the increasing risk of climate change. Full article
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28 pages, 4204 KB  
Article
Chinese Provincial Air Pollutant Concentration Prediction over the Long Term
by Kai Zhao and Limin Xu
Atmosphere 2023, 14(8), 1211; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14081211 - 27 Jul 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1872
Abstract
Although China’s urban air quality has improved, there are still many cities that do not meet China’s ambient air quality standards and experience serious air pollution problems, causing tremendous damage to people’s health and sustainable social development. For the sake of obtaining the [...] Read more.
Although China’s urban air quality has improved, there are still many cities that do not meet China’s ambient air quality standards and experience serious air pollution problems, causing tremendous damage to people’s health and sustainable social development. For the sake of obtaining the specific time when China’s ambient air quality will reach the standard, the annual mean air pollutant concentrations of 27 Chinese provinces are predicted and analyzed. Based on original data from air pollutant concentrations in 27 Chinese provinces from 2017 to 2021, a gray prediction model with fractional order accumulation is established to analyze and predict the concentration of pollutants in 27 provinces. The applicability of the model is then validated by mean absolute percentage error values. According to the forecast results, by 2026, the concentrations of six pollutants, PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, CO, and O3, will all meet Class II air quality standards in 25 Chinese provinces, namely Beijing, Chongqing, Shanghai, Hebei, Jiangsu, Shanxi, Zhejiang, Liaoning, Anhui, Jilin, Fujian, Heilongjiang, Jiangxi, Hubei, Qinghai, Hunan, Guangdong, Hainan, Guangxi, Guizhou, Shaanxi, Gansu, Yunnan, Inner Mongolia, and Xinjiang (corrected for the effect of sandstorms). Tianjin, Sichuan, and Xinjiang (not corrected for the effect of sandstorms) still exceed the standard in the annual mean concentration of PM2.5, NO2, and PM10, respectively. Sichuan and Tianjin are, respectively, expected to meet Class II air quality standards in 2027 and 2030, and Xinjiang (not corrected for the effect of sandstorms) is expected to fail to meet Class II standards in the next 15 years. Finally, the current situation with respect to China’s ambient air quality in 27 Chinese provinces is analyzed, and corresponding suggestions are put forward to offer an explicit direction for relevant departments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air Quality)
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