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22 pages, 10576 KiB  
Article
Numerical Simulation of Double-Layer Nanoplates Based on Fractional Model and Shifted Legendre Algorithm
by Qianqian Fan, Qiumei Liu, Yiming Chen, Yuhuan Cui, Jingguo Qu and Lei Wang
Fractal Fract. 2025, 9(7), 477; https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract9070477 - 21 Jul 2025
Viewed by 152
Abstract
This study focuses on the numerical solution and dynamics analysis of fractional governing equations related to double-layer nanoplates based on the shifted Legendre polynomials algorithm. Firstly, the fractional governing equations of the complicated mechanical behavior for bilayer nanoplates are constructed by combining the [...] Read more.
This study focuses on the numerical solution and dynamics analysis of fractional governing equations related to double-layer nanoplates based on the shifted Legendre polynomials algorithm. Firstly, the fractional governing equations of the complicated mechanical behavior for bilayer nanoplates are constructed by combining the Fractional Kelvin–Voigt (FKV) model with the Caputo fractional derivative and the theory of nonlocal elasticity. Then, the shifted Legendre polynomial is used to approximate the displacement function, and the governing equations are transformed into algebraic equations to facilitate the numerical solution in the time domain. Moreover, the systematic convergence analysis is carried out to verify the convergence of the ternary displacement function and its fractional derivatives in the equation, ensuring the rigor of the mathematical model. Finally, a dimensionless numerical example is given to verify the feasibility of the proposed algorithm, and the effects of material parameters on plate displacement are analyzed for double-layer plates with different materials. Full article
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21 pages, 1057 KiB  
Article
Hybrid Sensor Placement Framework Using Criterion-Guided Candidate Selection and Optimization
by Se-Hee Kim, JungHyun Kyung, Jae-Hyoung An and Hee-Chang Eun
Sensors 2025, 25(14), 4513; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25144513 - 21 Jul 2025
Viewed by 114
Abstract
This study presents a hybrid sensor placement methodology that combines criterion-based candidate selection with advanced optimization algorithms. Four established selection criteria—modal kinetic energy (MKE), modal strain energy (MSE), modal assurance criterion (MAC) sensitivity, and mutual information (MI)—are used to evaluate DOF sensitivity and [...] Read more.
This study presents a hybrid sensor placement methodology that combines criterion-based candidate selection with advanced optimization algorithms. Four established selection criteria—modal kinetic energy (MKE), modal strain energy (MSE), modal assurance criterion (MAC) sensitivity, and mutual information (MI)—are used to evaluate DOF sensitivity and generate candidate pools. These are followed by one of four optimization algorithms—greedy, genetic algorithm (GA), particle swarm optimization (PSO), or simulated annealing (SA)—to identify the optimal subset of sensor locations. A key feature of the proposed approach is the incorporation of constraint dynamics using the Udwadia–Kalaba (U–K) generalized inverse formulation, which enables the accurate expansion of structural responses from sparse sensor data. The framework assumes a noise-free environment during the initial sensor design phase, but robustness is verified through extensive Monte Carlo simulations under multiple noise levels in a numerical experiment. This combined methodology offers an effective and flexible solution for data-driven sensor deployment in structural health monitoring. To clarify the rationale for using the Udwadia–Kalaba (U–K) generalized inverse, we note that unlike conventional pseudo-inverses, the U–K method incorporates physical constraints derived from partial mode shapes. This allows a more accurate and physically consistent reconstruction of unmeasured responses, particularly under sparse sensing. To clarify the benefit of using the U–K generalized inverse over conventional pseudo-inverses, we emphasize that the U–K method allows the incorporation of physical constraints derived from partial mode shapes directly into the reconstruction process. This leads to a constrained dynamic solution that not only reflects the known structural behavior but also improves numerical conditioning, particularly in underdetermined or ill-posed cases. Unlike conventional Moore–Penrose pseudo-inverses, which yield purely algebraic solutions without physical insight, the U–K formulation ensures that reconstructed responses adhere to dynamic compatibility, thereby reducing artifacts caused by sparse measurements or noise. Compared to unconstrained least-squares solutions, the U–K approach improves stability and interpretability in practical SHM scenarios. Full article
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30 pages, 1477 KiB  
Article
Algebraic Combinatorics in Financial Data Analysis: Modeling Sovereign Credit Ratings for Greece and the Athens Stock Exchange General Index
by Georgios Angelidis and Vasilios Margaris
AppliedMath 2025, 5(3), 90; https://doi.org/10.3390/appliedmath5030090 - 15 Jul 2025
Viewed by 137
Abstract
This study investigates the relationship between sovereign credit rating transitions and domestic equity market performance, focusing on Greece from 2004 to 2024. Although credit ratings are central to sovereign risk assessment, their immediate influence on financial markets remains contested. This research adopts a [...] Read more.
This study investigates the relationship between sovereign credit rating transitions and domestic equity market performance, focusing on Greece from 2004 to 2024. Although credit ratings are central to sovereign risk assessment, their immediate influence on financial markets remains contested. This research adopts a multi-method analytical framework combining algebraic combinatorics and time-series econometrics. The methodology incorporates the construction of a directed credit rating transition graph, the partially ordered set representation of rating hierarchies, rolling-window correlation analysis, Granger causality testing, event study evaluation, and the formulation of a reward matrix with optimal rating path optimization. Empirical results indicate that credit rating announcements in Greece exert only modest short-term effects on the Athens Stock Exchange General Index, implying that markets often anticipate these changes. In contrast, sequential downgrade trajectories elicit more pronounced and persistent market responses. The reward matrix and path optimization approach reveal structured investor behavior that is sensitive to the cumulative pattern of rating changes. These findings offer a more nuanced interpretation of how sovereign credit risk is processed and priced in transparent and fiscally disciplined environments. By bridging network-based algebraic structures and economic data science, the study contributes a novel methodology for understanding systemic financial signals within sovereign credit systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Algebraic Combinatorics in Data Science and Optimisation)
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21 pages, 1556 KiB  
Article
Hexic-Chebyshev Collocation Method for Solving Distributed-Order Time-Space Fractional Diffusion Equations
by Afshin Babaei, Sedigheh Banihashemi, Behrouz Parsa Moghaddam and Arman Dabiri
Axioms 2025, 14(7), 515; https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms14070515 - 3 Jul 2025
Viewed by 314
Abstract
This paper presents a spectral method to solve nonlinear distributed-order diffusion equations with both time-distributed-order and two-sided space-fractional terms. These are highly challenging to solve analytically due to the interplay between nonlinearity and the fractional distributed-order nature of the time and space derivatives. [...] Read more.
This paper presents a spectral method to solve nonlinear distributed-order diffusion equations with both time-distributed-order and two-sided space-fractional terms. These are highly challenging to solve analytically due to the interplay between nonlinearity and the fractional distributed-order nature of the time and space derivatives. For this purpose, Hexic-kind Chebyshev polynomials (HCPs) are used as the backbone of the method to transform the primary problem into a set of nonlinear algebraic equations, which can be efficiently solved using numerical solvers, such as the Newton–Raphson method. The primary reason of choosing HCPs is due to their remarkable recurrence relations, facilitating their efficient computation and manipulation in mathematical analyses. A comprehensive convergence analysis was conducted to validate the robustness of the proposed method, with an error bound derived to provide theoretical guarantees for the solution’s accuracy. The method’s effectiveness is further demonstrated through two test examples, where the numerical results are compared with existing solutions, confirming the approach’s accuracy and reliability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Recent Advances in Fractional Differential Equations and Inequalities)
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17 pages, 2390 KiB  
Article
Surrogate Model of Hydraulic Actuator for Active Motion Compensation Hydraulic Crane
by Lin Xu, Hongyu Nie, Xiangyang Cheng, Qi Wei, Hongyu Chen and Jianfeng Tao
Electronics 2025, 14(13), 2678; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14132678 - 2 Jul 2025
Viewed by 271
Abstract
Offshore cranes equipped with active motion compensation (AMC) systems play a vital role in marine engineering tasks such as offshore wind turbine maintenance, subsea operations, and dynamic load positioning under wave-induced disturbances. These systems rely on complex hydraulic actuators whose strongly nonlinear dynamics—often [...] Read more.
Offshore cranes equipped with active motion compensation (AMC) systems play a vital role in marine engineering tasks such as offshore wind turbine maintenance, subsea operations, and dynamic load positioning under wave-induced disturbances. These systems rely on complex hydraulic actuators whose strongly nonlinear dynamics—often described by differential-algebraic equations (DAEs)—impose significant computational burdens, particularly in real-time applications like hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) simulation, digital twins, and model predictive control. To address this bottleneck, we propose a neural network-based surrogate model that approximates the actuator dynamics with high accuracy and low computational cost. By approximately reducing the original DAE model, we obtain a lower-dimensional ordinary differential equations (ODEs) representation, which serves as the foundation for training. The surrogate model includes three hidden layers, demonstrating strong fitting capabilities for the highly nonlinear characteristics of hydraulic systems. Bayesian regularization is adopted to train the surrogate model, effectively preventing overfitting. Simulation experiments verify that the surrogate model reduces the solving time by 95.33%, and the absolute pressure errors for chambers p1 and p2 are controlled within 0.1001 MPa and 0.0093 MPa, respectively. This efficient and scalable surrogate modeling framework possesses significant potential for integrating high-fidelity hydraulic actuator models into real-time digital and control systems for offshore applications. Full article
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24 pages, 10077 KiB  
Article
Highly Accurate Numerical Method for Solving Fractional Differential Equations with Purely Integral Conditions
by Hany M. Ahmed
Fractal Fract. 2025, 9(7), 407; https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract9070407 - 24 Jun 2025
Viewed by 654
Abstract
The main goal of this paper is to present a new numerical algorithm for solving two models of one-dimensional fractional partial differential equations (FPDEs) subject to initial conditions (ICs) and integral boundary conditions (IBCs). This paper builds a modified shifted Chebyshev polynomial of [...] Read more.
The main goal of this paper is to present a new numerical algorithm for solving two models of one-dimensional fractional partial differential equations (FPDEs) subject to initial conditions (ICs) and integral boundary conditions (IBCs). This paper builds a modified shifted Chebyshev polynomial of the second kind (MSC2Ps) basis function that meets homogeneous IBCs, named IMSC2Ps. We also introduce two types of MSC2Ps that satisfy the given ICs. We create two operational matrices (OMs) for both ordinary derivatives (ODs) and Caputo fractional derivatives (CFDs) connected to these basis functions. By employing the spectral collocation method (SCM), we convert the FPDEs into a system of algebraic equations, which can be solved using any suitable numerical solvers. We validate the efficacy of our approach through convergence and error analyses, supported by numerical examples that demonstrate the method’s accuracy and effectiveness. Comparisons with existing methodologies further illustrate the advantages of our proposed technique, showcasing its high accuracy in approximating solutions. Full article
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21 pages, 13574 KiB  
Article
Ultra-Local Model-Based Adaptive Enhanced Model-Free Control for PMSM Speed Regulation
by Chunlei Hua, Difen Shi, Xi Chen and Guangfa Gao
Machines 2025, 13(7), 541; https://doi.org/10.3390/machines13070541 - 21 Jun 2025
Viewed by 196
Abstract
Conventional model-free control (MFC) is widely used in motor drives due to its simplicity and model independence, yet its performance suffers from imperfect disturbance estimation and input gain mismatch. To address these issues, this paper proposes an adaptive enhanced model-free speed control (AEMFSC) [...] Read more.
Conventional model-free control (MFC) is widely used in motor drives due to its simplicity and model independence, yet its performance suffers from imperfect disturbance estimation and input gain mismatch. To address these issues, this paper proposes an adaptive enhanced model-free speed control (AEMFSC) scheme based on an ultra-local model for permanent magnet synchronous motor (PMSM) drives. First, by integrating a nonlinear disturbance observer (NDOB) and a PD control law into the generalized model-free controller, an enhanced model-free speed controller (EMFSC) was developed to ensure closed-loop stability. Compared with a conventional MFSC, the proposed method eliminated steady-state errors, reduced the speed overshoot, and achieved faster settling with improved disturbance rejection. Second, to address the performance degradation induced by input gain α mismatch during time-varying load conditions, we developed an online parameter identification method for real-time α estimation. This adaptive mechanism enabled automatic controller parameter adjustment, which significantly enhanced the transient tracking performance of the PMSM drive. Furthermore, an algebraic-framework-based high-precision identification technique is proposed to optimize the initial α selection, which effectively reduces the parameter tuning effort. Simulation and experimental results demonstrated that the proposed AEMFSC significantly enhanced the PMSM’s robustness against load torque variations and parameter uncertainties. Full article
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25 pages, 3109 KiB  
Article
Generalized Modified Unstable Nonlinear Schrödinger’s Equation: Optical Solitons and Modulation Instability
by Jamilu Sabi’u, Ibrahim Sani Ibrahim, Khomsan Neamprem, Surattana Sungnul and Sekson Sirisubtawee
Mathematics 2025, 13(12), 2032; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13122032 - 19 Jun 2025
Viewed by 739
Abstract
This paper proposes the generalized modified unstable nonlinear Schrödinger’s equation with applications in modulated wavetrain instabilities. The extended direct algebra and generalized Ricatti equation methods are applied to find innovative soliton solutions to the equation. The solutions are obtained in the form of [...] Read more.
This paper proposes the generalized modified unstable nonlinear Schrödinger’s equation with applications in modulated wavetrain instabilities. The extended direct algebra and generalized Ricatti equation methods are applied to find innovative soliton solutions to the equation. The solutions are obtained in the form of elliptic, hyperbolic, and trigonometric functions. Moreover, a Galilean transformation is used to convert the problem into a dynamical system. We use the theory of planar dynamical systems to derive the equilibrium points of the dynamical system and analyze the Hamiltonian polynomial. We further investigate the bifurcation phase portrait of the system and study its chaotic behaviors when an external force is applied to the system. Graphical 2D and 3D plots are explored to support our mathematical analysis. A sensitivity analysis confirms that the variation in initial conditions has no substantial effect on the stability of the solutions. Furthermore, we give the modulation instability gain spectrum of the considered model and graphically indicate its dynamics using 2D plots. The reported results demonstrate not only the dynamics of the analyzed equation but are also conceptually relevant in establishing the temporal development of modest disturbances in stable or unstable media. These disturbances will be critical for anticipating, planning treatments, and creating novel mechanisms for modulated wavetrain instabilities. Full article
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31 pages, 434 KiB  
Article
Vector Signals and Invariant Systems: Re-Tooling Linear Systems Theory
by Mamta Dalal and Steven Sandoval
Signals 2025, 6(2), 28; https://doi.org/10.3390/signals6020028 - 18 Jun 2025
Viewed by 263
Abstract
In a previous work, we identified the importance of rotation invariance in the standard complex-valued theory of linear time-invariant (LTI) systems and proposed a generalized vector-valued (VV) definition of convolution that reinterprets the complex-valued product of the traditional formalism as a scale rotation [...] Read more.
In a previous work, we identified the importance of rotation invariance in the standard complex-valued theory of linear time-invariant (LTI) systems and proposed a generalized vector-valued (VV) definition of convolution that reinterprets the complex-valued product of the traditional formalism as a scale rotation within the framework of geometric algebra. Based on this convolution definition, we characterized linear rotation-invariant time-invariant (LRITI) systems by defining and using a VV impulse response—effectively generalizing time-domain analysis for VV signals and LRITI systems. In this work, we provide a compatible frequency-domain analysis for VV signals and LRITI systems. First, VV bivector exponential signals are shown to be eigenfunctions of LRITI systems. A Fourier transform is defined, and we propose two generalized definitions of frequency response: the first valid for bivector exponentials in an arbitrary plane and the second valid for a general signal decomposed into a set of totally orthogonal planes (TOPs). Finally, we establish a convolution property for the Fourier transform with respect to TOPs. Together, these results provide compatible time-domain and frequency-domain analyses, thereby enabling a more comprehensive analysis of VV signals and LRITI systems. Full article
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23 pages, 996 KiB  
Article
3-D Moving Target Localization in Multistatic HFSWR: Efficient Algorithm and Performance Analysis
by Xun Zhang, Jun Geng, Yunlong Wang and Yijia Guo
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(11), 1938; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17111938 - 3 Jun 2025
Viewed by 453
Abstract
High-frequency surface wave radar (HFSWR) is unable to measure the target’s altitude information due to its limited antenna aperture in the elevation dimension. This paper focuses on the 3-D localization problem for moving targets within the line of sight (LOS) in multistatic HFSWR. [...] Read more.
High-frequency surface wave radar (HFSWR) is unable to measure the target’s altitude information due to its limited antenna aperture in the elevation dimension. This paper focuses on the 3-D localization problem for moving targets within the line of sight (LOS) in multistatic HFSWR. For this purpose, the 1-D space angle (SA) measurement is introduced into multistatic HFSWR to perform 3-D joint localization together with bistatic range (BR) and bistatic range rate (BRR) measurements. The target’s velocity can also be estimated due to the inclusion of BRR. In multistatic HFSWR, commonly used azimuth measurements offer no information about the target’s altitude. Since SA is associated with the target’s 3-D coordinates, combining SA measurements from multiple receivers can effectively enhance localization accuracy, particularly in altitude estimation. In this paper, we develop a two-stage localization algorithm that first derives a weighted least-squares (WLS) coarse estimate and then performs an algebraic error reduction (ER) procedure to enhance accuracy. Both stages yield closed-form results, thus ensuring overall computational efficiency. Theoretical analysis shows that the proposed WLS-ER algorithm can asymptotically attain the Cramér–Rao lower bound (CRLB) as the measurement noise decreases. Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed WLS-ER algorithm and highlight the contribution of SA measurements to altitude estimation in multistatic HFSWR. Full article
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24 pages, 1839 KiB  
Article
Relic Gravitational Waves in the Noncommutative Foliated Riemannian Quantum Gravity
by César A. Zen Vasconcellos, Peter O. Hess, José A. de Freitas Pacheco, Fridolin Weber, Remo Ruffini, Dimiter Hadjimichef, Moisés Razeira, Benno August Ludwig Bodmann, Marcelo Netz-Marzola, Geovane Naysinger, Rodrigo Fraga da Silva and João G. G. Gimenez
Universe 2025, 11(6), 179; https://doi.org/10.3390/universe11060179 - 31 May 2025
Viewed by 882
Abstract
We present a study of relic gravitational waves based on a foliated gauge field theory defined over a spacetime endowed with a noncommutative algebraic–geometric structure. As an ontological extension of general relativity—concerning manifolds, metrics, and fiber bundles—the conventional space and time coordinates, typically [...] Read more.
We present a study of relic gravitational waves based on a foliated gauge field theory defined over a spacetime endowed with a noncommutative algebraic–geometric structure. As an ontological extension of general relativity—concerning manifolds, metrics, and fiber bundles—the conventional space and time coordinates, typically treated as classical numbers, are replaced by complementary quantum dual fields. Within this framework, consistent with the Bekenstein criterion and the Hawking–Hertog multiverse conception, singularities merge into a helix-like cosmic scale factor that encodes the topological transition between the contraction and expansion phases of the universe analytically continued into the complex plane. This scale factor captures the essence of an intricate topological quantum-leap transition between two phases of the branching universe: a contraction phase preceding the now-surpassed conventional concept of a primordial singularity and a subsequent expansion phase, whose transition region is characterized by a Riemannian topological foliated structure. The present linearized formulation, based on a slight gravitational field perturbation, also reveals a high sensitivity of relic gravitational wave amplitudes to the primordial matter and energy content during the universe’s phase transition. It further predicts stochastic homogeneous distributions of gravitational wave intensities arising from the interplay of short- and long-spacetime effects within the non-commutative algebraic framework. These results align with the anticipated future observations of relic gravitational waves, expected to pervade the universe as a stochastic, homogeneous background. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Foundations of Quantum Mechanics and Quantum Gravity)
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40 pages, 710 KiB  
Article
Efficient 5-Point Block Method for Oscillatory ODEs with Phase Lag and Amplification Error Control
by Rubayyi T. Alqahtani, Anurag Kaur and Theodore E. Simos
Mathematics 2025, 13(11), 1833; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13111833 - 30 May 2025
Viewed by 295
Abstract
This research presents innovative modified explicit block methods with fifth-order algebraic accuracy to address initial value problems (IVPs). The derivation of the methods employs fitting coefficients that eliminate phase lag and amplification error, as well as their derivatives. A thorough stability analysis of [...] Read more.
This research presents innovative modified explicit block methods with fifth-order algebraic accuracy to address initial value problems (IVPs). The derivation of the methods employs fitting coefficients that eliminate phase lag and amplification error, as well as their derivatives. A thorough stability analysis of the new approach is conducted. Comparative assessments with existing methods highlight the superior effectiveness of the proposed algorithms. Numerical tests verify that this technique significantly surpasses conventional methods for solving IVPs, particularly those exhibiting oscillatory solutions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section E: Applied Mathematics)
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11 pages, 288 KiB  
Article
Uniform Analyticity and Time Decay of Solutions to the 3D Fractional Rotating Magnetohydrodynamics System in Critical Sobolev Spaces
by Muhammad Zainul Abidin and Abid Khan
Fractal Fract. 2025, 9(6), 360; https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract9060360 - 29 May 2025
Viewed by 366
Abstract
In this paper, we investigated a three-dimensional incompressible fractional rotating magnetohydrodynamic (FrMHD) system by reformulating the Cauchy problem into its equivalent mild formulation and working in critical homogeneous Sobolev spaces. For this, we first established the existence and uniqueness of a global mild [...] Read more.
In this paper, we investigated a three-dimensional incompressible fractional rotating magnetohydrodynamic (FrMHD) system by reformulating the Cauchy problem into its equivalent mild formulation and working in critical homogeneous Sobolev spaces. For this, we first established the existence and uniqueness of a global mild solution for small and divergence-free initial data. Moreover, our approach is based on proving sharp bilinear convolution estimates in critical Sobolev norms, which in turn guarantee the uniform analyticity of both the velocity and magnetic fields with respect to time. Furthermore, leveraging the decay properties of the associated fractional heat semigroup and a bootstrap argument, we derived algebraic decay rates and established the long-time dissipative behavior of FrMHD solutions. These results extended the existing literature on fractional Navier–Stokes equations by fully incorporating magnetic coupling and Coriolis effects within a unified fractional-dissipation framework. Full article
28 pages, 4063 KiB  
Article
Development and Evaluation of a Multi-Robot Path Planning Graph Algorithm
by Fatma A. S. Alwafi, Xu Xu, Reza Saatchi and Lyuba Alboul
Information 2025, 16(6), 431; https://doi.org/10.3390/info16060431 - 23 May 2025
Viewed by 845
Abstract
A new multi-robot path planning (MRPP) algorithm for 2D static environments was developed and evaluated. It combines a roadmap method, utilising the visibility graph (VG), with the algebraic connectivity (second smallest eigenvalue (λ2)) of the graph’s Laplacian and Dijkstra’s algorithm. The [...] Read more.
A new multi-robot path planning (MRPP) algorithm for 2D static environments was developed and evaluated. It combines a roadmap method, utilising the visibility graph (VG), with the algebraic connectivity (second smallest eigenvalue (λ2)) of the graph’s Laplacian and Dijkstra’s algorithm. The paths depend on the planning order, i.e., they are in sequence path-by-path, based on the measured values of algebraic connectivity of the graph’s Laplacian and the determined weight functions. Algebraic connectivity maintains robust communication between the robots during their navigation while avoiding collisions. The algorithm efficiently balances connectivity maintenance and path length minimisation, thus improving the performance of path finding. It produced solutions with optimal paths, i.e., the shortest and safest route. The devised MRPP algorithm significantly improved path length efficiency across different configurations. The results demonstrated highly efficient and robust solutions for multi-robot systems requiring both optimal path planning and reliable connectivity, making it well-suited in scenarios where communication between robots is necessary. Simulation results demonstrated the performance of the proposed algorithm in balancing the path optimality and network connectivity across multiple static environments with varying complexities. The algorithm is suitable for identifying optimal and complete collision-free paths. The results illustrate the algorithm’s effectiveness, computational efficiency, and adaptability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Feature Papers in Information in 2024–2025)
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25 pages, 6144 KiB  
Article
Comprehensive Modeling of Climate Risk in the Dominican Republic Using a Multivariate Simulator
by Antonio Torres Valle, Juan C. Sala Rosario, Yanelba E. Abreu Rojas and Ulises Jauregui Haza
Sustainability 2025, 17(10), 4638; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17104638 - 19 May 2025
Viewed by 405
Abstract
This study introduces a multivariate simulation framework for assessing climate risks in the Dominican Republic. The simulator operates in two modes—climate risk evaluation and disaster management—using a unified database. This database integrates codified variables associated with global warming, hazards, vulnerabilities (including their interdependencies), [...] Read more.
This study introduces a multivariate simulation framework for assessing climate risks in the Dominican Republic. The simulator operates in two modes—climate risk evaluation and disaster management—using a unified database. This database integrates codified variables associated with global warming, hazards, vulnerabilities (including their interdependencies), and adaptive capacities, facilitating risk assessments across diverse scenarios. Simulations are initiated using predefined variable combinations, interconnected via Boolean algebra, to generate risk levels aligned with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scales. The key findings underscore the influence of specific variables within the modeled scenarios. For instance, inadequate energy management and insufficient mitigation measures significantly amplify climate risks, particularly in regions with vulnerable infrastructure. Validation against established models, including EN-ROADS and PRECIS, confirms the simulator’s predictive accuracy and reliability. This study highlights the critical role of regionalized risk assessments in developing targeted adaptation and mitigation strategies that address localized vulnerabilities. The proposed simulator provides an innovative tool for real-time climate risk assessment, enabling policymakers to model potential outcomes and optimize decision-making processes. Future improvements should focus on enhancing spatial resolution, integrating real-time data, and refining models of infrastructure interdependencies. This research advances the development of evidence-based climate risk assessment tools, supporting informed policymaking and effective disaster risk management in the Dominican Republic. Full article
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