Search Results (1,825)

Landslide displacement prediction is crucial for disaster mitigation, yet traditional methods often fail to capture the complex, non-stationary spatiotemporal dynamics of slope evolution. This study introduces an enhanced prediction framework that integrates multi-scale signal processing with dynamic, geology-aware graph modeling. The proposed methodology first employs the Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) to denoise raw Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS)-monitored displacement time series data, enhancing the underlying deformation features. Subsequently, a geology-aware graph is constructed, using the temporal correlation of displacement series as a practical proxy for physical relatedness between monitoring nodes. The framework’s core innovation lies in a dynamic graph optimization model with low-rank constraints, which adaptively refines the graph topology to reflect time-varying inter-sensor dependencies driven by factors like mining activities. Experiments conducted on a real-world dataset from an active open-pit mine demonstrate the framework’s superior performance. The DCRNN-proposed model achieved the highest accuracy among eight competing models, recording a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 2.773 mm in the Vertical direction, a 39.1% reduction compared to its baseline. This study validates that the proposed dynamic graph optimization approach provides a robust and significantly more accurate solution for landslide prediction in complex, real-world engineering environments. Full article

Recent years have seen frequent heavy rainfall events in Japan, often linked to Baiu fronts and typhoons. These events are exacerbated by global warming, leading to an increased frequency and intensity. As floods represent a serious threat to sustainable urban development and community resilience, this study contributes to sustainability-focused risk reduction through integrated analysis. This study focuses on the 2 June 2023 heavy rain disaster in Toyohashi City, Japan, which caused extensive damage due to flooding from the Yagyu and Umeda Rivers. Using numerical models, this study accurately reproduces flooding patterns, revealing that high tides amplified the inundation area by 1.5 times at the Yagyu River. A resident questionnaire conducted in collaboration with Toyohashi City identifies key trends in evacuation behavior and disaster information usage. Traditional media such as TV remain dominant, but younger generations leverage electronic devices for disaster updates. These insights emphasize the need for targeted information dissemination and enhanced disaster preparedness strategies, including online materials and flexible training programs. The methods and findings presented in this study can inform local and regional governments in building adaptive disaster management policies, which contribute to a more sustainable society. Full article

Landslides are among the most hazardous natural phenomena affecting Greater Abidjan, causing significant economic and social damage. Strategic planning supported by geographic information systems (GIS) can help mitigate potential losses and enhance disaster resilience. This study evaluates landslide susceptibility using logistic regression and frequency ratio models. The analysis is based on a dataset comprising 54 mapped landslide scarps collected from June 2015 to July 2023, along with 16 thematic predictor variables, including altitude, slope, aspect, profile curvature, plan curvature, drainage area, distance to the drainage network, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and an urban-related layer. A high-resolution (5-m) digital elevation model (DEM), derived from multiple data sources, supports the spatial analysis. The landslide inventory was randomly divided into two subsets: 80% for model calibration and 20% for validation. After optimization and statistical testing, the selected thematic layers were integrated to produce a susceptibility map. The results indicate that 6.3% (0.7 km²) of the study area is classified as very highly susceptible. The proportion of the sample (61.2%) in this class had a frequency ratio estimated to be 20.2. Among the predictive indicators, altitude, slope, SE, S, NW, and NDVI were found to have a positive impact on landslide occurrence. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), demonstrating strong predictive capability. These findings can support informed land-use planning and risk reduction strategies in urban areas. Furthermore, the prediction model should be communicated to and understood by local authorities to facilitate disaster management. The cost function was adopted as a novel approach to delineate hazardous zones. Considering the landslide inventory period, the increasing hazard due to climate change, and the intensification of human activities, a reasoned choice of sample size was made. This informed decision enabled the production of an updated prediction map. Optimal thresholds were then derived to classify areas into high- and low-susceptibility categories. The prediction map will be useful to planners in helping them make decisions and implement protective measures. Full article

The prevailing environmental conditions before and during the 28 Large Forest Fires (LFFs) that have occurred in the Canary Islands since 1983 are analyzed. These conditions are often associated with episodes characterized by the advection of continental tropical air masses originating from the Sahara, which frequently result in intense heatwaves. During the onset of the LFFs, the base of the subsidence thermal inversion layer—separating a lower layer of cool, moist air from an upper layer of warm, dry air—is typically located at an altitude of around 350 m above sea level, approximately 600 m below the usual average. Understanding these Saharan air advection events is crucial, as they significantly alter the vertical thermal structure of the atmosphere and create highly conducive conditions for wildfire ignition and spread in the forested mid- and high-altitude zones of the archipelago. Analysis of meteorological records from various weather stations reveals that the average maximum temperature on the first day of fire ignition is 30.3 °C, with mean temperatures of 27.4 °C during the preceding week and 28.9 °C throughout the fire activity period. Relative humidity on the ignition days averages 24.3%, remaining at around 30% during the active phase of the fires. No significant correlation has been found between dry or wet years and the occurrence of LFFs, which have been recorded across years with widely varying precipitation levels. Full article

The division of the flood season is of great significance for the precise operation of water conservancy projects, flood control and disaster reduction, and the rational allocation of water resources, alleviating the contradiction of the uneven spatial and temporal distribution of water resources. The single weighting method can only determine the weight of the flood season division indicators from a certain perspective and cannot comprehensively reflect the time-series attributes of the indicators. This study proposes a Flood Season Division Model based on the Goose Optimization Algorithm and Minimum Deviation Combined Weighting (FSDGOAMDCW). The model uses the Goose Optimization Algorithm (GOA) to solve the Minimum Deviation Combination model, integrating weights from two subjective methods (Expert Scoring and G1) and three objective methods (Entropy Weight, CV, and CRITIC). Combined with the Set Pair Analysis Method (SPAM), it realizes comprehensive flood season division. Based on daily precipitation data of the Nandujiang River (1961–2022), the study determines its flood season from 1 May to 30 October. Comparisons show that: ① GOA converges faster than the Genetic Algorithm, stabilizing at T = 5 and achieving full convergence at T = 24; and ② The model’s division results have the smallest Intra-Class Differences, avoiding indistinguishability between flood and non-flood seasons under special conditions. This research aims to support flood season division studies in tropical islands. Full article

Urban subsurface pipeline bursts can induce catastrophic cascading effects, including ground collapse, infrastructure failure, and socioeconomic losses. However, stratum responses during the erosion cavity expansion phase and corresponding disaster mitigation strategies have rarely been researched. In this study, a numerical model validated through experimental tests was employed to investigate the effects of internal water pressures, burial depths, and different geotextile-based disaster mitigation strategies. It was revealed that a burial depth-dependent critical internal water pressure governed the erosion cavity expansion, and a predictive equation was derived based on the limit equilibrium theory. Higher internal water pressure accelerated the erosion cavity expansion and amplified the stratum stress within a range of twice the diameter D. Increased burial depth $d$ reduced peak ground heave but linearly expanded the heave zone range, concurrently elevating the overall stratum stress level and generating larger stress reduction zones (i.e., when $d/D$ = 3.0, the range of the stress reduction zone was 8.0D). All geotextile layout configurations exhibited different disaster mitigation effects (the peak ground heave was reduced by at least 15%). The semi-circular closely fitted configuration (SCCF) optimally restricted the expansion of the erosion cavity, reduced the stratum displacement (i.e., 39% reduction in the peak ground heave), and avoided stress concentration. Comprehensive analysis indicated that SCCF was suited for low-pressure pipelines in deformation-sensitive stratum and semi-circular configuration (SC) was suitable for deformation-insensitive pipeline sections. These findings provide actionable insights for tailoring mitigation strategies to specific operational risks. Full article

Traditional wound and burn treatments often fall short in balancing antimicrobial efficacy, patient comfort, and ease of application. This study introduces a novel, transparent, thermoresponsive sol–gel formulation incorporating polyhexamethylene biguanide (PHMB) for advanced topical therapy. Utilizing Poloxamer 407 as a biocompatible carrier, the formulation remains a sprayable liquid at room temperature and instantly gels upon contact with body temperature, enabling painless, pressure-free application on sensitive, injured skin. Comprehensive in vitro and in vivo evaluations confirmed the formulation’s broad-spectrum antimicrobial efficacy (≥5 log₁₀ reduction in 30 s), high biocompatibility (viability > 70% in fibroblasts), non-irritancy (OECD 425-compliant), and physical stability across three months. Importantly, the formulation maintained fibroblast migration capacity—crucial for wound regeneration—while exhibiting rapid sol-to-gel transition at ~34 °C. These findings highlight the system’s potential as a next-generation wound dressing with enhanced user compliance, transparent monitoring capability, and rapid healing support, particularly in disaster or emergency scenarios. Full article

Grazing affects soil organic carbon (SOC) through plant removal, livestock trampling, and manure deposition. However, the impact of grazing on SOC is also influenced by multiple factors such as climate, soil properties, and management approaches. Despite extensive research, the mechanisms by which grazing intensity influences SOC density in grasslands remain incompletely understood. This study examines the effects of varying grazing intensities on SOC density (0–30 cm) dynamics in temperate grasslands of northern China using field surveys and experimental analyses in a typical steppe ecosystem of Inner Mongolia. Results show that moderate grazing (3.8 sheep units/ha/yr) led to substantial consumption of aboveground plant biomass. Relative to the ungrazed control (0 sheep units/ha/yr), aboveground plant biomass was reduced by 40.5%, 36.2%, and 50.6% in the years 2016, 2019, and 2020, respectively. Compensatory growth failed to fully offset biomass loss, and there were significant reductions in vegetation carbon storage and cover (p < 0.05). Reduced vegetation cover increased bare soil exposure and accelerated topsoil drying and erosion. This degradation promoted the downward migration of SOC from surface layers. Quantitative analysis revealed that moderate grazing significantly reduced surface soil (0–10 cm) organic carbon density by 13.4% compared to the ungrazed control while significantly increasing SOC density in the subsurface layer (10–30 cm). Increased precipitation could mitigate the SOC transfer and enhance overall SOC accumulation. However, it might negatively affect certain labile SOC fractions. Elucidating the mechanisms of SOC variation under different grazing intensities and precipitation regimes in semi-arid grasslands could improve our understanding of carbon dynamics in response to environmental stressors. These insights will aid in predicting how grazing systems influence grassland carbon cycling under global climate change. Full article

With the increasing penetration of distributed generation (DG), integrated main-distribution networks (IMDNs) face challenges in rapidly and effectively performing comprehensive operational risk assessments under multiple uncertainties. Thereby, using the traditional hierarchical economic scheduling method makes it difficult to accurately find the optimal scheduling operating point. To address this problem, this paper proposes a multi-objective dispatch decision-making optimization model for the IMDN with static security region (SSR) constraints. Firstly, the non-sequential Monte Carlo sampling is employed to generate diverse operational scenarios, and then the key risk characteristics are extracted to construct the risk assessment index system for the transmission and distribution grid, respectively. Secondly, a hyperplane model of the SSR is developed for the IMDN based on alternating current power flow equations and line current constraints. Thirdly, a risk assessment matrix is constructed through optimal power flow calculations across multiple load levels, with the index weights determined via principal component analysis (PCA). Subsequently, a scheduling optimization model is formulated to minimize both the system generation costs and the comprehensive risk, where the adaptive grid density-improved multi-objective particle swarm optimization (AG-MOPSO) algorithm is employed to efficiently generate Pareto-optimal operating point solutions. A membership matrix of the solution set is then established using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to identify the optimal compromised operating point for dispatch decision support. Finally, the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed method are validated using an integrated IEEE 9-bus and IEEE 33-bus test system. Full article

Evapotranspiration (ET) crucially regulates water storage dynamics and is an essential component of the terrestrial water cycle. Understanding ET dynamics is fundamental for sustainable water resource management, particularly in regions facing increasing drought risks under climate change. In regions like southwestern China, where extreme drought events are prevalent due to complex terrain and climate warming, ET becomes a key factor in understanding water availability and drought dynamics. Using the SWAT model, this study investigates ET dynamics and influencing factors in the Jizi Basin, Yunnan Province, a small basin with over 71% forest coverage. The model calibration and validation results demonstrated a high degree of consistency with observed discharge data and ERA5, confirming its reliability. The results show that the annual average ET in the Jizi Basin is 573.96 mm, with significant seasonal variations. ET in summer typically ranges from 70 to 100 mm/month, while in winter, it drops to around 20 mm/month. Spring ET exhibits the highest variability, coinciding with the occurrence of extreme hydrological events such as droughts. The monthly anomalies of ET effectively reproduce the spring and early summer 2019 drought event. Notably, ET variation exhibits significant uncertainty under scenarios of +1 °C temperature and −20% precipitation. Furthermore, although land use changes had relatively small effects on overall ET, they played crucial roles in promoting groundwater recharge through enhanced percolation, especially forest cover. The study highlights that, in addition to climate and land use, soil moisture and groundwater conditions are vital in modulating ET and drought occurrence. The findings offer insights into the hydrological processes of small forested basins in southwestern China and provide important support for sustainable water resource management and effective climate adaptation strategies, particularly in the context of increasing drought vulnerability. Full article

With advancements in radar sensors, communications, and computer technologies, alongside an increasing number of ground observation tasks, Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) remote sensing is transitioning from being theory and technology-driven to being application-demand-driven. Since the late 1960s, Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) theories and techniques have continued to develop. They have been applied significantly in various fields, such as in the generation of global topography maps, monitoring of ground deformation, marine observations, and disaster reduction efforts. This article classifies InSAR into repeated-pass interference and single-pass interference. Repeated-pass interference mainly includes D-InSAR, PS-InSAR and SBAS-InSAR. Single-pass interference mainly includes CT-InSAR and AT-InSAR. Recently, China has made significant progress in the field of SAR satellite development, successfully launching several satellites equipped with interferometric measurement capabilities. These advancements have driven the evolution of spaceborne InSAR systems from single-frequency to multi-frequency, from low Earth orbit to higher orbits, and from single-platform to multi-platform configurations. These advancements have supported high precision and high-temporal-resolution land observation, and promoted the broader application of InSAR technology in disaster early warning, ecological monitoring, and infrastructure safety. Full article

Cotton (Gossypium spp.) is an important industrial crop, but it is vulnerable to waterlogging stress. The relationship between cotton yields and waterlogging indicators (CY-WI) is fundamental for waterlogging disaster reduction. This review systematically summarized and analyzed literature containing CY-WI relations across 1970s–2020s. China conducted the most CY-WI experiments (67%), followed by Australia (17%). Recent decades (2010s, 2000s) contributed the highest proportion of CY-WI works (49%, 15%). Surface waterlogging form is mostly employed (74%) much more than sub-surface waterlogging. The flowering and boll-forming stage, followed by the budding stage, performed the most CY-WI experiments (55%), and they showed stronger negative relations of CY-WI than other stages. Some compound stresses enhance negative relations of CY-WI, such as accompanying high temperatures, low temperatures, and shade conditions, whereas some others weaken the negative CY-WI relations, such as prior/post drought and waterlogging. Anti-waterlogging applications significantly weaken negative CY-WI relations. Regional-scale CY-WI research is increasing now, and they verified the influence of compound stresses. In future CI-WI works, we should emphasize the influence of compound stresses, establish regional CY-WI relations regarding cotton growth features, examine more updated cotton cultivars, focus on initial and late cotton stages, and explore the consequence of high-deep submergence. Full article

At emergency sites, bacteria in the environment can cause secondary wound infections. Timely treatment of infected wounds can improve the prognosis. In this study, we designed a closed-loop system for real-time wound infection monitoring and electronically controlled drug release, enabling rapid and stable deployment at disaster sites. Multilayer screen-printed electrodes were developed to detect uric acid (UA), pH, and temperature biomarkers. The electrode’s outermost layer was shielded by a zwitterionic conductive hydrogel (Gel) to prevent environmental interference and achieve systematic antibacterial protection through in situ reduction of silver nanoparticles (AgNPs) on its surface. For rapid and efficient drug delivery, amikacin (Ami) loaded cationic liposomes (Lipo) embedded in the zwitterionic conductive hydrogel (Gel-Lipo@Ami) were integrated as the core therapeutic carrier. This closed-loop system provides timely infection detection and enables in situ treatment during emergency rescues. Full article

Highway infrastructure faces growing exposure to natural hazards, necessitating more proactive and data-driven risk mitigation strategies. This study explores the integration of Disaster Risk Reduction Audits (DRRAs) into the lifecycle of highway infrastructure projects as a structured method for enhancing disaster resilience and operational safety. Using case analyses and scenario-based labor estimation models across design and construction phases, this research quantifies the resource requirements and effectiveness of DRRA application. The results show a statistically significant reduction in disaster occurrence rates in projects where a DRRA was implemented, despite slightly higher labor inputs. These findings highlight the value of adopting phased DRRA implementation as a national standard, with flexibility across different project types and scales. This study concludes that institutionalizing DRRAs, particularly when supported by digital platforms and decision-support tools, can serve as a critical component in transforming traditional infrastructure management into a more resilient and adaptive system. Full article

This study compares high-frequency mobile observation data collected in the same area of Kunming under two different meteorological conditions—15 January 2020, and 8 January 2023—to analyze changes in the micro-scale urban thermal environment. Vehicle-mounted temperature and humidity sensors, combined with GPS tracking, were used to conduct real-time, high-resolution data collection across various urban functional areas. The results show that in the two tests, the maximum temperature differences were 10.4 °C and 16.5 °C, respectively, and the maximum standard deviations were 0.34 °C and 2.43 °C, indicating a significant intensification in thermal fluctuations. Industrial and commercial zones experienced the most pronounced cooling, while green spaces and water bodies exhibited greater thermal stability. The study reveals the sensitivity of densely built-up areas to cold extremes and highlights the important role of green infrastructure in mitigating urban thermal instability. Furthermore, this research demonstrates the advantages of mobile observation over conventional remote sensing methods in capturing fine-scale, dynamic thermal distributions, offering valuable insights for climate-resilient urban planning. Full article