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Keywords = climate forcing

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17 pages, 5311 KiB  
Article
Projections of Urban Heat Island Effects Under Future Climate Scenarios: A Case Study in Zhengzhou, China
by Xueli Ni, Yujie Chang, Tianqi Bai, Pengfei Liu, Hongquan Song, Feng Wang and Man Jin
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2660; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152660 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
As global climate change accelerates, the urban heat island (UHI) phenomenon has become increasingly pronounced, posing significant challenges to urban energy balance, atmospheric processes, and public health. This study used the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to dynamically downscale two CMIP6 scenarios—moderate [...] Read more.
As global climate change accelerates, the urban heat island (UHI) phenomenon has become increasingly pronounced, posing significant challenges to urban energy balance, atmospheric processes, and public health. This study used the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to dynamically downscale two CMIP6 scenarios—moderate forcing (SSP245) and high forcing (SSP585)—focusing on Zhengzhou, a rapidly urbanizing city in central China. High-resolution simulations captured fine-scale intra-urban temperature patterns and analyze the spatial and seasonal variations in UHI intensity in 2030 and 2060. The results demonstrated significant seasonal variations in UHI effects in Zhengzhou for both 2030 and 2060 under SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios, with the most pronounced warming in summer. Notably, under the SSP245 scenario, elevated autumn temperatures in suburban areas reduced the urban–rural temperature gradient, while intensified rural cooling during winter enhanced the UHI effect. These findings underscore the importance of integrating high-resolution climate modeling into urban planning and developing targeted adaptation strategies based on future UHI patterns to address climate challenges. Full article
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18 pages, 3817 KiB  
Article
The Distribution Characteristics of Frost Heaving Forces on Tunnels in Cold Regions Based on Thermo-Mechanical Coupling
by Yujia Sun, Lei Peng and Qionglin Li
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8537; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158537 (registering DOI) - 31 Jul 2025
Abstract
To address the freezing damage to tunnel lining caused by frost heaving of the surrounding rock in water-rich tunnels in cold regions, a numerical thermo-mechanical coupling model for tunnel-surrounding rock that considers the anisotropy of frost heave deformation was established by examining overall [...] Read more.
To address the freezing damage to tunnel lining caused by frost heaving of the surrounding rock in water-rich tunnels in cold regions, a numerical thermo-mechanical coupling model for tunnel-surrounding rock that considers the anisotropy of frost heave deformation was established by examining overall frost heaves in a freeze–thaw cycle. Using a COMSOL Multiphysics 6.0 platform and the sequential coupling method, the temperature field evolution of tunnel-surrounding rock, freezing cycle development, and distribution characteristics of the frost heaving force of a tunnel lining under different minimum temperatures, numbers of negative temperature days, frost heave ratios, and anisotropy coefficients of frost heave deformation were systematically simulated. The results revealed that the response of the temperature field of tunnel-surrounding rock to the external temperature varies spatially with time lags, the shallow surface temperatures and the area around the lining fluctuate with the climate, and the temperature of the deep surrounding rock is dominated by the geothermal gradient. The extent of the freezing cycle and the frost heaving force increase significantly when lowering the minimum temperature. The maximum frost heaving force usually occurs in the region of the side wall and the spring line, and tensile stress is prone to be generated at the spring line; the influence of slight fluctuations in the minimum temperature or the short shift in the coldest day on the frost heaving force is limited. A substantial increase in frost heaving force is observed with higher frost heave ratios; for example, an increase from 0.25% to 2.0% results in a 116% rise at the sidewall. Although the increase in the anisotropy coefficient of frost heave deformation does not change the overall distribution pattern of frost heaving force, it can exacerbate the directional concentration of frost heave strain, which can increase the frost heaving force at the periphery of the top arch of the lining. This study revealed the distribution pattern and key influencing factors of the freezing cycle and frost heaving force for tunnels, providing a theoretical basis and data reference for the frost resistance design of tunnels in cold regions. Full article
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23 pages, 6132 KiB  
Article
Anthropogenic Activities Dominate Vegetation Improvement in Arid Areas of China
by Yu Guo, Xinwei Wang, Hongying Cao, Qin Peng, Yunshe Dong, Yunchun Qi, Jian Liu, Ning Lv, Feihu Yin, Xiujin Yuan and Mei Zeng
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2634; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152634 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 126
Abstract
Arid regions, while providing essential ecosystem services, are among the most ecologically vulnerable worldwide. Understanding and monitoring their long-term vegetation dynamics is essential for accurate environmental assessment and climate adaptation strategies. This study examined the spatiotemporal variations and driving forces of the vegetation [...] Read more.
Arid regions, while providing essential ecosystem services, are among the most ecologically vulnerable worldwide. Understanding and monitoring their long-term vegetation dynamics is essential for accurate environmental assessment and climate adaptation strategies. This study examined the spatiotemporal variations and driving forces of the vegetation dynamics in arid Northwestern China during 2000 to 2020, using the annual peak fractional vegetation cover (FVC) as the primary indicator. The Sen’s slope estimator with the Mann–Kendall test and the coefficient of variation were employed to assess the spatiotemporal variations in FVC, while the Pearson correlation, geographic detector model and random forest model were applied to identify the dominant driving factors for FVC. The results indicated that (1) overall vegetation cover was low (averaged peak FVC = 0.191), showing a spatial pattern of higher values in the northwest and lower values in the southeast; high FVC values were primarily observed in mountainous areas and river corridors; (2) the annual peak FVC increased significantly at a rate of 0.0508 yr−1, with 33.72% of the region showing significant improvements and 5.49% degradation; (3) the spatial pattern of FVC was shaped by the distribution of land use types (59.46%), while the temporal dynamics of FVC were driven by land use changes (16.37%) and the land use intensity (37.56%); (4) both the spatial pattern and the temporal dynamics were limited by the environmental conditions. These findings highlight the critical role of anthropogenic activities in shaping the spatiotemporal variations in FVC, particularly emphasizing the distinct contributions of changes in land use types and land use intensity. This study could provide a scientific basis for sustainable land management and restoration strategies in arid regions facing global changes. Full article
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21 pages, 11816 KiB  
Article
The Dual Effects of Climate Change and Human Activities on the Spatiotemporal Vegetation Dynamics in the Inner Mongolia Plateau from 1982 to 2022
by Guangxue Guo, Xiang Zou and Yuting Zhang
Land 2025, 14(8), 1559; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081559 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 121
Abstract
The Inner Mongolia Plateau (IMP), situated in the arid and semi-arid ecological transition zone of northern China, is particularly vulnerable to both climate change and human activities. Understanding the spatiotemporal vegetation dynamics and their driving forces is essential for regional ecological management. This [...] Read more.
The Inner Mongolia Plateau (IMP), situated in the arid and semi-arid ecological transition zone of northern China, is particularly vulnerable to both climate change and human activities. Understanding the spatiotemporal vegetation dynamics and their driving forces is essential for regional ecological management. This study employs Sen’s slope estimation, BFAST analysis, residual trend method and Geodetector to analyze the spatial patterns of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) variability and distinguish between climatic and anthropogenic influences. Key findings include the following: (1) From 1982 to 2022, vegetation cover across the IMP exhibited a significant greening trend. Zonal analysis showed that this spatial heterogeneity was strongly regulated by regional hydrothermal conditions, with varied responses across land cover types and pronounced recovery observed in high-altitude areas. (2) In the western arid regions, vegetation trends were unstable, often marked by interruptions and reversals, contrasting with the sustained greening observed in the eastern zones. (3) Vegetation growth was primarily temperature-driven in the eastern forested areas, precipitation-driven in the central grasslands, and severely limited in the western deserts due to warming-induced drought. (4) Human activities exerted dual effects: significant positive residual trends were observed in the Hetao Plain and southern Horqin Sandy Land, while widespread negative residuals emerged across the southern deserts and central grasslands. (5) Vegetation change was driven by climate and human factors, with recovery mainly due to climate improvement and degradation linked to their combined impact. These findings highlight the interactive mechanisms of climate change and human disturbance in regulating terrestrial vegetation dynamics, offering insights for sustainable development and ecosystem education in climate-sensitive systems. Full article
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21 pages, 1758 KiB  
Article
The Effect of Different Tillage Methods on Spring Barley Productivity and Grain Quality Indicators
by Aušra Sinkevičienė, Kęstutis Romaneckas, Edita Meškinytė and Rasa Kimbirauskienė
Agronomy 2025, 15(8), 1823; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy15081823 - 28 Jul 2025
Viewed by 177
Abstract
The production of winter wheat, spring barley, spring oilseed rape, and field beans requires detailed experimental data studies to analyze the quality and productivity of spring barley grain under different cultivation and tillage conditions. As the world’s population grows, more food is required [...] Read more.
The production of winter wheat, spring barley, spring oilseed rape, and field beans requires detailed experimental data studies to analyze the quality and productivity of spring barley grain under different cultivation and tillage conditions. As the world’s population grows, more food is required to maintain a stable food supply chain. For many years, intensive farming systems have been used to meet this need. Today, intensive climate change events and other global environmental challenges are driving a shift towards sustainable use of natural resources and simplified cultivation methods that produce high-quality and productive food. It is important to study different tillage systems in order to understand how these methods can affect the chemical composition and nutritional value of the grain. Both agronomic and economic aspects contribute to the complexity of this field and their analysis will undoubtedly contribute to the development of more efficient agricultural practice models and the promotion of more conscious consumption. An appropriate tillage system should be oriented towards local climatic characteristics and people’s needs. The impact of reduced tillage on these indicators in spring barley production is still insufficiently investigated and requires further analysis at a global level. This study was carried out at Vytautas Magnus University Agriculture Academy (Lithuania) in 2022–2024. Treatments were arranged using a split-plot design. Based on a long-term tillage experiment, five tillage systems were tested: deep and shallow plowing, deep cultivation–chiseling, shallow cultivation–disking, and no-tillage. The results show that in 2022–2024, the hectoliter weight and moisture content of spring barley grains increased, but protein content and germination decreased in shallowly plowed fields. In deep cultivation–chiseling fields, the protein content (0.1–1.1%) of spring barley grains decreased, and in shallow cultivation–disking fields, the moisture content (0.2–0.3%) decreased. In all fields, the simplified tillage systems applied reduced spring barley germination (0.4–16.7%). Tillage systems and meteorological conditions are the two main forces shaping the quality indicators of spring barley grains. Properly selected tillage systems and favorable climatic conditions undoubtedly contribute to better grain properties and higher yields, while reducing the risk of disease spread. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Innovative Cropping Systems)
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31 pages, 1632 KiB  
Article
Climate Risks and Common Prosperity for Corporate Employees: The Role of Environment Governance in Promoting Social Equity in China
by Yi Zhang, Pan Xia and Xinjie Zheng
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6823; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156823 - 27 Jul 2025
Viewed by 382
Abstract
Promoting social equity is a global issue, and common prosperity is an important goal for human society’s sustainable development. This study is the first to examine climate risks’ impacts on common prosperity from the perspective of corporate employees, providing micro-level evidence for the [...] Read more.
Promoting social equity is a global issue, and common prosperity is an important goal for human society’s sustainable development. This study is the first to examine climate risks’ impacts on common prosperity from the perspective of corporate employees, providing micro-level evidence for the coordinated development of climate governance and social equity. Employing data from companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges from 2016 to 2023, a fixed-effects model analysis was conducted, and the results showed the following: (1) Climate risks are positively associated with the common prosperity of corporate employees in a significant way, and this effect is mainly achieved through employee guarantees, rather than employee remuneration or employment. (2) Climate risk will increase corporate financing constraints, but it will also force companies to improve their ESG performance. (3) The mechanism tests show that climate risks indirectly promote improvements in employee rights and interests by forcing companies to improve the quality of internal controls and audits. (4) The results of the moderating effect analysis show that corporate size and performance have a positive moderating effect on the relationship between climate risk and the common prosperity of corporate employees. This finding may indicate the transmission path of “climate pressure—governance upgrade—social equity” and suggest that climate governance may be transformed into social value through institutional changes in enterprises. This study breaks through the limitations of traditional research on the financial perspective of the economic consequences of climate risks, incorporates employee welfare into the climate governance assessment framework for the first time, expands the micro research dimension of common prosperity, provides a new paradigm for cross-research on ESG and social equity, and offers recommendations and references for different stakeholders. Full article
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18 pages, 1724 KiB  
Article
Ecological Product Value Realization in Agricultural Heritage System Sites: A Case Study of Wannian Rice Culture System in China
by Jingyi Li, Zhidong Li, Bojie Wang, Yan Mei, Youyu Luo and Qingwen Min
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6791; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156791 - 25 Jul 2025
Viewed by 207
Abstract
The value realization of ecological products is an important part of rural and agricultural development. As a significant force for protecting traditional agricultural systems and promoting rural revitalization, agricultural heritage systems (AHSs) have formed diverse value realization paths of ecological products in the [...] Read more.
The value realization of ecological products is an important part of rural and agricultural development. As a significant force for protecting traditional agricultural systems and promoting rural revitalization, agricultural heritage systems (AHSs) have formed diverse value realization paths of ecological products in the process of dynamic protection and adaptive management. Through theoretical research, this article analyzed the characteristics of ecological products in AHS sites (EPAHSSs) and summarized the framework of value realization paths of EPAHSSs. Then, the Wannian Rice Culture System in China was selected as a case for conducting empirical research. The results showed that EPAHSSs exhibit obvious uniqueness in terms of climate environment, germplasm resources, farming and breeding models, and cultural heritage. The value realization paths of EPAHSSs mainly include industrial development support, such as the extension of agricultural industrial chains and the development of tourism, as well as fiscal transfer payments. The case analysis results indicated that Wannian County contains a rich variety of ecological products and developed a value realization pathway mainly based on the integration of industries and supplemented by fiscal transfer payments during the process of protection and development. However, further optimization is needed to promote the development of tourism and other paths. This study not only contributes to the sustainable development of the Wannian Rice Culture System, but the proposed framework is also applicable to other heritage systems and similar regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Social Ecology and Sustainability)
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16 pages, 4736 KiB  
Review
Volcanic Islands as Reservoirs of Geoheritage: Current and Potential Initiatives of Geoconservation
by Esther Martín-González, Juana Vegas, Inés Galindo, Carmen Romero and Nieves Sánchez
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(8), 1420; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081420 - 25 Jul 2025
Viewed by 188
Abstract
Volcanic islands host exceptional geological features that illustrate complex endogenic processes and interactions with climatic and marine forces, while also being particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Despite their scientific, educational, touristic, and aesthetic values, such islands remain underrepresented within the [...] Read more.
Volcanic islands host exceptional geological features that illustrate complex endogenic processes and interactions with climatic and marine forces, while also being particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Despite their scientific, educational, touristic, and aesthetic values, such islands remain underrepresented within the UNESCO Global Geoparks (UGGp). This study reviews current volcanic island geoparks and evaluates territories with potential for future designation, based on documented geoheritage, geosite inventories, and geoconservation frameworks. Geoparks are categorized according to their dominant narratives—ranging from recent Quaternary volcanism to broader tectonic, sedimentary, and metamorphic histories. Through an analysis of their distribution, management strategies, and integration into territorial planning, this work highlights the challenges that insular territories face, including vulnerability to global environmental change, limited legal protection, and structural inequalities in access to international resources recognition. It concludes that volcanic island geoparks represent strategic platforms for implementing sustainable development models, especially in ecologically and socially fragile contexts. Enhancing their global representation will require targeted efforts in ecologically and socially fragile contexts. Enhancing their global representation will require targeted efforts in capacity building, funding access, and regional cooperation—particularly across the Global South. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Feature Review Papers in Geological Oceanography)
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20 pages, 10068 KiB  
Article
Effect of AF Surface Nanostructure on AFRP Interface Properties Under Temperature: A MD Simulation Study
by Zhaohua Zhang, Guowei Xia, Chunying Qiao, Longyin Qiao, Fei Gao, Qing Xie and Jun Xie
Polymers 2025, 17(15), 2024; https://doi.org/10.3390/polym17152024 - 24 Jul 2025
Viewed by 207
Abstract
The insulating rod of aramid fiber-reinforced epoxy resin composites (AFRP) is an important component of gas-insulated switchgear (GIS). Under complex working conditions, the high temperature caused by voltage, current, and external climate change becomes one of the important factors that aggravate the interface [...] Read more.
The insulating rod of aramid fiber-reinforced epoxy resin composites (AFRP) is an important component of gas-insulated switchgear (GIS). Under complex working conditions, the high temperature caused by voltage, current, and external climate change becomes one of the important factors that aggravate the interface degradation between aramid fiber (AF) and epoxy resin (EP). In this paper, molecular dynamics (MD) simulation software is used to study the effect of temperature on the interfacial properties of AF/EP. At the same time, the mechanism of improving the interfacial properties of three nanoparticles with different properties (insulator Al2O3, semiconductor ZnO, and conductor carbon nanotube (CNT)) is explored. The results show that the increase in temperature will greatly reduce the interfacial van der Waals force, thereby reducing the interfacial binding energy between AF and EP, making the interfacial wettability worse. Furthermore, the addition of the three fillers can improve the interfacial adhesion of the composite material. Among them, Al2O3 and CNT maintain a large dipole moment at high temperature, making the van der Waals force more stable and the adhesion performance attenuation less. The Mulliken charge and energy gap of Al2O3 and ZnO decrease slightly with temperature but are still higher than AF, which is conducive to maintaining good interfacial insulation performance. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Fiber-Reinforced Polymer Composites: Progress and Prospects)
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19 pages, 2340 KiB  
Article
Analysis of Olive Tree Flowering Behavior Based on Thermal Requirements: A Case Study from the Northern Mediterranean Region
by Maja Podgornik, Jakob Fantinič, Tjaša Pogačar and Vesna Zupanc
Climate 2025, 13(8), 156; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13080156 - 23 Jul 2025
Viewed by 404
Abstract
In recent years, early olive fruit drop has been observed in the northern Mediterranean regions, causing significant economic losses, although the exact cause remains unknown. Recent studies have identified several possible causes; however, our understanding of how olive trees respond to these environmental [...] Read more.
In recent years, early olive fruit drop has been observed in the northern Mediterranean regions, causing significant economic losses, although the exact cause remains unknown. Recent studies have identified several possible causes; however, our understanding of how olive trees respond to these environmental stresses remains limited. This study includes an analysis of selected meteorological and flowering data for Olea europaea L. “Istrska belica” to evaluate the use of a chilling and forcing model for a better understanding of flowering time dynamics under a changing climate. The flowering process is influenced by high diurnal temperature ranges (DTRs) during the pre-flowering period, resulting in earlier flowering. Despite annual fluctuations due to various climatic factors, an increase in DTRs has been observed in recent decades, although the mechanisms by which olive trees respond to high DTRs remain unclear. The chilling requirements are still well met in the region (1500 ± 250 chilling units), although their total has declined over the years. According to the Chilling Hours Model, chilling units—referred to as chilling hours—represent the number of hours with temperatures between 0 and 7.2 °C, accumulated throughout the winter season. Growing degree hours (GDHs) are strongly correlated with the onset of flowering. These results suggest that global warming is already affecting the synchrony between olive tree phenology and environmental conditions in the northern Mediterranean and may be one of the reason for the green drop. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Climate Adaptation and Mitigation)
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19 pages, 8978 KiB  
Article
Integration of Space and Hydrological Data into System of Monitoring Natural Emergencies (Flood Hazards)
by Natalya Denissova, Ruslan Chettykbayev, Irina Dyomina, Olga Petrova and Nurbek Saparkhojayev
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(14), 8050; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15148050 - 19 Jul 2025
Viewed by 280
Abstract
Flood hazards have increasingly threatened the East Kazakhstan region in recent decades due to climate change and growing anthropogenic pressures, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. This article considers an approach to modeling and forecasting river runoff using the example of [...] Read more.
Flood hazards have increasingly threatened the East Kazakhstan region in recent decades due to climate change and growing anthropogenic pressures, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. This article considers an approach to modeling and forecasting river runoff using the example of the small Kurchum River in the East Kazakhstan region. The main objective of this study was to evaluate the numerical performance of the flood hazard model by comparing simulated flood extents with observed flood data. Two types of data were used as initial data: topographic data (digital elevation models and topographic maps) and hydrological data, including streamflow time series from stream gauges (hourly time steps) and lateral inflows along the river course. Spatially distributed rainfall forcing was not applied. To build the model, we used the software packages of HEC-RAS version 5.0.5 and MIKE version 11. Using retrospective data for 3 years (2019–2021), modeling was performed, the calculated boundaries of possible flooding were obtained, and the highest risk zones were identified. A dynamic map of depth changes in the river system is presented, showing the process of flood wave propagation, the dynamics of depth changes, and the expansion of the flood zone. Temporal flood inundation mapping and performance metrics were evaluated for each individual flood event (2019, 2020, and 2021). The simulation outcomes closely correlate with actual flood events. The assessment showed that the model data coincide with the real ones by 91.89% (2019), 89.09% (2020), and 95.91% (2021). The obtained results allow for a clarification of potential flood zones and can be used in planning measures to reduce flood risks. This study demonstrates the importance of an integrated approach to modeling, combining various software packages and data sources. Full article
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21 pages, 1816 KiB  
Review
Lignin Waste Valorization in the Bioeconomy Era: Toward Sustainable Innovation and Climate Resilience
by Alfonso Trezza, Linta Mahboob, Anna Visibelli, Michela Geminiani and Annalisa Santucci
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(14), 8038; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15148038 - 18 Jul 2025
Viewed by 420
Abstract
Lignin, the most abundant renewable aromatic biopolymer on Earth, is rapidly emerging as a powerful enabler of next-generation sustainable technologies. This review shifts the focus to the latest industrial breakthroughs that exploit lignin’s multifunctional properties across energy, agriculture, healthcare, and environmental sectors. Lignin-derived [...] Read more.
Lignin, the most abundant renewable aromatic biopolymer on Earth, is rapidly emerging as a powerful enabler of next-generation sustainable technologies. This review shifts the focus to the latest industrial breakthroughs that exploit lignin’s multifunctional properties across energy, agriculture, healthcare, and environmental sectors. Lignin-derived carbon materials are offering scalable, low-cost alternatives to critical raw materials in batteries and supercapacitors. In agriculture, lignin-based biostimulants and controlled-release fertilizers support resilient, low-impact food systems. Cosmetic and pharmaceutical industries are leveraging lignin’s antioxidant, UV-protective, and antimicrobial properties to create bio-based, clean-label products. In water purification, lignin-based adsorbents are enabling efficient and biodegradable solutions for persistent pollutants. These technological leaps are not merely incremental, they represent a paradigm shift toward a materials economy powered by renewable carbon. Backed by global sustainability roadmaps like the European Green Deal and China’s 14th Five-Year Plan, lignin is moving from industrial residue to strategic asset, driven by unprecedented investment and cross-sector collaboration. Breakthroughs in lignin upgrading, smart formulation, and application-driven design are dismantling long-standing barriers to scale, performance, and standardization. As showcased in this review, lignin is no longer just a promising biopolymer, it is a catalytic force accelerating the global transition toward circularity, climate resilience, and green industrial transformation. The future of sustainable innovation is lignin-enabled. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Biosynthesis and Applications of Natural Products)
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28 pages, 18279 KiB  
Article
From the Past to the Future: Unveiling the Impact of Extreme Climate on Vegetation Dynamics in Northern China Through Historical Trends and Future Projections
by Yuxuan Zhang, Xiaojun Yao, Juan Zhang and Qin Ma
Land 2025, 14(7), 1456; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14071456 - 13 Jul 2025
Viewed by 278
Abstract
Over the past few decades, occurrences of extreme climatic events have escalated significantly, with severe repercussions for global ecosystems and socio-economics. northern China (NC), characterized by its complex topography and diverse climatic conditions, represents a typical ecologically vulnerable region where vegetation is highly [...] Read more.
Over the past few decades, occurrences of extreme climatic events have escalated significantly, with severe repercussions for global ecosystems and socio-economics. northern China (NC), characterized by its complex topography and diverse climatic conditions, represents a typical ecologically vulnerable region where vegetation is highly sensitive to climate change. Therefore, monitoring vegetation dynamics and analyzing the influence of extreme climatic events on vegetation are crucial for ecological conservation efforts in NC. Based on extreme climate indicators and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), this study employed trend analysis, Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition, all subsets regression analysis, and random forest to quantitatively investigate the spatiotemporal variations in historical and projected future NDVI trends in NC, as well as their responses to extreme climatic conditions. The results indicate that from 1982 to 2018, the NDVI in NC generally exhibited a recovery trend, with an average growth rate of 0.003/a and a short-term variation cycle of approximately 3 years. Vegetation restoration across most areas was primarily driven by short-term high temperatures and long-term precipitation patterns. Future projections under different emission scenarios (SSP245 and SSP585) suggest that extreme climate change will continue to follow historical trends. However, increased radiative forcing is expected to constrain both the rate of vegetation growth and its spatial expansion. These findings provide a scientific basis for mitigating the impacts of climate anomalies and improving ecological quality in NC. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Vegetation Cover Changes Monitoring Using Remote Sensing Data)
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11 pages, 1600 KiB  
Article
Understanding Vulnerability to Natural Hazards of Displaced Persons in Cox’s Bazar
by Jack Dano, Carly Ching and Muhammad H Zaman
Land 2025, 14(7), 1448; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14071448 - 11 Jul 2025
Viewed by 403
Abstract
Refugee settlements are often positioned around natural borders, which often have a heightened danger of environmental hazards. Here, we aim to better understand why settlements are in environmentally vulnerable land and what social and physical factors contribute to this phenomenon. To do this, [...] Read more.
Refugee settlements are often positioned around natural borders, which often have a heightened danger of environmental hazards. Here, we aim to better understand why settlements are in environmentally vulnerable land and what social and physical factors contribute to this phenomenon. To do this, we present a holistic narrative that maps climate threats among displaced populations in Cox’s Bazar district, Bangladesh, while contextualizing environmental vulnerability by incorporating historical and social constraints. Using ArcGIS, an online mapping program, we illustrate the overlap between different climatic events and how these vulnerabilities compound and intensify one another. We also discuss the history of natural migration and settlement pertaining to the physical landscape and the sociopolitical reasons refugees remain in environmentally vulnerable areas. Overall, we find an emerging trend that may be broadly applicable to instances of forced displacement; physical settlement locations near international borders demarcated by landforms may be more vulnerable to the effects of climate change and extreme climate events. However, physical, social, and political reasons often cement these locations. Recommendations include enhancing the resilience of refugee camps through infrastructure improvements, sustainable land management, and reforestation efforts, which would benefit both the environment and local and refugee communities. Full article
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27 pages, 53601 KiB  
Article
Depositional Evolution and Controlling Factors of the Lower–Middle Jurassic in the Kuqa Depression, Tarim Basin, Northwest China
by Ming Ma, Changsong Lin, Yongfu Liu, Hao Li, Wenfang Yuan, Jingyan Liu, Chaoqun Shi, Manli Zhang and Fan Xu
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(14), 7783; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15147783 - 11 Jul 2025
Viewed by 265
Abstract
The Lower–Middle Jurassic of the Kuqa Depression consists of terrestrial clastic deposits containing coal seams and thick lacustrine mudstones, and is of great significance for oil and gas exploration. Based on the comprehensive analysis of core, well-logging, outcrop, and seismic data, the sequence [...] Read more.
The Lower–Middle Jurassic of the Kuqa Depression consists of terrestrial clastic deposits containing coal seams and thick lacustrine mudstones, and is of great significance for oil and gas exploration. Based on the comprehensive analysis of core, well-logging, outcrop, and seismic data, the sequence stratigraphy, depositional systems, and the controlling factors of the basin filling in the depression are systematically documented. Four primary depositional systems, including braided river delta, meandering river delta, lacustrine, and swamp deposits, are identified within the Ahe, Yangxia, and Kezilenuer Formations of the Lower–Middle Jurassic. The basin fills can be classified into two second-order and nine third-order sequences (SQ1–SQ9) confined by regional or local unconformities and their correlative conformities. This study shows that the sedimentary evolution has undergone the following three stages: Stage I (SQ1–SQ2) primarily developed braided river, braided river delta, and shallow lacustrine deposits; Stage II (SQ3–SQ5) primarily developed meandering river, meandering river delta, and extensive deep and semi-deep lacustrine deposits; Stage III (SQ6–SQ9) primarily developed swamp (SQ6–SQ7), meandering river delta, and shore–shallow lacustrine deposits (SQ8–SQ9). The uplift of the Tianshan Orogenic Belt in the Early Jurassic (Stage I) may have facilitated the development of braided fluvial–deltaic deposits. The subsequential expansion of the sedimentary area and the weakened sediment supply can be attributed to the planation of the source area and widespread basin subsidence, with the transition of the depositional environments from braided river delta deposits to meandering river delta and swamp deposits. The regional expansion or rise of the lake during Stage II was likely triggered by the hot and humid climate conditions, possibly associated with the Early Jurassic Toarcian Oceanic Anoxic Event. The thick swamp deposits formed during Stage III may be controlled by the interplay of rational accommodation, warm and humid climatic conditions, and limited sediment supply. Milankovitch cycles identified in Stage III further reveal that coal accumulation was primarily modulated by long-period eccentricity forcing. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Earth Sciences)
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