Search Results (4,243)

Shaded Arabica coffee production in agroforestry systems, as opposed to full-sun production, is a nature-based solution improving soil water balance, reducing heat exposure of coffee plants, and supporting sustainable forest management as opposed to deforestation. For this coffee production system in Mexico, which is dominated by smallholders as the largest group of coffee producers, we herein analyze current and estimate future yields. For the first time, to our best knowledge, this is done with a process-based coffee agroforestry model CAF2014 that we adapted for geo-spatial applications and named CAF2014-Rhaobi. Modeling of smallholders’ representative management is based on tree thinning, pruning frequency, and nitrogen supply through fertilizer and litter from nitrogen-fixing shade trees. Modeled historical yields generally agree with the reported numbers; however, there are discrepancies explained by modeling assumptions and simplifications. While shade trees help sustain coffee production, the projected drop in yields under present management is about 30% at the end of the century compared to the present as estimated using an ensemble of CMIP6 SSP5-8.5 climate projections. Economic analysis for three typologies of Mexican small coffee producers (conventional low, high-efficiency, and organic) reveals the major role of farmer associations and organic coffee price premiums in making production economically sustainable. This emphasizes the need for innovative marketing approaches and policies supporting farmers opting for certified production. Full article

Nitrous oxide (N₂O) is a greenhouse gas that has a global warming potential approximately 300 times that of carbon dioxide (CO₂). It is largely produced in agricultural soils through nitrification and denitrification processes driven by specific microbial functional genes (e.g., amoA, nirS, and nirK), which represent the main source of its emissions. The intensive use of nitrogen fertilizers increases nitrogen surplus in the ecosystem. This in turn accelerates the risk of nitrogen loss through leaching and volatilization, while also accelerating microbial pathways that drive N₂O emissions in the soil. This issue raises severe environmental concerns within the context of global climate change, particularly through the climate-driven escalation of soil salinity, which further alters the microbial community and increases these emissions. Microbial inoculants, including bacteria and arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi, provide eco-friendly biological solutions to mitigate N₂O emissions from agricultural soils. These inoculants could restore nitrogen balance in the soil by several strategies, such as improving nitrogen use efficiency, competing with native nitrifiers, and upregulating nosZ gene expression. This review highlights the current developments in the utilization of microbial inoculants for N₂O mitigation, focusing on key bacterial genera (e.g., Bradyrhizobium, Dyadobacter, Stutzerimonas, Paenibacillus, and Bacillus) and arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (AMF, e.g., Rhizophagus and Funneliformis), as well as the mechanisms used by these microorganisms. It also discusses the potential of using microbial inoculants in saline-affected soils, as well as the link between salinity and N₂O emissions. Based on these insights, this review presents a thorough framework for the prospective use of microbial inoculants as an effective solution to sustainable agriculture while reducing the environmental hazards associated with N₂O emissions, which endanger global food and climate systems. Full article

Modeling thermal environments across scales is crucial for climate-adaptive design and energy management. Traditional numerical methods (e.g., CFD) offer high accuracy and physical consistency, but they are computationally expensive. In contrast, purely data-driven models, though efficient, lack physical consistency and generalization capability. This review systematically examines Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs), a hybrid paradigm in which physical prior knowledge is embedded directly into the neural network training process. A structured keyword search of the Web of Science Core Collection was performed, and 94 peer-reviewed journal articles were analyzed. The evolution from numerical simulations and data-driven surrogate models to PINNs is outlined. PINN methods are classified according to the stage at which physical prior information is integrated (i.e., dataset development, model construction, or loss function formulation). Current research remains heavily focused on loss function constraints, whereas systematic integration into data augmentation and model construction remains limited. Application domains span indoor environments, outdoor environments, and building systems, with each domain exhibiting unique prior integration strategies tailored to specific problems. Future PINN modeling should evolve toward multi-physics coupling, adaptive loss balancing, cross-scenario transfer learning, and unified evaluation benchmarks. PINNs in this field are promising but remain at an early stage, especially for complex urban-scale deployment. This review synthesizes existing research around the three stages of dataset development, model construction, and loss function formulation, summarizes the prior integration strategies adopted in the domain of building thermal environments, and provides a practical workflow for embedding physical prior knowledge at different stages of model development. Full article

This review examines the relationship between climate-driven heat stress (HS) and bovine mastitis in the Po Valley, a key European dairy region characterized by intensive production systems and increasing climatic vulnerability. It aims to contextualize how rising temperature–humidity index (THI) levels influence animal health and productivity. This study synthesizes the current literature on biometeorological conditions, epidemiological trends, and physiological mechanisms linking HS to mastitis. Evidence indicates that prolonged exposure to elevated THI impairs thermoregulation, disrupts endocrine and metabolic balance, and weakens immune function, thereby increasing susceptibility to intramammary infections. Epidemiological data reveal a clear seasonal pattern, with mastitis incidence peaking during summer months and a growing predominance of environmental pathogens. Additionally, HS negatively affects milk yield and quality, amplifying economic losses in dairy systems. The findings highlight that mastitis in this context is not merely an infectious disease but a multifactorial condition shaped by environmental, physiological, and management factors. Overall, this review underscores the need for integrated mitigation strategies, including improved housing, nutrition, genetic selection, and precision monitoring, to enhance resilience. In the face of ongoing climate change, adapting dairy production systems will be essential to safeguard animal welfare, maintain productivity, and ensure the long-term sustainability of the Po Valley dairy sector. Full article

Against the background of climate change intensifying extreme hail events, the photovoltaic module industry faces a critical trade-off between improving hail resistance and maintaining environmental sustainability. This study establishes an emergy–life cycle coupling assessment framework to systematically evaluate the environmental sustainability of six typical hail resistance enhancement designs across four hail risk scenarios in China. Five hierarchical hypotheses are proposed and validated through quantitative analysis. The optimal design point occurs at 30 mm hail resistance using 3.2 mm tempered glass, achieving a minimum unit environmental impact per impact resistance UEIC of 9.63 × 10¹² sej/mm. The ranking divergence index SDR between coupled emergy–LCA and conventional LCA methods is 0.267, with ecosystem service dependence ESD reaching 0.241 for composite backsheet designs, revealing natural capital overlooked by traditional methods. A complete ranking reversal occurs at a threshold hail frequency of 1.3 events per year, above which the 3.2 mm glass design outperforms standard modules with life cycle emergy input LCEA of 3.20 × 10¹⁴ sej versus 3.41 × 10¹⁴ sej under high-risk scenarios. Material type dominates environmental impact over structural parameters by a factor of 2.32, with recycled aluminum frames reducing ELCI by 12.4%. The dual-optimum design is identified as the 3.2 mm tempered glass scheme, achieving a combined sustainability score CSS of 0.782 and emergy yield ratio EYR of 3.86, outperforming the industry average of 3.61. Multi-objective optimization using NSGA-II yields a Pareto front of 12 non-dominated solutions, with the 3.2 mm glass design maintaining Pareto optimal status in 72% of Monte Carlo iterations. This research provides a quantitative decision-making framework recommending standard modules for regions below one annual hail event, the 3.2 mm glass design for regions between one and four annual events, and steel frame combinations above four annual events, demonstrating that moderate enhancement achieves the optimal balance between hail protection and environmental sustainability. Full article

Road construction contributes to embodied carbon in infrastructure, with asphalt-bound layers often dominating construction-stage greenhouse gas emissions in flexible pavements. Reclaimed asphalt pavement (RAP) and high-modulus asphalt concrete can reduce virgin material demand and improve structural efficiency, but their sustainability benefit depends on maintaining equivalent pavement performance. This study develops a climate-informed, mechanistic, environmental, and economic Pareto optimization framework for RAP-modified high-performance asphalt concrete (RAP-HPAC) pavement sections in Alberta. The framework couples fitted dynamic modulus master curves, monthly pavement temperature inputs, ALVA layered elastic analysis, Asphalt Institute fatigue and rutting criteria, A1–A5 global warming potential (GWP), and Alberta 2026 installed unit-price cost data. The RAP-HPAC mixture contains 50% RAP and was designed through a balanced mix design to target approximately 80% effective RAP binder activation. Three traffic classes were evaluated: 731, 1300, and 5426 ESAL/day/direction, each with 2% annual compound growth over a 20-year design period. Relative to independently optimized conventional HMA controls, Pareto-selected RAP-HPAC sections reduced P50 construction-stage GWP by approximately 19–30% and first cost by approximately 6–11% at a conservative 0.90× RAP-HPAC cost multiplier. The results show that RAP-HPAC is most beneficial when used as a structural-bound base that replaces conventional asphalt-bound capacity while preserving sufficient granular support. The framework provides a reproducible design-stage approach for comparing recycled high-modulus asphalt mixtures using performance, carbon, and cost criteria simultaneously. Full article

Accurate monitoring of hydrological dynamics in complex perennial landscapes is a cornerstone for tropical agricultural sustainability. Traditional energy balance models based on orbital optical data often face methodological bottlenecks due to cloud cover and the “greening myth,” where optical indices fail to capture immediate water stress due to the non-linear decoupling between stomatal closure and pigment loss. This study developed a cloud-integrated multisensor framework to estimate actual evapotranspiration (ET_a) at a refined 100 m resolution in mountain coffee systems, utilizing active microwave proxies from Sentinel-1. We fused polarimetric metrics—Degree of Polarization (DoP) and Shannon Entropy (SE)—with land surface temperature and soil moisture data. Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) was compared against non-linear algorithms (Random Forest and SVR) to prioritize model parsimony and physical interpretability. The results show that MLR emerged as the most parsimonious and suitable model within this localized dataset scope (R² = 0.872; RMSE = 2.916 mm/8-day), outperforming complex “black-box” architectures. Soil moisture emerged as the dominant environmental driver of ET_a variability, while SAR-based metrics served as sensitive mechanical proxies for canopy geometric heterogeneity and macro-structural variations. Cross-correlation analysis revealed a 16-day lag, empirically indicating that biophysical water shifts temporally precede geometric canopy alterations. Operationally, this framework ensures temporal continuity under persistent cloud cover and provides high-fidelity spatial detailing for precision water management. This approach offers an auditable and scalable tool for watershed planning and climate resilience in tropical agriculture. Full article

Under the “dual carbon” targets, using green finance to support renewable energy use is an important way to reduce extreme climate risks. This study builds a balanced panel dataset of 271 Chinese cities from 2010 to 2021. We measured the level of Green Finance (GF) and renewable energy utilization (RE). Employing two-way fixed effects, the Spatial Durbin Model (SDM), and the Heterogeneous Spatial Autoregressive (HSAR) model, we systematically examine the promoting effects, transmission mechanisms, spatial heterogeneity, and economic–environmental consequences of GF on RE. The empirical results reveal that GF significantly enhances RE and generates pronounced positive spatial spillovers. Mechanism analysis indicates that R&D investment and environmental regulation serve as the primary transmission channels. The promotion effect is more pronounced in the eastern and central regions, as well as in areas with higher R&D investment and stricter environmental regulation, whereas the spatial spillover effect is particularly evident in coastal regions. Further consequence analysis demonstrates that GF contributes to reducing conventional energy intensity, improving green total factor productivity, and alleviating extreme climate events. Building on these findings, this study proposes spatially differentiated and sustainability-oriented policy strategies to advance China’s energy transition and foster coordinated economic and environmental sustainability. Full article

Rooftop rainwater harvesting (RWH) offers a practical adaptation option for Mediterranean cities where water scarcity is amplified by seasonal rainfall and climate variability. This study reports early findings from a simplified monthly water balance screening model for a typical residential building, driven by ERA5-Land monthly precipitation for Antalya and İzmir (Türkiye). Scenarios cover roof areas of 250–3000 m² and practical tank capacities of 2–100 m³ under a fixed non-potable demand of 0.20 m³/day. The model tracks monthly storage dynamics and supply demand in order to compute demand coverage and monthly reliability (i.e., fraction of months in which full demand is met). Reliability-based storage thresholds (≥0.80) are derived for four evaluation windows (1996–2010, 2011–2025, 1996–2025, 1950–2025) to explore climate sensitivity. In parallel, a guideline-style sizing which is consistent with the Turkish rainwater harvesting guideline is implemented using a three-day storage rule based on the wettest month potential. To enable a like-for-like comparison, the collection losses are harmonized by setting loss to 0.10 in the simulation and efficiency to 0.90 in the guideline method. The results show stable thresholds for Antalya but stronger period sensitivity in İzmir. They also quantify cases where guideline sizing does not achieve the target reliability under dry season constraints. This approach supports the rapid, climate-aware pre-design of small- to medium-scale urban RWH systems. Full article

The increasing demand for low-alcohol wine products calls for effective vineyard strategies to reduce grape sugar concentration, while climate change is exacerbating sugar accumulation through warmer growing conditions. In this context, severe shoot trimming applied at specific phenological stages may represent a promising approach to induce sustained source limitation. A field experiment was conducted in 2025 on Vitis vinifera L. cv. Ortrugo to evaluate severe shoot trimming performed at the onset of berry softening. Vine growth, yield components, grape composition, and seasonal total soluble solids (TSSs) were monitored. Vine carbon reserves and shoot fruitfulness were assessed to evaluate carry-over effects. Experimental wines were produced to determine alcohol and fermentative aroma. Severe trimming markedly reduced leaf area and vine balance, leading to a sustained reduction in sugar accumulation. At harvest, grape TSSs decreased by 4.1 °Brix (17.6 vs. 21.7 °Brix) and the final wine alcohol concentration was lower by 3.4% (v/v). Yield was unaffected and no substantial negative effects on wine fermentative aroma were observed, while titratable acidity slightly increased. Even if trimming reduced winter starch concentration in roots, no reduction in shoot fruitfulness was observed in the subsequent spring. Severe trimming successfully reduced grape sugar and wine ethanol without compromising yield, aroma, or vine performance, supporting its potential for low-alcohol wine production and reduced-impact dealcoholization. Full article

Understanding the spatiotemporal evolution of runoff and its driving mechanisms is of great significance for water resources development, utilization, and sustainable management in mid- to high-latitude river basins under climate change. However, runoff variability is jointly influenced by multiple meteorological factors, and a comprehensive understanding of its multi-scale response characteristics and the relative contributions of different drivers remains limited. In this study, runoff data from three hydrological stations in the Songhua River Basin during 1980–2022 were analyzed. A set of statistical and time-series methods, including the Mann–Kendall test, Pettitt change-point test, Hurst exponent, wavelet analysis, and wavelet coherence, was applied, and a random forest model was used to quantify the influence of key climatic factors such as precipitation, air temperature, and evapotranspiration. The results show that air temperature exhibits significant increasing trends in all four seasons, with the strongest warming occurring in spring (Sen’s slope ≈ 0.06 °C a⁻¹). Precipitation displays pronounced spatial heterogeneity and interannual variability, while evapotranspiration shows an overall increasing trend. Both runoff and major meteorological variables exhibit significant spatial heterogeneity across the basin. Hydro-meteorological variables also show distinct periodic variations among seasons, with temperature, precipitation, and evapotranspiration exhibiting stronger seasonal fluctuations during summer. Wavelet coherence analysis indicates that short-term runoff variability is mainly driven by temperature and precipitation. Temperature exhibits significant coherence with runoff across multiple time scales ranging from approximately 2 to 20 years, whereas precipitation shows stronger coherence at medium- to long-term scales (approximately 10–35 years), with evident seasonal differences. Random forest results indicate that evapotranspiration is the most important contributor to runoff variability at all three stations, accounting for 33.5%, 28.6%, and 26.2% of the total importance at Jiamusi, Fuyu, and Jiangqiao stations, respectively. Temperature and sunshine duration rank second, while precipitation and relative humidity contribute comparatively less. These findings indicate that evapotranspiration plays a key regulatory role in long-term water balance. In addition, runoff exhibits multi-scale variability and a transition from gradual changes to stage-like abrupt shifts. The findings provide a scientific basis for water resources management, flood mitigation, and climate change adaptation in the Songhua River Basin. Full article

The Al-Ahsa Oasis region is an important agricultural area; however, continuous spatial–temporal monitoring is essential to assess and mitigate the impacts of climate change and land use change. The current study examines environmental and land cover changes in the Al-Ahsa Oasis region from 1990 to 2025 by utilizing spectral indices derived from multiple satellites. Multi-temporal Landsat imagery (Landsat 5, 8, and 9) was processed in Google Earth Engine (GEE) to derive key biophysical indicators, including the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), land surface temperature (LST), and bare soil index (BSI). Supervised classification techniques were employed to generate LULC maps for each time step, enabling the assessment of spatiotemporal land cover dynamics. In addition, a random forest (RF) machine learning algorithm was applied to accurately quantify and map the distribution of palm trees across the study area. The results showed that NDVI values fluctuated between −0.19 and 0.75 during the period from 1990 to 2025. Higher vegetation density was observed in central and eastern areas, with maximum values of −0.44–0.75 in 2025. The higher LST was observed in 2025, with a range of 34.7 to 54.6 °C, and the lower LST was observed in 1990 with a range 28.7 to 48.34 °C. BSI values decreased from −0.40 to 0.46 between 1990 and 2025 to a more variable range of −0.27 to 0.36, indicating reduced soil exposure. The classification of LULC numerical data shows a rapid rise in urban development of 67.19% and a 25% decrease in vegetation area. Furthermore, the results of the RF model indicate that palm tree area increased by 16.23% from 1990 to 2025, with overall accuracy of 98.15, and kappa coefficient of 0.962. This research highlights that urban expansion impacts environmental indicators such as LST, while the increasing trend of NDVI could support the palm trees expansion. This study finds valuable information for policymakers and land use planners to develop sustainable urban growth strategies, protect agricultural lands, and enhance oasis ecosystem resilience. Combined remote-sensing-based monitoring into regional planning frameworks can inform decision making for balancing urban development, environmental protection, and long-term agricultural sustainability in the Al-Ahsa Oasis. Full article

Respiratory mortality in Europe is associated with interacting environmental, infrastructural, climatic, and energy-related conditions. This study investigates country–year patterns of respiratory disease mortality by integrating panel-data econometrics, clustering analysis, and machine-learning prediction. The econometric results indicate that agricultural land use and coal-based electricity generation are positively associated with respiratory mortality, while access to electricity and freshwater withdrawals show negative associations. Cooling degree days capture a heat-related environmental-health dimension, although some coefficients become weaker under robust specifications. Sanitation and renewable energy display heterogeneous and specification-sensitive patterns, suggesting that they may partly reflect broader development gradients, infrastructure transitions, and regional heterogeneity rather than direct causal mechanisms. Hierarchical clustering identifies 10 country–year environmental-health profiles, highlighting differentiated combinations of energy systems, land use, infrastructure, climatic exposure, and respiratory mortality. This approach avoids treating countries as fixed homogeneous units and allows environmental-health profiles to vary over time. The selected hierarchical solution provides a balanced and interpretable structure relative to more polarized clustering alternatives. Machine-learning models are used as a complementary predictive exercise rather than as substitutes for econometric inference. Within the adopted validation framework, K-nearest neighbors achieves the strongest predictive performance. Additional stability checks and local additive explanations improve transparency regarding model tuning and prediction behavior, while confirming that machine-learning outputs should be interpreted as predictive rather than causal evidence. Overall, the findings support integrated and region-sensitive policy approaches combining air-quality management, infrastructure resilience, energy transition, climate adaptation, and public-health planning. Full article

The issue of water resources in a semi-arid country such as Morocco has been present for many years and is becoming increasingly critical. The droughts experienced over recent decades have demonstrated the country’s extreme vulnerability to any water deficit. In this context, the Berrechid plain represents a relevant case study illustrating both the practical and theoretical challenges of groundwater governance. The aquifer is heavily exploited to satisfy agricultural, industrial, and domestic needs. This study develops a hybrid “grey-box” modeling approach for predicting groundwater depth (GWD) fluctuations under climate change (CC). Unlike conventional black-box machine learning models, our framework combines a deterministic physical engine with a stochastic machine learning corrector. The physical component simulates aquifer mass balance using the Hargreaves method for evapotranspiration, linear drainage, climate memory via exponential decay, and an anthropogenic trend parameter (xi). The machine learning component—XGBoost with quantile regression—is trained exclusively on physical model residuals and predicts the 5th, 50th, and 95th percentiles, providing explicit 90% confidence intervals. Hydrological states (dry, normal, wet) are identified via K-means clustering for context-aware correction. The model is calibrated using historical data (1972–2019) and validated using blocked time-series cross-validation. Climate projections under the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios were used to forecast GWD up to 2100. At piezometer 3933/20, the best performance was achieved, with an RMSE of 0.347 m and a KGE of 0.742 during the validation period. The proposed approach is suitable for seasonal GWD forecasting and offers practical value for water managers and decision-makers in the Berrechid region. Full article

Nutrient stoichiometry, particularly the balance of carbon (C), nitrogen (N), and phosphorus (P), plays a fundamental role in regulating freshwater ecosystem dynamics, primary production, and biogeochemical cycling. This study presents one of the first dedicated reviews to combine bibliometric mapping with ecological synthesis of C:N:P ratios in inland waters, drawing on 1004 publications indexed in the Web of Science Core Collection (2000–2025), comprising peer-reviewed articles and review articles refined by document type, language, and research area. Bibliometric mapping using VOSviewer (version 1.6.20) identified exponential growth in publications after 2010, with phosphorus dynamics and eutrophication emerging as the most-cited themes, while recent years have shown increasing attention to C:P ratios as reliable ecological indicators. Four dominant thematic clusters were identified: Nutrient Cycling and Biogeochemistry; Phytoplankton and Food Web Dynamics; Eutrophication and Water Quality; and Climate Change and Ecosystem Responses. Ecological synthesis demonstrated substantial deviations from the canonical Redfield ratio (106C:16N:1P), with pronounced stoichiometric variability across trophic states, latitudes, and ecosystem types. Case comparisons revealed high C:P ratios in Arctic and alpine lakes linked to dissolved organic carbon inputs, low N:P ratios in tropical waters that promote cyanobacterial dominance, and stable, low phosphorus concentrations in deep African lakes. These findings emphasize the significance of flexible stoichiometry in predicting ecosystem tipping points, managing harmful algal blooms (HABs), and guiding nutrient restoration strategies. By integrating bibliometric and ecological evidence, this study identifies C:P ratios as a promising candidate indicator that merits further field validation for freshwater management, while underscoring persistent research gaps in microbial stoichiometry, cross-scalar modeling, and policy uptake in the Global South. Full article