Search Results (91)

The uncoordinated water–sediment relationship, fragile eco-environment and unbalanced economic development in the Wei River Basin (WRB) pose serious challenges to its high-quality development. Most existing studies focus on static structures or single elements, making it difficult to systematically reveal the complex interrelationships among ecosystem services (ESs) supply, transmission and demand. To address this issue, this paper innovatively combines the “system perspective” with the “flow network model”. From the perspective of flood-sediment transport, eco-environmental and socio-economic (FES) subsystems, we take the WRB as its research object and systematically analyzes the supply–demand relationship of ESs, the pathways of the ESs flows and ecological compensation (EC) strategies at multiple scales. By constructing a supply–demand assessment model for six types of ESs combined with the water-related flows model, the enhanced two-step floating catchment area method and the gravity model, this paper simulates the ESs flows driven by different transmission media (water, road and atmosphere). The results showed the following: (1) a significant spatial mismatch was observed between the high-supply areas at the northern foothills of the Qinling Mountains and the high-demand areas in the Guanzhong Plains. Furthermore, the degree of this mismatch increased with decreasing scale. (2) The pathways of different ESs flows were influenced by their respective transmission media. The water-related flows passed through areas along the Wei River and the Jing River. The carbon sequestration flows were identified in the upper reaches of the Luo River and between the core urban agglomerations of the Guanzhong Plains. The crop production flows were significantly influenced by the scale of urban crop demand, radiating outward from Xi’an City. (3) At the county and watershed scales, The EC fund pools of 7.5 billion yuan and 2.6 billion yuan were formed, respectively. These EC funds covered over 90% of the areas. These findings verify the applicability of the “FES subsystems” framework for multi-scale EC and provide a theoretical basis for developing an integrated EC mechanism across the entire basin. Full article

To clarify the multifunctional supply–demand relationship of cultivated land in the Yellow River Basin of Henan Province, and to provide decision-making support for strengthening cultivated land protection and promoting sustainable agricultural and rural utilisation within this basin, this study employs the entropy value method, hierarchical demand theory, and geographically weighted regression (GWR) models. Analyses were conducted at three scales—functional zoning, municipal, and county—to reveal the spatiotemporal evolution of supply and demand for the productive, ecological, social, and landscape functions of cultivated land from 2013 to 2023. This comprehensive assessment evaluates the supply and demand levels of multifunctional cultivated land within the study area and analyses the risks associated with shortages in multifunctional supply and demand. Results indicate: A significant spatial negative correlation exists between the supply and demand levels of multifunctional agricultural land in the Yellow River Basin of Henan Province. The supply level was in the range of [0.08–0.65], exhibiting an overall slight decreasing trend and a spatial pattern of higher values in the east and lower values in the west. The demand level was in the range of [0.11–0.82], showing an overall increasing trend and a spatial pattern of higher values at both ends and lower values in the middle. Between 2013 and 2023, the severity of multifunctional supply–demand scarcity risk gradually improved, exhibiting an overall spatial distribution pattern characterised by scarcity in core and expansion zones, surplus in coordination zones. Risk severity values ranged from −0.08 to 0.02 in core zones, 0.03 to 0.11 in expansion zones, and 0.08 to 0.16 in coordination zones. To optimise the multifunctional supply–demand structure of cultivated land in Henan’s Yellow River Basin, high-risk areas require targeted management and optimisation to mitigate supply–demand risks. The balance between multifunctional supply and demand for cultivated land should be achieved through tailored approaches, such as standardising cross-regional allocation of multifunctional cultivated land resources and establishing a multi-scale, integrated compensation mechanism for protecting cultivated land functions. Full article

Systematic biodiversity and ecosystem service (ES) conservation is vital for ecological sustainability and human well-being. This study combines MaxEnt, Zonation, InVEST, and MSPA models to identify Conservation Priority Areas (CPAs) in the Wujiang River Basin (WJRB), integrating biodiversity hotspots, ESs, and landscape connectivity. Results reveal CPAs span 1.13 × 10⁴ km² (primarily downstream), but existing natural reserves (NRs) cover only 24.86% of these critical zones, leaving over 75% unprotected in this region. Current NRs occupy 0.62 × 10⁴ km², with 5.82% of the basin (mainly upstream) available for targeted expansion. Spatial analysis reveals mismatches, such as some NRs protecting low-value ecological areas, resulting in imbalanced coverage. Expanding NRs across the board is less effective than adjusting protection scope or management strategies in areas of spatial mismatch, based on identified CPAs. This can involve establishing new reserves and appropriately relaxing land-use restrictions to allow compatible activities within them. New conservation planning should prioritize large, interconnected CPA regions to enhance landscape coherence. Simultaneously, integrating ecological compensation mechanisms can align protection goals with local livelihood improvements, fostering community engagement. This approach addresses critical gaps and enhances conservation efficiency by strategically directing resources toward high-value, vulnerable ecosystems. The methodology offers a replicable framework for balancing ecological preservation and human needs in river basin management. Full article

Understanding how ecological compensation policies reshape ecosystem service (ES) interactions is critical for sustainable watershed management. Using the Miyun Reservoir Basin in northern China as a case study, we examined the dynamic changes in land use, provision of ES, and their trade-offs and synergies (TOS) from 2010 to 2023. Four ES—food production (FP), water yield (WY), nutrient retention (nitrogen and phosphorus, NR and PR), and soil retention (SR)—were quantified using the InVEST model. Spearman’s rank correlation was employed to assess TOS at 1 km, 3 km, and township-level administrative units, and geographically weighted regression (GWR) was applied to explore spatial heterogeneity of ES TOS. Results show: (1) Land use change reflected ecological restoration efforts, with cropland decreasing by 1.69% and forest expanding by 2.16%. (2) ES exhibited spatial heterogeneity; regulating services (WY, NR, PR, SR) improved substantially after 2018, while the FP centroid shifted from downstream to upstream areas. (3) Before 2018, FP showed strong trade-offs with regulating services; following intensified policy implementation, these relationships transformed into synergies. (4) Scale effects were evident: grid-scale TOS were stable, while township-level interactions weakened due to administrative aggregation. Overall, ecological compensation reduced ES trade-offs and enhanced synergies, supporting ecological protection in key water source areas while highlighting the need for performance-based policy refinement. Full article

As global climate change intensifies, hydrological processes in arid inland river basins are undergoing profound transformations, posing severe challenges to regional water security and ecological stability. This study aims to develop a coupled SWAT-LSTM model integrating glacier melt processes to simulate runoff dynamics in the Keria River basin under climate change, providing a basis for local water resource management. Based on natural monthly runoff observations from the Langgan hydrological station (1961–2015), glacier data extracted from Landsat 8 remote sensing imagery (2013–2019), and downscaled data from the CMIP6 Multi-Model Ensemble (MME), this study constructed a SWAT-LSTM coupled model to simulate future scenarios (2026–2100). Research indicates that this hybrid model significantly enhances the accuracy of hydrological simulations in high-altitude glacier-fed catchments. The Nash efficiency coefficient (NSE) during the validation period reached 0.847, representing a 15% improvement over the SWAT model. SSP5-8.5 is identified as a high-risk scenario, underscoring the urgency of emissions reduction; SSP1-2.6 represents the most desirable pathway, with its relatively stable pattern offering sustained advantages for long-term water resource management in the basin. The study further reveals a negative feedback mechanism between glacier ablation and runoff increase, validating the regulatory role of Jiyin Reservoir’s “store during floods to compensate for droughts” operation strategy in balancing basin water resources. This study explores the coupling path between the physical model and the deep learning model, and provides an effective integration scheme for the hydrological simulation of the global watershed with ice–snow meltwater as the main recharge runoff, especially for the adaptive management of water resources in inland river basins in arid areas. Full article

Forests are pivotal to hydrologic regulation, yet province-wide dynamics across complex terrain remain insufficiently quantified. We quantified Sichuan’s forest water conservation dynamics (1990–2023), coupling the InVEST water yield model with a topographic–hydraulic correction (topographic index, saturated hydraulic conductivity, land-cover-specific flow velocity). The model used precipitation and potential evapotranspiration, land-use/cover, soil texture, and rooting depth, and was calibrated to provincial water resources statistics. Outputs were stratified by elevation and slope and monetized via a replacement cost (reservoir capacity) method. Sichuan exhibited a persistent high-capacity belt along basin–mountain transitions and the southeastern ranges, contrasting with low values on the western plateau; period maxima intensified in 2020–2023. Interannual variability closely tracked precipitation anomalies against largely stable atmospheric demand; per-unit capacity declined monotonically with slope, and total capacity generally increased with elevation, with >3500 m both highest and most variable. Economic value rose overall but fluctuated and showed marked inter-city heterogeneity. We conclude that climate pacing operating on a terrain-anchored template governs Sichuan’s forest water conservation service, supporting precision, slope-aware forest management, and differentiated ecological compensation to stabilize hydrologic regulation under climate variability. Full article

Accurate assessment of ecosystem service value (ESV) is crucial for sustainable environmental management, especially in regions with high ecological sensitivity and significant socioeconomic importance. This study focuses on the Yellow River Basin and integrates the land-use transition matrix, equivalent factor method, ecosystem service trade-off and synergy analysis, and the optimized parameters geographical detector to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanisms of ESV from 2000 to 2023. The results show that (1) cropland and grassland are the main land-use types in the Yellow River Basin, and during rapid urbanization, the expansion of construction land mainly comes at the expense of cropland and grassland. (2) the total ESV in the basin has steadily increased, with grassland as the primary contributor among land types; regulating services, particularly hydrological regulation, are the core ecosystem services in terms of supply, regulation, support, and cultural functions. (3) High-ESV areas in the eastern and central parts of the basin have expanded over time, exhibiting a spatial pattern of higher values in the west and lower in the east, distributed mainly along the river, with clustering effects gradually weakening. (4) Ecosystem services demonstrated predominantly synergistic relationships, suggesting potential for integrated ecosystem management. (5) Population density, DEM, mean annual temperature, and slope are the dominant factors influencing spatial variation in ESV, with the combined effects of topography and climate significantly enhancing the explanation of ESV heterogeneity. This study deepens the understanding of the evolutionary mechanisms of ecosystem services in the Yellow River Basin and provides scientific support and decision-making references for regional ecological compensation mechanisms, optimized land resource allocation, and watershed ecosystem management. Full article

Predicting future hydrological drought characteristics can assist relevant departments in taking proactive measures to mitigate drought losses. Based on the SWAT model and the Sixth International Coupled Model Comparison Program, this study employs an improved Mann–Kendall test, cumulative anomaly method, and continuous wavelet transform to investigate future runoff and hydrological drought characteristics in the upper reaches of the Xin’an River under different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). The SSPs scenario consists of three typical paths. SSP126 represents the sustainable development path (low carbon emissions, ecological protection first), SSP245 is the intermediate balance path (equal emphasis on economic growth and environmental protection), and SSP585 is the fossil fuel-intensive path (high emissions, high development intensity). The results indicate that from 2000 to 2020, under the influence of ecological compensation policies, the upper reaches of the Xin’an River transitioned from hydrological drought to hydrological wetness in 2012. Under the three future scenarios, runoff volumes increased by 41.72%, 40.74%, and 40.72% compared to the historical period, respectively, with peak runoff occurring in May, June, and July, alleviating hydrological drought conditions. Under the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios, drought characteristics were more pronounced, with the number of drought-free months increasing by 21 and 30 months, respectively, compared to the SSP126 scenario, and the number of extremely dry months increased by 9 months and 17 months, respectively. The standard runoff index in the SSP126 scenario exhibits two oscillation cycles of 400 months and 359 months, respectively, while SSP245 and SSP585 both exhibit an oscillation cycle of 835 months. After discussion, it was concluded that ecological compensation policies can improve hydrological drought conditions. Drought characteristics become increasingly pronounced as carbon emissions intensify. This research can provide theoretical references for water allocation and drought prevention in river basins. Full article

Ecological compensation policies have become increasingly important for sustainable watershed management worldwide. Current research primarily examines environmental outcomes, resulting in a limited understanding of their economic impacts, especially concerning green development. This study evaluates the ecological compensation pilot in the Tingjiang-Hanjiang River Basin, using difference-in-differences (DID) and mediation analysis on panel data from 136 counties spanning the 2009–2022 period. The findings indicate that the ecological compensation policy reduced green economic growth by 3.94% in the compensated regions. However, it also promotes ecological protection, as demonstrated in the Wujiang and Yuanjiang River Basins, where compensation standards and methods are designed to encourage conservation. The main challenge to green economic development in the Tingjiang-Hanjiang River Basin during the first two phases of ecological compensation policies is the lack of environmentally focused technological innovation, resulting in limited growth. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that these policies are less effective in restraining activities in economically weaker upstream regions than in more developed downstream areas. Consequently, key requirements for advancing green economic development in the third round of compensation policies are proposed. Full article

Establishing scientifically sound and equitable compensation standards is crucial for effective ecological compensation. This study focuses on the quantitative assessment of ecological compensation standards in the water-source areas of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project. Based on the dual perspective of cost and benefit, we embed a three-dimensional dynamic adjustment coefficient—water volume, water quality, and payment capacity—and fully considered spillover effects. Using the AHP-Entropy Method, the allocation ratio of the water-receiving area was scientifically divided, achieving differentiated distribution and dynamic adaptation of the compensation mechanism. The compensation allocation ratio for water-receiving areas was determined, ensuring differentiated distribution and dynamic adaptability in the compensation mechanism. The results show the following: (1) In 2023, the ecological compensation amount for Yangzhou, based on the cost method and the equivalent factor method, ranges from CNY 1.21 billion to 2.53 billion. The amount of compensation after the dynamic game between both parties can avoid the waste of resources caused by over-compensation, and at the same time make up for the shortcomings of under-compensation due to the current water price. (2) Ecological compensation is measured only from the single perspective of the water-source area, without considering the differences in the receiving area. This paper uses the AHP-entropy value method to combine and assign weights, and calculates the apportionment ratio of the main water-receiving areas of Shandong Province in the east line of the South-to-North Water Diversion: for the Jiaodong line, these are Qingdao 20.97% and Jinan 14.53%, and for the North Shandong line, they are Dongying 23.98%, Dezhou 13.68%, Liaocheng 9.47%, and Binzhou 17.37%. (3) The dynamic correction coefficient and game model can effectively balance the cost of protecting the water-source area and the receiving area’s ability to pay, and combination with the empowerment method enhances the regional difference in suitability. Full article

The Cau River Basin in northeastern Vietnam is an ecologically and economically important watershed, yet it has lacked comprehensive hydrological modelling to date. Characterised by highly complex topography, diverse land use/land cover, and limited hydrometeorological data, the basin presents challenges for water resource assessment and management. This study applies the SWAT hydrological model to simulate streamflow dynamics in the Cau River Basin over a 31-year period (1990–2020) using multiple-source geospatial data, including a 30 m digital elevation model, official soil and land use maps, and daily climate records from six meteorological stations. Model calibration (1997–2008) and validation (2009–2020) were conducted using the SWAT-CUP tool, achieving strong performance with a Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.95 and 0.90, and R² of 0.95 and 0.91, respectively. Sensitivity analysis identified four key parameters most influential on streamflow (curve number, saturated hydraulic conductivity, soil evaporation compensation factor, and available water capacity), supporting a more focused and effective calibration process. Model results revealed substantial spatio-temporal variability in runoff, with annual surface runoff ranging from 19.8 mm (2011) to 56.4 mm (2013), generally lower in upstream sub-watersheds (<30 mm) and higher in downstream areas (>60 mm). The simulations also showed a clear seasonal contrast between the wet and dry periods. These findings support evidence-based strategies for flood and drought mitigation, inform agricultural and land use planning, and offer a transferable modelling framework for similarly complex watersheds. Full article

Based on a comprehensive review of the current research status of ecological compensation both domestically and internationally, combined with field survey data, this study delves into the issue of multi-stakeholder participation in the ecological compensation mechanisms of the Xin’an River Basin. This research reveals that the joint participation of multiple stakeholders is crucial to achieving the goals of ecological compensation in river basins. The government plays a significant role in macro-guidance, financial support, policy guarantees, supervision, and management. It promotes the comprehensive implementation of ecological environmental protection by formulating relevant laws and regulations, guiding the public to participate in ecological conservation, and supervising and punishing pollution behaviors. The public, serving as the main force, forms strong awareness and behavioral habits of ecological protection through active participation in environmental protection, monitoring, and feedback. As participants, enterprises contribute to industrial transformation and green development by improving resource utilization efficiency, reducing pollution emissions, promoting green industries, and participating in ecological restoration projects. Scientific research institutions, as technology enablers, have effectively enhanced governance efficiency through technological research and innovation, ecosystem value accounting to provide decision-making support, and public education. Social organizations, as facilitators, have injected vitality and innovation into watershed governance by extensively mobilizing social forces and building multi-party collaboration platforms. Communities, as supporters, have transformed ecological value into economic benefits by developing characteristic industries such as eco-agriculture and eco-tourism. Based on the above findings, further recommendations are proposed to mobilize the enthusiasm of upstream communities and encourage their participation in ecological compensation, promote the market-oriented operation of ecological compensation mechanisms, strengthen cross-regional cooperation to establish joint mechanisms, enhance supervision and evaluation, and establish a sound benefit-sharing mechanism. These recommendations provide theoretical support and practical references for ecological compensation worldwide. Full article

[Objective] To quantify key ecosystem services within the Dongting Lake region, clarify the trade-off/synergy relationships, and detect the driving factors in order to support the ecological sustainable development of the Dongting Lake region. [Methods] Using the InVEST model, taking the area around Dongting Lake as the study area, four ecosystem services including water yield, carbon storage, soil conservation, and habitat quality were quantitatively assessed. Interdependencies between ecosystem services were assessed using correlation analysis to quantify trade-offs/synergies, and the geodetector model was used to detect their driving factors. [Results] (1) From 2000 to 2020, the soil retention service and water yield service in the Dongting Lake area showed an increasing trend over time. The total water yield increased from 4.93 × 10¹⁰ m³ to 6.71 × 10¹⁰ m³, while the total soil retention increased from 4.46 × 10⁹ t to 5.77 × 10⁹ t; habitat quality and total carbon storage continued to decline, with habitat quality decreasing from 0.6906 to 0.6785 and carbon storage decreasing from 1.480 × 10⁹ t to 1.476 × 10⁹ t. (2) In the study area, significant synergistic effects existed between carbon storage and habitat quality, carbon storage and soil retention, carbon storage and water yield, habitat quality and soil retention, and soil retention and water yield. However, there was a significant trade-off relationship between habitat quality and water yield. (3) During the study period, ecosystem service trade-offs and synergy relationships in the Dongting Lake area were jointly influenced by natural factors and human activities. Ranked by the magnitude of driving factor influence, they were land use type, land use intensity, vegetation coverage, temperature, and nighttime light. [Conclusions] Synergies dominated the ecosystem services in the research region, and the influence of natural factors behind them was greater than that of human activities. These research conclusions offer a scientific foundation for the institutional construction of the ecological compensation mechanism in the Dongting Lake basin. Full article

As a pivotal ecological–economic nexus in China, the Yangtze River Basin (YRB)’s spatiotemporal evolution of habitat quality (HQ) profoundly influences regional sustainable development. This study establishes a tripartite analytical framework integrating remote sensing big data, socioeconomic datasets, and ecological modeling. By coupling the InVEST and PLUS models with Theil–Sen median trend analysis and Mann–Kendall tests, we systematically assessed HQ spatial heterogeneity across the basin during 2000–2020 and projected trends under 2030 scenarios (natural development (S1), cropland protection (S2), and ecological conservation (S3)). Key findings reveal that basin-wide HQ remained stable (0.599–0.606) but exhibited marked spatial disparities, demonstrating a “high-middle reach (0.636–0.649), low upper/lower reach” pattern. Urbanized downstream areas recorded the minimum HQ (0.478–0.515), primarily due to landscape fragmentation from peri-urban expansion and transportation infrastructure. Trend analysis showed that coefficient of variation (CV) values ranged from 0.350 to 2.72 (mean = 0.768), indicating relative stability but significant spatial variability. While 76.98% of areas showed no significant HQ changes, 15.83% experienced declines (3.56% with significant degradation, p < 0.05) concentrated in urban agglomerations (e.g., the Wuhan Metropolitan Area, the Yangtze River Delta). Only 7.18% exhibited an HQ improvement, predominantly in snowmelt-affected Qinghai–Tibet Plateau regions, with merely 0.95% showing a significant enhancement. Multi-scenario projections align with Theil–Sen trends, predicting HQ declines across all scenarios. S3 curbs decline to 0.33% (HQ = 0.597), outperforming S1 (1.07%) and S2 (1.15%). Nevertheless, downstream areas remain high-risk (S3 HQ = 0.476). This study elucidated compound drivers of urbanization, agricultural encroachment, and climate change, proposing a synergistic “zoning regulation–corridor restoration–cross-regional compensation” pathway. These findings provide scientific support for balancing ecological protection and high-quality development in the Yangtze Economic Belt, while offering systematic solutions for the sustainable governance of global mega-basins. Full article

Ecosystem service flows are critical linkages between ecological supply and human demand. As a vital component of ecosystem services, water yield service is essential for human survival and development. Therefore, it is of great significance to explore the supply–demand relationship of water yield service and its spatial flow process. This study investigates the supply–demand dynamics and spatial flow of water yield service in the transnational area of Tumen River (2000–2020), utilizing the InVEST model and the miniature delivery-path-mechanism model. The results show the following: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the supply of water yield service in the Tumen River Basin exhibited a spatial distribution pattern of “low center, high surrounding”, with significant spatial heterogeneity in the distribution of supply and demand. (2) Despite the substantial surplus of water yield service in the study area, the ecosystem service supply–demand ratio (ESDR) shows an overall declining trend. The dominant spatial mismatch type is high-supply–low-demand (HL type) zones, primarily located in mountainous and hilly areas, accounting for over 40% of the total identified pixel types. (3) Driven by economic and social development, the spatial scope of water yield service flow has gradually expanded. Supply-side flows initially increased before declining, while demand-side flows followed the opposite trend. By mapping ecosystem service flows, this study provides a reference and basis for establishing the regional ecological compensation mechanism and promoting integrated water resource management, both of which are crucial for the long-term sustainable development of the basin. Full article