Search Results (39)

The Loess Plateau frequently endures droughts, and the propagation process has grown more intricate due to the interplay of climate change and human activities. This study developed the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and the Standardized Soil Moisture Index (SSMI) on a 3-month scale and examined the spatiotemporal characteristics and driving mechanisms of drought propagation from meteorological to agricultural drought utilizing cross-wavelet analysis, grey relational analysis, and the optimal parameter-based geographical detector (OPGD) model. The results demonstrate a substantial seasonal correlation between meteorological and agricultural droughts in spring, summer, and autumn, as evidenced by cross-wavelet coherence analysis (wavelet coherence > 0.8, p < 0.05). Lag analysis utilizing grey relational degree (>0.8) indicates that drought propagation generally manifests with a temporal delay of 1–3 months, with the shortest lag observed in spring (average 1.2 months) and the longest in winter (average 3.1 months). Distinct spatial heterogeneity is seen within geomorphological divisions: the loess wide valley hills and loess beam hills divisions exhibit the highest propagation rates (0.64 and 0.59), whereas the loess tableland and soil–stone hills divisions have lower propagation (around 0.50). The OPGD results reveal that precipitation, soil moisture, and temperature are the principal contributing factors, although their effects differ among geomorphological types. Interactions among components exhibit synergistic enhancement effects. This study improves our comprehension of seasonal and geomorphological heterogeneity in drought propagation from meteorological to agricultural droughts and provides quantitative evidence to support early drought warnings across various divisions, agricultural risk assessment, and water security strategies in the Loess Plateau. Full article

Ultrawideband (UWB) radar has emerged as a compelling solution for noncontact human activity recognition. This study proposes a novel framework that leverages adaptive signal decomposition and video-based deep learning to classify human motions with high accuracy using a single UWB radar. The raw radar signals were processed by empirical wavelet transform (EWT) to isolate the dominant frequency components in a data-driven manner. These components were further analyzed using the Hilbert transform to produce time–frequency spectra that capture motion-specific signatures through subtle phase variations. Instead of treating each spectrum as an isolated image, the resulting sequence was organized into a temporally coherent video, capturing spatial and temporal motion dynamics. The video data were used to train the SlowFast network—a dual-path deep learning model optimized for video-based action recognition. The proposed system achieved an average classification accuracy exceeding 99% across five representative human actions. The experimental results confirmed that the EWT–Hilbert-based preprocessing enhanced feature distinctiveness, while the SlowFast architecture enabled efficient and accurate learning of motion patterns. The proposed framework is intuitive, computationally efficient, and scalable, demonstrating strong potential for deployment in real-world scenarios such as smart healthcare, ambient-assisted living, and privacy-sensitive surveillance environments. Full article

Background/Objectives: Emotion and cognition, two essential components of human mental processes, have traditionally been studied independently. The exploration of emotion and cognition is fundamental for gaining an understanding of human mental functioning. Despite the availability of various methods to measure and evaluate emotional states and cognitive processes, physiological measurements are considered to be one of the most reliable methods due to their objective approach. In particular, electroencephalography (EEG) provides unique insight into emotional and cognitive activity through the analysis of event-related potentials (ERPs). In this study, we discriminated pleasant/unpleasant emotional moods and low/high cognitive states using graph-theoretic features extracted from spatio-temporal components. Methods: Emotional data were collected at the Physiology Department of Istanbul Medical Faculty at Istanbul University, whereas cognitive data were obtained from the DepositOnce repository of Technische Universität Berlin. Wavelet coherence values for the N100, N200, and P300 single-trial ERP components in the delta, theta, alpha, and beta frequency bands were investigated individually. Then, graph-theoretic analyses were performed using wavelet coherence-based connectivity maps. Global and local graph metrics such as energy efficiency, strength, transitivity, characteristic path length, and clustering coefficient were used as features for classification using support vector machines (SVMs), k-nearest neighbor(K-NN), and linear discriminant analysis (LDA). Results: The results show that both pleasant/unpleasant emotional moods and low/high cognitive states can be discriminated, with average accuracies of up to 92% and 89%, respectively. Conclusions: Graph-theoretic metrics based on wavelet coherence of ERP components in the delta band with the SVM algorithm allow for the discrimination of emotional and cognitive states with high accuracy. Full article

The high-altitude region in northeastern Türkiye is known as the Erzurum–Kars Plateau. The Ardahan, Erzurum, and Kars provinces are its most important settlements, established at an altitude of approximately 1800 m on the plateau. In this region, where the continental climate prevails, the relationships between the PM₁₀ concentration levels recorded between 2010 and 2022 and meteorological variables were investigated. During the study, the average daily PM₁₀ levels for Ardahan, Erzurum, and Kars in the winter seasons were 73.3, 76.7, and 72.2 µg/m³ respectively. In the same period, the daily average temperature (and humidity) was determined as −6.9 °C (75.0%), −7.1 °C (82.9%), and −6.3 °C (75.7%), respectively, and the average wind speed was determined as 0.9 m/s, 2.2 m/s, and 1.7 m/s, respectively. For these provinces, the highest correlation coefficients between PM₁₀ and temperature (and wind speed) in winter were calculated as −0.47 (−0.36), −0.49 (−0.60), and −0.52 (−0.54), respectively, while the correlation coefficients between PM₁₀ and temperature (and humidity) in summer were calculated as 0.32 (−0.32), 0.39 (−0.35), and 0.55 (−0.48), respectively. In the analysis performed using the wavelet coherence approach, it was possible to determine the relationships between PM₁₀ and meteorological parameters not only in annual cycles, but also in seasonal and even monthly cycles. Full article

This study utilized annual precipitation data collected from 76 meteorological stations located on the Loess Plateau and its adjacent regions. It employed empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis, the Mann–Kendall trend test (M-K), and continuous wavelet transform (CWT) to investigate the spatial distribution patterns, temporal trends, and periodicity of annual precipitation from 1961 to 2016. The results showed the following: (1) The long-term averages of annual rainfall on the Loess Plateau exhibited a general decline from the southeast to the northwest, with certain areas demonstrating a trend of reduction radiating outward from the central region. This precipitation regime was fundamentally governed by the interplay between geographic coordinates and topo-graphical characteristics. Nevertheless, this spatial distribution pattern is expected to undergo changes in the future. (2) Annual precipitation in the southern and eastern parts decreased significantly, while the western part reported the greatest increase, and thus the spatial variability of precipitation will decrease in the future. (3) Annual precipitation on the Loess Plateau generally has a period of about 4 years. The wavelet coherence analysis reveals that El Niño events, occurring over a brief 4-year interval, correlate with diminished precipitation patterns across the eastern and southern sectors of the Loess Plateau, consequently attenuating the precipitation’s spatial variability throughout the entire geographical domain. Therefore, in the future, when El Niño occurs, it is necessary to prevent droughts in the eastern and southern regions of the Loess Plateau. Full article

As the global climate changes and droughts become more frequent, understanding the characteristics and propagation dynamics of drought is critical for monitoring and early warning. This study utilized the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), Vegetation Condition Index (VCI), and Groundwater Drought Index (GDI) to identify meteorological drought (MD), agricultural drought (AD), and groundwater drought (GD), respectively. Sen’s slope method and Mann–Kendall trend analysis were used to examine drought trends. The Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) and theory of run were utilized to identify the propagation times between different types of droughts. Cross-wavelet transform (XWT) and wavelet coherence (WTC) were applied to investigate the linkages among the three types of droughts. The results showed that, from 2004 to 2022, the average durations of MD, AD, and GD in Henan Province were 4.55, 8.70, and 29.03 months, respectively. MD and AD were gradually alleviated, while GD was exacerbated. The average propagation times for the different types of droughts were as follows: 6.1 months (MD-AD), 4.4 months (MD-GD), and 16.3 months (AD-GD). Drought propagation exhibited significant seasonality, being shorter in summer and autumn than in winter and spring, and there were close relationships among MD, AD, and GD. This study revealed the characteristics and propagation dynamics of different types of droughts in Henan Province, providing scientific references for alleviating regional droughts and promoting the sustainable development of agriculture and food production. Full article

Owing to rapid urbanization, the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region in China faces considerable urban heat island (UHI) effects, which can be mitigated by blue-green space construction. In this study, we used multi-source remote sensing products and the InVEST model’s urban cooling module to analyze the spatiotemporal changes in blue-green space cooling effects from 1990 to 2020. The wavelet coherence theory was used to explore these changes, as well as the environmental factors that affect cooling. The key findings indicate that the cooling effect is closely related to urbanization, as similar trends and significant temporal differences in cooling indices were observed in central urban areas, the urban fringe, and the city center. In addition, climatic factors such as temperature and precipitation substantially influenced cooling, with an average wavelet coherence of 0.88. Seasonal variations in cooling were notable, with temperature exhibiting the best coherence across all time–frequency scales (averaging 0.55). The findings highlight the critical role of blue-green spaces for mitigating UHI effects, which provides scientific insights for urban planning and environmental management. Full article

In recent years, extreme climate events have shown to be occurring more frequently. As a highly populated area in central China, the Jialing River Basin (JRB) should be more deeply explored for its patterns and associations with climatic factors. In this study, based on the daily precipitation and atmospheric temperature datasets from 29 meteorological stations in JRB and its vicinity from 1960 to 2020, 10 extreme indices (6 extreme precipitation indices and 4 extreme temperature indices) were calculated. The spatial and temporal variations of extreme precipitation and atmospheric temperature were analyzed using Mann–Kendall analysis, to explore the correlation between the atmospheric circulation patterns and extreme indices from linear and nonlinear perspectives via Pearson correlation analysis and wavelet coherence analysis (WTC), respectively. Results revealed that among the six selected extreme precipitation indices, the Continuous Dry Days (CDD) and Continuous Wetness Days (CWD) showed a decreasing trend, and the extreme precipitation tended to be shorter in calendar time, while the other four extreme precipitation indices showed an increasing trend, and the intensity of precipitation and rainfall in the JRB were frequent. As for the four extreme temperature indices, except for TN10p, which showed a significant decreasing trend, the other three indices showed a significant increasing trend, and the number of low-temperature days in JRB decreased significantly, the duration of high temperature increased, and the basin was warming continuously. Spatially, the spatial variation of extreme precipitation indices is more obvious, with decreasing stations mostly located in the western and northern regions, and increasing stations mostly located in the southern and northeastern regions, which makes the precipitation more regionalized. Linearly, most of the stations in the extreme atmospheric temperature index, except TN10p, show an increasing trend and the significance is more obvious. Except for the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), other atmospheric circulation patterns have linear correlations with the extreme indices, and the Arctic Oscillation (AO) has the strongest significance with the CDD. Nonlinearly, NINO3.4, Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and SOI are not the main circulation patterns dominating the changes of TN90p, and average daily precipitation intensity (SDII), maximum daily precipitation amount (RX1day), and maximum precipitation in 5 days (Rx5day) were most clearly associated with atmospheric circulation patterns. This also confirms that atmospheric circulation patterns and climate tend not to have a single linear relationship, but are governed by more complex response mechanisms. This study aims to help the relevant decision-making authorities to cope with the more frequent extreme climate events in JRB, and also provides a reference for predicting flood, drought and waterlogging risks. Full article

Rainfall erosivity (RE), a pivotal external force driving soil erosion, is impacted by El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Studying the spatiotemporal variations in RE and their response to ENSO is essential for regional ecological security. In this study, a daily RE model was identified as a calculation model through an evaluation of model suitability. Daily precipitation data from 1971 to 2020 from 38 meteorological stations on Hainan Island, China, were utilized to calculate the RE. The multivariate ENSO index (MEI), Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), and Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) were used as the ENSO characterization indices, and the effects of ENSO on RE were investigated via cross-wavelet analysis and binary and multivariate wavelet coherence analysis. During the whole study period, the average RE of Hainan Island was 15,671.28 MJ·mm·ha⁻¹·h⁻¹, with a fluctuating overall upward trend. There were spatial and temporal distribution differences in RE, with temporal concentrations in summer (June–August) and a spatial pattern of decreasing from east to west. During ENSO events, the RE was greater during the El Niño period than during the La Niña period. For the ENSO characterization indices, the MEI, SOI, and ONI showed significant correlations and resonance effects with RE, but there were differences in the time of occurrence, direction of action, and intensity. In addition, the MEI and MEI–ONI affected RE individually or jointly at different time scales. This study contributes to a deeper understanding of the influence of ENSO on RE and can provide important insights for the prediction of soil erosion and the development of related coping strategies. Full article

The majority of the energy required for human survival is derived either directly or indirectly from solar radiation, thus it is important to investigate the periodic fluctuations in global solar radiation over time. In this study, six cities—Harbin, Shenyang, Beijing, Shanghai, Wuhan, and Guangzhou—located in the utilizable areas of solar energy in China, were selected, and the periodicity of the daily global solar radiation of these six cities with time were investigated by means of wavelet power spectrum analysis. Furthermore, Harbin, which has the lowest monthly average of global solar radiation in the cold of winter, was selected to explore the temporal evolution relationship between global solar radiation and other meteorological factors, and air quality factors by wavelet coherence analysis. Among the meteorological factors, the correlation between global solar radiation and sunshine duration exhibits the highest level of consistency. Global solar radiation demonstrates a positive association with atmospheric temperature/wind speed/precipitation over the annual cycle. Conversely, it displays a negative correlation with atmospheric pressure during this time frame. Additionally, on shorter timescales, global solar radiation is negatively correlated with air humidity and precipitation. Among air quality factors, the relationship between global solar radiation and CO/NO₂/O₃/PM_2.5/PM₁₀/SO₂ primarily manifests in the broader annual cycle time scale. Within this context, global solar radiation shows a positive correlation with O₃, while displaying negative associations with the other five air quality indicators. These findings contribute to urban environmental planning and the effective management and utilization of solar radiation, thereby providing valuable insights to guide the future development of cross-regional comprehensive energy utilization projects under diverse climatic and geographical conditions. Additionally, they serve as a reference for subsequent research aimed at enhancing the accuracy of global solar radiation prediction models. Full article

It is widely accepted that climate affects the mosquito life history traits; however, its precise role in determining mosquito distribution and population dynamics is not fully understood. This study aimed to investigate the influence of various climatic factors on the temporal distribution of Anopheles arabiensis populations in Mamfene, South Africa between 2014 and 2019. Time series analysis, wavelet analysis, cross-correlation analysis, and regression model combined with the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model were utilized to assess the relationship between climatic factors and An. arabiensis population density. In total 3826 adult An. arabiensis collected was used for the analysis. ARIMA (0, 1, 2) (0, 0, 1)₁₂ models closely described the trends observed in An. arabiensis population density and distribution. The wavelet coherence and time-lagged correlation analysis showed positive correlations between An. arabiensis population density and temperature (r = 0.537 ), humidity (r = 0.495) and rainfall (r = 0.298) whilst wind showed negative correlations (r = −0.466). The regression model showed that temperature (p = 0.00119), rainfall (p = 0.0436), and humidity (p = 0.0441) as significant predictors for forecasting An. arabiensis abundance. The extended ARIMA model (AIC = 102.08) was a better fit for predicting An. arabiensis abundance compared to the basic model. Anopheles arabiensis still remains the predominant malaria vector in the study area and climate variables were found to have varying effects on the distribution and abundance of An. arabiensis. This necessitates other complementary vector control strategies such as the Sterile Insect Technique (SIT) which involves releasing sterile males into the environment to reduce mosquito populations. This requires timely mosquito and climate information to precisely target releases and enhance the effectiveness of the program, consequently reducing the malaria risk. Full article

The ENSO phenomenon is associated with below average rainfall and influences the climate regime of southern Africa. With the advent of climate change, drought frequencies and magnitudes have worsened in the developing world and this in turn negatively impacts the natural environment and communities’ livelihoods. This study evaluated the relationship between El Niño-induced drought and reservoir water levels over the Albasini Dam Catchment (ADC) areas in Limpopo Province, South Africa. Standardised indices (i.e., SPI and SSI) were used to define drought events over the study area. Mann–Kendall and Sequential Mann–Kendall were used for trends analysis as well as correlation and wavelet coherence to evaluate the relationship between variables of interest. There exists a relationship between El Niño-induced drought event and reservoir water levels. This was shown by the correlation between drought indices and reservoir water levels with the coefficient of determination being stronger at the 12th timescale (i.e., 0.743 and 0.59) compared to the 6th timescale (i.e., 0.07 and 0.44) for both precipitation and streamflow indices, respectively. Wavelet analysis further showed that there existed a phased relationship between the two variables. Although there are other factors that may affect reservoir water resources, these study findings show that El Niño-induced drought also negatively affect water resources. Therefore, this study recommends the development of multidimensional and multiscale management strategies to minimise drought impacts and adaptation in the region. Full article

The purpose of this study was to analyze the influence of solar activity described by the sunspot number (SSN) on certain terrestrial variables that might impact the Southeastern European climate at different spatio-temporal scales (the North Atlantic Oscillation Index, NAOI, and the Greenland–Balkan Oscillation Index, GBOI—on a large scale; the Palmer Hydrological Drought Index, PHDI—on a regional scale; the Danube discharge at the Orsova (lower basin), Q, representative of the Southeastern European climate—on a local scale). The investigations were carried out for the 20th century using the annual and seasonal averages. To find the connections between terrestrial (atmospheric and hydrological) parameters and SSN, the wavelet coherence were used both globally and in the time–frequency domain. The analyses were carried out for the time series and considered simultaneously (in the same year or season), as well as with lags from 1 to 5 years between the analyzed variables. For the annual values, the type of correlation (linear/non-linear) was also tested using elements from information theory. The results clearly revealed non-linear links between the SSN and the terrestrial variables, even for the annual average values. By applying the wavelet transform to test the solar influence on the terrestrial variables, it was shown that the connections depend on both the terrestrial variable, as well as on the considered lags. Since, in the present study, they were analyzed using wavelet coherence, but only the cases in which the coherence was significant for almost the entire analyzed time interval (1901–2000) and the terrestrial variables were in phase or antiphase with the SSN were considered. Relatively few results had a high level of significance. The analysis of seasonal averages revealed significant information, in addition to the analysis of annual averages. Thus, for the climatic indices, the GBOI and NAOI, a significant coherence (>95%) with the solar activity, associated with the 22-year (Hale) solar cycle, was found for the autumn season for lag = 0 and 1 year. The Hale solar cycle, in the case of the PHDI, was present in the annual and summer season averages, more clearly at lag = 0. For the Danube discharge at Orsova, the most significant SSN signature (~95%) was observed at periods of 33 years (Brüuckner cycle) in the autumn season for lags from 0 to 3 years. An analysis of the redundancy–synergy index was also carried out on the combination of the terrestrial variables with the solar variable in order to find the best synergistic combination for estimating the Danube discharge in the lower basin. The results differed depending on the timescale and the solar activity. For the average annual values, the most significant synergistic index was obtained for the combination of the GBOI, PHDI, and SSN, considered 3 years before Q. Full article

Climate model (CM) statistical downscaling requires quality and quantity modifications of the CM’s outputs to increase further modeling accuracy. In this respect, multi-resolution wavelet transform (WT) was employed to determine the hidden resolutions of climate signals and eliminate bias in a CM. The results revealed that the newly developed discrete wavelet transform (DWT)-based bias correction method can outperform the quantile mapping (QM) method. In this study, wavelet coherence analysis was utilized to assess the high common powers and the multi-scale correlation between the predictors and predictand as a function of time and frequency. Thereafter, to rate the most contributing predictors based on potential periodicity, the average variance was calculated, which is named the Scaled Average (SA) measure. Consequently, WT along with Artificial Neural Network (ANN) were applied for bias correction and identifying the dominant predictors for statistical downscaling. The CAN-ESM5 data of Canadian climate models and INM-CM5 data of Russian climate models over two climatic areas of Iran with semi-arid (Tabriz) and humid (Rasht) weather were applied. The projection of future precipitation revealed that Tabriz will experience a 3.4–6.1% decrease in precipitation, while Rasht’s precipitation will decrease by 1.5–2.5%. These findings underscore the importance of refining CM data and employing advanced techniques to assess the potential impacts of climate change on regional precipitation patterns. Full article

This study investigates the impact of precipitation on Middle Eastern countries like Iran using precise methods such as stable isotope techniques. Stable isotope data for precipitation in Tehran were obtained from the Global Network of Isotopes in Precipitation (GNIP) station and sampled for two periods: 1961–1987 and 2000–2004. Precipitation samples were collected, stored, and shipped to a laboratory for stable isotope analyses using the GNIP procedure. Several models, including artificial neural networks (ANNs), stepwise regression, and ensemble machine learning approaches, were applied to simulate stable isotope signatures in precipitation. Among the studied machine learning models, XGboost showed the most accurate simulation with higher R² (0.84 and 0.86) and lower RMSE (1.97 and 12.54), NSE (0.83 and 0.85), AIC (517.44 and 965.57), and BIC values (531.42 and 979.55) for ¹⁸O and ²H compared to other models, respectively. The uncertainty in the simulations of the XGboost model was assessed using the bootstrap technique, indicating that this model accurately predicted stable isotope values. Various wavelet coherence analyses were applied to study the associations between stable isotope signatures and their controlling parameters. The BWC analysis results show coherence relationships, mainly ranging from 16 to 32 months for both δ¹⁸O–temperature and δ²H–temperature pairs with the highest average wavelet coherence (AWC). Temperature is the dominant predictor influencing stable isotope signatures of precipitation, while precipitation has lower impacts. This study provides valuable insights into the relationship between stable isotopes and climatological parameters of precipitation in Tehran. Full article