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40 Results Found

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,494 Views
18 Pages

A Neural Network MCMC Sampler That Maximizes Proposal Entropy

  • Zengyi Li,
  • Yubei Chen and
  • Friedrich T. Sommer

25 February 2021

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods sample from unnormalized probability distributions and offer guarantees of exact sampling. However, in the continuous case, unfavorable geometry of the target distribution can greatly limit the efficiency of MC...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8,150 Views
11 Pages

In this study, we provide a Bayesian estimation method for the unconditional quantile regression model based on the Re-centered Influence Function (RIF). The method makes use of the dichotomous structure of the RIF and estimates a non-linear probabil...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,692 Views
21 Pages

6 September 2021

This article deals with symmetrical data that can be modelled based on Gaussian distribution. We consider a class of partially linear additive spatial autoregressive (PLASAR) models for spatial data. We develop a Bayesian free-knot splines approach t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
5,344 Views
13 Pages

Educational production functions rely mostly on longitudinal data that almost always exhibit missing data. This paper contributes to a number of avenues in the literature on the economics of education and applied statistics by reviewing the theoretic...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,542 Views
8 Pages

Pattern analysis is the process where characteristics of big data can be recognized using specific methods. Recognition of the data, especially images, can be achieved by applying spatial models, explaining the neighborhood structure of the patterns....

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,582 Views
23 Pages

29 January 2023

Many population-based surveys have binary responses from a large number of individuals in each household within small areas. One example is the Nepal Living Standards Survey (NLSS II), in which health status binary data (good versus poor) for each in...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
1,827 Views
26 Pages

16 June 2023

A new Type-II generalized progressively hybrid censoring strategy, in which the experiment is ensured to stop at a specified time, is explored when the lifetime model of the test subjects follows a two-parameter alpha-power inverted exponential (Alph...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
4,530 Views
24 Pages

Analysis and Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Markets Using Bayesian and LSTM-Based Deep Learning Models

  • Bidesh Biswas Biki,
  • Makoto Sakamoto,
  • Amane Takei,
  • Md. Jubirul Alam,
  • Md. Riajuliislam and
  • Showaibuzzaman Showaibuzzaman

The rapid rise of the prices of cryptocurrencies has intensified the need for robust forecasting models that can capture the irregular and volatile patterns. This study aims to forecast Bitcoin prices over a 15-day horizon by evaluating and comparing...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,511 Views
28 Pages

Multiscale Stochastic Volatility Model with Heavy Tails and Leverage Effects

  • Zhongxian Men,
  • Tony S. Wirjanto and
  • Adam W. Kolkiewicz

This paper studies multiscale stochastic volatility models of financial asset returns. It specifies two components in the log-volatility process and allows for leverage/asymmetric effects from both components while return innovation terms follow a he...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
1,557 Views
27 Pages

25 November 2024

This paper investigates statistical methods for estimating unknown lifetime parameters using a progressive first-failure censoring dataset. The failure mode’s lifetime distribution is modeled by the odd-generalized-exponential–inverse-Wei...

  • Proceeding Paper
  • Open Access
853 Views
10 Pages

A Comparison of MCMC Algorithms for an Inverse Squeeze Flow Problem

  • Aricia Rinkens,
  • Rodrigo L. S. Silva,
  • Clemens V. Verhoosel,
  • Nick O. Jaensson and
  • Erik Quaeghebeur

Using Bayesian inference to calibrate constitutive model parameters has recently seen a rise in interest. The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is one of the most commonly used methods to sample from the posterior. However, the choice of whic...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
1,825 Views
26 Pages

A Massively Parallel SMC Sampler for Decision Trees

  • Efthyvoulos Drousiotis,
  • Alessandro Varsi,
  • Alexander M. Phillips,
  • Simon Maskell and
  • Paul G. Spirakis

2 January 2025

Bayesian approaches to decision trees (DTs) using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers have recently demonstrated state-of-the-art accuracy performance when it comes to training DTs to solve classification problems. Despite the competitive classi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,262 Views
16 Pages

17 February 2025

We present a comprehensive comparison of different Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods, evaluating their performance on both standard test problems and cosmological parameter estimation. Our analysis includes traditional Metropolis&ndash...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
4,437 Views
21 Pages

Dynamical Sampling with Langevin Normalization Flows

  • Minghao Gu,
  • Shiliang Sun and
  • Yan Liu

10 November 2019

In Bayesian machine learning, sampling methods provide the asymptotically unbiased estimation for the inference of the complex probability distributions, where Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is one of the most popular sampling methods. However, MCMC...

  • Article
  • Open Access
49 Citations
5,183 Views
43 Pages

Cosmological Parameter Inference with Bayesian Statistics

  • Luis E. Padilla,
  • Luis O. Tellez,
  • Luis A. Escamilla and
  • Jose Alberto Vazquez

Bayesian statistics and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have found their place in the field of Cosmology. They have become important mathematical and numerical tools, especially in parameter estimation and model comparison. In this paper,...

  • Article
  • Open Access
912 Views
12 Pages

27 May 2025

Tropical Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is an analogue of the classical PCA in the setting of tropical geometry, and applied it to visualize a set of gene trees over a space of phylogenetic trees, which is a union of lower-dimensional polyhedral...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,777 Views
16 Pages

5 February 2022

Bayesian estimation of multidimensional item response theory (IRT) models in large data sets may come with impractical computational burdens when general-purpose Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers are employed. Variational Bayes (VB)—a me...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
8,568 Views
33 Pages

15 January 2020

In this paper, we propose a novel framework for estimating systemic risk measures and risk allocations based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. We consider a class of allocations whose jth component can be written as some risk measure of the...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
1,880 Views
28 Pages

15 March 2023

A new weighted Nadarajah–Haghighi (WNH) distribution, as an alternative competitor model to gamma, standard half-logistic, generalized-exponential, Weibull, and other distributions, is considered. This paper explores both maximum likelihood and...

  • Technical Note
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,069 Views
12 Pages

Full-Waveform Inversion of Time-Lapse Crosshole GPR Data Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method

  • Shengchao Wang,
  • Liguo Han,
  • Xiangbo Gong,
  • Shaoyue Zhang,
  • Xingguo Huang and
  • Pan Zhang

11 November 2021

Crosshole ground-penetrating radar (GPR) is an important tool for a wide range of geoscientific and engineering investigations, and the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is a heuristic global optimization method that can be used to solve the inv...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,026 Views
21 Pages

Variational Hybrid Monte Carlo for Efficient Multi-Modal Data Sampling

  • Shiliang Sun,
  • Jing Zhao,
  • Minghao Gu and
  • Shanhu Wang

24 March 2023

The Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling algorithm exploits Hamiltonian dynamics to construct efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), which has become increasingly popular in machine learning and statistics. Since HMC uses the gradient informati...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
4,703 Views
28 Pages

This paper proposes enhanced studies on a model consisting of a finite mixture framework of generalized linear models (GLMs) with gamma-distributed responses estimated using the Bayesian approach coupled with the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) metho...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,691 Views
14 Pages

17 November 2022

It is quite challenging for through-the-wall radar imaging (TWRI) to achieve high-resolution ghost-free imaging with limited measurements in an indoor multipath scenario. In this paper, a novel high-resolution TWRI algorithm with the exploitation of...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,533 Views
19 Pages

15 February 2023

In this paper, a Bayesian variable selection method for spatial autoregressive (SAR) quantile models is proposed on the basis of spike and slab prior for regression parameters. The SAR quantile models, which are more generalized than SAR models and q...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,209 Views
27 Pages

Robust Inference of Dynamic Covariance Using Wishart Processes and Sequential Monte Carlo

  • Hester Huijsdens,
  • David Leeftink,
  • Linda Geerligs and
  • Max Hinne

16 August 2024

Several disciplines, such as econometrics, neuroscience, and computational psychology, study the dynamic interactions between variables over time. A Bayesian nonparametric model known as the Wishart process has been shown to be effective in this situ...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
3,843 Views
20 Pages

Locally Scaled and Stochastic Volatility Metropolis– Hastings Algorithms

  • Wilson Tsakane Mongwe,
  • Rendani Mbuvha and
  • Tshilidzi Marwala

30 November 2021

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques are usually used to infer model parameters when closed-form inference is not feasible, with one of the simplest MCMC methods being the random walk Metropolis–Hastings (MH) algorithm. The MH algorithm s...

  • Article
  • Open Access
613 Views
18 Pages

Bayesian Inertia Estimation via Parallel MCMC Hammer in Power Systems

  • Weidong Zhong,
  • Chun Li,
  • Minghua Chu,
  • Yuanhong Che,
  • Shuyang Zhou,
  • Zhi Wu and
  • Kai Liu

22 July 2025

The stability of modern power systems has become critically dependent on precise inertia estimation of synchronous generators, particularly as renewable energy integration fundamentally transforms grid dynamics. Increasing penetration of converter-in...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
1,694 Views
23 Pages

6 November 2024

The aim of this research is to estimate the parameters of the modified Frechet-exponential (MFE) distribution using different methods when applied to progressive type-II censored samples. These methods include using the maximum likelihood technique a...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
1,311 Views
17 Pages

15 September 2024

This paper presents a Bayesian inference framework for updating the structural rigidity ratio of aging hollow slab RC bridges using deflection measurements. The framework models the structural rigidity ratio as a stochastic field along the hollow RC...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
5,226 Views
24 Pages

20 February 2019

The local size of computational grids used in partial differential equation (PDE)-based probabilistic inverse problems can have a tremendous impact on the numerical results. As a consequence, numerical model identification procedures used in structur...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
5,259 Views
35 Pages

Fisher’s z Distribution-Based Mixture Autoregressive Model

  • Arifatus Solikhah,
  • Heri Kuswanto,
  • Nur Iriawan and
  • Kartika Fithriasari

We generalize the Gaussian Mixture Autoregressive (GMAR) model to the Fisher’s z Mixture Autoregressive (ZMAR) model for modeling nonlinear time series. The model consists of a mixture of K-component Fisher’s z autoregressive models with the mixing p...

  • Article
  • Open Access
23 Citations
4,463 Views
15 Pages

A Bayesian Model to Forecast the Time Series Kinetic Energy Data for a Power System

  • Ashish Shrestha,
  • Bishal Ghimire and
  • Francisco Gonzalez-Longatt

4 June 2021

Withthe massive penetration of electronic power converter (EPC)-based technologies, numerous issues are being noticed in the modern power system that may directly affect system dynamics and operational security. The estimation of system performance p...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,272 Views
57 Pages

25 September 2025

A fundamental limitation of maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods under model misspecification is that the asymptotic covariance matrix of the pseudo-true parameter vector θ* is not the inverse of the Fisher information, but rather the sandwi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,310 Views
27 Pages

Bayesian Activity Estimation and Uncertainty Quantification of Spent Nuclear Fuel Using Passive Gamma Emission Tomography

  • Ahmed Karam Eldaly,
  • Ming Fang,
  • Angela Di Fulvio,
  • Stephen McLaughlin,
  • Mike E. Davies,
  • Yoann Altmann and
  • Yves Wiaux

14 October 2021

In this paper, we address the problem of activity estimation in passive gamma emission tomography (PGET) of spent nuclear fuel. Two different noise models are considered and compared, namely, the isotropic Gaussian and the Poisson noise models. The p...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,908 Views
8 Pages

8 June 2020

(1) Background: Ranking traits are used commonly for breeding purposes in several equine populations; however, implementation is complex, because the position of a horse in a competition event is discontinuous and is influenced by the performance of...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
4,330 Views
25 Pages

4 February 2020

Pylons play an important role in the safe operation of power transmission grids. Directly reconstructing pylons from UAV images is still a great challenge due to problems of weak texture, hollow-carved structure, and self-occlusion. This paper presen...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,941 Views
17 Pages

The emergence of different virus variants, the rapidly changing epidemic, and demands for economic recovery all require continual adjustment and optimization of COVID-19 intervention policies. For the purpose, it is both important and necessary to ev...

  • Article
  • Open Access
569 Views
27 Pages

Uncertainty-Aware Multimodal Fusion and Bayesian Decision-Making for DSS

  • Vesna Antoska Knights,
  • Marija Prchkovska,
  • Luka Krašnjak and
  • Jasenka Gajdoš Kljusurić

Uncertainty-aware decision-making increasingly relies on multimodal sensing pipelines that must fuse correlated measurements, propagate uncertainty, and trigger reliable control actions. This study develops a unified mathematical framework for multim...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
19 Citations
5,436 Views
35 Pages

An Auxiliary Variable Method for Markov Chain Monte Carlo Algorithms in High Dimension

  • Yosra Marnissi,
  • Emilie Chouzenoux,
  • Amel Benazza-Benyahia and
  • Jean-Christophe Pesquet

7 February 2018

In this paper, we are interested in Bayesian inverse problems where either the data fidelity term or the prior distribution is Gaussian or driven from a hierarchical Gaussian model. Generally, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms allow us to ge...