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Keywords = Fractional Vegetation Cover (FVC)

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20 pages, 8429 KiB  
Article
Altitude and Temperature Drive Spatial and Temporal Changes in Vegetation Cover on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau
by Yu Feng, Hongjin Zhu, Xiaojuan Zhang, Feilong Qin, Peng Ye, Pengtao Niu, Xueman Wang and Songlin Shi
Earth 2025, 6(3), 92; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6030092 (registering DOI) - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
The Tibetan Plateau (TP) is experiencing higher warming rates than elsewhere, which may affect regional vegetation growth. Particularly on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau (ETP), where the topography is diverse and rich in biodiversity, it is necessary to clarify the drivers of climate and [...] Read more.
The Tibetan Plateau (TP) is experiencing higher warming rates than elsewhere, which may affect regional vegetation growth. Particularly on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau (ETP), where the topography is diverse and rich in biodiversity, it is necessary to clarify the drivers of climate and topography on vegetation cover. In this research, we selected the Shaluli Mountains (SLLM) in the ETP as the study area, monitored the spatial and temporal dynamics of the regional vegetation cover using remote sensing methods, and quantified the drivers of vegetation change using Geodetector (GD). The results showed a decreasing trend in annual precipitation (PRE) (−2.4054 mm/year) and the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) (−0.1813/year) in the SLLM. Annual maximum temperature (TMX) on the spatial and temporal scales showed an overall increasing trend, and the regional climate tended to become warmer and drier. Since 2000, fractional vegetation cover (FVC) has shown a fluctuating upward trend, with an average value of 0.6710, and FVC has spatially shown a pattern of “low in the middle and high in the surroundings”. The areas with non-significant increases (p > 0.05) and significant increases (p < 0.05) in FVC accounted for 46.03% and 5.76% of the SLLM. Altitude (q = 0.3517) and TMX (q = 0.3158) were the main drivers of FVC changes. As altitude and TMX increased, FVC showed a trend of increasing and then decreasing. The results of this study help us to clarify the influence of climate and topography on the vegetation ecosystem of the ETP and provide a scientific basis for regional biodiversity conservation and sustainable development. Full article
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27 pages, 19737 KiB  
Article
Effect of Landscape Architectural Characteristics on LST in Different Zones of Zhengzhou City, China
by Jiayue Xu, Le Xuan, Cong Li, Tianji Wu, Yajing Wang, Yutong Wang, Xuhui Wang and Yong Wang
Land 2025, 14(8), 1581; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081581 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 334
Abstract
The process of urbanization has intensified the urban heat environment, with the degradation of thermal conditions closely linked to the morphological characteristics of different functional zones. This study delineated urban functional areas using a multivariate dataset and investigated the seasonal and threshold effects [...] Read more.
The process of urbanization has intensified the urban heat environment, with the degradation of thermal conditions closely linked to the morphological characteristics of different functional zones. This study delineated urban functional areas using a multivariate dataset and investigated the seasonal and threshold effects of landscape and architectural features on land surface temperature (LST) through boosted regression tree (BRT) modeling and Spearman correlation analysis. The key findings are as follows: (1) LST exhibits significant seasonal variation, with the strongest urban heat island effect occurring in summer, particularly within industry, business, and public service zones; residence zones experience the greatest temperature fluctuations, with a seasonal difference of 24.71 °C between spring and summer and a peak temperature of 50.18 °C in summer. (2) Fractional vegetation cover (FVC) consistently demonstrates the most pronounced cooling effect across all zones and seasons. Landscape indicators generally dominate the regulation of LST, with their relative contribution exceeding 45% in green land zones. (3) Population density (PD) exerts a significant, seasonally dependent dual effect on LST, where strategic population distribution can effectively mitigate extreme heat events. (4) Mean building height (MBH) plays a vital role in temperature regulation, showing a marked cooling influence particularly in residence and business zones. Both the perimeter-to-area ratio (LSI) and frontal area index (FAI) exhibit distinct seasonal variations in their impacts on LST. (5) This study establishes specific indicator thresholds to optimize thermal comfort across five functional zones; for instance, FVC should exceed 13% in spring and 31.6% in summer in residence zones to enhance comfort, while maintaining MBH above 24 m further aids temperature regulation. These findings offer a scientific foundation for mitigating urban heat waves and advancing sustainable urban development. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Climate Adaptation Planning in Urban Areas)
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22 pages, 8105 KiB  
Article
Extraction of Sparse Vegetation Cover in Deserts Based on UAV Remote Sensing
by Jie Han, Jinlei Zhu, Xiaoming Cao, Lei Xi, Zhao Qi, Yongxin Li, Xingyu Wang and Jiaxiu Zou
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2665; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152665 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 221
Abstract
The unique characteristics of desert vegetation, such as different leaf morphology, discrete canopy structures, sparse and uneven distribution, etc., pose significant challenges for remote sensing-based estimation of fractional vegetation cover (FVC). The Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) system can accurately distinguish vegetation patches, extract [...] Read more.
The unique characteristics of desert vegetation, such as different leaf morphology, discrete canopy structures, sparse and uneven distribution, etc., pose significant challenges for remote sensing-based estimation of fractional vegetation cover (FVC). The Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) system can accurately distinguish vegetation patches, extract weak vegetation signals, and navigate through complex terrain, making it suitable for applications in small-scale FVC extraction. In this study, we selected the floodplain fan with Caragana korshinskii Kom as the constructive species in Hatengtaohai National Nature Reserve, Bayannur, Inner Mongolia, China, as our study area. We investigated the remote sensing extraction method of desert sparse vegetation cover by placing samples across three gradients: the top, middle, and edge of the fan. We then acquired UAV multispectral images; evaluated the applicability of various vegetation indices (VIs) using methods such as supervised classification, linear regression models, and machine learning; and explored the feasibility and stability of multiple machine learning models in this region. Our results indicate the following: (1) We discovered that the multispectral vegetation index is superior to the visible vegetation index and more suitable for FVC extraction in vegetation-sparse desert regions. (2) By comparing five machine learning regression models, it was found that the XGBoost and KNN models exhibited relatively lower estimation performance in the study area. The spatial distribution of plots appeared to influence the stability of the SVM model when estimating fractional vegetation cover (FVC). In contrast, the RF and LASSO models demonstrated robust stability across both training and testing datasets. Notably, the RF model achieved the best inversion performance (R2 = 0.876, RMSE = 0.020, MAE = 0.016), indicating that RF is one of the most suitable models for retrieving FVC in naturally sparse desert vegetation. This study provides a valuable contribution to the limited existing research on remote sensing-based estimation of FVC and characterization of spatial heterogeneity in small-scale desert sparse vegetation ecosystems dominated by a single species. Full article
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23 pages, 6132 KiB  
Article
Anthropogenic Activities Dominate Vegetation Improvement in Arid Areas of China
by Yu Guo, Xinwei Wang, Hongying Cao, Qin Peng, Yunshe Dong, Yunchun Qi, Jian Liu, Ning Lv, Feihu Yin, Xiujin Yuan and Mei Zeng
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2634; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152634 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 165
Abstract
Arid regions, while providing essential ecosystem services, are among the most ecologically vulnerable worldwide. Understanding and monitoring their long-term vegetation dynamics is essential for accurate environmental assessment and climate adaptation strategies. This study examined the spatiotemporal variations and driving forces of the vegetation [...] Read more.
Arid regions, while providing essential ecosystem services, are among the most ecologically vulnerable worldwide. Understanding and monitoring their long-term vegetation dynamics is essential for accurate environmental assessment and climate adaptation strategies. This study examined the spatiotemporal variations and driving forces of the vegetation dynamics in arid Northwestern China during 2000 to 2020, using the annual peak fractional vegetation cover (FVC) as the primary indicator. The Sen’s slope estimator with the Mann–Kendall test and the coefficient of variation were employed to assess the spatiotemporal variations in FVC, while the Pearson correlation, geographic detector model and random forest model were applied to identify the dominant driving factors for FVC. The results indicated that (1) overall vegetation cover was low (averaged peak FVC = 0.191), showing a spatial pattern of higher values in the northwest and lower values in the southeast; high FVC values were primarily observed in mountainous areas and river corridors; (2) the annual peak FVC increased significantly at a rate of 0.0508 yr−1, with 33.72% of the region showing significant improvements and 5.49% degradation; (3) the spatial pattern of FVC was shaped by the distribution of land use types (59.46%), while the temporal dynamics of FVC were driven by land use changes (16.37%) and the land use intensity (37.56%); (4) both the spatial pattern and the temporal dynamics were limited by the environmental conditions. These findings highlight the critical role of anthropogenic activities in shaping the spatiotemporal variations in FVC, particularly emphasizing the distinct contributions of changes in land use types and land use intensity. This study could provide a scientific basis for sustainable land management and restoration strategies in arid regions facing global changes. Full article
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23 pages, 30904 KiB  
Article
How Do Invasive Species Influence Biotic and Abiotic Factors Drive Vegetation Success in Salt Marsh Ecosystems?
by Yong Zhou, Chunqi Qiu, Hongyu Liu, Yufeng Li, Cheng Wang, Gang Wang, Mengyuan Su and Chen He
Land 2025, 14(8), 1523; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081523 - 24 Jul 2025
Viewed by 248
Abstract
Vegetation succession is a critical indicator of ecosystem structure and function and is often disrupted by the expansion of invasive species. However, ecosystem-scale studies elucidating invasion-driven succession mechanisms remain limited. This research focused on the Yancheng coastal salt marsh and analyzed the distribution [...] Read more.
Vegetation succession is a critical indicator of ecosystem structure and function and is often disrupted by the expansion of invasive species. However, ecosystem-scale studies elucidating invasion-driven succession mechanisms remain limited. This research focused on the Yancheng coastal salt marsh and analyzed the distribution variation of invasive species (Spartina alterniflora) and native species (Suaeda salsa and Phragmites australis) from 1987 to 2022 via the Google Earth Engine and random forest method. Logistic/Gaussian models were used to quantify land–sea distribution changes and vegetation succession trajectories. By integrating data on soil salinity, invasion duration, and fractional vegetation cover, generalized additive models (GAMs) were applied to identify the main factors influencing vegetation succession and to explore how Spartina alterniflora invasion affects the succession of salt marsh vegetation. The results indicated that the areas of Spartina alterniflora and Phragmites australis significantly increased by 3787.49 ha and 3452.60 ha in 35 years, respectively, contrasting with Suaeda salsa’s 82.46% decline. The FVC in the area has significantly increased by 42.10%, especially in the coexisted areas of different vegetation communities, indicating intensified interspecific competition. The overall trend of soil salinity was decreasing, with a decrease in soil salinity in native species areas from 0.72% to 0.37%. From the results of GAMs, soil salinity, tidal action, and invasion duration were significant factors influencing the distribution of native species, but salinity was not a significant factor affecting the Spartina alterniflora distribution. The findings revealed that the expansion of Spartina alterniflora changed the soil salinity and interspecific interactions, thereby altering the original plant community structure and establishing a new vegetation succession. This study enhances the understanding of the impacts of invasive species on ecosystems and offers theoretical support for salt marsh restoration. Full article
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20 pages, 2305 KiB  
Article
Research on Accurate Inversion Techniques for Forest Cover Using Spaceborne LiDAR and Multi-Spectral Data
by Yang Yi, Mingchang Shi, Jin Yang, Jinqi Zhu, Jie Li, Lingyan Zhou, Luqi Xing and Hanyue Zhang
Forests 2025, 16(8), 1215; https://doi.org/10.3390/f16081215 - 24 Jul 2025
Viewed by 305
Abstract
Fractional Vegetation Cover (FVC) is an important parameter to reflect vegetation growth and describe plant canopy structure. This study integrates both active and passive remote sensing, capitalizing on the complementary strengths of optical and radar data, and applies various machine learning algorithms to [...] Read more.
Fractional Vegetation Cover (FVC) is an important parameter to reflect vegetation growth and describe plant canopy structure. This study integrates both active and passive remote sensing, capitalizing on the complementary strengths of optical and radar data, and applies various machine learning algorithms to retrieve FVC. The results demonstrate that, for FVC retrieval, the optimal combination of optical remote sensing bands includes B2 (490 nm), B5 (705 nm), B8 (833 nm), B8A (865 nm), and B12 (2190 nm) from Sentinel-2, achieving an Optimal Index Factor (OIF) of 522.50. The LiDAR data of ICESat-2 imagery is more suitable for extracting FVC than that of GEDI imagery, especially at a height of 1.5 m, and the correlation coefficient with the measured FVC is 0.763. The optimal feature variable combinations for FVC retrieval vary among different vegetation types, including synthetic aperture radar, optical remote sensing, and terrain data. Among the three models tested—multiple linear regression, random forest, and support vector machine—the random forest model outperformed the others, with fitting correlation coefficients all exceeding 0.974 and root mean square errors below 0.084. Adding LiDAR data on the basis of optical remote sensing combined with machine learning can effectively improve the accuracy of remote sensing retrieval of vegetation coverage. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Forest Inventory, Modeling and Remote Sensing)
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16 pages, 5468 KiB  
Article
Alpine Meadow Fractional Vegetation Cover Estimation Using UAV-Aided Sentinel-2 Imagery
by Kai Du, Yi Shao, Naixin Yao, Hongyan Yu, Shaozhong Ma, Xufeng Mao, Litao Wang and Jianjun Wang
Sensors 2025, 25(14), 4506; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25144506 - 20 Jul 2025
Viewed by 329
Abstract
Fractional Vegetation Cover (FVC) is a crucial indicator describing vegetation conditions and provides essential data for ecosystem health assessments. However, due to the low and sparse vegetation in alpine meadows, it is challenging to obtain pure vegetation pixels from Sentinel-2 imagery, resulting in [...] Read more.
Fractional Vegetation Cover (FVC) is a crucial indicator describing vegetation conditions and provides essential data for ecosystem health assessments. However, due to the low and sparse vegetation in alpine meadows, it is challenging to obtain pure vegetation pixels from Sentinel-2 imagery, resulting in errors in the FVC estimation using traditional pixel dichotomy models. This study integrated Sentinel-2 imagery with unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) data and utilized the pixel dichotomy model together with four machine learning algorithms, namely Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), and Deep Neural Network (DNN), to estimate FVC in an alpine meadow region. First, FVC was preliminarily estimated using the pixel dichotomy model combined with nine vegetation indices applied to Sentinel-2 imagery. The performance of these estimates was evaluated against reference FVC values derived from centimeter-level UAV data. Subsequently, four machine learning models were employed for an accurate FVC inversion, using the estimated FVC values and UAV-derived reference FVC as inputs, following feature importance ranking and model parameter optimization. The results showed that: (1) Machine learning algorithms based on Sentinel-2 and UAV imagery effectively improved the accuracy of FVC estimation in alpine meadows. The DNN-based FVC estimation performed best, with a coefficient of determination of 0.82 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.09. (2) In vegetation coverage estimation based on the pixel dichotomy model, different vegetation indices demonstrated varying performances across areas with different FVC levels. The GNDVI-based FVC achieved a higher accuracy (RMSE = 0.08) in high-vegetation coverage areas (FVC > 0.7), while the NIRv-based FVC and the SR-based FVC performed better (RMSE = 0.10) in low-vegetation coverage areas (FVC < 0.4). The method provided in this study can significantly enhance FVC estimation accuracy with limited fieldwork, contributing to alpine meadow monitoring on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Remote Sensors)
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29 pages, 6561 KiB  
Article
Correction of ASCAT, ESA–CCI, and SMAP Soil Moisture Products Using the Multi-Source Long Short-Term Memory (MLSTM)
by Qiuxia Xie, Yonghui Chen, Qiting Chen, Chunmei Wang and Yelin Huang
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(14), 2456; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17142456 - 16 Jul 2025
Viewed by 424
Abstract
The Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT), Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP), and European Space Agency-Climate Change Initiative (ESA–CCI) soil moisture (SM) products are widely used in agricultural drought monitoring, water resource management, and climate analysis applications. However, the performance of these SM products varies significantly [...] Read more.
The Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT), Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP), and European Space Agency-Climate Change Initiative (ESA–CCI) soil moisture (SM) products are widely used in agricultural drought monitoring, water resource management, and climate analysis applications. However, the performance of these SM products varies significantly across regions and environmental conditions, due to in sensor characteristics, retrieval algorithms, and the lack of localized calibration. This study proposes a multi-source long short-term memory (MLSTM) for improving ASCAT, ESA–CCI, and SMAP SM products by combining in-situ SM measurements and four key auxiliary variables: precipitation (PRE), land surface temperature (LST), fractional vegetation cover (FVC), and evapotranspiration (ET). First, the in-situ measured data from four in-situ observation networks were corrected using the LSTM method to match the grid sizes of ASCAT (0.1°), ESA–CCI (0.25°), and SMAP (0.1°) SM products. The RPE, LST, FVC, and ET were used as inputs to the LSTM to obtain loss data against in-situ SM measurements. Second, the ASCAT, ESA–CCI, and SMAP SM datasets were used as inputs to the LSTM to generate loss data, which were subsequently corrected using LSTM-derived loss data based on in-situ SM measurements. When the mean squared error (MSE) loss values were minimized, the improvement for ASCAT, ESA–CCI, and SMAP products was considered the best. Finally, the improved ASCAT, ESA–CCI, and SMAP were produced and evaluated by the correlation coefficient (R), root mean square error (RMSE), and standard deviation (SD). The results showed that the RMSE values of the improved ASCAT, ESA–CCI, and SMAP products against the corrected in-situ SM data in the OZNET network were lower, i.e., 0.014 cm3/cm3, 0.019 cm3/cm3, and 0.034 cm3/cm3, respectively. Compared with the ESA–CCI and SMAP products, the ASCAT product was greatly improved, e.g., in the SNOTEL network, the Root Mean-Square Deviation (RMSD) values of 0.1049 cm3/cm3 (ASCAT) and 0.0662 cm3/cm3 (improved ASCAT). Overall, the MLSTM-based algorithm has the potential to improve the global satellite SM product. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing for Terrestrial Hydrologic Variables)
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26 pages, 7724 KiB  
Article
Spatial Evolution and Driving Mechanisms of Vegetation Cover in China’s Greater Khingan Mountains Based on Explainable Geospatial Machine Learning
by Zihao Wang, Bing Wang, Qiuliang Zhang and Changwei Lü
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(14), 2375; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17142375 - 10 Jul 2025
Viewed by 365
Abstract
As a crucial ecological barrier in China, the Greater Khingan Mountains play a vital role in global ecological security. Investigating the spatiotemporal variations in fractional vegetation cover (FVC) and the driving mechanisms behind its spatial differentiation is essential. This study introduced a KNDVI-XGeoML [...] Read more.
As a crucial ecological barrier in China, the Greater Khingan Mountains play a vital role in global ecological security. Investigating the spatiotemporal variations in fractional vegetation cover (FVC) and the driving mechanisms behind its spatial differentiation is essential. This study introduced a KNDVI-XGeoML framework integrating the Kernel NDVI and explainable geospatial machine learning to analyze the FVC dynamics and the mechanisms driving their spatial differentiation in China’s Greater Khingan Mountains, based on which targeted ecological management strategies were proposed. The key findings reveal that (1) from 2001 to 2022, FVC showed an increasing trend, confirming the effectiveness of ecological restoration. (2) The XGeoML model successfully revealed nonlinear relationships and threshold effects between driving factors and FVC. In addition, both single-factor importance and inter-factor interaction analyses consistently showed that landform factors dominated the spatial distribution of FVC. (3) Regional heterogeneity emerged—human activities drove the northern alpine zones, while landform factors governed other areas. (4) The natural-environment-dominated zones and human-activity-dominated zones were established, and management strategies were proposed: restricting tourism in low-altitude zones, optimizing the cold-resistant vegetation at high elevations, and improving the southern soil conditions to support ecological barrier construction. The innovation lies in merging nonlinear vegetation indices with interpretable machine learning, overcoming the traditional limitations in terms of saturation effects and analyses of spatial heterogeneity. This approach enhances our understanding of high-latitude vegetation dynamics, offering a methodological advancement for precision ecological management. The spatial zoning strategy based on dominant drivers provides actionable insights for maintaining this critical ecological barrier, particularly under climate change pressures. The framework demonstrates strong potential for extrapolation to other ecologically sensitive regions requiring data-driven conservation planning. Full article
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19 pages, 20060 KiB  
Article
Relationship Between Urban Forest Structure and Seasonal Variation in Vegetation Cover in Jinhua City, China
by Hao Yang, Shaowei Chu, Hao Zeng and Youbing Zhao
Forests 2025, 16(7), 1129; https://doi.org/10.3390/f16071129 - 9 Jul 2025
Viewed by 312
Abstract
Urban forests play a crucial role in enhancing vegetation cover and bolstering the ecological functions of cities by expanding green space, improving ecological connectivity, and reducing landscape fragmentation. This study examines these dynamics in Jinhua City, China, utilizing Landsat 8 satellite imagery for [...] Read more.
Urban forests play a crucial role in enhancing vegetation cover and bolstering the ecological functions of cities by expanding green space, improving ecological connectivity, and reducing landscape fragmentation. This study examines these dynamics in Jinhua City, China, utilizing Landsat 8 satellite imagery for all four seasons of 2023, accessed through the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. Fractional vegetation cover (FVC) was calculated using the pixel binary model, followed by the classification of FVC levels. To understand the influence of landscape structure, nine representative landscape metrics were selected to construct a landscape index system. Pearson correlation analysis was employed to explore the relationships between these indices and seasonal FVC variations. Furthermore, the contribution of each index to seasonal FVC was quantified using a random forest (RF) regression model. The results indicate that (1) Jinhua exhibits the highest average FVC during the summer, reaching 0.67, while the lowest value is observed in winter, at 0.49. The proportion of areas with very high coverage peaks in summer, accounting for 50.6% of the total area; (2) all landscape metrics exhibited significant correlations with seasonal FVC. Among them, the class area (CA), percentage of landscape (PLAND), largest patch index (LPI), and patch cohesion index (COHESION) showed strong positive correlations with FVC, whereas the total edge length (TE), landscape shape index (LSI), patch density (PD), edge density (ED), and area-weighted mean shape index (AWMSI) were negatively correlated with FVC; (3) RF regression analysis revealed that CA and PLAND contributed most substantially to FVC, followed by COHESION and LPI, while PD, AWMSI, LSI, TE, and ED demonstrated relatively lower contributions. These findings provide valuable insights for optimizing urban forest landscape design and enhancing urban vegetation cover, underscoring that increasing large, interconnected forest patches represents an effective strategy for improving FVC in urban environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Urban Forestry)
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27 pages, 18307 KiB  
Article
Analysis of Changes in Supply and Demand of Ecosystem Services in the Sanjiangyuan Region and the Main Driving Factors from 2000 to 2020
by Wenming Gao, Qian Song, Haoxiang Zhang, Shiru Wang and Jiarui Du
Land 2025, 14(7), 1427; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14071427 - 7 Jul 2025
Viewed by 318
Abstract
Research on the supply–demand relationships of ecosystem services (ESs) in alpine pastoral regions remains relatively scarce, yet it is crucial for regional ecological management and sustainable development. This study focuses on the Sanjiangyuan Region, a typical alpine pastoral area and significant ecological barrier, [...] Read more.
Research on the supply–demand relationships of ecosystem services (ESs) in alpine pastoral regions remains relatively scarce, yet it is crucial for regional ecological management and sustainable development. This study focuses on the Sanjiangyuan Region, a typical alpine pastoral area and significant ecological barrier, to quantitatively assess the supply–demand dynamics of key ESs and their spatial heterogeneity from 2000 to 2020. It further aims to elucidate the underlying driving mechanisms, thereby providing a scientific basis for optimizing regional ecological management. Four key ES indicators were selected: water yield (WY), grass yield (GY), soil conservation (SC), and habitat quality (HQ). ES supply and demand were quantified using an integrated approach incorporating the InVEST model, the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE), and spatial analysis techniques. Building on this, the spatial patterns and temporal evolution characteristics of ES supply–demand relationships were analyzed. Subsequently, the Geographic Detector Model (GDM) and Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) model were employed to identify key drivers influencing changes in the comprehensive ES supply–demand ratio. The results revealed the following: (1) Spatial Patterns: Overall ES supply capacity exhibited a spatial differentiation characterized by “higher values in the southeast and lower values in the northwest.” Areas of high ES demand were primarily concentrated in the densely populated eastern region. WY, SC, and HQ generally exhibited a surplus state, whereas GY showed supply falling short of demand in the densely populated eastern areas. (2) Temporal Dynamics: Between 2000 and 2020, the supply–demand ratios of WY and SC displayed a fluctuating downward trend. The HQ ratio remained relatively stable, while the GY ratio showed a significant and continuous upward trend, indicating positive outcomes from regional grass–livestock balance policies. (3) Driving Mechanisms: Climate and natural factors were the dominant drivers of changes in the ES supply–demand ratio. Analysis using the Geographical Detector’s q-statistic identified fractional vegetation cover (FVC, q = 0.72), annual precipitation (PR, q = 0.63), and human disturbance intensity (HD, q = 0.38) as the top three most influential factors. This study systematically reveals the spatial heterogeneity characteristics, dynamic evolution patterns, and core driving mechanisms of ES supply and demand in an alpine pastoral region, addressing a significant research gap. The findings not only provide a reference for ES supply–demand assessment in similar regions regarding indicator selection and methodology but also offer direct scientific support for precisely identifying priority areas for ecological conservation and restoration, optimizing grass–livestock balance management, and enhancing ecosystem sustainability within the Sanjiangyuan Region. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Water, Energy, Land, and Food (WELF) Nexus: An Ecosystems Perspective)
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24 pages, 7935 KiB  
Article
Tracing Dam Impacts on Braided Riverbank Vegetation: A Spatiotemporal Analysis of Cover Dynamics and Hydrological Drivers
by Cheng Zhang, Xiyu Liu, Shutong Wei, Caihong Tang and Shanghong Zhang
Forests 2025, 16(7), 1117; https://doi.org/10.3390/f16071117 - 6 Jul 2025
Viewed by 344
Abstract
Evaluating how dams modify hydrological regimes and their long-term impacts on riverine ecosystems is critical. This study evaluated trends and change points in Fractional Vegetation Cover (FVC) of braided riverbanks downstream of the Xiaolangdi Dam (1990–2020) using time-series decomposition and structural breakpoint analysis. [...] Read more.
Evaluating how dams modify hydrological regimes and their long-term impacts on riverine ecosystems is critical. This study evaluated trends and change points in Fractional Vegetation Cover (FVC) of braided riverbanks downstream of the Xiaolangdi Dam (1990–2020) using time-series decomposition and structural breakpoint analysis. Distinct temporal periods corresponding to different dam construction and operational phases were identified. Partial correlation analysis and linear mixed-effects modeling were employed to elucidate the spatiotemporal linkages between FVC and key driving factors. The results identified 1997 and 2004 as significant change points in FVC, corresponding to the dam’s construction and initial interception in 1997, and its subsequent comprehensive water and sediment regulation from 2004 onwards, respectively. Although dam construction may have initially posed short-term challenges to downstream vegetation, the post-operational phase witnessed a notable increase in significant vegetation growth compared to the pre-dam period, primarily attributed to the altered hydrological conditions. Notably, the dam operation’s contribution to the total FVC increase was 56% in the near-dam Xiaolangdi–Jiahetan reach. The analysis revealed distinct differences in vegetation responses to these hydrological alterations between the upstream Xiaolangdi–Jiahetan and downstream Jiahetan–Gaocun river sections, with the latter demonstrating greater ecological sensitivity to the dam-induced hydrological changes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Forest Hydrology)
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18 pages, 2395 KiB  
Article
Unveiling the Synergies and Conflicts Between Vegetation Dynamic and Water Resources in China’s Yellow River Basin
by Zuqiao Gao and Xiaolei Ju
Land 2025, 14(7), 1396; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14071396 - 3 Jul 2025
Viewed by 295
Abstract
Understanding the relationship between regional vegetation dynamics and water resources is essential for improving integrated vegetation–water management, enhancing ecosystem services, and advancing the sustainable development of ecological–economic–social systems. As China’s second largest river basin, the Yellow River Basin (YRB) is ecologically fragile and [...] Read more.
Understanding the relationship between regional vegetation dynamics and water resources is essential for improving integrated vegetation–water management, enhancing ecosystem services, and advancing the sustainable development of ecological–economic–social systems. As China’s second largest river basin, the Yellow River Basin (YRB) is ecologically fragile and experiences severe water scarcity. Vegetation changes further intensify conflicts between water supply and demand. To investigate the evolution and interaction mechanisms between vegetation and water resources in the YRB, this study uses the InVEST model to simulate annual water yield (Wyield) from 1982 to 2020 and applies the Dimidiate Pixel Model (DPM) to estimate fractional vegetation cover (FVC). The Theil–Sen method is applied to quantify the spatiotemporal trends of Wyield and FVC. A pixel-based second-order partial correlation analysis is performed to clarify the intrinsic relationship between FVC and Wyield at the grid scale. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) During the statistical period (1982–2020), the multi-year average annual Wyield in the YRB was 73.15 mm. Interannual Wyield showed a clear fluctuating trend, with an initial decline followed by a subsequent increase. Wyield showed marked spatial heterogeneity, with high values in the southern upper reaches and low values in the Longzhong Loess Plateau and Hetao Plain. During the same period, about 68.74% of the basin experienced increasing Wyield, while declines were concentrated in the upper reaches. (2) The average FVC across the basin was 0.51, showing a significant increasing trend during the statistical period. The long-term average FVC showed significant spatial heterogeneity, with high values in the Fenwei Plain, Shanxi Basin, and Taihang Mountains, and low values in the Loess Plateau and Hetao Plain. Spatially, 68.74% of the basin exhibited significant increases in FVC, mainly in the middle and lower reaches, while decreases were mostly in the upper reaches. (3) Areas with significant FVC–Wyield correlations covered a small portion of the basin: trade-off regions made up 10.35% (mainly in the southern upper reaches), and synergistic areas accounted for 5.26% (mostly in the Hetao Plain and central Loess Plateau), both dominated by grasslands and croplands. Mechanistic analysis revealed spatiotemporal heterogeneity in FVC–Wyield relationships across the basin, influenced by both natural drivers and anthropogenic activities. This study systematically explores the patterns and interaction mechanisms of FVC and Wyield in the YRB, offering a theoretical basis for regional water management, ecological protection, and sustainable development. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Integrating Climate, Land, and Water Systems)
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22 pages, 15870 KiB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Dynamics of the Grassland Cover in Xinjiang, China, from 2000 to 2023
by Chengchi Zhang, Yuexin Zhang, Xiuzhi Ma, Yongchun Hua, Zhichao Hu and Huifang Yao
Sustainability 2025, 17(12), 5654; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17125654 - 19 Jun 2025
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Abstract
A systematic understanding of the spatial and temporal changes of grassland fractional vegetation cover (FVC) in Xinjiang and its drivers provide scientific reference for regional ecological restoration. In this study, we used MODIS EVI data from 2000 to 2023 and the Pixel binary [...] Read more.
A systematic understanding of the spatial and temporal changes of grassland fractional vegetation cover (FVC) in Xinjiang and its drivers provide scientific reference for regional ecological restoration. In this study, we used MODIS EVI data from 2000 to 2023 and the Pixel binary model to estimate the grassland FVC value of Xinjiang; analyze its spatiotemporal dynamics with combination of trend and persistence detection methods; and explore its driving factors with ridge regression and residual analysis. The results show the following: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the grassland FVC in Xinjiang experienced an upward trend on the whole, yet a significant decrease after 2020. Spatially, the distribution characteristics are high in the northwest and low in the southeast, decreasing from mountains to basins. (2) Precipitation and soil moisture affected FVC positively, with contributions of 18.6% and 38.3%, respectively, while air temperature and solar radiation affected it negatively, with contributions of 22.9% and 20.2%, respectively. (3) The change in the grassland FVC in Xinjiang resulted from a combination of climatic factors and human activity, whose relative contribution rates were 57.2% and 42.8%, respectively; furthermore, the areas with positive effects on the FVC were smaller than those with negative effects. (4) While the FVCs of most grassland types in Xinjiang were dominantly influenced by both climatic factors and human activity, climatic conditions were the dominant drivers of the FVCs of temperate typical grasslands and temperate desert grasslands, whereas human activities had more influence on the FVC of temperate meadow grasslands. This study provides a scientific basis and guidance for optimizing the ecological barrier function and regulating vegetation coverage in arid areas by analyzing the spatiotemporal dynamics of grassland coverage in Xinjiang and quantifying the impact of different environmental factors on it. Full article
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17 pages, 6644 KiB  
Article
Habitat Suitability of the Common Leopard (Panthera pardus) in Azad Jammu and Kashmir, Pakistan: A Dual-Model Approach Using MaxEnt and Random Forest
by Zeenat Dildar, Wenjiang Huang, Raza Ahmed and Zeeshan Khalid
Environments 2025, 12(6), 203; https://doi.org/10.3390/environments12060203 - 14 Jun 2025
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Abstract
The common leopard (Panthera pardus) in Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJ and K), Pakistan, is increasingly threatened by habitat fragmentation and climate change. This study employs a dual-model approach, integrating Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) and Random Forest algorithms with multi-source remote sensing [...] Read more.
The common leopard (Panthera pardus) in Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJ and K), Pakistan, is increasingly threatened by habitat fragmentation and climate change. This study employs a dual-model approach, integrating Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) and Random Forest algorithms with multi-source remote sensing data to evaluate leopard habitat suitability. Our analysis identifies land cover (LC), fractional vegetation cover (FVC), elevation, temperature seasonality (bio4), and distance to roads (Dist_road) as the most influential habitat predictors. Leopards exhibit a strong preference for mixed forests at elevations between 1000 and 3000 m, with a suitability index of 0.83. The study identifies several unsuitable conditions including: road proximity (<0.08 km), low elevation zones (<1000 m), areas with high temperature seasonality (bio4 > 8 °C), and non-forested land cover types. MaxEnt demonstrated superior habitat prediction accuracy over Random Forest (AUC = 0.912 vs. 0.827). The results highlight a distinct north-to-south suitability gradient, with optimal habitats concentrated in the northern districts (Muzaffarabad, Hattian, Neelum, Bagh, Haveli, Poonch, Sudhnutti) and declining suitability in human-dominated southern areas. Based on these findings, this study underscores the urgency of targeted conservation efforts in the northern districts of AJ and K, where optimal leopard habitats are identified. The findings emphasize the need for habitat connectivity and protection measures to mitigate the impacts of habitat fragmentation and climate change. Future conservation strategies should prioritize the preservation of mixed forests and the establishment of buffer zones around roads to ensure the long-term survival of the common leopard in this region. Full article
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