Search Results (44)

The aim of this study was to investigate the method of estimating actual crop evapotranspiration (ET_cact) in a greenhouse using other measured meteorological parameters when solar radiation (R_s) data are missing. The study estimated ET_cact of greenhouse green peppers by combining solar radiation estimation models with the Penman–Monteith (PM) model and evaluated model performance. The results showed that the prediction accuracy of the temperature-based solar radiation model was higher than the model based on sunshine hours in the Hexi Corridor region. The effect of the insulation cover on the incident solar radiation in the greenhouse is modeled by introducing a ramp function. In terms of crop coefficients (K_cb), the initial K_cb value of green peppers in the 2023 growing season was generally consistent with the updated FAO-56 standard values, whereas the initial K_cb values (0.17) were higher than the standard values in the 2023–2024 growing season. During the two growing seasons, the mid-stage K_cb values were 1.01 in the 2023 growing season and 0.82 in the 2023–2024 growing season. The study also found that PM–RT4, PM–RT5, and PM–RT6 models were all able to accurately predict the ET_cact of greenhouse green peppers during the 2023 growing season. The PM–RT4 model performed well in both growing seasons, with R² = 0.8101 in the 2023 growing season and R² = 0.7561 in the 2023–2024 growing season. Our research supports the PM–RT4 model as appropriate to estimate green pepper actual evapotranspiration in Gobi solar greenhouses (GSGs) and may be further used to improve irrigation scheduling for green peppers grown in GSGs. Full article

In arid and semi-arid climates, where water scarcity is a persistent challenge, accurately estimating reference evapotranspiration (ET) becomes essential for sustainable water management and agricultural planning. The objectives of this study are to compare hourly ET among P–M ASCE, P–M FAO, and P–M KSA mathematical models. In addition to the accuracy assessment of daily ET derived from hourly timestep calculations for the P–M ASCE, P–M FAO, and P–M KSA. To achieve these goals, a total of 525,600-min data points from the Riyadh region, KSA, were used to compute the reference ET at multiple temporal resolutions: hourly, daily, hourly averaged over 24 h, and daily as the sum of 24 h values, across all selected Penman–Monteith (P–M) models. For hourly investigation, the comparison between reference ET computed as average hourly values and as daily/24 h values revealed statistically and practically significant differences. The Wilcoxon test confirmed a statistically significant difference (p < 0.0001) with R² of 94.75% for ASCE, 94.87% for KSA at h_plt = 50 cm, 92.41% for FAO, and 92.44% for KSA at h_plt = 12 cm. For daily investigation, comparing the sum of 24 h ET computations to daily ET measurements revealed an underestimation of daily ET values. The Wilcoxon test confirmed a statistically significant difference (p < 0.0001), with R² exceeding 90% for all studied reference ET models. This comprehensive approach enabled a rigorous evaluation of reference ET dynamics under hyper-arid climatic conditions, which are characteristic of central Saudi Arabia. The findings contribute to the growing body of literature emphasizing the importance of high-frequency meteorological data for improving ET estimation accuracy in arid and semi-arid regions. Full article

Accurate estimation of potential evapotranspiration (PET) is of paramount importance for water resource management, especially in Mediterranean mountainous environments that are often data-scarce and highly sensitive to climate variability. This study evaluates the performance of four machine learning (ML) regression algorithms—Support Vector Regression (SVR), Random Forest Regression (RFR), Gradient Boosting Regression (GBR), and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN)—in predicting daily PET using limited meteorological data from a high-altitude in Central Greece. The ML models were trained and tested using easily available meteorological inputs—temperature, relative humidity, and extraterrestrial solar radiation—on a dataset covering 11 years (2012–2023). Among the tested configurations, RFR showed the best performance (R² = 0.917, RMSE = 0.468 mm/d, MAPE = 0.119 mm/d) when all the above-mentioned input variables were included, closely approximating FAO56–PM outputs. Results bring to light the potential of machine learning models to reliably estimate PET in data-scarce conditions, with RFR outperforming others, whereas the inclusion of the easily estimated extraterrestrial radiation parameter in the ML models training enhances PET prediction accuracy. Full article

Estimating the actual evapotranspiration (ET_{c act}) of cropland in arid areas, exploring the time trend, and analyzing periodic variation are the key to long-term assessment of water resource availability and regional drought. The Penman formula has a strong ability to characterize reference crop evapotranspiration (ET_o). However, the application of this formula may be limited in the absence of a complete set of climate data. While previous studies have investigated K_{c act} in China, few have employed localized K_c values to systematically analyze long-term periodic fluctuations in ET_{c act} under climate variability conditions. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the applicability of nine ET_o estimation models in the Loess Plateau of China, calculate actual crop coefficients (K_{c act}) for spring maize and winter wheat, and examine the temporal trend and periodicity of ET_{c act} for long-term (1961–2018) continuous cropping of spring maize and winter wheat in the study area. The Mann–Kendall test and continuous wavelet transform (CWT) were used to obtain the temporal trend and periodicity of ET_{c act}. The results were as follows: (1) Priestley–Taylor (Prs–Tylr), based on radiation, and the 1985 Hargreaves–Samani (Harg), based on temperature, can be used when meteorological data are limited. It should be noted that among the models evaluated in this study, except for FAO56-PM, only the Harg equation is compatible with K_c-ET_o due to established conversion factors. (2) The K_{c act} of spring maize at the seeding–jointing stage and the earning–filling stage was 12% and 10% lower than the value recommended by FAO, respectively. For K_{c act} of winter wheat, it was 65% higher, 31% lower, and 85% higher than the FAO experience values in the rejuvenation–jointing stage, heading–grouting stage, and grouting–harvest stage. (3) Winter wheat, through its ET_{c act} cycle synchronized with precipitation and excellent water balance, can effectively alleviate regional drought. It is recommended to be included in the promotion of drought resistance policies. Full article

This study addresses the challenge of estimating reference crop evapotranspiration (ET_O) in Xizang Plateau irrigation districts with limited meteorological data by proposing a coupled LASSO-BP model that integrates LASSO regression with a BP neural network. The model was applied to three irrigation districts: Moda (MD), Jiangbei (JB), and Manla (ML). Using ET_O values calculated by the FAO-56 Penman–Monteith (FAO-56PM) model as a benchmark, the performance and applicability of the LASSO-BP model were assessed. Short-term ET_O predictions for the three districts were also conducted using the mean-generating function optimal subset regression algorithm. The results revealed significant multicollinearity among six meteorological factors (maximum temperature, minimum temperature, average temperature, average relative humidity, sunshine duration, and average wind speed), as identified through tolerance, variance inflation factor (VIF), and eigenvalue analysis. The LASSO-BP model effectively captured the interannual variation of ET_O, accurately identifying peaks and troughs, with trends closely aligned with the FAO-56PM model. The model demonstrated strong performance across all three districts, with evaluation metrics showing MAE, RMSE, NSE, and R² values ranging from 4.26 to 9.48 mm·a⁻¹, 5.91 to 11.78 mm·a⁻¹, 0.92 to 0.96, and 0.82 to 0.94, respectively. Prediction results indicated a statistically insignificant declining trend in annual ET_O across the three districts over the study period. Overall, the LASSO-BP model is a reliable and accurate tool for estimating ET_O in Xizang Plateau irrigation districts with limited meteorological data. Full article

This study investigates the development and application of an automatic irrigation system based on hourly cumulative evapotranspiration (ET) to optimize cabbage growth while reducing agricultural water usage. Traditional irrigation methods often result in inefficient water use due to reliance on human judgment or fixed schedules. To address this issue, the proposed system utilizes environmental data collected from a field sensor (FS), the Korea meteorological administration (KMA), and a virtual sensor based on a machine learning model (ML) to calculate the hourly ET and automate irrigation. The ET was calculated using the FAO 56 Penman–Monteith (P-M) ET_o. Experiments were conducted to compare the effectiveness of different irrigation levels, ranging from 40, 60, 80, and 100% crop evapotranspiration (ET_c), on plant growth and the irrigation water productivity (WP_I). During the 46-day experimental period, cabbage growth and WP_I were higher in the FS and KMA 60% ET_c levels compared to other irrigation levels, with water usage of 8.90 and 9.07 L/plant, respectively. In the ML treatment, cabbage growth and WP_I were higher in the 80% ET_c level compared to other irrigation levels, with water usage of 8.93 L/plant. These results demonstrated that irrigation amounts of approximately 9 L/plant provided the optimal balance between plant growth and water conservation over 46 days. This system presents a promising solution for improving crop yield while conserving water resources in agricultural environments. Full article

The accurate estimation of reference crop evapotranspiration (ET₀) is essential for crop water consumption modeling and agricultural water resource management. In the present study, three bionic algorithms (aquila optimizer (AO), tuna swarm optimization (TSO), and sparrow search algorithm (SSA)) were combined with an extreme learning machine (ELM) model to form three mixed models (AO-ELM, TSO-ELM, and SSA-ELM). The accuracy of the ET₀ estimates for five climate regions in China from 1970 to 2019 was evaluated using the FAO-56 Penman–Monteith (P-M) equation. The results showed that the predicted values of the three mixed models and the ELM model fitted the P-M calculated values well. R² and RMSE were 0.7654–0.9864 and 0.1271–0.7842 mm·d⁻¹, respectively, for which the prediction accuracy of the AO-ELM model was the highest. The performance of the AO-ELM combination5 (maximum temperature (T_max), minimum temperature (T_min), total solar radiation (R_s), sunshine duration (n)) was most significantly improved on the basis of the ELM model. The prediction accuracy for the stations in the plateau mountain climate (PMC) region was the best, while the prediction accuracy for the stations in the tropical monsoon climate region (TPMC) was the worst. In addition to the wind speed (U₂) in the temperate continental climate region (TCC)—which was the largest variable affecting ET₀—n, R_a, and total solar radiation (R_s) in the other climate regions were more important than relative humidity (RH) and wind speed (U₂) in predicting ET₀. Therefore, AO-ELM4 was selected for the TCC region (with T_max, T_min, R_s, and U₂ as inputs) and AO-ELM5 (with T_max, T_min, R_s, and n as inputs) was selected for the TMC, PMC, SMC, and TPMC regions when determining the best model for each climate region with limited meteorological data. Full article

The FAO56 Penman–Monteith model (FAO56-PM) is widely used for estimating reference crop evapotranspiration (ET₀). However, key variables such as shortwave radiation (R_s) and net longwave radiation (R_ln) are often unavailable at most weather stations. While previous studies have focused on calibrating R_s, the influence of large R_ln, particularly in high-altitude regions with thin air, remains unexplored. This study investigates this issue by using observed data from Bange in central Tibet to identify the optimal methods for estimating R_s and R_ln to accurately calculate ET₀. The findings reveal that the average daily R_ln was 8.172 MJ m⁻² d⁻¹ at Bange, much larger than that at the same latitude. The original FAO56-PM model may produce seemingly accurate ET₀ estimates due to compensating errors: underestimated R_ln offsetting underestimated net shortwave radiation (R_sn). Merely calibrating R_s does not improve ET₀ accuracy but may exacerbate errors. The Liu-S was the empirical model for R_s estimation calibrated by parameterization over the Tibetan Plateau and the Allen-LC was the empirical model for R_ln estimation calibrated by local measurements in central Tibet. The combination of the Liu-S and Allen-LC methods showed much-improved performance in ET₀ estimation, yielding a high Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.889 and a low relative error of −5.7%. This strategy is indicated as optimal for ET₀ estimation in central Tibet. Trend analysis based on this optimal strategy indicates significant increases in ET₀ in central Tibet from 2000 to 2020, with projections suggesting a continued rise through 2100 under climate change scenarios, though with increasing uncertainty over time. However, the rapidly increasing trends in precipitation will lead to decreasing trends in agricultural water use for highland parley production in central Tibet under climate change scenarios. The findings in this study provide critical information for irrigation planning to achieve sustainable agricultural production over the Tibetan Plateau. Full article

In this study, due to their flexibility in forecasting, the capabilities of three regression-based machine learning models were explored, specifically random forest regression (RFr), generalized regression neural network (GRNN), and support vector regression (SVR). The above models were assessed for their suitability in modeling daily reference evapotranspiration (ET_o), based only on temperature data (T_min, T_max, T_mean), by comparing their daily ET_o results with those estimated by the conventional FAO 56 PM model, which requires a broad range of data that may not be available or may not be of reasonable quality. The RFr, GRNN, and SVR models were subjected to performance evaluation by using statistical criteria and scatter plots. Following the implementation of the ET_o models’ comparisons, it was observed that all regression-based machine learning models possess the capability to accurately estimate daily ET_o based only on temperature data requirements. In particular, the RFr model outperformed the others, achieving the highest R value of 0.9924, while the SVR and GRNN models had R values of 0.9598 and 0.9576, respectively. Additionally, the RFr model recorded the lowest values in all error metrics. Once these regression-based machine learning models have been successfully developed, they will have the potential to serve as effective alternatives for estimating daily ET_o, under current and climate change conditions, when temperature data are available. This information is crucial for effective water resources management and especially for predicting agricultural production in the context of climate change. Full article

Potential evapotranspiration (PET) is a crucial parameter for forest development, having an important role in ecological, biometeorological, and hydrological assessments. Accurate estimations of PET using the FAO–56 Penman–Monteith (FAO–56 PM) benchmark method require a wide range of data parameters, which are not typically available at meteorological stations installed in forest environments. The aim of this study is to investigate the accuracy of various methods with low data requirements for assessing PET in a Mediterranean forest environment and propose appropriate alternatives for accurate PET estimation. Specifically, 50 temperature-based methods were evaluated against the FAO–56 PM method in a sub-humid forest in northern Greece, using high-quality daily meteorological data. The outcomes indicate that temperature-based methods offer a viable alternative for PET estimation when data availability is limited, with a considerable number of methods (22) presenting low deviations (up to 10%) compared to the benchmark method. Temperature-based models outperformed those incorporating water-related parameters (as relative humidity or precipitation) in Mediterranean forest environments. The top performing methods in the study site, based on several statistical indices, were the equations of Ravazzani et al., proposed in 2012, followed by Hargreaves–Samani in 1985 and Heydari and Heydari in 2014. Full article

Evaptotranspiration (ET_c) is a crucial link in the farmland water cycle process. To accurately obtain the citrus ET_c in different slope positions, the METRIC, RSEB, and FAO Penman–Monteith (P-M) models were constructed based on unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) multispectral images to invert the ET_c values. The ET_c of citrus calculated by the P-M model was used as a reference standard, and the accuracy of the ET_c inversion was evaluated by the METRIC model and the RSEB model. The results showed that the R², RMSE, and SE of the METRIC model and the RSEB model were 0.396 and 0.486, 4.940 and 3.010, and 4.570 and 2.090, respectively, indicating a higher accuracy of the RSEB model for inverting the ET_c values. Furthermore, the accuracy of the RSEB model could be improved by introducing the optimal correction coefficient (after correction: RMSE = 1.470, SE = 0.003). Based on the modified RSEB model, the ET_c values of the citrus in different slope positions were obtained. We also found that the middle slope ET_c > the top slope ET_c > the bottom slope ET_c, indicating that the slope position indeed affected the citrus ET_c. This research provides a favorable framework for the ET_c inversion, and the results are of theoretical and practical importance to realize crop water conservation. Full article

Northeast China (NEC) is one of the most important national agricultural production bases, and its agricultural water dynamics are essential for food security and sustainable agricultural development. However, the dynamics of long-term annual crop-specific agricultural water and its crop type and climate impacts remain largely unknown, compromising water-saving practices and water-efficiency agricultural management in this vital area. Thus, this study used multi-source data of the crop type, climate factors, and the digital elevation model (DEM), and multiple digital agriculture technologies of remote sensing (RS), the geographic information system (GIS), the Soil Conservation Service of the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA-SCS) model, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Penman–Monteith (FAO P-M) model, and the water supply–demand index (M) to map the annual spatiotemporal distribution of effective precipitation (Pe), crop water requirement (ET_c), irrigation water requirement (IWR), and the supply–demand situation in the NEC from 2000 to 2020. The study further analyzed the impacts of the crop type and climate changes on agricultural water dynamics and revealed the reasons and policy implications for their spatiotemporal heterogeneity. The results indicated that the annual average Pe, ET_c, IWR, and M increased by 1.56%/a, 0.74%/a, 0.42%/a, and 0.83%/a in the NEC, respectively. Crop-specifically, the annual average Pe increased by 1.15%/a, 2.04%/a, and 2.09%/a, ET_c decreased by 0.46%/a, 0.79%/a, and 0.89%/a, IWR decreased by 1.03%/a, 1.32%/a, and 3.42%/a, and M increased by 1.48%/a, 2.67%/a, and 2.87%/a for maize, rice, and soybean, respectively. Although the ET_c and IWR for all crops decreased, regional averages still increased due to the expansion of water-intensive maize and rice. The crop type and climate changes jointly influenced agricultural water dynamics. Crop type transfer contributed 39.28% and 41.25% of the total IWR increase, and the remaining 60.72% and 58.75% were caused by cropland expansion in the NEC from 2000 to 2010 and 2010 to 2020, respectively. ET_c and IWR increased with increasing temperature and solar radiation, and increasing precipitation led to decreasing IWR in the NEC. The adjustment of crop planting structure and the implementation of water-saving practices need to comprehensively consider the spatiotemporally heterogeneous impacts of crop and climate changes on agricultural water dynamics. The findings of this study can aid RS-GIS-based agricultural water simulations and applications and support the scientific basis for agricultural water management and sustainable agricultural development. Full article

A correct determination of irrigation water requirements necessitates an adequate estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ETo). In this study, monthly ETo is estimated using artificial neural network (ANN) models. Eleven combinations of long-term average monthly climatic data of air temperature (min and max), wind speed (WS), relative humidity (RH), and solar radiation (SR) recorded at nine different weather stations in Tunisia are used as inputs to the ANN models to calculate ETo given by the FAO-56 PM (Penman–Monteith) equation. This research study proposes to: (i) compare the FAO-24 BC, Riou, and Turc equations with the universal PM equation for estimating ETo; (ii) compare the PM method with the ANN technique; (iii) determine the meteorological parameters with the greatest impact on ETo prediction; and (iv) determine how accurate the ANN technique is in estimating ETo using data from nearby weather stations and compare it to the PM method. Four statistical criteria were used to evaluate the model’s predictive quality: the determination coefficient (R²), the index of agreement (d), the root mean square error (RMSE), and the mean absolute error (MAE). It is quite evident that the Blaney–Criddle, Riou, and Turc equations underestimate or overestimate the ETo values when compared to the PM method. Values of ETo underestimation ranged from 1.9% to 66.1%, while values of overestimation varied from 0.9% to 25.0%. The comparisons revealed that the ANN technique could be adeptly utilized to model ETo using the available meteorological data. Generally, the ANN technique performs better on the estimates of ETo than the conventional equations studied. Among the meteorological parameters considered, maximum temperature was identified as the most significant climatic parameter in ETo modeling, reaching values of R and d of 0.936 and 0.983, respectively. The research showed that trained ANNs could be used to yield ETo estimates using new data from nearby stations not included in the training process, reaching high average values of R and d values of 0.992 and 0.997, respectively. Very low values of MAE (0.233 mm day⁻¹) and RMSE (0.326 mm day⁻¹) were also obtained. Full article

To maximize crop production, reference evapotranspiration (ET₀) measurement is crucial for managing water resources and planning crop water needs. The FAO-PM56 method is recommended globally for estimating ET₀ and evaluating alternative methods due to its extensive theoretical foundation. Numerous meteorological parameters, needed for ET₀ estimation, are difficult to obtain in developing countries. Therefore, alternative ways to estimate ET₀ using fewer climatic data are of critical importance. To estimate ET₀ with alternative methods, difference climatic parameters of temperatures, relative humidity (maximum and minimum), sunshine hours, and wind speed for a period of 20 years from 1996 to 2015 were used in the study. The data were recorded by 11 meteorological observatories situated in various climatic regions of Pakistan. The significance of the climatic parameters used was evaluated using sensitivity analysis. The machine learning techniques of single decision tree (SDT), tree boost (TB) and decision tree forest (DTF) were used to perform sensitivity analysis. The outcomes indicated that DTF-based models estimated ET₀ with higher accuracy and fewer climatic variables as compared to other ML techniques used in the study. The DTF technique, with Model 15 as input, outperformed other techniques for the most part of the performance metrics (i.e., NSE = 0.93, R² = 0.96 and RMSE = 0.48 mm/month). The results indicated that the DTF with fewer climatic variables of mean relative humidity, wind speed and minimum temperature could estimate ET₀ accurately and outperformed other ML techniques. Additionally, a non-linear ensemble (NLE) of ML techniques was further used to estimate ET₀ using the best input combination (i.e., Model 15). It was seen that the applied non-linear ensemble (NLE) approach enhanced modelling accuracy as compared to a stand-alone application of ML techniques (R² Multan = 0.97, R² Skardu = 0.99, R² ISB = 0.98, R² Bahawalpur = 0.98 etc.). The study results affirmed the use of an ensemble model for ET₀ estimation and suggest applying it in other parts of the world to validate model performance. Full article

To explore the mechanisms driving variation in ET₀ (reference evapotranspiration) in an arid inland region of Northwest China, daily meteorological data from 1960 to 2019 from 19 meteorological stations in the Taohe River basin and its surrounding areas were used to analyze the temporal and spatial distributions of ET₀ and meteorological variables. Various qualitative and quantitative analysis methods were used to reveal the correlation between ET₀ and meteorological variables. The degree of sensitivity of ET₀ variations to meteorological variables and the contribution from each meteorological variable were clarified, and the mechanisms driving variation in ET₀ were fully revealed. These are the results: (1) ET₀ in the Taohe River basin presented a significant upward trend with a linear change rate of 0.93 mm/a, and a sudden change occurred in 1994. The spatial variation in ET₀ ranged from 779.8 to 927.6 mm/a, with low values in the upper and middle reaches and high values in the lower reaches. The ET₀ at 14 stations (73.68% of the total) was significantly increased (p < 0.05), and that at 5 stations (26.32% of the total) was not significantly increased (p > 0.05). (2) RH, R_n, and u₂ did not change significantly, while T_max and T_min showed a significant upward trend. (3) R_n is a meteorological variable closely related to variations in ET₀, and is the most sensitive variable for variations in ET₀, followed by T_max and u₂. (4) T_max is the meteorological variable that contributes most to the variation in ET₀ (30.98%), followed by T_min (29.11%), u₂ (6.57%), R_n (2.22%), and RH (0.05%). The research results provide a scientific basis for the rational and efficient utilization of water resources and the maintenance of ecosystem health. Full article