Search Results (652)

In energy production systems, the higher heating value (HHV), also known as the gross calorific value, is a key parameter for identifying the primary energy source. In this study, a novel artificial intelligence model was developed using support vector machines (SVM) combined with the Differential Evolution (DE) optimizer to predict coal gross calorific value (the dependent variable). The model incorporated the elements from coal ultimate analysis—hydrogen (H), carbon (C), oxygen (O), sulfur (S), and nitrogen (N)—as input variables. For comparison, the experimental data were also fitted to previously reported empirical correlations, as well as Ridge, Lasso, and Elastic-Net regressions. The SVM-based model was first used to assess the influence of all independent variables on coal HHV and was subsequently found to be the most accurate predictor of coal gross calorific value. Specifically, the SVM regression (SVR) achieved a correlation coefficient (r) of 0.9861 and a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.9575 for coal HHV prediction based on the test samples. The DE/SVM approach demonstrated strong performance, as evidenced by the close agreement between observed and predicted values. Finally, a summary of the results from these analyses is presented. Full article

Background: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines deliver mRNA packaged in lipid nanoparticles via intramuscular injection. This study investigated several factors influencing antibody production patterns and adverse reactions after vaccination with COVID-19 vaccines. Methods: Among the participants of the Iwaki Health Promotion Project (IHPP), 211 individuals who consented to this study were surveyed regarding antibody titers and adverse reaction symptoms following vaccination. A machine learning approaches such as ridge regression, elastic-net, light gradient boosting, and neural network were applied to extract the variables, and Bayesian network analysis was applied to explore causal relationships between health data and the multi-omics dataset obtained from the IHPP health checkups. Results: Females with lower levels of free testosterone experienced more adverse reactions than males. Moreover, the immune system is more active in younger individuals, causing adverse reactions and higher antibody production. The Spikevax vaccine induced adverse reaction symptoms with higher antibody production in cases of fever. Meanwhile, drinking 2–3 cups of green tea daily seemed to be effective in increasing antibody production. Factors increasing side effect risk include blood natural killer cell count and muscle quality in the vaccinated arm. Plasma metabolome metabolite concentrations, tongue coating bacterial colonization, and folate intake were also identified as factors influencing side effect risk. Furthermore, characteristics of participants at risk for fever symptoms included longer telomere length, higher antibody production patterns, and higher CD4-positive T cell counts. Conclusions: Further investigation of these identified influencing factors is expected to clarify the rationale for new vaccine development and identify lifestyle and dietary habits that enhance vaccine efficacy. Full article

This study evaluates the performance of several machine learning models in predicting dissolved oxygen concentration in the surface layer of the Mar Menor coastal lagoon. In recent years, this ecosystem has suffered a continuous process of eutrophication and episodes of hypoxia, mainly due to continuous influx of nutrients from agricultural activities, causing severe water quality deterioration and mortality of local flora and fauna. In this context, monitoring the ecological status of the Mar Menor and its watershed is essential to understand the environmental dynamics that trigger these dystrophic crises. Using field data, this study evaluates the performance of eight predictive modelling approaches, encompassing regularised linear regression methods (Ridge, Lasso, and Elastic Net), instance-based learning (k-nearest neighbours, KNN), kernel-based regression (support vector regression with a radial basis function kernel, SVR-RBF), and tree-based ensemble techniques (Random Forest, Regularised Random Forest, and XGBoost), under multiple experimental settings involving spatial variability and varying time lags applied to physicochemical and meteorological predictors. The results showed that incorporating time lags of approximately two weeks in physicochemical variables markedly improves the models’ ability to generalise to new data. Tree-based regression models achieved the best overall performance, with eXtreme Gradient Boosting providing the highest evaluation metrics. Finally, analysing predictions by sampling point reveals spatial patterns, underscoring the influence of local conditions on prediction quality and the need to consider both spatial structure and temporal inertia when modelling complex coastal lagoon systems. Full article

Better understanding the fate and transport of estuarine per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) requires coupling multiple matrix-specific biogeochemical roles, rather than relying on a single-matrix approach. We therefore evaluated sediment and biological matrices (blue mussels (BMs), Mytilus edulis; and hardshell clams (HSCs), Mercenaria mercenaria) as complementary indicators of PFAS contamination across three locations over a 240-day period following a spill event. A three-tiered analytical approach was applied: Tier 1 used non-parametric statistics to assess the broad-spectrum detection patterns for a total of 40 PFASs (n = 47 samples); Tier 2 employed generalized regression (adaptive Elastic Net), random forest, and artificial neural networks to model the concentrations of the most frequently detected PFASs (PFOS, PFOA, PFHxA, and PFOSA) (n = 188 observations); and Tier 3 implemented a system dynamics model to mechanistically couple the PFOS and 5:3 FTCA fate. The results suggest that the sediment acted as a long-term sink for legacy long-chain compounds (99.3%, primarily PFOS), while the biota, particularly BMs, acted as sensitive recorders of acute pulses and hydrophilic precursors, uniquely accumulating 5:3 FTCA during spring pulses (p < 0.001). All the models identified the matrix type as the dominant driver of the most prevalent PFAS concentrations. A reliance on sediment monitoring alone may fail to capture the majority of the active contamination burden sequestered in the biota, suggesting that effective risk assessment necessitates an integrated view. Full article

Background and Objectives: Contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) is a frequent and clinically significant complication in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) undergoing coronary angiography. Early and accurate risk stratification remains challenging with conventional models that rely on linear assumptions and limited variable integration. This study aimed to evaluate and compare the predictive performance of multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms with traditional logistic regression and the Mehran risk score for CA-AKI prediction and to explore key determinants of risk using explainable artificial intelligence methods. Materials and Methods: This retrospective, single-center study included 1741 patients with AMI who underwent coronary angiography. CA-AKI was defined according to KDIGO criteria. Multiple ML models, including gradient boosting machine (GBM), random forest (RF), XGBoost, support vector machine, elastic net, and standard logistic regression were developed using routinely available clinical and laboratory variables. A weighted ensemble model combining the best-performing algorithms was constructed. Model discrimination was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), along with sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV). Model interpretability was evaluated using feature importance and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). Results: CA-AKI occurred in 356 patients (20.4%). In multivariable logistic regression, lower left ventricular ejection fraction, higher contrast volume, lower sodium, lower hemoglobin, and higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were independently associated with CA-AKI. Among ML approaches, the weighted ensemble model demonstrated the highest discriminative performance (AUC 0.721), outperforming logistic regression and the Mehran risk score (AUC 0.608). Importantly, the ensemble model achieved a consistently high NPV (0.942), enabling reliable identification of low-risk patients. Explainability analyses revealed that inflammatory markers, particularly NLR, along with sodium, uric acid, baseline renal indices, and contrast burden, were the most influential predictors across models. Conclusions: In patients with AMI undergoing coronary angiography, interpretable ML models, especially ensemble and gradient boosting-based approaches, provide superior risk stratification for CA-AKI compared with conventional methods. The high negative predictive value highlights their clinical utility in safely identifying low-risk patients and supporting individualized, risk-adapted preventive strategies. Full article

The early detection of internal damage caused by Elasmopalpus lignosellus in fresh asparagus constitutes a challenge for the agro-export industry due to the limited sensitivity of traditional visual inspection. This study evaluated the potential of VIS–NIR hyperspectral imaging (390–1036 nm) combined with machine-learning models to discriminate between infested (PB) and sound (SB) asparagus spears. A balanced dataset of 900 samples was acquired, and preprocessing was performed using Savitzky–Golay and SNV. Four classifiers (SVM, MLP, Elastic Net, and XGBoost) were compared. The optimized SVM model achieved the best results (CV Accuracy = 0.9889; AUC = 0.9997). The spectrum was reduced to 60 bands while LOBO and RFE were used to maintain high performance. In external validation (n = 3000), the model achieved an accuracy of 97.9% and an AUC of 0.9976. The results demonstrate the viability of implementing non-destructive systems based on VIS–NIR to improve the quality control of asparagus destined for export. Full article

Maize is one of the top three crops globally, ranking only behind rice and wheat, making it an important crop of interest. Aboveground biomass is a key indicator for assessing maize growth and its yield potential. This study developed an efficient and stable biomass prediction model to estimate the aboveground biomass (AGB) of spring maize (Zea mays L.) under subsurface drip irrigation in arid regions, based on UAV multispectral remote sensing and machine learning techniques. Focusing on typical subsurface drip-irrigated spring maize in arid Xinjiang, multispectral images and field-measured AGB data were collected from 96 sample points (selected via stratified random sampling across 24 plots) over four key phenological stages in 2024 and 2025. Sixteen vegetation indices were calculated and 40 texture features were extracted using the gray-level co-occurrence matrix method, while an integrated feature-selection strategy combining Elastic Net and Random Forest was employed to effectively screen key predictor variables. Based on the selected features, six machine learning models were constructed, including Elastic Net Regression (ENR), Gradient Boosting Decision Trees (GBDT), Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR), Random Forest (RF), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB). Results showed that the fused feature set comprised four vegetation indices (GRDVI, RERVI, GRVI, NDVI) and five texture features (R_Corr, NIR_Mean, NIR_Vari, B_Mean, B_Corr), thereby retaining red-edge and visible-light texture information highly sensitive to AGB. The GPR model based on the fused features exhibited the best performance (test set R² = 0.852, RMSE = 2890.74 kg ha⁻¹, MAE = 1676.70 kg ha⁻¹), demonstrating high fitting accuracy and stable predictive ability across both the training and test sets. Spatial inversions over the two growing seasons of 2024 and 2025, derived from the fused-feature GPR optimal model at four key phenological stages, revealed pronounced spatiotemporal heterogeneity and stage-dependent dynamics of spring maize AGB: the biomass accumulates rapidly from jointing to grain filling, slows thereafter, and peaks at maturity. At a constant planting density, AGB increased markedly with nitrogen inputs from N0 to N3 (420 kg N ha⁻¹), with the high-nitrogen N3 treatment producing the greatest biomass; this successfully captured the regulatory effect of the nitrogen gradient on maize growth, provided reliable data for variable-rate fertilization, and is highly relevant for optimizing water–fertilizer coordination in subsurface drip irrigation systems. Future research may extend this integrated feature selection and modeling framework to monitor the growth and estimate the yield of other crops, such as rice and cotton, thereby validating its generalizability and robustness in diverse agricultural scenarios. Full article

A method for quality inspection of food packaging based on hybrid imaging and machine-learning techniques is presented. The proposed inspection system integrates thermal and visible-light imaging, enabling detection and classification of faults such as weak seals, creases and contamination. For the purpose of the study data acquisition is automated with the use of an industrial manipulator, ensuring repeatability and consistent positioning of samples. Using the acquired images, the temperature distribution in the sealing area and selected process parameters, a predictive model for burst-pressure testing was developed. The proposed workflow includes attribute selection, hyperparameter optimization and the application of regression algorithms. The proof-of-concept results demonstrate a strong alignment between predicted and measured values, as well as high model stability. The best-performing model, ElasticNet, achieved an R² of 0.815 and an MAE of 0.028 kgf/cm², confirming its potential for non-destructive quality control of packaging. Full article

Winery wastewater contains recalcitrant pollutants, such as phenolic compounds, which can hinder biological treatment processes. While monitoring these systems is essential to prevent treatment failure, quantifying recalcitrant compounds through conventional methods can be time-consuming and costly due to complex analytical procedures and chemical disposal. In this study, machine learning (ML) was used to predict polyphenol concentration after the biological treatment of winery wastewater using a sequencing batch reactor (SBR). ML models, including ElasticNet (ENet), Multi-Layer Perceptron Regressor (MLPR), and Support Vector Regressor (SVR), were developed and tested using a small, high-dimensional dataset and leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV). Feature selection and hyperparameter tuning were applied to improve model performance. After optimization, the SVR model achieved the best performance, with MAE, MAPE, and R² of 0.88 mg/L, 9.3%, and 0.75, respectively. Full article

Biochar, a carbon-rich material produced through the pyrolysis of wood residues and agricultural byproducts, has carbon storage capacity and potential as a low-carbon construction material. This study predicts the compressive strength of cementitious composites in which cement is partially replaced with biochar using machine learning models. A total of 716 data samples were analyzed, including 480 experimental measurements and 236 literature-derived values. Input variables included the water-to-cement ratio (W/C), biochar content, cement, sand, aggregate, silica fume, blast furnace slag, superplasticizer, and curing conditions. Predictive performance was evaluated using Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), Elastic Net Regression (ENR), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), with GBM showing the highest accuracy. Further optimization was conducted using XGBoost, Light Gradient-Boosting Machine (LightGBM), CatBoost, and NGBoost with GridSearchCV and Optuna. LightGBM achieved the best predictive performance (mean absolute error (MAE) = 3.3258, root mean squared error (RMSE) = 4.6673, mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) = 11.19%, and R² = 0.8271). SHAP analysis identified the W/C and cement content as dominant predictors, with fresh water curing and blast furnace slag also exerting strong influence. These results support the potential of biochar as a partial cement replacement in low-carbon construction material. Full article

Wetlands are a critical component of the global biogeochemical cycle and have great potential for carbon sequestration under the changing climate. However, previous studies have mainly focused on the dynamics of soil organic carbon while paying little attention to the vegetation carbon storage in wetlands. Poyang Lake is the largest freshwater lake in China, where intra-annual and inter-annual variations in water levels significantly affect the vegetation carbon storage in the floodplain wetland. Therefore, we assessed the seasonal distribution and carbon storage of six typical plant communities (Arundinella hirta, Carex cinerascens, Miscanthus lutarioriparius, Persicaria hydropiper, Phalaris arundinacea, and Phragmites australis) in Poyang Lake wetlands from 2019 to 2024 based on field surveys, the literature, and remote sensing data. Then, we used 16 preseason meteorological and hydrological variables for two growing seasons to investigate the impacts of environmental factors on vegetation carbon storage based on four correlation and regression methods (including Pearson and partial correlation, ridge, and elastic net regression). The results show that the C. cinerascens community was the most dominant contributor to vegetation carbon storage, occupying 12.68% to 44.22% of the Poyang Lake wetland area. The vegetation carbon storage in the Poyang Lake wetland was significantly (p < 0.01) higher in spring (87.75 × 10⁴ t to 239.10 × 10⁴ t) than in autumn (77.32 × 10⁴ t to 154.78 × 10⁴ t). Water body area emerged as a key explanatory factor, as it directly constrains the spatial extent available for vegetation colonization and growth by alternating inundation and exposure. In addition, an earlier start or end to floods could both enhance vegetation carbon storage in spring or autumn. However, preseason precipitation and temperature are negative to carbon storage in spring but exhibited opposite effects in autumn. These results assessed the seasonal dynamics of dominant vegetation communities and helped understand the response of the wetland carbon cycle under the changing climate. Full article

Aircraft pod Low-Voltage Differential Signalling (LVDS) links frequently suffer from transmission errors in adverse environments, compromising reliability. We propose a comprehensive ‘real-time detection—precise prediction—dynamic adaptation’ solution. Firstly, a testing system based on the Xilinx Artix-7 Field Programmable Gate Array (FPGA) was developed using incremental coding, verified across diverse hardware with quantitative physical parameters. Secondly, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-Transformer fusion network (LT-Net) with weighted loss and dynamic regularization was designed to optimize prediction in critical high Bit Error Rate (BER) regimes. To address distribution drift, an online adaptive mechanism utilizing Elastic Weight Consolidation (EWC) was integrated. Results show LT-Net reduces Mean Squared Error (MSE) by 41.7% and maintains superior Mean Absolute Error (MAE) compared to baseline Transformers, with drift-induced degradation kept within 8%. With an inference latency under 0.28 s, the system meets hard real-time requirements for aircraft pod reliability in complex scenarios. Full article

This study reports the effect of pH (2, 7, 10) and heat treatment (80 °C for 30 min) on the oil–water (o/w) interfacial behavior of hemp seed protein isolate (HPI) aqueous dispersions. The physicochemical, interfacial adsorption, rheology, and emulsifying properties of protein dispersions were evaluated. HPI dispersions at pH 10 exhibited the highest water solubility (60%), the greatest net charge (−27 mV), and the lowest hydrophobicity (~5 a.u.), promoting o/w interfacial pressure (π) and interfacial viscoelasticity. Strong interfacial viscoelastic protein layers (E^* = 25 mN/m) were also observed under acidic conditions (pH 2), where proteins exhibited high solubility (40%), a high positive net charge (21 mV), and increased hydrophobicity (46 a.u.). HPI dispersions in their neutral state (pH 7) were not able to form stable o/w emulsions due to their poor physicochemical properties such as low solubility (18%), low surface charge (−18 mV), and hydrophobicity (~5 a.u.). Heat treatment significantly increased the charge and hydrophobicity of both neutral and alkaline proteins (~30 mV and ~10 a.u., respectively), increasing their particle size distribution and ultimately reducing their interfacial protein layer elasticity (E^* = 20 and 13 nM/m, respectively). While particles at acidic conditions showed high thermal resistance, heat treatment improved the emulsifying stability in alkaline conditions while further reducing it in the neutral state. Overall, HPI dispersions demonstrated the ability to form stable emulsions at both alkaline and acid pHs, with those formed at pH 2 exhibiting a lower droplet size and superior stability. Full article

Efficient phosphorus recovery is of great significance for sustainable wastewater management and resource recycling. While chemical precipitation is widely used, its effectiveness under complex multi-factor conditions remains challenging to predict and optimize. This study compiled a multidimensional dataset from recent experimental literature, encompassing key operational parameters (reaction time, temperature, pH, stirring speed) and dosages of three metal precipitants (Al³⁺, Ca²⁺, Fe³⁺) to systematically evaluate and benchmark phosphorus recovery performance across these distinct systems, six machine learning algorithms—Random Forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), Elastic Net, Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR)—were developed and cross-validated. Among them, the GPR model exhibited superior predictive accuracy and robustness. ($R^2$ = 0.69, $RMSE$ = 0.54). Beyond achieving high-fidelity predictions, this study advances the field by integrating interpretability analysis with Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) and Partial Dependence Plots (PDP). These analyses identified distinct controlling factors across systems: reaction time and pH for aluminum, Ca²⁺ dosage and alkalinity for calcium, and phosphorus loading with stirring speed for iron. The revealed factor-specific mechanisms and synergistic interactions (e.g., among pH, metal dose, and mixing intensity) provide actionable insights that transcend black-box prediction. This work presents an interpretable Machine Learning (ML) framework that offers both theoretical insights and practical guidance for optimizing phosphorus recovery in multi-metal systems and enabling precise control in wastewater treatment operations. Full article

This study selects daily data from 27 fintech companies and 16 listed commercial banks between January 2015 and December 2024 as research samples. Based on complex network theory, we construct an integrated analytical framework encompassing risk measurement, regime identification, and early warning system construction through HD-TVP-VAR model coupled with the Elastic Net algorithm, MS-AR model, and dynamic Logit model. The findings reveal that the total risk spillover rate between fintech and banking ranges from 73.09% to 95.18%, demonstrating significant time-varying and event-driven characteristics in risk contagion. The risk contagion evolution is characterized by three distinct phases: net risk absorption by the banking sector, bidirectional equilibrium contagion, and net risk dominance by the fintech sector. Joint-stock commercial banks and city commercial banks exhibit higher sensitivity to fintech risks compared to state-owned large commercial banks. Key hubs for risk contagion include institutions like Yinxin Technology and Huaxia Bank, with concentrated risk contagion within industry clusters. The MS-AR model accurately delineates low-, medium-, and high-risk zones, showing strong alignment between high-risk periods and major events. The dynamic Logit model incorporating total risk correlation indices demonstrates high consistency between early warning signals and risk evolution trajectories, providing theoretical and practical references for cross-industry systemic financial risk prevention. Full article