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111 pages, 6426 KiB  
Article
Economocracy: Global Economic Governance
by Constantinos Challoumis
Economies 2025, 13(8), 230; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080230 (registering DOI) - 7 Aug 2025
Abstract
Economic systems face critical challenges, including widening income inequality, unemployment driven by automation, mounting public debt, and environmental degradation. This study introduces Economocracy as a transformative framework aimed at addressing these systemic issues by integrating democratic principles into economic decision-making to achieve social [...] Read more.
Economic systems face critical challenges, including widening income inequality, unemployment driven by automation, mounting public debt, and environmental degradation. This study introduces Economocracy as a transformative framework aimed at addressing these systemic issues by integrating democratic principles into economic decision-making to achieve social equity, economic efficiency, and environmental sustainability. The research focuses on two core mechanisms: Economic Productive Resets (EPRs) and Economic Periodic Injections (EPIs). EPRs facilitate proportional redistribution of resources to reduce income disparities, while EPIs target investments to stimulate job creation, mitigate automion-related job displacement, and support sustainable development. The study employs a theoretical and analytical methodology, developing mathematical models to quantify the impact of EPRs and EPIs on key economic indicators, including the Gini coefficient for inequality, unemployment rates, average wages, and job displacement due to automation. Hypothetical scenarios simulate baseline conditions, EPR implementation, and the combined application of EPRs and EPIs. The methodology is threefold: (1) a mathematical–theoretical validation of the Cycle of Money framework, establishing internal consistency; (2) an econometric analysis using global historical data (2000–2023) to evaluate the correlation between GNI per capita, Gini coefficient, and average wages; and (3) scenario simulations and Difference-in-Differences (DiD) estimates to test the systemic impact of implementing EPR/EPI policies on inequality and labor outcomes. The models are further strengthened through tools such as OLS regression, and Impulse results to assess causality and dynamic interactions. Empirical results confirm that EPR/EPI can substantially reduce income inequality and unemployment, while increasing wage levels, findings supported by both the theoretical architecture and data-driven outcomes. Results demonstrate that Economocracy can significantly lower income inequality, reduce unemployment, increase wages, and mitigate automation’s effects on the labor market. These findings highlight Economocracy’s potential as a viable alternative to traditional economic systems, offering a sustainable pathway that harmonizes growth, social justice, and environmental stewardship in the global economy. Economocracy demonstrates potential to reduce debt per capita by increasing the efficiency of public resource allocation and enhancing average income levels. As EPIs stimulate employment and productivity while EPRs moderate inequality, the resulting economic growth expands the tax base and alleviates fiscal pressures. These dynamics lead to lower per capita debt burdens over time. The analysis is situated within the broader discourse of institutional economics to demonstrate that Economocracy is not merely a policy correction but a new economic system akin to democracy in political life. Full article
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33 pages, 3000 KiB  
Article
The Impact of Regional Policies on Chinese Business Growth: A Bibliometric Approach
by Ling Yao and Lakner Zoltan Karoly
Economies 2025, 13(8), 229; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080229 - 7 Aug 2025
Abstract
In the context of both domestic and international economic landscapes, regional policy has emerged as an increasingly influential factor shaping the developmental trajectories of Chinese enterprises. Despite its growing significance, the extant literature lacks a comprehensive and systematically visualized synthesis that encapsulates the [...] Read more.
In the context of both domestic and international economic landscapes, regional policy has emerged as an increasingly influential factor shaping the developmental trajectories of Chinese enterprises. Despite its growing significance, the extant literature lacks a comprehensive and systematically visualized synthesis that encapsulates the scope and trends of research in this domain. This study addresses this critical gap by conducting an integrative bibliometric and qualitative review of the academic output related to regional policy and Chinese firm growth. Drawing on a final dataset comprising 3428 validated academic publications—selected from an initial pool of 3604 records retrieved from the Web of Science Core Collection between 1991 and 2022, the research employs a two-stage methodological framework. In the first phase, advanced bibliometric tools, and software applications, including RStudio, Bibliometrix, VOSviewer, and CitNetExplorer, are utilized to implement techniques such as keyword co-occurrence analysis, thematic clustering, and the tracing of thematic evolution over time. These methods facilitate rigorous data cleansing, breakpoint identification, and the visualization of intellectual structures and emerging research patterns. In the second phase, a targeted qualitative review is conducted to evaluate the influence of regional policies on Chinese firms across three critical stages of business development: start-up, expansion, and maturity. The findings reveal that regional policy interventions generally exert a positive influence on firm performance throughout all stages of development. Notably, a significant concentration of citation activity occurred prior to 2017; however, post-2017, the volume of scholarly publications, journal-level impact (as measured by h-index), and author-level influence experienced a marked increase. Among the 3428 analyzed publications, a substantial portion—2259 articles—originated from Chinese academic institutions, highlighting the strong domestic research interest in the subject. Furthermore, since 2015, there has been a discernible shift in keyword co-occurrence trends, with increasing scholarly attention directed towards sustainable development issues, particularly those related to carbon dioxide emissions and green innovation, reflecting evolving policy priorities and environmental imperatives. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Regional Economic Development: Policies, Strategies and Prospects)
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20 pages, 1279 KiB  
Article
A Framework for Quantifying Hyperloop’s Socio-Economic Impact in Smart Cities Using GDP Modeling
by Aleksejs Vesjolijs, Yulia Stukalina and Olga Zervina
Economies 2025, 13(8), 228; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080228 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Hyperloop ultra-high-speed transport presents a transformative opportunity for future mobility systems in smart cities. However, assessing its socio-economic impact remains challenging due to Hyperloop’s unique technological, modal, and operational characteristics. As a novel, fifth mode of transportation—distinct from both aviation and rail—Hyperloop requires [...] Read more.
Hyperloop ultra-high-speed transport presents a transformative opportunity for future mobility systems in smart cities. However, assessing its socio-economic impact remains challenging due to Hyperloop’s unique technological, modal, and operational characteristics. As a novel, fifth mode of transportation—distinct from both aviation and rail—Hyperloop requires tailored evaluation tools for policymakers. This study proposes a custom-designed framework to quantify its macroeconomic effects through changes in gross domestic product (GDP) at the city level. Unlike traditional economic models, the proposed approach is specifically adapted to Hyperloop’s multimodality, infrastructure, speed profile, and digital-green footprint. A Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood (PPML) model is developed and applied at two technology readiness levels (TRL-6 and TRL-9). Case studies of Glasgow, Berlin, and Busan are used to simulate impacts based on geo-spatial features and city-specific trade and accessibility indicators. Results indicate substantial GDP increases driven by factors such as expanded 60 min commute catchment zones, improved trade flows, and connectivity node density. For instance, under TRL-9 conditions, GDP uplift reaches over 260% in certain scenarios. The framework offers a scalable, reproducible tool for policymakers and urban planners to evaluate the economic potential of Hyperloop within the context of sustainable smart city development. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section International, Regional, and Transportation Economics)
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21 pages, 524 KiB  
Article
The Role of Solidarity Finance in Sustainable Local Development in Ecuador
by Pablo Dávila Pinto, Sigfredo Ortuño-Pérez, Diego Mantilla Garcés and Víctor Albuja Centeno
Economies 2025, 13(8), 227; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080227 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
This study explores the role of solidarity finance in promoting local development and the empowerment of marginalized communities through financial inclusion and access to community credits. It focuses on how solidarity-based financial mechanisms provide accessible credit with fewer barriers, fostering productive activities and [...] Read more.
This study explores the role of solidarity finance in promoting local development and the empowerment of marginalized communities through financial inclusion and access to community credits. It focuses on how solidarity-based financial mechanisms provide accessible credit with fewer barriers, fostering productive activities and economic resilience. This study employed a quantitative and exploratory design, analyzing data from 51 community funds in Ecuador out of a total of 220 through a self-administered online survey, validated by auditing professionals and answered by community representatives. The 25-item questionnaire gathered data on organizational dynamics, financial practices, and perceptions of sustainability. Descriptive analysis was complemented with an analysis of variance to test hypotheses concerning associativity, self-management, and organizational performance. The results show that while associativity, self-management, and organizational management are perceived as institutional strengths, aspects such as autonomy and solidarity received lower evaluations, suggesting critical areas for strategic improvement. Notably, significant differences emerged between self-management–organization and solidarity–organization groups, emphasizing the importance of associativity (collaboration) in enhancing the sustainability of solidarity finance, which proves to be a vital mechanism for community empowerment and local development; however, its long-term sustainability depends on strengthening internal dimensions, particularly autonomy and solidarity, and reinforcing associativity as a core driver of organizational resilience. Full article
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62 pages, 2440 KiB  
Article
Macroeconomic and Labor Market Drivers of AI Adoption in Europe: A Machine Learning and Panel Data Approach
by Carlo Drago, Alberto Costantiello, Marco Savorgnan and Angelo Leogrande
Economies 2025, 13(8), 226; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080226 - 5 Aug 2025
Viewed by 204
Abstract
This article investigates the macroeconomic and labor market conditions that shape the adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies among large firms in Europe. Based on panel data econometrics and supervised machine learning techniques, we estimate how public health spending, access to credit, export [...] Read more.
This article investigates the macroeconomic and labor market conditions that shape the adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies among large firms in Europe. Based on panel data econometrics and supervised machine learning techniques, we estimate how public health spending, access to credit, export activity, gross capital formation, inflation, openness to trade, and labor market structure influence the share of firms that adopt at least one AI technology. The research covers all 28 EU members between 2018 and 2023. We employ a set of robustness checks using a combination of fixed-effects, random-effects, and dynamic panel data specifications supported by Clustering and supervised learning techniques. We find that AI adoption is linked to higher GDP per capita, healthcare spending, inflation, and openness to trade but lower levels of credit, exports, and capital formation. Labor markets with higher proportions of salaried work, service occupations, and self-employment are linked to AI diffusion, while unemployment and vulnerable work are detractors. Cluster analysis identifies groups of EU members with similar adoption patterns that are usually underpinned by stronger economic and institutional fundamentals. The results collectively suggest that AI diffusion is shaped not only by technological preparedness and capabilities to invest but by inclusive macroeconomic conditions and equitable labor institutions. Targeted policy measures can accelerate the equitable adoption of AI technologies within the European industrial economy. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Digital Transformation in Europe: Economic and Policy Implications)
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26 pages, 1514 KiB  
Article
Measuring the Digital Economy in Kazakhstan: From Global Indices to a Contextual Composite Index (IDED)
by Oxana Denissova, Zhadyra Konurbayeva, Monika Kulisz, Madina Yussubaliyeva and Saltanat Suieubayeva
Economies 2025, 13(8), 225; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080225 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 214
Abstract
This study examines the development of the digital economy and society in the Republic of Kazakhstan by combining international benchmarking with a context-specific national framework. It highlights the limitations of existing global indices such as DESI, NRI, and EGDI in capturing the structural [...] Read more.
This study examines the development of the digital economy and society in the Republic of Kazakhstan by combining international benchmarking with a context-specific national framework. It highlights the limitations of existing global indices such as DESI, NRI, and EGDI in capturing the structural and institutional dimensions of digital transformation in emerging economies. To address this gap, the study introduces a novel composite metric, the Index of Digital Economy Development (IDED), which integrates five sub-indices: infrastructure, usage, human capital, economic digitization, and transformation effectiveness. The methodology involves comparative index analysis, the construction of the IDED, and statistical validation through a public opinion survey and regression modeling. Key findings indicate that cybersecurity is a critical yet under-represented component of digital development, showing strong empirical correlations with DESI scores in benchmark countries. The results also highlight Kazakhstan’s strengths in digital public services and internet access, contrasted with weaknesses in business digitization and innovation. The proposed IDED offers a more comprehensive and policy-relevant tool for assessing digital progress in transitional economies. This study contributes to the literature by proposing a replicable index structure and providing empirical evidence for the inclusion of cybersecurity in national digital economy assessments. The aim of the study is to assess Kazakhstan’s digital economy development by addressing limitations in global measurement frameworks. Methodologically, it combines comparative index analysis, the construction of a national composite index (IDED), and statistical validation using a regional survey and regression analysis. The findings reveal both strengths and gaps in Kazakhstan’s digital landscape, particularly in cybersecurity and SME digitalization. The IDED introduces an innovative, context-sensitive framework that enhances the measurement of digital transformation in transitional economies. Full article
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13 pages, 373 KiB  
Article
Impact Assessment of Rural Electrification Through Photovoltaic Kits on Household Expenditures and Income: The Case of Morocco
by Abdellah Oulakhmis, Rachid Hasnaoui and Youness Boudrik
Economies 2025, 13(8), 224; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080224 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 216
Abstract
This study evaluates the socio-economic impact of rural electrification through photovoltaic (PV) systems in Morocco. As part of the country’s broader energy transition strategy, decentralized renewable energy solutions like PV kits have been deployed to improve energy access in isolated rural areas. Using [...] Read more.
This study evaluates the socio-economic impact of rural electrification through photovoltaic (PV) systems in Morocco. As part of the country’s broader energy transition strategy, decentralized renewable energy solutions like PV kits have been deployed to improve energy access in isolated rural areas. Using quasi-experimental econometric techniques, specifically propensity score matching (PSM) and estimation of the Average Treatment Effect on the Treated (ATT), the study measures changes in household income, expenditures, and economic activities resulting from PV electrification. The results indicate significant positive effects on household income, electricity spending, and productivity in agriculture and livestock. These findings highlight the critical role of decentralized renewable energy in advancing rural development and poverty reduction. Policy recommendations include expanding PV access with complementary support measures such as microfinance and technical training. Full article
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27 pages, 2187 KiB  
Article
The Impact of the Digital Economy on Energy Rebound: A Booster or Inhibitor?
by Maliyamu Abudureheman
Economies 2025, 13(8), 223; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080223 - 30 Jul 2025
Viewed by 305
Abstract
Given the compromising effect of energy rebound on energy conservation efforts and environmental sustainability, plentiful research has focused on evaluating its size and scope in the past; however, there is a scarcity in the exploration of its potential drivers, especially the impacts of [...] Read more.
Given the compromising effect of energy rebound on energy conservation efforts and environmental sustainability, plentiful research has focused on evaluating its size and scope in the past; however, there is a scarcity in the exploration of its potential drivers, especially the impacts of the digital economy. With the accelerating pace of worldwide digitalization, how the digital economy affects the energy rebound effect deserves special attention. We explored the underlying impacts of the digital economy on energy rebound and its influencing mechanisms for the first time in this study based on a panel dataset from China. Results show that most of the regions in China exhibited a partial rebound effect over the period 2007–2022, with an average value of 77.14%. Digital economy development exhibits a threshold effect on energy rebound with regard to energy efficiency improvement. That is, when the energy efficiency is low, digital economy development positively impacts the energy rebound, however, as the energy efficiency increases and surpasses a certain critical threshold, the digital economy can help mitigate the energy rebound effect. Energy prices and environmental regulation present a significant negative impact on energy rebound. Finally, several policy implications are highlighted based on the main findings of this study. Full article
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27 pages, 1055 KiB  
Article
Effects of COVID-19 on Catastrophic Health Expenditures and Inequality in Benin: A Microsimulation Approach
by Albert N. Honlonkou, Nassibou Bassongui and Corinne B. Daraté
Economies 2025, 13(8), 222; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080222 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 259
Abstract
This study assesses the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on catastrophic health expenditures and income inequality in Benin. A microsimulation was calibrated to estimate the impact of the pandemic under three different shock scenarios: low, moderate, and severe. The analysis relies on secondary [...] Read more.
This study assesses the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on catastrophic health expenditures and income inequality in Benin. A microsimulation was calibrated to estimate the impact of the pandemic under three different shock scenarios: low, moderate, and severe. The analysis relies on secondary data from household living condition surveys. The results indicate that the COVID-19 crisis would lead to a significant average income loss of up to 20% and income inequality, while the number of households with catastrophic health expenditures would increase by 4%. More importantly, the findings reveal heterogeneous impacts across households, with urban residents, younger individuals, more educated households, and male-headed households experiencing the greatest income decline. These findings underscore the need for targeted health coverage and employment policies to better protect vulnerable populations in Benin in the face of future shocks. Full article
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23 pages, 943 KiB  
Article
Dualism of the Health System for Sustainable Health System Financing in Benin: Collaboration or Competition?
by Calixe Bidossessi Alakonon, Josette Rosine Aniwuvi Gbeto, Nassibou Bassongui and Alastaire Sèna Alinsato
Economies 2025, 13(8), 220; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080220 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 230
Abstract
This study analyses the conditions under which co-opetition improves the supply of healthcare services in Benin. Using non-centralised administrative data from a sample of public and private health centres, we apply network theory and negative binomial regression to assess the extent to which [...] Read more.
This study analyses the conditions under which co-opetition improves the supply of healthcare services in Benin. Using non-centralised administrative data from a sample of public and private health centres, we apply network theory and negative binomial regression to assess the extent to which competition affects collaboration between public and private healthcare providers. We found that competition reduces the degree of collaboration between private and public health providers. However, the COVID-19 pandemic significantly mitigated this effect, highlighting the potential for competition within the healthcare system without compromising social welfare. Notwithstanding that, we show that these benefits are not sustained over time. These findings have policy implications for the sustainability of health system financing in Africa, particularly by promoting sustainable financial mechanisms for the private sector and more inclusive governance structures. Full article
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45 pages, 424 KiB  
Article
Human Capital, Household Prosperity, and Social Inequalities in Sub-Saharan Africa
by Boniface Ngah Epo, Francis Menjo Baye, Germano Mwabu, Damiano K. Manda, Olu Ajakaiye and Samuel Kipruto
Economies 2025, 13(8), 221; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080221 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 133
Abstract
This article examines the relationship between human capital accumulation, household income, and shared prosperity using 2005–2018 household surveys in Cameroon, Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, and Uganda. Human capital is found to be positively and significantly correlated with household wellbeing in all five nations. Health’s [...] Read more.
This article examines the relationship between human capital accumulation, household income, and shared prosperity using 2005–2018 household surveys in Cameroon, Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, and Uganda. Human capital is found to be positively and significantly correlated with household wellbeing in all five nations. Health’s indirect benefits in Cameroon, Ethiopia, and Kenya augment its direct benefits. Education has monotonic welfare benefits from primary to tertiary levels in all countries. Human capital and labour market participation are strongly associated with household wellbeing. The equalization of human capital endowments increases income for the 40% of the least well-off groups in three of the sample countries. All countries except Uganda record a decrease in human capital deprivation over the period studied. Redistribution is associated with a reduction in human capital deprivation, although less systematically than in the growth scenario. These results suggest that sizeable reductions in human capital deprivation are more likely to be accomplished by interventions that focus on boosting general human capital outcomes than those that redistribute the human capital formation inputs. In countries with declining human capital deprivation, the within-sector interventions seem to account for this success. Substantial heterogeneity in human capital poverty exists within and across countries and between rural and urban areas. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Human Capital Development in Africa)
25 pages, 946 KiB  
Article
Short-Term Forecasting of the JSE All-Share Index Using Gradient Boosting Machines
by Mueletshedzi Mukhaninga, Thakhani Ravele and Caston Sigauke
Economies 2025, 13(8), 219; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080219 - 28 Jul 2025
Viewed by 517
Abstract
This study applies Gradient Boosting Machines (GBMs) and principal component regression (PCR) to forecast the closing price of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) All-Share Index (ALSI), using daily data from 2009 to 2024, sourced from the Wall Street Journal. The models are evaluated [...] Read more.
This study applies Gradient Boosting Machines (GBMs) and principal component regression (PCR) to forecast the closing price of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) All-Share Index (ALSI), using daily data from 2009 to 2024, sourced from the Wall Street Journal. The models are evaluated under three training–testing split ratios to assess short-term forecasting performance. Forecast accuracy is assessed using standard error metrics: mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and mean absolute scaled error (MASE). Across all test splits, the GBM consistently achieves lower forecast errors than PCR, demonstrating superior predictive accuracy. To validate the significance of this performance difference, the Diebold–Mariano (DM) test is applied, confirming that the forecast errors from the GBM are statistically significantly lower than those of PCR at conventional significance levels. These findings highlight the GBM’s strength in capturing nonlinear relationships and complex interactions in financial time series, particularly when using features such as the USD/ZAR exchange rate, oil, platinum, and gold prices, the S&P 500 index, and calendar-based variables like month and day. Future research should consider integrating additional macroeconomic indicators and exploring alternative or hybrid forecasting models to improve robustness and generalisability across different market conditions. Full article
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41 pages, 1344 KiB  
Article
Strengthening Smart Specialisation Strategies (S3) Through Network Analysis: Policy Insights from a Decade of Innovation Projects in Aragón
by David Rodríguez Ochoa, Nieves Arranz and Marta Fernandez de Arroyabe
Economies 2025, 13(8), 218; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080218 - 26 Jul 2025
Viewed by 294
Abstract
This paper applies a multi-level social network analysis to examine Aragón’s innovation ecosystem, focusing on a decade of competitive public projects (2014–2023) aligned with the region’s Smart Specialisation Strategy (S3) 2021–2027. By mapping and weighting the participation of regional entities across regional, national, [...] Read more.
This paper applies a multi-level social network analysis to examine Aragón’s innovation ecosystem, focusing on a decade of competitive public projects (2014–2023) aligned with the region’s Smart Specialisation Strategy (S3) 2021–2027. By mapping and weighting the participation of regional entities across regional, national, and European calls, the study uncovers how all types of local actors organise themselves around key specialisation areas. Moreover, a comparative benchmark is introduced by analysing more than 33,000 Horizon 2020 and Horizon Europe initiatives without Aragonese partners, revealing how to fill structural gaps and enrich the regional ecosystem through international collaboration. Results show strong funding concentration in four fields—Energy, Health, Agri-Food, and Advanced Technologies—while other historically strategic areas like Hydrogen and Water remain underrepresented. Although leading institutions (UNIZAR, CIRCE, ITA, AITIIP) play central roles in connecting academia and industry, direct collaboration among them is limited, pointing to missed synergies. Expanding previous SNA-based assessments, this study introduces a diagnostic tool to guide policy, proposing targeted actions such as challenge-driven calls, dedicated support programs, and cross-border consortia with top EU partners. Applied to two contrasting specialisation areas, the method offers sector-specific recommendations, helping policymakers align Aragón’s innovation capabilities with EU priorities and strengthen its position in both established and emerging domains. Full article
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19 pages, 659 KiB  
Article
An Analysis of the Effects of Traditional Exports on Peru’s Economic Growth: A Case Study of an Emerging Economy
by Cristian Alexander García-López, Franklin Cordova-Buiza and Wilder Oswaldo Jiménez-Rivera
Economies 2025, 13(8), 217; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080217 - 26 Jul 2025
Viewed by 399
Abstract
Economically, all countries seek sustained growth driven by domestic demand, investment, and exports; however, COVID-19 revealed the vulnerability of interconnected economic systems and a sharp contraction in global trade. The objective of this research is to analyze through an econometric model the effect [...] Read more.
Economically, all countries seek sustained growth driven by domestic demand, investment, and exports; however, COVID-19 revealed the vulnerability of interconnected economic systems and a sharp contraction in global trade. The objective of this research is to analyze through an econometric model the effect of traditional exports on Peru’s economic growth during the 2012–2023 period. The study employed a quantitative approach with a non-experimental, longitudinal design, using quarterly data from the Central Reserve Bank of Peru and the National Bureau of Statistics of China, which were transformed into natural logarithms. Unit root tests, the ordinary least squares (OLS) method and a two-stage least squares (2SLS) model were applied to correct for endogeneity. The results show that mining accounts for 81.7% of total traditional exports from Peru. The model indicated that a 1% increase in traditional exports leads to a 0.29% increase in GDP, confirming a positive impact. However, the high dependence of the mining sector exposes the economy to external risks. Therefore, a productive diversification strategy, alongside the modernization of the mining sector, is recommended to strengthen Peru’s economic resilience in the face of global crises and external fluctuations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Studies on Factors Affecting Economic Growth)
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17 pages, 754 KiB  
Article
The Relationship Between Trade Openness and the Inflation Rate in Saudi Arabia: A Cointegration Approach
by Othman Altwijry and Muhammad Tahir
Economies 2025, 13(8), 216; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080216 - 25 Jul 2025
Viewed by 324
Abstract
The relationship between trade openness and economic performance has been widely debated and researched during the last several decades. However, the specific influence of trade openness from the perspective of controlling the inflation rate is rarely researched specifically for the Kingdom of Saudi [...] Read more.
The relationship between trade openness and economic performance has been widely debated and researched during the last several decades. However, the specific influence of trade openness from the perspective of controlling the inflation rate is rarely researched specifically for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA). Accordingly, this research paper attempts to test the influence of trade openness on inflation, focusing on KSA. The paper utilizes historical data from 1975 to 2023 and employs the “Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL)” and “Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL)” cointegration techniques to assess the responsiveness of the inflation rate to increased trade openness. The results of the ARDL demonstrated the positive influence that trade openness has on inflation, which is a rejection of Romer’s hypothesis. The findings of the NARDL also rejected Romer’s hypothesis by demonstrating a positive relationship between the positive shocks in trade openness and the inflation rate. Similarly, our results illustrated a significant negative impact of domestic industrialization and government expenditure on inflation. Moreover, we found that the inflation rate in KSA is significantly dependent on economic performance. Finally, our findings demonstrated that the natural resource sector is unable to explain the inflationary pressure in KSA significantly. Full article
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