Search Results (21)

The production of very-low-sulfur residual fuel oil is a great challenge for modern petroleum refining because of the instability issues caused by blending incompatible relatively high-sulfur residual oils and ultra-low-sulfur light distillates. Another obstacle in the production of very-low-sulfur residual fuel oil using hydroprocessing technology is the contradiction of hydrodesulfurization with hydrodemetallization, as well as the hydrodeasphaltization functions of the catalytic system used. Therefore, the production of very-low-sulfur residual fuel oil by employing hydroprocessing could be achieved by finding an appropriate residual oil to be hydroprocessed and optimal operating conditions and by controlling catalyst system condition management. In the current study, data on the characteristics of 120 samples of heavy fuel oils produced regularly over a period of 10 years from a high-complexity refinery utilizing H–oil vacuum residue hydrocrackers in its processing scheme, the crude oils refined during their production, the recipes of the heavy fuel oils, and the level of H–oil vacuum residue conversion have been analyzed by using intercriteria and regression analyses. Artificial neural network models were developed to predict the characteristics of hydrocracked vacuum residues, the main component for the production of heavy fuel oil. It was found that stable very-low-sulfur residual fuel oil can be manufactured from crude oils whose sulfur content is no higher than 0.9 wt.% by using ebullated bed hydrocracking technology. The diluents used to reduce residue viscosity were highly aromatic FCC gas oils, and the hydrodemetallization rate was higher than 93%. Full article

All modern process simulators rely on thermodynamic methods to estimate physical properties and calculate phase equilibria. The critical properties of individual components or pseudo-components, which represent undefined mixtures, play a crucial role in these calculations. However, the chemical compositions and characteristics of whole crude oils, petroleum fractions, and fuels, which are very complex mixtures of individual hydrocarbons, can vary significantly depending on the specific crude oil and the processing involved. For instance, straight-run petroleum fractions differ from those obtained through cracking processes due to differences in unsaturated hydrocarbon content. Consequently, effective methods for predicting critical temperature and pressure must account for a wide range of compositional scenarios. To address this challenge, we utilized a database of 176 individual hydrocarbons to evaluate the existing correlations for critical temperature and pressure calculations. Intercriteria analysis was performed to evaluate the relations between the different variables to be used for critical temperature and pressure predictions. Additionally, we proposed new correlations and ANN models for these properties and assessed their performance. Our study aims to provide robust predictive models that can accurately estimate critical properties across diverse petroleum fractions and compositions. Full article

Pneumonia is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality in children, making its early detection critical for effective treatment. The objective of this study is to develop and evaluate a hybrid deep learning framework that combines convolutional neural networks with intuitionistic fuzzy estimators to enhance the accuracy, sensitivity, and robustness of pneumonia detection in pediatric chest X-rays. The main background is the use of intuitionistic fuzzy estimators (IFEs). The hybrid model integrates the powerful feature extraction capabilities of CNNs with the uncertainty handling and decision-making strengths of intuitionistic fuzzy logic. By incorporating an IFE, the model is better equipped to deal with ambiguity and noise in medical imaging data, resulting in more accurate and robust pneumonia detection. Experimental results on pediatric chest X-ray datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, achieving higher sensitivity and specificity compared to traditional CNN approaches. The hybrid system achieved a classification accuracy of 94.93%, confirming its strong diagnostic performance. In conclusion, this hybrid model offers a promising tool to assist healthcare professionals in the early and accurate diagnosis of pneumonia in children. Full article

Ebullated bed vacuum residue hydrocracking is a well-established technology providing a high conversion level of low-value residue fractions in high-value light fuels. The main challenge in this technology when processing vacuum residues derived from different crude oils is the sediment formation rate that leads to equipment fouling and cycle length shortening. With the severity enhancement, the asphaltenes become more aromatic and less soluble which leads to sediment formation when the difference between solubility parameters of asphaltenes and maltenes goes beyond a threshold value. Although theoretical models have been developed to predict asphaltene precipitation, the great diversity of oils makes it impossible to embrace the full complexity of oil chemistry by any theoretical model making it impractical for using it in all applications. The evaluation of process data of a commercial ebullated bed vacuum residue hydrocracker, properties of different feeds, and product streams by intercriteria and regression analyses enabled us to decipher the reason for hydrocracked oil sediment content rising from 0.06 to 1.15 wt.%. The ICrA identified the presence of statistically meaningful relations between the single variables, while the regression analysis revealed the combination of variables having a statistically meaningful effect on sediment formation rate. In this study, vacuum residues derived from 16 crude oils have been hydrocracked as blends, which also contain fluid catalytic cracking heavy cycle oil and slurry oil (SLO), in a commercial H-Oil plant. It was found that the hydrocracked oil sediment content decreased exponentially with fluid catalytic cracking slurry oil augmentation. It was also established that it increased with the magnification of resin and asphaltene and the reduction in sulfur contents in the H-Oil feed. Full article

Petroleum refining has been, is still, and is expected to remain in the next decades the main source of energy required to drive transport for mankind. The demand for automotive and aviation fuels has urged refiners to search for ways to extract more light oil products per barrel of crude oil. The heavy oil conversion processes of ebullated bed vacuum residue hydrocracking (EBVRHC) and fluid catalytic cracking (FCC) can assist refiners in their aim to produce more transportation fuels and feeds for petrochemistry from a ton of petroleum. However, a good understanding of the roles of feed quality and catalyst characteristics is needed to optimize the performance of both heavy oil conversion processes. Three knowledge discovery database techniques—intercriteria and regression analyses, and artificial neural networks—were used to evaluate the performance of commercial FCC and EBVRHC in processing 19 different heavy oils. Seven diverse FCC catalysts were assessed using a cascade and parallel fresh catalyst addition system in an EBVRHC unit. It was found that the vacuum residue conversion in the EBVRHC depended on feed reactivity, which, calculated on the basis of pilot plant tests, varied by 16.4%; the content of vacuum residue (VR) in the mixed EBVRHC unit feed (each 10% fluctuation in VR content leads to an alteration in VR conversion of 1.6%); the reaction temperature (a 1 °C deviation in reaction temperature is associated with a 0.8% shift in VR conversion); and the liquid hourly space velocity (0.01 h-1 change of LHSV leads to 0.85% conversion alteration). The vacuum gas oil conversion in the FCC unit was determined to correlate with feed crackability, which, calculated on the basis of pilot plant tests, varied by 8.2%, and the catalyst ΔCoke (each 0.03% ΔCoke increase reduces FCC conversion by 1%), which was unveiled to depend on FCC feed density and equilibrium FCC micro-activity. The developed correlations can be used to optimize the performance of FCC and EBVRHC units by selecting the appropriate feed slate and catalyst. Full article

The saturate, aromatic, resin, and asphaltene content in petroleum (SARA composition) provides valuable information about the chemical nature of oils, oil compatibility, colloidal stability, fouling potential, and other important aspects in petroleum chemistry and processing. For that reason, SARA composition data are important for petroleum engineering research and practice. Unfortunately, the results of SARA composition measurements reported by diverse laboratories are frequently very dissimilar and the development of a method to assign SARA composition from oil bulk properties is a question that deserves attention. Petroleum fluids with great variability of SARA composition were employed in this study to model their SARA fraction contents from their density, flash point, sulfur content, and simulated distillation characteristics. Three data mining techniques: intercriteria analysis, regression, and artificial neural networks (ANNs) were applied. It was found that the ANN models predicted with higher accuracy the contents of resins and asphaltenes, whereas the non-linear regression model predicted most accurately the saturate fraction content but with an accuracy that was lower than that reported in the literature regarding uncertainty of measurement. The aromatic content was poorly predicted by all investigated techniques, although the prediction of aromatic content was within the uncertainty of measurement. The performed study suggests that as well as the investigated properties, additional characteristics need to be explored to account for complex petroleum chemistry in order to improve the accuracy of SARA composition prognosis. Full article

The refractive index is an important physical property that is used to estimate the structural characteristics, thermodynamic, and transport properties of petroleum fluids, and to determine the onset of asphaltene flocculation. Unfortunately, the refractive index of opaque petroleum fluids cannot be measured unless special experimental techniques or dilution is used. For that reason, empirical correlations, and metaheuristic models were developed to predict the refractive index of petroleum fluids based on density, boiling point, and SARA fraction composition. The capability of these methods to accurately predict refractive index is discussed in this research with the aim of contrasting the empirical correlations with the artificial neural network modelling approach. Three data sets consisting of specific gravity and boiling point of 254 petroleum fractions, individual hydrocarbons, and hetero-compounds (Set 1); specific gravity and molecular weight of 136 crude oils (Set 2); and specific gravity, molecular weight, and SARA composition data of 102 crude oils (Set 3) were used to test eight empirical correlations available in the literature to predict the refractive index. Additionally, three new empirical correlations and three artificial neural network (ANN) models were developed for the three data sets using computer algebra system Maple, NLPSolve with Modified Newton Iterative Method, and Matlab. For Set 1, the most accurate refractive index prediction was achieved by the ANN model, with %AAD of 0.26% followed by the new developed correlation for Set 1 with %AAD of 0.37%. The best literature empirical correlation found for Set 1 was that of Riazi and Daubert (1987), which had %AAD of 0.40%. For Set 2, the best performers were the models of ANN, and the new developed correlation of Set 2 with %AAD of refractive index prediction was 0.21%, and 0.22%, respectively. For Set 3, the ANN model exhibited %AAD of refractive index prediction of 0.156% followed by the newly developed correlation for Set 3 with %AAD of 0.163%, while the empirical correlations of Fan et al. (2002) and Chamkalani (2012) displayed %AAD of 0.584 and 0.552%, respectively. Full article

Twelve crude oil blends prepared from seven individual crude oils and an imported atmospheric residue were characterized through a true boiling point (TBP) distillation analysis and their density. When comparing the measured TBP fraction yields with those estimated through the application of the additive blending rule, it was found that, for four crude oil blends, the additive blending rule was valid, while for the remaining eight crude oil blends, deviations of the measured TBP yields from the estimated ones were bigger than the TBP analysis’s repeatability limits. By the use of intercriteria analysis evaluation of the data for the deviation of the TBP yields from the additive blending rule and the molar excess volume of the crude oil blends, statistically meaningful relations between the delta TBP yields of light and heavy naphtha, as well as vacuum residue with the molar excess volume, were found. The higher the magnitude of the crude oil blend’s molar excess volume, the bigger the deviations of the TBP yields of naphtha and vacuum residue are. The bigger the deviation of the crude oil blend’s behavior from that of the regular solution, as quantified by the molar excess volume, the bigger the deviations of the TBP yields of naphtha and vacuum residue are. Full article

The production of heavy fuel oil from hydrocracked vacuum residue requires dilution of the residue with cutter stocks to reduce viscosity. The hydrocracked residue obtained from different vacuum residue blends originating from diverse crude oils may have divergent properties and interact with the variant cutter stocks in a dissimilar way leading to changeable values of density, sediment content, and viscosity of the obtained fuel oil. H-Oil hydrocracked vacuum residues (VTBs) obtained from different crude blends (Urals, Siberian Light (LSCO), and Basrah Heavy) were diluted with the high aromatic fluid catalytic cracking (FCC) light cycle, heavy cycle, and slurry oil, and the low aromatic fluid catalytic cracking feed hydrotreater diesel cutter stocks and their densities, sediment content, and viscosity of the mixtures were investigated. Intercriteria analysis evaluation of the data generated in this study was performed. It was found that the densities of the blends H-Oil VTB/cutter stocks deviate from the regular solution behavior because of the presence of attractive and repulsive forces between the molecules of the H-Oil VTB and the cutter stocks. Urals and Basrah Heavy crude oils were found to enhance the attractive forces, while the LSCO increases the repulsive forces between the molecules of H-Oil VTBs and those of the FCC gas oils. The viscosity of the H-Oil VTB obtained during hydrocracking of straight run vacuum residue blend was established to linearly depend on the viscosity of the H-Oil vacuum residue feed blend. The applied equations to predict viscosity of blends containing straight run and hydrocracked vacuum residues and cutter stocks proved their good prediction ability with an average relative absolute deviation (%AAD) of 8.8%. While the viscosity was found possible to predict, the sediment content of the blends H-Oil VTBs/cutter stocks was recalcitrant to forecast. Full article

The Urals and Siberian vacuum residues are considered difficult to process in the ebullated bed hydrocracking because of their increased tendency to form sediments. Their achievable conversion rate reported in the literature is 60%. Intercriteria analysis was used to assess data from a commercial vacuum residue hydrocracker during processing blends from three vacuum residues: Urals, Siberian Light, and Basra Heavy. The analysis revealed that the main contributors to conversion enhancement is hydrodemetallization (HDM) and the first reactor ΔT augmentation. The increase of HDM from 40 to 98% and the first reactor ΔT (ΔT(R1)) from 49 to 91 °C were associated with a vacuum residue conversion enhancement of 62.0 to 82.7 wt.%. The developed nonlinear regression prediction of conversion from HDM and ΔT(R1) suggests a bigger influence of ΔT(R1) enhancement on conversion augmentation than the HDM increase. The intercriteria analysis evaluation revealed that the higher first reactor ΔT suppresses the sediment formation rate to a greater extent than the higher HDM. During processing Basrah Heavy vacuum residue, a reduction in hydrodeasphaltization (HDAs) from 73.6 to 55.2% and HDM from 88 to 81% was observed. It was confirmed that HDM and HDAs are interrelated. It was found that the attainment of conversion of 80 wt.% and higher during processing Urals and Siberian Light vacuum residues is possible when the HDM is about 90% and LHSV ≤ 0.19 h⁻¹. Full article

The exactitude of petroleum fluid molecular weight correlations affects significantly the precision of petroleum engineering calculations and can make process design and trouble-shooting inaccurate. Some of the methods in the literature to predict petroleum fluid molecular weight are used in commercial software process simulators. According to statements made in the literature, the correlations of Lee–Kesler and Twu are the most used in petroleum engineering, and the other methods do not exhibit any significant advantages over the Lee–Kesler and Twu correlations. In order to verify which of the proposed in the literature correlations are the most appropriate for petroleum fluids with molecular weight variation between 70 and 1685 g/mol, 430 data points for boiling point, specific gravity, and molecular weight of petroleum fluids and individual hydrocarbons were extracted from 17 literature sources. Besides the existing correlations in the literature, two different techniques, nonlinear regression and artificial neural network (ANN), were employed to model the molecular weight of the 430 petroleum fluid samples. It was found that the ANN model demonstrated the best accuracy of prediction with a relative standard error (RSE) of 7.2%, followed by the newly developed nonlinear regression correlation with an RSE of 10.9%. The best available molecular weight correlations in the literature were those of API (RSE = 12.4%), Goosens (RSE = 13.9%); and Riazi and Daubert (RSE = 15.2%). The well known molecular weight correlations of Lee–Kesler, and Twu, for the data set of 430 data points, exhibited RSEs of 26.5, and 30.3% respectively. Full article

Forty-eight crude oils with variations in specific gravity (0.782 ≤ SG ≤ 1.002), sulphur content (0.03 ≤ S ≤ 5.6 wt.%), saturate content (23.5 ≤ Sat. ≤ 92.9 wt.%), asphaltene content (0.1 ≤ As ≤ 22.2 wt.%), and vacuum residue content (1.4 ≤ VR ≤ 60.7 wt.%) were characterized with HTSD, TBP, and SARA analyses. A modified SARA analysis of petroleum that allows for the attainment of a mass balance ≥97 wt.% for light crude oils was proposed, a procedure for the simulation of petroleum TBP curves from HTSD data using nonlinear regression and Riazi’s distribution model was developed, and a new correlation to predict petroleum saturate content from specific gravity and pour point with an average absolute deviation of 2.5 wt.%, maximum absolute deviation of 6.6 wt.%, and bias of 0.01 wt.% was developed. Intercriteria analysis was employed to evaluate the presence of statistically meaningful relations between the different petroleum properties and to evaluate the extent of similarity between the studied petroleum crudes. It was found that the extent of similarity between the crude oils based on HTSD analysis data could be discerned from data on the Kw characterization factor of narrow crude oil fractions. The results from this study showed that contrary to the generally accepted concept of the constant Kw characterization factor, the Kw factors of narrow fractions differ from that of crude oil. Moreover, the distributions of Kw factors of the different crudes were different. Full article

In a series of papers, the initiation and development of forest fires are described in terms of the cellular automata-based Game Method for Modelling (GMM), modelling a particular area as an orthogonal grid of square cells whose values are changing with respect to predefined rules. In the present leg of this research, the simulation of the wildfire that occurred in the Kresna Gorge in Bulgaria in August 2017 is presented, rendering an account of the wind, characterized by its direction and intensity, and evaluating the impact of the fire iteratively in terms of temporal intuitionistic fuzzy sets that maintain the information about the degrees of burnt and unaffected areas. The results from the software product FireGrid, implementing the GMM-model developed by the authors, are also compared to the results from the software application FlamMap. Additionally, the paper presents for the first time the basic properties of the defined operations and operators over temporal intuitionistic fuzzy pairs. Full article

The use of hydrocracked and straight-run vacuum residues in the production of road pavement bitumen requires a good understanding of how the viscosity and softening point can be modeled and controlled. Scientific reports on modeling of these rheological properties for hydrocracked and straight-run vacuum residues are scarce. For that reason, 30 straight-run vacuum residues and 33 hydrocracked vacuum residues obtained in a conversion range of 55–93% were investigated, and the characterization data were employed for modeling purposes. An intercriteria analysis was applied to investigate the statistically meaningful relations between the studied vacuum residue properties. It revealed that the straight-run and hydrocracked vacuum residues were completely different, and therefore their viscosity and softening point should be separately modeled. Through the use of nonlinear regression by applying CAS Maple and NLPSolve with the modified Newton iterative method and the vacuum residue bulk properties the viscosity and softening point were modeled. It was found that the straight-run vacuum residue viscosity was best modeled from the molecular weight and specific gravity, whereas the softening point was found to be best modeled from the molecular weight and C₇-asphaltene content. The hydrocracked vacuum residue viscosity and softening point were modeled from a single property: the Conradson carbon content. The vacuum residue viscosity models developed in this work were found to allow prediction of the asphaltene content from the molecular weight and specific gravity with an average absolute relative error of 20.9%, which was lower of that of the model of Samie and Mortaheb (Fuel. 2021, 305, 121609)—32.6%. Full article

Four nonlinear regression techniques were explored to model gas oil viscosity on the base of Walther’s empirical equation. With the initial database of 41 primary and secondary vacuum gas oils, four models were developed with a comparable accuracy of viscosity calculation. The Akaike information criterion and Bayesian information criterion selected the least square relative errors (LSRE) model as the best one. The sensitivity analysis with respect to the given data also revealed that the LSRE model is the most stable one with the lowest values of standard deviations of derivatives. Verification of the gas oil viscosity prediction ability was carried out with another set of 43 gas oils showing remarkably better accuracy with the LSRE model. The LSRE was also found to predict better viscosity for the 43 test gas oils relative to the Aboul Seoud and Moharam model and the Kotzakoulakis and George. Full article