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Climate Change Uncertainties in Integrated Water Resources Management

A special issue of Water (ISSN 2073-4441). This special issue belongs to the section "Water and Climate Change".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 31 December 2025 | Viewed by 77

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
College of Economics and Management, China Three Gorges University, Yichang, China
Interests: transboundary river cooperation; ecological and environmental policy; water resources management; water conflict resolution; water treaties

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Guest Editor
College of Economics and Management, China Three Gorges University, Yichang, China
Interests: water demand and supply; water resources management; water resources cooperation; water resources conflict; resource and environmental policy
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Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

With the increase in climate change around the world, the shifting of populations in water-stressed regions, and continued economic development, there is a rapid depletion of surface water and aquifer systems to compensate for the reduction of available freshwater supplies in transboundary river basins. For IWRM, it is critical to balance the increased demand in water-stressed river basins to ensure the sustainability of the available freshwater supplies for all stakeholders sharing a river basin in times of uncertainty. This article aims to show how climate change uncertainty affects IWRM planning for sustainability in transboundary river basins. Since there are multiple interacting variables in play at any specific time, such as economic growth, societal demands, natural systems alterations, and policy decisions, the challenge becomes how to construct a successful IWRM set of policies to effectively solve climate change dilemmas while providing water sustainability for all stakeholders sharing a transboundary water basin in order to prevent possible conflict due to water shortages.

Dr. Thomas Ramsey
Dr. Liang Yuan
Guest Editors

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Keywords

  • climate change
  • integrated water resources management (IWRM)
  • transboundary rivers
  • uncertainty
  • sustainability
  • water conflict

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Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

23 pages, 4456 KiB  
Article
Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Groundwater Recharge and Storage Using MODFLOW in the Akhangaran River Alluvial Aquifer, Eastern Uzbekistan
by Azam Kadirkhodjaev, Dmitriy Andreev, Botir Akramov, Botirjon Abdullaev, Zilola Abdujalilova, Zulkhumar Umarova, Dilfuza Nazipova, Izzatullo Ruzimov, Shakhriyor Toshev, Erkin Anorboev, Nodirjon Rakhimov, Farrukh Mamirov, Inessa Gracheva and Samrit Luoma
Water 2025, 17(15), 2291; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152291 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Abstract
A shallow quaternary sedimentary aquifer within the river alluvial deposits of eastern Uzbekistan is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change and anthropogenic activities. Despite its essential role in supplying water for domestic, agricultural, and industrial purposes, the aquifer system remains poorly [...] Read more.
A shallow quaternary sedimentary aquifer within the river alluvial deposits of eastern Uzbekistan is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change and anthropogenic activities. Despite its essential role in supplying water for domestic, agricultural, and industrial purposes, the aquifer system remains poorly understood. This study employed a three-dimensional MODFLOW-based groundwater flow model to assess climate change impacts on water budget components under the SSP5-8.5 scenario for 2020–2099. Model calibration yielded RMSE values between 0.25 and 0.51 m, indicating satisfactory performance. Simulations revealed that lateral inflows from upstream and side-valley alluvial deposits contribute over 84% of total inflow, while direct recharge from precipitation (averaging 120 mm/year, 24.7% of annual rainfall) and riverbed leakage together account for only 11.4%. Recharge occurs predominantly from November to April, with no recharge from June to August. Under future scenarios, winter recharge may increase by up to 22.7%, while summer recharge could decline by up to 100%. Groundwater storage is projected to decrease by 7.3% to 58.3% compared to 2010–2020, indicating the aquifer’s vulnerability to prolonged dry periods. These findings emphasize the urgent need for adaptive water management strategies and long-term monitoring to ensure sustainable groundwater use under changing climate conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Climate Change Uncertainties in Integrated Water Resources Management)
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